Session3 ReadingMaterial
Session3 ReadingMaterial
RADITIONALLY, THE STATE has been at the center of the international system,
T and each state’s pursuit of its self-defined national interests has been the central
dynamic of world politics. This process, how states pursue their national interests,
is the focus of this chapter.
National capabilities are the first thing we will explore. Each state’s ability to
achieve its goals is based in substantial part on a range of capabilities. These are
particularly important when the goals of two or more states clash, and the story line
of the global drama is often about whose interests prevail and whose do not. But
capabilities, such as the ability to skillfully articulate goals and persuade others
that the goals are mutually beneficial, are even important in noncompetitive situa-
tions. Power is the term we will use here to represent the sum of a country’s capa-
bilities. Because power in common usage carries the connotation of “hit-over-the
head” or “make you” capabilities, it is very important to stress that power as used
here is more than that. As we will explore later in the following pages, power can
be based on positive persuasion as well as negative coercion. Indeed, power has
many forms. Military muscle, wealth, and some others are fairly obvious and tangi-
ble. Others such as national will power and diplomatic skills are much less obvious
and intangible.
Applying national capabilities in the pursuit of the national interest is our second
topic. Foreign policy includes not just the international goals that a country has, but
how countries use their national capabilities to achieve those goals. A great deal of
discussion in chapter 3 focuses on how foreign policy is made. Here the emphasis
will be on how it is carried out. Statecraft is the term often used to encapsulate how
a country applies its national capabilities to achieve its foreign policy goals. As one
scholar has defined it, statecraft:
refers to the use of policy instruments to satisfy the core objectives of nation-states
in the international system. . . . Statecraft is most usefully thought of in broad and
multidimensional terms. It involves the application and interplay of multiple
instruments—military, economic, diplomatic, and informational—to achieve the
multiple objectives of states, including national security, economic prosperity, and
political prestige and influence. (Mastanduno, 1988:826)
Characteristics of Power
One of the many reasons that it is so challenging to get a handle on power is that it
has many characteristics, some of which seem almost contradictory. It is both an
asset and a goal, hard and soft, absolute and relative, objective and subjective, and a
function of both capabilities and will. Additionally, power is situational.
dismiss the concept of soft power, arguing that coun- FIGURE 8.1 U.S. Soft Power and Iraq
tries follow other countries’ lead if they share the
59% 59%
same interests, not out of altruistic sentiments such
53%
as admiration. 50% 50%
47%
Rebutting this, those who believe that soft power
can be potent point, as an example, to the negative 39% 40%
37%
impact they say the Iraq War has had on U.S. soft 40%
35%
power by greatly diminishing the U.S. image abroad. Opinion of U.S. is favorable
31% Unfavorable
Citing poll results, such as those in Figure 8.1, show- Unsure
ing that opinion about the United States has plum- Pre-Iraq Post-Iraq 15%
meted almost everywhere in the past several years,
10% 10%
one analyst worries that “the United States’ soft 14% 7%
4%
power—its ability to attract others by the legitimacy
of U.S. policies and the values that underlie them—
is in decline as a result” (Nye, 2004a:16). One reason 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
this is a concern, according to this view, is because the
Polls in six countries indicate that after the U.S. invasion of Iraq in
United States needs the cooperation of other coun- March 2003 there was an increase in the share of people who viewed
tries to combat terrorism and many other problems, the United States unfavorably and a similar decline in the U.S. favorable
but “When the United States becomes so unpopular rating. The shifts between 2000 and 2002 may be related to the fact
that being pro-American is a kiss of death in other that by the summer of 2002 when the poll was taken, there were
countries’ domestic politics, foreign political leaders already strong reports of a U.S. readiness to act against Iraq. This
are unlikely to make helpful concessions, reducing decline in U.S. prestige arguably undercut U.S. “soft power” and the
willingness of other governments to cooperate with Washington.
U.S. leverage in international affairs.” To such com-
mentary, those who are skeptical of the importance of Note: The question was, “Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the United States.” The
soft power might echo the words of President Bush, six countries were France, Germany, Great Britain, Pakistan, Turkey, and Russia. Pew
who professed his “respect [for] the values, judgment, reported the favorable data only for 2000; the two other data points for that year are
estimated.
and interests of our friends and partners,” but also Data source: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press (2000, 2003, 2006).
asserted, “We will be prepared to act apart” if neces-
sary and “will not allow . . . disagreements [with
allies] to obscure our determination to secure . . .
our fundamental interests and values.”2
it as non-zero-sum, that is, gains do not necessarily come at the expense of others.
Without delving too far into this controversy, we can say that the relative nature of
power implies that sometimes, especially between antagonists, power approaches zero-
sum. When China’s Asian rival India tested nuclear weapons in 1998, it decreased
China’s relative power compared to India and arguably reduced China’s influence in
the countries to its southwest. More broadly, though, only the most cynical would see
power as absolutely zero-sum. As some of the world’s less developed countries (LDCs)
have moved from the low-income category to lower-middle- or even upper-middle-
income status, their economic strength has increased. Yet it would be hard to make
the case that this decreased the economic strength of the economically developed
countries (EDCs). Indeed, the progress of the LDCs has arguably benefited the EDCs
by, for instance, providing new investment opportunities and new markets.
its shores. This worries some of Japan’s neighbors, especially when combined with
recent renewed claims by Japan to islands and territorial waters lost to or in dispute
with China, Russia, and South Korea since World War II. Yet another sign of grow-
ing Japanese assertiveness is the country’s campaign for a permanent seat on the UN
Security Council. “Japan is changing,” the U.S. ambassador there recently commented.
“I think Japan has decided, ‘We’re a great, big country, we’re the second-largest econ-
omy in the world, and we probably have the second-largest navy in the Pacific. We
want a seat on the Security Council. We want a role to play in the international
arena.’ I think all those changes are at work and will continue.” Confirming that
impression, Japan’s foreign minister told reporters, “There are expectations that Japan
play a greater role in dealing with international conflicts. And I believe that Japan must
do so.”3 All this portends a Japan that will increasingly convert its power capacity into
applied power and play a stronger role.
Before the Iraq War began in 2003, one poll asked Americans if they would support a decision by the
president to launch a ground attack against Saddam Hussein. Most (58%) said yes; 35% said no, and
7% were unsure. Remember that in 2003, most Americans thought Iraq had weapons of mass destruction
and was cooperating with terrorists. The poll then presented war supporters with a range of potential
U.S. casualties. As this figure shows, American support for an attack went down as the possible U.S.
deaths went up. By 1,000 deaths, support had dropped below 50%. Does this show a prudent public
or a weak public unwilling to accept military casualties to achieve U.S. policy goals?
Data source: Los Angeles Times poll, December 2002; data provided by The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research,
University of Connecticut.
thousands of casualties.”5 Figure 8.2 examines U.S. support for the 2003 Iraq War
in light of projected mounting casualties and asks what you think the data says
about Americans.
Situational Power
A country’s power varies according to the situation, or context, in which it is being
applied. A country’s situational power is often less than the total inventory of its
capabilities. Military power provides a good example. During the last weeks of March
and first weeks of April 2003, American and British forces faced those of Iraq in a
classic conventional war situation. In that context, the conflict was one-sided with
the U.S./U.K. forces quickly destroying and dispersing those of Iraq. During the post-
war period, the conflict situation changed when forces opposed to the U.S./U.K. pres-
ence in the country began to use guerrilla warfare and terrorist tactics. Soon, more U.S.
soldiers had died in the “postwar” period than during the war, and U.S. policy was in
considerable disarray even though the American forces in Iraq were as numerous as
the ones that had so easily toppled the regime of Saddam Hussein. The difference was
that in the very different situation after “victory,” a great deal of the U.S. high-tech
weapons inventory, its heavy armored vehicles, and its air power were of no use in
countering the resistance tactics in Iraq.
www
Measuring Power
SIMULATION
It would be a very good thing if it were possible to measure power precisely. One
Winning Wars Isn’t Simple
reason is that countries sometimes wind up in wars because they miscalculate their
own power or that of their opponent. To a degree that is what happened to the United
States following its invasion of Iraq in 2003. The equation of comparing U.S. military
power to Iraqi military power was relatively easy. The United States was immensely
more powerful, and that was demonstrated by the ease with which U.S. forces
The Complex Nature of Power 241
defeated Iraq’s armed forces. That was only part of the equation, though, and U.S.
leaders miscalculated both the strength of the long-term resistance to U.S. occupa-
tion forces and the power of existing U.S. forces in Iraq to deal with those attacks.
Unfortunately, power is very difficult to measure, both because of the difficulty in
quantifying many of its aspects and because it is highly changeable.
Quantification Difficulties
At a general level, it is possible to measure or at least estimate power. There can be Web Link
no doubt, for example, that China is more powerful than Mongolia. Beyond such View an online version of a
broad judgments, there is no widely accepted formula for measuring power. It is easy recent attempt to measure
enough to measure such tangible factors as per capita GNP or number of soldiers. national power at www.rand.org/
But it is harder to assign weights to each to establish their relative importance to one publications/MR/MR1110/.
another when constructing a power formula. Even harder is measuring and giving
relative weights to intangible factors such as the diplomatic skill of a country’s leaders
or its soft-power ability to lead by example. These difficulties were illustrated by a
study that reviewed four attempts by various scholars to devise formulas to measure
national power during the cold war (Taber, 1989). The four often came to dramati-
cally different conclusions because of different methods of measuring power. Two
studies rated the Soviet Union the most powerful. One each rated the United States
and China most powerful. One ranked China only seventh. Brazil ranked number
three in one study, and India ranked number four in another study; yet two studies
did not place either country in the top ten. The list need not go on to make the point
that different formulas for measuring power yielded very different results.
No superpower from Rome, through imperial Britain, to the Soviet Union has main-
tained its status permanently. Each eventually declined and some even vanished, as
did the USSR. To take their place, other countries have risen from humble beginnings
to the rank of major power, as did the United States. Still others, like China today, may
reemerge from a period of eclipse and strive to recapture their lost status (Tammen
et al., 2002).
There are numerous reasons why power is so fluid. One theory of system-level
analysis is that power cycles occur over a period of a few decades, or even as much as
a century (Tessman & Chan, 2004). The cycles are demarcated by great-power or
“systemic” wars, such as the two world wars, that reflect strains or power shifts
within the system and act as political earthquakes, altering the system by destroying
the major power status of declining powers and elevating rising powers to pole sta-
tus. Then the process of power decay and formation begins anew. Balance-of-power
politics is another system-level cause of change as countries form alliances and take
other actions to avoid being dominated.
From a state-level-of-analysis perspective, several factors account for the rise or
www fall of a country’s power. One involves the sources of power. The advent of nuclear
weapons some 60 years ago instantly elevated the status of countries that possess them.
Internal conditions also affect an actor’s power. The Soviet Union collapsed in part
SIMULATION
Creating Your Own because it no longer commanded the loyalty of most of its citizens. Most Americans
International Power Index are patriotic, but the country cannot remain a superpower if its people are unwilling
to bear the cost of being a leader in the international system. That does not mean the
United States should lead, only that it cannot remain dominant unless it accepts the
burdens, as well as the benefits of leadership.
National Geography
Shakespeare’s King Henry VI proclaimed:
Let us be backed with God and with the seas
Which He hath given for fence impregnable, . . .
In them and in ourselves our safety lies.
Whether or not God has ever aided England, King Henry’s soliloquy reminds us
that the English Channel has helped save Great Britain from Napoleon, Hitler, and
every other threat from Europe for nine centuries. Geography counts.
Location can be an advantage or a disadvantage. Spain was able to avoid involve-
ment in either world war partly because of its relative isolation from the rest of Europe.
Poland, sandwiched between Germany and Russia, and Korea, stuck between China
and Japan, each has a distinctly unfortunate location. The Israelis would almost cer-
tainly be better off if their promised land were somewhere—almost anywhere—else.
The Foundation of National Power 243
And the Kuwaitis probably would not mind moving either, provided they could take
Did You Know That:
their oil fields with them. Location also impacts relative power. The weight of China’s
Mexico’s President Porfirio
army as a power factor is different in Beijing’s relations with the United States and
Díaz (1886–1911) once
Russia because Russia and China share a border, while the vast Pacific Ocean sepa- lamented, “Poor Mexico, so
rates China and the United States. far from God, so close to the
Topography—a country’s mountains, rivers, and plains—is also important. The Alps United States.”
form a barrier that has helped protect Switzerland from its larger European neighbors
and spared the Swiss the ravages of both world wars. Throughout history, Afghanistan’s
rugged mountains have bedeviled invaders, including since 2001 U.S. and other NATO
troops trying to eliminate al Qaeda and Taliban forces. Topography can also work against
a country. For example, the southern and eastern two-thirds of Iraq is a broad plain that
provided a relatively easy invasion avenue for the mechanized U.S. and British forces in
2003. The Tigris and Euphrates river systems and the associated swampy areas provided
some topographical defenses, but too few to make a difference.
Size is an important geographic factor. Bigger is often better. The immense expanse
of Russia, for example, has repeatedly saved it from conquest. Although sometimes
overwhelmed at first, the Russian armies have been able to retreat into the interior
and buy time in exchange for geography while regrouping. By contrast, Israel’s small
size gives it no room to retreat.
Climate can also play a power role. The tropical climate of Vietnam, with its
monsoon rains and its dense vegetation, made it difficult for the Americans to use
much of their superior weaponry. At the other extreme, the bone-chilling Russian
winter has allied itself with Russia’s geographic size to form a formidable defensive
force that decimated Napoleon’s soldiers in the winter of 1812–1813 and the German
army during World War II. In fact the Russian winter has proved so formidable that
Czar Nicholas I commented, “Russia has two generals we can trust, General January
and General February.”
People
A second element of the national core is a country’s human characteristics. Tangible
demographic subcategories include number of people, age distribution, and such
quantitative factors as health and education. There are also intangible population
factors such as morale.
Population
As is true for geographic size, the size of a country’s population can be a positive or a
negative factor. Because a large population supplies military personnel and industrial
workers, sheer numbers of people are a positive power factor. It is unlikely, for
instance, that Tonga (pop. 115,000) will ever achieve great-power status. A large
population may be disadvantageous, however, if it is not in balance with resources.
India, with 1.1 billion people, has the world’s second-largest population, yet because
of the country’s poverty ($720 per capita GNP), it must spend much of its energy and
resources merely feeding its people.
28% 50%
*Dependency Dependency
6.5%
7% ratio ratio
65% 2% 1.1:1
1.9:1
48%
World Uganda
19% 14%
72% Dependency 66% Dependency
9% ratio 20% ratio
2.6:1 2.0:1
Most less developed countries (LDCs), like Uganda, are disadvantaged because their population has a
high percentage of children. These children consume resources for their education and general care
that they will only begin to “repay” the system in terms of productivity and taxes when they become
adults. A high percentage of senior citizens, as in Italy, is also economically suboptimal. South Korea
has good age distribution with 72% in the “working years.”
*Dependency ratio is a World Bank calculation of the ratio of the working-age population (ages 15–64) to the dependent
population (age 14 and younger plus age 65 and older). Generally, the higher the ratio, the more economically advantaged a
country is.
Data source: CIA online.
Worldwide, 28% of Earth’s population was less than 15 years old in 2006; 7%
www was 65 or over; 65% was in the working-age years (15–64). Figure 8.3 shows the age
distributions of several countries, which you should compare. The figure also shows
MAP
the dependency ratio of young and old people combined compared to the working-
Employment by age population. Many analysts would contend that South Korea is relatively advan-
Economic Activity taged by its large working-age population, while Uganda, with numerous children,
and Italy, with a high percentage of senior citizens, are relatively disadvantaged.
Whereas growing populations and high ratios of children were once the main
population worries, there is now growing concern in some places about low birthrates,
zero or even a negative population growth, and demographic graying, that is, a grow-
ing proportion of the population is of retirement age. A negative aspect is that a rela-
tively large retirement-age population slows down per capita GDP growth because of a
relative scarcity of workers. A growing geriatric population also challenges a country’s
ability to pay the cost of providing pensions and other services to retired citizens. De-
mographic graying is already pronounced in the economically developed countries
and is projected to increase. By 2050, for instance, 33% of Japan’s population and
30% of Europe’s will be age 65 and older. The U.S. age distribution is still relatively
The Foundation of National Power 245
good: 0–14 (20%), 15–64 (67%), and 65 (13%). But Americans are also graying,
and the retirement-age population is projected to rise to 21% in 2050.
So far, demographic graying is mostly confined to the EDCs, but it is beginning to
also affect LDCs, especially China. Its one-child-per-couple policy instituted to re-
strain population growth coupled with increasing longevity means that senior citizens
will rapidly increase as a share of China’s population from 8% now to 25% by 2050.
Graying will steadily increase the daunting costs of providing health care, housing,
and other social services for the elderly. Furthermore, as global aging progresses, a
smaller percentage of the population will be between 15 and 64 “doing the work,
paying the taxes, saving for the future, and raising the next generation” (Peterson, www
2001:3). How to address this problem is a major policy challenge for the United
States and other EDCs, and one possible solution is presented for your consideration JOIN THE DEBATE
in the decision box, “Is Immigration a Solution to Demographic Graying?” The Foreign Student Program
in the United States:
Education Does It Serve U.S.
An educated population is important to national power. Quantity of education is National Interests?
one factor, and it is a source of weakness for the LDCs, especially the poorest ones.
Although education has improved substantially in low-income countries over the
last 15 years or so, with the primary school completion rate up 9%, it is still only
246 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
FIGURE 8.4 Comparative 75%. In the United States it is 93%. Beyond primary
Educational Achievement school, the data become progressively worse. Less
than half of children in low-income countries go to
Japan 629 high school, and only about 9% get any post-
secondary technical or college education and can
South 624 serve as the nucleus of the educated workforce a
Korea
modern economy needs. Moreover, in a circular
Finland 620
problem, the lack of opportunity in many of the
Australia 589 poorest LDCs creates a “brain drain,” as its profes-
sionals emigrate to seek a better life.
Average 500 Quality of education is also important. For exam-
ple, 84% of Americans over age 24 have graduated
United
496 high school, 27% have a college degree. Furthermore,
States
the country spends a greater percentage of its wealth
Poland 432
on education than all but a handful of countries. Yet
Portugal 383
there is evidence that the U.S. educational system is
not adequately preparing students to meet the re-
Greece 382 quirements of the modern world. It may be that the
basic 3 Rs—reading, ’riting, and ’rithmetic—that
Mexico 283 Achievement level once served to train a workforce will no longer suf-
fice in the 21st century. Instead, the requirements
National power rests in part on a well-educated populace. For will be more like the 3 Cs—computers, calculus,
Americans, this is something of a concern. The data in this figure and communications. Another problem may be that
is drawn from the overall scores amassed by 15-year-old students American students during their four years of high
in 26 mostly developed countries for skills in reading, mathematics,
school spend an average of only about half as much
and science. The results here are for the four countries with the
highest and lowest scores, the United States, and the average of the
time on core subjects as do students in Japan, France,
26 countries. As evident, American students finished below average, and Germany. An additional difficulty may be disci-
well below the leading countries, and not that far ahead of some pline in American schools. Students in the United
relatively poor countries, such as Poland. States, for instance, are six times more likely to en-
Note: The actual scores were reduced by 1000 to better highlight comparative data. counter discipline problems in the classroom than
That is, for example, the score for Japan was actually 1629. Japanese students.6 Whatever the cause, a recent
Data source: Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation, Education at
a Glance, 2005.
study in 26 mostly developed countries measuring the
mathematic, scientific, and reading skills of 15-year-
olds showed that American students finished 14th overall and below average in each
of the three areas of study. Figure 8.4 depicts some of the results.
Yet another way to break down general educational statistics is to see how well a
country trains various segments of its population. Most countries limit their power
potential by underutilizing major elements of their population. For example, sexism
limits the possible contribution of women in virtually all countries. In Bangladesh,
for instance, a male teenager is almost twice as likely as a female teenager to be en-
rolled in secondary school. Racial, ethnic, and other bases of discrimination add to
this failure to maximize a population’s potential. The fact that among adults over age
24 in the United States just 18% of African Americans and 13% of Latinos, compared
to 30% of whites, have completed college means that the potential of a significant
number of these disadvantaged people has been lost to the country.
Health
Web Link
Poor health can also sap a country’s power. Providing an example, Russia is experienc-
Health-related data for countries
can be found on the World
ing a health crisis among its men due to widespread alcoholism and smoking. Drug
Health Organization Web site addiction is also on the rise. Two-thirds of all adult Russian males smoke (2.5 times
at www.who.int/countries/en/. the U.S. rate), and the lung cancer death rate is twice that of the United States. To make
The Foundation of National Power 247
Attitudes
The beliefs and orientations of a country’s population
on a number of dimensions affect national power.
For example, countries such as the United States,
China, and Japan whose people have a reasonably
unified national identity are in a stronger position
than are countries with deep ethnonational divi-
sions, as chapter 4 details. Similarly, countries in
which morale is low because of economic or other Russia’s power is being undermined by epidemic alcoholism, especially
difficulties are disadvantaged. Low national morale among its men. The health crisis in Russia is presented with irony in
can lead to civil unrest and even topple govern- this image of an inebriated Russian holding himself upright only by
ments. The end of the USSR in 1991 provides an grasping the statue of a drunken man in the city of Krasnoyarsk.
example of the impact of both ethnonational divi-
sion and low morale. As the country’s economic system went from bad to worse,
the populace was increasingly disheartened. By 1990, 90% believed that the coun-
try’s economic situation was dire, and 57% had no confidence in the future. This
profound pessimism led to an almost total collapse of support for the government
Did You Know That:
of Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev and, indeed, the country’s political system.
Accelerating Soviet difficulties, the ethnonational identities of Ukrainians, Kazaks, Vodka has long undermined
Russia’s power. In 1373 the
Latvians, and the other nationalities reasserted themselves. Soon the Soviet Union Russians lost a battle to the
imploded amid a vacuum of public support. Tartars reportedly because
the czar’s forces were too
inebriated to fight. The de-
Government feated Russians were thrown
into a nearby river, which
A third power element associated with the national core is the quality of the govern- was then dubbed the Reka
ment. Administrative effectiveness is one aspect. It involves whether a state has a well- Pianaya, the Drunk River.
organized and effective administrative structure to utilize its power potential fully.
248 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
For example, U.S. power has been undoubtedly undermined by problems in the
country’s intelligence agencies. Intelligence failures led, among other things, to the
expenditure of vast amounts of U.S. power in a war with and occupation of Iraq,
launched primarily to destroy weapons of mass destruction that in fact did not exist.
Reflecting that, a presidential commission bemoaned what it called “one of the
most . . . damaging intelligence failures in recent American history.” As for the cause
of the catastrophe, the commission concluded:
This failure was in large part the result of analytical shortcomings; intelligence analysts
were too wedded to their assumptions about Saddam’s intentions. But it was also a
failure on the part of [the intelligence agencies]. . . . [They] collected precious little
intelligence for the analysts to analyze, and much of what they did collect was either
worthless or misleading.9
National Infrastructure
National power also rests on a country’s infrastructure, which might be roughly
equated with the skeleton of a human body or to a building’s foundation and its fram-
ing or girders. To examine the infrastructure of the state as an element of national
power, the following sections will discuss technological sophistication, transportation
systems, and information and communications capabilities. Each of these factors is
related to a country’s power capacity.
Overall technological availability and sophistication is at the heart of this element
of power. Think about how monumentally wrong Charles H. Duell, commissioner of
the U.S. Office of Patents, was when he declared in 1899, “Everything that can be
invented has been invented.” To the contrary, most of the technology that undergirds
a great deal of contemporary national power has been invented since Duell’s short-
sighted assessment. Air conditioning modifies the impact of weather, computers
revolutionize business and education, robotics speed industry, synthetic fertilizers
expand agriculture, new drilling techniques allow for undersea oil exploration,
microwaves speed information, and lasers bring the military to the edge of the Star
Wars era. Thus, technology is an overarching factor and will be discussed as part of
the tangible elements of power.
One source of U.S. strength is the considerable money that its government, cor-
porations, and universities spend on research and development (R&D). Indeed, invest-
ment in basic research is an essential element in “the scientific balance of power.”10
During 2005 the United States was the global leader, spending $285 billion, far ahead
of the three next largest spenders on R&D: Japan ($114 billion), China ($85 billion),
and Germany ($57 billion). Another good measure of technological sophistication
and capability is computing capacity. Needless to say, business, education, science, and
other key elements of national power depend on computers, and, as Figure 8.5 shows,
there is a vast disparity in national capabilities.
Transportation systems are a second and more specific part of the national infra-
structure. The ability to move people, raw materials, finished products, and sometimes
the military throughout its territory is another part of a country’s power equation
and is heavily dependent on technology. For example, one of the major hurdles that
Russia must overcome to invigorate its economy is its relatively limited and decrepit
Military Power 249
587
561
132 130
108 105
41
7
transportation systems. As one standard, for every 1,000 square miles of its land ter-
ritory, the United States has 14 times as many miles of paved roads and four times as
many miles of railroad track than does Russia. Inadequate transportation systems are
also a problem for LDCs.
Information and communications systems are yet another part of the national
technological infrastructure, and capabilities in these areas are becoming increas-
ingly important to national power. Satellites and computers have accelerated the rev-
olution begun with radio and television. Photocopying machines, then fax machines,
and now the Internet have dramatically changed communications. Enhanced com-
munications technology increases the ability of a society to communicate within
itself and remain cohesive. It also increases efficiency and effectiveness in industry,
finance, and the military. Here again, the gaps among countries are wide. For example,
U.S. annual per capita expenditures on information and communications ($3,595)
are more than 54 times that of China ($66). On a per capita basis, there are 2.3 times
more cell phone subscribers and 8.6 times more people with access to the Internet in
the United States than in China.
MILITARY POWER
For good or ill, military power is an asset that sometimes determines whether a coun-
try will prevail or not in its pursuit of its foreign policy goals. Therefore, it is appro-
priate to consider the nature of military power that provides the sword for policy
makers to wield.
U.S. U.S.
$498 $498
billion billion
China
$155
China billion
$41
billion
Measuring defense spending by amount is tricky. The left pie chart shows that in unadjusted spending,
the United States annually spends over 12 times as much on its military than does China. When
spending is adjusted for the relative cost of living in the two countries (purchasing power parity: PPP),
however, the spending gap shrinks from about 12:1 to about 3:1. Neither measure is satisfactory by
itself. For instance, using PPP helps adjust for the relative cost of pay and other personnel costs. But
PPP is less relevant for fuel costs, since both U.S. and Chinese forces depend in part on imported
petroleum, which costs both countries the same.
Note: Chinese military spending official reports are understated. The figures here are the author’s estimates based on the
sources listed below.
Data sources: CIA, SIPRI, and the ISSI, all online.
Military Spending
Defense spending is one of the largest categories in most countries’ budgets, and
there can be little doubt that the level of spending has some impact on military ca-
pabilities. U.S. expenditures ($498 billion in 2006) far exceed those of any other
country, and there are relatively few scenarios in which the armed forces of any other
country could defeat U.S. forces in a conventional war.
Yet none of the ways defense spending is commonly reported is wholly satis-
www factory. Amount, either total spending or on a per capita basis, can be misleading
because of what the money can buy in different countries. An entry-level American
soldier’s monthly base pay is $1,300 a month; a similar Chinese soldier makes $40.
SIMULATION
What Would You Spend Figure 8.6 compares the military spending of China and the United States in unad-
for Security? justed currencies and in terms of the purchasing power parity (PPP), an adjustment
for the different cost of living in the two countries. Economic burden—defense spend-
ing as a percentage of a country’s GNP—can also be deceptive. Israel spends about
9% of its GNP on defense, much higher than the world average of 2.5%, but Israel’s
expenditures must also be analyzed in terms of the monumental threats it faces.
Weapons
Web Link Comparison of two countries’ or alliances’ military might are often focused on number
The Federation of American of weapons. Quantity is certainly an important consideration. Knowing that the United
Scientists maintains an excellent States had 16,000 tanks and Iraq had 1,900 tanks prior to their war in 2003 is one in-
site with details about American dication of the relative power of the two countries’ armored forces. Had the potential
military weaponry at www.fas.org/
combatants been the United States and Russia or China, Moscow’s 21,000 tanks or
man/index.html. Other countries’
systems can be explored by
Beijing’s 11,000 tanks would have made for a much different military situation.
keying “rest of world” in the Numbers are only part of the military weapons equation, however, with quality at
Search function. least equally important. Even if the U.S. and Iraqi tank forces had had equal numbers,
Military Power 251
Iraq’s aging Soviet-export tanks would have been no match for U.S. main battle tanks,
which are capable of maneuvering at nearly highway speeds, using thermal sights
and computerized targeting, firing shells coated with depleted uranium that can de-
stroy almost any armored opponent, and clad in depleted uranium armor capable of
repelling the shells fired by Iraqi tanks.
For all the advantages of sophisticated weapons, there are drawbacks. An F-22,
one of the newest U.S. fighters, is a technological marvel that can defeat any other
fighter. Each costs $150 million, though, compared to a less excellent, but still good
Russian-built SU-30 fighter, which is available for export at $37 million each. Second,
high-tech weapons are often also more difficult to operate and repair. Third, the effec-
tiveness of military hardware is very situational. Therefore, a country’s military systems
need to be appropriate to the challenges they will face. American tanks were very
effective during the short conventional warfare phase of the Iraq war; U.S. tanks were
only marginally relevant to fighting the insurgency that followed.
Personnel
As with weapons, a number of quantitative and qualitative factors determine the
capabilities of a country’s military personnel. Number of troops, both total and com- www
pared to an opponent, is one factor. Generally, size matters. For example, China
(2.3 million troops), India (1.7 million), the United States (1.5 million) and Russia MAP
(1.0 million) all have enough troops to play a major regional and even global role. By Size of Armed Forces
contrast, Belize, with about 1,000 troops, has very little military muscle to use as a
diplomatic asset. Like spending, though, sheer numbers of troops must be measured
against the scope of their deployments and reasonable estimates of their potential use.
For example, the large U.S. force becomes less dominant when its global commit-
ments are considered. Indeed, U.S. forces have been stretched thin by their deployment
in Iraq, requiring an extensive, long-term call-up of reserve units.
Recruit quality is a second factor impacting personnel. To build a good military,
Did You Know That:
a country must be able to recruit intelligent, healthy, reliable enlisted troops and
The world’s smallest army is
officers. Standards for U.S. recruits have traditionally been high, but the strain of the
the Vatican’s 110-man Swiss
Iraq War created some cause for concern. The U.S. Army has experienced problems in Guard. The original force was
recruiting enough soldiers, falling 17% below the target of 80,000 recruits in 2005. To a formed from Swiss merce-
degree shortfalls have been overcome by lowering the educational and moral standards naries who had defended
for recruits. Between 2003 and 2006, for example, the number of waivers given for a Pope Clement VII during the
sacking of Rome in 1527 by,
criminal background jumped 65%, and reached 11% of all Army recruits in 2006.
oddly, Charles V, the Holy
Training is a third personnel factor. Good training significantly improves the Roman Emperor.
quality of a country’s military force. This is especially true given the complicated
nature of many of today’s high-tech weapons. For instance, considerable flight time
is critical for fighter pilots because of the complex weapons systems they use. Yet
providing practice is costly, and significant differences in training exist. The coun-
tries of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) generally meet the alliance’s
standard of providing fighter pilots with 180 to 200 hours of inflight training annu-
ally. Because of Russia’s struggling economy, its pilots reportedly receive only about
20 hours a year in the air to hone their skills.
Morale is a fourth variable in measuring military personnel. Russian soldiers fought
with amazing valor amid horrific conditions during World War II. Yet in more recent
times, the morale of Russia’s soldiers has been sapped by poor pay, housing, equipment,
and training and by the widespread image of corruption and incompetence among
officers (Hespring, 2006). In the aftermath of the collapse of Iraq’s army in 2003, some
Russian military experts were worried that a similar fate might await Russia’s army in
a war. “Go on the street and ask who is ready to defend the motherland, and you will
252 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
immediately see unpleasant parallels,” fretted one Russian military expert. “The out-
come of a war depends on the army’s morale.”11
Leadership is a fifth personnel variable. U.S. and British forces would have surely
defeated the Iraqi military in 2003, but Saddam Hussein’s practice of placing those
most loyal to him, rather than the best officers, in command of his country’s armed
forces accelerated the rapid collapse of Iraq’s army. Saddam did this, according to one
Iraqi colonel, because “he was afraid the regular army might rise up against him.”
However, when war came, another Iraqi officer explained, the result was, “there was
no coordination between [the generals]—they hate[d] each other.”12
8% 5% Percent of GDP
4%
5.2% Defense spending 5%
0%
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2007
Some argue that U.S. defense spending is too high and saps the national economy by diverting funds
that could be better spent to strengthen the national infrastructure. Those who dispute this point out
that defense spending has generally declined as a share of the U.S. GDP since the early cold war years,
and that despite the upturn under President Bush in recent years, it was at the same level in 2007 as
in 1950. These analysts contend that the real problem with the U.S. budget is increased outlays on
human resources, such as health and income security, which grew from 5.2% of the GDP in 1950
to 12.8% in 2007.
Notes: Human resource spending includes education, health, Medicare, income security, Social Security, and veterans’
benefits. In 2007, education and veterans’ benefits combined were less than 1% of human resource spending. The author
added 0.08% of GDP to defense spending for 2007 to reflect the Bush administration’s supplemental budget requests for Iraq
and Afghanistan not included in the regular budget.
Data sources: U.S. Budget, FY2008 and author’s calculations.
spending are shortsighted. One study that reviewed the sharp cuts in U.S. military
spending at various points since World War II concluded, “In each case the savings
proved only temporary, as declining defense budgets eroded military readiness and
necessitated a rush to rearm in the face of new dangers abroad” (Thies, 1998:176).
Finally, those who disagree with the declinists point out that U.S. defense spend-
ing measured in terms of U.S. wealth is not at a dangerous level and in fact has
declined during the decades the United States has been a superpower. Indeed, some
advance a social overstretch thesis, arguing that it is out of control social spending,
not military spending, that saps national economies. According to one such view,
“Whether in the form of bread and circuses in the ancient world or medical care for
the lower classes and social security for the aged in the modern world,” it is social
welfare spending that has undermined national economies (Gilpin, 1981:164).
Figure 8.7 compares U.S. defense and social welfare spending.
ECONOMIC POWER
Countries not only adopt foreign policies to increase their economic strength, they
also use their economic power to pursue a wide range of both economic and noneco-
nomic foreign policy goals. The determinants of national power include financial
position, natural resources, industrial output, and agricultural output.
Financial Position
The center of any country’s economic power is its basic financial position. Numerous
factors make up a country’s financial position, and we can analyze these and how
they add or detract from economic power by examining the United States.
254 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
FIGURE 8.8 U.S. Foreign Debt Overall size of the economy is one factor, and big-
ger is better. At almost $13 trillion, the U.S. GNP is
44.2%
Percentage of federal public
immense: the world’s largest, twice the size of the
debt held by foreigners next largest country ( Japan), and equal to 29% of the
world’s combined GDP. Per capita size of the economy
31.0%
is also important. China has the world’s fourth largest
GNP overall but ranks 110th among countries on a
per capita GNP basis. Exports of goods and services,
18.1% 22.2%
16.7% which bring in earnings, also contribute to financial
18.3% strength. Here again the U.S. position is good, with
17.1%
its over $1.2 trillion in annual exports slightly more
4.7% than the next largest country (Germany) and equal to
5.0% almost 11% of all exports. International investments,
which also bring in revenue, are a third positive area,
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006 with Americans having more than $10 trillion in for-
eign investments, far more than any other country.
To finance its budget deficits, the U.S. government borrows money,
partly by selling bonds. The debt owed to those holding U.S. bonds Yet despite its size, the U.S. economy, like the
grew from $261 billion in 1965 to $4.8 trillion in 2006. Increasingly, as biblical Goliath, has worrisome vulnerabilities. Most
this figure shows, that debt is held abroad, creating vulnerabilities for of the U.S. weaknesses are associated with lack of
the U.S. economy. One is that the U.S. government paid $83 billion in financial discipline. Budget deficits are one weakness.
interest to its foreign debt holders in 2006. The U.S. government had a budget deficit for 50 of
Data source: U.S. Federal Budget, FY2007. the 58 years during the period FY1950–FY2008. One
result of chronic deficit spending is that the U.S.
government has had to increasingly borrow money from foreigners to finance the
debt, as Figure 8.8 shows. This leaves the country vulnerable to external financial
pressure. Net trade is a second weakness and indication of lack of financial discipline.
Americans import far more than they export, and have rung up a net trade (exports
minus imports) deficit during all but two years since 1971. The $764 billion trade
deficit for 2006 was the largest ever, and far bigger than any other country’s. Balance
of payments is a third U.S. problem area. The enormous net trade deficit and other
flows of money out of the country have made for a huge U.S. deficit in its balance of
payments for current accounts, a measure that represents the entire flow of money
Web Link into and out of a country’s economy except funds for investments. Since its last sur-
An excellent source for details plus in 1989, the United States has amassed ever-larger balance-of-payments deficits,
of the current U.S. balance of both in dollars and as a percentage of the country’s GNP. The $791 billion deficit
payments and other data on the
in 2005 equaled a very worrisome 5.7% of the U.S. GNP. Thus far, the immense
U.S. position in the international
economy is the Web site of the
U.S. economy has been able to absorb these negative trends in U.S. budget, trade, and
U.S. Bureau of Economic balance-of-payments deficits, but even the financially mightiest of countries must
Analysis at www.bea.gov/. eventually balance its accounts or face severe financial problems.
Natural Resources
The possession, or lack, of energy, mineral, and other natural resources has become an
increasingly important power factor as industrialization and technology have ad-
vanced. Natural resources affect power in three related ways: (1) The greater a coun-
try’s self-sufficiency in vital natural resources, the greater its power. (2) Conversely,
Did You Know That:
the greater a country’s dependency on foreign sources for vital natural resources, the
Americans, who make up less its power. (3) The greater a country’s surplus (over domestic use) of vital resources
about 5% of the world
population, consume about
needed by other countries, the greater its power.
25% of its petroleum. The key here is not just how much of a given resource a country has and how much
it extracts for use each year; it is production compared to consumption. Oil is the most
obvious example, and is illustrated in Figure 8.9. For countries with large reserves,
Economic Power 255
13.5%
11.5% 12.1%
8.5% 8.0%
6.2% 6.2% 6.4%
5.1%
4.6%
3.4%
2.3% 2.0% 2.4%
1.3% 1.5%
0% 0%
Saudi Arabia Iran Russia China United States European Union Japan
Every country’s power is affected by how much of various economically vital natural resources it has
(reserves), how much of each it produces, and how much of each it consumes. Oil is a vital resource,
and of the countries here, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Russia are in relatively powerful positions because
each has large reserves and uses much less than it produces. China, the United States, the European
Union, and Japan are relatively vulnerable because each has small or no reserves of oil and consumes
far more than it produces.
Note: Data on reserves does not include deposits in tar sands and oil shale.
Data sources: BP, Statistical Review of World Energy 2006, online, and author’s calculations for the EU.
high production, and low consumption, the so-called black gold has been a major
source of revenue. For example, Saudi Arabia’s oil exports totaled about $206 billion
during 2006. Oil has also increased the global political power and significance of
Saudi Arabia and other such oil-surplus countries. By contrast, the United States has
only limited reserves and despite pumping them at a high rate still uses far more
petroleum than it produces. The resulting need for
vast quantities of imported petroleum makes the FIGURE 8.10 Vehicle Production
country vulnerable to disruptions in the flow of oil that
it needs to maintain prosperity and fuel its military. Share of
world vehicle
Second, when international instability or other factors production
drive up energy prices, as has happened in recent Rest of
world European
years, the cost to Americans increases, the economy 21% Union
can lag, and the trade deficit goes up. During 2006 24%
16%
Even if a country is bountifully supplied with natural
resources, its power is limited unless it can convert
those assets into industrial goods. On a global basis,
industrial production is highly concentrated. For
Global industry is highly concentrated. The countries of the North
instance, just five countries (China, Japan, Russia, the American Free Trade Association (NAFTA: Canada, Mexico, and the
United States, and South Korea) produce a majority United States) and the European Union each produce about a fourth
of the world’s steel. Vehicle production is another of the world’s cars, trucks, and buses each year, and along with Japan,
indication of industrial concentration, as indicated China, and South Korea make four out of every five vehicles. The United
in Figure 8.10. It shows that in 2004 the three States (18%) is the largest producer in NAFTA; Germany (9%) is the
biggest vehicle manufacturers (Germany, Japan, and largest in the EU. About 66.5 million vehicles were produced in 2006.
the United States) made 44% of the global total. Data source: International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers.
256 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
Those 3 plus the other 7 countries that make up the top 10 vehicle producers ac-
counted for 78% of world production. About 85% of the world’s countries (including
all those in Africa) produce no, or only a negligible number of, vehicles.
Agricultural Output
A country’s agricultural capacity adds or detracts from its economic power. Self-
sufficiency varies widely in the world. The United States not only meets its own needs,
it also earns money from agricultural exports. With agricultural exports exceeding
imports by about a 10-to-1 ratio in 2006, the U.S. net trade surplus came to approxi-
mately $50 billion. Other countries are less fortunate. Some have to use their economic
resources to import food. Sub-Saharan Africa is in particularly desperate shape. Senegal,
for one, needs to import machinery, fuel, and other products necessary to diversify and in-
dustrialize its economy, yet it must spend 28% of its limited import funds to buy food.
Another significant agricultural factor is the percentage of its economic re-
sources that a country must expend to feed its people. Countries are relatively disad-
vantaged if they have larger percentages of their workforce engaged in agriculture,
and thus not available for the manufacturing and service sectors. For example, over
half of China’s workforce is in agriculture compared to only 2% of all U.S. workers.
A country is also challenged if it has to spend a significant part of its economic effort
(measured as a percentage of GDP) to feed its people. Here again, China is relatively
disadvantaged by having to devote 15% of its GDP to farming, compared to just 2%
for the United States. A major problem for China and similar countries is that they
are inefficient because they have so little farm machinery. As one measure, Americans
have almost three times the number of tractors per square mile of farmland than do
the Chinese.
Now that we have explored national capabilities, we can turn to foreign policy
implementation, to how countries seek to utilize their resources, skills, and other
capabilities to promote their national interests. A first step is to reiterate that power is
a very sophisticated concept, including but also extending well beyond military might
and wealth. As we shall see presently, these two factors often have little or nothing to
do with whether a country succeeds or fails in advancing its foreign policy goals.
The second step in this introduction to implementing foreign policy is to take up
statecraft by identifying the instruments of foreign policy, the tools that countries
use to implement their policy. There are four instruments: military, economic, diplo-
matic, and informational.
Measurement
Cost/benefit analysis is one way to measure the effectiveness of force. War is very ex-
pensive. There is no accurate count of the deaths in the Iraq War, but in the initial
258 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
military invasion and the following occupation through early 2007, 3,400 U.S. and
coalition troops died and 23,400 were wounded. About 90% of these have been
Americans. Between 20,000 and 45,000 Iraqi soldiers and at least 2,500 civilians
died during the invasion, and the estimated number of Iraqis to have died during the
occupation either directly or indirectly from the violence and destruction range from
50,000 to 600,000. As far as financial costs, U.S. spending on the war and subsequent
occupation was approaching the $400 billion mark in early 2007. The cost to Great
Britain and other intervening countries and the destruction in Iraq easily push the
total cost of the war past the $1 trillion mark. Most Americans would say that the
war has not been worth the cost, but what goal would be? Answering that is difficult
because while the decision for war, to trade lives and treasure for a political goal, is
often made, it is impossible to arrive at any objective standards that can equate the
goal sought and the price to be paid even if you could accurately calculate it before
taking action.
Web Link Goal attainment is the second way to judge the effectiveness of force. Generally,
the decision for war is not irrational because leaders usually calculate, accurately or
An up-to-date calculation of the
ongoing cost of the Iraq war and not, their probability of successfully achieving their goals. This calculation is called
occupation for the United States is the “expected utility” of war. By the utilitarian standard, war does sometimes work.
available at http://costofwar.com/. From 1495 to 1991, great powers won 60% of the wars they started (Wang & Ray,
1994). Moreover, the success rate went up from 59% through 1799 to 75% between
1800 and 1991. During the first three centuries (1495–1799), the initiators won
59% of the wars they fought. But during the last two centuries (1800–1991), the
success rate increased, with the initiators winning 75% of the wars. Leaders often
miscalculate, as Saddam Hussein did in 1990 and again in 2003, and start or risk
a war they ultimately lose. Also, it is sometimes hard to evaluate whether goals
were attained. If the U.S. goal in 2003 was to defeat Iraq and topple Saddam
Hussein, it certainly succeeded. However, to the extent the goal was to destroy Iraq’s
weapons of mass destruction (WMDs), the invasion was a failure since they did not
exist. Finally, to the degree that the goal was to bring democracy to Iraq, the verdict
is still out about whether Iraq’s future will be one of democracy or an internal
bloodbath as various religious factions fight for power, but the prospects are grim
at best.
Economic Incentives
States regularly offer economic incentives to induce other states to act in a desired
way. Incentives include providing foreign aid, giving direct loans or credits, guaran-
teeing loans by commercial sources, reducing tariffs and other trade barriers, selling
or licensing the sale of sensitive technology, and a variety of other techniques. Some-
times incentives are meant to achieve an economic goal, but more often specific of-
fers (as distinct from, say, general foreign aid) are aimed at achieving a political goal.
For example, the efforts by the EU to persuade Iran to give up its alleged nuclear
weapons development program and the similar effort by the United States and other
countries to convince North Korea to give up its program both involve the offer of
energy aid and significant other economic incentives. One study finds incentives
more effective with authoritarian than democratic countries (Lai & Morey, 2006).
Some foreign aid is given multilaterally through the World Bank and other
intergovernmental organizations (IGOs), but the United States and most other aid
donors give funds directly to other countries. About 80% of all U.S. foreign aid is
bilateral. Much of it has a political focus. Indeed, about 40% of U.S. aid is military aid.
260 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
Following the 9/11 attacks, the Bush administration focused aid heavily in support
of the war on terror. In 2006, Iraq was the top U.S. aid recipient, with Afghanistan,
Pakistan, and the moderate Arab regimes in Egypt and Jordan also among the top
ten recipients. U.S. concerns about the Islamic extremists in Somalia, Sudan, and
elsewhere in the northeastern African “horn” region also put Ethiopia among the top
ten recipients. That paid off when Ethiopian forces invaded Somalia in late 2006
and ousted the Islamic fundamentalist regime that dominated Mogadishu and most
of the rest of the country. A few other U.S. strategic interests were also evident in
the distribution of aid. Concern about illegal drugs led Colombia to be a top-10 aid
recipient.
It is important to note that the political use of aid is not confined to the United
States. It is somewhat ironic that China, which once loudly criticized aid from the
West to less developed countries (LDCs) as imperialist, became itself subject to that
charge once it began to give limited aid. There has been considerably criticism of
Beijing, for example, because of its aid to and general support of Sudan, despite the
Sudanese government’s horrific ethnic cleansing campaign in Darfur. China claims
it opposes outside interventions in other countries’ domestic affairs, but critics tie
China’s support to its considerable interests in Sudan’s oil fields. Elsewhere in Africa,
China’s aid has been tied to easier access for Chinese goods and other benefits, lead-
ing South Africa’s President Thabo Mbeki to rebuke China for seeking for itself
“a replication of that colonial relationship” that once existed “between Europe and
its African possessions a century ago.”17
Economic Sanctions
Web Link Countries can also use their economic power in a negative way by applying sanc-
Current UN sanctions are tions. The use of economic sanctions dates back to at least 432 B.C. when the city-
available at www.un.org/sc/ state of Athens embargoed all trade with another city-state, Megara, an ally of Sparta,
committees/; current U.S. which was a bitter rival of Athens. Despite being ancient, though, sanctions were
sanctions are listed at www.treas uncommon until fairly recently (Elliot & Oegg, 2002). Increased use has occurred,
.gov/offices/enforcement/ofac/
in part, because countries are more willing to ignore sovereignty and impose penal-
programs/index.shtml.
ties on oppressive governments, because economic interdependence makes target
countries more vulnerable to sanctions, and because they are an alternative to war.
For example, the United States imposed sanctions on Syria in 2004 because of its
alleged support for terrorism, its occupation of Lebanon, and its chemical weapons
program. Overall, in 2006 the U.S. government had economic sanctions ranging
from full economic embargoes (no trade) to more limited restrictions in place against
Belarus, Burma (Myanmar), Cuba, Iran, Ivory Coast, North Korea, Serbia, Sudan,
and Zimbabwe. It should be noted that sanctions can be imposed by international
organizations as well as by individual countries. During its history, the UN has used
sanctions against numerous countries, with restriction in place against 10 countries
in early 2007.
2005). Sometimes they can be effective. For example, the sanctions first imposed
on Libya in the early 1990s almost certainly played a role in its 2003 agreement to
end its program of building weapons of mass destruction and to allow inspections by
the International Atomic Energy Agency and other international agencies. Usually,
though, sanctions fail to accomplish their goal, with success-rate estimates rang-
ing from 5% to 33% (Elliott & Oegg, 2002). Thus while scholars disagree on the
exact success rate, “something of a conventional wisdom has emerged,” one writes,
“suggesting that, while sanctions may serve domestic political or symbolic purposes,
they are not particularly effective at inducing target states to change their behavior”
(Morgan, 2005:1).
Studies also indicate that sanctions are most likely to be effective in certain cir-
cumstances (Lacy & Niou, 2004). These include instances when (1) there is strong
multilateral cooperation; (2) the target is politically unstable and/or economically
weak; (3) those imposing the sanctions are strong economically; the targeted coun-
try has substantial trade with the targeting countries; (4) sanctions are put into effect
quickly and decisively to maximize psychological impact; and (5) the targeting coun-
tries are not themselves harmed significantly by the cost of maintaining the sanc-
tions. Within this list, it is most important to note the first criterion: multilateral
cooperation. Unilateral sanctions, those imposed by one country against another,
have a very slim chance of success. The United States has had various sanctions in
place against Cuba since 1960 in an effort to topple the leftist regime of Fidel Castro.
Yet as of 2007, Castro was still in power and, indeed, was the world’s longest serving
political leader. Reports of serious ill health make it unlikely that Castro will remain
as president another 48 years, but it is far more likely that time and nature will
remove him from power than will the United States.
Iraq
Iran
Jordan
85 Kuwait
83 Saudi Arabia
Syria
74 Turkey
65
38
32
34 27
27
16
Throughout the Persian Gulf region, the child mortality rate for Iraq and all its neighbors declined
steadily from 1980 to 1990. Then UN sanctions were placed on Iraq. From that point, the child
mortality rate for Iraq shot upward alarmingly, while the rate for all its neighbors continued to decline.
In 2004, the number of children per 1,000 dying in Iraq before they reached age 5 was 125 (or
12.5%). This was more than three times the rate of the next highest country in the region (Iran, 38),
and 51% higher than Iraq’s own rate in 1980 (83). Such data casts doubt in the minds of some about
the morality of economic sanctions.
Data sources: World Bank online, UNICEF online.
over whether the sanctions themselves should be blamed or whether the fault lies
with Saddam Hussein for diverting funds that should have been spent on food and
medicine for the civilian population. Whatever the resolution of that argument, the
net result, according to various studies by the UN, Harvard University’s School of
Public Health, and others, was that during the sanctions period over 1 million Iraqi
children than would normally be expected were malnourished and upward of
500,000 died. This deleterious effect is evident in Figure 8.11, which compares the
child mortality rate in Iraq to that of its neighbors.
Multilateral Diplomacy
Although there were a few exceptions, the normal form of negotiation prior to 1900 Web Link
was bilateral diplomacy, direct negotiations between two countries. The use of Interactive historical maps
multilateral diplomacy, conferences involving a number of nations, has expanded representing world power in
greatly since then. More than any event, the founding of the League of Nations in 1920 the early 20th century can be
marked this change, and there are now about 250 permanent world and regional inter- found at http://users.erols.com/
mwhite28/20centry.htm.
governmental organizations (IGOs). Conferences to address specific issues and treaties
are also more apt to be multilateral. Before 1900, the United States attended an average
of one multilateral conference per year. Now, the United States is a member of scores of
international organizations and American diplomats participate daily in multilateral
negotiations. For example, the effort to persuade North Korea to give up its nuclear
weapons program has been conducted through the Six Party talks hosted by China and
also include Japan, North Korea, Russia, South Korea, and the United States.
One reason that multilateral diplomacy has increased is that modern technology
allows faster and more frequent contacts among countries. Second, many global con- www
cerns, such as the environment, cannot be solved by any one country or through
traditional bilateral diplomacy alone. Instead, global cooperation and solutions are SIMULATION
required. Third, diplomacy through multilateral organizations is attractive to smaller An Adventure in Diplomacy
countries as a method of influencing world politics beyond their individual power.
Fourth, there is the growing expectation of multilateralism, the notion that
important international actions, especially those using military force, will be taken
within the framework of a multilateral organization such as the United Nations. The
contrasting approach is unilateralism. This occurs when a single country, perhaps
leading a small coalition of other countries, takes action without the approval of an
IGO. Recent wars against Iraq illustrate the two approaches. Prior to the Persian Gulf
War (1991) the first President Bush secured the authority of the UN to oust Iraq
from Kuwait, and the U.S.-led invasion included military support from 33 countries.
In 2003, President Bush sent troops into Iraq without the UN’s imprimatur and with
substantial military support only from Great Britain and token support from 3 other
countries.
264 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
Many political leaders within the United States and internationally have strongly
criticized what they see as the arrogant and heavy-handed unilateralism of the sec-
ond President Bush. Not atypically, one condemnation of Bush’s foreign policy blasts
unilateralism as a “flagrant disregard for . . . cooperation,” and also “foolhardy [be-
cause] it makes of one [country] a clear aggressor, a likely target of retaliation, and
liable to bear the full brunt of paying for the operation, both in personnel and
money” (Seigfried, 2006:20). Others have taken the opposite view, though, arguing
against what is “short-term popular, but long-term unwise. . . . trust[ing] U.S. secu-
rity to the goodwill of international organizations” (Rubin, 2006:3). From a different
perspective, a recent review of the general scholarly commentary against unilateral-
ism argues that it has been mostly based on views of the policies, such as the Iraq
War, themselves and not on the actual process of unilateralism. That review con-
cludes, “Unless and until” better research is done, “scholarly grounds for a general
stance against U.S. unilateralism on the basis of its purported international costs do
not exist” (Brooks & Wohlforth. 2005:524).
Leader-to-Leader Diplomacy
It was once rare for monarchs and other leaders to meet or otherwise communicate
Did You Know That:
directly with one another. Now modern transportation and communications have
Bill Clinton is the most
traveled U.S. president,
made direct exchanges common. President Bush departed on his first foreign visit
having made 54 trips to only 27 days after his inauguration in 2001, and during his first six years made
133 countries and being 36 trips and visited 58 countries. Additionally during that time, he received visits from
abroad for 229 of his 2,190 heads of government or foreign ministers representing 80 countries. Beyond
2,922 days in office. such face-to-face encounters, presidential telephone calls to foreign leaders are a
common occurrence.
There are advantages to face-to-face meetings. Sometimes they have high sym-
bolic value. Richard Nixon’s visit to China in 1972 to meet Chairman Mao Zedong
signaled an epic shift in U.S. policy. Another advantage is that leaders sometimes
make dramatic breakthroughs. The 1978 Camp David Accords, which began the
process of normalizing Egyptian-Israeli relations after decades of hostility and three
wars, were produced after President Jimmy Carter, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat,
and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin isolated themselves at the presidential
retreat in Maryland. A third advantage of leader-to-leader diplomacy is that it can
facilitate communications and smooth relations. The first President Bush believed
that “The best diplomacy starts with getting to know each other” and that “If [another
leader] knows the heartbeat a little bit from talking [with me], there’s less apt to be
misunderstanding.”19
Sometimes personal warmth grows between two leaders that can be helpful.
George W. Bush learned during his friendly conversations with Junichiro Koizumi
that the Japanese prime minister is a huge fan of rock ’n’ roll and especially Elvis
Presley. So when Koizumi visited the United States in 2006, Bush presented him
with a vintage jukebox complete with 1950s and 1960s rock ’n’ roll records and then
escorted him to visit Graceland in Tennessee. There, when Bush urged Koizumi to
sing some of his favorite Elvis tunes, the prime minister warbled a few bars of “Love
Me Tender,” then crooned, “Wise men say, ‘Only fools rush in’,” which is also pretty
good diplomatic advice.
Disadvantages also exist in leader-to-leader diplomacy. One is that there are
numerous instances when leaders have made and reached what each thought was a
mutual agreement, only to find to their dismay that they had misunderstood each
other. A second problem is that while leaders can disavow mistakes made by lower-
ranking officials, a leader’s commitments, even if not wise, cannot be easily retracted.
The Diplomatic Instrument 265
“When presidents become negotiators no escape routes are left,” former Secretary
of State Henry Kissinger warns (1979:12). “Concessions are irrevocable without dis-
honor.” Additionally, poor personal chemistry can damage relations between leaders.
For example, relations between President G. W. Bush and German Chancellor Gerhard
Schröder turned sour in 2002 over their opposing views, “The personal relationship is
not just damaged, it is broken, and I fear beyond repair,” lamented a German official.
“That is regrettable because personal trust in the negotiating parties is important for
political cooperation.”20
Democratized Diplomacy
Few countries were democracies before the 20th century, and in that context con-
ducting diplomacy and agreeing to treaties and other international obligations were
almost exclusively within the monarch’s realm of authority. “L’état, c’est moi” (I am
the state), Louis XIV supposedly proclaimed with some justification. Executive leaders
still dominate the foreign policy–making process, but it is no longer their exclusive
domain. Instead, democratized diplomacy is the norm, with legislatures, interest
groups, and public opinion all playing a greater role.
Indeed, the importance of domestic politics in foreign policy making has given
rise to two-level game theory. This holds that to be successful a country’s diplomats
must find a solution that is acceptable to both the other country at the international
level and, at the domestic level, to the political actors (legislators, public opinion,
interest groups) in the diplomat’s own country (Tarar, 2005). From this perspective,
the diplomatic setting exists at the domestic as well as at the international level, and
is influenced by the interplay of the two levels when leaders try to pursue policies
that satisfy the actors at both levels. During the several tense times over the future of
Taiwan, for instance, U.S. and Chinese leaders not only have had to find points of
agreement between themselves, they also have had to fend off domestic forces in
their respective countries pushing to escalate the crisis. As China’s president put it,
“Any leader who lets this [Taiwan’s independence] pass would be overthrown.”21
Parliamentary Diplomacy
Another part of the modern diplomatic context is parliamentary diplomacy. This in-
cludes debate and voting in IGOs as a supplement to negotiation and compromise.
The maneuvering involved in parliamentary diplomacy was strongly evident in the
UN during the U.S. campaign to win Security Council approval for an invasion of
Iraq in 2003. That required the backing of 9 of the Council’s 15 members, including
a “yes” vote or an abstention from each of the 5 veto-wielding permanent members.
Washington’s strategy, according to one U.S. diplomat, was to “win backing like you
would in Congress—going after votes one by one by one.” Tactics reportedly included
offering a variety of economic incentives such as access to lucrative contracts to
rebuild postwar Iraq. As one U.S. diplomat conceded, “We’ll put it to them simply:
Do you want to be part of reconstruction and all that means—or leave it to us?”22 In
the end, Washington was certain that France and perhaps Russia would veto the
U.S./U.K. resolution, which probably did not even have 9 votes. To avoid an embar-
rassing defeat, the British ambassador to the UN announced that Washington and
London “have agreed that we will not pursue a vote.”23
Open Diplomacy
Secrecy was once the norm in diplomacy, with negotiations and sometimes even
treaties concluded in secret. Seeking change, Woodrow Wilson called for “open
covenants, openly arrived at” in his Fourteen Points. He got his wish and in the context
266 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
of expanded democracy since his time, the norm is open diplomacy, with negotia-
tions and the contents of international agreements widely reported and documented.
While this change is important to the principle of democratic government, it does
have its disadvantages. Public negotiations are difficult. Disclosure of your bargain-
ing strategy compromises your ability to win concessions. Public negotiations are
also more likely to lead diplomats to posture for public consumption. Concessions
may be difficult to make amid popular criticism. Perhaps the most critical negotia-
tions in all history possibly prevented a nuclear war when the United States secretly
agreed to never seek to overthrow Fidel Castro in return for Soviet withdrawal of
their nuclear weapons from Cuba during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. In sum, it is
difficult to negotiate (or to play chess) with someone kibitzing over your shoulder.
Indeed, domestic opposition to dealing with an adversary may be so intense that it
may be impossible to negotiate at all.
force, instead noting, “For our part, the United States is keeping all options on the
table. We will not allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon.”25
Less direct signaling was evident in the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan after the
9/11 terror attacks. Certainly that was meant to attack al Qaeda and the Taliban gov-
ernment, but it was also a signal to others. “Let’s hit them hard,” Bush told the chair-
man of the Joint Chiefs of Staff when he directed the general to send ground troops
as well as warplanes and missiles against Afghanistan. “We want to signal this is a
change from the past,” the president explained. “We want to cause other countries
like Syria and Iran to change their views [about supporting terrorism].”26
Conducting Diplomacy
Skilled diplomacy is more art than science. To be effective, diplomats must tailor Web Link
their approach to the situation and the opponent. Still, there are some basic rules of An online diplomatic game,
good diplomacy, and it is also wise to understand the implications of various choices Diplomatic Pouch, is available
diplomats make about the channel, level, visibility, type of inducement, degree of at www.diplom.org/index.py.
precision, method of communication, and extent of linkage that they will use.
China’s military newspaper, Liberation Army Daily, was far enough removed from
official policy makers to warn provocatively that China would “spare no effort in a
blood-soaked battle” if Taiwan declared independence.28 From a position safely distant
from the pinnacle of U.S. authority in the Oval Office, a mid-level Defense Depart-
ment official growled back that China would face “incalculable consequences” if it
attacked Taiwan.29
United States, the European Union, and other donor countries and organizations
(such as the World Bank) that were meeting in Brussels pledged $1.28 billion in aid
to the country.
the administration labeled the North Korean decision to restart its nuclear facility
as merely “regrettable,” rather than using a more heated term. Some observers
applauded the U.S. restraint, but others criticized it as weakness in the face of a
threat. From this perspective, Bush’s choice of “regrettable” was “the kind of word
you use when the soup isn’t very good before dinner.”38
second reason that it is important to reach beyond other countries’ leaders to try to
Did You Know That:
influence the wider domestic structure is the communications revolution. Radio, then
The International Telecom-
television, and now the Internet place countries, their leaders, and their policies in-
munications Union reports
creasingly on display before the world. The communications revolution also allows that 84% of the world’s
governments to communicate much more easily with a worldwide audience. households now have a
As a result, international relations are also increasingly conducted through television set.
public diplomacy. This is the process of creating an image that enhances a country’s
ability to achieve diplomatic success by increasing its soft power. Highlighting the
idea behind public diplomacy, UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan commented, “If I
can’t get the support of governments, then I’ll get the support of the people. People
move governments.”39
In addition to traditional propaganda, public diplomacy includes shaping what
leaders and other top diplomats say and do to play to public opinion abroad and www
otherwise conducting diplomacy in part as a public relations campaign. One scholar’s
concept of public diplomacy envisions a “theater of power” that is a “metaphor for ANALYZE THE ISSUE
the repertoire of visual and symbolic tools used by statesmen and diplomats.” As Multitrack Diplomacy
players in the theater of power, leaders “must be sensitive to the impression they
make on observers. . . . They surely [are] subject to the same sort of ‘dramatic,’ if not
aesthetic, criticism of other kinds of public performances” (Cohen, 1987:i–ii).
Public diplomacy is practiced in all phases of a country’s foreign policy effort.
When President Bush traveled to Russia in May 2005 to join in ceremonies marking
the 60th anniversary of VE Day (May 8, 1945), the end of World War II in Europe, he
was careful to also schedule visits to two former Soviet republics, Latvia and Georgia,
to demonstrate continued U.S. support of the countries against any outside interfer-
ence, especially by their former overlord, Moscow. Among other things, Bush under-
lined that point by placing a wreath at a monument in Riga honoring those who died
fighting for Latvian independence.
Governments also use a variety of agencies and other organizations to project
their image. The United States, for one, operates or sponsors the Voice of America,
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, and Radio Martí. The U.S. Information Agency also
produces Worldnet, a television service available globally, provides Web sites, and
has other modern communications capabilities. Other efforts are contracted to pri-
vate public relations firms. In one such effort in 2002 and 2003, the United States ran
a $15 million television campaign in several Arab countries. Called “Shared Values,”
the media effort was meant to convince viewers that Americans were tolerant of Mus-
lims and their beliefs and practices. In one spot, an Arab American female school-
teacher explained, “I wear a hijab (head covering) in the classroom where I teach.
I have never had a child who thought it was weird or anything like that.”40 Evidence
surfaced in 2005 that the U.S. government was also paying freelance reporters to
“place” stories favorable to the United States in newspapers in the Middle East and
elsewhere. More broadly, all U.S. diplomats abroad are expected to be part of the
image effort. This was highlighted in a 2006 message from U.S. Undersecretary of
State for Public Diplomacy Karen Hughes to all U.S. diplomatic posts spelling out
“Karen’s Rules” for dealing with the media, including:
Rule #1: Think Advocacy. I want all of you to think of yourselves as advocates for
America’s story each day. . . . I want you out speaking to the press, on television
interviews preparing and executing a media strategy, and providing our points on
issues. As President Bush and Secretary Rice have stated, public diplomacy is the
job of every [diplomat]. We want you out there on television, in the news, and on
the radio a couple of times a week and certainly on major news stations in your
country and region.41
274 CHAPTER 8 National Power and Statecraft: The Traditional Approach
CHAPTER SUMMARY
For simulations, debates, and other interactive activities, a chapter quiz, Web links,
and much more, visit www.mhhe.com/rourke12/ and go to chapter 8. Or, while
accessing the site, click on Course-Related Headlines and view recent international
relations articles in the New York Times.
Key Terms 275
KEY TERMS
9
International Law
and Justice: An FUNDAMENTALS OF INTERNATIONAL LAW
AND JUSTICE
HIS CHAPTER FOCUSES ON international law and justice in the conduct of world
FUNDAMENTALS OF INTERNATIONAL
LAW AND JUSTICE
What actors may and may not legitimately do is based in both international and do-
mestic law systems on a combination of expectations, rules, and practices that help
govern behavior. We will explore the fundamentals of these legal systems and moral
codes by looking first at the primitive nature, growth, and current status of interna-
tional law; then by turning to issues of justice.
its existence. There is, after all, a substantial crime rate in the United States and most
other countries, but that does not mean they are lawless.
International law is most effective in governing the rapidly expanding range of
transnational functional relations. These involve “low politics,” a term that designates
such things as trade, diplomatic rules, and communications. International law is least
effective when applied to “high-politics” issues such as national security relations.
When vital interests are involved, governments still regularly bend or even ignore in-
ternational law. Yet it is also the case that the law and standards of justice sometimes
do influence strategic political decisions. Both international law and world values, for
instance, are strongly opposed to states resorting unilaterally to war except in imme-
diate self-defense. Violations such as Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait still occur, but they are
met with mounting global condemnation and even counterforce. Now even countries
as powerful as the United States regularly seek UN authorization to act in cases such
as Afghanistan in 2001 and Iraq in 2003, when not long ago they would have acted on
their own initiative. It is true that the United States and Great Britain ultimately went
ahead in 2003 without UN support, but that does not disprove the existence of the
norm against unilateral war. Indeed, the widespread condemnation of the invasion
shows the norm does exist, and the ability of the United States to ignore the norm
demonstrates that power often continues to trump international law and justice.
International law, like any legal system, is based on four critical considerations: the
philosophical roots of law, how laws are made, when and why the law is obeyed (ad-
herence), and how legal disputes are decided (adjudication).
280 CHAPTER 9 International Law and Justice: An Alternative Approach
then, be seeing the beginnings of legislated interna- FIGURE 9.1 Opinions on Torture
tional law, but, at best, it is in its genesis. Certainly,
UN resolutions and mandates often are not followed, Italy 81% 5% 14%
but some would argue that this means that the law is France 75% 6% 19%
being violated rather than that the law does not exist. Australia 75% 3% 22%
Multiple, reinforcing sources, while not a separate Canada 74% 4% 22%
source of law, are perhaps the strongest foundation for United Kingdom 72% 4% 24%
international law. The prohibition of torture provides Germany 71% 8% 21%
an example. There are numerous multilateral treaties South Korea 66% 3% 31%
that bar torture. Among them, the Convention against Spain 65% 19% 16%
Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman or Degrading Egypt 65% 10% 25%
Treatment or Punishment (1984) has been ratified Chile 62% 16% 22%
by 75% of the world’s countries. Various judicial deci- Turkey 62% 14% 24%
sions have found that torture violates the specific Poland 62% 11% 27%
treaties and the general principles of law, and some Brazil 61% 7% 32%
individuals have been jailed for ordering or tolerating Average 59% 12% 29%
torture. The UN General Assembly has repeatedly United States 58% 6% 36%
and by lopsided margins condemned torture, and, Philippines 56% 4% 40%
as Figure 9.1 indicates, most people in most countries Iraq 55% 3% 42%
oppose torture. Whatever the view of an individual Ukraine 54% 17% 29%
or a country, it is safe to say that torture violates inter- Kenya 53% 9% 38%
national law. Indonesia 51% 9% 40%
Mexico 50% 14% 36%
China 49% 14% 37%
Adherence to the Law Nigeria 49% 12% 39%
Adherence to the law is a third essential element of Israel 48% 9% 43%
any legal system. As Figure 9.2 represents, people Russia 43% 20% 37%
obey the law because of a mixture of voluntary and India 23% 45% 32%
coerced compliance, and they enforce the law through Percent favoring: No torture Unsure Some torture
a mixture of enforcement by central authorities and
enforcement through self-help. World public opinion helps to establish international custom and
general principles of law, which are sources of international law.
Compliance with the Law Whether it is permissible to torture suspected terrorists and others for
information has been widely debated since 9/11. A majority of the
Obedience to the law in any legal system—
people in 18 of the 24 countries shown here and a majority of people
whether it is international or domestic, primitive or overall oppose torture. There was no country in which a majority
sophisticated—is based on a mix of voluntary com- favored torture, and only 29% worldwide did so.
pliance and coercion. Voluntary compliance occurs
Data source: BBC World Service Poll, 2006; data courtesy of World Public Opinion.
when the subjects obey the law because they accept its
legitimacy, that is, people abide by rules because they
accept the political authority that made the rules and/or agree with the rules them-
selves. Coercion is the process of gaining compliance through threats of violence,
imprisonment, economic sanction, or other punishment.
Any society’s legal system can be placed somewhere along the compliance scale
between complete reliance on voluntary compliance and complete reliance on coer-
cion. Voluntary compliance is usually more important, but there are wide variations
among societies. Americans tend to obey the law voluntarily; in Myanmar (Burma)
obedience to the laws of the country’s military junta is primarily a function of force.
Compliance with international law is mostly voluntary rather than based on
coercion. Pragmatic legitimacy is the key to international voluntary compliance.
Countries recognize the need for a system that is made predictable by adherence to
laws. Therefore they follow the law because it is in their interest that other countries
284 CHAPTER 9 International Law and Justice: An Alternative Approach
FIGURE 9.2 Factors in Adherence to the Law follow it (Goldsmith & Posner, 2005; von Stein,
2005). For this reason, functional international law
governing day-to-day relations between states has
Enforcement by central authorities
expanded. Legitimacy based on norms is less well
United States Myanmar established, but it has also grown. Aggression, viola-
(domestic) (domestic) tion of human rights, and other unacceptable prac-
Compliance
Voluntary tices still occur, but they increasingly meet with
through
compliance
coercion widespread condemnation. Unilateral military action
21st century Pre-21st century
world society world society is, for example, becoming ever more difficult for a
country to launch without meeting severe criticism.
Enforcement through self-help Such events continue to occur, as the U.S.-led inva-
sion of Iraq in 2003 indicates. But they occur much
less often than they once did. Moreover, even coun-
Two crucial factors in international law are how the law is enforced and
what encourages compliance. These factors differ over time and for
tries determined to go to war will almost always
different societies. make a concerted effort to gain international autho-
rization, as the diplomacy leading up to the 2003 war
again shows. Also, failure to win support subjects a
country, no matter how just it thinks its cause, to extensive international criticism,
which, as noted, was amply evident in global reactions to the 2003 war against Iraq.
A very powerful country like the United States can ignore international opposition in
the short run, but there may be a price to pay later. Washington found this out after
the war when it mostly failed in its effort to get other countries to share the financial
and military burden of occupying and rebuilding Iraq.
(and the closely related process of arbitration) by neutral parties. The international
system of law is in the early stages of this developmental process and is just now de-
veloping the institutions and attitudes necessary for adjudication.
International Courts
There are a number of international courts in the world today. Their genesis extends
back less than a century to the Permanent Court of International Arbitration estab- www
lished by the Hague Conference at the turn of the century. In 1922 the Permanent
Court of International Justice (PCIJ) was created as part of the League of Nations, MAP
and in 1946 the current International Court of Justice (ICJ), which is associated with The International Court
the UN, evolved from the PCIJ. The ICJ, or so-called World Court, sits in The Hague, of Justice (ICJ)
the Netherlands, and consists of 15 judges, who are elected to nine-year terms through
a complex voting system in the UN. By tradition, each of the five permanent members
of the UN Security Council has one judge on the ICJ, and the others are elected to
provide regional representation, as is evident in the accompanying map.
J
J
J J J
J
J
J
J
J
J
J
J Countries with judges on the ICJ in 2007: China, France, Germany, Japan, Jordan, Madagascar, Mexico,
Morocco, New Zealand, Russia, Sierra Leone, Slovakia, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Venezuela.
Countries involved in cases brought to, decided by, or pending before the ICJ, 1947–2007.
The International Court of Justice (ICJ), which sits in The Hague, the Netherlands, draws both its judges
and its caseload from around the world. This map shows the home countries of the ICJ’s 15 judges in
2007, and the 84 countries that have been a party in cases before the ICJ between 1947 and 2007.
286 CHAPTER 9 International Law and Justice: An Alternative Approach
In addition to the ICJ, there are a few regional courts of varying authority and
levels of activity: Europe’s Court of Justice (ECJ) and European Court of Human
Rights (ECHR), the Inter-American Court of Human Rights, the Central American
Court of Justice, and the Community Tribunal of the Economic Community of West
African States. None of these has the authority of domestic courts, but like the ICJ,
the regional courts are gaining more credibility.
courts have these supports. By contrast, countries are FIGURE 9.3 EU Court of Justice Cases
often reluctant to follow the decisions of international
courts, which, unlike the courts in most countries, 504
Average annual number of new cases
are not backed up by an executive branch with pow-
erful enforcement authority. 428
347
The International Court of Justice The ICJ has only
limited effectiveness. The UN Secretariat, which is 152
the ICJ executive branch, does not have the authority 48
20
or power to enforce ICJ rulings. This allows countries
to sometimes ignore ICJ rulings. In United States of
1953– 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000–
America v. Mexico (2003), for example, the ICJ upheld 1959 2005
Mexico’s claim that the United States was violat-
ing the Vienna Convention on Consular Relations One measure of the importance of the European Court of Justice is its
(1963) by not ensuring that U.S. states allow ar- workload. It has increased steadily as indicated in this figure showing
rested Mexican nationals to contact their country’s the average number of new cases filed annually with the ECJ. The
diplomatic representatives. The ICJ directed the court has jurisdiction over EU legislative and executive actions as well
as over some laws passed by EU member-countries.
United States to do so and to provide relief to the
prisoners who had been denied their treaty rights. Data source: European Court Annual Report, 2005.
The United States had ratified the convention in
1969, but the Bush administration responded to the ICJ ruling by announcing it was
withdrawing U.S. consent to the treaty provision allowing the ICJ to decide cases
under the treaty. Many legal experts doubted whether such presidential authority ex-
isted, but the Supreme Court inferentially upheld it by refusing to hear a case asking
for enforcement on the ICJ decision.
Fortunately for global peace and justice, not all ICJ cases end this way. The ICJ
sometimes does play a valuable role. Its rulings help define and advance interna-
tional law. Furthermore, the court can contribute by giving countries a way, short of
war, to settle a dispute once diplomacy has failed. The current ICJ case filed in 2004 by
Bulgaria against Ukraine over their maritime border in the Black Sea provides a good
example. More important than the details of the dispute is the fact that unlike many
disagreements throughout history over land and maritime borders that have resulted
in war, the existence of the ICJ provides Bulgaria and Ukraine a way to come to a
peaceful resolution.
ICJ advisory opinions also help resolve issues between IGOs and may even help
establish general international law. In separate actions, the UN General Assembly
and the World Health Organization each asked the ICJ to rule on the legality of using
nuclear weapons. The court ruled in 1996 that “the threat or use of nuclear weapons
would generally be contrary to the rules of international law applicable in armed
conflict,” except arguably “in an extreme circumstance of self-defense, in which the
very survival of a state would be at stake.” Among other impacts, the ICJ’s ruling puts
any leader considering the use of nuclear weapons except in extremis on notice that
he or she could wind up the defendant in some future war crimes trial.
Regional Courts Like the ICJ, this group of courts has struggled to make an impact.
The two European regional courts, the ECJ and ECHR, have been by far the most
effective of the regional courts.
The ECJ is particularly notable for the number of cases it hears (466 in 2005)
and its authority to make decisions and to have those rulings followed in areas that
were once clearly within the sovereign realm of states. As Figure 9.4 shows, the rul-
ings of the ECJ have tended to promote EU integration by finding for plaintiffs
who argue that the policy of one or another member-country violates EU law. In one
example, the court ruled in 2001 that Germany was discriminating against women
by barring them from serving in combat positions in the military. Soon thereafter,
Germany changed its policy and its armed forces began to train women for combat.
An important pending decision relates to Microsoft Corporation’s appeal of a decision
by the EU Commission fining the software giant $613 million for monopolistic prac-
tices such as bundling Media Player and other programs with its Windows operating
system. That ruling will have a major financial impact on Microsoft and, by exten-
sion, on both the U.S. stock market and possibly the way that software is sold all over
the world.
Law and justice are easy to support in the abstract, but it is much more difficult to Web Link
agree on how to apply them. To examine this, we will look at issues of cultural Those interested in a career in
perspective, issues of applying international law and standards of justice equally to international law or other applied
states and individuals, and issues of pragmatism. aspects would do well to check
out the Web site of the American
Society of International Law at
Law and Justice in a Multicultural World www.asil.org/.
Much of international law, which is based on Western concepts, sometimes clashes with the views of
justice held elsewhere. In less developed countries many believe that the high prices of U.S. patented
medicines are unjust because they are unaffordable and therefore they should not be protected under
international law. For example, these HIV-positive/AIDS victims in India are demonstrating against a
patent held by U.S.-based Gilead Sciences Inc. for the AIDS drug Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate. The
per-patient annual cost is close to $5,000. Gilead asserts that it offers the drug at $208 a year per
patient to poor countries, but Doctors Without Borders claims that few of these countries actually
get the drug.
the history of exploitation their people have often suffered at the hands of the West.
These states claim that since they had little or no role in determining the rules that
govern the international system, they are not necessarily bound by preexisting
agreements, principles, or practices. Instead, they support sovereignty and reject as-
pects of international law that they claim are imperialistic abridgments of that prin-
ciple. They insist on noninterference, which, for example, was one reason that many
LDCs opposed the American and British intervention in Iraq in 2003. Whatever their
sympathies with the plight of the Iraqis under Saddam Hussein, and whatever the
LDCs’ views of whether or not he posed an international danger, they are concerned
that they could be the target of a future intervention. These states are keenly aware
that such interventions are only launched against weaker countries and that the more
powerful economically developed countries are, in effect, exempt from intervention
no matter what the issue (Farer, 2003; Lang, 2003).
The LDCs also reject weighted voting schemes that favor the rich and powerful,
such as those in the UN Security Council, the World Bank, and the International
Monetary Fund. Emphasizing equity over the substance and process of law, for
LDCs, the important standard is justice, especially in terms of what they consider to
be the unjust maldistribution of wealth in the world that leaves a few countries
wealthy and most countries poor. A final note about multiculturalism and its inter-
face with international law and justice is that there are differing cultural perspectives
on human rights. This topic is covered in detail in chapter 14.
Applying International Law and Justice 291
Standards of Law for States and Individuals FIGURE 9.5 Sovereignty and Intervention
Yet another issue related to the application of inter- Unsure
national law is whether states and individuals should 7%
be judged by the same standards (Erskine, 2003).
Countries have generally not been held accountable
for assassination, massive attacks on noncombatant Yes
18%
civilians, and other acts that would be reprehensible
if committed by individuals. Of course, we recognize No
75%
differences between justifiable and inexcusable ac- If a country seriously
tions, but where do you draw the line? Some have violates human rights,
should its sovereignty
argued that the state cannot be held to individual bar UN intervention?
moral standards. Realist philosopher and statesman
Niccolò Machiavelli wrote in The Prince (1513) that a A large majority of Americans reject the idea that a country that is
ruler “cannot observe all those things which are con- seriously abusing human rights should be able to claim immunity from
sidered good in men, being often obliged, in order to UN intervention on grounds of sovereignty.
maintain the state, to act against faith and charity, Data source: National Opinion Research Center poll, January 2005; data provided by
against humanity, and against religion.” Taking the op- The Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, University of Connecticut.
posite view, then Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson
argued in 1793 that since a society is but a collection
of individuals, “the moral duties which exist between individual and individual” also
form “the duties of that society toward any other; so that between society and society
the same moral duties exist as between the individuals composing them.”
Questions about what principles should guide the foreign policy of countries
are not abstract because countries are increasingly being held accountable for their
actions in the court of international opinion and sometimes even in courts of law.
Sovereignty, while still a powerful concept, is no longer a legal absolute. It is being
eroded by a growing number of law-making treaties that limit states’ actions and by
changing attitudes that no longer see sovereignty as a defense against being called
to account for illegal acts. As Figure 9.5 indicates, there is considerable public
opinion to support UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan’s argument that sovereignty
“was never meant as a license for governments to trample on human rights and
human dignity. Sovereignty implies responsibility, not just power.”3 Views such as
this led, for instance, to international action that ended apartheid in South Africa
(1993) and forced the military junta in Haiti to flee (1994), and to the NATO
bombardment of Yugoslavia until it ceased its ethnic cleansing policy in Kosovo
(1999), and to the international pressure on Sudan to stop the ethnic cleansing in
Darfur. Also, as we will discuss further below, international tribunals are increas-
ingly holding individual leaders responsible for their actions and for those of their
subordinates.
There are numerous policy areas where international law is applicable to the
actions of states. Many of these are covered in other chapters. Chapter 14, for example,
examines the international law of human rights, and Chapter 15 takes up international
law regarding the biosphere. Of all the policy areas, though, the oldest and arguably
still the most critical is the law of war.
Illustrating these diverse concerns is the long debate on when and how war
can be justifiably fought. “Just war” theory has two parts: the cause of war and the
conduct of war. Western tradition has believed that jus ad bellum (just cause of
war) exists in cases where the war is (1) a last resort, (2) declared by legitimate
authority, (3) waged in self-defense or to establish/restore justice, and (4) fought
to bring about peace. The same line of thought maintains that jus in bello ( just con-
duct of war) includes the standards of proportionality and discrimination. Propor-
tionality means that the amount of force used must be proportionate to the threat.
Discrimination means that force must not make noncombatants intentional targets
(Rengger, 2002).
As laudable as limitations on warfare are, they present problems. One diffi-
culty is that the standards of when to go to war and how to fight it are rooted in
Western-Christian tradition. The parameters of jus in bello and jus ad bellum extend
back to Aristotle’s Politics (ca. 340 B.C.) and are especially associated with the writ-
ings of Christian theological philosophers Saint Augustine (Aurelius Augustinus,
A.D. 354–430) and Saint Thomas Aquinas (1225–1274). As a doctrine based on
Western culture and religion, not all the restrictions on war are the same as those
derived from some of the other great cultural-religious traditions, including
Buddhism and Islam (Silverman, 2002). Another difficulty with the standards of just
war, even if you try to abide by them, is that they are vague and controversial
(Butler, 2003).
Was the U.S. action taken under legitimate authority? The United States made
a legal argument that the authority to act did exist from the UN under earlier
Security Council resolutions. As President Bush put it, “the Security Council
did act in the early 1990s. Under Resolutions 678 and 687—both still in effect—
the United States and our allies are authorized to use force in ridding Iraq of
weapons of mass destruction.” Taking an opposing view, Secretary-General Annan
declared just before the war that if “action is taken without the authority of the
Security Council, the legitimacy and support for any such action will be seriously
impaired.”6
Was the war waged in self-defense or to promote justice? Bush argued that the
United States was threatened by the possibility that Iraq might give weapons of mass
destruction (WMDs) to terrorists or someday use them itself. “The danger is clear,”
the president proclaimed, that the “United States has the sovereign authority to use
force in assuring its own national security,” and that “before it is too late to act, this
danger will be removed.” A statement issued by the heads of 60 Christian organizations
disagreed. Explaining the group’s position, Episcopal Bishop John B. Shane argued that
just war theory differentiates between “anticipatory self-defense, which is morally justi-
fied, and preventive war, which is morally prohibited.”
In the case of Iraq, he continued, “I don’t see the threat
from Iraq to the United States as an imminent threat,
so . . . military action against Iraq is inappropriate.”7
Was the war fought to bring about peace? Here
again, President Bush argued “yes.” He told Americans,
“The cause of peace requires all free nations . . . to
work to advance liberty and peace” in the Persian
Gulf region. Taking a very different view of U.S.
motives, one Middle East analyst contended that
the U.S. invasion of Iraq “has to do with oil and to
do with empire—getting control of Iraq’s enormous
oil resources.” The analyst then explained her belief
that the motive was “not just about importing oil
to the United States.” Instead, “The issue is control,
undermining OPEC [Organization of Petroleum-
Exporting Countries], and controlling access to oil
for Germany, Japan, and the rest of Europe. This
would give the United States tremendous political
and economic clout in the rest of the world.”8
When thinking about jus ad bellum and Iraq,
fairness requires that you not apply 20-20 hindsight.
If, in domestic law, a police officer shoots someone,
the issue is not whether the person presented an
immediate risk of injury or death to the officer,
but whether the officer had reasonable cause to feel
threatened. In the same way, the fact that WMDs
were never found is not applicable to determining
whether President Bush reasonably believed that
a significant and imminent threat existed. Rather it
is his intentions at the onset of the war, not the suc- After thinking about the just cause of war and about the circumstances
cess or failure of the postwar occupation of Iraq in of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, would you agree or disagree with
bringing about justice and peace that is the standard the view of these people in Toulouse, France, that President George W.
to apply. Bush should be considered a war criminal?
294 CHAPTER 9 International Law and Justice: An Alternative Approach
invasion of Iraq. American officials went to great FIGURE 9.6 Opinions on Civilian Casualties
lengths to give assurances that all efforts were being
made to avoid unnecessary civilian casualties. For Muslim countries 18% 4% 78%
example, Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld Non-Muslim
42% 9% 49%
countries
told reporters, “The targeting capabilities and the
United States 82% 4% 14%
care that goes into targeting, to see that the precise
targets are struck and other targets are not struck is In its effort to avoid civilian casualties in Iraq, the U.S. tried:
as impressive as anything anyone could see—the Very hard Unsure Not hard enough
care that goes into it, the humanity that goes into it.”9
Most Americans agree that the U.S. effort to avoid The Bush administration said, and 82% of Americans agreed, that the
United States had tried very hard to avoid casualties to Iraqi civilians
killing civilians was laudable, but some did not, as
during the invasion in 2003. By contrast, 78% of respondents in mostly
detailed in Figure 9.6. As this discussion illustrates, Muslim countries thought the United States had not tried hard enough.
the law and justice of war remain highly controver- Opinions were much more mixed in predominantly non-Muslim
sial. Most observers would support neither of the countries, although a plurality agreed that the U.S. effort had been
two polar views: (1) that the United States could not insufficient.
be held responsible no matter what the level of civil- Note: The mostly Muslim countries were Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco,
ian casualties; (2) that knowingly taking actions that Pakistan, and Turkey. The mostly non-Muslim countries were Australia, Brazil, Canada,
France, Germany, Great Britain, Israel, Italy, Russia, South Korea, and Spain.
would kill any civilians violates the standards of jus Data source: Pew Research Center, “Views of a Changing World,” 2003.
in bello. It is easier, however, to question two extreme
views than to clearly demarcate the dividing line
between what is just and unjust.
former Khmer Rouge regime for the deaths of approximately 1.7 million people Web Link
(about 25% of the population) during its reign of terror (1975–1979). It is uncertain, The Cambodian Master
however, whether the tribunal will ever get under way, much less achieve any success Performers Program supports
amid the complexities of Cambodian politics. Among other issues, Cambodian the revival of the traditional art
Prime Minister Hun Sen was once a low-ranking Khmer Rouge official. Most recently, forms of Cambodia that were
largely destroyed by the Khmer
a joint tribunal was formed between the UN and Lebanon in May 2007. It is investi-
Rouge. You can view its Web site
gating specific crimes, such as the assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, and at www.cambodianlivingarts.org.
other examples of the alleged outside interference that has long destabilized the
country and will prosecute those responsible if they can be identified.
Agreed to
Not agreed to
J ICC Judges
as of 2007
J
J
J J
J
J J J
J J
J
J
J J
J J
More than half the world’s countries, including most of Europe and Latin America, have now ratified
the International Criminal Court treaty. The widely dispersed home countries of the court’s judges
(16, with two vacancies) in 2007 is also evident. However, the absence among treaty adherents of
such key countries as China, India, Russia, and the United States is a weak spot for the effectiveness
of the ICC.
guilty of overstatement when he proclaimed, “Starting now, all those who might be
inclined to engage in the madness of genocide or crimes against humanity will know
that nothing will be able to prevent justice.”14 One issue is that the ICC treaty has not
been ratified by 46% of the world states, including such notable countries as the
United States, China, Russia, India, and Japan.
U.S. opposition remains adamant. President Clinton signed the treaty for techni-
cal reasons, but declined to submit it to the Senate for ratification unless revisions
were made. Strengthening the U.S. stand, Congress passed the American Service-
members’ Protection Act (2002) barring U.S. cooperation with the ICC and autho-
rizing the president to use force to free any American held by the ICC. President Bush
agreed, and in 2002 the State Department informed the UN that the United States did
not intend to ratify the ICC Treaty and did not believe there were any U.S. legal oblig-
ations arising from the earlier U.S. signing of the treaty. Bush also threatened to veto
all UN peacekeeping operations unless the Security Council exempted U.S. troops
from possible prosecution by the ICC. This issue has been resolved for now by a series
Applying International Law and Justice 299
22%
13%
7%
Should the U.S. support having Should the ICC be able to try Have you ever heard
an ICC to try war criminals if U.S. soldiers accused of war of the ICC?
their own country won’t? crimes if the U.S. won’t?
If you ask Americans a general question about having the International Criminal Court try war criminals,
as the left question does, you elicit a high level of support for the ICC. However, if you ask about the ICC
possibly trying Americans accused of war crimes, as the middle question does, then only a minority of
Americans supports the court. One reason for the varying opinions is, as the right question shows, that
almost two-thirds of Americans admit that they have never even heard of the ICC.
Data sources: Left question: Chicago Council on Foreign Relations/German Marshall Fund poll, June 2002. Middle question:
Pew Research Center poll, January 2003. Right question: Gallup International poll, 2005. All data provided by The Roper
Center for Public Opinion Research, University of Connecticut.
of one-year exemptions given by the Security Council to U.S. peacekeepers. The Bush
administration has also negotiated bilateral “Article 98 agreements” (for a clause in
the ICC treaty) with 100 countries agreeing that neither country will surrender the
other’s citizens to the ICC for prosecution. Sometimes these agreements have been
possible because another government agreed with Washington about the ICC; at
other times U.S. threats of foreign aid cutoffs or other pressures have promoted agree-
ment. What most Americans think about the ICC is unclear. As Figure 9.7 indicates,
American views on the court depend on the question in part because most Americans
know little or nothing about the ICC.
Given its hegemonic role in the international system, the U.S. position on the court
is sure to be important—perhaps critical to its success (Johansen, 2006; Ralph, 2005). www
Little change is likely while President Bush is in office. But some observers are opti-
mistic about the U.S. stance in the long run. For one, the ICC’s chief judge, Philippe JOIN THE DEBATE
Kirsch of Canada, predicts, “In the end, this court is going to become universal. It will The International Criminal
not happen overnight. I think it may take a few decades to reach universality, but I Court: To Ratify or Not
believe it is only a question of time.”15 Perhaps Judge Kirsch is correct and American to Ratify–That Is
attitudes will eventually change. Most movie viewers probably supported the idea of the Question
sending the odious dictator of the fictional country Matoba to the ICC for prosecution
in the 2005 film The Interpreter, starring Nicole Kidman and Sean Penn, and perhaps
in time the ICC will seem less threatening. Even the Bush administration relented just
a bit when in 2005 it abstained rather than vetoed the Security Council resolution that
referred the situation in Darfur to the ICC for investigation and possible prosecution.
good or of evil. Alas, our world is imperfect, and its standards and choices are often
murky, which leads to several questions regarding the prudence of applying stan-
dards of law, justice, and morality.
Can ends justify means? One conundrum is whether an act that by itself is evil
can be justified if it is done for a good cause. Some believe that ends never justify
means. The philosopher Immanuel Kant took a position of moral absolutism in his
Groundwork on the Metaphysics of Morals (1785) and argued that ends never justify
means. He therefore urged us to “do what is right though the world should perish.”
Others disagree and argue that faced with complex choices, lofty goals do some-
times justify acts that most people consider morally abhorrent in the abstract. Terror-
ism is a case in point. For example, the Middle East terrorist group Hamas justifies
suicide bombings against Israeli civilians on the grounds that the “heroic martyrdom
operations . . . represent the sole weapon” available to the Palestinian people. The
statement goes on to argue that “denying the Palestinian people the right of self-
defense and describing this as terrorism, which should have been linked with the
occupation [of Palestinian lands by Israel], violates all laws and norms which granted
the people the right of self-defense” and that “considering the Palestinian resistance
as a terrorist act and an outlaw legitimizes occupation because it delegitimizes its
resistance.”16
On the other side are potential victims of terrorism who debate whether tortur-
ing terrorists to learn about and abort planned attacks is justified. The 1998 film The
Siege took the moral position that FBI agent “Hub” Hubbard (Denzel Washington)
was the hero when he arrested General William Deveraux (Bruce Willis) for torturing
a suspected terrorist to death in an effort to gain information about other terrorist cells
in a besieged New York City. But Americans are not so sure who was right. When
asked the type of general question about torture posed in Figure 9.1 on p. 283, most
Americans oppose torture. But a question in another poll that increased the incentive
Did You Know That: to torture by asking, “Would you support the use of torture by [the] U.S. if it might
A 2002 U.S. Justice lead to the prevention of a major terrorist attack?” recorded 58% of Americans saying
Department memo relating they would support torture compared to only 35% saying they would not.17
to the treatment of terrorist In practice, the primitive international political system can make the strict ap-
suspects argued, “For an
act to constitute torture as
plication of strong moral principles, adherence to international law, and other such
defined [in U.S. law] it must altruistic acts unwise and even dangerous. Clearly, most of us do not take such an ab-
inflict pain . . . equivalent in solute position. Nor do we practice amorality. Instead, most people adhere to moral
intensity to the pain accom- relativism. They believe that actions must be placed in context. For example, most
panying serious physical Americans explicitly or implicitly accept capital punishment and the atomic bomb-
injury, such as organ failure,
impairment of bodily
ings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki as somehow justifiable as retaliation or even as an
function, or even death.” unfortunate necessity to a better end. The problem, again, is where to draw the line,
as presented to you in the box, “Would You Kill This Baby?”
Should we judge others by our own standards? The issue about whether to judge
others rests on two controversies. The first, which we have already addressed, is
whether one should apply standards of international law and justice given the diver-
gent values of a multicultural world. Some claim that doing so is cultural imperial-
ism; others believe that at least some universal standards exist.
A second objection to any country or even the UN imposing sanctions or taking
other action against a country for committing supposedly illegal, unjust, or immoral
acts is that it violates the sovereignty of the target country. Americans overwhelmingly
supported sanctions and even war against Iraq for its invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
Most Americans would have been outraged over the violation of U.S. sovereignty,
however, had the UN imposed sanctions on the United States for what many, perhaps
most people around the world considered the illegal U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Applying International Law and Justice 301
A third concern stems from what one might call “selective interventions.” The United
States has intervened in Haiti and Iraq at least partly in the name of democracy, yet
in 1990 it sent its forces to defend Saudi Arabia and liberate Kuwait, both of which
are ruled by distinctly undemocratic monarchies. Strong U.S. sanctions exist against
communist Cuba, but U.S. trade with communist China is booming. Such selective
interventions lead to a fourth concern: the suspicion that the invocation of interna-
tional law and justice is often a smokescreen to cover old-fashioned imperialist
intentions (Welsh, 2004; Orford, 2003).
302 CHAPTER 9 International Law and Justice: An Alternative Approach
The often anarchic and inequitable world makes it easy to dismiss idealistic talk of
conducting international relations according to standards of international law and
justice. This view, however, was probably never valid and certainly is not true now.
An irreversible trend in world affairs is the rapid growth of transnational interaction
among states and people. As these interactions have grown, so has the need for regu-
larized behavior and for rules to prescribe that behavior. For very pragmatic reasons,
then, many people have come to believe, as one analyst notes, that “most issues
of transnational concern are best addressed through legal frameworks that render
the behavior of global actors more predictable and induce compliance from poten-
tial or actual violators” (Ratner, 1998:78). The growth of these rules in functional
Chapter Summary 303
international interactions has been on the leading edge of the development of inter-
national law. Advances in political and military areas have been slower, but here too
there has been progress. Thus, as with the United Nations, the pessimist may decry
the glass as less than half full, whereas, in reality, it is encouraging that there is more
and more water in the previously almost empty glass.
All the signs point to increasing respect for international law and a greater
emphasis on adhering to at least rudimentary standards of justice. Violations of
international standards are now more likely to draw criticism from the world com-
munity. It is probable, therefore, that international law will continue to develop and
to expand its areas of application. So too will moral discourse have an increasing
impact on the actions of international actors. There will certainly be areas where
growth is painfully slow. A particular barrier is the change in the U.S. attitude from
being a champion of international law and legal institutions after World War II to
being a skeptic today (Murphy, 2004). There will also be those who violate the prin-
ciples of law and justice and who sometimes get away with their unlawful and unjust
acts. But, just as surely, there will be progress.
CHAPTER SUMMARY
APPLYING INTERNATIONAL LAW AND JUSTICE Primarily, it applies to the treatment of individuals
10. In a culturally diverse world, standards of interna- by states, but it also has some application to the
tional law and justice have encountered problems actions of individuals. Thus people, as well as
of fit with different cultures. Most current interna- countries, are coming to have obligations, as well
tional law and many concepts of justice, such as as rights, under international law.
the stress on individualism, are based on Western 13. It is not always possible to insist on strict adher-
ideas and practices, and many non-Western states ence to international law and to high moral stan-
object to certain aspects of international law as it dards, yet they cannot be ignored. One middle
exists. way is to apply principles pragmatically.
11. The changes in the world system in this century
have created a number of important issues related THE FUTURE OF INTERNATIONAL LAW AND JUSTICE
to international law. Among these are the status 14. With the growth of international interaction in the
of sovereignty, the legality of war and the conduct last century, international law has developed, and
of war, rules for governing the biosphere, and rudimentary standards of justice are being estab-
observing and protecting human rights. lished. Although this growth has sometimes been
12. International law has been interpreted as applying slow, there will definitely be continued progress in
to states. Now it is also concerned with individuals. the future.
For simulations, debates, and other interactive activities, a chapter quiz, Web links,
and much more, visit www.mhhe.com/rourke12/ and go to chapter 9. Or, while
accessing the site, click on Course-Related Headlines and view recent international
relations articles in the New York Times.
KEY TERMS