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Probability Density Function

The document discusses probability density functions, which provide the likelihood of a continuous random variable taking on a particular value. A PDF is non-negative and its integral over any range equals the probability that the random variable falls within that range. A PDF allows calculating probabilities of events and expected values. The document provides examples and discusses properties and relationships between discrete and continuous distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
43 views

Probability Density Function

The document discusses probability density functions, which provide the likelihood of a continuous random variable taking on a particular value. A PDF is non-negative and its integral over any range equals the probability that the random variable falls within that range. A PDF allows calculating probabilities of events and expected values. The document provides examples and discusses properties and relationships between discrete and continuous distributions.

Uploaded by

patty444
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Probability density function

In probability theory, a probability density


function (PDF), density function, or density
of an absolutely continuous random variable, is
a function whose value at any given sample (or
point) in the sample space (the set of possible
values taken by the random variable) can be
interpreted as providing a relative likelihood
that the value of the random variable would be
equal to that sample.[2][3] Probability density is
the probability per unit length, in other words,
while the absolute likelihood for a continuous
random variable to take on any particular value
is 0 (since there is an infinite set of possible
values to begin with), the value of the PDF at
two different samples can be used to infer, in
any particular draw of the random variable,
how much more likely it is that the random
variable would be close to one sample
compared to the other sample.

In a more precise sense, the PDF is used to


Box plot and probability density function of a normal
specify the probability of the random variable
falling within a particular range of values, as distribution N(0, σ2 ).
opposed to taking on any one value. This
probability is given by the integral of this
variable's PDF over that range—that is, it is given by the area under the density
function but above the horizontal axis and between the lowest and greatest
values of the range. The probability density function is nonnegative
everywhere, and the area under the entire curve is equal to 1.

The terms probability distribution function and probability function have also
sometimes been used to denote the probability density function. However, this
use is not standard among probabilists and statisticians. In other sources,
"probability distribution function" may be used when the probability
distribution is defined as a function over general sets of values or it may refer
to the cumulative distribution function, or it may be a probability mass function
(PMF) rather than the density. "Density function" itself is also used for the
probability mass function, leading to further confusion.[4] In general though,
the PMF is used in the context of discrete random variables (random variables Geometric visualisation
that take values on a countable set), while the PDF is used in the context of of the mode, median and
continuous random variables. mean of an arbitrary
unimodal probability
Example density function.[1]
Suppose bacteria of a certain species typically live 4 to 6 hours. The probability that a bacterium lives
exactly 5 hours is equal to zero. A lot of bacteria live for approximately 5 hours, but there is no chance that
any given bacterium dies at exactly 5.00... hours. However, the probability that the bacterium dies between
5 hours and 5.01 hours is quantifiable. Suppose the answer is 0.02 (i.e., 2%). Then, the probability that the
bacterium dies between 5 hours and 5.001 hours should be about 0.002, since this time interval is one-tenth
as long as the previous. The probability that the bacterium dies between 5 hours and 5.0001 hours should
be about 0.0002, and so on.

In this example, the ratio (probability of dying during an interval) / (duration of the interval) is
approximately constant, and equal to 2 per hour (or 2 hour−1 ). For example, there is 0.02 probability of
dying in the 0.01-hour interval between 5 and 5.01 hours, and (0.02 probability / 0.01 hours) = 2 hour−1 .
This quantity 2 hour−1 is called the probability density for dying at around 5 hours. Therefore, the
probability that the bacterium dies at 5 hours can be written as (2 hour−1 ) dt. This is the probability that the
bacterium dies within an infinitesimal window of time around 5 hours, where dt is the duration of this
window. For example, the probability that it lives longer than 5 hours, but shorter than (5 hours + 1
nanosecond), is (2 hour−1 )×(1 nanosecond) ≈ 6 × 10−13 (using the unit conversion 3.6 × 1012 nanoseconds
= 1 hour).

There is a probability density function f with f(5 hours) = 2 hour−1 . The integral of f over any window of
time (not only infinitesimal windows but also large windows) is the probability that the bacterium dies in
that window.

Absolutely continuous univariate distributions


A probability density function is most commonly associated with absolutely continuous univariate
distributions. A random variable has density , where is a non-negative Lebesgue-integrable
function, if:

Hence, if is the cumulative distribution function of , then:

and (if is continuous at )

Intuitively, one can think of as being the probability of falling within the infinitesimal interval
.

Formal definition
(This definition may be extended to any probability distribution using the measure-theoretic definition of
probability.)

A random variable with values in a measurable space (usually with the Borel sets as
measurable subsets) has as probability distribution the measure X∗P on : the density of with
respect to a reference measure on is the Radon–Nikodym derivative:

That is, f is any measurable function with the property that:

for any measurable set

Discussion

In the continuous univariate case above, the reference measure is the Lebesgue measure. The probability
mass function of a discrete random variable is the density with respect to the counting measure over the
sample space (usually the set of integers, or some subset thereof).

It is not possible to define a density with reference to an arbitrary measure (e.g. one can not choose the
counting measure as a reference for a continuous random variable). Furthermore, when it does exist, the
density is almost unique, meaning that any two such densities coincide almost everywhere.

Further details
Unlike a probability, a probability density function can take on values greater than one; for example, the
continuous uniform distribution on the interval [0, 1/2] has probability density f(x) = 2 for 0 ≤ x ≤ 1/2
and f(x) = 0 elsewhere.

The standard normal distribution has probability density

If a random variable X is given and its distribution admits a probability density function f, then the expected
value of X (if the expected value exists) can be calculated as
Not every probability distribution has a density function: the distributions of discrete random variables do
not; nor does the Cantor distribution, even though it has no discrete component, i.e., does not assign
positive probability to any individual point.

A distribution has a density function if and only if its cumulative distribution function F(x) is absolutely
continuous. In this case: F is almost everywhere differentiable, and its derivative can be used as probability
density:

If a probability distribution admits a density, then the probability of every one-point set {a} is zero; the
same holds for finite and countable sets.

Two probability densities f and g represent the same probability distribution precisely if they differ only on
a set of Lebesgue measure zero.

In the field of statistical physics, a non-formal reformulation of the relation above between the derivative of
the cumulative distribution function and the probability density function is generally used as the definition
of the probability density function. This alternate definition is the following:

If dt is an infinitely small number, the probability that X is included within the interval (t, t + dt) is equal
to f(t) dt, or:

Link between discrete and continuous distributions


It is possible to represent certain discrete random variables as well as random variables involving both a
continuous and a discrete part with a generalized probability density function using the Dirac delta function.
(This is not possible with a probability density function in the sense defined above, it may be done with a
distribution.) For example, consider a binary discrete random variable having the Rademacher distribution
—that is, taking −1 or 1 for values, with probability 1 ⁄2 each. The density of probability associated with this
variable is:

More generally, if a discrete variable can take n different values among real numbers, then the associated
probability density function is:

where are the discrete values accessible to the variable and are the probabilities
associated with these values.
This substantially unifies the treatment of discrete and continuous probability distributions. The above
expression allows for determining statistical characteristics of such a discrete variable (such as the mean,
variance, and kurtosis), starting from the formulas given for a continuous distribution of the probability.

Families of densities
It is common for probability density functions (and probability mass functions) to be parametrized—that is,
to be characterized by unspecified parameters. For example, the normal distribution is parametrized in terms
of the mean and the variance, denoted by and respectively, giving the family of densities

Different values of the parameters describe different distributions of different random variables on the same
sample space (the same set of all possible values of the variable); this sample space is the domain of the
family of random variables that this family of distributions describes. A given set of parameters describes a
single distribution within the family sharing the functional form of the density. From the perspective of a
given distribution, the parameters are constants, and terms in a density function that contain only
parameters, but not variables, are part of the normalization factor of a distribution (the multiplicative factor
that ensures that the area under the density—the probability of something in the domain occurring— equals
1). This normalization factor is outside the kernel of the distribution.

Since the parameters are constants, reparametrizing a density in terms of different parameters to give a
characterization of a different random variable in the family, means simply substituting the new parameter
values into the formula in place of the old ones.

Densities associated with multiple variables


For continuous random variables X1, ..., Xn, it is also possible to define a probability density function
associated to the set as a whole, often called joint probability density function. This density function is
defined as a function of the n variables, such that, for any domain D in the n -dimensional space of the
values of the variables X1, ..., Xn, the probability that a realisation of the set variables falls inside the
domain D is

If F(x1, ..., xn) = Pr(X1 ≤ x1, ..., Xn ≤ xn) is the cumulative distribution function of the vector
(X1, ..., Xn), then the joint probability density function can be computed as a partial derivative
Marginal densities

For i = 1, 2, ..., n , let fX (xi) be the probability density function associated with variable Xi alone. This is
i
called the marginal density function, and can be deduced from the probability density associated with the
random variables X1, ..., Xn by integrating over all values of the other n − 1 variables:

Independence

Continuous random variables X1, ..., Xn admitting a joint density are all independent from each other if
and only if

Corollary

If the joint probability density function of a vector of n random variables can be factored into a product of
n functions of one variable

(where each fi is not necessarily a density) then the n variables in the set are all independent from each
other, and the marginal probability density function of each of them is given by

Example

This elementary example illustrates the above definition of multidimensional probability density functions
in the simple case of a function of a set of two variables. Let us call a 2-dimensional random vector of
coordinates (X, Y): the probability to obtain in the quarter plane of positive x and y is
Function of random variables and change of variables in the
probability density function
If the probability density function of a random variable (or vector) X is given as fX(x), it is possible (but
often not necessary; see below) to calculate the probability density function of some variable Y = g(X).
This is also called a “change of variable” and is in practice used to generate a random variable of arbitrary
shape fg(X) = fY using a known (for instance, uniform) random number generator.

It is tempting to think that in order to find the expected value E(g(X)), one must first find the probability
density fg(X) of the new random variable Y = g(X). However, rather than computing

one may find instead

The values of the two integrals are the same in all cases in which both X and g(X) actually have
probability density functions. It is not necessary that g be a one-to-one function. In some cases the latter
integral is computed much more easily than the former. See Law of the unconscious statistician.

Scalar to scalar

Let be a monotonic function, then the resulting density function is

Here g −1 denotes the inverse function.

This follows from the fact that the probability contained in a differential area must be invariant under
change of variables. That is,

or

For functions that are not monotonic, the probability density function for y is
where n(y) is the number of solutions in x for the equation , and are these solutions.

Vector to vector

Suppose x is an n -dimensional random variable with joint density f. If y = H(x), where H is a bijective,
differentiable function, then y has density g :

with the differential regarded as the Jacobian of the inverse of H(⋅), evaluated at y.[5]

For example, in the 2-dimensional case x = (x1, x2), suppose the transform H is given as
y1 = H1(x1, x2), y2 = H2(x1, x2) with inverses x1 = H1−1(y1, y2), x2 = H2−1(y1, y2). The joint
distribution for y = (y1 , y2 ) has density[6]

Vector to scalar

Let be a differentiable function and be a random vector taking values in , be the


probability density function of and be the Dirac delta function. It is possible to use the formulas
above to determine , the probability density function of , which will be given by

This result leads to the law of the unconscious statistician:

Proof:

Let be a collapsed random variable with probability density function (i.e., a constant
equal to zero). Let the random vector and the transform be defined as
It is clear that is a bijective mapping, and the Jacobian of is given by:

which is an upper triangular matrix with ones on the main diagonal, therefore its determinant is 1. Applying
the change of variable theorem from the previous section we obtain that

which if marginalized over leads to the desired probability density function.

Sums of independent random variables


The probability density function of the sum of two independent random variables U and V, each of which
has a probability density function, is the convolution of their separate density functions:

It is possible to generalize the previous relation to a sum of N independent random variables, with densities
U1, ..., UN:

This can be derived from a two-way change of variables involving Y = U + V and Z = V, similarly to
the example below for the quotient of independent random variables.

Products and quotients of independent random variables


Given two independent random variables U and V, each of which has a probability density function, the
density of the product Y = UV and quotient Y = U/V can be computed by a change of variables.

Example: Quotient distribution

To compute the quotient Y = U/V of two independent random variables U and V, define the following
transformation:
Then, the joint density p(y,z) can be computed by a change of variables from U,V to Y,Z, and Y can be
derived by marginalizing out Z from the joint density.

The inverse transformation is

The absolute value of the Jacobian matrix determinant of this transformation is:

Thus:

And the distribution of Y can be computed by marginalizing out Z :

This method crucially requires that the transformation from U,V to Y,Z be bijective. The above
transformation meets this because Z can be mapped directly back to V, and for a given V the quotient U/V
is monotonic. This is similarly the case for the sum U + V, difference U − V and product UV.

Exactly the same method can be used to compute the distribution of other functions of multiple independent
random variables.

Example: Quotient of two standard normals

Given two standard normal variables U and V, the quotient can be computed as follows. First, the variables
have the following density functions:
We transform as described above:

This leads to:

This is the density of a standard Cauchy distribution.

See also
Density estimation – Estimate of an unobservable underlying probability density function
Kernel density estimation – Estimator
Likelihood function – Function related to statistics and probability theory
List of probability distributions
Probability amplitude – Complex number whose squared absolute value is a probability
Probability mass function – Discrete-variable probability distribution
Secondary measure
Uses as position probability density:
Atomic orbital – Function describing an electron in an atom
Home range – The area in which an animal lives and moves on a periodic basis

References
1. "AP Statistics Review - Density Curves and the Normal Distributions" (https://web.archive.or
g/web/20150402183703/http://apstatsreview.tumblr.com/post/50058615236/density-curves-a
nd-the-normal-distributions). Archived from the original (https://apstatsreview.tumblr.com/pos
t/50058615236/density-curves-and-the-normal-distributions) on 2 April 2015. Retrieved
16 March 2015.
2. Grinstead, Charles M.; Snell, J. Laurie (2009). "Conditional Probability - Discrete
Conditional" (https://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_
book/Chapter4.pdf) (PDF). Grinstead & Snell's Introduction to Probability. Orange Grove
Texts. ISBN 978-1616100469. Archived (https://web.archive.org/web/20030425090244/htt
p://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/Chapter4.p
df) (PDF) from the original on 2003-04-25. Retrieved 2019-07-25.
3. "probability - Is a uniformly random number over the real line a valid distribution?" (https://sta
ts.stackexchange.com/q/541479). Cross Validated. Retrieved 2021-10-06.
4. Ord, J.K. (1972) Families of Frequency Distributions, Griffin. ISBN 0-85264-137-0 (for
example, Table 5.1 and Example 5.4)
5. Devore, Jay L.; Berk, Kenneth N. (2007). Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications
(https://books.google.com/books?id=3X7Qca6CcfkC&pg=PA263). Cengage. p. 263.
ISBN 978-0-534-40473-4.
6. David, Stirzaker (2007-01-01). Elementary Probability. Cambridge University Press.
ISBN 978-0521534284. OCLC 851313783 (https://www.worldcat.org/oclc/851313783).

Further reading
Billingsley, Patrick (1979). Probability and Measure. New York, Toronto, London: John Wiley
and Sons. ISBN 0-471-00710-2.
Casella, George; Berger, Roger L. (2002). Statistical Inference (Second ed.). Thomson
Learning. pp. 34–37. ISBN 0-534-24312-6.
Stirzaker, David (2003). Elementary Probability (https://archive.org/details/elementaryprobab
0000stir). ISBN 0-521-42028-8. Chapters 7 to 9 are about continuous variables.

External links
Ushakov, N.G. (2001) [1994], "Density of a probability distribution" (https://www.encyclopedi
aofmath.org/index.php?title=Density_of_a_probability_distribution), Encyclopedia of
Mathematics, EMS Press
Weisstein, Eric W. "Probability density function" (https://mathworld.wolfram.com/ProbabilityD
ensityFunction.html). MathWorld.

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