MembersGuide Socrates by ArmStrong Economics
MembersGuide Socrates by ArmStrong Economics
MembersGuide Socrates by ArmStrong Economics
Members Guide
Version 1.1
Information in this document is subject to change without notice. The software described in this document is
furnished under a license agreement or nondisclosure agreement. The software may be used or copied only in
accordance with the terms of those agreements. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted in any form or any means electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording for
any purpose other than the member's personal use without the written permission of AE Global Solutions, Inc.
Contact
The Socrates Platform is not an individualized trading advisory service, nor is it a brokerage or money management
service. It is an innovative, proprietary, research-and-information system intended to help broaden members'
perspectives and supplement other tools and information that members use. Please read our Terms of Use carefully.
Copyright © 2017–2021 AE Global Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Ask-Socrates.com and all the proprietary
information included in its membership service are the exclusive property of AE Global Solutions, Inc. and protected
under all applicable copyright laws.
Contents
Introduction to the Platform 1
What Is the Socrates Platform? 2
The Socrates Platform Is 2
The Socrates Platform Is Not 2
Disclaimers 2
Covered Markets 3
AE Indices 4
Membership Levels 5
Analysis Text 6
Summary Analysis Text 6
Detailed Analysis Text 7
Premium Analysis Text 10
Market Subscriptions 13
Snapshot Reports 13
Main Navigation Menu Bar 14
Members Homepage 15
Table Colors and Comments 17
Use of Colors 17
Use of Comments 18
Comments 24
Font 24
Time Levels 24
Additional Considerations and Best Practices for GMW 25
Reversal System 26
Importance 27
Density of Reversals 28
Reversal Gaps 28
Same-Time Reversals 28
Tentative Reversals 29
The 1% Rule 29
Additional Considerations and Best Practices for Reversals 30
Arrays 30
Importance 32
Aggregate Model 32
L-Wave Model 32
Empirical Model 33
Long Term Model 33
Trading Cycle Model 34
Direction Change Model 34
Panic Cycle Model 35
Internal and Overnight Volatility Models 35
Additional Considerations and Best Practices for Arrays 36
Indicating Ranges 38
Additional Considerations for Indicating Ranges 39
Energy Model 40
Glossary 117
The Socrates Platform uses terminology that is generally known within the investment industry.
For definitions of terms unique to this platform, see the "Glossary" on page 117.
Covered Markets 3
Membership Levels 5
Analysis Text 6
Market Subscriptions 13
Snapshot Reports 13
Members Homepage 15
This unique set of models provides a macro perspective while also bringing together price-based
and time-based viewpoints of individual markets by using technical and cyclical methodologies.
The Socrates Platform also includes an artificial intelligence engine and natural language
processing to help users understand what the models are observing as they evaluate possible
convergence of price, time, and trend. This offers a truly unbiased, unemotional approach to
research.
l Currently includes approximately 1,000 covered markets (that is, financial instruments,
securities) around the world, including top indices, stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETF),
commodities, bonds, and currencies
Disclaimers
The information, content, data, material, concepts, research, graphic illustrations, and work
product appearing in this document or on the ArmstrongEconomics.com website, the Ask-
Socrates.com website, SocratesBusiness.com, or any other related website, event, publication,
product and/or service (collectively “AE Products and Services”) from AE Global Solutions,
Inc./Armstrong Economics (the “Company”, also referred herein as “we” or “our”) are protected
All AE Products and Services are offered “as is” and intended for general audiences for
educational, informational, illustrative, and/or research purposes only—not for speculation on any
financial market, security, or instrument. The Company is not a financial institution, nor are we a
bank, brokerage, financial advisory, or any other similar entity. The Company does not offer
individualized financial, trading, or investment advice, or money management services, and it
does not offer any warranty regarding opinions or forecasts in reference to any economy,
financial market, security, or instrument discussed, referenced, or covered in any way. The
Company will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information
or opinions contained within any AE Products and Services, including this document, the
ArmstrongEconomics.com website, the Ask-Socrates.com website, the SocratesBusiness.com
website, or any other previous, current, or future work product, material, or service, including but
not limited to financial data, prices, quotes, charts, forecasting, trends, buy/sell signals, or
otherwise.
For the sake of clarity, this document is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any cash or
financial security or instrument. No representation is being made that any financial result will or is
likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed or referenced in any way. Any past
performance (estimated, actual, or otherwise) of any specific strategies, tactics, technologies,
models, or methodologies referenced or discussed is not indicative of future results. Keep in
mind that any financial transaction comes with risk, and the Company encourages everyone to
consult a reputable financial adviser with fiduciary responsibilities before making any investment
decisions. The Company also encourages everyone to research information from various third-
party providers, not just the AE Products and Services offered by the Company.
Covered Markets
Covered markets are the key financial instruments that the Socrates Platform allows you to
research. They include top indices, stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETF), commodities, bonds,
and currencies.
l The platform focuses on established financial instruments with enough history to generate
insights from proprietary models across daily, weekly, and monthly time levels.
l While we typically look for instruments on major exchanges that have at least three or more
years' worth of public trading data, the platform can cover some instruments earlier if they
have significance at that time based on trading volume or geographic or sector
representation.
l Generally, the platform does not cover initial public offerings (IPO) or initial coin offerings
(ICO) at inception, nor does it typically cover minor exchanges, penny stocks, mini futures,
or options.
For a list of covered markets, see List of Covered Markets for the Socrates Standard Platform.
AE Indices
The AE Indices are a select collection of unique indices of covered markets. AE Indices are
available to all members of the Socrates Platform.
Each index is comprised of a sample set of covered markets, typically with at least 10 years of
data history (some exceptions may apply).
Indices are subject to change or removal at our sole discretion at any time and without notice. For the
avoidance of doubt, AE Indices do not in any way reflect a recommendation of financial investment, trade, or
transaction.
Membership Levels
Basic Plus Pro
For long-term investors For mid- to long-term investors For active investors, short-term
and occasional traders traders, and financial professionals
Benefits: All the benefits of Basic All the benefits of Basic and Plus
membership plus: memberships plus:
l Customizable watchlist to track the
activity of markets you research More Information More Information
more closely
l Weekly time level added to l Daily time level added to
l Members-only blog posts where Global Market Watch for all Global Market Watch for all
you can find unique, supplementary covered markets covered markets
research commentary on global
l Weekly time level added to l Daily time level added to
market activity
Indicating Ranges for all Indicating Ranges for all
l Global Capital Flows Heat Maps covered markets covered markets
that show a macro view of how
More Value More Value
capital is moving around the world
l Increase to bundled set of l Increase to bundled set of 100
l Over 1,000 covered markets to
50 predetermined summary predetermined summary
research, which are the
market subscriptions market subscriptions
instruments, securities, and
commodities analyzed by the l Bundled set of 5 l Increase to bundled set of 15
Socrates Platform predetermined detailed predetermined detailed market
market subscriptions subscriptions
l Monthly, quarterly, yearly time
levels in Global Market Watch for all l Ability to add summary or l One member-selected
covered markets detailed market premium market subscription,
subscriptions and snapshot which unlocks premium market
l Monthly, quarterly, yearly time
reports for any other tools and premium analysis
levels in Indicating Ranges for all
covered market text1
covered markets
l Ability to add summary,
l Bundled set of 25 predetermined
detailed, or premium market
summary market subscriptions
subscriptions and snapshot
l Ability to add summary market reports for any other covered
subscriptions and snapshot reports market
for any other covered market
l Periodic updates to the Economic
Confidence model
1 Once a Pro member designates their one included premium market subscription, it is locked for 60 days. Pro members can add
premium market subscriptions to their memberships for any other covered markets at any time.
Analysis Text
The Socrates Platform proprietary models and artificial intelligence engine generate three types
of analysis text for each covered market.
Analysis Membership
Text Type Description Levels
Summary A high-level commentary that covers long-term trends and high-level technical Basic
price considerations. Plus
Pro
Summary analysis is available to all members via summary market subscriptions
(recurring) or summary snapshot reports (point-in-time).
Detailed A more thorough assessment of market behavior that introduces the nearest Plus
reversals and timing considerations. Pro
Detailed analysis is available to applicable members via detailed market
subscriptions (recurring) or detailed snapshot reports (point-in-time).
Premium A comprehensive review of time, price, and risk model considerations. Pro
Premium analysis is available to applicable members via premium market
subscriptions (recurring) or premium snapshot reports (point-in-time).
The text may touch upon recent important highs and lows, the prior trading range, and when the
system expects a possible event to occur.
The text typically includes various different topics, depending on market activity and computer
model observations. The format and content may change from time to time.
Here is an example: (A) describes the overall trend of the market. It summarizes how the models
are interpreting current market activity within context of long-term trends.
The overall trend of the market is typically followed by information on the different time levels,
such as daily (B), weekly (C), and monthly (D) time levels. These paragraphs provide high level
insights from the Socrates Platform Indicating Ranges. They also reference high-level technical
analyses.
Within the text, look for key themes to which you should pay specific attention.
The analysis text does not always follow this exact format every day.
The text may touch upon recent important highs and lows, the prior trading range, and when the
system expects a possible event to occur. Compared to the summary analysis text, it provides
additional technical and timing considerations, and, if applicable, introduces the nearest array
cycles and reversals that are coming up.
The text typically includes various topics depending on market activity and computer model
observations. The format and content may change from time to time.
Here is an example: (A) describes the overall trend of the market in the five time periods. It
summarizes how the models are interpreting current market activity within the context of
long-term trends.
The overall trend of the market is typically followed by information on the different time levels,
such as the daily (B) time level. This paragraph provides high-level insights from the Socrates
Platform Indicating Ranges. It also references high-level technical analyses.
The weekly (C) and monthly (D) overviews provide high-level insights from the Socrates Platform
Indicating Ranges and reference high-level technical analyses and specific Indicating Range
information (E).
When applicable, the detailed analysis text includes information from the ECM and the nearest
array cycles (F) and reversals (G) that are coming up.
The analysis text does not always follow this exact format every day.
The text may touch upon recent important highs and lows, the prior trading range, and when the
system expects a possible event to occur. Compared to the detailed analysis text, it pulls in full
reversal system information, including what-if reversals, to provide additional perspective of what
the models are picking up on. When applicable, this analysis also takes into account all the timing
models and risk and hedge considerations.
The analysis text does not always follow this exact format every day.
Market Subscriptions
A market subscription gives you access to proprietary analysis text to help you interpret the data
for a specific market. Market subscriptions are ongoing, and analysis text is updated every night
based on the end-of-day market data. Market subscriptions and the analysis text included with
them come in three versions that correspond to the three membership levels.
Market Membership
Subscription Level Description Levels
Detailed Recurring access to the detailed analysis for a covered market. Plus
Pro
Snapshot Reports
Snapshot reports offer a point-in-time record of the proprietary text analysis for a covered
market. While market subscriptions represent the best value to stay on top of the covered
markets that you regularly follow, snapshot reports let you see the text analysis on a one-off basis
for a market you want to research at a specific time and for which you do not have a market
subscription.
Snapshot reports come in three versions that correspond to the three membership levels.
Snapshot Membership
Report Level Description Levels
B. Go to the Socrates Platform private blog, which contains unique, supplementary research
commentary on global market activity. Content varies based on your membership level.
l Agriculture
l Bonds
l Energy
l ETFs
l Forex
l Global Stocks
l Metals
l Mining
l Real Estate
l Stock Indices
D. View market details and manage the markets that you want to track:
l Watchlist
l Market subscriptions
l Snapshot reports
l General FAQs
H. Go to your shopping cart to see items that you want to order but have not yet purchased.
Members Homepage
Your Homepage is shown after you log in or when you select Socrates on the main navigation
menu bar.
A. Highlights recent activity for the top ten markets in your watchlist.
B. Highlights the five most recent private blog posts that are available for your membership
level. Select Read more to see the full post.
To go to the full Socrates Platform private blog, select Private Blog from the main navigation bar menu.
C. Shows interactive images of the most recent or projected flow of global capital.
Use of Colors
The data integration systems and various computer models associate colors based on market
activity:
l Capital flows—Refers to “Most Recent” flow direction, while also highlighting patterns the
Global Market Watch is observing.
l Blue identifies patterns that may reflect a potential for an impending sharp move in the
market.
l Yellow identifies patterns that may reflect the potential formation of turning points in the
market.
Use of Comments
Comments are computer generated from the GMW, which is a proprietary model that provides an
objective computer observation of price movement in relation to historical patterns and/or
possible new patterns that may be forming.
Reversal System 26
Arrays 30
Indicating Ranges 38
Energy Model 40
The Socrates Platform uses computer models that analyze the global economy and business
cycle.
Membership
Model Description Levels
"Economic The base model for comprehending the global economy that focuses on Basic
Confidence the flow and concentration of capital around the world as a means to Plus
Model (ECM)" on identify shifts in confidence that may lead to major economic events. Pro
the facing page
"Global Market A pattern recognition model that provides an objective computer analysis Basic
Watch (GMW)" on of all covered markets based on technical price movement, to provide a Plus
page 23 visual of what is unfolding on a global basis. Pro
"Reversal A computer model based on the theory that specific pressure points (the Pro
System" on reversal points) exist within price movement. As pressure in price
page 26 movement builds in one direction or another, reversal points represent
possible levels of support or resistance for those familiar with technical
analysis. If enough pressure builds in either direction, there will eventually
be a final point which, if exceeded or penetrated, signals a change in trend.
"Indicating A collection of computer models that assess data for both time and price Basic
Ranges" on considerations on a closing basis for each covered market. Plus
page 38 Pro
"Energy Model" A model that reflects the amount of excess energy within a market. Pro
on page 40
l The model consists of cycle waves that vary in length, from shorter to longer, and build up
over time; for example, 8.6 to 51.6 to 309.6 years.
l It examines these cycle waves to discover when they are set to culminate, reflecting a
possible shift in market confidence at that point in time.
l The longer the cycle wave, the greater the magnitude of the shift in confidence.
l The dates in the model that reflect possible shifts are referred to as ECM turning points.
The ECM does not track or forecast individual financial instruments, securities, or markets.
Importance
Capital tends to concentrate into a single nation or region, and then into a single sector or asset
class in that region.
l When a majority of investors feel confident and invest in one sector or nation, it eventually
leads to overvaluation and an overconcentration of capital, which can lead to a bubble and
then to financial panics relative to the time and circumstances.
l In the example above, capital moved back and forth from public (government bonds) to
private sector (stocks) every sixth wave (51.6 years).
l Confidence peaks by the end of the last wave in a 51.6-year period, followed by a pivot
downward in confidence by the end of the first wave in the next 51.6-year period.
If a covered market has a turning point in the arrays that aligns with an ECM target date, the
turning point has a greater likelihood to come to fruition.
l The peaks and troughs reflect dates when cycle waves come to a head, which can coincide
with notable events based on shifts in confidence.
Each nation or region, and each sector or asset class within those nations or regions, have their
own cycles and considered influences; for example:
l The cycle duration in agriculture tends to be shorter and more volatile because it is affected
by the weather.
l The markets in financials (stocks and bonds) tend to be longer than commodities.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
Each covered market's price movement is analyzed and benchmarked independently against a
historical record of patterns that the GMW has observed over time across all covered markets.
l Colors reflect the determination of the pattern or trend, with yellow and blue being the key
colors.
l Comments reflect the patterns or trends that have occurred, are occurring, or are likely to
occur.
Importance
As financial markets trade over time, a history of price movement reveals patterns that may
repeat or help to reveal when new patterns are forming. The GMW is a visual assessment of
those patterns that can be utilized in one of two ways:
The GMW is a supplementary study to a more comprehensive strategy or thesis that is being
researched.
Comments
"In place" means an occurrence or event in a particular trend is over.
Most present participle verbs (that is, verbs that end in “ing”; for example, consolidating, getting,
and holding) indicate that the occurrence or event is currently underway.
Other present participle verbs may indicate a future event, such as “preparing to crash,” but this
is typically captured by comments such as “about to breakout” or “caution: risk of decline.”
If a comment does not seem to relate to a specific time, the event is likely underway; for example,
breakout to upside, crash mode, important low, knee-jerk reaction high, or short covering.
The standalone word “caution” indicates that an unidentified pattern has been found that
requires further analysis.
Font
UPPERCASE: Potentially stronger than normal.
BOLD UPPERCASE: Possibility of both stronger and more important event than normal.
Time Levels
Each time level may show different activity for a given market that can reflect counter-trend or
short-term moves, or possibly indicate the start of a change to a long-term trend.
Most of the time levels may show a similar pattern or activity, which is a stronger indicator of a
trend.
Further research is warranted to help interpret the pattern that the GMW is revealing.
The GMW is a computer model that generates analysis and information that are generally available to a
broad audience and are not designed to be used independently to determine a specific financial
investment, trade decision, or strategy.
The GMW is a dynamic model that updates information on a regular basis. For example, if you
were looking at a weekly time level, the color and comment may change from the opening of that
week to the end of that week, just as the price action of the covered market may change as the
week progresses.
Don't just research GMW in Markets Activity, which shows in-progress pattern recognition that is
continuously updated and subject to change as the week, month, quarter, or year progresses.
Use the Market Details to research prior time periods that have already closed for a specific
covered market.
Focus on monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods because they are less choppy and less prone to
false moves and inconsistent activity.
Watch for blue and yellow, which are the key colors.
Consider using an alignment approach when reviewing the GMW. Look for similar colors and
comments across different time levels, with an emphasis on the longer time levels (that is, first
yearly, then quarterly, then monthly).
Keep in mind that the GMW is dynamic, but when patterns line up, research the corresponding
price charts to visualize the price pattern and study the Indicating Ranges.
If they are available at your membership level, research the arrays to consider cyclical timing
considerations, along with reversals to consider price points and ranges of interest.
Use the GMW in combination with other information, data points, and studies.
Covered markets with longer trading histories have more data, history, and time levels to
analyze.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
Reversal System
The Reversal System is a computer model that analyzes the movement and energy of a covered
market's price activity to identify pressure points. These pressure points are referred to as
reversal points.
l A reversal point is generated when a new, isolated high or low occurs in the market.
l A reversal point becomes active once the high or low that generated the reversal point
holds in place for at least one additional time unit.
l A bearish reversal is generated from a confirmed high and is elected only if the market
closes below that bearish reversal point.
l A major bearish reversal is generated from the highest high in a relative period of
time.
l A minor bearish reversal is generated from a reaction high that appears within a short-
term trend.
l A bullish reversal is generated from a confirmed low and is elected only if the market closes
above that bullish reversal point.
l A major bullish reversal is generated from the lowest low in a relative period of time.
l A minor bearish reversal is generated from a reaction low that appears within a short-
term trend.
l On the Socrates Platform, most reversal points are generated from a single high or low, but
some are identified as double reversal points, which are generated twice by the same high
or low.
Reversals are available to Pro level members with premium market subscriptions and are shown
in your Pro Member Grid and on the Reversals tab in the Pro member premium tools.
Importance
Electing key reversal points can signal a continuance in market direction or a possible turning
point in the opposite direction.
l As pressure in price movement builds in one direction or another, reversal points represent
possible levels of support or resistance.
l If a market has been in an uptrend but closes below a monthly bearish reversal, this
indicates that the uptrend may reverse into a bearish or downtrend.
l If a market has been in a downtrend but closes above a monthly bullish reversal, this
indicates that the downtrend may reverse into an uptrend.
l Experienced investors and traders can study reversal points as part of a broader strategy in
which they consider possible price levels for market entry or exit, if supported with
additional appropriate research.
Density of Reversals
Reversals tend to appear in clusters or groups that are densely populated within a narrow price
range. Each reversal is generated independently but, because they are close in proximity, they
tend to act more substantively than an individual reversal.
The more active reversal point clusters there are in a price range, the more energy it takes to
break through that price range.
If the price moves through an entire cluster of reversals, there is a stronger probability to stay on
the opposite side of those reversals than it would if it moved through just a single reversal point
(resistance becomes support and support becomes resistance).
Reversal Gaps
The larger the percentage gap between two active reversal points (that is, the less clusters), the
less energy it takes to move from the one reversal point to the next, increasing the likelihood of
such a move once the first reversal point is breached.
Same-Time Reversals
A same-time reversal occurs when a tentative reversal is crossed below bearish or above bullish
on the closing of the same time unit in which the reversal was generated.
This is similar to when an active reversal is elected but, in this scenario, it happens in the same
time unit and is a strong indicator that the high or low that generated the tentative reversal will
hold in the relative near term. For example, a bullish market experiences an intraday bearish
correction and establishes a new low, generating a tentative bullish reversal point, but then
closes above that tentative bullish reversal point in the same time unit in which it was generated.
The same happens when a bearish market experiences a bullish spike up, generating a tentative
bearish reversal point but then closes below the tentative bearish reversal point in the same time
unit in which it was generated.
Tentative Reversals
A tentative reversal refers to the initial stage of a reversal point. It is generated when a new high
or low in a market price is reached but has not been confirmed as an active reversal because the
high or low that generated the reversal has not been proven to hold.
You may see a reference to a tentative reversal in the computer-generated analysis text, giving a
preview of what would become a confirmed active reversal if the high or low that generated it
was to hold.
Tentative reversals are subject to change and may disappear or be replaced if a new higher high
or lower low is achieved in the next time unit. Therefore, tentative reversals should not be
researched in the same manner as active reversals, and it is not recommended to consider them
unless they become confirmed active reversals.
The 1% Rule
There are cases in which a covered market elects a reversal point and closes at a price ≥1% of the
elected reversal point. This indicates that the market may retrace to the elected reversal price
level.
l The greater the percentage distance between the close and the elected reversal, the
longer the time it may take to retest that elected reversal price point.
l If multiple reversals are elected during the same close, the market's price retracement
becomes most sensitive to the last elected reversal; for example:
l Theoretical Instrument A has been in a bearish trend and its nearest confirmed
monthly bearish reversal point is 80.77.
l Because it closed 2.11 below the elected bearish reversal point of 80.77—2.6% from
the elected reversal point—it is likely that Theoretical Instrument A will return to test
the 80.77 price area before testing the next monthly bearish reversal.
Correlate reversals (price considerations) with arrays (time considerations) as part of your
research.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
Arrays
Dozens of computer models analyze when market cycles may come due at a given time. The
array table displays a select number of key models. Each model is designed to assess possible
convergences of time and cyclical activity from a different perspective. The objective is to help
identify possible synergy of cyclical activity across different models within a given time unit.
l The Aggregate row is a summation of all the models and the recommended focal point
when studying the arrays.
l Each column represents a unit of time, with the table showing a total of 12 units of time.
l When the same color bar follows a bar in a row, it represents the same size or a
continuance in the increase or decrease of the bar size, with the exception of the Trading
Cycle row.
l When a different color bar follows a bar in a row, it represents the opposite movement of
the preceding bar, with the exception of the Trading Cycle row.
l The closer the time unit, the more cycle data analyzed.
Arrays are available to Pro level members with premium market subscriptions and are shown in
your Pro Member Grid and on the Arrays tab in the Pro member premium tools.
Importance
High Aggregate bars aligned with spikes in other rows can signal the possible timing of when
market turning points, changes in trend, or volatility may occur.
Aggregate Model
The Aggregate row represents the summation of the entire collection of Array models.
l The blue bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous blue bar or higher than the
blue or pink bar in the previous time frame.
l The pink bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous pink bar or lower than the blue
or pink bar in the previous time frame.
l Bar height is standardized to the largest bar, providing a relative scale for the time frame.
l Aggregate peaks (high bars) and troughs (low bars) reflect possible turning points; however,
it is important to understand that they are not necessarily market price highs or lows.
l Turning points tend to alternate with Aggregate bar peaks and troughs so, if one peak or
trough aligns with a market high and then a turn-down, then the following peak or, as
applicable, trough in the same time level, may align with a market low and turn-up.
l It is best to focus on a monthly time level and correlate research with GMW, reversals, and
other studies.
l Multiple Aggregate peaks and troughs over a short period of time tends to indicate that
market price may be choppy with relatively frequent, alternating highs and lows.
L-Wave Model
The L-Wave row provides a representation of a longitudinal timing model that studies cyclical
patterns of a market's turning points.
l The cyclical patterns can vary, sensitive not only to a given market's own cycle, but also to
external factors that may impact a market's cycle.
l The L-Wave row is based upon the longitudinal timing model's interpretation of the cycles,
as they expand and contract over time
l A green bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous green bar or higher than the
green or purple bar in the previous time frame.
l A purple bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous purple bar or lower than the
green or purple bar in the previous time frame.
l Bar height is standardized to the largest bar, providing a relative scale for the time frame.
Empirical Model
The Empirical row represents a transverse timing model that studies cyclical patterns of a
market's turning points.
l The cyclical frequencies have fixed durations, specific to a given market's cyclical pattern
over time, and not sensitive to external factors.
l A blue bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous blue bar or higher than the blue
or teal bar in the previous time frame.
l A teal bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous teal bar or lower than the blue or
teal bar in the previous time frame.
l Bar height is standardized to the largest bar, providing a relative scale for the time frame.
l The frequencies are fixed at a higher duration than those in the Empirical Model (for
example, three times the average length in empirical bars).
l A yellow bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous yellow bar or higher than the
yellow or orange bar in the previous time frame.
l An orange bar indicates a number that is equal to the previous orange bar or lower than the
yellow or orange bar in the previous time frame.
l Bar height is standardized to the largest bar, providing a relative scale for the time frame.
Unlike the other Array rows that alternate between two colors to show a change, the Trading
Cycle colors have a specific association from the model:
l A red bar indicates a bearish cycle count of time units from the last market high. The higher
the red bar, the higher the cycle counts relative to other time units, which indicates the
possibility of a market establishing a relative low.
l A green bar indicates a bullish cycle count of time units from the last market low. The higher
the green bar, the higher the cycle counts relative to other time units, which indicates the
possibility of a market establishing a relative high.
l A yellow bar indicates when bullish and bearish cycle counts converge on the same time
unit. The higher the yellow bar, the higher the cycle counts relative to other time units,
which indicates the possibility of a relative market high and low in the same time unit.
l The instances do not necessarily align to new market price highs or lows, but to when an
opposite move up or down may begin.
l A direction change can align with a turning point during periods of high volatility.
l Given their abrupt or dramatic nature, panic cycles do not necessarily reflect changes in
trend or a new high or low—they tend to align to short-term moves or temporary
corrections.
l When abrupt or dramatic price movements occur in a market, humans and automated
trading systems are both prone to react in kind, amplifying the movement.
l Panic cycles that come to pass (that is, take place during time unit that has closed) tend to
be one of the following:
l A relatively dramatic price move in which it exceeds the previously-closed time unit
high and penetrates the low from that previous time unit or vice versa.
l A relatively fast, one-way price move, either exceeding a previous high or penetrating
a previous low, but not both.
l Internal Volatility shows the difference in the volatility percentage between the high and
low of a trading session.
l Overnight Volatility shows the difference in the volatility percentage between the previous
close to the current open.
l Market activity is not confirmed until the current time unit closes.
l The closer a time unit is in the array, the more data and activity is assessed, and the more
informed the model.
l As time units approach, moving from right to left, the model processes additional market
data and cycle activity through that progression.
l As time units close out and move out of the array table, some related cycles also naturally
close out, and new cycles enter with new time units.
l These close-outs are why the makeup of an array table—including where bars display and
their height and color—does not remain static.
l This is all based on price activity leading up to and including the close of the time unit (when
the final data entry for the time unit is assessed by the model).
Remember that an array bar's location, height, and color are displayed on a relative scale and are
based on the continuing assessment of market activity leading up to, and including, the final
close of a time unit.
l The height of a bar is determined by the relative strength of activity that the model is
observing and how it is aligning with a particular unit of time; the stronger the activity at that
point in time, the higher the bar, relative to the other time units in the table.
l Turning points in price can unfold on both the highest and lowest bars. For example, the
highest bar in an array may end up correlating to a low in that market's price and vice versa,
so be sure to pay attention to such a pattern, as it may continue.
l With the exception of the Trading Cycle row, the color differences in the bars of each row
are intended only to identify if a bar is the same, higher, or lower than the preceding bar.
It is recommended that you study the Aggregate row on a monthly time level.
It is recommended that you focus on the nearest three time units because the closer the time
unit, the more data that has been analyzed, decreasing the likelihood of notable changes.
Remember to study both arrays (time considerations) and reversals (price considerations) for
potential correlation, and align your research with other models and information.
Consider using a top-down approach to researching the arrays. For example, if a month stands
out, research the weeks within that month and then the days within each week to determine
when activities line up and identify reversal points.
Continuously monitor the arrays to study any changes over time, including the alignment of
peaks and troughs for a given time unit across multiple rows, and be sure to cross-reference your
research with the data from the other models.
The longer the trading history of a covered market, the more data, history, and time levels there
are to analyze.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
Indicating Ranges
The Indicating Ranges are shown in the market data table for each covered market:
Indicating Ranges is a collection of proprietary computer models that assess data for both time
and price considerations on a closing basis for each covered market. These computer models
systematically assess the relative strength or weakness of technical and cyclical market
conditions using different studies:
l Trend—Indication of the current market trend over a relative short period of time (one to
two units of time).
l Long-Term—Indication of the current market trend over a relative longer period of time
(y-number of time units). A shift on this indicator implies the possibility for a sustained
change in the market trend.
Following the close of a time unit, the Indicating Ranges update with a standardized point-in-time
assessment of market condition as either bearish (negative), neutral or bullish (positive).
l Once an assessment is generated by the computer model, the Indicating Range will not
update again until the then-current time unit closes.
l Dailies update after the close of every trading session, but weekly only updates once per
week after the close. Similarly, monthly only updates once a month, and so on.
l Red—Bearish.
l Gray—Neutral.
l Green—Bullish.
The Indicating Ranges are computer models that generate analysis and information that are generally
available to a broad audience and are not designed to be used independently to determine a specific
financial investment, trade decision, or strategy.
If the Momentum Indicating Range generates a neutral assessment on a monthly closing basis in
a bullish or bearish market, it is a sign that a temporary high for a bullish market or low for a
bearish market for that time unit may have already been established and the market's strength to
continue its move up (bullish market) or down (bearish market) relatively quickly may have
diminished.
If the Trend Indicating Range generates a neutral assessment on a monthly closing basis in a
bullish or bearish market, it is a possible sign that the trend for that market has shifted from
bullish or bearish to neutral.
Indicating Ranges can have different assessments in one time level vs. another. For example, if
the weekly Trend Indicating Range turns bearish while the monthly is still bullish, it indicates that
the market activity may only be a short-term reaction.
If the Trend Indicating Range for a bullish or bearish market shifts to a neutral assessment in the
monthly time level, it indicates a change in the actual trend may be setting up and could last for
several months or more. It is good practice to study the quarterly and yearly indicators and
monthly reversals for additional signs of potential shifts in trend.
Use the Indicating Ranges in combination with other information, data points, and studies.
Covered markets with longer trading histories have more data, history, and time levels to
analyze, increasing the potential usefulness of the Socrates Platform models.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
Energy Model
The Energy model is shown on the Dashboard in the pro members' premium tools.
The Energy model is a computer model that generates analysis and information that are generally available
to a broad audience and are not designed to be used independently to determine a specific financial
investment, trade decision, or strategy.
The Energy model analyzes the relative push-and-pull force between the bulls and bears in a
covered market, providing a unique measurement of how much energy (that is, strength or
weakness) remains in a market's current price movement.
This model analyzes to what extent the bulls represent the whole of a current market vs. the
extent represented by the bears, illustrating the degree to which a market may be reaching its
maximum entropy resulting from potential overbought or oversold conditions.
When the Energy model's direction closely aligns with price direction, it indicates a possible
divergence of the two ahead (that is, direction change).
If the Energy model turns negative during a market sell-off in a particular time unit, this is a sign
that the selling or short positions may be bottoming out (that is, failing to make new lower lows),
and a direction change may be ahead. Conversely, if the Energy model reaches a relative peak
during a market rally, this is a sign the buying or long positions may be stalling (that is, failing to
make new higher highs) and a direction change may be ahead.
Use the Energy model in combination with other information, data points, and studies.
Covered markets with longer trading histories have more data, history, and time levels to
analyze, increasing the potential usefulness of the Socrates Platform models.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
A. Select Daily, Weekly, or Monthly to show the flow of capital across the selected time level for
either the most recent or projected flow.
B. To change your focus within the map, select Zoom In (+) or Zoom Out (-), roll your mouse
wheel, or use pinch-in or pinch-out gestures on your track pad or screen. When zoomed in,
select and drag the map to change the area of focus.
E. Select Expand to see larger view of the most recent and projected flow maps.
On the main navigation menu bar, select Private Blog to go to the Socrates Private Blog page.
5. Select Search.
1. To go to your watchlist:
l On your Homepage, in the Watchlist - Top 10 section, select Manage Your Watchlist.
2. On the Manage Watchlist tab, for Select a Market from Your Watchlist:
Full Watchlist
The example below shows a full watchlist.
A. Select a different time level, or select GMW View to see the GMW model for these markets.
B. Select a specific market to go to the Market Details page for that market.
Single Market
The example below shows a watchlist for a selected market.
A. Select a tab to see activity for a different time level, or select GMW View to see the GMW
model for the market.
B. Select the market name to go to the Market details page for the market.
C. Select Expand to show the full analysis text. The analysis type is based on your membership
level and the time level selection.
D. Select Previous or Next to show information for the previous or next market in your watchlist.
A. In Add To Watchlist, type the market's name or stock symbol. As you type, a list of matching
stock names displays, from which you can select the market you want to add. Select Add.
B. The first 10 markets in your watchlist are shown on your Homepage in the Watchlist - Top 10
section.
C. The subscription symbol identifies a market for which you currently have a market
subscription.
l Go to the Market Details page, if you have a current subscription for the market.
OR
l Show options for purchasing a market subscription or snapshot report for the market.
Socrates Markets menu The Markets Activity page for the selected sector. "View Markets Activity by
Sector" below
Market Search box The Market Overview page or cash chart for the "Use the Market Search"
selected market. on page 58
Watchlist The My Watchlist tab for all or just the selected market. "View Your Watchlist" on
page 47
Market Subscriptions Analysis text for the selected market based on your "View Analysis Text" on
market subscriptions. page 63
Pro Member Grid Your Pro Member Grid for the selected markets. "View Your Pro Member
Grid" on page 83
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Socrates Markets, then select the sector you want
to see.
A. Go to your watchlist.
G. A transparent star indicates that this market is not on your watchlist. Select the star to
add the market to your watchlist.
H. A blue star indicates that this market is on your watchlist. Select the star to remove this
market from your watchlist.
I. The subscription symbol indicates that you currently have a market subscription to this
market.
l Go to the market details for this market, if you have a current subscription for the
market.
OR
l Show options for purchasing a market subscription or snapshot report for the
market.
Filter Options
You can define two filters to narrow the subscriptions shown in the subscription list.
1. Filter one:
2. Filter two:
d. Select a color.
3. Select AND to filter the list to show only markets that meet both filter criteria.
or
Select OR to filter the list to show markets that meet either filter criteria.
4. A default filter is already applied to show only markets in the sector selected on the Markets
Activity page. To filter the list to show markets in all sectors, select Remove to clear this
default filter.
The sector filter will be reapplied the next time you select a sector on the Markets Activity page.
1. Select Filters.
4. To clear both of your filters, select Clear Filter(s). (This doesn't apply to the default sector
filter.)
2. To see a specific match, select the market in the list, then select Search .
OR
My Watchlist The My Watchlist tab, in GMW view, for all or just "View Your Watchlist" on
the selected market. page 47
Markets Activity The Markets Activity page, in GMW view, for the "View Markets Activity by
selected sector. Sector" on page 52
Market Subscriptions The My Market Subscriptions page, with GMW "View Your Market
information for each time level. SubscriptionsLicensed
Markets" on page 64
Pro Member Grid Your Pro Member Grid for the selected markets, with "View Your Pro Member
GMW information for each time level. Grid" on page 83
Pro Member Premium The Dashboard tab for the selected market, with "View the Dashboard for a
Dashboard GMW comments for each time level. Market" on page 94
Pro Member Premium The Compare tab for the selected market, with "Compare Markets" on
Compare GMW comments for each time level. page 101
To go to the market details, select the row for the market in:
A. Show the analysis text for this market. The availability of analysis text depends on your
market subscriptions.
B. Change the time level. The available time levels depend on your membership level.
E. The price history, indicators, and GMW information for the selected time level.
A. On your keyboard, use the arrow keys to move the vertical line across the chart and show
detailed price information for the point in time where the line is located.
B. Drag the time marker to change the date range shown in the chart.
l The top rows represent the most recently closed time periods.
l You can select Refresh, located above the table, to update the values in this row.
C. Moving averages
D. Indicating ranges
E. Stochastics
F. GMW information
The Socrates Platform provides a predefined set of technical analyses that are focused on price
range and moving averages.
l Top Envelope: The top price level (channel) within a price range.
l Center: The midpoint of the Top Envelope and Bottom Envelope values.
l Bottom Envelope: The bottom price level (channel) within a price range.
If a market's price crosses above or below the price range or moving average, it is a technical
analysis signal that a possible change in trend is forming in the market.
Stochastics
Stochastics are shown in the market data table for each covered market.
Stochastics measure the closing price vs. the price range over a period of time.
Stochastics are also available from your Pro Member Premium Tools.
The platform provides several ways to see the analysis text for a covered market.
Homepage The analysis text page for the selected "Members Homepage" on page 15
market.
Markets Activity "View Markets Activity by Sector" on page 52
When you see the subscription symbol next to a market name, you have a subscription to that
market.
To see a list of your current subscriptions, on the main navigation menu bar, select Socrates
Markets > My Market Subscriptions.
A. Go to your watchlist.
B. Select options to filter the list; see "Filter Options" on the next page.
F. A blue star indicates that this market is on your watchlist. Select the star to remove this
market from your watchlist.
G. A transparent star indicates that this market is not on your watchlist. Select the star to add the
market to your watchlist.
H. The subscription symbol indicates that you currently have a market subscription to this
market.
Filter Options
You can define two filters to narrow the subscriptions shown in the subscription list.
1. Filter one:
2. Filter two:
d. Select a color.
3. Select AND to filter the list to show only markets that meet both filter criteria.
or
Select OR to filter the list to show markets that meet either filter criteria.
Purchase Page
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Purchase.
3. In Select a Covered Market, type the name of the market for which you want to purchase a
subscription. As you type, a list of markets that match your entry display.
Finish typing the name of the market or select one from the list.
4. In Select Analysis Type, select the market subscription level that you want to purchase.
The selection is shown below Select Analysis Type. Select Remove (X) to remove the
subscription from your shopping cart.
6. Repeat steps 3 to 5 to add more market subscriptions to your shopping cart.
2. On the Manage Watchlist tab, select Purchase Analysis for the market for which you want to
purchase a subscription.
3. In the Information dialog box, select the market subscription level that you want to purchase.
OR
Select Close to return to the Manage Watchlist tab and complete your purchase later.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
3. For the market subscription that you want to change, select Change Subscription.
4. In the Subscription Change dialog box, select the new subscription level.
5. Select Change.
Select Checkout.
Alternatively, if you want to change additional market subscriptions, select Close (X), then
repeat steps 3 to 5 for each subscription that you want to change.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
3. For the market subscription that you want to change, select Cancel Subscription.
2. On the My Snapshot reports page, select the snapshot report that you want to see.
2. In the Information dialog box, scroll down to the snapshot options, then select the snapshot
report you want to purchase.
3. Read the purchase agreement, then select Purchase. If you do not have the required credits
to purchase the snapshot report, you are prompted to purchase additional credits.
OR
2. On the purchase page, scroll down to the Purchase Market Access Credits section.
l Monthly, quarterly, and yearly time levels for Global Market Watch (GMW) and market
indicators across all covered markets
l Bring together key historical and analytical information to help research market price
movement across multiple time levels
l Determine if a trend is likely to continue or change (from bullish to bearish or vice versa)
Best Practices
Look for blue and yellow colors in the GMW.
Use summary analysis text to research price activity and long-term trend for markets of interest.
Analysis text is computer generated and designed to interpret various data and model inputs. It should not
be used as a substitute for your own research and understanding of the models.
Align all reference points as part of your research—don't focus on just one—and see what
supports or conflicts with your analysis.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
l Weekly, monthly, quarterly, and yearly time levels for Global Market Watch (GMW) and
market indicators across all covered markets
l Summary and detailed analysis text via market subscription or snapshot report
l Bring together key historical and analytical information to help research market price
movement across multiple time levels
l Determine if a trend is likely to continue or change (from bullish to bearish or vice versa)
Best Practices
Look for blue and yellow colors in the GMW.
Use summary analysis text to research price activity and long-term trend for markets of interest.
Use detailed analysis text to research more active market participation, as it contemplates both
investing and high-level trading considerations.
Analysis text is computer generated and designed to interpret various data and model inputs. It should not
be used as a substitute for your own research and understanding of the models.
Align all reference points as part of your research—don't focus on just one—and see what
supports or conflicts with your analysis.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
consideration to where to invest, and then manage your investments accordingly.
l Daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, and yearly time levels for Global Market Watch (GMW) and
market indicators across all covered markets
l Summary, detailed, and premium analysis text via market subscription or snapshot report
l Bring together key historical and analytical information to help research market price
movement across all time levels
l Uncover possible market opportunities in advance, and monitor and research as time
approaches if it converges with price ranges
l Determine if a trend is likely to continue or change (from bullish to bearish or vice versa)
Best Practices
Look for blue and yellow colors in the GMW.
Use summary analysis text to research price activity and long-term trend for markets of interest.
Use detailed analysis text to research more active market participation, as it contemplates both
investing and high-level trading considerations.
Use premium analysis text and tools for markets you’re most interested in or currently active in,
from long-term investing to short-term trading.
Analysis text is computer generated and designed to interpret various data and model inputs. It should not
be used as a substitute for your own research and understanding of the models.
Research reversal points. Look for major reversals with relatively large gaps to the next reversal
point.
Analyze arrays for time-unit activity that may result in the election of reversal points. Look for
Aggregate bars aligned with other rows below it, especially Trading Cycle, Direction Change,
Panic Cycle, and Volatility.
Align all reference points as part of your research—don't focus on just one—and see what
supports or conflicts with your analysis.
Do not try to pick the exact time and price point of a given market's highest high or lowest low.
l Determine the right investment or trade opportunity for your circumstances based on your
own budget, comfort level, experience, expertise, objectives, research, and risk
management considerations.
l Every financial investment or trade involves the risk of financial loss. Give serious
l On the main navigation menu bar, select My Markets > Pro Grid View.
By default, your Pro Member Grid shows the Overview data type (A) within the daily time level (B).
This data type provides you with a quick view of key information.
E. Price data
F. Nearest reversals
l Select a market.
OR
l Type the market's name or stock symbol. As you type, a list of matching stock names
displays, from which you can select the market you want to add.
Overview
See View Your Pro Member Grid.
Technical Chart
This data type provides you with auto-generated technical charts for the selected time level.
A. On your keyboard, use the arrow keys to move the line across the chart to display price
information below.
C. Show a full-screen chart of the price information with a full set of chart tools.
Reversals
This data type provides you with reversal information for the selected time level.
A. On your keyboard, use the arrow keys to move the line across the chart to display price
information below.
Arrays
This data type provides you with a condensed array chart for the selected time level.
l Premium Overview
l Dashboard
l Technical charts
l Arrays table
l In your Pro Member Grid, select View Full Premium Tools for the market that you want to
research.
l On the Market Overview page for a single market, select View Premium Analysis.
B. Price information for each time level. Point to a segment on a graph to see specific values.
Price Data
The Premium Overview price data for each time level is similar to the price data in the market
data tables.
Moving Averages
The Premium Overview moving averages information for each time level is similar to the moving
averages in the market data tables.
Stochastics
The Premium Overview stochastics information for each time level is similar to the stochastics in
the market data tables.
Indicating Ranges
The Premium Overview Indicating Range information for each time level is similar to the
Indicating Range information in the market data tables.
It is a unique, consolidated view of key market activity and model analysis that takes information
from the Premium Overview and shows it in a graphical format for daily, weekly, and monthly time
levels.
In the Pro Member Premium Tools, select the Dashboard tab to see the Dashboard for the
selected market.
F. Pricing chart with historical data. Select the chart to show a full-page version with a full set of
chart tools.
G. Price and moving averages for the selected time level, similar to the pricing and moving
averages in the market data tables.
I. Condensed arrays for the selected time level. Select Expand to go to the Arrays tab.
J. Reversals for the selected time level. Select Expand to go to the Reversals tab.
K. Stochastics information for the selected time level, similar to the stochastics information in
the market data tables.
L. Global capital flows heat map that shows a high-level picture of the most recent flow of global
capital, similar to the map on your Homepage. Hover over a country to show detailed
information.
M. Indicating range information for the selected time level, in chart format.
N. Energy model analysis of the relative push-and-pull force between the bulls and bears in the
market for the selected time level. Hover over a line to show detailed information.
O. Indicating range information for the selected time level, similar to the Indicating Range
information in the market data tables.
P. Premium analysis text for the selected time level. Select Expand to see the full report.
This is a price history chart that allows you to analyze statistical trends in market activity.
In the Pro Member Premium Tools, select the Technicals tab to see the technicals chart for the
selected market.
F. On your keyboard, use the arrow keys to move the line across the chart to see price
information below.
H. Drag the time marker to see a different date range on the chart.
I. Show a full-screen chart of the price information with a full set of chart tools.
In the Pro Member Premium Tools, select the Arrays tab to see the arrays table and text
interpretation for the selected market.
In the Pro Member Premium Tools, select the Reversals tab to see a reversals chart and tables
for the selected market.
We use a statistical moving average of price movement and volatility for each covered market to
identify the range of then-current price activity for each time level. The active reversal points,
both bullish and bearish, that fall within that range are displayed.
This results in certain reversal points not showing on the Reversals tab or elsewhere at different
times, but it doesn't mean they no longer exist. When price movement shifts, reversal points
within the then-current range will display.
This approach helps to keep focus on the reversals that are most relevant at a given point in time.
Keep in mind, you may see a larger list of reversals referenced within the Premium analysis text,
which is by design and for your reference.
Compare Markets
The compare feature for covered markets is available to Pro members.
This feature lets you see a side-by-side comparison of the currently selected market and any
other market for which you have a premium market subscription, for a selected time level.
3. Select the category for the market that you want to compare to the currently selected market.
Make a Purchase
Once you have added items such as MACs, market subscriptions, or a membership upgrade to
your shopping cart, you start the purchase process on the Cart Review page. In most cases, you
can go to the Cart Review page immediately after selecting items to purchase, or you can place
several items in your shopping cart and complete your purchase at a later time.
2. If you want to change anything in your order, select Edit Order, then follow the on-page
instructions.
4. Review the terms and privacy policy, then select the check box to indicate your agreement.
6. Select Save.
Passwords must be at least six characters long and contain at least one lowercase letter,
uppercase letter, number, and symbol ([ . , - / # ! $ % ^ & * ; : { } = - _ ` ~ ( ) | + @ < > ? ]).
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
6. Select Submit.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
2. On the My Account page, select Click Here next to Change E-Mail Address.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
4. On the Add Authorize Payment page, enter the credit card number without dashes or spaces.
6. Enter the card verification code (CVC), usually found on the back of your credit card.
7. Enter your name and address as they appear on your billing statement.
8. Review the terms and privacy policy, then select the check box to indicate your agreement.
9. Select Submit.
For upgrades, your membership changes immediately and you are charged a prorated fee that
reflects the amount of time you have access to your upgrade, starting from the day you upgraded
until the end of the current billing cycle. Your next billing cycle reflects the normal recurring fee
for the upgrade.
For downgrades, your current access continues until the end of your current billing cycle. Your
next billing reflects the new fee.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
4. In the Membership Upgrade or Membership Downgrade dialog box, select your new
membership level.
5. Select Change.
1. On the main navigation menu bar, select Account > Manage My Account.
Aggregate model
A row in the array that represents a summation of all the array models to help indicate
important dates ahead.
Arrays
One of four core Socrates Platform models. Arrays is collection of time-based models
presented in a graphical overview to help identify potential highs, lows, and important
changes in trend and volatility for a given time level.
bearish reversal
A reversal that is generated from a high. If the market should close below the reversal point,
then the uptrend reverses into a bearish or declining trend. Bearish reversals can only be
elected if the market closes below the reversal.
breakline
Breaklines are the key to understanding the angle of a market. Charting parallels of a
breakline will reveal how an angle will stay within a market for the long-term.
breakout mode
A breakout refers to a security's price movement through a historical resistance level. A
breakout typically precedes heavy trading volume and increased volatility.
bullish reversal
Bullish reversals are generated from a low. If the market should close above the reversal
point, then the downtrend will reverse into a bullish or increasing trend. A bullish reversal
can only be elected if the market closes above the reversal.
between sectors, stock markets, commodities, bonds, and real estate creating booms and
busts in one sector at a time.
channel analysis
Channels show the direction of the trend in motion. Channel maps are created by drawing a
breakline around a high or a low. A parallel is then drawn from that particular high or low to
define the channel.
crash mode
A sudden and significant decline in the value of a market.
cycle
Taken from the Greek word “kyklos” meaning circle or returning to the point of origin. A
rhythm or frequency of repetitive nature as in weather or in regular oscillations from peak to
trough in a time series.
cycle strength
Indicates the strength of time-related trends. This indicator tends to pick highs and lows in
extremely volatile moves.
cyclical convergences
Numerous cyclical waves combine and produce an abnormally large wave that causes the
amplitude of the individual waves to blend together, thereby producing the abnormally large
event.
cyclical strength
Indicates the strength of time-related trends. This indicator tends to pick highs and lows in
extremely volatile moves.
downtrend
The targeted move does not need to be an actual high or low. During periods of high
volatility, it is likely that the turning point and directional change will converge in the same
time period. This normally occurs when a market is making a spike high or low.
downtrend line
A standard technical analysis method of connecting the highest point on a chart to a
subsequent reaction high. The resulting trendline is normally interpreted to define the
overall trend of the market. A downtrend is said to continue in effect as long as current price
activity remains below this downtrend line.
ECM
ECM. One of four core Socrates Platform models. This is the base model for comprehending
the global economy that focuses on the flow and concentration of capital around the world
as a means to identify shifts in confidence that may lead to major economic events.
elected reversals
If a market closes above a bullish reversal point or below a bearish reversal point, it is
considered "elected" and will subsequently cease to exist.
Empirical model
A row in the array that represents a transverse wave that studies the patterns of a market's
turning points.
Energy model
The Energy model reflects the amount of excess energy within a market.
envelope
A type of technical indicator typically formed by two moving averages that define upper and
lower price range levels. An envelope is a technical indicator used by investors and traders
to help identify extreme overbought and oversold conditions in a market. The envelopes,
which typically appear overlaid on a price chart, are also useful in identifying trading ranges
for a particular trading instrument.
fish-bowl economy
An isolated concept that focuses only on the domestic perspective. This theory is used to
justify government intervention to alter domestic trends that may be set in motion externally.
gap
A reversal gap in the void between two reversal points. Whenever large gaps form between
reversal points, sharp swings become possible as the market moves from one side of the
gap to the other, leading to a higher degree of panic. When reversal points are evenly
dispersed, there are a greater number of support and resistance levels to penetrate. This
requires more energy within the system to create a panic situation. But when reversals are
clustered together in particular areas, leaving gaps between them, then price movement can
become much more abrupt.
GMW
GMW. One of four core Socrates Platform models. This pattern recognition model provides
an objective computer analysis of all covered markets based on technical price movement,
to provide a visual of what is unfolding on a global basis.
immediate reversal
Immediate reversals are generated from a very short-term (immediate) trend.
intermediate reversal
The three possible indications are negative (below), neutral (within), and positive (above).
The reason why we want to gain insight on the system is so if one were to use this in addition
to other tools, entering or exiting strategies within markets can yield desirable results when
protective stops are put into action. Our Indicating Ranges provide an invaluable tool to
assess the strength (or lack of strength) in a given market on all levels of price activity and
from several different perspectives. The numbers provided in our Indicating Ranges are not
derived from moving averages, oscillators or stochastics, nor are they generated through
technical charting. This study is based purely upon models that merge both time and price
and therefore incorporate certain timing qualities that cannot be obtained through any linear
form of analysis.
invisible hand
A concept put forth by Adam Smith in 1776 to describe the paradox of a laissez-faire market
economy. The invisible hand doctrine holds that, with each participant pursuing his or her
own private objective without interference from the state, furthers the wealth of the
economic society through their collective efforts. This effort forms the “invisible hand” and
was the surest way to increase efficiency and wealth.
knee-jerk
A single time-unit event.
L-Wave model
A row in the array that represents a longitudinal wave that expands and contracts over time.
Long-Term model
A row in the array that represents a transverse form of cyclical frequency analysis.
major reversals
Major reversals are generated from highest highs or lowest lows within a given time series.
minor reversals
Minor reversals are generated from a reaction high or low that appears within a short-term
trend.
momentum
The market's ability to move quickly in either direction.
oscillators
An oscillator is a technical analysis tool. A technical analyst bands an oscillator between two
extreme values and then builds a trend indicator with the results. The analyst then uses the
trend indicator to discover short-term, overbought, or oversold conditions.
outside reversal
A trading session that exceeds the previous high or low and thus it can be a session that
exceeds both directions.
peak
The high; the highest point within a time series.
phase transition
A state that explains abrupt movements in price (transition) after a buildup of energy in the
market. This is not a normal bearish or bullish state; rather, it is a compressed state of time
that convinces the majority within the marketplace to switch sides. This is a sudden
exponential move that marks a departure from a normal trading event to an explosive move.
A phase transition is typically 52–59 weeks in length.
Pi cycle
ECM. One of four core Socrates Platform models. This is the base model for comprehending
the global economy that focuses on the flow and concentration of capital around the world
as a means to identify shifts in confidence that may lead to major economic events.
pivot point
A technical analysis indicator used to determine the overall trend of the market during
different time frames. The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing
prices from the previous trading day.
plateau move
This move creates a completely new trading level that is sustained. There is no return to the
former trading range. Such events are profound and often are interlinked with the Economic
Confidence Model.
quadruple reversal
Quadruple reversals are generated when three reversals are elected on the same high or
low. This historic event has only occurred once during the 1929 stock market crash.
reversal gap
A reversal gap in the void between two reversal points. Whenever large gaps form between
reversal points, sharp swings become possible as the market moves from one side of the
gap to the other, leading to a higher degree of panic. When reversal points are evenly
dispersed, there are a greater number of support and resistance levels to penetrate. This
requires more energy within the system to create a panic situation. But when reversals are
clustered together in particular areas, leaving gaps between them, then price movement can
become much more abrupt.
reversal points
Reversal points are generated each time a market produces a new isolated high or low on
an intraday basis.
Reversal System
One of four Socrates Platform core models. The Reversal System is a computer model based
on the theory that specific pressure points (the reversal points) exist within price movement.
reversals
One of four Socrates Platform core models. The Reversal System is a computer model based
on the theory that specific pressure points (the reversal points) exist within price movement.
slingshot move
A fake move down, taking out the previous low, followed by a blow-off parabolic move up,
taking out the previous high.
spiral panic
A cascading collapse where people try to pick the bottom but rapidly resell once they begin
to lose money.
superposition principle
The superposition principle states that, for all linear systems, the net response caused by
two or more stimuli is the sum of the responses that would have been caused by each
stimulus individually. This principle applies to cyclical behavior within a single market which
we can qualify as simply a linear system without interfacing it with all other markets that
introduce a nonlinear system of super-complexity.
system resistance
Refers to levels of market support or resistance as represented by the Socrates Platform.
system support
Refers to levels of market support or resistance as represented by the Socrates Platform.
target date
A point in time at which a market direction change occurs or may occur. Also called a turning
point.
technical resistance
Refers to levels of market support or resistance as determined through chart analysis.
technical support
Refers to levels of market support or resistance as determined through chart analysis.
time frame
One of the five key viewpoints of time into which analysis is divided: daily, weekly, monthly,
quarterly, and yearly. Also called a time level.
time level
One of the five key viewpoints of time into which analysis is divided: daily, weekly, monthly,
quarterly, and yearly. Also called a time frame.
time unit
The time level being considered: days, weeks, months, quarters, or years.
triple reversals
Triple reversals are generated when three reversals are elected on the same high or low.
This very rare event has only occurred twice in history.
trough
The bottom; valley; the lowest point within a time series.
turning point
A point in time at which a market direction change occurs or may occur. Also called a target
date.
uptrend line
Occurs when the market breaks and quickly closes above. This often signals a low is in
place.
vertical market
A market that encompasses a group of companies and customers that are all interconnected
around a specific function. This type of market appears as a phase transition or plateau
move, meaning that we are dealing with a phase transition or plateau move that is
distinguished. The former is typically not sustained and is followed by a waterfall collapse.
The latter creates a whole new trading dimension that is permanent.
villa economy
One based upon a self-sufficient group of estates that produce little if any excess to be sold
in a market; a feudal enclave.
Volatility model
A row in the array that indicates when a change in the current volatility trend will take place.
Unlike timing, volatility is only concerned with percentage movement rather than the
direction or whether it is a high or low. The targets reflect turning points, but in volatility
terms.
waterfall
An event that generally begins with a curve of approximately 45 degrees, rapidly turning
downward to a near 180-degree drop at the end. When charted, the event looks like a
waterfall.
wave
A single oscillation measured from one peak to the next or from one trough to the next.