Bab 10 Teknik Anggaran & Cost of Capital
Bab 10 Teknik Anggaran & Cost of Capital
Bab 10 Teknik Anggaran & Cost of Capital
Yet to be
Year Cash Flow recovered Recovered/Inflo
w
0 -10 -10
1 4 -6
2 4.5 -1.5
3 10 0 (recovered) 15%
4 8 Not used in
decision
Payback Reject >2 years
Period =
2.15 yrs.
Payback Period
1.8
Let’s say that the owner of Perfect Images Salon is considering the purchase of a
new tanning bed.
It costs $10,000 and is likely to bring in after-tax cash inflows of $4000 in the first
year, $4,000 in the second year, $ 5,000 in the third year, and $ 6,000 in the
fourth year.
$ 4,000 + $ 4,000 = $ 8,000 in cash flows (first year + second year).
The project still needs to create another:
$ 10,000 – $ 8,000 = $ 2,000 in cash flows.
During the third year, the cash flows from the project will be $ 5,000. So, the
payback period will be 2 years, plus what we still need to make divided by what
we will make during the third year.
The payback period is: Payback = 2 + ($ 2,000 / $ 5,000) = 2.40 years
0.3235294117647
0.40
Percent of Year
Year Cash Flow Yet to be Recovered/Inflo
recovered w
0 (10,000) (10,000)
1 4,000 (6,000)
2 4,000 (2,000)
5,000 2,000 40%
3 (recovered)
6000 Not used in
4 decision
Payback Reject >2 years
Period =
2,40 yrs.
Discounted
Payback =
2.35 years
To find the discounted payback, we use these values to find the payback
period. The discounted first year cash flow is $6,140.35, so the
discounted payback for an $9,000 initial cost is:
Discounted payback = 1 + ($9,000 – 6,140.35)/$5,386.27 = 1.53 years
For an initial cost of $13000, the discounted payback is:
Discounted payback = 2 + ($14,000 – 6,140.35 – 5,386.27)/$5,399.77 =
2.46 years
$ 14.000 =
9,000
46%
21%
The NPV of a project is the PV of the outflows minus by the PV of the inflows. The
equation for the NPV of this project at an 11 percent required return (Cost of Capital)
is:
NPV = – $30,000 + $20,000/1.11 + $14,000/1.11 2 + $11,000/1.113 = $7,423.84
NPV = - $ 30.000 + $ 18,018 + $ 11,363 + $ 8,043 = 7,423.84
At an 11 percent required return, the NPV is positive, so we would " accept the project
".
The equation for the NPV of the project at a 30 percent required return is:
NPV = – $30,000 + $20,000/1.30 + $14,000/1.30 2 + $11,000/1.303 = – $1,324.53
NPV = - $ 30,000 + $ 15,385 + $ 8,284+ $ 5,007 = - 1,324.53
At a 30 percent required return, the NPV is negative, so we would " reject the project
".
Solution
Since these are mutually exclusive options, the one with the higher NPV would be the best
choice.
NPV bed = -$10,000 + $4,000/(1.10)+ $6,000/(1.10)2 + $ 8,000/(1.10)3+$9,000/(1.10)4 =-
$10,000 +$3,636.36+$ 4,958.68+$6,010.52+$6,147.12 =$10,752.68
NPV booth = -$12,000 + $6,000/(1.10)+ $7,500/(1.10)2 + $ 9,000/(1.10)3+$ 10,000/(1.10)4
=-$12,000 +$5,545.55+$6,198.35+$6,761.83+$6,830.13 =$13,244.86
Thus, the less expensive tanning bed with the higher NPV
(13,244.86>10,752.68) is the better option.
Since these are mutually exclusive options, the one with the higher NPV would be the best
choice.
NPV bed = -$10,000 + $4,000/(1.10)+ $6,000/(1.10)2 + $ 8,000/(1.10)3+$9,000/(1.10)4 =-
$10,000 +$3,636.36+$ 4,958.68+$6,010.52+$6,147.12 =$10,752.68
NPV booth = -$12,000 + $6,000/(1.10)+ $7,500/(1.10)2 + $ 9,000/(1.10)3+$ 10,000/(1.10)4
=-$12,000 +$5,545.55+$6,198.35+$6,761.83+$6,830.13 =$13,244.86
Thus, the less expensive tanning bed with the higher NPV
(13,244.86>10,752.68) is the better option.
Solution
Using the Replacement Chain method:
1. Calculate the NPV of each Digital Print for a single life.
NPVdig a = -$10,000 + $4,000/(1.10)+ $4,500/(1.10) 2 + $6,000/(1.10)3+
$8,000/(1.10) 4
(1,324.53)
bove, calculate its NPV and NO Cost of Cap Cashflow Inv + NPV
. New Digital Print (10,000.00)
1 4,000 1.100 3,636.36
0) +$ 9,000/(1.10)
3 4 2 6,000 1.210 4,958.68
3 8,000 1.331 6,010.52
12
4 9,000 1.464 6,147.12
Net Present Value 10,752.68
.10)3+$9,000/(1.10)4 =-
.68
.10)3+$ 10,000/(1.10)4 1 4,000 1.100 3,636.36
3,244.86 2 6,000 1.210 4,958.68
3 8,000 1.331 6,010.52
4 9,000 1.464 6,147.12
Net Present Value 10,752.68
Digital Print B (12,000.00)
1 6,000 1.100 5,454.55
2 7,500 1.210 6,198.35
3 9,000 1.331 6,761.83
4 10,000 1.464 6,830.13
Net Present Value 13,244.86
Dig Print B
-12.5
5
7 NO Cost of Cap Cashflow Inv + NPV
9 Digital Print A (10,000.00)
10 1 1.100 4,000 3,636.36
2 1.210 4,500 3,719.01
3 1.331 6,000 4,507.89
4 1.464 8,000 5,464.11
7,327.37
7,144.25
$6,000/(1.10)3+
1.46 ### 7,057.32 4 7,327.37
= $ 7,327.37 2.14 ### 4,820.24 3 7,144.25
10)3
3,259.60
3,364.51
Discount Rate
12%
(71,679.60)
(71,679.60)
(Rp71,679.60)
Rp0.08
($71,679.60)
3.1699 2,311.55
2.4869 2,872.75
= $10,332.62/(3.1699)
Solution
Using the Finance mode, select IRR( function and enter the inputs as
follows:
Discount
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4
Rate
(10,000) 4,000 4,500 10,000 8,000 10%
=IRR{-10000; 4000; 4500; 10000; 8000;10%} Enter = 44,93%
44.93%
Discount
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3
Rate
(5,000) 2,700 1,700 2,300 15%
=IRR{-5000; 2700; 1700; 2300;25%} Enter = 16,82%
6,700 16.82%
6,800 16.60%
Discount
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4 CF5
Rate
(750,000) 125,000 175,000 200,000 225,000 250,000 12%
=IRR{-5000; 2700; 1700; 2300;25%} Enter = 16,60%
678,320
(71,680)
ts IRR and
(I2-I1)NPV1
IRR =
NPV1-NPV2
Year A B
0 -10,000 -7,000
1 5,000 9000
2 7000 5000
3 9000 2000
Year A B
0 (10,000) (7,000)
1 5,000 9,000
2 7,000 5,000
3 9,000 2,000
NPV @ 10% $ 7,092.41 $ 6,816.68
Biaya Pendapatan Biaya Pajak (PPh Arus Kas
Arus Kas sebelum Pajak Penyusutan Kena Pajak Ps 25) Sesudah Pajak
- 20%
1,950,000 400,000 1,550,000 310,000 1,240,000
2,000,000 400,000 1,600,000 320,000 1,280,000
2,050,000 400,000 1,650,000 330,000 1,320,000
2,100,000 400,000 1,700,000 340,000 1,360,000
2,150,000 400,000 1,750,000 350,000 1,400,000
1,240,000 1,280,000
NPV₁ = (4,000,000) + + +
1.05 1.1025
1,240,000 1,280,000
NPV₂ = (4,000,000) + + +
(1 + 0,15)¹ (1 + 0,15)²
1,240,000 1,280,000
NPV₂ = (4,000,000) + + +
1.15 1.3225
(I2-I1)NPV1
IRR = i₁ =
NPV1-NPV2
(15%-5%) x 1.698.028
IRR = 5% +
1.698.028 - 387.678
10% x 1.698.027.742
IRR = 5% +
1,310,350
169,803
IRR = 5% +
1,310,350
IRR = 5% + 12.96%
IRR = 17.96%
2018
9.030.000 1,050,000 1,272,000
NPV₁ = (4,000,000) + + +
6.900.000 (1 + 0,05)¹ (1 + 0,05)²
2.130.000
400 1.700.000
NPV₂ = (4,000,000) + + +
(1 + 0,15)¹ (1 + 0,15)²
400 1.700.000
NPV₂ = (4,000,000) + + +
1.15 1.3225
(I2-I1)NPV1
IRR = i₁ =
NPV1-NPV2
(15%-5%) x 1.698.028
IRR = 5% +
1.698.028 - 387.678
10% x 1.698.027.742
IRR = 5% +
#VALUE!
237,188
IRR = 5% +
#VALUE!
IRR = 5% + #VALUE!
IRR = #VALUE!
2018
11,127,160
7,890,836
3,236,324
400,000
2,836,324
709,081
2,127,243
2,127,243
1,320,000 1,360,000 1,240,000,000
+ +
(1 + 0,05)³ (1 + 0,05)4 (1 + 0,05)5
3,840,000
MARR 15.00% -160,000
NET PRESENT VALUE (Rp.) 159,547,321 0.12 Solution
INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) 18.94% 18.94% Using the Computer,
PAYBACK PERIODE 3,12 Thn 17.96% IRR(discount rate, {C
PROFITABILITY INDEKS 1.04 =IRR(10,{-10,000, 4,0
30.65% IFF >
Solution
Using the Computer, select IRR( function and enter the inputs as follows:
IRR(discount rate, {CF0, CF1, CF2, CF3, CF4} Enter
=IRR(10,{-10,000, 4,000, 4500, 5,000, 6,000} Enter = 30,65%
30.65% IFF >10% so we would " accept the project ".
6,000 30.65%
Sumber Modal Struktur Modal % Biaya WACC
1 2 3 4 5 = (3 x 4)
Bonds 300,000 0.83 4.20% 3.50%
Preffered Stock (PS) 240,000 0.67 10.00% 6.67%
Common Stock (CS) 360,000 1.00 14.83% 14.83%
Returned Earning (R/E) 300,000 0.833333333 13.95% 11.63%
Total 1,200,000 3.33 36.63%
3.18 6%
36.00 14.83%
0.10% 5.20%
Nilai Biaya
Sumber Modal Biaya
Marginal Tertimbang
Debt 50% 5.14% 2.57%
Preffered Stock (PS) 25% 17.11% 4.28%
Common Stock (CS) 25% 16.00% 4.00%
Total 100% 10.85%
Nilai Biaya
Sumber Modal Nilai Buku WACC
Tertimbang Tertimbang
Long Terms Debt 3,000,000 2941% 4.80% 141.18%
Preffered Stock (PS) 102,000 100% 9.00% 9.00%
Common Stock (CS) 1,108,000 1086% 13.00% 141.22%
Total 4,210,000 41 291.39%
Nilai Biaya
Sumber Modal Market Value Tertimbang Tertimbang WACC
1.30%
2.00% 1.30% + 2.00% + 9.00% = 12.30%
9.00%
0.018
0.098
0.116
6
0.12 ) ﴾
+
12
x 0.18 )
URAIAN 2013 2013 2013
798,600,000 878,460,000
532,400,000 585,640,000
NPV₁ = (3,000,000) +
665,500,000 732,050,000
133,100,000 146,410,000
2,129,600,000 2,342,560,000 NPV₁ = (3,000,000) +
90,699,264 97,955,205 NPV₁ = (3,000,000) +
60,466,176 65,303,470
75,582,720 81,629,338
90,699,264 97,955,205
NPV₂ = (3,000,000) +
226,748,160 244,888,013
18,139,853 19,591,041
125,000,000 125,000,000
NPV₂ = (3,000,000) +
719,799,437 777,383,392
1,409,800,563 1,565,176,608
211,470,084 234,776,491 NPV₂ = (3,000,000) +
1,198,330,479 1,330,400,117
1,198,330,479 1,330,400,117 15% NPV₂ = (3,000,000) +
Disc Rate
(I2-I1)NPV1
IRR = i₁ =
NPV1-NPV2
(15%-5%) x 1.674.247
IRR = 5% +
1.674.247 - 550.942
10% x 1.674.247
IRR = 5% +
1,123,304
167,425
IRR = 5% +
1,123,304
IRR = 5% + 14.90%
IRR = 19.90%
874,310 971,455 1,079,091 1,198,330 1,330,400
+ + + +
(1 + 0,05)¹ (1 + 0,05)² (1 + 0,05)³ (1 + 0,05)4 (1 + 0,05)5
4,674,247 = 1,674,247
3,550,942 = 550,942
TB = [ ﴾
4%
12 ) ﴾ 1- 0,35
WACC = [ ﴾
4
12 ) ﴾ 1-
0,35
Contoh 2 :
I + (N - Nb)/2
Ki Ki =
(N - Nb)/2
m
120 + (1,000-
900)/5
Ki =
Ki =
(1,000 + 900)/2
140
Ki = = 15%
950
Kd = Ki (1-T) Contoh 3 :
Kd = 15% (1-35%% ) = 9,75%
9.75%
Contoh 4 :
K p = D p / Pn
15
Kp = = 15.46%
100 - 3
Kp = 15 : (100 - 3) = 15 : 97 = 15,46%
Contoh 4 : D1 = Do(1+g) = $ 8
D1 8
Ks =
Po
=
80
=
8.72
872.00%
D1
Ks =
Po
+ g =
8.72
Ks =
100
+ 9% =
D1
Ks =
r-g
+ g
5
Ks =
50
+ 6% =
D1
Ks = + g
Po(1 – f)
5
Ks = + 6%
50(1 –9%)
5
Ks =
45.5
+ 6% =
Ks = 10% + 8% =
Ks = rf + b (rm + rf)
3.18 3.18
CS Baru Ks = + 6%
40(1 –0,1) 36
CS Baru Ks = 8.83% + 6% =
5
Ks = + 6% =
36
3.18
Ks = + 6%
Laba ditahan 40
= 0.0795 + 6% 13.95%
WACC = [ ﴾
4
12 ) ﴾ 1-
0,35
20,000,000
Mortgage Bonds MB = = 20,000
1,000
5,000,000
PS = = 50,000
100
20,000,000
CS = = 500,000
40
1.99%
2.00%
9.00%
12.99%
) 0.06 ]
2
) 0.06
] + ﴾ 12
x 0.12 ) +
Contoh 1 :
PT. DBS mengeluarkan obligasi dengan nominal per lembar Rp. 25.000 dengan umur 10 tahun. Hasil penjualan ne
perusahaan sebesar Rp. 24.250 bunga per tahun 4 % dengan tingkat pajak 30 %.
Penyelesaian :
Bunga per tahun = Rp. 25.000 x 4% = Rp. 1.000
1.000 + (25.000 – 24.250) / 10 1000 + 75
Ki = ------------------------------------------- = --------------- = 0,0437 = 4,37 %
(24.250 + 25.000) / 2 24.625
Penyelesaian :
Kp = 1.500 / (18.900 – 150) = 8 %
10%
18%
16%
16.99%
18%
0.088333
14.83%
17%
3.18
2
) 0.06
] + ﴾ 12
x 0.12 ) +
1.99% + 2.00% + 9.00% = 12.99%
6
﴾ 12
x 0.18 )
WACC
1,075
24,625
4.37%
3.06%
arga jual saham
m setiap lembar
6
﴾ 12
x 0.18 )
%) + (0,7 x 14%)
6%
1.80%
9.80%
11.60%