Logistic Transportation 5 Year DCF Financial Model
Logistic Transportation 5 Year DCF Financial Model
Business
Transportation &Logistic
Time Horizon
Historical Period N.A.
Forecast Period 2022-2026
Cell Color
Input
Calcluation
Reference
Output
Time
Days of year 365
Month of year 12
2022 E 2022 E
Fixed Assets
Vehicles Life Existing 0,0 - - - - -
25 New
2022 5.000 200 200 200 200 200
2023 802 - 32 32 32 32
2024 837 - - 33 33 33
2025 874 - - - 35 35
2026 913 - - - - 37
Total 200 232 266 300 337
Technology equitpment
Life Existing 0,0 - - - - -
5 New
2022 1.000 200 200 200 200 200
2023 - - - - - -
2024 - - - - - -
2025 - - - - - -
2026 - - - - - -
Total 200 200 200 200 200
Construction in progress
Life Existing 0,0 - - - - -
30 New
2022 500 17 17 17 17 17
2023 - - - - - -
2024 - - - - - -
2025 - - - - - -
2026 - - - - - -
Total 17 17 17 17 17
Operating Expenses
Rent - % of Revenue 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Basic 5,0% 5,0% 5,0% 5,0% 5,0%
Optimistic 4,0% 4,0% 4,0% 4,0% 4,0%
Pessimistic 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Working Capital
Account receivable of Revenue % 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0%
Basic 9,0% 9,0% 9,0% 9,0% 9,0%
Optimistic 10,0% 10,0% 10,0% 10,0% 10,0%
Pessimistic 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0%
Additional Equities
Addition equities % of Revenue 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% 0,2%
(Injected at beginning of year) Basic 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
Optimistic 0,1% 0,1% 0,1% 0,1%
Pessimistic 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% 0,2%
Input- Yearly Volumn & Price (USD $)
2 3 4 5 6
Case Pessimistic 2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E
Growth rate %
Air Express 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Economic delivery 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Ground 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Growth rate %
Domestic 2,0% 2,0% 2,0% 2,0%
International 2,0% 2,0% 2,0% 2,0%
Freight Volumn
Ocean Shipments 45.600 45.600 45.600 45.600 45.600
Air Shipments 7.050 7.050 7.050 7.050 7.050
Logistic 65.100 65.100 65.100 65.100 65.100
Growth rate %
Ocean Shipments 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
Air Shipments 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
Logistic 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
Freight Price
Per pound of Ocean Shipment 30,0 30,6 31,2 31,8 32,5
Per pound of Air Shipment 45,0 46,1 47,3 48,5 49,7
Per milage dispatched 250,0 255,0 260,1 265,3 270,6
Growth rate %
Ocean Shipment 2,0% 2,0% 2,0% 2,0%
Air Shipment 2,5% 2,5% 2,5% 2,5%
Milage dispatched 2,0% 2,0% 2,0% 2,0%
Inputs P&L (USD $)
2022 E
Case Pessimistic 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 7M 8M 9M 10 M 11 M 12 M
Volume allocation
Domestic pakage service
Air Express 7,0% 7,0% 7,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,4% 8,4% 8,2% 10,0% 10,0% 10,0%
Economic delivery 7,0% 7,0% 7,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,4% 8,4% 8,2% 10,0% 10,0% 10,0%
Ground 7,0% 7,0% 7,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,4% 8,4% 8,2% 10,0% 10,0% 10,0%
Package Volumn
Domestic pakage service
Air Express 35.000.000 35.000.000 35.000.000 40.000.000 40.000.000 40.000.000 42.000.000 42.000.000 41.000.000 50.000.000 50.000.000 50.000.000
Economic delivery 35.000.000 35.000.000 35.000.000 40.000.000 40.000.000 40.000.000 42.000.000 42.000.000 41.000.000 50.000.000 50.000.000 50.000.000
Ground 210.000.000 210.000.000 210.000.000 240.000.000 240.000.000 240.000.000 252.000.000 252.000.000 246.000.000 300.000.000 300.000.000 300.000.000
Import 31.500.000 31.500.000 31.500.000 36.000.000 36.000.000 36.000.000 37.800.000 37.800.000 36.900.000 45.000.000 45.000.000 45.000.000
Export 28.000.000 28.000.000 28.000.000 32.000.000 32.000.000 32.000.000 33.600.000 33.600.000 32.800.000 40.000.000 40.000.000 40.000.000
Cargo 21.000.000 21.000.000 21.000.000 24.000.000 24.000.000 24.000.000 25.200.000 25.200.000 24.600.000 30.000.000 30.000.000 30.000.000
Freight
Shipment allocation month
By Ocean 6,0% 6,0% 6,5% 8,0% 8,5% 8,5% 9,0% 9,5% 9,5% 10,0% 9,5% 9,0%
By Air 6,0% 6,0% 6,5% 8,0% 8,5% 8,5% 9,0% 9,5% 9,5% 10,0% 9,5% 9,0%
By Truck 6,0% 6,0% 6,5% 8,0% 8,5% 8,5% 9,0% 9,5% 9,5% 10,0% 9,5% 9,0%
Ocean Shipments
Monthly Shipments 2.736 2.736 2.964 3.648 3.876 3.876 4.104 4.332 4.332 4.560 4.332 4.104
Average weight per Shipment(Pounds) 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Air Shipments
Monthly Shipments 423 423 458 564 599 599 635 670 670 705 670 635
Average weight per Shipment(Pounds) 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220
Logistic
Monthly Truck dispatch 3.906 3.906 4.232 5.208 5.534 5.534 5.859 6.185 6.185 6.510 6.185 5.859
Average mileage/Truck per day 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Average price-Freight
Average price per pound of Ocean Shipment 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0 30,0
Average price per pound of Air Shipment 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0 45,0
Average price per mile dispatched 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0 250,0
Operation Days 21 20 23 21 22 22 21 23 22 21 22 22
Customer Service 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Other supporting 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
Tax Rate 25% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0% 25,0%
Bank Loan 1 (million USD $)
Caracteristics Summary
Amount 3.000 Scheduled payment (33,11)
Annual Interest rate 5% Scheduled nº of period 114
Payment period in years 10 Interest rate applied 0,42%
Nº of payment per year 12 Total Interest paid 850
Grace period in month 6
Start date of loan 01/01/2022
Extra payment 0
Caracteristics Summary
Amount 2.000 Scheduled payment (28,14)
Annual Interest rate 7% Scheduled nº of period 90
Payment period in years 8 Interest rate applied 0,54%
Nº of payment per year 12 Total Interest paid
Grace period in month 6
Start date of loan 01/01/2022
Extra payment 0
Caracteristics Summary
Amount 1.320 Scheduled payment (28,05)
Annual Interest rate 10% Scheduled nº of period 60
Payment period in years 5 Interest rate applied 0,83%
Nº of payment per year 12 Total Interest paid
Grace period in month 0
Start date of loan 01/01/2022
Extra payment 0
Freight
Shipments
Ocean Shipments 2.736 2.736 2.964 3.648 3.876 3.876 4.104 4.332 4.332 4.560 4.332 4.104
Air Shipments 423 423 458 564 599 599 635 670 670 705 670 635
Logistic
Truck dispatched 3.906 3.906 4.232 5.208 5.534 5.534 5.859 6.185 6.185 6.510 6.185 5.859
Average mileage per truck 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Operating Cost
Rent 311.986.062 311.986.062 317.299.901 368.701.416 374.015.255 374.015.255 393.513.093 398.826.932 391.734.932 460.876.770 455.562.932 450.249.093
Marketing 415.981.416 415.981.416 423.066.534 491.601.888 498.687.006 498.687.006 524.684.124 531.769.242 522.313.242 614.502.360 607.417.242 600.332.124
SG&A 415.981.416 415.981.416 423.066.534 491.601.888 498.687.006 498.687.006 524.684.124 531.769.242 522.313.242 614.502.360 607.417.242 600.332.124
Total Operating Cost 1.143.948.894 1.143.948.894 1.163.432.969 1.351.905.192 1.371.389.267 1.371.389.267 1.442.881.341 1.462.365.416 1.436.361.416 1.689.881.490 1.670.397.416 1.650.913.341
Financial Cost
Bank Loan 1 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.500.000 12.414.115 12.327.871 12.241.269 12.154.305 12.066.979
Bank Loan 2 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.833.333 10.739.609 10.645.378 10.550.636 10.455.380 10.359.609
Bank Loan 3 11.000.000 10.857.949 10.714.715 10.570.286 10.424.655 10.277.809 10.129.740 9.980.437 9.829.890 9.678.088 9.525.021 9.370.679
Total Financial Cost 34.333.333 34.191.283 34.048.048 33.903.620 33.757.988 33.611.143 33.463.073 33.134.161 32.803.139 32.469.993 32.134.707 31.797.268
Tax rate 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Company taxes 89.887.417 89.922.930 91.730.018 111.599.964 113.407.651 113.444.363 121.060.659 122.914.167 120.092.923 148.083.489 146.396.031 144.709.111
Calculation- BS monthly (USD $)
2022 E
Inital 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 7M 8M 9M 10 M 11 M 12 M
Working Capital
% of Revenue
Account Receivable 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0% 8,0%
Inventory 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0% 3,0%
Other Current Assets 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0%
Account Payables 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0% 6,0%
Accrued liabilities 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5% 4,5%
Revenue 5.199.767.700 5.199.767.700 5.288.331.675 6.145.023.600 6.233.587.575 6.233.587.575 6.558.551.550 6.647.115.525 6.528.915.525 7.681.279.500 7.592.715.525 7.504.151.550
Account Receivable 2.500.000.000 415.981.416 415.981.416 423.066.534 491.601.888 498.687.006 498.687.006 524.684.124 531.769.242 522.313.242 614.502.360 607.417.242 600.332.124
Inventory 1.500.000.000 155.993.031 155.993.031 158.649.950 184.350.708 187.007.627 187.007.627 196.756.547 199.413.466 195.867.466 230.438.385 227.781.466 225.124.547
Other Current Assets - 51.997.677 51.997.677 52.883.317 61.450.236 62.335.876 62.335.876 65.585.516 66.471.155 65.289.155 76.812.795 75.927.155 75.041.516
Account Payables 1.000.000.000 311.986.062 311.986.062 317.299.901 368.701.416 374.015.255 374.015.255 393.513.093 398.826.932 391.734.932 460.876.770 455.562.932 450.249.093
Accrued liabilities - 233.989.547 233.989.547 237.974.925 276.526.062 280.511.441 280.511.441 295.134.820 299.120.199 293.801.199 345.657.578 341.672.199 337.686.820
Working Capital 3.000.000.000 77.996.516 77.996.516 79.324.975 92.175.354 93.503.814 93.503.814 98.378.273 99.706.733 97.933.733 115.219.193 113.890.733 112.562.273
Fixed Assets (Gross)
Vehicles 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000
Aircrafts 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000 10.000.000.000
Land 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000
Building 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000
Leashold improvements 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000
Plant equipment 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000 5.000.000.000
Technology equitpment 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000 1.000.000.000
Construction in progress 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000 500.000.000
Total Fixed Assets Gross 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000 28.500.000.000
Equities
Begining Balance 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000
Added on
Closing Balance 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000
Initial Cash 0 100.000.000 3.372.318.051 3.722.597.104 4.076.825.728 4.478.997.841 4.897.969.303 5.318.232.514 5.718.406.703 6.127.358.502 6.530.617.005 6.998.455.600 7.479.510.454
Change of Cash 100.000.000 3.272.318.051 350.279.053 354.228.624 402.172.113 418.971.463 420.263.211 400.174.188 408.951.799 403.258.503 467.838.595 481.054.855 475.656.656
Closing Cash 100.000.000 3.372.318.051 3.722.597.104 4.076.825.728 4.478.997.841 4.897.969.303 5.318.232.514 5.718.406.703 6.127.358.502 6.530.617.005 6.998.455.600 7.479.510.454 7.955.167.111
Output - P&L Monthly (USD $)
2022 E
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1M 2M 3M 4M 5M 6M 7M 8M 9M 10 M 11 M 12 M
Revenue
Domestic pakage service 2.625.000.000 2.625.000.000 2.625.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.000.000.000 3.150.000.000 3.150.000.000 3.075.000.000 3.750.000.000 3.750.000.000 3.750.000.000
International pakage service 1.512.000.000 1.512.000.000 1.512.000.000 1.728.000.000 1.728.000.000 1.728.000.000 1.814.400.000 1.814.400.000 1.771.200.000 2.160.000.000 2.160.000.000 2.160.000.000
Freight 1.062.767.700 1.062.767.700 1.151.331.675 1.417.023.600 1.505.587.575 1.505.587.575 1.594.151.550 1.682.715.525 1.682.715.525 1.771.279.500 1.682.715.525 1.594.151.550
Total Revenue 5.199.767.700 5.199.767.700 5.288.331.675 6.145.023.600 6.233.587.575 6.233.587.575 6.558.551.550 6.647.115.525 6.528.915.525 7.681.279.500 7.592.715.525 7.504.151.550
Gross Profit 1.635.530.310 1.635.530.310 1.662.099.503 1.929.907.080 1.956.476.273 1.956.476.273 2.058.285.465 2.084.854.658 2.047.234.658 2.412.383.850 2.385.814.658 2.359.245.465
Gross Margin % 31,5% 31,5% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4%
Rent 311.986.062 311.986.062 317.299.901 368.701.416 374.015.255 374.015.255 393.513.093 398.826.932 391.734.932 460.876.770 455.562.932 450.249.093
Marketing 415.981.416 415.981.416 423.066.534 491.601.888 498.687.006 498.687.006 524.684.124 531.769.242 522.313.242 614.502.360 607.417.242 600.332.124
SG&A 415.981.416 415.981.416 423.066.534 491.601.888 498.687.006 498.687.006 524.684.124 531.769.242 522.313.242 614.502.360 607.417.242 600.332.124
Total Operating Cost 1.143.948.894 1.143.948.894 1.163.432.969 1.351.905.192 1.371.389.267 1.371.389.267 1.442.881.341 1.462.365.416 1.436.361.416 1.689.881.490 1.670.397.416 1.650.913.341
EBITDA 491.581.416 491.581.416 498.666.534 578.001.888 585.087.006 585.087.006 615.404.124 622.489.242 610.873.242 722.502.360 715.417.242 708.332.124
EBITDA margin % 9,5% 9,5% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4%
Depreciation & Amortization 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413 97.698.413
EBIT 393.883.003 393.883.003 400.968.121 480.303.475 487.388.593 487.388.593 517.705.711 524.790.829 513.174.829 624.803.947 617.718.829 610.633.711
EBIT margin % 7,6% 7,6% 7,6% 7,8% 7,8% 7,8% 7,9% 7,9% 7,9% 8,1% 8,1% 8,1%
Financial Cost 34.333.333 34.191.283 34.048.048 33.903.620 33.757.988 33.611.143 33.463.073 33.134.161 32.803.139 32.469.993 32.134.707 31.797.268
EBT 359.549.670 359.691.721 366.920.073 446.399.856 453.630.605 453.777.451 484.242.638 491.656.668 480.371.690 592.333.955 585.584.122 578.836.443
EBT margin % 6,9% 6,9% 6,9% 7,3% 7,3% 7,3% 7,4% 7,4% 7,4% 7,7% 7,7% 7,7%
Taxes 89.887.417 89.922.930 91.730.018 111.599.964 113.407.651 113.444.363 121.060.659 122.914.167 120.092.923 148.083.489 146.396.031 144.709.111
Net Profit 269.662.252 269.768.791 275.190.055 334.799.892 340.222.954 340.333.088 363.181.978 368.742.501 360.278.768 444.250.466 439.188.092 434.127.333
Net Profit margin % 5,2% 5,2% 5,2% 5,4% 5,5% 5,5% 5,5% 5,5% 5,5% 5,8% 5,8% 5,8%
Output - P&L Annually (USD $)
2 3 4 5 6
2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E
Revenue
Domestic pakage service 37.500.000.000 39.750.000.000 42.135.000.000 44.663.100.000 47.342.886.000
International pakage service 21.600.000.000 22.344.000.000 23.115.360.000 23.915.126.400 24.744.386.496
Freight 17.712.795.000 18.067.399.875 18.429.105.572 18.798.054.325 19.174.391.220
Operating Cost
Marketing 6.145.023.600 6.412.911.990 6.694.357.246 6.990.102.458 7.300.933.097
SG&A 6.145.023.600 6.412.911.990 6.694.357.246 6.990.102.458 7.300.933.097
Total Operating Cost 16.898.814.900 17.635.507.973 18.409.482.426 19.222.781.760 20.077.566.017
Fixed Assets 28.500.000.000 28.402.301.587 28.304.603.175 28.206.904.762 28.109.206.349 28.011.507.937 27.913.809.524 27.816.111.111 27.718.412.698 27.620.714.286 27.523.015.873 27.425.317.460 27.327.619.048
Total Assets 32.600.000.000 32.398.591.762 32.651.172.403 32.918.330.291 33.325.607.022 33.657.507.749 33.980.072.547 34.321.544.000 34.643.425.063 34.934.801.153 35.443.225.013 35.815.953.778 36.183.284.344
Equities
Social Capital 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000
Accumulated Earnings 269.662.252 539.431.043 814.621.098 1.149.420.990 1.489.643.944 1.829.977.032 2.193.159.010 2.561.901.511 2.922.180.279 3.366.430.745 3.805.618.837 4.239.746.169
Total Equities 25.280.000.000 25.549.662.252 25.819.431.043 26.094.621.098 26.429.420.990 26.769.643.944 27.109.977.032 27.473.159.010 27.841.901.511 28.202.180.279 28.646.430.745 29.085.618.837 29.519.746.169
Total Equities & Liabilities 32.600.000.000 32.398.591.762 32.651.172.403 32.918.330.291 33.325.607.022 33.657.507.749 33.980.072.547 34.321.544.000 34.643.425.063 34.934.801.153 35.443.225.013 35.815.953.778 36.183.284.344
Check Balanced - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Outputs- BS annually (USD $)
1 2 3 4 5
Initial 2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E
Assets
Current Assets
Cash 100.000.000 7.955.167.111 9.487.760.276 11.130.197.488 12.885.853.693 14.758.235.325
Account Receivable 2.500.000.000 600.332.124 626.837.279 654.692.440 683.971.802 714.753.797
Inventory 1.500.000.000 225.124.547 235.063.980 245.509.665 256.489.426 268.032.674
Other Current Assets - 75.041.516 78.354.660 81.836.555 85.496.475 89.344.225
Total Current Assets 4.100.000.000 8.855.665.297 10.428.016.195 12.112.236.148 13.911.811.397 15.830.366.020
Equities
Social Capital 25.280.000.000 25.280.000.000 25.433.625.590 25.593.948.390 25.761.307.321 25.936.059.882
Accumulated Earnings 4.239.746.169 8.641.867.888 13.218.890.615 17.984.694.194 22.954.011.384
Total Equities 25.280.000.000 29.519.746.169 34.075.493.478 38.812.839.005 43.746.001.515 48.890.071.267
Total Equities & Liabilities 32.600.000.000 36.183.284.344 40.056.724.091 44.060.680.836 48.205.205.820 52.500.854.521
Check Balanced - - - - - -
1 2 3 4 5
Initial 2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E
Check - - - - -
Valuation- DCF Analysis (USD $)
1 2 3 4 5
2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E Terminal Year
EBIT 6.052.642.648 6.223.937.844 6.404.286.087 6.598.875.880 6.808.471.632 6.944.641.065
NOPLAT 4.539.481.986 4.667.953.383 4.803.214.565 4.949.156.910 5.106.353.724 5.208.480.799
+ Depreciation 1.172.380.952 1.306.174.146 1.445.839.159 1.586.982.898 1.729.680.790 1.764.274.405
- Variation of working capital 2.887.437.727 (4.969.717) (5.222.843) (5.489.880) (5.771.624) (5.887.056)
- Capex Investment - (3.607.262.994) (3.765.575.951) (3.931.932.633) (4.106.774.867) (4.188.910.365)
Free Cash Flow of Firm 8.599.300.665 2.361.894.818 2.478.254.931 2.598.717.295 2.723.488.023 2.777.957.783
Terminal Value 42.737.812.050
Sensitivity Analysis
Equity Value Permanent Growth rate %
#### 7,0% 7,5% 8,0% 8,5% 9,0% 9,5% 10,0%
WACC 1,0% 42.414.176.097 39.038.596.676 36.142.498.725 33.630.012.477 31.429.235.362 29.485.182.831 27.755.088.904
1,5% 45.562.260.904 41.653.147.028 38.342.328.396 35.501.630.496 33.037.058.343 30.878.115.373 28.970.892.149
2,0% 49.339.962.673 44.743.070.170 40.908.796.345 37.661.189.750 34.874.570.321 32.456.772.254 30.338.670.800
2,5% 53.957.153.723 48.450.977.942 43.941.894.830 40.180.675.546 36.994.776.450 34.260.951.546 31.888.819.937
3,0% 59.728.642.536 52.982.865.218 47.581.613.013 43.158.249.668 39.468.350.267 36.342.696.884 33.660.418.952
3,5% 67.149.128.152 58.647.724.313 52.030.157.459 46.731.338.615 42.391.664.779 38.771.399.778 35.704.571.661
Ratio Analysis
1 2 3 4 5
2022 E 2023 E 2024 E 2025 E 2026 E
Liquidity
Current Ratio 1,05 1,05 1,05 1,05 1,05
Acid Test 1,50 1,50 1,50 1,50 1,50
CFO /Current liability 10,53 6,93 7,00 7,07 7,13
CFO / Revenue 0,11 0,07 0,07 0,07 0,07
Efficiency
Inventory turnover 89,05 348,39 348,25 348,11 347,98
AR turnover 49,55 130,64 130,59 130,54 130,49
AP turnover 72,66 119,51 119,48 119,46 119,43
Current Assets turnover 11,86 8,31 7,42 6,72 6,14
Total Assets turnover 2,23 2,10 1,99 1,89 1,81
Leverage
Debt Equity Ratio 19,9% 15,1% 11,3% 8,1% 5,5%
Interest Coverage Ratio 15,14 17,56 21,24 26,99 37,26
Profitability
Gross Margin 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4% 31,4%
EBIT Margin 7,9% 7,8% 7,7% 7,6% 7,5%
EBITDA Margin 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4% 9,4%
Net Income Margin 5,5% 5,5% 5,5% 5,5% 5,4%
ROA 11,7% 11,0% 10,4% 9,9% 9,5%
ROE 14,4% 12,9% 11,8% 10,9% 10,2%
ROIC 16,1% 15,3% 14,6% 14,0% 13,5%