PMP Revision GKK - 2 - 3 - Oct 2021
PMP Revision GKK - 2 - 3 - Oct 2021
PMP Revision GKK - 2 - 3 - Oct 2021
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DEFINITION
Variable Cost cost that is dynamic with the amount of production or work
Direct Cost (related to the project in question), e.g. salaries, allowances, travel costs
Indirect or Overhead Cost (not only related to the project in question), e.g. taxes, utility costs
Fixed Cost cost that is static with production or work
Direct Cost (related to the project in question), e.g. setting up costs, training costs
Indirect or Overhead Cost (not only related to the project in question), e.g. rentals, security, insurance,
operating permits
Sunk Cost – written-off cost which can never be recovered or considered in a revived project’s budget
(Rough) Order of Magnitude Estimate in the range of -25 to +75% of actual, usually made during
Initiating; Budget(ary) Estimate in the range of -10 to +25% of actual, usually made during early and mid
Planning; and Definitive Estimate in the range of -5 to +10% of actual, usually made during later in
Planning and is based on detailed information
Net Working Capital = Current Assets − Current Liabilities (indicating an organization’s financial health)
Economic Value Added is value produced by the project above the costs of financing the project
Opportunity Cost is the cost of the opportunity one would obtain for an opportunity while neglecting all
other opportunities – adding all the other neglected opportunities is the opportunity cost
Law of Diminishing Returns – in the real world, doing double effort does not mean halving the time taken to
accomplish an activity due to overhead loss or inefficiency
Depreciation is a decrease in the value of an asset over time
1. Straight line depreciation
2. Accelerated depreciation - depreciates much faster than straight line depreciation, e.g. Sum of Years'
Digits, and Double Declining Balances
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7.1 PLAN COST MANAGEMENT
Cost Management Plan describes how costs will be estimated, budgeted, managed, monitored, and
controlled
Normally, the project financial performance analysis is performed outside the project, or before getting
the project go-ahead (before issuance of the project charter)
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7.2 ESTIMATE COSTS
Estimating the amount of monetary resources needed to compete the project activities - resources for cost
estimating are Human Resources, Materials, Equipment, Facilities, Services, Misc., etc., and when estimating
costs, cost trade-offs and cost-related risks must also be considered
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RESERVE ANALYSIS USING MONTE CARLO
SIMULATION & TORNADO DIAGRAM
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UNDERSTANDING COST RESERVE ANALYSIS
We have understood that we can utilize any of these tools and techniques to produce the cost reserve:
1. Quantitative Cost Risk Analysis (basing on probability of occurrence and cost impact) – this analysis is
mentioned in the 11.4 Quantitative Risk Analysis section
2. Three Point Estimating (uses optimistic best case, most likely and pessimistic worst case costs for use in
Triangular or PERT distribution calculation)
3. Monte Carlo Simulation (simulating many possible and random cost durations bounded by optimistic best
case, most likely and pessimistic worst case costs to find the project cost probability distribution
The cost reserve calculation can either be obtained from [1] when optimistic best case and pessimistic worst case
are not known, [2] for better reserve analysis, or [3] for the best reserve analysis
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7.3 DETERMINE BUDGET
Aggregating the costs estimated at every activity or work packages, and are then added with the
summation of the activities’ contingency reserves to become the project cost baseline
The project budget is the project cost baseline (from the summation of work package costs and
contingency reserves) provided that the management reserve is not included
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COST BASELINE & PROJECT BUDGETING
Management
Reserve (when
expected to be utilized Read this way
for unknown-unknown
risks
(Multiple)
Contingency
PROJECT Control Activity
Reserve (for
BUDGET Accounts Contingency
known risks)
(this is known Reserve
Cost Baseline as the Project
Budget if Sum of Activities
Management (Multiple)
or Work
Reserve is Activity Cost
Package Cost
excluded) Estimates
Estimates
EARNED VALUE
CHART
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EARNED VALUE MANAGEMENT FORMULAE
Description of Measurement Description Acronym Formula
What is the performance index for schedule now? Schedule Performance Index SPI EV/PV
What is the performance index for cost now? Cost Performance Index CPI EV/AC
What do we now expect the project duration to be at completion? Schedule At Completion SAC (Planned Project Duration)/SPI
What was the total job supposed to cost at completion? Budget At Completion BAC
What do we now expect the remaining cost to be until completion? Estimate To Complete ETC EAC-AC
What do we now expect the cost variance to be at completion? Variance At Completion VAC BAC-EAC
Remaining Work/Remaining
What do we now expect the cost performance index to be until To Complete Performance TCPI Funds: (BAC-EV)/(BAC-AC) or
completion to ensure meeting the cost performance baseline? Index (BAC-EV)/(EAC-AC) when
AC>BAC} 12
7.4 CONTROL COSTS
Causes to inflated expenditures need to be detected promptly and through cost variance analysis – by
comparing the actual expenditures against the planned cost expenditures in the cost performance baseline
or S-cost curve)
Variations need to be kept to a minimum, with an approved cost variation tolerance band called control
thresholds in the cost management plan
Supposing at Day 5, the engineer on-site announces 7kms had been assembled and the cost accountant says that it
costs $800,000 to perform the work of the engineer
1. PV@Day5 = 5 days x 1km/day x $100K/km = $500K
2. EV@Day5 = 7kms x $100K/km = $700K
3. AC@Day5 = $800K
4. Therefore, SV@Day5 = EV@Day5 - PV@Day5 = $700K - $500K = $200K (worth of work ahead of schedule), and
SPI@Day5 = EV@Day5 / PV@Day5 = 1.4 (the schedule is ahead by 40%)
5. CV@Day5 = EV@Day5 - AC@Day5 = $700K - $800K = -$100K (more spending for the work done) , and CPI@Day5 =
EV@Day5 / AC@Day5 = 0.875 (overspending by 12.5%)
6. If the SPI and CPI are maintained throughout the project until project completion, it is expected that the SAC =
280days/SPI = 200 days, and EAC = $28million/CPI = $32 million
7. Because the project had overspent in the 5 days, it has to “catch up” to ensure that the planned value PV is
maintained until project completion → future CPI value must be TCPI = Remaining Work/Remaining Funds where
(BAC-EV) / (BAC-AC) = ($28million - $700K) / ($28million - $800K) = 1.0037
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EARNED VALUE CHART
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QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS EXAMPLE
A project manager is assigned to a project to build a massive data center complex in a secured
industrial park. The part the manager is involved in is worth $2.6 million. The project plan
requires work to be done to install and setup the server hardware and networking equipment,
test and validate the performance, and install building access security.
A vendor has informed that several key servers may be late to arrive, causing a delay that has
to be overcome by accelerating the installation and testing works. It is predicted that there is a
80% chance the servers will be late by 30 days. To bring the work up to speed will require an
additional cost of $320,000 in overtime payments and other expedition costs. Also, a new
security feature costing $100,000 is included in the security system that can lower the
unauthorized assess risk to the building to 2% where the security breach can cost a goodwill
damage of $500,000.
A bonus worth $50,000 will be awarded when the project can be delivered on time and on
specification,. The project manager estimates a 50% chance of getting the bonus should the
delays be resolved by then.
What is the expected project cost, the best case and its worst-case costs?
Note: Expected Monetary Value (EMV) is positive for opportunities and negative for threats, and the
new Project Cost = project cost – (ΣEMV)
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MODULE 8 QUALITY
MANAGEMENT
8.1 Plan Quality Management 8.2 Manage Quality 8.3 Control Quality
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DEFINITION
Internal failures are found in the project, and external failures are found by the customer
Marginal Analysis shows that there is an optimal quality cost for projects, where investing in additional
prevention/appraisal costs is neither beneficial nor effective
Prevention – Avoiding quality non-conformance (quality assurance)
Inspection – Appraising if quality is being met (purposely seeking non-compliance)
Attribute Sampling – Numerical count of conformance or non-conformance in a sample (countable non-
conformance like number of faulty light bulbs)
Variables Sampling – Continuous-scale measurement of a certain measure in a sample (like appraising
the actual volume of liquids, weights, lengths to target KPIs)
Customer Satisfaction – project customer is satisfied when the project
deliverables or results conform to their quality expectations and
needs
Prevention Over Inspection – when quality is built into or having good
quality assurance, there should be little reason for non-conformance
to happen!
Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) - an iterative four-step management
method for the control and continual improvement of processes and
products; also known as the Shewhart-Deming cycle
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8.1 PLAN QUALITY MANAGEMENT
Quality planning is conducted simultaneously with other project planning processes and it determines
which quality standard to comply, how compliance is satisfied, and accommodate the performing
organization’s quality policy and project customer quality validation format
According to Deming and Juran, most of the quality problems that exist are due to a defect or failure in
processes that are controlled by the quality policy defined according to the performing organization’s top
management and their lack of leadership in this area
Deming supports the practice of ceasing mass inspections and ending awards based on price
SCATTER DIAGRAM
(OR SCATTER PLOT)
Used to determine
the relationship
Variable A
CAUSE
& EFFECT
Variable B
DIAGRAM
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8.3 CONTROL QUALITY
Controlling quality is a reactive initiative, that is to identify, recommend, correct, repair, or fix non-
conformance after the non-conformance has been detected through stakeholder inspection or complaints
It requires project deliverables to be verified (for completeness, compliance, and fitness for use) by the
project team to meet stakeholders’ requirements, and for final acceptance
Control Quality process is performed throughout the project life cycle, but more intensely during
Monitoring and Controlling phase
In agile projects, the Control Quality activities may be performed by all team members throughout the
project life cycle but in waterfall model-based projects, the quality control activities are performed at
specific times, toward the end of the project or phase, by specified team members
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SEVEN BASIC QUALITY TOOLS
1. Cause-And-Effect Diagram (a.k.a. Ishikawa diagram or fishbone diagram) shows the causes
relating to an anticipated or observed effect
2. Flowcharts
3. Checksheet organizes facts to reveal certain traits or patterns
4. Pareto Diagram is a ranked frequency histogram detailing the attributes or causes of non-
compliance/defects (also known as 80/20 rule where 80% of defects are contributed by a lesser
few 20%)
5. Histogram is a bar chart which shows statistical distributions from the frequency of occurrence
6. Control Chart plots process variations bounded by two sets of limits
7. Scatter Diagram (a.k.a. Scatterplot) shows if there is any relationship or correlation between two
factors or variables
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CHECKSHEET & PARETO DIAGRAM
PARETO DIAGRAM
• Ranks defects in order of frequency of occurrence to
depict 100% of the defects (displayed as a histogram)
• Defects with most frequent occurrence should be
targeted for corrective action.
• 80-20 rule: 80% of problems are found in 20% of the
work.
• It does not account for severity of the defects
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Unusual behavior - Rule of Seven:
CONTROL CHART out of control (outliers) here is known as a “run”
RUN CHART
Apart from the normally understood out-of-control points
or outliers, we use the rule of seven data points in a row
and this is also called a Run: A series of consecutive
points on the same side of the average and is considered
abnormal if 7 consecutive points data points are above
or below the process mean because of suspicious non-
randomness and requires investigation
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ORGANIZATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROJECT
AGILITY
Organizational process assets (OPAs) and enterprise environmental factors (EEFs) can influence both the
direction and the outcome of any project
Organizational change management covers the skills and techniques for influencing changes that
support agility
Two key factors that motivate the use of change management in an agile context are:
1. Changes associated with accelerated delivery: early and often - unfortunately, the customer organization
many not be ready to accept the delivery at this increased pace and this requires alignment between
customer acceptance and project outputs pace
2. Changes associated with agile approaches – organizations just beginning to embrace agile approaches see
high degrees of change, thus requiring transitioning to more frequent hand-offs between teams, departments,
or vendors
Barriers to change happen when work is decomposed into departmental silos instead of building cross-
functional collaboration, short-term pricing strategies instead of long-term, failing to look at the big
picture delivery, lack of incentives to hone and diversify skills, and overwhelming many projects at once
When details of a deliverable are not sufficiently known, a planning package should be used, where
the details of the deliverables defined within planning packages can be considered known unknowns,
or risks
TRENDS AND EMERGING PRACTICES
Resource management methods - due to the scarce nature of critical resources, concepts in lean
management, just-in-time (JIT), Kaizen, total productive maintenance (TPM), theory of constraints (TOC),
and other methods are used
Emotional intelligence (EI) - the project manager should invest in personal EI by improving inbound (e.g.
self-management and self-awareness) and outbound (e.g. relationship management) competencies
Self-organizing teams - the increase in using agile approaches requires team functions to operate
without centralized control, and the project manager provides the environment and support needed and
trusts the team to get the job done. The team continuously adapt to the changing environment and
embrace constructive feedback
Virtual teams/distributed teams – the globalization of projects has need for virtual teams and they are not
co-located at the same site. The availability of communication technology has made virtual teams
feasible. The challenges of managing virtual teams are mainly in the communication domain, including a
possible feeling of isolation, gaps in sharing knowledge and experience between team members, and
difficulties in tracking progress and productivity, possible time zone difference and cultural differences
Parkinson's law states that “work expands so as to fill the time available for its completion”
If something must be done in a year, it will be done in a year ; if something must be done tomorrow, it
will be done tomorrow
Student syndrome refers to planned procrastination
A student will only start to apply themselves to an assignment at the last possible moment before its
deadline, and this eliminates any potential safety margins and puts the person under stress and
pressure
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ORGANIZATIONAL CULTURE
Every project has its own aspirations complete with culture and
requirements of where emphasis is placed within the business
environment
Awareness of the organizational priorities must be communicated, and
priorities are recorded between two extremes like:
Exploration - Execution
Speed - Stability
Quantity - Quality, and
Flexibility – Predictability
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FORMS OF POWER
The ability of one person to influence the behavior of another
1. Positional also called formal, authoritative, legitimate (e.g. formal position granted in the
organization or team)
2. Informational (e.g. control of gathering or distribution)
3. Referent (e.g. respect or admiration others hold for the individual, credibility gained)
4. Situational (e.g. gained due to unique situation such as a specific crisis)
5. Personal or charismatic (e.g. charm, attraction)
6. Relational - preferable power (e.g. participates in networking, connections, and alliances)
7. Expert – preferable power (e.g. skill, information possessed; experience, training, education,
certification)
8. Reward-oriented – preferable power (e.g. ability to give praise, monetary or other desired
items)
9. Punitive or coercive – least preferable power (e.g. ability to invoke discipline or negative
consequences)
10. Ingratiating (e.g. application of flattery or other common ground to win favor or cooperation)
11. Pressure-based (e.g. limit freedom of choice or movement for the purpose of gaining compliance
to desired action)
12. Guilt-based (e.g. imposition of obligation or sense of duty)
13. Persuasive (e.g. ability to provide arguments that move people to a desired course of action)
14. Avoiding (e.g. refusing to participate)
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LEADERSHIP STYLES
Many ways of leading the team depending on the leader, team member, organization and
environmental characteristics, such as:
1. Laissez-faire (e.g. allowing the team to make their own decisions and establish their own
goals, also referred to as taking a hands-off style)
2. Transactional - most typically used (e.g. focus on goals, feedback, and accomplishment to
determine rewards; management by exception)
3. Servant leader (e.g. demonstrates commitment to serve and put other people first by
focussing on other people’s growth, learning, development, autonomy, and well-being;
concentrates on relationships, community and collaboration; leadership is secondary and
emerges after service)
4. Transformational (e.g. empowering followers through idealized attributes and behaviors,
inspirational motivation, encouragement for innovation and creativity, and individual
consideration)
5. Charismatic (e.g. able to inspire; is high-energy, enthusiastic, self-confident; holds strong
convictions)
6. Interactional – most preferred (e.g. a combination of transactional, transformational, and
charismatic)
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HERSEY AND BLANCHARD SITUATIONAL
LEADERSHIP STYLES & BRUCE TUCKMAN TEAM
DEVELOPMENT PHASES
Hersey and Blanchard characterized leadership
styles into four behavior types, which they
named S1 to S4:
S1: Directing (or Telling) - is characterized by one-
Encouraging Steering way communication in which the leader defines the
roles of the individual or group and provides the
what, how, why, when and where to do the task
S2: Coaching (or Selling) - while the leader is still
providing the direction, he/she is now using two-way
communication and providing the socio-emotional
support that will allow the individual or group being
influenced to buy into the process and build
teamwork
Entrusting Tasking S3: Supporting (or Participating) - this is how shared
Low Directive High Directive decision making about aspects of how the task is
and Low Supportive and Low Supportive accomplished and the leader is providing less task
Behavior Behavior
behaviors while maintaining high relationship
behavior
S4: Delegating - the leader is still involved in
decisions; however, the process and responsibility has
been passed to the individual or group. The leader
stays involved to monitor progress
Adjourning Performing Norming Storming Forming
Effective leaders need to be flexible, and must
adapt themselves according to the situation
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CONFLICT RESOLUTION TECHNIQUES
1. Collaborate/ Work together and diffuse head-on conflicts, or find solutions to the root cause
Problem Solve of the conflict. Most preferable technique because of its “win-win” approach.
Focusing on what has been agreed upon rather than the differences of
4. Smooth/ opinion, in order to minimize disagreements by making differences seem less
Accommodate important. May involve willing to give up someone’s interest to the needs of
others to achieve harmony. Does not provide a solution to the conflict.
Level 5: Self-actualization
Level 4: Self-esteem, recognition
Level 3: Socialization, acceptance, love
Level 2: Security and safety
Level 1: Food, shelter and clothing
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THEORIES OF MOTIVATION Contingency Theory
There is “no one best way to manage people” – it is all too
dependent on the person himself and the situation the
person is in
Frederick Herzberg's Motivation-Hygiene Theory
Consists of satisfiers (motivators) and the
dissatisfiers (hygiene factors) using the term hygiene Vroom’s Expectancy Theory
in the sense that they are considered maintenance Creating an expectancy in a person, the expectancy may
factors that are necessary to avoid dissatisfaction indeed become a fact through motivating by altering the
person's effort-to-performance expectancy, performance-
If individuals are satisfied, they can thus be
to-reward expectancy, and the reward valence (the value
motivated because it is the job content or job
an individual places on the rewards of an outcome)
passion that motivates individuals
These are Hygiene Factors These will make McGregor's Theory X and Theory Y
or “must haves”, otherwise people more Theory X says that people inherently dislike work, prefer to
people will be dissatisfied satisfied be directed, and that they must be coerced or controlled to
do work to achieve objectives
Theory Y says that people view work as being as natural as
play and rest, and they will exercise self-direction and
control towards achieving objectives they are committed to,
and they learn to accept and seek responsibility
Theory Z
The belief that management's high levels of trust,
confidence and commitment to workers leads to high levels
of motivation and productivity on the part of workers
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THEORIES OF MOTIVATION
McClelland's Three Needs Theory (also known as Achievement Motivation Theory) proposed that an
individual’s specific needs are acquired over time and are shaped by one’s life experiences
A person’s motivation and effectiveness in certain role functions are influenced by three needs
1. Achievement need - people with a high need for achievement loves to seek challenges to achieve
and excel
2. Affiliation need - the need to feel accepted by other people, living and working harmoniously, and
delights in personal interactions
3. Power need - a person's need for power can be one of two types - personal and institutional
Those who need personal power want to direct others
Persons who need institutional power (also known as social power) want to organize the efforts of
others to further the goals of the organization
Managers with a high need for institutional power tend to be more effective than those with a high
need for personal power
McClelland says that people with different needs are motivated differently
High need for achievement (Ach) - high achievers should be given challenging projects with
reachable goals
High need for affiliation (Aff) - employees with a high affiliation need perform best in a cooperative
environment
High need for power (Pow) - management should provide power seekers the opportunity to manage
others
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9.1 PLAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
Project resources include team members, supplies, materials, equipment, services and facilities - physical
resources are acquired from the performing organization’s internal assets or procured from outside, and
team resources are recruited into project roles, developing the team and administering their competency
development
Resource availability and the country’s governing laws need to be considered – planning for the team
resources is done by the project manager and the human resource manager
Collective action refers to action taken together by a group of people whose goal is to enhance their
status and achieve a common objective, and it is enacted by a representative of the group
Produce technical
R R I C I A
specifications
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9.2 ESTIMATE ACTIVITY RESOURCES
This process estimates the team resources, and the type and quantities of materials, equipment, and
supplies necessary to perform project work
This process is closely coordinated with other processes such as the 7.2 Estimate Costs process
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9.3 ACQUIRE RESOURCES
This process obtains team members, facilities, equipment, materials, supplies, and other resources
necessary to complete project work, and this can happen anytime throughout the project
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9.4 DEVELOP TEAM
Developing the team (including the project manager) to have high team performance throughout the
project life cycle - the cost of developing the team comes from the project budget
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9.5 MANAGE TEAM
Managing team members performance, optimizing performance, observing behavior, manages conflicts,
and resolves issues
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9.6 CONTROL RESOURCES
Controlling physical resources assignments and allocation as per plan, monitoring the planned and actual
utilization of resources, taking actions
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MODULE 10 COMMUNICATIONS
MANAGEMENT
10.1 Plan Communications 10.2 Manage Communications 10.3 Monitor Communications
Management
• Inputs • Inputs • Inputs
• Project Charter • Project Management Plan • Project Management Plan
• Project Management Plan • Project Documents • Project Documents
• Project Documents • Work Performance Reports • Work Performance Data
• Enterprise Environmental Factors • Enterprise Environmental Factors • Enterprise Environmental Factors
• Organizational Process Assets • Organizational Process Assets • Organizational Process Assets
• Tools & Techniques • Tools & Techniques • Tools & Techniques
• Expert Judgment • Communication Technology • Expert Judgment
• Communication Requirements • Communication Methods • Project Management Information
Analysis • Communication Skills System
• Communication Technology • Project Management Information • Data Representation
• Communication Models System • Interpersonal and Team Skills
• Communication Methods • Project Reporting • Meetings
• Interpersonal and Team Skills • Interpersonal And Team Skills • Outputs
• Data Representation • Meetings • Work Performance Information
• Meetings • Outputs • Change Requests
• Outputs • Project Communications • Project Management Plan
• Communications Management • Project Management Plan Updates
Plan Updates • Project Documents Updates
• Project Management Plan • Project Documents Updates
Updates • Organizational Process Assets
• Project Documents Updates Updates
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MODULE 10: COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT
Internal External
In-project communication needs Press release, media statement
Vertical Horizontal
Superiors and subordinates Peers
Formal
Informal
Reports, briefings, presentations,
Sketches, paper notes, casual discussions, company and personal emails
newsletters, company letters
Communication Methods
Between two or more parties performing a multidirectional exchange of information
Interactive
in real time. It employs communications artifacts such as meetings, phone calls, instant
Communication
messaging, some forms of social media, and videoconferencing.
Sent or distributed directly to specific recipients who need to receive the information.
This ensures that the information is distributed but does not ensure that it actually
Push Communication
reached or was understood by the intended audience. Push communications artifacts
include letters, memos, reports, emails, faxes, voice mails, blogs, and press releases.
Used for large complex information sets, or for large audiences, and requires the
recipients to access content at their own discretion subject to security procedures.
Pull Communication
These methods include web portals, intranet sites, e-learning, lessons learned
databases, or knowledge repositories.
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Steps For Effective Communication
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10.1 PLAN COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT
This process is about finding out the kinds of information and other communication needs of the project
stakeholders – who needs it, when should the information be released, what information to release, who
prepares the information, how is the information released
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10.2 MANAGE COMMUNICATIONS
This process ensures relevant and timely distribution to the right project stakeholders and allows them to
participate for further information requests, making clarifications, and engage in discussions
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10.3 MONITOR COMMUNICATIONS
This process ensures the information needs of the project and its stakeholders are met, making sure the key
benefit of this process is the optimal information flow
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MODULE 11 RISK
11.3 Perform 11.4 Perform
MANAGEMENT
11.1 Plan Risk 11.2 Identify Risks Qualitative Risk Quantitative Risk 11.5 Plan Risk 11.6 Implement 11.7 Monitor Risks
Management Analysis Analysis Responses Risk Responses
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DEFINITIONS
Risk Management is an on-going activity throughout the life cycle and its purpose is to
identify risks, assess the risks ranked in order of probability and impact, determine the
risk threshold, and develop risk responses to these risks – in order to maximize
opportunities and minimize threats
Risk Threshold is the level of a specific risk a stakeholder is willing to take; below the
risk threshold risk is accepted, but above it risk is not accepted (e.g. we can accept
some shipment delay but no more than 4 days)
Risk Trigger is the point when the risk happens (e.g. hitting 4 days)
Risk Factors are determined by the risk event’s probability (or frequency) of occurrence
and impact (or consequence)
Risk Conditions like project and business environment which poses risks to the project
(e.g. recession, flood, high staff turnover, etc.)
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11.1 PLAN RISK MANAGEMENT
A risk management plan is required to document the requirements and objectives of risk management
such as the risk tolerances of the project stakeholders, including managing of “new” risks and removal of
“old” risks during the course of the project life cycle, making ad-hoc risk response decisions; identifying,
analyzing the risks and planning for risk responses
As the project progresses, the overall project risk reduces when remaining unknowns are translated to
knowns - unknowns are eventually zero when the project has been successfully completed
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11.2 IDENTIFY RISKS
Project stakeholders are involved to provide risk information inputs and their risk tolerances during
identifying risks
Identify risks individually as well as overall project risk is an iterative process or on-going throughout the
project life cycle because new risks may emerge anytime in the project, and earlier identified risks may
disappear or at a level of different risk intensity
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11.3 PERFORM QUALITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS
A rapid, cost-effective and subjective analysis of ranking and prioritizing risks (may use narratives,
scoring, weightages, guessimates)
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11.5 PLAN RISK RESPONSES
Responding to risks to increase opportunities and reduce threats to the project
Often used with a modifier (e.g. management reserve, contingency reserve) to provide details on what
types of risk are meant to be mitigated; the funds and resources will be reduced and adjusted over time
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DEFINITIONS
Risk Categories
Grouping risks by common root causes can help us to develop effective risk
responses like technical, external, organizational, environmental, business, etc.
Helps to determine the areas of the project most exposed to the effects of
uncertainty
Risk Responsibilities
Project Manager is fully responsible to initiate, integrate and lead risk
management across all knowledge areas and processes
Functional Manager manages functional risks affected by, or affecting the project
Project Team requires a working knowledge of risk management tools and
techniques, and be the “ears and eyes” for the project manager
Risk Types
Unknown unknowns (unplanned) - having no information about the risk; cannot be
proactively planned to respond as it has to be a reactive response called a
workaround and is financed by the management reserve
Known unknowns - having partial information about the risk and known knowns -
having complete information about the risk; these risks are proactively planned
are financed by the contingency reserve
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RESIDUAL, SECONDARY RISKS AND RISK
RESPONSE STRATEGIES
Residual risk is the leftover/minor risks that remain after a risk response
Secondary risk is a risk arising as a direct outcome of implementing a risk response
A workaround is an unplanned risk response (does not appear in the risk response plan) but only be
determined and executed when an unknown-unknown risk happens
Strategies For Negative Risks Or Threats
1. Escalate when the threat is outside the scope of the project, or the proposed response would exceed
the project manager’s authority and is no further monitored by the team
2. Avoid or eliminate the adverse risk (or cause), or taking an alternative course of action; usually this is
considered during initiating or planning where the level of influence is high and the cost of change is
low, otherwise reducing the impact of a risk event by reducing the possibility of its occurrence
3. Transfer or deflect the risk and risk ownership to a third party; e.g. contracting, retention, warranties,
guarantees, bonds and insurance
4. Mitigate the risk's probability and impact to an acceptable threshold (e.g. prototyping, simulating
and modeling)
5. Accept the consequence of a risk occurring, perhaps because it is not cost-effective to respond -
active risk acceptance is to execute alternatives or fallback (contingency) plan; and passive risk
acceptance is to accept the risk and do nothing
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RESIDUAL, SECONDARY RISKS AND RISK
RESPONSE STRATEGIES
Strategies For Positive Risks Or Opportunities
1. Escalate when the opportunity is outside the scope of the project, or the proposed response would
exceed the project manager’s authority and is no further monitored by the team
2. Exploit or pursue the opportunity
3. Enhance an existing opportunity
4. Share the opportunity with strategic partners (e.g. joint-ventures, alliances and partnerships) to
increase the value of collaboration energies instead of doing it on its own
5. Accept the opportunity as it comes along (not actively pursuing it)
Strategies For Overall Project Risk
Avoid, Exploit, Transfer/share, Mitigate/enhance, and Accept
Contingent Response Strategies
These are developed in advance and designed to be used only under predefined conditions if there is
advanced and sufficient warning to implement this plan (such as missed milestones, missed deliverables, etc.)
e.g. if you are having an outdoor barbeque and it seems it is going to rain, move the cooking under a
shelter and have guests moved inside the house
Note: Can be a contingency plan (or alternative backup plan), or a fallback plan (return to previous
workable solution) developed in advance of a risk event occurring and is designed to be used when the
primary risk response proves not to be effective
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11.6 IMPLEMENT RISK RESPONSES
This is process of implementing the risk response plans when the risks are triggered
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11.7 MONITOR RISKS
This is a continuing process of tracking new risks and those on the watch list, reanalyzing existing risks,
monitoring threshold trigger conditions for risk responses and contingency plans, monitoring residual (or
secondary) risks, reviewing the execution of risk responses, and monitoring contingency reserve
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MODULE 12 PROCUREMENT MANAGEMENT
12.1 Plan Procurement 12.2 Conduct Procurements 12.3 Control Procurements
Management
• Inputs • Inputs • Inputs
• Project Charter • Procurement Management Plan • Project Management Plan
• Business Documents • Procurement Documents • Project Documents
• Project Management Plan • Procurement Documentation • Agreements
• Project Documents • Seller Proposals • Procurement Documentation
• Enterprise Environmental Factors • Enterprise Environmental Factors • Approved Change Requests
• Organizational Process Assets • Organizational Process Assets • Work Performance Data
• Tools & Techniques • Tools & Techniques • Enterprise Environmental Factors
• Expert Judgment • Expert Judgment • Organizational Process Assets
• Data Gathering • Advertising • Tools & Techniques
• Data Analysis • Bidder Conferences • Expert Judgment
• Source Selection Analysis • Data Analysis • Claims Administration
• Meetings • Interpersonal and Team Skills • Data Analysis
• Outputs • Outputs • Inspection
• Procurement Management Plan • Selected Sellers • Audits
• Procurement Strategy • Agreements • Outputs
• Bid Documents • Change Requests • Closed Procurements
• Procurement Statement of Work • Project Management Plan • Work Performance Information
• Source Selection Criteria Updates • Procurement Documentation
• Make-or-Buy Decisions • Project Documents Updates Updates
• Independent Cost Estimates • Organizational Process Assets • Change Requests
• Change Requests Updates • Project Management Plan
• Project Documents Updates Updates
• Organizational Process Assets • Project Documents Updates
Updates • Organizational Process Assets
Updates
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Project Procurement Management covers the essentials of procurement decisions, contract administration
and closure principles
Procurement is buying resources from outside the project organization for use in the project to produce
the required deliverables, results, products or services
The term Buyer is used to refer to the party buying things from a Seller who provides them
A contract is in place if there is an offer and acceptance - a bilateral contract has both the Buyer and
Seller sign-offs; whereas a unilateral contract is for a unit price purchase by the Buyer is also known as
a purchase order for a straight-forward procurement
Constructive changes are unauthorized contract changes that are performed but are not from a change
document going through the CCB to have the CCB approval - they are frequent cause of disputes and
claim
A Buyer/Seller share ratio means (Buyer’s commitment)/(Seller’s commitment), e.g. 20/80 ratio means
20% buyer–80% seller (BSR = 0.2)
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PROCUREMENT AND CONTRACTS
A collaborative win-win approach is required in procurements and contracts
Emphasizing multi-tiered structure in contracting relationships using several agreements
rather than lumped into one agreement
Promote value-driven deliverables instead of phase gates and milestones
Scope according to fixed-priced micro-deliverables (i.e., as per user stories) presented
in fixed-price increments
Limit the overall budget to a fixed amount, so that any new inclusions to the scope will
be a decision of replacing original work with new work
Implement a shared financial risk approach whereby the seller will be rewarded for
early delivery, or penalized for lateness
Provide an exit clause whereby the customer can exercise control over contractual
obligations to the seller or agile supplier
The customer may adjust or vary the project scope, or adjust features to fit the capacity
Embedding the agile supplier’s services directly into the customer’s organization
Favoring full-service agile suppliers that provide wholesome full value, rather than
piecemeal work
12.1 PLAN PROCUREMENT MANAGEMENT
Making procurement decisions: finding out what to buy, what to make (make-or-buy), from whom, when
and how
The types of contract to enter in must be appropriate to the kind of purchases to be made and need to
be favorable to the buyer although we aim to achieve a win-win resolution
Ignorance of purchasing law is not an excuse to exempt from legal implications – the project manager is
to provide purchasing advice to the procurement office to execute the procurement
Procurement office will dominate the procurement process in compliance to the project organization
process assets – who signs off the procurement documents is the person who can make amendments
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PROCUREMENT DOCUMENTS
Procurement Management Plan
• The document that describes how procurement processes from developing procurement documentation
through contract closure will be managed.
• Contains information on what to make or buy, the pre-qualified vendor list, make an independent
estimate of expected project costs, develop the seller’s screening, seller’s evaluation criteria and
weighting system, the types of contracts to use, and how the procurement will be executed
Procurement Strategy (e.g. delivery methods, contract payment types, and procurement phases)
• Fixed-price contracts are suitable when work is predictable and its requirements are well defined and
not likely to change; cost-plus contracts are suitable when work is evolving, likely to change, or not well
defined; time and material contracts are suitable when the work is uncertain, amounting in time for
effort and material to use
Bid Documents (e.g. request for information, request for quotation, and request for proposal when there is
a problem in the project and the solution is not easy to determine)
Procurement Statements Of Work
• Is derived from the WBS whose work or procurement item requires to be fulfilled by sellers, including
performance criteria required of sellers
• The procurement statement of work must be clear, complete and as concise as possible and it should
also describe the work and activities that the seller is required to complete, including meetings, reports
and communications
The procurement documentation consists of bid documents, procurement statement of work, independent
cost estimates, and source selection criteria
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CONTRACT TYPES
Fixed-Price (or Lump-Sum) Contracts
Fixed-price contracts are suitable when work is predictable and its requirements are well defined and not
likely to change
FFP Firm Fixed Price (most commonly used, FPEPA Fixed Price Economic Price Adjustment
a.k.a. lump sum: least buyer risk, highest seller contract allows for price adjustment based on
risk) some predetermined price index if the contract is
Seller sells item at $100K and buyer accepts and for many years, affected by inflation/deflation,
pays $100K or susceptible to volatile prices
If the item gets more expensive, the seller must Seller sells item at $100K and buyer accepts and
keep his promise to sell at $100K pays $100K
If the item gets more expensive, the seller must
FPIF Fixed Price Incentive Fee given for fixed keep his promise to sell at $100K
price contracts as a way to motivate the seller to However, if the item gets more expensive over a
meet or exceed the predetermined project cost, certain price, the seller can negotiate with the
schedule or technical performance metrics buyer for a new selling price
Seller sells item at $100K and buyer accepts and
pays $100K with an additional incentive fee if the
seller can meet some predetermined conditions
If the item gets more expensive, the seller must
keep his promise to sell at $100K, and the
incentive fee offer is still valid
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CONTRACT TYPES
Cost-Plus also known as Cost-Reimbursable Contracts
Payment (reimbursement) to the seller for seller's actual costs, plus a fee typically representing seller profit
Cost-plus contracts are suitable when work is evolving, likely to change, or not well defined
CPFF Cost Plus Fixed Fee is commonly used CPIF Cost Plus Incentive Fee is the fairest
where a fixed fee (profit) has already been contract to buyer and seller as there is an
agreed to the seller, although the reimbursable additional incentive to seller based on lower cost
cost can vary differential (on top of his agreed upon fixed
Seller sells item at target selling price $100K with fee) to obtain the best cost advantage to buyer;
a certain fixed fee, and buyer accepts and pays however, if vice-versa, the seller has to absorb
$100K plus the fixed fee the excess cost
If the item gets more expensive, the buyer will pay Seller sells item at a target selling price $100K
at the new higher selling price plus the fixed fee with a certain fixed fee, and buyer accepts and
If the item gets cheaper, the buyer will pay at the pays $100K plus the fixed fee
new cheaper selling price plus the fixed fee If the item gets more expensive, the buyer will pay
at the new higher selling price plus the fixed fee
If the item gets cheaper, the buyer will pay at the
new cheaper selling price plus the fixed fee with
an additional pre-agreed incentive amount
calculated from the difference of the target selling
price and the cheaper selling price
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CONTRACT TYPES
CPAF Cost Plus Award Fee is used when a Time and Material Contracts
majority of fee is only earned based on the The full value of the agreement and the exact
satisfaction (discretion) by the buyer of the seller quantity of items to be delivered are not
according to certain subjective performance defined by the buyer at the time of the contract
criteria defined and incorporated in the contract award, and this is usually used when the project
Seller sells item at a target selling price $100K scope is unable to be defined (e.g. legal costs)
with a certain award fee, and buyer accepts and
Time and material contracts are suitable when the
pays $100K plus the award fee provided that the
work is uncertain, amounting in time for effort
seller is able to meet certain obligation
and material to use
If the item gets more expensive, the buyer will pay
at the new higher selling price plus the award fee These contracts can be a combination of cost-
If the item gets cheaper, the buyer will pay at the reimbursable and fixed-price
new cheaper selling price plus the award fee
Note: There is a Cost Plus Percentage of Costs (CPPC) contract but is removed from the PMBoK 6th
Edition. The CPPC works when the buyer agrees to give the seller a certain percentage of the final cost as
a fee – this may be exploited by the seller to charge a high cost to command a high seller’s fee. The buyer
has to audit to ensure that the final cost is not being manipulated.
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12.2 CONDUCT PROCUREMENTS
Procurements are conducted to solicit seller responses, appraise sellers through the bid , shortlisting,
negotiating, and finally awarding a written contract to the seller
It is important that purchasing, contracting, and legal requirements are observed, and advised by
experts in these areas
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12.3 CONTROL PROCUREMENTS
Procurement contracts which had been signed with sellers need to be administered to ensure sellers
perform to contractual obligations and paid accordingly
Adjudication/Arbitration and Mediation are the two major forms of Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR)
refers to any means of settling disputes other than Litigation
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MODULE 13 STAKEHOLDER
MANAGEMENT
13.1 Identify Stakeholders 13.2 Plan Stakeholder 13.3 Manage Stakeholder 13.4 Monitor Stakeholder
Management Engagement Engagement
• Inputs • Inputs • Inputs • Inputs
• Project Charter • Project Charter • Project Management Plan • Project Management Plan
• Business Documents • Project Management Plan • Project Documents • Project Documents
• Project Management Plan • Project Documents • Enterprise Environmental • Work Performance Data
• Project Documents • Agreements • Factors • Enterprise Environmental
• Agreements • Enterprise Environmental • Organizational Process • Factors
• Enterprise Environmental Factors Assets • Organizational Process
• Factors • Organizational Process • Tools & Techniques Assets
• Organizational Process Assets • Expert Judgment • Tools & Techniques
Assets • Tools & Techniques • Communication Skills • Data Analysis
• Tools & Techniques • Expert Judgment • Interpersonal And Team • Decision Making
• Expert Judgment • Data Gathering Skills • Data Representation
• Data Gathering • Data Analysis • Ground Rules • Communication Skills
• Data Analysis • Decision Making • Meetings • Interpersonal And Team
• Data Representation • Data Representation • Outputs • Skills
• Meetings • Meetings • Change Requests • Meetings
• Outputs • Outputs • Project Management Plan • Outputs
• Stakeholder Register • Stakeholder Management Updates • Work Performance
• Project Management Plan Plan • Project Documents Information
Updates Updates • Change Requests
• Project Documents • Project Management Plan
Updates Updates
• Project Documents
Updates
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Project Stakeholder Management identifies
people, groups or organizations having a vested
interest in the project, with the aim of engaging
stakeholders using strategies, and ensuring
stakeholders needs and expectations are met
Stakeholders come and go, and it is important
for the project manager to be “on top of things”,
and tailor each project stakeholder management
considering stakeholder diversity, relationship
complexity, and communication technology used
Project managers in reality behave like
salespersons, always “reading” the stakeholders
mind, finding appropriate stakeholder
management strategies to actively pursue good
rapport with key stakeholders and always
engaging the stakeholders with the motive of
increasing project success
Image credit:
In agile/adaptive environments, aggressive https://www.mindtools.com/media/Diagrams/Figure2_Forcefield
transparency using direct and active engagement _Analysis_v3.png
with stakeholders is encouraged, bypassing
layers of bureaucracy in order to ensure timely Kurt Levin created the Force Field Analysis to help
and productive discussion and decision making make a decision by analysing the forces for and
against a change, and it helps you communicate the
reasoning behind your decision
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13.1 IDENTIFY STAKEHOLDERS
Project stakeholders are people, groups and organizations who have positive or negative interests and
impacts in a project
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STAKEHOLDER MAPPING
Images are sourced from:
clockwise from top left
High power, interested
people: these are the people
1. www.mindtools.com
you must fully engage and 2. www.justpmblog.com
make the greatest efforts to 3. www.projectexperts.com
satisfy. Best channels:
Issues, Change Logs, Status
4. www.bawiki.com
Meetings
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STAKEHOLDER MAPPING
http://www.gpmfirst.com/books/stakeholder-relationship-management/mapping-stakeholders
Dimension
resource control or incentives offered), or normative (based on symbolic
influences such as moral authority)
Legitimacy: Factors such as who is funding the effort, who is impacted
by the effort, and who has control of specific assets needed to execute
the project are common factors of legitimacy
Image sources from top to bottom
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13.3 MANAGE STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT
This is a process of regularly communicating and working with stakeholders throughout the project life
cycle to increase project success
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13.4 MONITOR STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT
This is a process of monitoring stakeholder relationships, tailoring strategies and plans for engaging
stakeholders, and conduct the necessary changes to enhance interactions in managing stakeholders
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