Ess (Systems and Models)
Ess (Systems and Models)
STRENGTHS OF MODELS
Models allow scientists to simplify complex systems
and use them to predict what will happen if there are
changes to inputs, outputs, or storages.
Models allow inputs to be changed and outcomes
examined without having to wait a long time, as we
would have to if studying real events.
Models allow results to be shown to other scientists
and to the public, and are easier to understand than
detailed information about the whole system..
LIMITATIONS OF MODELS
• Environmental factors are very complex with many
interrelated components, and it may be impossible to take
all variables into account.
• Different models may show different effects using the
same data. For example, models used to predict the effect
of climate change can give very different results.
• Models themselves may be very complex and when they
are oversimplified they may become less accurate. For
example, there are many complex factors involved in
atmospheric systems.
• Because many assumptions have to be made about
these complex factors, models such as climate models
may not be accurate.
. The complexity and oversimplification of climate models,
for example, has led some people to criticize these
models.
• Different models use slightly different data to calculate
predictions.
• Any model is only as good as the data used. The data put
into the model may not be reliable.
• Models rely on the expertise of the people making them
and this can lead to impartiality.
• As models predict further into the future, they become
more uncertain.
• Different people may interpret models in different ways
and so come to different conclusions. People who would
gain from the results of the models may use them to their
advantage.
TYPES OF SYSTEMS.
Open system – exchanges both matter and energy with its
surroundings (e.g. ecosystem)
Closed system – exchanges energy but not matter with its surroundings. They
do not occur naturally on Earth. (e.g. nutrient cycles, Biosphere II – read about
it)
Abiotic elements
Autotrophs (plants/bacteria)
Primary consumers (herbivores)
Secondary consumers (omnivores)
Tertiary consumers (carnivores)
Organism numbers must have the necessary
resources in the ecosystem to maintain its
carrying capacity
TOPIC 1.3: ENERGY AND EQUILIBRIA.
SIGNIFICANT IDEAS.
Complexity and Equilibria.
Most systems are very complex. This increases stability and allows
the system to withstand stress and change better than a simple one.