All Lectures
All Lectures
Lecture 2:
Introduction to Systems
Engineering
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
This Lecture
ISO15288: 2015
Kossiakoff, A., Sweet, W., Seymour, S., Biemer, S., Systems Engineering Principles and Practice,
2011, 2nd. ed, John Wiley and Sons
NASA Systems Engineering Handbook, 2007 (Rev 1) and 2016 (Rev 2)
REV1:
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20080008301.pdf
REV2:
https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/nasa_systems_engineering_handbook_0.pdf
US Dept Defense – Systems Engineering Fundamentals, 2001
http://www.dau.mil/publications/publicationsDocs/SEFGuide%2001-01.pdf
This presentation is based on the above texts.
Engineering and Systems
Engineering (Kossiakoff)
the application of scientific principles to practical ends; as the design, construction and
operation of efficient and economical structures, equipment, and systems.
In this definition, the terms “ efficient ” and “ economical ” are particular contributions of
good systems engineering.
Image – Dr Seuss
What is Systems Engineering?
(Ramo, S., in Weiss, A., Conquering Complexity: Lessons for Defence Systems
Acquisition)
What is Systems Engineering?
http://www.axiscades.com/automotive.php
Problem Definition
If we can break the system into smaller problems that are well defined we go
a long way to being able to solve the larger problem
Note: to do this requires a recursive solution development approach, i.e. we cannot
break a problem down unless we have some idea of the solution.
Development of systems engineering
2. Specialization
Increase in complexity and technology drives increases discipline specialisation,
this creates a need to segment projects into subsystems with specific in-depth
expertise – in-turn leading to interface issues with other specialised subsystems
3. Competition
The need to ensure superiority of design / capability
Competition in delivering engineering services, increasing need for cost-
effective and efficient solutions
Project Management and Systems
Engineering
Requirements flow from the top level (system) down to component level
Bottom up Approach
Top down is developing a solution to meet the needs of the problem as has been defined.
Bottom up is modifying the solution (existing) to the problem
Kossiakof, p37
Complex Systems
Kossiakof, p37
Characteristics of Systems Engineering
Systems engineering concentrates on the engineering of the entire system, as opposed to the
specific parts of it.
It provides for the allocation and priority of engineering tasks, and supports those allocated
tasks in understanding the interactions of their components or subsystems with others.
Systems engineering and its elements are iterative and recursive processes.
Meaning: you do not get it right first time!
Life Cycle
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MEC5883
Lecture 3:
Introduction to Systems
Engineering II
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
Administrative
V- Diagram
Systems engineering hierarchy and its elements.
Define system building blocks: functional and physical elements
Boundaries, interactions and interfaces
Requirements
Systems Engineering V- Diagram
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Systems Architecture – Building Block
Approach
Kossiakoff, p45
System or Subsystem
www.avl.com
Components, Sub-Components, Parts
Components
A functional element, being a division of a subsystem.
Combination of items performing a necessary function for the subsystem operation.
Sub-Components
The level below the components composed of entities which perform elementary
functions and are composed of several parts.
Parts
The most basic, lowest level representing elements, often commercially available that
perform no significant individual function.
System Building Blocks
Lecture 4: Business
Analysis Tools
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
SWOT Analysis
SWOT
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
SWOT analysis is used to broadly evaluate a project (or business) and
understand risks and its likely successes
It can be performed at various levels and stages of a project, i.e., it can
be used to consider the business, strategy or even the engineering
solution or concept.
SWOT
Weaknesses:
Characteristics of the project that are disadvantageous
Considerations:
Not Distinctive (eg similar products, or competitors have distinctive products (eg Apple));
No or poor reputation (previous failures, new venture);
Few established relationships (with clients, customers, brand loyalty);
Leadership (follower, behind in research and development, not state of the art);
Strategy / Organisation (no clear strategy, not a priority within organisation, inappropriate organisational structure)
Location (location disadvantage, eg Australia export to Europe versus local manufacturers);
Competition (significant competition, competitor advantages)
Technology (behind in r and d, key IP not known or held)
Financial resources (low or inappropriate financial resources, small company, low cash flow)
Cost (expensive)
Poor economy of scale (few clients, lack of manufacturing capability (eg even if successful))
SWOT Analysis
http://www.asea.net.au/publications/ASEA-Stage-2-ReportWeb.pdf
SWOT Example – Australian
Automotive Supplier Performance
Strengths
http://www.asea.net.au/publications/ASEA-Stage-
2-ReportWeb.pdf
SWOT Example – Australian
Automotive Supplier Performance
Weaknesses
http://www.asea.net.au/publications/ASEA-Stage-
2-ReportWeb.pdf
SWOT Example – Australian
Automotive Supplier Performance
http://www.asea.net.au/publications/ASEA-Stage-
2-ReportWeb.pdf
SWOT Example – Australian
Automotive Supplier Performance
Threats
Lack of risk management – most companies are aware of the issues
facing the industry, but in some cases there is little evidence of companies
implementing comprehensive risk management strategies.
Reliance on a small number of customers – little evidence exists of any
systematic approach to achieving greater scale across the supply chain.
Few companies are being proactive in seeking out business beyond the
automotive space, or in developing their capabilities in this direction.
Balance sheet adjustment – in the majority of occasions where a
company had undergone a significant downturn in its turnover, it had not
taken the next step of adjusting its fixed cost base accordingly
http://www.asea.net.au/publications/ASEA-Stage-
2-ReportWeb.pdf
SWOT Analysis - Australian Renewable
Sector Education Analysis
Strengths
High awareness due to Climate Change impact
Self promoting to the general public due to Climate Change
High demand for trained and qualified people in Australia
High demand for trained and experienced R&S technology teachers
High demand for quality training courses and materials in R&S
technology
http://issinstitute.org.au/wp-content/media/2011/05/ISS-FEL-
REPORT-de-la-TORRE-low-res.pdf
SWOT Analysis - Australian Renewable
Sector
Weaknesses
Lack of financial support of the development of training
Not given the required level of priority for immediate development
Urgency and timeliness not recognised nor addressed
Implementation too haphazard at present
Not enough Government policy support nor financial support incentives or
investments
TAFE institutes work in competition with each other rather than collaboration
Lack of manufacturing capacity in Australia regarding R&S technology
components
http://issinstitute.org.au/wp-content/media/2011/05/ISS-FEL-
REPORT-de-la-TORRE-low-res.pdf
SWOT Analysis - Australian Renewable
Sector
Opportunities
R&S technology set to become a huge growth industry (similar to the initial
computer technology boom)
Potential for financial investors from Australia and Internationally
Potential for more Government investment in training and development
Potential for new ‘green’ jobs and transition to ‘green’ jobs
Potential for Australian and Overseas investors for manufacturing in Australia
Potential for all TAFEs to work collaboratively on R&S technology projects
Skills and knowledge is required NOW in Australia and Internationally
Need to learn from countries leading the renewable and sustainable drive, how
to proceed with more speed , efficiency and effectiveness
http://issinstitute.org.au/wp-content/media/2011/05/ISS-FEL-
REPORT-de-la-TORRE-low-res.pdf
SWOT Analysis - Australian Renewable
Sector
Threats
Massive effort is required at all levels of government and industry in order to slow down
climate change
Australia is at least 20 years behind many European countries in many elements of the
use of renewable and sustainable technologies
TAFEs working in isolation on training and development rather than collaboratively
The global financial crisis is being used as an excuse not to proceed
Lack of R&S technology training facilities and supporting resources
Impact on industry of not having appropriately qualified training and development
people
Slow and haphazard implementation of R&S technology systems
Lack of manufacturing capacity in Australia for R&S technologies due to current lack of
vision
http://issinstitute.org.au/wp-content/media/2011/05/ISS-FEL-
REPORT-de-la-TORRE-low-res.pdf
SWOT Analysis - TESLA
PESTLE Analysis
A business tool for mapping and understanding the environment in which a
business will operate.
PESTLE Analysis
PESTLE
Political
Economic
Social
Technological
Legal
Environmental
Variants: PEST Analysis
Pestle
Political
What is the political environment that affects the relevant product, business or service, and
might this change?
Economical
What is the relevant economic environment and what will happen if it
changes?
Social
What are the relevant social considerations relevant to the product and
service?
Demographics
Cultural / social trends
Population
Health
Safety
Ethics
Image
Major events, etc
Pestle
Technological
What is the technological environment of the product and services and
how is it changing?
Research and development
Growth of technology
Maturity of technology
Alternative technology development
Potential for innovation
IP
Technology affecting use of or need for product
http://www.wired.com/2014/06
/supercomputer_race/
Pestle
Legal
What is the legal environment of the product and services and how might
this change?
Current legislation and regulation affecting the product
Areas where legislation may change
Changing legislation / regulation can affect demand for a product or service
Pestle
Environmental
What are the environmental factors relevant to the product or services
Weather
Extreme weather / natural events
Climate change
Awareness of climate change
Pestle / SWOT
Further reading:
Chapter 3: Warner, A. G. (2010). Strategic analysis and choice : A
structured approach. http://ebookcentral.proquest.com
Refer to course materials section for this chapter.
MEC5883
Needs Analysis &
Benchmarking
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
This Lecture
This Lecture:
Needs Analysis
Benchmarking
Website
Customer Needs
Understanding the needs of customers is imperative to good design.
We try to answer the question:
What does the customer need?
One technique is to perform a Needs Analysis
Needs Analysis
Needs analysis
An analysis aimed at specifying / defining the end user’s needs.
Related to achieving customer satisfaction.
Is useful in design projects to focus the considerations on what the user wants, as
opposed to the designer.
Often from the perspective of gap identification, i.e., the difference between what is
done and what should or is desired to be done.
Needs analysis
Who are the users?
Define the use.
Learning by borrowing from the best and by adapting their approaches to fit
your own needs is the essence of benchmarking
What works?
What doesn’t work?
You do not need to limit yourself to the same system. For example, if you are
benchmarking the performance of a finance company, ideas and
approaches from other businesses may be relevant, e.g., lean systems
Toyota
Toyota mission to US in 1950s
GM joint venture with Toyota in 1980s
Types of Benchmarking
Benchmarking Types
process benchmarking (often a business process),
strategic benchmarking (higher level strategic analysis), and
performance benchmarking
Performance Benchmarking
Performance Benchmarking
Performance benchmarking enables managers to assess their competitive
positions through product and service comparisons.
Performance benchmarking usually focuses on elements of price, technical
quality, ancillary product or service features, speed, reliability and other
performance characteristics.
Reverse engineering, direct product or service comparisons and analysis of
operating statistics are the primary techniques applied during performance
benchmarking.
The automotive, computer, financial services and photo copier industries,
among others, regularly employ performance benchmarking as a standard
competitive tool.
Competitive Set
A common starting point for different attributes of systems (often very hard
to do) can be to define the intended outcome in terms of the
competitive set (e.g. mid-class, best in class, etc).
This is a useful tool for defining some more complex requirements. For
example, how we define the top speed required of a new motor boat to
be released. One approach:
Define competitor group / set;
Define competitor performance;
Determine what is required of the new motor boat relative to the competitor
set (i.e, best in class); and
Set the benchmark.
Best in class
240
235 2016
Olympics
230
225
220
1-Jan-92 23-Jun-97 14-Dec-02 5-Jun-08 26-Nov-13 19-May-19
2024
DATE
Benchmarking – Project Context
Competitive benchmarking
Who are competitors / supplying equivalent products?
What are the competitors supplying products with a similar use?
Electric bikes
Electric scooters
Bikes
????
What sub-systems or design elements also share similarities with other products or systems?
What are the key attributes for your project?
Assess the competitors for these attributes
Use the evidence and information that is available to you.
You may need to make assumptions.1
MEC5883
Systems Engineering –
Requirements
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
Overview
What is a requirement?
External inputs and stakeholders
System requirements
Types of requirements
Writing requirements
Verification and validation
ISO15288 – Technical Processes
Requirements
What is a requirement?
A requirement is a statement of what the system must do, a condition or
capability.
A constraint on a system may also be a requirement.
A precise, single, written articulation of the above.
Requirements
Requirements should:
Explain what the system must do (functional requirements).
Quantify how well the system must perform those functions (performance
requirements).
Describe the environment in which the system must perform those functions.
Define other constraints or limitations.
Requirements analysis establishes the basis for the functional and physical
designs.
Requirements
Main inputs are the customer’s requirements and the project constraints.
Requirements within the system should be defined at all levels with
increasing specificity:
system,
subsystem,
component,
sub-component, and
part
Requirements Context
Stakeholder requirements:
Stakeholder sourced requirement.
Stakeholder may be an individual or a stakeholder class.
Aim is to define the user (and other stakeholder) needs in a defined
environment.
Express the intended interaction the system will have with its operational
environment.
Not necessarily technical.
Stakeholder requirements become a reference for validation,
validation evaluates whether the system meets the stakeholder needs.
Stakeholder Requirements
Stakeholder requirements are from the perspective of the stakeholder, often the user.
The combined users’ perspective of what the system must do.
Stakeholder needs and wants are analysed.
A stakeholder need does not necessarily become a requirement.
In some cases stakeholder agreement is required, although agreement is not
necessarily from the source of the requirement.
e.g., it is difficult to obtain agreement from customers.
What are the measures of effectiveness (how is the success of the system to be
evaluated?)
House of Quality
J. Hauser and D Clausing (from May 88), The House of Quality, Harvard Business Review
https://hbr.org/1988/05/the-house-of-quality
Concept Definition
As you move through the systems engineering process you need to evaluate options and
make decisions.
An important step is the development of a or multiple “concepts of operation.”
An explanation of the operational steps required to achieve the outcome from the user’s
perspective.
Step by step
Requires imagination of how the future system will operate and how it will be used.
How will the system operate and interact with its users and the external environment?
This comes from understanding stakeholders requirements, project scope and constraints
and developing different concepts that might achieve that outcome.
The necessary task, action or activity that must be accomplished.
Moon landing example
IEEE P1220
1. Customer expectations 9. LIfe cycle
2. Project and enterprise constraints 10. Functional requirements
3. External constraints 11. Performance requirements
4. Operational scenarios 12. Modes of operation
5. Measure of effectiveness (MOEs)
13. Technical performance measures
6. System boundaries
14. Physical characteristics
7. Interfaces
15. Human systems integration
8. Utilization environments
Developing Systems
Requirements
Requirements analysis
A process / exercise for defining the
requirements of each level of the system
hierarchy
Systems requirements are developed
from the various inputs and serve the
basis for the subsequent system design
System Requirements
A key part of the systems engineering process is getting to the point of having
systems requirements defined.
System requirements define and constrain the system from a functional
perspective (although not all requirements need to be functional)
This means once the system requirements are defined the system should be able to be
designed without further reference outside those requirements.
Feedback (e.g., to stakeholders) is allowed where a requirement cannot be met, or
an opportunity is identified, but this needs to go through the process again.
Requirements
Requirements can be loosely divided into: Most Important: Requirements should cover all
Customer / Stakeholder requirements; requirements of system
Examples:
a. The vehicle shall accelerate to 100km/h in less than 6 seconds.
b. The plane shall reach a cruising speed of 900km/h.
Design Requirements
The “build to,” “code to,” and “buy to” requirements for products and
“how to execute” requirements for processes expressed in technical data
packages and technical manuals.
Limitations on design, such as due to legacy.
May also go to design capability.
Environmental Requirements
Requirements relating to the environment that the system will operate in,
or may be required to operate in.
Can be natural environment – temperature, weather, etc.
Can be self-induced or other external environment: temperature,
vibration, noise, electromagnetism, shock, etc.
Can be societal environment (eg changes to PESTLE)
Other Requirements
Clear Verifiable
Without ambiguity Need not a solution
Singular Consistent language through
Consistent with other requirements (no conflict) Extensive – define all operational
Correct conditions and environments
Traceable Consistent with other requirements –
Achievable eg interfacing / interacting, early
conflict resolution, no contradiction.
Feasible
Appropriate for the level in hierarchy
Complete
Affordable Not repeated
Writing Requirements
The nature of requirements that are written need to be balanced with the
various project factors including complexity, resources, time, budget, risk, etc.
Often basic outlines of requirements are termed requirements definition documents.
More formal detailed specifications are requirement specifications.
these usually list all the requirements of the particular system, sub-system, component, etc. to
which the specification relates.
Requirement ID.
The requirement.
Level (system, sub-system, etc.)
System element (what is the system
element this belongs to – cooling sub-
system)
Rationale – why the requirement?
Traceability / parent requirement.
Owner (person or group).
Verification category.
Verification method.
Verification level.
Requirement Allocation Sheet (RAS)
ISO15288: 2015
Kossiakoff, A., Sweet, W., Seymour, S., Biemer, S., Systems Engineering Principles and
Practice, 2011, 2nd. ed, John Wiley and Sons
NASA Systems Engineering Handbook, 2007
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20080008301.pdf
Physical view
What the system is, i.e., its physical make-up of parts and components.
Functional / Non-functional
Requirements
Functional requirements:
Describe what the system must do…
A functional statement begins with a verb and follows with a direct object
Fly airplane, Surf internet, Enter password, Pay debts
Naming Functions
Function name should identify the action or transformation accomplished by the function
Avoid the pitfalls of “provide” and “accept” functions
Functional Analysis
Functions are intended to be taken literally as we attempt to bring clarity in describing WHAT a
system actually does
Important to use active Verbs rather than passive Verbs
Examples
Determine Resolution to Resolve Problem
Submit Budget to Budget Expenses
Develop Exhibits to Exhibit Products
Seek Approval to Approve Procedures
Provide Support to Support Weight
Functional Analysis
Anything else?
Functional Analysis
Reduce force
Spread load
Hold position
Adjust length
Connect straps
FAST DIAGRAM
Basic Function:
Principal reason for the product’s existence
Has value to the Customer
Loss of Basic Function results in total loss of market value for the design
May be Performance or Esteem based
What is the basic function of a car?
Secondary Function:
Assist in, or necessary for, the realization of a Basic Function
Targets for modification and/or elimination to:
Reduce cost
Reduce design complexity
Achieve Breakthrough in design
FAST DIAGRAM
FAST Diagram
Visual layout (Tree Diagram) of the product’s Functions
Starts with the Basic Function, and builds to the right with supporting or Secondary
Functions
Kossiakoff, A., Sweet, W., Seymour, S., Biemer, S., Systems Engineering Principles and Practice, 2011, 2nd. ed, John Wiley and Sons
NASA Systems Engineering Handbook, 2007
http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20080008301.pdf
http://athena.ecs.csus.edu/~grandajj/ME296J/1.%20Lectures/5.%20Scope%20&%20Conops%20Module/5.Scoping&ConOps_Module_V1.0.pdf
Boeing Functional Analysis: http://soliton.ae.gatech.edu/people/dschrage/TAI/SE-G_Functional_Analysis.pdf
NASA functional Analysis: https://kscddms.ksc.nasa.gov/Reliability/Documents/Functional_Analysis_Module_V10.pdf
http://www.egr.msu.edu/classes/ece480/capstone/fall08/group02/Six%20Sigma/SixSigma4.pdf
http://design.transportation.org/Documents/TC%20Value%20Engineering/2015%20VE%20Workshop/2015%20PPPs,Papers/Functions%20and%20
Fast%20Diagrams.pdf
This presentation is based on the above texts.
MEC5883 & 6883
Decision Making
Lecture
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
[email protected]
03 9905 5865
2
Project Review
Ken Wallace, Stuart Burgess, Methods and tools for decision making in engineering design, Design Studies, Volume 16, Issue
4,1995, Pages 429-446,
4
Decision Making
The aim of decision making in design is to identify the design solution the
performs the best considering all the aspects of the design.
This obviously depends heavily on how the assessment is conducted,
especially when there are multiple criteria.
Objectives often refer to goal such as minimising cost, increasing reliability,
performance measures, etc.
Often forgotten are risk of success / cost, likelihood of success and complexity.
Fundamental objectives are those that are inherent in the need for the
system: maximise profit, maximise safety.
They are what is trying to be achieved and not the means of achieving it.
9
Strategies
We make decision every day – what we eat, what we do, how we spend
money, whether work on our project, what we do in our personal lives,
etc.
Equally, in design of systems we must make many decisions.
Make criteria
appropriate resolution:
- what resolution
matters,
- how accurately
can you measure;
- noise / variation;
- environmental
factors
13
Additive Linear
Additive linear method is one of the most common used to find best
alternative.
Determine relevant attributes.
Assign a weighting to each attribute.
Score each alternative for each attribute (eg %)
Calculate the weighted sum.
Sensitive to scoring and weighting.
Question for review: is this outcome reasonable or is this is an artefact of my
process?
14
Additive Difference
Similar to additive…
Compare two alternatives at a time
Estimate difference between two (using some scoring method) on each
attribute.
Can using weighting
Calculate the total difference.
Repeat for all alternatives.
15
Satisficing
Satisficing involves aiming for an adequate solution rather than the best
Quite common, often not consciously implemented.
For example, a component is designed then if it meets all requirements
and constraints then the design is complete.
If not, the component is re-designed until it meets the requirements.
Process continues until all requirements are met.
Problem with this method is that it does not lead to the “best” design, but
is particularly useful on time constrained projects.
16
Disjunctive
This method works down from the performance in the most important
attribute.
Select best alternative in that attribute, if only one select that.
If more than one best, eliminate others, then..
Identify next most important attribute and repeat.
Doesn’t consider trade offs with other attributes so can be flawed.
18
Elimination by Aspects
Example:
Take solution/ options, A to D;
SOLUTION / OPTION
Each to be evaluated against CRITERIA DATUM / BASELINE A B C D
four criteria 1 to 4; 1 0 1 1 1 1
2 0 0 1 -1 1
Compare each alternative to 3 0 -1 0 1 -1
4 0 1 1 1 -1
the baseline for each criteria; SUM 1 3 2 0
Example:
Weighting can be added SOLUTION / OPTION
CRITERIA DATUM / BASELINE WEIGHT A B C D
1 0 10 1 1 1 1
2 0 6 0 1 -1 1
3 0 4 -1 0 1 -1
4 0 7 1 1 1 -1
SUM 13 23 15 5
24
Pugh Matrix – deeper evaluation
Example:
DATUM / SOLUTION / OPTION
Can increase the range of CRITERIA BASELINE WEIGHT A B C D
assessment values, 1 0 10 2 1 2 2
2 0 6 0 1 -1 2
Here +2 to -2 has been applied 3 0 4 -2 0 2 -1
4 0 7 2 2 2 -1
Note the outcome is now
SUM 26 30 36 21
different!
25
Weighting and Performance Matrix
Example:
Assign a percentage
performance to each criteria.
DATUM / SOLUTION / OPTION
Can be based on any reference, CRITERIA BASELINE WEIGHT A B C D
i.e. best performing solution gets 1 0.5 10 0.85 0.65 0.95 1
100%, or best possible; 2 0.5 6 0.5 0.65 0.25 1
3 0.5 4 0.05 0.4 0.9 0.4
Try to apply an objective 4 0.5 7 1 1 0.8 0.4
measure. (e.g., low mass – 100% SUM 18.7 19 20.2 20.4
is 5kg, 50% is 10kg, 0% is15kg)
Can be linear or non-linear.
26
Key Factors
Assess SENSITIVITY
Consider standard deviation of the assessments and weightings
Have assessors give an assessment together with upper and lower bounds
There is no point using highly accurate and detailed criteria if the method
of assessment is not itself accurate.
DATA
An outcome of decision making is often the need to have more information.
Is testing required, what is the cost of testing in terms of time and $$$.
Is that reasonable or necessary given the options being evaluated?
28
Key Factors
RISK
Is the decision a risky decision? What happens if we are wrong?
Do you confidence in the criteria / scoring / weighting?
Do you have confidence in the result?
RATIONALITY
Always ask the question of the solution – do we think this solution is rational!
Not always a single right solution, but there are wrong solutions, and there are good and
bad solutions.
Different methods will give different results.
29
References
References:
This lecture is based on the following text:
Kapur, K., and Pecht, M., Reliability Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, 2014
Chapters (1 – intro), 2 and 3.
Chapter 17 – Design for Redundancy
Also of interest:
Chapter 10, 11 & 13.
Reliability
Probability system (or subordinate) will perform as intended for a given period of time
Failure
System or subordinate does not perform as intended.
Prob system will not perform as intended.
Maintainability
Prob system can be repaired with a period of time.
Availability
Prob that a repairable system is available / operational at a given point in time given
certain environment
Reliability
Cumulative distribution
Expresses the likelihood that a value will fall within zero
(smallest value) and the reference value (Kapur and Pecht)
9
Probability Density Function
Reliability (R(t)) is the probability that the system will be still operating as intended at a
particular time (t)
It is often thought of in terms of unreliability (Q(t)), where Q(t) is the number of failed
components at time (t), i.e.:
R(t) = 1 – Q(t) where:
𝑛𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑
Q(t) =
𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙
𝑛𝑓𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑒𝑑 - estimate of number failed items out of a subset.
𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 – total of the subset.
The random variable used to measure reliability is the time to failure (t) random variable.
Reliability
Reliability
Failure rates are generally high at the start of the product life,
are low and approximately constant once the product is worn
in and those early non-conforming products are removed, then
failure rate increases again as the product ages
The “Bathtub curve” provides an idealised modelling of risk of
failure of products with time shown as a hazard rate
It contains three distinct zones:
Infant mortality – where failures occur due to inherent problems
such as manufacturing during the early life of a product (defective
products)’
Constant failure rate during normal life;
An increase failure rate at the end of life due to wear out / age.
Note this is highly idealized, but does present the different “modes”
of failure.
Hazard rate
f(t)
0.1 per week (discrete), then we have 100 fail in first 0.06
𝑓(𝑡)
ℎ 𝑡 =
𝑅(𝑡)
Time to failure
MTTF (mean time to failure)
Expected life of non-repairable system
∞
0 𝑡(𝑓 𝑡 .𝑑𝑡 ∞
𝑀𝑇𝑇𝐹 = ∞ = 0 𝑡(𝑓 𝑡 . 𝑑𝑡
0 (𝑓 𝑡 .𝑑𝑡
Reliability and failure rates are often estimated by fitting a set of data to multi-parameter
exponential functions, such as Exponential and Weibull:
Redundancy
Duplication of components or functions for the purpose of increasing system reliability.
Allows system to function in the case of component or sub-system failure, because a secondary
element can perform function.
Active Redundancy
All items are operated, but system can be operated with less items available.
Usually re-distribution only, example water flow through multiple pipes – pipe failure
Stand-by Redundancy
Items beyond the required number of items are not operated, irrespective of whether failed or not.
Passive Redundancy
Applies only when failure occurs, e.g, tyre blow out – spare tyre.
Differs from stand-by in that systems is completely switched off, i.e. is not automatically switched in /
ready to go.
Example
MEC5883
Introduction to Lean
Thinking
DAVID BURTON
DEPARTMENT OF MECHANICAL AND AEROSPACE ENGINEERING
MONASH UNIVERSITY
Overview
References:
James Womack – author of the Machine that changed the
world
International Motor Vehicle Program at MIT
James Womack, Daniel Jones and Daniel Roos, The Machine
that Changed the World, Free Press, New York, 2007
http://dl1.cuni.cz/pluginfile.php/218097/mod_resource/conten
t/0/womack_the_machine_that_changed_the_world.PDF
Read it!
Oppenheim, B., LEAN FOR SYSTEMS ENGINEERING WITH
LEAN ENABLERS FOR SYSTEMS ENGINEERING, John Wiley and
Sons Inc, 2011
LEAN
“All we are doing is looking at the time line from the moment the customer
gives us an order to the point when we collect the cash.* And we are
reducing that time line by removing the non-value added wastes.”
http://www.daimler.com/dccom/0-5-1322446-1-
1323352-1-0-0-1322455-0-0-135-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0.html
Craft Manufacturing
What is mass-production?
http://www.daimler.com/dccom/0-5-1322446-1-
1323352-1-0-0-1322455-0-0-135-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0.html
Mass Production and Henry Ford
Part interchangeability
Most importantly Ford insisted on quality and it was
in 1908 that he achieved part interchangeability.
It was this focus on quality through accurate and
standardised parts that meant that the assembly
line process could be implemented.
In other words, mass production cannot be
implemented unless parts are interchangeable.
Mass Production and Henry Ford
Video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S4KrIMZpwCY
Mass Production Problems
Perfection
Pursue perfection in every process
Continuous improvement
Must be bounded by value (success, cost, schedule, etc)
Output focussed (not improvement for improvements sake)
Otherwise this can lead to a waste
Respect for People
Culture of mutual respect and trust
Confidence in identifying problems and developing solutions
Lean Production / Engineering
Pull:
Push systems - where the preceding process pushes the product (of
that process) to the next stage - and eventually to the customer
Pull system - the following process withdraw from the preceding
process what is needed, when is it needed
Kanban (kan - sign ; ban – board/card)
A Kanban system / philosophy:
cards signal pull of work
is a workflow management method designed visualize your work,
maximize efficiency and be agile.
Not unlike Trello –Kanban board
Visualizing workflow, setting work in progress limits, managing flow,
ensuring explicit policies and collaborative improvement
regular feedback loops
Stability
References
ISO9001:2015 Quality Management Systems – Requirements
QUALITY
What is quality?
Quality is a measure of how a product or the system achieves the needs and
expectations from the perspective of the evaluator (usually the customer).
“Quality in a product or service is not what the supplier puts in. It is what the
customer gets out and is willing to pay for.”
It might be true that customers decide if they got quality results, but in the
practical business world you have to embed quality into products and
services so that customers can then experience it.
QUALITY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
Quality management / Quality Management systems are systems and structures that are
put in place to achieve quality within a business.
Aim to set-up processes geared to make an organisation perform for its stakeholders,
including:
improving products, services, systems and processes,
Managing quality means constantly pursuing excellence: making sure that what your
organisation does is fit for purpose, and not only stays that way, but keeps improving.
You need to develop a well rounded and in-depth understanding of those requirements.
Quality is not just about preventing failures; nor
Achieving one aspect of the goal (trains running on time)
www.quality.org
QUALITY MANAGEMENT
ISO9001
ISO9001 gives guidelines for how a quality management system should be
formed.
It is not the quality management system, rather defines the requirements for
such a system
Compliance does not guarantee quality.
ISO 9001 - QUALITY
When to implement.
Company need to (demonstrate its ability to) consistently provide a
product / service that meets customer and regulatory needs
Company need to address customer satisfaction through the effective
application of the system, including process for continual improvement
and the prevention of non-conformity.
Company draws benefits from compliance.
To deal with some gov. and industry as a supplier compliance must be
demonstrated.
ISO 9001 - QUALITY
ISO 9001
Identify the processes needed for the QMS.
Determine sequence and interaction of these processes.
Determine criteria and methods required to ensure the effect operation and
control of these processes.
Ensure the availability of the information necessary to support the operation
and monitoring of these processes.
Measure, monitor and analyse the process, and implement actions necessary
to achieve planned results and continual improvements.
Manage the processes in according with the Standard.
ISO 90001 - QUALITY
PROBLEMS
Quality management system does not guarantee quality
System must be efficient and lean
Can lead to over-prescriptive procedures if not correctly implemented
If it is not well thought out and structured the effort can outweigh the
benefits
ISO 9001 - QUALITY
Example of a medical
device quality management
system (note: not ISO9001)