AFM SD20 Examiner's Report
AFM SD20 Examiner's Report
AFM SD20 Examiner's Report
Management (AFM)
Sept / Dec 2020
Examiner’s report
The examining team share their observations from the
marking process to highlight strengths and
weaknesses in candidates’ performance, and to offer
constructive advice for those sitting the exam in the
future.
Contents
General comments .............................................................. 2
Question 1 – Kingtim Co ...................................................... 2
Requirement (a) – 7 marks .............................................. 3
Requirement (b) – 35 marks ............................................ 4
Requirement (c) – 8 marks .............................................. 7
Question 2 – Colvin Co ........................................................ 8
Requirement (a) – 15 marks ............................................ 9
Requirement (b) – 4 marks ............................................ 11
Requirement (c) – 6 marks ............................................ 11
Question 3 – Fitzharris Co ................................................. 12
Requirement (a) – 13 marks .......................................... 13
Requirement (b) – 8 marks ............................................ 14
Requirement (c) – 4 marks ............................................ 14
Conclusion ......................................................................... 14
Question 1 – Kingtim Co
Kingtim Co shares similarities with previous case study questions, which typically set
out a complex business scenario and require candidates to demonstrate their ability
to understand, deal with and communicate the type of strategic issues that a senior
financial manager or advisor may be expected to encounter in his or her career. As
an illustration, this question tests a candidate’s ability to assess the strategic and
financial impact associated with an investment proposal, supported by relevant
computations where applicable, brought together in a coherent business report.
Business reports are expected to be succinct, professionally written, and easy to
read with clear headings and conclusions. A candidate who does not demonstrate
this approach will fail to earn the full professional marks available for this question.
The hallmark of a good piece of written work is evidenced by a reasoned structure,
narrative discussions that are relevant and in sufficient detail, and clear and easy to
follow numerical workings supported where appropriate by brief notes.
Kingtim Co focuses on the defence of a potential takeover bid, including an
investment proposal to establish a new chain of retail outlets. The investment is to
Many candidates scored high marks in this section although the market value of debt
was often incorrectly calculated. The information provided states that each 6.5%
bond has a $100 nominal value and is trading at $104 per $100 but most candidates
treated each bond as if it had a $1 nominal value. It is important to allocate sufficient
time to reading and understanding the information provided in the scenario so that
candidates are able to answer the question correctly.
Another common, although less frequent, mistake was to misinterpret the market risk
premium as the market return when using the capital asset pricing model to calculate
the cost of equity.
This was the requirement most often omitted by candidates. Even when this
requirement was attempted, most candidates failed to account for the additional
finance cost and/or the tax payable on Kingtim Co’s forecast earnings. Candidates
are therefore advised to plan their time carefully and ensure there is sufficient time to
answer all the requirements, which is a skill that can be developed with additional
question practice.
Before writing the main body of the report, candidates may find it useful to present a
brief summary of their results from the appendices since this may help provide a
structure to their answers. However, many students present detailed results from
the appendices in their report, which is not an efficient use of time, and in some
cases, this was so extensive that there was no time remaining for any meaningful
discussion or analysis.
As the requirement is quite lengthy, it is crucial not to rush as some points might be
missed. For ten marks, a little planning is required, but there is time to think and
Candidates were asked to prepare answers in a report format for which the
professional marks were awarded. While many candidates did use a report format
and therefore gained the majority or all of the professional marks, a substantial
minority did not address this requirement fully or at all and hence failed to earn some
relatively easy marks. Too many reports ignored the need for a conclusion, which
restricted the number of professional marks that could be awarded. A small number
of candidates wasted significant amounts of time writing lengthy introductory
paragraphs that add very little to the report and in some cases so much time is spent
on the introduction, there is no time left for any meaningful discussion or analysis.
The time constraint was obvious in some scripts since a significant minority of
candidates missed this requirement. Poor time management meant these candidates
spent too much time on relatively straightforward calculations in requirement (b) or
discussed one area repeatedly in other requirements without considering the need to
allow sufficient time for all the requirements.
The time management issues are particularly disappointing because the candidates
who had planned their time adequately generally scored high marks for this
requirement and there were some outstanding answers overall. This was not a highly
technical requirement so it might have been useful to attempt this before the report in
requirement (b). Overall, many candidates discussed the approach taken and
associated issues at length and demonstrated good application of knowledge to the
scenario.
Colvin Co is broadly similar to recent exam questions drawn from the international
investment appraisal section of the syllabus (Section B). The scenario presents
information about a potential investment opportunity as well as other details
regarding the business and candidates are expected to demonstrate a combination
of computational and analytical competence in evaluating the proposal and
discussing wider business issues. If Colvin Co departs at all from the standard
format of previous exam questions on this topic, it should have reduced the scope
and complexity of the calculations although, as can be seen from the more detailed
discussion below, this was not always clear from some of the candidates’ responses.
In addition to an international investment appraisal evaluation, candidates are also
asked to explain strategies that would avoid a block on dividend remittances and
then discuss the validity of a country risk premium that they were asked to
incorporate into the project’s discount rate. With the possible exception of the latter,
i.e. requirement (c), it can be seen that Colvin Co was not highly technical. However,
many candidates struggled to gain high marks. In summary, the reasons for this
include candidates not allocating sufficient time to understand the scenario and/or
requirements clearly as well as poor time management, which meant candidates ran
out of time and in some cases missed one or more requirements entirely. The focus
for this advice will be on addressing these problems, as discussed in more detail
below.
Candidates were presented with brief background information about Colvin Co, a
company based in the eurozone, and then more detailed information about an
international investment opportunity in a developing economy in which the currency
is the Canvian lira. For 15 marks, candidates were expected to evaluate the
proposal by working through each of the components of an international investment
appraisal calculation and then, as is typical with any investment appraisal, briefly
discuss the impact on shareholder wealth.
Overall, there were some excellent answers to this requirement although many
candidates struggled to achieve high marks. As can be seen from the following
discussion, the reasons for this seem to be insufficient time spent reading the
scenario in the case of the lira cash flows and poor time management when
calculating the euro cash flows. Furthermore, a significant number of candidates fell
short in terms of providing a full discursive evaluation at the end of the NPV
calculations. Each of these problems have been grouped under the following
headings.
Lira cash flows
The numerical information provided to candidates included a financial forecast,
summarising the project’s pre-tax contribution and fixed costs. These cash flows had
already been adjusted for inflation, which meant candidates did not need to spend
any valuable exam time on this. Inflation rates were also made available but only so
that candidates could forecast exchange rates and the working capital requirements
over the project’s expected life, rather than make further adjustments to the
contribution and/or fixed costs.
However, a minority of candidates lost significant amounts of time inflating cash
flows that had already been adjusted for inflation. A small number of candidates lost
even more time, erroneously multiplying the project’s total contribution by the
number of units. Even though the scenario states that the cost of acquiring a
component that was to be manufactured in the eurozone was already included in the
pre-tax contribution, some candidates spent significant amounts of time making
unnecessary adjustments to the cash flows provided.
All of these errors could have been avoided with a more careful understanding of the
details provided in the scenario. Candidates must read the scenario carefully and
understand what is being asked of them before attempting the requirements. This is
a skill that question practice will help develop.
It is also possible that candidates struggled to gain high marks because Colvin Co
makes a minor departure from the format of other exam questions on this topic. It is
worth emphasising the point that exam questions are designed to test the application
of knowledge and candidates who try to answer questions by applying a technique
This was the requirement where many candidates scored high marks and it was not
unusual for answers to receive full credit. The scenario explained the potential for a
block on dividend remittances and most candidates recognised that a strategy to avoid
such a block should generate cash for the parent in the parent’s country. Candidates
who made suggestions to achieve this objective and recognised the inevitable conflict
it might generate with the Canvian authorities, scored high marks.
The scenario presented the chief executive’s justification for adding a premium to
Colvin Co’s cost of capital in order to compensate investors for country risk.
Candidates were asked to discuss the validity of these reasons. This requirement
was not well answered as candidates rarely recognised that the key driver of
required return is systematic risk, not the particular risks faced by the investor (or
company investing in a project), and particularly not the total risk as measured by
standard deviation. In addition, very few candidates questioned the actual
adjustment, an arbitrary 3% premium, since no justification was provided for this
figure in the scenario.
Candidates did not need to reproduce the model answer to earn full credit. When
candidates questioned whether the political risk or specific product market risk of
Canvia generated non-diversifiable additional systematic risk or made any other
relevant points for or against the country risk premium, they scored high marks.
Many of the candidates’ responses were very brief and in some cases this
requirement was missed entirely. It is possible this stemmed from the problems
encountered with the lira cash flow calculations in requirement (a). It is worth
emphasising the importance of careful time management if candidates are to be
successful in this exam.
Fitzharris Co was a 25-mark question which relates to the treasury and advanced risk
management techniques section of the syllabus (Section E). The individual question
parts are similar in nature and complexity to requirements that have appeared in recent
examinations and should not have been unexpected. Having said that, the question
does focus on more complex areas of risk management, rather than a relatively more
straightforward futures and/or options question that may have been seen in past
published exams. The scenario presents information about the borrowing that is
required to fund a major construction project. The initial requirement was to perform
hedging calculations using an interest rate swap and a collar given media predictions
of future interest rates. The question then required candidates to comment on the
results of their calculations and discuss the advantages and disadvantages of swaps
compared to traded collars. Finally, candidates were required to explain the
significance of two of the determinants of option valuation.
The requirements in this question were quite technical and candidates must recognise
that to do well in a question of this nature, they must invest the necessary time required
to master the topics. The detailed review below focuses on key problems which were
identified and future candidates would do well to address these.
This question part considered two of the areas candidates typically find it harder to
deal with. A minority of candidates were able to efficiently perform all the necessary
calculations and quickly earned high marks. However too many candidates struggled
and spent too much time doing incorrect and often unnecessary calculations for which
little credit could be awarded.
The swap was often done well. A common problem was that the comparative
disadvantage of 0.2% which arises when the counterparty borrows at a fixed rate was
treated as an advantage. Furthermore, a significant proportion of candidates could
work through to a correct conclusion but could not calculate suitable swap rates for
the parties to use. Candidates should be encouraged to clearly identify the type of loan
each party initially takes from the bank, prior to the swap, as this was often unclear
and had to be inferred, where this was possible, from a candidate’s other workings.
Candidates were generally less successful with the collar. A significant minority of
candidates did calculations for an options hedge instead, or indeed a futures hedge,
for which they could only receive limited credit.
A key problem in this question was the number of contracts that should be used. As
can be seen in the model answer the calculation of the number of contracts has been
based on the borrowing period of 3 years. In reality a rolling series of hedges would
be used to cover such a long period and hence credit was given for other justifiable
answers. Candidates should note that in future questions the number of contracts will
continue to be calculated based on the period for which the funds will be borrowed or
indeed invested.
The calculation of basis remaining continues to be a problem for many candidates and
it is recommended that candidates do their best to master this as it is fundamental
when dealing with futures, options and collar hedges.
Candidates should note that as the answer was only required in % terms it was only
necessary to work in %. As can be seen in the model answer this makes the
calculations required much simpler and enables candidates to quickly demonstrate
their knowledge of collars. A similar approach could be used for futures and options.
Many candidates achieved a satisfactory mark in this question part but few made
sufficient points to earn really good marks.
Candidates must recognise that it is insufficient to simply state the results from their
hedges and that their comment must add value if it is to earn credit. Whilst other
comments could have earned credit the simplest way to achieve this was to make a
justified choice as to which seems to be the better hedge.
Too often the advantages and disadvantages given were the advantages and
disadvantages of each hedge that a candidate had learned and did not compare the
hedges as required here. Candidates must demonstrate that they can apply their
knowledge to the question posed.
Candidates should also avoid repetition unless it is adding value. For instance, stating
that swaps have default risk and that collars don’t will only earn one mark.
This question part was generally poorly answered due to a mix of time pressure and
a lack of knowledge. Candidates seemed better able to explain the significance of the
time until expiry than the interest rate. Candidates should recognise that the option
sensitivities will continue to be examined and that it is worth learning the basic
knowledge regarding these sensitivities. Candidates who had done this were able to
achieve a good mark in this question part.
Conclusion
Candidates must be able to identify what is important in scenarios, read and respond
fully to question requirements and question narrative, appreciate what is of key
importance to businesses and financial stakeholders, and produce answers that are
well-structured and presented appropriately in both numerical and discursive
elements.