Accenture The Productivity Push
Accenture The Productivity Push
Accenture The Productivity Push
UK productivity has disappointed for more than a decade. This is not the technical preserve of
economists; it’s a predicament that weighs on business competitiveness, living standards and the
UK’s standing in the world. Questions around how we can boost productivity have commanded
countless column inches over recent years—but little progress has been made. And with kickstarting
economic growth and growing labour supply limitations in the spotlight, the onus today is on the
executives and boards of UK companies to boost output per worker. This does not mean working
people harder—many employees are already feeling fatigued and overwhelmed as we move from
one crisis to another. Instead, it means using technology to help people work smarter. And we must
act fast—neither companies nor the country can afford to wait.
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The productivity push
So, what’s the solution? Impactful new research from Accenture and Frontier Realising this potential is not a walk in the park. These capabilities rely as much on
Economics finds that by building five digital capabilities, UK companies could add human ingenuity as they do on technology—so creating a culture of change to enable
£33 billion to national output in 2030. This means adding 1.5pp to growth—more employees to reimagine their work and investing in upskilling cannot be overlooked.
than doubling the forecast rate of economic expansion. Spanning the value chain, Organisations and their delivery partners must also overcome a vicious, failure-inducing
these capabilities are enabling leading organisations to adopt and exploit a new wave cycle that impedes digital transformation projects: weak ambition, anaemic investment
of technologies, such as machine learning and extended reality, which help workers and tentative delivery. But by confronting and dismantling these barriers, organisations
overcome the time, distance and knowledge gaps that weigh on productivity. can unlock the power of digital to boost competitiveness and drive growth.
01 02 03 04 05
High-performance Intelligent Rapid Customer-led Physical asset
processes operations innovation design optimisation
Capability
Raising performance through Driving employee engagement Reimagining what you make Improving the customer Increasing asset reliability,
more intuitive, data-driven and productivity through and how using the combined experience through technology boosting profitability and
management processes. data-enabled, flexible power of data and digital. platforms that combine human reducing risk through
operating models. and AI-powered insights. self-optimising operations.
Financial services; Agriculture, forestry and fishing; ICT; Arts, entertainment Wholesale and retail trade; Health; Manufacturing; Construction;
Key areas of
opportunity
Public administration and defence; Construction; Education and recreation; Utilities Accommodation and food services Transportation and storage
Professional services
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The productivity push
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The productivity push
Across all industries, expectations of business continue Meanwhile, economic headwinds are gathering pace: UK productivity
to grow to deliver better products, services and content, is weak and may even be in decline.i Little wonder that 81% of the
325 UK executives we surveyed earlier this year said they expect
but more sustainably. To provide their people with the next three years will represent the most challenging operating
agency and purpose—as well as salaries which keep environment they’ve faced.ii
pace with the surging cost of living. And to maintain the
Boosting competitiveness is critical if UK businesses are to meet
speed and scale of business transformation sparked by this challenge. Cutting costs, especially in today’s high-inflation
the COVID-19 pandemic. environment is one option, but this needs to be weighed against the
renewed drive for resilience following recent (and ongoing) supply
chain and energy shocks. Actually, a more pragmatic solution is
boosting employee productivity. This doesn’t mean working your
people harder—the adrenaline rush of recent high-energy sprints has
faded. As we move from one crisis to another, many employees are
feeling overwhelmed and fatigued. Instead, businesses must ask how
they can help their people work smarter.
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The productivity push
£33 billion
of digitisation. Moreover if slower-moving competitors fail to adapt, they may miss +1.5pp
out on the productivity premium the superstars enjoy as a new wave of advanced
technologies appear.
The potential of digitisation to drive productivity has disappointed for too long.
A recent study found that 97% of executives believe digital transformation efforts
are failing to drive new growth.iv As UK businesses look beyond the current
economic doldrums, the five digital capabilities we’ve identified present an
opportunity to sustain the entrepreneurial spirit stimulated by the pandemic Source: Frontier Economics, Accenture Research
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The productivity push
Economic headwinds
become a gale
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The productivity push
UK businesses are under severe pressure. Data from the November Accenture/S&P Business Outlook finds that net
Energy and transportation costs have +18% of UK private sector firms forecast activity to increase over the next
12 months. This is the lowest since the survey began in October 2009, and
risen, supply chains are gummed up, the
continues a decline from +28% in July and +56% in February. Respondents
labour market remains tight (for now), also reported a negative outlook for profits: falling to -13% over the quarter,
sterling has dropped sharply and inflation from -2% in July and +24% in February. This, in turn, has seen companies
further rein in their CAPEX (-6.9%) and R&D investment (-8.0%) plans.
is hovering around a 40-year high, sending
the cost of finance soaring. With the Bank Brexit and the COVID-19 pandemic have undoubtedly added complexity,
of England forecasting a recession lasting at least in the short term. The widely applauded response to the pandemic
raised expectations of how quickly and efficiently businesses could
well into 2024 and consumer confidence
reinvent themselves. But in the shadow of the Ukraine war, hopes that
at its lowest since 1974, executives business would be able to maintain its pace of transformation feel
are understandably concerned.v, vi increasingly unrealistic.
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The productivity push
This shortfall highlights a clear solution. A new wave of Figure 3: Business investment; % GDP; 1997-2021
technologies, from machine learning and digital twins to
cloud computing and extended reality, is helping companies 16%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
five times as fast as peers who did the opposite.xiii Investment in digital
therefore offers an opportunity for bold, innovative UK companies to boost France United States Germany United Kingdom
their competitiveness. Source: Oxford Economics
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The productivity push
Investment is only one half of the digital transformation equation. The other half is with Frontier Economics to understand their potential to drive worker efficiency
adoption—a critical driver of change which is too often overlooked.xiv A company (see Appendix for further detail). Pervasive development of these capabilities
can buy the most advanced system or machine available, but if it’s not being used could produce big rewards of up to £33 billion in additional output in 2030,
it won’t boost competitiveness. The full potential of technology can only be equivalent to an increase in UK GVA growth from 1.3% to 2.8% (see Figure 4).
realised when matched with relevant human skills. This potent combination
enables new capabilities that unlock worker productivity—both physically and More importantly, given the current context of falling real wages, most
cognitively. of these potential returns accrue to labour. Our model shows that
the gross operating surplus (GOS) of UK companies could be £8.7
To estimate the potential returns to the organisations that build the five key billion higher in 2030. This means that the remaining 74% of the GVA
digital capabilities—high-performance processes; intelligent operations; rapid increase goes to wages due to worker time being freed up to tackle
innovation; customer-led design; and physical asset optimisation—we worked higher value-added activities—and being paid more as a result.
Figure 4:
UK businesses harnessing digital capabilities to augment their workers could unlock £33 billion in additional GVA in 2030
Equivalent to
£33 billion
GVA growth with digitisation 2.8%
1.5pp
Baseline GVA growth 1.3%
additional output
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The productivity push
The £33 billion potential boost to GVA is significant. To put it into context, this figure is more than double what the UK government estimates
a free trade agreement between the UK and the United States could generate—an increase in trade between both countries is estimated
to generate £15.3 billion in approximately 15 years.xv
New technologies Some tasks or even Technology can drive There are capabilities
(or uses of existing roles can be automated, productive efficiencies in beyond the five that
technologies) may freeing up even more the ways in which capital and we modelled that
emerge over the worker time for higher labour are used in tandem could be digitised.
forecast period. value-added activities. (i.e. Total Factor Productivity).
12
[F = M x A] The force of change inThe
the productivity
travel experience
push
industries have the most Additional GVA growth in 2030 by industry and digital capability; overall (GBP billion, 2022 prices)
and as a share of industry GVA
to gain
At a more granular level the model shows 2.1%
that the impact of technology adoption isn’t
1.5%
uniform across industries (see Figure 5).
2.3%
1.5%
We also see significant variation in terms of GVA
0.8%
uplift by digital capability. This is explained by
1.1%
the mix of job roles within different industries.
For example, companies in manufacturing rely 0.6%
heavily on fixed assets (such as machinery) so
0.9%
could benefit relatively more from physical asset 2.2%
optimisation. By contrast, companies in industries
pushing the digital frontier forwards, like ICT, stand
to gain relatively more from rapid innovation.
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Figure 6:
Our model covers the broad value chains of Additional GVA growth in 2030 by digital capabilities (GBP billion)
£8.8bn
02
Intelligent
operations
Source: Frontier Economics, Accenture Research
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The productivity push
01 High-performance processes
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Figure 7:
Industry view Proportion of total industry GVA growth in 2030 associated with high-performance processes
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Capability in action
A global bank was struggling with high operating costs and low
profitability in its car loans business. It identified inefficiencies in the
approval process at car dealerships: the process was lengthy, manual
and involved high commission rates. Up to 50% of applications were
rejected due to manual errors or the failure of the applicant to meet
financial requirements.
These new capabilities helped the bank grow car loan sales by 50%
as well as reduce total costs by double-digits (in percentage terms).xvi
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02 Intelligent operations
Driving employee engagement and productivity
through data-enabled, flexible operating models.
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Figure 8:
Industry view Proportion of total industry GVA growth in 2030 associated with intelligent operations
Intelligent operations accounts for 27% of the potential gains in Agriculture, forestry
and fishing
46%
GVA from our digitisation model. Among the UK’s larger sectors,
the GVA gains in manufacturing—£1.4bn or 32% of total industry Construction 40%
uplift—reflect the potential of technologies like robotics to boost
efficiency on assembly lines. The relative increases in efficiency Education 36%
associated with this capability are also the largest in agriculture,
forestry and fishing (46%), construction (40%), education (36%),
Transportation and storage 34%
transport and storage (34%), and accommodation and food
Accommodation 33%
services (33%). and food services
Utilities 32%
Manufacturing 32%
Health 31%
Public admin and defence 28%
Other services 27%
Professional services 26%
Arts, entertainment 25%
and recreation
ICT 24%
Financial services 17%
Wholesale and retail trade 16%
Source: Frontier Economics, Accenture Research
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The productivity push
Capability in action
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The productivity push
03 Rapid innovation
Reimagining what you make and how using
the combined power of data and digital.
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03
Figure 9:
Industry view Proportion of total industry GVA growth in 2030 associated with rapid innovation
In our model, rapid product and service innovation accounts ICT 31%
for 14% of total GVA uplift. This more than doubles to 31%
(or £1.6 billion) in ICT. Companies in this industry not only drive Arts, entertainment 16%
and recreation
the technology frontier forward but stand to benefit most
from technologies which support rapid experimentation and Education 16%
prototyping like 3D printing and extended reality. Digital twins
and robotics could also help to boost GVA in industries like
Professional services 15%
utilities (15%) and manufacturing (12%). Utilities 15%
Financial services 12%
Health 12%
Manufacturing 12%
Other services 9%
Public admin and defence 9%
Construction 6%
Wholesale and retail trade 6%
Transportation and storage 5%
Accommodation 3%
and food services
Agriculture, forestry 2%
and fishing
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The productivity push
Capability in action
BMW produces 2.5 million vehicles per year, of which 99% are
custom. To boost the precision, speed and efficiency of its
planning processes, BMW is working with software company
Nvidia to build a digital twin. In this photorealistic ‘future factory,’
people and robots work together and engineers collaborate in a
shared virtual space.
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The productivity push
04 Customer-led design
Improving the customer experience through
technology platforms which combine human
and AI-powered insights.
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The productivity push
Figure 10:
Industry view Proportion of total industry GVA growth in 2030 associated with customer-led design
Customer-led design accounts for just 13% of the potential gains in GVA. Wholesale and retail trade 40%
However, this climbs significantly in tertiary (customer-facing) industries.
For example, this capability accounts for an outsized proportion of the Arts, entertainment
and recreation
30%
total uplift in wholesale and retail trade (40%), arts, entertainment and
recreation (30%) and health (24%). In these industries, workers using
Other services 27%
tech like AI can optimise recommendations, offer individually tailored
Health 24%
experiences and reduce friction in the customer journey.
Accommodation
and food services
18%
By contrast, the relative impact of customer-led design in secondary
industries like construction (3%) and manufacturing (5%) is much lower. Education 17%
Public admin and defence 15%
Agriculture, forestry 10%
and fishing
Professional services 9%
Transportation and storage 8%
ICT 8%
Utilities 6%
Manufacturing 5%
Financial services 5%
Construction 3%
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The productivity push
Capability in action
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Figure 11:
Industry view Proportion of total industry GVA growth in 2030 associated with physical asset optimisation
At 9%, the uplift in GVA associated with physical asset performance Agriculture, forestry
and fishing 34%
is the smallest of the five digital capabilities included in our model.
However, this naturally increases for more asset-intensive industries. Construction 31%
It accounts for a third of the uplift in agriculture, forestry and fishing
(34%) where unplanned asset downtime might result, for example,
Transportation and storage 26%
in shortened harvest periods and therefore reduced output.
Construction (31%), manufacturing (22%) and utilities (18%) are
Accommodation
and food services
22%
other industries which stand to gain significantly more than average Manufacturing 22%
from building this capability.
Utilities 18%
Wholesale and retail trade 9%
Other services 6%
Professional services 6%
Arts, entertainment
and recreation
4%
ICT 3%
Education 2%
Public admin and defence 2%
Health 2%
Financial services 1%
This approach was developed in collaboration with Frontier Economics Source: Frontier Economics, Accenture Research
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Capability in action
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The productivity push
The business (and economic) case for building these five digital capabilities is clear. The key question is what’s holding
organisations back from seizing the opportunity to maximise the potential of digitisation and boost competitiveness?
Our extensive work on digital transformation across the UK and beyond highlights three key barriers to overcome.
In truth, many companies face a vicious circle of productivity paralysis where failures in each of these three areas reinforce
a position of weak ambition, anaemic investment and tentative delivery. But when the cycle is reversed, they unlock bold
ambition, strong investment and confident delivery.
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The productivity push
Learn more
We’d be delighted to discuss our findings in To understand how Accenture can help your business build and strengthen each of
more detail with you—and to consider the art the five digital capabilities, follow the links below:
Ultimately though, whoever you choose to partner with, the time for Intelligent operations
bemoaning the UK’s stagnant productivity is over. Executives and Driving employee engagement and productivity through data-enabled, flexible
boards must finally realise the untapped potential of digital to boost operating models.
not only the competitiveness of their organisations but also living
standards and the UK’s standing on the world stage. Rapid innovation
Reimagining what you make and how using the combined power of data and digital.
Customer-led design
Improving the customer experience through technology platforms which combine
human and AI-powered insights.
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The productivity push
Modelling methodology
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Identify work activities Assess the Estimate Allocate gains Translate efficiency
to augment digitisation impact efficiency gains to five capabilities gains into output
• We assume that enhancing • We examine the extent • Based on the frequency • Five digital capabilities • We use a standard
work activities that are both to which the abilities to of a given work activity are identified as being economic growth model
important and require a high perform an activity can be that workers within both important for modified to include
level of proficiency (top 10%) augmented by digitisation specific occupations productivity and ripe for technology as a factor
within a given occupation at three levels: low (50%), typically perform (from transformation. of production to convert
(‘IHP occupations’) lead medium (75%) and high O*NET), we estimate • We then assess the the time savings into
to a significant boost in (100%). the efficiency gains in proportion of efficiency additional GVA gain.
productivity. • This allows us to calculate terms of time savings. gains across the five • We derive Gross Operating
• Using the O*NET database, we an ‘enhanceablility ratio’ for capabilities by job roles. Surplus from the GVA gain
classify 384 occupations out all activities within each of using standard deflators
of 968 as IHP occupations. the IHP occupations. sourced from the OECD.
£33 billion
Rail-track Example activity: ‘Handling and moving objects’ is 39% enhanceable.
43 mins
operator An ability of multilimb coordination has low enhanceability.
annual GVA gain
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The productivity push
Dominic King
Research Lead
Accenture UK & Ireland
[email protected]
Ladan Davarzani
Senior Principal
Accenture Research
[email protected]
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The productivity push
References
xiv Harvard Business Review, ‘HBS Professor Linda Hill Says Leaders Must Engage with Emotions
i The Economist, ‘The missing pandemic innovation boom,’ October 28, 2022. as Never Before,’ March 11, 2022.
ii Accenture global executive survey of 3,450 respondents conducted in June 2022. xv Department for International Trade, ‘UK-US Free Trade Agreement,’ July 18, 2019.
iii OECD, ‘Digitalisation and productivity: a story of complementarities,’ 2019. xvi Accenture, ‘The future of auto finance: a smoother ride,’ 2022.
iv Accenture, 'The life centricity playbook,’ 2022. xvii Accenture, ‘Fast-track to future-ready,’ 2021.
v Dearbail Jordan & Michael Race, BBC, 'Bank of England warns the UK will fall into recession this year,’ 2022. xviii Accenture, ‘Thames Water digitises operations,’ 2022.
vi Financial Times, ‘UK consumer confidence hits record low as household mood darkens,’ 2022. xix Accenture, ‘Engineering and R&D digitization.’
vii SAP, ‘Supply Chain Crisis: Over 85% Of UK Businesses Plan To Move From ‘Just In Time’ To xx OECD, 'Gross domestic spending on R&D,’ accessed August 22, 2022.
‘Just In Case’ Model,’ June 8, 2022.
xxi Accenture, ‘Scale digital innovation like a Champion,’ April 1, 2019.
viii ONS, ‘Vacancies and jobs in the UK: September 2022,’ September 13, 2022.
xxii Nvidia, ‘NVIDIA, BMW Blend Reality, Virtual Worlds to Demonstrate Factory of the Future,’ April 13, 2021.
ix Bank of England, ‘When will inflation come down?’ September 23, 2022.
xxiii BMW Group, ‘BMW Group and NVIDIA take virtual factory planning to the next level,’ April 13, 2021.
x OECD, ‘GDP per hour worked,’ accessed August 22, 2022.
xxiv Accenture, ‘The human paradox: From customer centricity to life centricity,’ July 26, 2022.
xi Oxford Economics, ‘Investment, private sector business’ and GDP,’ accessed October 19, 2022.
xxv Accenture, ‘You'll reclaim the IT and Ops gap with intelligent assets,’ June 13, 2022.
xii OECD, ‘Investment as a share of GDP,’ 2017.
xxvi Accenture, ‘Warming up to becoming data-driven,’ 2022.
xiii Accenture, ‘Make the leap, take the lead,’ 2021.
xxvii Bruce Rogers, Forbes, ‘Why 84% Of Companies Fail At Digital Transformation,’ January 7, 2016.
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