Dubai Small Business
Dubai Small Business
Dubai Small Business
Economic
Empowerment
Institute
Fostering Digital
Equity and Inclusion
Dubai MSMEs:
Digital and resilient
The global pandemic and resulting economic crisis have hit micro, small,
and medium enterprises (MSMEs) hardest, with the smallest of firms
often struggling the most. This paper explores the results of a survey
of businesses in Dubai and finds that digital capabilities—in terms of
digital payments, access to marketplaces, and cross-border reach—are
key to small business recovery and resilience, and policymakers should
focus their efforts in these areas.
Synopsis
Dubai MSMEs:
Digital and resilient
This paper was authored by VEEI’s Chad Harper and Barbara Kotschwar; for
their strong partnership and assistance, we thank Essam Omran Saleh Disi
and Saeed Matar Mohammed Al Marri from Dubai SME (the Mohammed
Bin Rashid Establishment for Small and Medium Enterprises Development),
Jose Felix from Hi Dubai, and Mohd Ali Rashed Lootah, Dr Raed Safadi, and
Samuel James Dulka from the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism.
Visa contributors to the study included Anne Craib, Tania Garcia-Millan,
Raed Hergli, Sakina Lavingia, Sandra Lee, Liam MacDermott, and Salvador
Perez-Galindo, as well as Kati Suominen and her team at Nextrade. For their
helpful comments and editorial contributions, we also gratefully thank Jen
Swetzoff for editorial assistance and the design team from 451.
Visit: visaeconomicempowermentinstitute.org
Index
Executive summary 7
Introduction 12
Key findings from the VEEI survey of Dubai’s micro, small, and medium enterprises 20
Sources 35
These circumstances make Dubai an interesting case study. Dubai has excellent technical infrastructure,
as evidenced by its nearly universal broadband deployment and very high smartphone possession. Also,
the industries that were globally hardest hit during the pandemic are very important to the emirate and its
businesses. This paper explores how small businesses weathered the crisis.
In the summer of 2021—nearly 18 months after the beginning of the pandemic—the Visa Economic
Empowerment Institute (VEEI), working in partnership with the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism
(formerly Dubai Department of Economic Development) and Dubai SME, surveyed more than 900 firms (90
percent of them MSMEs) in the emirate to learn more about the effects of the pandemic on their businesses
and their recovery plans.
• The biggest COVID-19 effects were on sales and employment. For most firms, domestic and
international sales and purchases, customer bases, and employment were among the largest segments
affected by COVID-19. About 50 percent of micro firms and one-third of small firms experienced “significant”
declines in their international sales, purchases, and customer bases, while just around 20 percent of medium
firms had significant declines in these areas.
• MSMEs adopted new payment capabilities during the pandemic—and transitioned away from some
familiar ones. Accelerating existing trends, the past 18 months saw a continued shift away from payments by
cash and cheques and toward digital methods. The majority of firms in all size categories still accept cash, but
mobile payments, QR codes, established non-card e-commerce payment providers, and newer entrants in the
payment space kept gaining users, especially in comparison with pre-pandemic levels. In a striking development,
more medium firms reported accepting mobile payments than cash in domestic transactions.
• MSMEs expanded their use of social networks, messaging apps, and online marketplaces. MSMEs
increased their digital activity across size categories. The use of these online marketplaces doubled in many
cases from their pre-pandemic levels.
• Looking ahead, firms plan to prioritize improving their digital capabilities. Firms in every
size category indicated they will prioritize expanding their digital marketing capabilities, growing
their online sales, and amplifying their use of digital payments. About a quarter to a third of firms,
depending on the firm size category, have set out to telework before or during COVID-19, and
almost another third of firms reported that they are looking to pursue teleworking soon.
Using the results of the VEEI survey of MSMEs in Dubai, and with public-sector and private-sector
collaboration in mind, we make the following recommendations for further empowering Dubai small
businesses.
1. Emphasize digital enablement assistance for MSMEs. Although digital infrastructure is robust
in Dubai, the adoption of digital capabilities by small businesses is still a work in progress. Many Dubai
MSMEs expressed an interest in improving their digital capabilities. As is seen across the globe, newer
firms and firms led by men tend to be more digital than older firms and women-led firms, so helping
established and women-led firms would also be an appropriate area to focus on.
2. Keep consumers in mind when driving digital ubiquity. Payments need to support the
experiences, decisions, and expectations of consumers for any transaction. Contactless payment
capabilities originated in the card networks, and during the COVID-19 crisis, these touchless payments
have become the norm in consumer payment behavior due to their convenience, security, and low
fraud rates. Their adoption has been especially high in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), with contactless
rates above 80 percent of all in-person Visa transactions for small businesses.
3. Prioritize cybersecurity capabilities for small businesses. As the digital payments landscape
continues to evolve in response to changing business and consumer priorities, fraudsters are
increasingly engaged in finding new avenues to exploit. Many MSMEs in the survey said they were
interested in enhancing their cybersecurity capabilities, and they also welcomed more public-sector
assistance for doing so. Medium firms were more likely to identify this as a need; micro and small firms
may be unaware of the increasing importance of cybersecurity.
4. Help small businesses connect to marketplaces and use e-commerce capabilities to export.
Many small businesses in Dubai are taking advantage of the multiplier-market effects of digital trade.
Keeping markets open for the cross-border movement of goods, services, and data that is necessary
to their success is an essential part of a pro–small business environment. Interoperability, especially
regulatory interoperability, is key to allowing effective digital business to take place across borders. MSMEs
want more assistance with regard to online marketplaces, and policymakers could collaborate with the
private sector in connecting small businesses to world markets via marketplaces, as well as to their local
communities via “shop local” type platforms. In light of the adoption of digital payments and marketplaces
among many Dubai MSMEs in the past two years, there is a timely opportunity to enable small businesses
to translate their e-commerce capabilities into export opportunities—something firms themselves now
prioritize in their planning.
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a severe impact on economic activity worldwide, and its long-term
effects are still unfolding. In the short term, at least, it is clear that the measures that were taken to
mitigate the effects of the pandemic have been hardest on micro, small, and medium enterprises
(MSMEs). In part, that is because many MSMEs operate in the sectors that were most affected by
containment measures: tourism, hospitality, transportation, and retail. In addition, because of their size,
MSMEs are simply more vulnerable and less resilient than large organizations. As is the case all over the
world, many MSMEs in Dubai have struggled during the pandemic, and they have been the focus of
Dubai’s government support policies.
This paper begins by providing context on the economic and business environment in the United
Arab Emirates (UAE), using a combination of publicly available data and Visa transactional data. We
also examine the rise of digital capabilities in the country, as well as local business and consumer
expectations. We then turn our focus to Dubai more specifically, highlighting the government’s
response to the crisis and the specific measures that were implemented in the country to help small
businesses digitize.
In order to understand how small businesses have responded to the crisis and what they need to
survive the various challenges presented by it, the Visa Economic Empowerment Institute (VEEI)
surveyed more than 900 firms in Dubai in August 2021, nearly a year and a half after the onset of the
pandemic. The results of that survey are the main topic of this paper and drive its recommendations.
In fielding the survey in Dubai, the VEEI set out to answer these questions:
• How were small businesses affected by the pandemic, and what digital adaptations helped some of
them better weather the crisis?
• How did the pandemic accelerate certain digital commerce trends?
• What assistance did businesses receive from the public sector, and what were the businesses’
assessments of how useful that assistance was?
• What types of further assistance do MSMEs need?
• How are MSMEs planning to meet the ongoing challenges of the crisis, and how will they explore
further areas for digitization?
The paper concludes with some suggestions for how the public and private sectors can collaborate to
help MSMEs weather this crisis and become more resilient to future shocks in an increasingly digital and
connected era.
Although our recent survey focused on understanding the experiences of small businesses in Dubai, it is
important to understand the broader national trends as well. With that in mind, in this section, we look at
what is happening across the UAE, in terms of enabling infrastructure for commerce in the digital age, retail
and e-commerce trends, and the rise of contactless transactions.
The scale of As of mid-2020, there were 350,000 small and medium enterprises in the UAE. They represented more than
MSMEs in the 94 percent of all companies operating in the country, with 73 percent in the wholesale and retail sector, 16
UAE percent in the services sector, and 11 percent in the industry sector. Together, they employ more than 86
percent of the labor force in the private sector and account for more than 60 percent of the GDP (United
Arab Emirates Government Portal, 2021). The table below shows how the UAE classifies micro, small, and
medium firms by number of employees and by turnover in Emirati dirhams (AED).
Enabling Over the past 16 years, across the UAE, there has been a significant rise in people’s access to broadband
infrastructure for internet and their use of smartphones. In 2004, just 21.5 percent of households had broadband access,
commerce in the and only half of households had a smartphone. As can be seen in the next figure, 2007 marked the
digital age beginning of a digital access boom. By 2020, 96.7 percent of households in the UAE had access to
broadband internet, and 86.3 percent of households had a smartphone. This compares to 55.7 percent
broadband internet access in the world and 59.1 percent in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
region, and to smartphone possession of 79.7 percent in the world and 72.1 percent in MENA.
Retail trends Given the rise in digital infrastructure, the majority of households in the UAE are now equipped for
and the rise of e-commerce. Figure 2 shows that e-commerce has indeed become a growing part of retail activity.
e-commerce Although e-commerce in the UAE is not as significant as in the UK, where e-commerce accounts for
more than a quarter of all retail activity, it has grown steadily over the last five years. In 2020, which
was largely spent in the throes of the pandemic, overall retail activity shrank nearly 10 percent, but
e-commerce as a component of retail sales grew almost 60 percent. E-commerce was therefore a
growing piece of a shrinking pie in 2020—a trend seen in many parts of the world.
Figure 3. A look at UAE retail activity from Visa data (monthly YoY % point change in growth)
The fifth edition of the Visa Back to Business Study (2021) provides some additional context on small
business and consumer views of the evolution of commerce and payments. In that survey of small
businesses and consumers in nine countries, conducted in June and published in September 2021,
nearly half (49 percent) of UAE small businesses (versus 40 percent globally) said accepting contactless
payments is among the top critical investment areas needed to meet consumer expectations. And a
strong majority (84 percent) of UAE small businesses (versus 74 percent globally) believed customers will
continue to want contactless payments as much as or more than they do now. On the consumer side, 92
percent of consumers in the UAE said COVID-19 has permanently changed how they will pay, compared
with 68 percent globally. Almost three in four (73 percent) UAE consumers said they would not shop at
a store that does not accept contactless payment methods, compared with 44 percent globally. One in
three (33 percent) UAE consumers (versus 21 percent globally) indicated they had not used cash in the
last week, the second-highest proportion among all countries surveyed. Clearly, UAE consumers have
high digital and touchless expectations for commerce.
Figure 5. A look at UAE inbound cross-border activity from Visa data (monthly YoY % point change in growth)
As can be seen in the preceding data analyses and survey results, the UAE has a robust digital
infrastructure and has seen a rise in the comparative importance of e-commerce that was only
accelerated by the pandemic. The pandemic also accelerated the adoption of contactless payments for
those still made in person, and businesses and consumers expect that adoption to hold. This paper will
now shift focus to the emirate and city of Dubai, one of the seven emirates of the UAE.
Over the past several decades, Dubai has transformed from a regional trading post and major oil producer to
a thriving metropolis and global finance, trade, and tourism hub. Oil production, which once accounted for
50 percent of Dubai’s gross domestic product (GDP), now contributes less than 1 percent (Winkler, 2018). The
diversification of Dubai’s economy has been facilitated by the government’s commitment to implementing
policies that boost innovation and entrepreneurship-driven growth in the region. In Dubai alone, 99.2 percent
of establishments are classified as MSMEs, and they employ 51 percent of the workforce, contributing around
46 percent of the emirate’s GDP (Dubai SME, 2019).
Although Dubai has maintained a positive YoY GDP growth rate over the last decade, the emirate was not spared
from the COVID-19 pandemic, which, in addition to taking a toll on health, disrupted the global supply chains
and international transportation networks that fuel Dubai’s economy. Since the onset of the pandemic, Dubai
has responded with swift and effective health measures and economic support initiatives that protected lives
and livelihoods. The economic support measures also targeted small businesses, startups, and entrepreneurs’
transition to digital services (Dubai SME, 2021). More than 3,500 entrepreneurs are reported to have benefited
from free advisory services on digital enablement, and more than 1,600 new startups were launched (Dubai
SME, 2021). The UAE government took prompt and concerted actions to maintain business sector growth (Sahu,
2021). These included the AED 100 billion Economic Support Scheme launched by the central bank aimed at
retail and corporate customers affected by COVID-19 to facilitate temporary relief from payments of outstanding
loans, assisting more than 133,000 clients, many of them MSMEs. The bank also adopted the Targeted Economic
Support Scheme to promote lending to distressed clients. This program is estimated to have benefited nearly
10,000 MSMEs between March and July 2020 alone (Dubai Department of Economic Development, 2021a); in
April 2021, the central bank extended the program until mid-2022 (Barbuscia, 2021). Both the UAE and Dubai
governments provided support to MSMEs in the form of fiscal measures aimed at reducing fees and taxes and
simplifying business procedures (International Monetary Fund, 2021).
The pandemic also provided a unique opportunity for Dubai to expand the adoption and use of digital
tools and services. Although Dubai has frequently been at the forefront of digital technology adoption, 60
percent of Dubai’s population remained underbanked as of 2020, and online retail sales penetration in the
region remained significantly below the global average (Dubai Department of Economic Development,
2021b). Virtual operation requirements imposed during the pandemic, however, pushed individuals across
the economic spectrum to utilize online services and make digital payments. Business owners moved quickly
to fill this new demand: Dubai recorded an 83 percent YoY increase in the number of e-commerce licenses
issued during the first half of 2020 (National News, 2021). The growth in digital commerce also decreased
traditional trade costs, and it provides ongoing cost reductions for entrepreneurs and business owners (Dubai
Department of Economic Development, 2020).
As the pandemic worsened, strategies adopted by the Dubai government to manage the worst of the
crisis and support the economy’s ongoing digital transformation were aimed at supporting long-term,
inclusive, and sustainable growth. Because vaccines are being administered globally, the government
of Dubai is committed to reopening quickly and safely. The Dubai Expo, originally scheduled for 2020,
finally launched in October 2021 with a mandatory vaccination or negative COVID-19 test requirement,
boosting economic activity, travel, and tourism in the region (Nair et al., 2021).
Prior to the onset of COVID-19, Dubai was committed to expanding innovation and entrepreneurship
in the region. The pandemic has served to reinforce this undertaking, with a clear focus on
e-commerce and digital trade. During the September 2021 Dubai Digital Economy Retreat, the emirate
adopted a new digital economy strategy to enhance the digital business environment, support the
development of digital companies, and attract leading digital companies to Dubai (Emirates News
Agency, 2021). Investments in the digital economy are intended to enhance Dubai’s value proposition
as a technologically innovative financial and cultural center and to prepare the region to remain
economically competitive going forward.
Against the backdrop of these Dubai government activities aimed at MSME digital enablement and
recovery, VEEI, Nextrade Group, and Dubai SME partnered to design and field an online survey of
MSMEs in July and August of 2021.
The survey obtained responses from 930 firms in more than 20 business sectors. Firms from 195 of
Dubai’s 226 recognized neighborhoods responded. Nearly 29 percent of respondents were micro
enterprises (0-9 employees); 44 percent were small (10-99 employees); 17 percent were medium
(100-249 employees); and almost 11 percent were large (250+ employees.) Note: Dubai uses slightly
different classifications for firm size, depending on business sector, but these definitions were used
for comparability with other VEEI studies. See Annex 1 for more detail on the size breakdown of
responding firms, the age of the firms, and the business sectors represented. Although large firms
were not the focus of the study, there are occasional insights and comparisons involving large firms
that are useful, and those will be referenced when they are applicable.
Less than half of Forty-three percent of the surveyed firms had positive revenue growth in 2020, and 62 percent
MSMEs reported expected to experience positive growth in revenue in 2021—but compared with a 2020 baseline.
positive growth Not surprisingly, firms that experienced the fastest revenue growth in 2020 also expected to fare
in 2020; more much better in 2021 than firms that experienced little or negative growth in revenue in 2020. As
expected to grow can be seen in the following figure, revenue growth in 2020 was notably correlated with firm size,
in 2021 with well over 50 percent of micro and small firms reporting negative growth, compared with
fewer than 40 percent of medium and large firms having negative revenue growth. The hardest-
hit firms—those experiencing more than a 20 percent decline in revenue—were primarily the
micro firms.
The following figure shows expectations for 2021, compared with 2020. Here again, there is a
negative correlation between revenue growth and firm size, with just a little more than half of micro
firms expecting positive growth in 2021 over 2020 (an already bad year for them). But more than
three-quarters of large firms reported that they were expecting to improve on their 2020 experience,
and they had experienced a better 2020 than other firms.
The biggest For most firms, domestic and international sales and purchases, customer base, and employment
COVID-19 were among the largest segments affected by COVID-19 in 2021. As seen in the next figure, about 50
impacts were percent of micro and one-third of small firms experienced “significant” declines in their international
on sales and sales, purchases, and customer base, while just around 20 percent of medium firms had significant
employment declines in these areas. Micro enterprises in particular reported significant declines in employment and
investor interest in their companies.
MSMEs adopted Firms transitioned away from cash more than other payment methods, across all firm size categories. Checks
new payment were also abandoned by many firms. The majority of firms in all size categories still accept cash, but mobile
capabilities payments, QR code payments, established non-card e-commerce payment providers, and newer entrants
during the in the payment space kept gaining users, especially in comparison with the pre-crisis levels. In a striking
pandemic—and development, a larger share of medium firms now accept mobile payments than accept cash for domestic
dropped some transactions. Cards also kept growing as a means of acceptance. Established non-card cross-border payment
familiar ones providers, mobile payments, and QR code payments kept gaining new users in international payments.
Figure 10. Surveyed firms’ use and adoption of payment methods from
domestic customers in response to COVID-19, by firm size and method
MSMEs received In response to the COVID-19 crisis, MSMEs in Dubai received several types of assistance. Dubai SME
public-sector facilitated the temporary postponement of collection of rents through its Hamdan Innovation
assistance, but Incubator and allocated AED 20 million in capital guarantees through its financial arm, the
fewer smaller Mohammed Bin Rashid Fund (Rahman, 2020). At the time of the survey, MSMEs reported receiving
firms reported different types of assistance to weather the crisis, especially in the form of loans, digital payment
getting help capabilities, and better internet connections.
Figure 13. Surveyed firms’ assessment of assistance received to respond to COVID-19, by firm size
Figure 14. Surveyed firms’ needs in the next 3-6 months, by firm size
Figure 15. Surveyed firms’ needs in the next 3-6 months based on digital capabilities, by firm type
Looking ahead, Firms in every size category said they would prioritize expanding their digital marketing
firms plan capabilities, growing their online sales, and amplifying their use of digital payments. As shown
to prioritize in the following figure, a high number of firms, about a quarter to a third depending on the firm
improving size category, have set out to enable teleworking before or during COVID-19, and almost another
their digital third of firms reported that they were looking to pursue teleworking soon. In general, more firms
capabilities are planning to improve their digital capabilities than are planning to end product lines, close
locations, or borrow money from digital lenders.
Assistance programs initiated during the pandemic response aim at achieving this objective. For
example, Dubai Expo 2020 awarded more than AED 4.6 billion to small and medium businesses.
Dubai SME has signed partnerships with District 2020 for a global entrepreneur program. This
will support the development of and expansion of high-potential startups and small businesses
(Singh, 2020).
Businesses in Dubai have been greatly challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects on travel,
hospitality, and retail activity. Still, most firms expected to have a better 2021 than 2020, no doubt owing
to government crisis response measures and support to businesses. Using the results of the VEEI survey of
MSMEs in Dubai, and anticipating continued public-sector and private-sector collaboration, the study team
makes the following recommendations for further empowering Dubai small businesses.
1. Emphasize digital enablement assistance for MSMEs. In the case of the VEEI study of five
developing countries, a lack of basic infrastructure such as electricity and broadband was sometimes
a barrier to the digital enablement of small businesses (Harper, 2021). That is not the case in Dubai,
which enjoys a robust digital infrastructure. This is a big advantage for businesses in Dubai and the
UAE, given that recent research from the Bank for International Settlements has found that businesses
headquartered in countries with strong digital infrastructure performed better in the pandemic than
others, and this was especially true for small businesses (Doerr et al., 2021). Although infrastructure
itself does not present hurdles in the emirate, the adoption of digital capabilities by small businesses is
still a work in progress. Many Dubai MSMEs expressed an interest in improving their digital capabilities,
and the micro and small firms in our survey reported having received less help to date in doing so.
Among the survey respondents, newer firms and firms led by men are more digital than older firms and
women-led firms, so helping more established and women-led firms would also be an appropriate area
to focus on. Dubai has developed programs to help MSMEs realign their roadmaps to become more
digitally oriented and should build on these initiatives.
2. Keep consumers in mind when driving digital ubiquity. Payment methods may differ in functionality,
convenience, consumer benefits offered, and other factors; consumer and merchant preferences will
often be driven by the use case. Payments need to support the experiences, decisions, and expectations
of consumers for any transaction. Contactless payment capabilities originated in the card networks, and
during the COVID-19 crisis, these touchless payments have become the norm in consumer payment
behavior due to their convenience, security, and low fraud rates. Their adoption has been especially high in
the UAE, with contactless rates above 80 percent of all in-person Visa transactions for small businesses.
3. Prioritize cybersecurity capabilities for small businesses. As the digital payments landscape
continues to evolve in response to changing business and consumer priorities, fraudsters are increasingly
engaged in finding new avenues to exploit. Many MSMEs in the survey said they were interested in
enhancing their cybersecurity capabilities, and they also welcomed more public-sector assistance for
doing so. Medium firms were more likely to identify this as a need; micro and small firms may be unaware
of the increasing importance of cybersecurity.
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The online survey, fielded in August 2021, obtained responses from 930 firms. Responses were obtained
from firms in 195 of Dubai’s 226 communities.
Figure 17 shows respondents by number of employees, and this breakdown aligns more closely to some
of Dubai’s classifications of small businesses. Figure 18 shows respondents by age of firm, and Figure 19
shows a breakdown of business sectors. Surveyed firms identified themselves in over 20 sectors, which
have been aggregated into 10 in the figure.
Figure 17. Response to the VEEI Figure 18. Response to the VEEI Figure 19. Response to the VEEI
survey of Dubai businesses, by survey of Dubai businesses, by survey of Dubai businesses, by
number of employees age of firm industry sector
Figure 1. This figure, sourced from Euromonitor Passport, shows the trend line for access to broadband
internet as well as possession of smartphones from 2004 to 2020. The graph shows that since 2004 there
has been a substantial increase in both access to broadband and possession of smartphones. Broadband
access began the period at around 20 percent, and grew to almost 100 percent, while smartphone
possession began at just above 0 percent and grew to almost 90 percent. Access to broadband has been
slightly higher than possession of smartphones, but since 2008 the gap has shrunk from a greater than 40
percentage point difference to around a 10 percentage point difference in 2020.
Figure 2. This figure, sourced from Euromonitor Passport, shows the retail and e-commerce trends in the
UAE from 2006 to 2020. The graph shows that overall retail spending has increased over time and in 2020
was around US$50 billion. Of that, e-commerce makes up a very small amount, but there was a noticeable
increase over the 14-year period. In 2020, there was a significant decline in retail spending compared with
the previous five years, but there was an increase in spending on e-commerce. Retail spending appeared to
be at the highest point in 2020 but still made up less than 10 percent of overall retail spending.
Figure 3: This figure is derived from Visa transactional data for UAE businesses over the last three years.
It depicts monthly year-over-year (YoY) percentage point change in growth rates for retail sales and
e-commerce sales for all businesses, and for small businesses. Values near zero reflect little change in growth
rates from the same month the previous year, positive values reflect a greater growth rate than in the
previous year, and negative values reflect less growth than the year before. As can be seen in the data, the
line for all firms and small firms were relatively close to zero, reflecting steady growth trends, until spring of
2020, when the negative effects of the pandemic can be seen. There is then a strong upward trend in spring
2021, reflecting a rebound of stronger growth compared to the year before. E-commerce trends show a
different pattern, though e-commerce actually grew during the entire period. The dotted lines are mostly
negative in 2019, indicative of lower growth in 2019 over a very strong 2018. As soon as the pandemic hits
e-commerce grew strongly compared to the 2019 numbers, and when overall retail activity rebounded,
e-commerce grew more slowly than in the year before.
Figure 4: This figure shows the growth of contactless transactions as a share of all Visa transactions between
July 2019 and August 2021. In this figure, there is a noticeable growth in contactless transactions for
both small businesses and overall transactions. In July 2019, 28 percent of all in-person transactions were
contactless, and 31 percent of small business in-person transactions were contactless. By August 2021,
the contactless percentages were 65 percent and 85 percent, respectively. At all points in the graph, small
businesses have a greater percentage of contactless transactions; the spring of 2020 is when the trend lines
start to diverge more sharply.
Figure 6: This figure shows the share of households in Dubai with access to broadband internet
between 2005 and 2020. The data show that in 2005, fewer than 30 percent of households had access to
broadband internet. Over time this percentage has increased significantly: By 2008, close to 70 percent of
households had access to broadband internet. Between 2008 and 2011 the growth of households with
broadband slowed, but it increased again between 2012 and 2015. After 2015 a noticeable plateau was
reached when almost 100 percent of all households had broadband internet.
Figure 7: This figure shows firms’ assessments of revenue growth in 2020. The chart breaks responses
down by category of firms: micro (fewer than 10 employees), small (10-99 employees), medium (100-249
employees), and large (250+ employees), and plots their assessment of 2020 revenues. Response options
were: revenue decrease of more than 20 percent; decrease of 10-20 percent and company shrank;
decrease of 0.1 – 10 percent and company shrank; 0 percent, no decrease or growth; 0.1 - 10 percent
growth; 10-20 percent growth; and more than 20 percent growth. Micro and small firms reported
greater negative pandemic effects in 2020. Medium businesses were the least affected by the pandemic,
followed by large businesses. There was also a response for “we did not yet exist as a business in 2019,”
and micro businesses were the most likely to respond with this compared with firms of other sizes.
Figure 8: This figure shows surveyed firms’ expected revenue growth in 2021. As in Figure 7, the firms
are broken down into micro (0-9 employees), small (10-99 employees), medium (100-249 employees),
and large (250+ employees). The response options for expectations in 2021 were: over 20 percent strong
growth; 10-20 percent growth; 0.1 percent-10 percent growth; 0 percent; negative 0.1-10 percent,
company will shrink; negative 10-20 percent, company will shrink; negative greater than 20 percent,
company will shrink. There was also a response option for firms that did not exist in 2020. The figure
shows that micro businesses were likely to experience the greatest negative effects, followed by small,
then medium, then large businesses. Almost 25 percent of micro businesses reported a more than 20
percent revenue loss for their business.
Figure 9: This figure shows the surveyed firms’ assessment of COVID-19 damage on key performance
indicators by firm size. Firms are broken down into micro (0-9 employees), small (10-99 employees),
and medium (100-249). The response options were: decreased a lot; decreased some; grew some; and
grew a lot. From the data, the hardest-hit key performance indicator was domestic sales, followed by
international sales.
Figure 10: This figure shows the surveyed firms’ use and adoption of payment methods from domestic
customers in response to COVID-19, by firm size and method. Figure 10 shows that from before to during
the pandemic, cash and check were the most popular forms of payments for micro and small firms. For
medium and large firms, checks, followed by credit cards, have been the most used forms of payment.
Use of mobile payment tools increased during the pandemic for many medium and large businesses but
was slower to be adopted by micro and small businesses.
Figure 12: This figure shows surveyed firms’ use and adoption of marketplaces in response to
COVID-19, by firm size and marketplace in Dubai. These included social media platforms (Facebook,
Twitter, WhatsApp, etc.), websites, and other online marketplaces (eBay, Amazon, Shopify). Small,
medium, and large businesses were most likely to use their own website before and during the
pandemic. WhatsApp was the most popular online platform for micro businesses before and during
the pandemic. Facebook and Instagram were also popular responses by firms of all sizes for platforms
they used before and during the pandemic.
Figure 13: This figure shows surveyed firms’ assessment of assistance received in response to
COVID-19, by firm size. Firms were asked whether they had received assistance and whether it had
been helpful in the following categories: loans; better digital payments; cybersecurity capabilities;
better internet connections; digitize our sales and services; digitize our workflows and set up
teleworking; help to get our clients to come back; pay back our loans; diversify our products/
services; grants; open bank accounts; export to new markets; new insurance products. Responses
show that medium businesses (100-249 employees) were most likely to have received assistance
and most often used it for digitizing sales and service or creating better digital payment methods.
Small businesses (10-99 employees) were more likely to use the assistance they received to help with
loans or getting their clients to come back. Micro businesses (fewer than 10 employees) received the
least assistance, but when they did they found it most helpful in getting better internet connections
or better digital payments. The figure shows a large disparity between micro, small, and medium
businesses, with medium businesses receiving almost double the amount of assistance micro
businesses received.
Figure 14: This figure shows the needs in the next 3-6 months for surveyed micro, small, and
medium firms. Firms were asked to rank the following categories: clients to come back; digitize sales;
better internet connections; diversify products; better digital payments; export to new markets;
cybersecurity capabilities; pay back loans; digitize workflows; new loans; grants; new insurance
products; open bank accounts. The top response across all firm sizes was for clients to come back;
more than 60 percent of surveyed firms responded that that was needed a great deal. Diversifying
products and services was the second most popular response for micro and medium businesses and
the third most popular response for small businesses. One of the least popular responses for firms of
all sizes was opening new bank accounts.
Figure 16: This figure shows surveyed firms’ plans to leverage digital capabilities and change business
models for micro, small, and medium firms. Firms were asked to rank the following categories: expand
our digital marketing; start new lines of products or services; continue doing what we already do; use
more digital payments; do more teleworking; increase e-commerce sales; start using online platforms
such as Amazon; take out fewer loans from online lenders and credit; end some lines of products
or services; close one or all of our stores/physical offices; borrow from online lenders and use digital
financing. Responses varied by the size of the firm, however, “continue what we already do” was one of
the top three responses for all firm sizes and “close one or all of our stores/physical offices” was one of
the last responses for all firm sizes.
Figure 17: This figure reflects a breakdown of respondents by firm size. 28.6 percent of respondents
were firms with 0-9 employees; 27 percent of respondents were firms with 10-49 employees; 17
percent of respondents were firms with 50-99 employees; 11 percent of respondents were firms with
100-149 employees; 6 percent of respondents were firms with 150-249 employees; 10.5 percent of
respondents were firms with 250+ employees.
Figure 18: This stacked bar chart represents respondents by age of firm. Thirteen percent of
respondents had been working at the firm for 0-2 years; 23 percent of respondents had been working
at the firm for 3-5 years; 27 percent of respondents had been working at the firm for 6-10 years; 37
percent of respondents had been working at the firm for over 10 years.
Figure 19: This stacked bar chart represents respondents by industry sector. Thirteen percent of firms
were in food products; 14 percent of firms were in clothing and footwear, 13 percent of firms were in
electronics; 14 percent of firms were in beauty and accessories; 6 percent of firms were in home décor/
crafts, home and garden; 17 percent of firms were in office, machinery, or medical equipment; 12
percent of firms were in IT services; 28 percent of firms were in professional services (e.g.: consultancy,
legal, logistics, health); 16 percent of firms were in engineering and logistics services; 14 percent of
firms were in food and accommodation services. Nearly 20 percent of firms selected participating in
more than one sector.
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