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Solution X1.4
(i) Present value random variable
‘The present value random variable is:
100 ifK, =0
PVRV ={2007 ifK [Total 2]
0 ifkK, 22
(ii) Standard deviation
The EPV of the benefit is:
EPV =100vq, +2000" py grat
100 200
= Figg 0025 + 5 0975 0.030
= 7.56497 Oo
and:
E (PY?) =(100)" a, +(200y? y De Guat
100) 2007
= (2) x o02s+{ 22) 0.975 0.030
= 1,149.24870 2]
So the variance of the present value random variable is:
var(PY) = E(pV?)-(EPY) =1,092.01993
and the standard deviation is /f,092,01993 = 33.0457 ty
(Total 4]Solution X1.5
(All ative in 20 years
The probability that a life aged 50 is still alive in 20 years” time is:
Oo
So the probability that 5 independent lives aged 50 are all alive in 20 years’ time is:
0.830883° = 0.39600 ia]
(Total 2]
(i) Value of k
We want to find the largest integer X such that:
P(Ky 2k) 209
Now:
P(Ksp 2K) = peo =
lo
Setting this equal to 0.9 gives:
Isp = 0.9lg0 = 0.9 96,247 = 86,622.3 a)
From the Tables, we see that 86,622.3 lies between Jgs(= 87,093) and lgs(= 85,875) .
0)
Since we require ,.pso 20.9, we must have & = 15. ii)
(Total 3)Solution X1.6
@— Wehave:
Asa Aa
A gq (4e-v ops Asso)
Agqn (4-4 gh Aeno)
1
= 0.75-0.20+0.254 5
=0,55+0.254, 4
So:
1 135
O75 gy = 055 45h = 72 = 0.73833
(i) We now have:
Aggy ~ Age = 0.75 ~ 0.73333 = 0.01667
(ii) Also:
1 255 =
19s = Agi Agsio = 55% 025 = 0.18333
Alternatively, you could write:
7
1g 4x = Ae — Al gg = 0.20 - 0.01667 = 0.18333
(21
a
[Total 3]
(Total 1}
[Total 1}