Norm Prog
Norm Prog
Norm Prog
A. U. Thor
The University of Stewart Island
March 11, 2021
Abstract
We study the e¤ects of warm water on the local penguin population.
The major …nding is that it is extremely di¢ cult to induce penguins to
drink warm water. The success factor is approximately e i 1.
Contents
p1 :5(x 2)2
I) X ! N ormal (2; 1) ! f (x) = 2
e
d2 p1 :5(x 2)2
f" ( ) = dx2 2 e = 0:399 04
R +1 d2 p1 :5(x 2)2
2
Rf " = 1 dx2 2 e dx = 0:211 57
Z
+1
d p1 :5x2 2
R (K) = ( dx 2
e ) dx = 0:141 05
1
R 1
R +1 p1
2
e :5(x 2)2
R 1 1=5 1=5
aR (K) G f 1=5 :3 0:14105 4:32 1=5
h= n = = 0:955n
R (f ") 0:211 57
2
p1 e :5(x 2)
2 f( ) 2
= a R (K) = :3 0:141 05
G( ) (1 e 1:5x ) e :5x
p1 p
2 2
= :3 1:5(2) :5(2)
0:141 05 = 4:829 2 10 = 0:219 75
1 e e
1
p1 :5(x 2)2
II) X ! N ormal (2; 1) ! f (x) = 2
e
R 1
R +1 p1
2
e :5(x 2)2
R 1 1=5 1=5
aR (K) G f 1=5 :5 0:14105 2:17 1=5
h= n = = :895 n
R (f ") 0:211 57
p1 e :5(x 2)2
f( )
2
= a R (K) = :5 2 6x ) e :3x
0:141 05
G( ) (1 e
p1 p
2 2
= :5 6(2) :3(2)
0:141 05 = 5: 126 6 10 = 0:226 42
1 e e
p1 :5(x 2)2
III) X ! N ormal (2; 1) ! f (x) = 2
e
R 1
R +1 p1
2
e :5(x 2)2
R 1 1=5 1=5
aR (K) G f 1=5 :7 0:14105 1:604 1=5
h= n = = :935 n
R (f ") 0:211 57
p1 e :5(x 2)2
2 f( ) 2
= a R (K) = :7 6x ) e :15x
0:141 05
G( ) (1 e
p1 p
2 2
= :7 6(2) :15(2)
0:141 05 = 5:317 1 10 = :230 59
1 e e
p1 :5(x 2)2
IV) X ! N ormal (2; 1) ! f (x) = 2
e
2
f " ( ) = 0:39904 Rf " = 0:211 57 R (K) = 0:141 05
R 1
R +1 p1
2
e :5(x 2)2
R 1 1=5 1=5
aR (K) G f 1=5 :79 0:14105 1:304 1=5
h= n = = 0:92761 n
R (f ") 0:211 57
p1 e :5(x 2)2
2 f( ) 2
= a R (K) = :9 7x ) e :05x
0:141 05
G( ) (1 e
p1 p
2
= :9 7(2) :05(2)
0:141 05 = 0:055 97 = 0:236 58
1 e e
2
a h
:3 :955 n 1=5 0:21975
:5 :895 n 1=5 0:22642 f " ( ) = 0:39904
:7 :935 n 1=5 0:23059
:9 :92761 n 1=5 0:236 58
3
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
4
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
6
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
7
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
8
0.5
0.5
0.5
Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve Nor mal cur ve
Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve Estimated cur ve
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
n = 50 n = 150 n = 300
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-3
-3
-3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3