AQR - Risk and Return of Equity Collar Strategies
AQR - Risk and Return of Equity Collar Strategies
AQR - Risk and Return of Equity Collar Strategies
com
The of
L
Roni isRaelov oss aversion leads many investors to In fact, the collar strategy buys one
is a managing director at seek tail-protection strategies, but expensive instrument (a put option) and sells
AQR Capital Management put options that provide the most another expensive instrument (a call option).
in Greenwich, CT.
[email protected]
direct insurance are expensive (both Even if the dollar “costs” offset, this is a bad
in terms of premium paid and lower expected deal relative to an alternative that does not
M atthew K lein returns). One popular solution for mitigating systematically buy overpriced instruments,
is an associate at AQR this cost is to finance the protective put option particularly when the purchased instrument
Capital Management in by selling call options. This strategy is referred is more overpriced than the one being sold.
Greenwich, CT.
to as a collar, and this article investigates the We will show that the collar strategy’s
[email protected]
collar’s risk and return characteristics. expected return can be decomposed into its
Index collars are typically described as equity risk premium and volatility risk pre-
providing protection at little to no cost for mium components. A collar has lower equity
those who are willing to trade upside poten- beta than the equity index, indicating that
tial for reduced downside risk. For instance, it collects less equity risk premium. In the
the Chicago Board Options Exchange case of the volatility risk premium, there is a
(CBOE) answers the question of who should netting of volatility exposures from the put
use equity collars (CBOE [2012a, 2012b]): and call options. The purchased put options
provide negative alpha to the equity index
• an investor who is looking to limit the because of the volatility risk premium paid
downside risk of a stock position at little to put sellers, whereas the sold call options
to no cost [emphasis added] provide some positive alpha. In the special
• an investor who is willing to forgo case of a zero-cost collar, the put option’s
upside potential in return for obtaining negative alpha should dominate because of
this downside protection the implied volatility smile, which has been
attributed to demand pressure by Bollen and
Do collar strategies successfully protect Whaley [2004]; Gârleanu, Pedersen, and
a position at little to no cost? The answer Poteshman [2009]; and Constantinides and
depends on how one chooses to define Lian [2015].
“cost.” Although there may be no upfront Lower expected return due to reduced
outlay if the put option and call option prices equity risk premium is incontrovertible: A
are the same, this alone reveals absolutely collar mechanically has lower equity expo-
nothing about the investment attractiveness sure than its underlying index. Buying a
of the trade and its impact on returns. put option reduces the portfolio’s equity
Exhibit 1
Illustrative Collar Payoff Diagram
120
115
110
short call option
105 caps upside
Collar Payoff
100
85
80
80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
Index Value
Note: Illustration is long the equity index, long a put option with $90 strike price, and short a call option with $110 strike price. The prices of the two
options are equal, and they expire at the same time.
Notes: The table shows summary statistics for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and the CBOE S&P 500 95-110 Collar Index (CLL). The date range is July
1, 1986, to December 31, 2014. Returns are excess of cash. “Excess Return” is an arithmetic average annualized return. Volatility, beta, and upside/
downside beta were computed using 21-day overlapping returns. We define downside beta as ∑t|xt < 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|xt < 0( xt − x )2 where yt is the collar’s
trailing 21-day return on day t, xt is the S&P 500’s trailing 21-day return on day t, and y– and x– are their full-sample average 21-day returns. The upside
beta, similarly, is ∑t|x > 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|x > 0( xt − x )2.
t t
COLLAR PERFORMANCE even after accounting for their reduced equity exposure.
This article explores the reasons why.
Exhibit 2 reports performance characteristics for The collar might be constructed such that it is self-
CLL and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) over the period July financing, but the prices of the options traded are not
1, 1986, through December 31, 2014. Over this period, really what matter. What really matters is the options’
the collar earned significantly less return in excess of prices versus their fundamental or actuarially fair values.
cash than had the S&P 500 Index: 3.2% per year for Equity index options tend to be expensive because of
CLL versus 7.3% per year for the S&P 500 Index. It has investor preference for loss avoidance, and out-of-the-
also had significantly lower volatility than the S&P 500 money put options tend to be more expensive than out-
Index: 10.7% for CLL versus 15.7% for the S&P 500 of-the-money call options. Hence, buying protection is
Index. The collar has realized a Sharpe ratio approxi- expected to hurt performance on a risk-adjusted basis
mately 35% lower than the S&P 500 Index. because put options are expensive. Selling upside helps
The collar is expected to have lower average risk-adjusted performance for the same reason, but not to
returns than the S&P 500 Index because its limited a great enough extent, which is why the collar strategy
loss and capped gain reduce its equity exposure. This has realized 1.3% per year of negative alpha.
f loor and cap are visible in Exhibit 3, which scatters To visualize, Exhibit 4 plots the payoff diagram to
the collar returns against the S&P 500 over the period, an illustrative self-financing collar in which the sold call
using 21-day overlapping returns. CLL’s 0.62 equity beta is cheap relative to the purchased put option. Comparing
is also visible as the slope of the regression line in the the mispriced collar to a fairly priced one, the call option
scatter. This number indicates that, as a starting point, strike in the former will be below the call option strike
the collar is expected to earn 38% less equity risk pre- in the latter. Therefore, it can be observed that the mis-
mium than the underlying S&P 500 Index. priced collar’s payoff is either identical to or worse than
However, there is more to the story than just the fairly priced collar’s payoff in all cases.
earning less equity risk premium. Had lost equity risk
premium been the only issue, the collar would have COLLAR PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION
had 4.5% annualized excess return. Its 3.2% annual-
ized excess return indicates the collar strategy has pro- When attributing the performance of option-
vided –1.3% of alpha per year on average. Somehow, the related portfolios, we find it more instructive to
options have significantly detracted from performance focus on risk exposures rather than payoff diagrams.4
15%
y = 0.62x - 0.0009
10% R² = 0.82
CBOE Collar Index (CLL)
5%
0%
–5%
–10%
–15%
–20%
–25%
–40% –30% –20% –10% 0% 10% 20% 30%
S&P 500 Index (SPX)
Notes: The chart plots overlapping 21-day returns for the SPX and the CLL. Data are present for the period from July 1, 1986, to December 31, 2014.
Exhibit 4
Illustrative Mispriced Collar Payoff Diagram
120
Collar with No Mispricing
115 Collar with Mispriced Call
110
105
Collar Payoff
100
95
90
85
80
80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
Index Value
Notes: The “Collar with Mispriced Call” is long the equity index, long a put option with a $90 strike price, and short a call option with a $105 strike
price. The “Collar with No Mispricing” is long the equity index, long a put option with a $90 strike price, and short a call option with a $110 strike price.
In both scenarios, it is assumed that the prices of the two options are equal and that they expire at the same time.
Exhibit 5 shows the risk exposure arising from each Both of the put option exposures reduce the strategy’s
component of the strategy. The collar begins with a long expected return. Lower equity exposure means less equity
equity position, which provides positive equity exposure risk premium is collected, and long volatility exposure
and no volatility exposure. A put option is purchased, means that volatility risk premium is paid to the put option
which reduces equity exposure because a put option has seller. A call option is then sold, which further reduces
negative delta and introduces long volatility exposure. equity exposure because it has positive delta and introduces
Note: This table shows the risk exposure arising from each component of a collar strategy.
short volatility exposure. Whereas the long put option and original 28-year window. The collar realized 3.6% annu-
short call option have offsetting volatility exposures, both alized excess return, 3.2% lower than the S&P 500 Index.
option positions reduce the portfolio’s equity exposure. We define the passive equity exposure as the strategy’s
Israelov and Nielsen [2015a] proposed a perfor- average equity exposure. Passive equity exposure provides
mance attribution methodology for options-related 0.75 beta and 5.1% per year in equity risk premium.
portfolios. Their attribution identifies and measures a Equity exposure arising from option path dependence
portfolio’s equity timing arising from option convexity. is attributed to dynamic equity (–0.07 beta), and equity
Both option positions within the collar have dynamic exposure arising from correlation between equity returns
equity exposure, but they partially offset each other: and changes in implied volatility is attributed to volatility
Long options bet on momentum and short options bet (–0.03 beta).
on reversal. These timing bets do not perfectly offset The option positions have reduced the collar’s
because the call and put options may have different returns in three ways. First, 1.7% per year of equity
strikes and maturities. From a risk management per- risk premium is lost because of a 25% reduction in pas-
spective, the put option’s dynamic equity exposure may sive equity exposure. Second, the collar’s time-varying
be desired because it reduces the strategy’s equity expo- equity exposure has further detracted performance by
sure as losses accumulate in order to create a f loor—it 0.5% per year. However, there is no compelling ex ante
is a form of drawdown control. The short call option’s expectation that the net dynamic exposure should have
dynamic exposure also reduces the collar’s equity expo- non-zero returns, and the 0.5% loss is not statistically
sure as gains accumulate; however, it is unclear why this significant. Finally, the strategy’s net volatility exposure
would be desired unless an investor seeks to express a has reduced returns by 1.0% per year. The volatility risk
very specific view on equity market reversals. premium is therefore responsible for roughly one-third
To better understand the drivers of the CBOE of the CBOE Collar Index’s underperformance relative
Collar Index’s performance, we construct a portfolio to the S&P 500 Index.
that mimics the collar index and decompose its return Exhibit 7 further decomposes the strategy’s net
in excess of cash, as suggested by Israelov and Nielsen volatility exposure into the put and call options’ respec-
[2015a], into (1) passive equity exposure, (2) dynamic tive contributions. As the –0.29 correlation indicates,
equity exposure, and (3) volatility exposure. The decom- these two components partially offset each other by
position is reported in Exhibit 6. Results are reported providing volatility exposures in opposite directions.
over the period March 25, 1996, through December Buying protection via put options significantly detracts
31, 2014, a smaller window than considered in Exhibit from the strategy’s performance because options tend
2 because of data availability. to be richly priced, costing 1.6% per year on average
The strategy characteristics over the shorter 18-year in volatility risk premium paid to put option sellers. In
sample are similar to those reported earlier over the this case, selling call options recovered less than 40% of
S&P 500 Index Collar Strategy Passive Equity Dynamic Equity Volatility
Excess Return 6.8% 3.6% 5.1% –0.5% –1.0%
Volatility 16.5% 11.4% 12.3% 4.0% 2.1%
Sharpe Ratio 0.41 0.32 0.41 –0.13 –0.45
Risk Contribution 100% 100% 109% –10% 0%
Beta 1.00 0.64 0.75 –0.07 –0.03
Upside Beta 1.00 0.69 0.74 –0.05 0.00
Downside Beta 1.00 0.61 0.75 –0.09 –0.05
Notes: The table shows summary statistics for the S&P 500 Index, an S&P 500 collar strategy mimicking the methodology of the CLL, and the collar
strategy’s decomposition. The collar backtest is long the S&P 500 Index, long 5% out-of-the-money front-quarter S&P 500 put options, and short 10%
out-of-the-money front-month S&P 500 call options, all held to expiry. Following Israelov and Nielsen [2015a], the collar returns are decomposed into (1)
passive equity exposure, (2) dynamic equity exposure, and (3) volatility exposure.
Returns are excess of cash. The date range is March 25, 1996, to December 31, 2014. “Excess Return” is an arithmetic average annualized return.
Risk contribution is defined as the covariance of the component with the full strategy, divided by the variance of the full strategy. Volatility, beta, and
2
upside/downside beta were computed using 21-day overlapping returns. We define downside beta as ∑t|xt <0( yt − y ) * (xt − x ) ∑t|xt <0(xt − x ) where yt is the col-
lar’s trailing 21-day return on day t, xt is the S&P 500’s trailing 21-day return on day t, and – and x– are their full-sample average 21-day returns. The
y
2
upside beta, similarly, is ∑t|xt > 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|xt > 0( xt − x ) .
Exhibit 7
Volatility Component Return Decomposition (1996–2014)
Notes: The table shows summary statistics for the volatility component of an S&P 500 collar strategy mimicking the methodology of the CLL, and it
further decomposes this component into the put and call options’ respective contributions. The collar backtest is long the S&P 500 Index, long 5% out-of-
the-money front-quarter S&P 500 put options, and short 10% out-of-the-money front-month S&P 500 call options, all held to expiry. Following Israelov
and Nielsen [2015a], the collar returns are decomposed into (1) passive equity exposure, (2) dynamic equity exposure, and (3) volatility exposure. For this
table, the volatility component is then decomposed into the put and call options’ contributions.
Returns are excess of cash. The date range is March 25, 1996, to December 31, 2014. “Excess Return” is an arithmetic average annualized return.
Risk contribution is defined as the covariance of the component with the full strategy, divided by the variance of the full strategy. Volatility, beta, upside/
downside beta, and correlation were computed using 21-day overlapping returns. We define downside beta as ∑t|xt < 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|xt < 0( xt − x )2 where
yt is the collar’s trailing 21-day return on day t, xt is the S&P 500’s trailing 21-day return on day t, and y– and x– are their full-sample average 21-day
returns. The upside beta, similarly, is ∑t|xt > 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|xt > 0( xt − x )2 .
Exhibit 8
High-Volatility Environment (December 19, 2008)—S&P 500: 887.88 and VIX: 44.9
Note: This table provides an example of the risk exposures for the CLL on December 19, 2008 (a high-volatility environment).
Note: This table provides an example of the risk exposures for the CLL on September 19, 2014 (a low-volatility environment).
Exhibit 10
CBOE Collar Index’s Equity Exposure (1996–2014)
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
–0.2
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Notes: The chart plots the delta exposure for an S&P 500 collar strategy mimicking the methodology of the CLL. The backtest is long the S&P 500
Index, long 5% out-of-the-money front-quarter S&P 500 put options, and short 10% out-of-the-money front-month S&P 500 call options, all held to
expiry. The date range is from March 25, 1996, to December 31, 2014.
clear why a collar investor should want to have 50% For example, on March 14, 2008, the strategy would
higher equity exposure on September 19, 2014, than on have been long a deep in-the-money put option with a
December 19, 2008. Exhibit 10 plots the collar index’s delta of –1.00 and short a deep out-of-the-money call
equity exposure over the period beginning in 1996 and option providing a delta exposure of –0.03, resulting in a
ending in 2014 and shows how the collar index’s equity portfolio delta exposure of –0.03. This unusual situation
exposure has considerable variation over time. Its 95% arose because the S&P 500 had fallen over 13% since the
confidence interval is a low of 0.16 and a high of 0.99. put option had originally been purchased, so instead of
In fact, on a few occasions the collar index remark- straddling the spot index value, the call and put strikes
ably has close to zero or slightly negative equity exposure. were now both above it. Further exacerbating the issue,
Exhibit 11
CBOE Collar Index’s Gamma Exposure (1996–2014)
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
–0.1
–0.2
–0.3
–0.4
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Notes: The chart plots the gamma exposure for an S&P 500 collar strategy mimicking the methodology of the CLL. The backtest is long the S&P 500
Index, long 5% out-of-the-money front-quarter S&P 500 put options, and short 10% out-of-the-money front-month S&P 500 call options, all held to
expiry. The date range is from March 25, 1996, to December 31, 2014.
Notes: The table shows summary statistics for the S&P 500 Index, the CLL, as well as four strategies levered to have the same return as CLL: the S&P
500 Index, the CBOE S&P 500 5% Put Protection Index (PPUT), the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXM), and the risk-managed covered call
strategy proposed by Israelov and Nielsen [2015a] (a strategy that dynamically trades the equity index to maintain a constant equity exposure, hedging the
traditional covered call’s time-varying equity exposure). These four strategies were levered 36%, 101%, 49%, and 45%, respectively.
Returns are excess of cash. The date range is March 25, 1996, to December 31, 2014. “Excess Return (Geom.)” is a geometric average
annualized return. Volatility, beta, and upside/downside beta were computed using 21-day overlapping returns. We define downside beta as
2 – and
∑t|x < 0( yt − y ) * ( xt − x ) ∑t|x < 0( xt − x ) where y is the collar’s trailing 21-day return on day t, x is the S&P 500’s trailing 21-day return on day t, and y
t t t t 2
–
x are their full-sample average 21-day returns. The upside beta, similarly, is ∑ t|xt > 0 t ( y − y ) * ( xt − x ) (
∑ t|xt > 0 tx − x ) .
A very small amount of leverage would be required to All three of these alternatives have achieved the
match the collar’s compounded return by investing in same return as the CBOE Collar Index, but with lower
the CBOE S&P 500 5% Put Protection Index (PPUT), risk, higher Sharpe, and lower beta. In fact, compared
with 101% of NAV needed. to each the collar has even had higher downside beta
Over the time period, the collar’s performance per unit of average return. Unlike these alternatives,
has been superior to the protective put strategy’s. While however, the collar does provide downside gap protec-
PPUT realized 13.2% annualized volatility in achieving tion. But is it worth the cost?
its return, the collar required only 11.4%. This outper-
formance should be expected based on the two strategies’ BLACK SWANS
portfolio constructions because the collar’s call option
sales provide a positive alpha boost relative to the pro- Based on the historical evidence, one should
tective put by having a smaller long-volatility exposure. expect selling delta-hedged options to be more profit-
The comparison to the other alternatives, however, able than buying them, since the volatility risk premium
is much less favorable for the collar. In all three instances, is positive on average. As we have shown, this implies
the collar has been a significantly more volatile approach that the collar strategy should perform poorly relative
to achieving the same return: 11.4% annualized volatility to alternate ways of reducing downside risk. One pos-
versus 5.9%, 5.6%, and 4.1% for the S&P 500, BuyWrite, sible objection, however, is that forming an expectation
and risk-managed BuyWrite portfolios, respectively. The by just looking at the historical record may implicitly
partially invested S&P 500 portfolio matches the collar’s underweight the probability of rare, extremely nega-
return with lower volatility because the S&P 500 has no tive events—black swans. A skeptic can argue that option
negative alpha. Investing in the BuyWrite strategy allows sellers have merely been “lucky” in recent years, so the
for even lower volatility because selling call options collar may start looking better again if one adjusts one’s
earns the volatility risk premium, and the risk-managed assumption about the expected frequency of black swans.
BuyWrite further reduces risk by hedging the BuyWrite’s Although this is a reasonable objection, it turns out
uncompensated dynamic equity exposure. that black swans would need to be unreasonably frequent
Exhibit 13
Collar Simulated Black Swan Return by Post-Shock Implied Volatility
8%
6%
4%
Collar Black Swan Return
2%
0%
–2%
–4%
–6%
–8%
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
Post-Shock Implied Volatility
Notes: The chart plots the simulated black swan return for a collar portfolio as a function of the post-shock implied volatility of the options in the portfolio.
The collar portfolio (based on the CLL construction) consists of a long position in the S&P 500 Index, a long position in a 5% out-of-the-money put
option with 3 months to expiration, and a short position in a 10% out-of-the-money call option with 1 month to expiration. Pre-shock, both the put and
call options are assumed to have implied volatilities of 18%. To generate the black swan returns, we applied hypothetical market crashes of a similar magni-
tude to the October 1987 crash. Specifically, in each of these events we assumed that the S&P 500 falls 20% in one day, while the implied volatilities of
both the put option and the call option increase to the specified post-shock implied volatility level.
Bollen, N.P.B., and R.E. Whaley. “Does Net Buying Pressure To order reprints of this article, please contact Dewey Palmieri
Affect the Shape of Implied Volatility Functions?” Journal of at dpalmieri@ iijournals.com or 212-224-3675.
Finance, Vol. 59, No. 2 (2004), pp. 711-753.