SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9482331331 Correlation coefficient - Correl
R Square 0.8991460748 R-square = (Correl)^2
Adjusted R Square 0.8847383712 The adjusted R-square adjusts for the number of terms in a mo
Standard Error 0.0464882301
Observations 1

ANOVA Analysis of Variance

df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 9 0.13487191121461 0.01498577 62.407313435 9.877702061E-05
Residual 7 0.01512808878539 0.00216116
Total 16 0.15

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 0.07836689 0.02668623602262 2.93660335 0.0218183766 0.015263969157
X1 0.0050955895 0.00064502521217 7.89982996 9.8777021E-05 0.003570347238

Y X1
0.05 8.4888937853
0.1 10.948748755
0.15 14.339926604
0.2 19.004768299
0.25 25.39682443
0.3 34.111306553
0.35 45.922279945
0.4 61.827651648
0.45 83.103719099
e number of terms in a model. You’ll want to use this instead of the one above if you have more than one x  variable.

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

0.141469810923 0.015263969157 0.141469810923
0.006620831757 0.003570347238 0.006620831757

0.15 0.04 0.0225 0.01 0.0025 0 0.0025 0.01

0.25 -0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1
Y 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
X1 8.488893785338 10.9487487546 14.339927 19.004768 25.396824 34.111307 45.92228
ariable.

Slope (A) 176.45575 -10.43126 intercept (B)

Seb (slope) 22.336652 6.2847681 se (intercept)
R-square 0.8991461 8.6509481 sey
F 62.407313 7 df
ssreg 4670.4948 523.87232 ssresid

f(x) = 176.46 x + (-10.43)

Chart Title
90

80

70
f(x) = 176.455751622937 x − 10.4312580037407
60 R² = 0.899146074764078

50

40

30
0.0225 0.04 20
0.15 0.2
10
0.4 0.45
61.827652 83.103719 0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9482331331
R Square 0.8991460748
Adjusted R Square 0.8847383712
Standard Error 8.6509480664
Observations 9

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 4670.49484212234 4670.49484 62.407313435 9.877702061E-05
Residual 7 523.872317126844 74.8389024
Total 8 5194.36715924918

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -10.431258004 6.28476806450668 -1.65976817 0.14092146041 -25.29237298471
X1 176.45575162 22.3366518599203 7.89982996 9.8777021E-05 123.63796293559

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals

1 -1.6084704226 10.0973642079322
2 7.2143171586 3.73443159604452
3 16.03710474 -1.69717813536112
4 24.859892321 -5.85512402173271
5 33.682679902 -8.28585547231903
6 42.505467483 -8.39416092979458
7 51.328255064 -5.40597511938731
8 60.151042645 1.67660900249574
9 68.973830227 14.1298888721223
 X1 Residual Plot
20
15

Residuals
10
5
0
-5 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0
-10
X1

X1 Line Fit Plot Y Predicte

100
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% 80
4.429856977228 -25.2923729847 4.429856977228 60
229.2735403103 123.6379629356 229.2735403103 40

Y
20
0
-20 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0
X1

0.15 0.04 0.0225 0.01 0.0025 0 0.0025 0.01

0.25 -0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1
Y 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
X1 8.488893785338 10.9487487546 14.339927 19.004768 25.396824 34.111307 45.92228
 Y X1
8.4888938 0.05
10.948749 0.1
ual Plot 14.339927 0.15
19.004768 0.2
25.396824 0.25
34.111307 0.3
45.92228 0.35
0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 61.827652 0.4
83.103719 0.45
X1

t Plot Y Predicted Y

Slope (A) 176.45575 -10.43126 intercept (B)

0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5
Seb (slope) 22.336652 6.2847681 se (intercept)
1
R-square 0.8991461 8.6509481 sey
F 62.407313 7 df
ssreg 4670.4948 523.87232 ssresid

f(x) = 176.46 x + (-10.43)

Chart Title
90

80

70
f(x) = 176.455751622937 x − 10.4312580037407
60 R² = 0.899146074764078

50

40

30
0.0225 0.04 20
0.15 0.2
10
0.4 0.45
61.827652 83.103719 0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5
 Y X1 X2 SUMMARY OUTPUT
0.05 8.49 9.50
0.10 10.95 11.00 Regression Statistics
0.15 14.34 20.00 Multiple R 0.961926514005
0.20 19.00 30.00 R Square 0.925302618347
0.25 25.40 50.00 Adjusted R Square 0.900403491129
0.30 34.11 40.00 Standard Error 0.043213823498
0.35 45.92 60.00 Observations 9
0.40 61.83 90.00
0.45 83.10 100.00 ANOVA
df SS
Regression 2 0.138795392752
Residual 6 0.011204607248
Total 8 0.15

Coefficients Standard Error

Intercept 0.0682 0.025774109013
X1 0.0015 0.002577715631
X2 0.0029 0.00200474029

f(x) = 0.0015 X1 + 0.0029X2 + 0.0682

 MS F Significance F
0.069397696376 37.16205031013 0.000416788893
0.001867434541

t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
2.647111234885 0.03817572183 0.005159960741 0.131293906334 0.005159960741 0.131293906334
0.567059885932 0.591240547949 -0.00484572379 0.007769162058 -0.00484572379 0.007769162058
1.449482955608 0.19738059149 -0.00199958589 0.007811259655 -0.00199958589 0.007811259655

0.0029X2 + 0.0682
 HPG change
HPG Price VNI Price VNI change (X) XY XX
(Y)
1,489 418.4
1,503 419.3 0.9% 0.2% 0.033% 0.029% 0.036%
1,552 426.1 3.3% 1.6% -0.001% 0.001% 0.001%
1,630 434.2 5.0% 1.9% -0.001% 0.000% 0.000%
1,701 447.2 14.2% 6.9% 0.562% 0.245% 0.245%
1,686 448.8 (0.8%) 0.4% 0.058% 0.025% 0.025%
1,701 447.2 4.3% 3.0% 0.015% 0.011% 0.011%
1,686 448.8 (0.8%) 0.4% 0.058% 0.025% 0.025%
1,693 460.1 0.4% 2.5% -0.014% 0.004% 0.004%
1,679 462.7 (0.8%) 0.6% 0.051% 0.019% 0.019%

Avg. Avg. Sum. Sum.

1,648 444 2.86% 1.94% 0.76% 0.36% 0.37%
Covariance Variance

Correlation: 93.1%

Beta =

Standard deviation = (Variance)^0.5

12 369 21.8
21 104
12 369
23 68
55 565
67 1,280
 1 913
34 8
56 614

31 477

21.8
 HPG change
HPG Price VNI Price
(Y)
2.12 1,489 418.4
Beta 2.12 1,503 419.3 0.95%
Adjusted Beta 0.33 1,552 426.1 3.29%
1,630 434.2 5.00%
1,701 447.2 14.22%
1,686 448.8 -0.83%
1,701 447.2 4.33%
1,686 448.8 -0.83%
1,693 460.1 0.42%
1,679 462.7 -0.83%

Avg.
2.86%

Correlation:

Correlation =

= covariance/variance

-
VNI change (X) X - mean X Y - mean Y Multiply (X - mean X)^2

0.22% -1.91% -1.72% 0.032778% 0.036458%

1.62% 0.43% -0.32% (0.001365%) 0.001853%
1.91% 2.14% -0.03% (0.000608%) 0.045906%
6.89% 11.36% 4.95% 0.562471% 1.291185%
0.36% -3.69% -1.58% 0.058105% 0.135839%
2.99% 1.48% 1.05% 0.015497% 0.021759%
0.36% -3.69% -1.58% 0.058105% 0.135839%
2.53% -2.44% 0.59% (0.014467%) 0.059604%
0.56% -3.69% -1.38% 0.050837% 0.136096%

Avg. Sum. Sum.

1.94% 0.76% 1.86%
Covariance
1

93.09% 1
93.09% 1

0
200
200
833.97308926986
833.97309
 (Y - mean Y)^2 Multiply

0.029469%
0.001005%
0.000008%
0.245026%
0.024854%
0.011038%
0.024854%
0.003511%
0.018989%

Sum.
0.36% 0.82% 93.09%
Variance
1

1 2 3 4
200 200 200 200
181.81818181818 165.289256198347 150.262960180316 136.6027
 HPG change VNI change
HPG Price VNI Price XY XX
(Y) (X)
1,489 418.4 1,489 418 405033.205% 64764.595%
1,503 419.3 1,503 419 355805.160% 60166.639%
1,552 426.1 1,552 426 169682.327% 31466.818%
1,630 434.2 1,630 434 17349.383% 9233.075%
1,701 447.2 1,701 447 17660.772% 1129.707%
1,686 448.8 1,686 449 19111.160% 2471.195%
1,701 447.2 1,701 447 17660.772% 1129.707%
1,686 448.8 1,686 449 19111.160% 2471.195%
1,693 460.1 1,693 460 74170.383% 26637.867%
1,679 462.7 1,679 463 59213.138% 35687.408%

Avg. Avg. Sum. Sum.

1,648 444 1,648 444 7,497.64 1,703.94
Covariance Variance