CH 2 Luenberger
CH 2 Luenberger
CH 2 Luenberger
PV = x0 + + + + = ∑
x1 x2 xn n xj
1 + r (1 + r ) 2 (1 + r ) n j =0 (1 + r ) j
… .
FV = x0 (1 + r ) + x1 (1 + r ) n −1
+ … + xn = ∑ x j (1 + r ) n − j .
n
n
j =0
1
• Simple interest
¾ Under a simple interest rule, P dollars invested for n years at
a rate of r per year will accumulate interest of Pr every year.
¾ Then, the total value of the investment after n years is
F = P(1 + nr) .
¾ Note that the investment value grows linearly with time.
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¾ However, the effective interest rate per year is (1 + 0.08/4)4 −
1 = 0.0824, i.e., 8.24% .
¾ Generally, if the nominal interest rate is r per year and
interest is compounded at m equally spaced epochs per year,
then the effective interest rate per period is r/m and an
amount P invested for k periods grows to
F = P(1 + r/m)k .
¾ The effective interest rate per year, r’, is found by noting that
the future value of an amount P after one year is
P (1 + r ′) = P (1 + r / m ) m .
¾ Then,
r ′ = (1 + r / m) m − 1 .
• Continuous compounding
¾ If the compounding period length becomes very small, i.e.,
m → ∞, the effective interest rate per year is
r ′ = lim (1 + r / m) m − 1 = e r − 1 .
m →∞
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• Example: $1 invested at a nominal rate of 8%
year m=1 m=2 m=4 m = 12 m=∞
1 1.080 1.082 1.082 1.083 1.083
2 1.166 1.170 1.172 1.173 1.174
3 1.260 1.265 1.268 1.270 1.271
4 1.360 1.369 1.373 1.376 1.377
5 1.469 1.480 1.486 1.490 1.492
6 1.587 1.601 1.608 1.614 1.616
7 1.714 1.732 1.741 1.747 1.751
8 1.851 1.873 1.885 1.892 1.896
9 1.999 2.026 2.040 2.050 2.054
10 2.159 2.191 2.208 2.220 2.226
12
10
8
Fann( n)
Fsemi( n) 6
Fcont ( n)
4
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
n
4
¾ In this chapter, we assume that we have a constant ideal bank
situation. We relax this assumption later.
x0 + + + + = 0.
x1 x2 xn
1 + r (1 + r ) 2 (1 + r ) n
…
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¾ The IRR is an important measure especially that it has the
nice property of not depending on the prevailing external
market interest rate.
¾ One issue with the IRR is that equation (1) may have
multiple solutions. In this case, it becomes unclear which
solution is the true IRR of the cash flow stream at hand.
¾ Fortunately, for one of the most common forms of
investments, involving an initial payment followed by many
receipts1, (1) has a unique > 0 root which gives a true IRR.
¾ The following theorem proves this.
Furthermore if
k =0
k
f(0) = x0 < 0 and f(∞) = ∞. This implies that the equation f(c) = 0
has at least one positive root. It can also be seen that f(c) is strictly
increasing in c. This proves the first part of the theorem. To prove
1
This is called a “conventional” cash flow stream.
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the second part note that f (1) = x0 + x1 + … + xn = ∑ xk . This implies
n
k =0
∑x > 0 then f(1) > 0, and the unique root of f(c) is less
n
that if
k =0
k
• Evaluation criteria
¾ Several criteria are used in comparing cash flow streams.
¾ The objective of the comparison is selecting the stream which
is most desirable from an economic perspective.
¾ The two most important criteria are based on present value
and internal rate of return.
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• IRR criteria
¾ Under IRR criteria, alternatives are ranked based on their
internal rate of return (the larger the better).
¾ To be worthy of consideration a cash flow stream must have
an IRR greater than the interest rate (determined based on
the firm cost of capital).
• Discussion of criteria
¾ NPV and IRR criteria do not always give the same answer
especially if alternatives have different life spans.
¾ In certain situations, e.g., if cash flows occur in repetitive
cycles, then the two criteria can lead to similar conclusions.
¾ The advantages of NPV criteria are ease of computation and
“linearity” (meaning that the NPV of sum of cash flows
streams is equal to the sum of the streams NPVs).
¾ The main disadvantage of NPV criteria is that it requires the
estimation of an “external” interest rate based on cost of
capital which is not always easy to do.
¾ The main advantage of IRR criteria is that IRR depends only
on the cash flow stream under consideration (and not on
external factors such as the market interest rate).
¾ The main disadvantages of IRR criteria are difficulty of
computation and the ambiguity associated with several
possible roots of the IRR equation.
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• Which criteria to use?
¾ It is widely agreed that NPV is the best criterion (if applied
prudently).
¾ But NPV is not “the whole story.”
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• Inflation
¾ Inflation is characterized by an increase in general prices
with time. That is, purchasing power declines with time.
¾ Inflation can be quantified with an inflation rate f .
¾ $1 today has the same purchasing power as (1+f)n dollars n
years from now.
¾ That is, (1+f)n dollars n years from now are worth 1 constant
dollar or one real dollar today.
¾ If the real interest rate is r0, then the nominal market interest
rate, r, is such that 1 + r = (1+r0)(1+f), or equivalently,
r = r0 + f + r0f .
¾ The real interest rate can be concluded from the nominal rate,
r− f
r0 =
1+ f
.
∑⎜ ⎟ =
n −1
⎛ 1 ⎞ ⎝ 1+ r ⎠
PV = + +…+ =
j
A A A A A
1 + r (1 + r ) 2 (1 + r ) n 1 + r j =0 ⎝ 1 + r ⎠ 1 + r ⎛ 1 ⎞
1− ⎜ ⎟
⎝ 1+ r ⎠
⎡ (1 + r ) n − 1 ⎤ A ⎡ 1 ⎤
= A⎢ n ⎥
= ⎢1 − n ⎥
⎣ + ⎦ ⎣ + ⎦
.
r (1 r ) r (1 r )
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