FinSoc Zerodha 3 - Fundamental Analysis

Module 3
Fundamental Analysis
Module 3 — Fundamental Analysis
Chapter 1
Introduction to Fundamental Analysis
1.1 – Overview
Fundamental Analysis (FA) is a holistic approach to study a business. When an
investor wishes to invest in a business for the long term (say 3 – 5 years) it becomes
extremely essential to understand the business from various perspectives. It is
critical for an investor to separate the daily short term noise in the stock prices and
concentrate on the underlying business performance. Over the long term, the stock
prices of a fundamentally strong company tend to appreciate, thereby creating
wealth for its investors.
We have many such examples in the Indian market. To name a few, one can think of
companies such as Infosys Limited, TCS Limited, Page Industries, Eicher Motors,
Bosch India, Nestle India, TTK Prestige etc. Each of these companies have delivered
on an average over 20% compounded annual growth return (CAGR) year on year for
over 10 years. To give you a perspective, at a 20% CAGR the investor would double
his money in roughly about 3.5 years. Higher the CAGR faster is the wealth creation
process. Some companies such as Bosch India Limited have delivered close to 30%
CAGR. Therefore, you can imagine the magnitude, and the speed at which wealth is
created if one would invest in fundamentally strong companies.
1
Here are long term charts of Bosch India, Eicher Motors, and TCS Limited that can
set you thinking about long term wealth creation. Do remember these are just 3
examples amongst the many that you may find in Indian markets.
At this point you may be of the opinion that I am biased as I am selectively posting
charts that look impressive. You may wonder how the long term charts of
companies such as Suzlon Energy, Reliance Power, and Sterling Biotech may look?
Well here are the long term charts of these companies:
2
These are just 3 examples of the wealth destructors amongst the many you may
find in the Indian Markets.
The trick has always been to separate the investment grade companies which create
wealth from the companies that destroy wealth. All investment grade companies
3
have a few common attributes that sets them apart. Likewise all wealth destructors
have a few common traits which is clearly visible to an astute investor.
Fundamental Analysis is the technique that gives you the conviction to invest for a
long term by helping you identify these attributes of wealth creating companies.
1.2 – Can I be a fundamental analyst?

Of course you can be. It is a common misconception that only chartered
accountants and professionals from a commerce background can be good
fundamental analysts. This is not true at all. A fundamental analyst just adds 2 and 2
to ensure it sums up to 4. To become a fundamental analyst you will need few basic
skills:
1. Understanding the basic financial statements

2. Understand businesses with respect to the industry in which it operates
3. Basic arithmetic operations such as addition, subtraction, division, and
multiplication
The objective of this module on Fundamental Analysis is to ensure that you gain the
first two skill sets.
1.3 – I’m happy with Technical Analysis, so why bother about Fundamental
Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) helps you garner quick short term returns. It helps you time
the market for a better entry and exit. However TA is not an effective approach to
create wealth. Wealth is created only by making intelligent long term investments.
However, both TA & FA must coexist in your market strategy. To give you a
perspective, let me reproduce the chart of Eicher Motors:
4
Let us say a market participant identifies Eicher motors as a fundamentally strong
stock to invest, and therefore invests his money in the stock in the year 2006. As you
can see the stock made a relatively negligible move between 2006 and 2010. The
real move in Eicher Motors started only from 2010. This also means FA based
investment in Eicher Motors did not give the investor any meaningful return
between 2006 and 2010. The market participant would have been better off taking
short term trades during this time. Technical Analysis helps the investor in taking
short term trading bets. Hence both TA & FA should coexist as a part of your market
strategy. In fact, this leads us to an important capital allocation strategy called “The
Core Satellite Strategy”.
Let us say, a market participant has a corpus of Rs.500,000/-. This corpus can be
split into two unequal portions, for example the split can be 60 – 40. The 60% of
capital which is Rs.300,000/- can be invested for a long term period in fundamentally
strong companies. This 60% of the investment makes up the core of the portfolio.
One can expect the core portfolio to grow at a rate of at least 12% to 15% CAGR year
on year basis.
The balance 40% of the amount, which is Rs.200,000/- can be utilized for active short
term trading using Technical Analysis technique on equity, futures, and options. The
Satellite portfolio can be expected to yield at least 10% to 12% absolute return on a
yearly basis.
1.4 – Tools of FA
The tools required for fundamental analysis are extremely basic, most of which are
available for free. Specifically you would need the following:
1. Annual report of the company – All the information that you need for FA is available
in the annual report. You can download the annual report from the company’s
website for free
5
2. Industry related data – You will need industry data to see how the company under
consideration is performing with respect to the industry. Basic data is available for
free, and is usually published in the industry’s association website
3. Access to news – Daily News helps you stay updated on latest developments
happening both in the industry and the company you are interested in. A good
business news paper or services such as Google Alert can help you stay abreast of
the latest news
4. MS Excel – Although not free, MS Excel can be extremely helpful in fundamental
calculations
With just these four tools, one can develop fundamental analysis that can rival
institutional research. You can believe me when I say that you don’t need any other
tool to do good fundamental research. In fact even at the institutional level the
objective is to keep the research simple and logical.
Key takeaways from this chapter
1. Fundamental Analysis is used to make long term investments

2. Investment in a company with good fundamentals creates wealth
3. Using Fundamental Analysis one can separate out an investment grade company
from a junk company
4. All investment grade companies exhibit few common traits. Likewise all junk
companies exhibit common traits
5. Fundamental analysis helps the analysts identify these traits
6. Both Technical analysis and fundamental analysis should coexist as a part of your
market strategy
7. To become a fundamental analyst, one does not require any special skill. Common
sense, basic mathematics, and a bit of business sense is all that is required
8. A core satellite approach to the capital allocation is a prudent market strategy
9. The tools required for FA are generally very basic, most of these tools are available
for free.
6
Chapter 2
Mindset of an Investor
2.1 – Speculator Vs Trader Vs Investor

Depending on how you would like to participate in the market, you can choose to
speculate, trade or invest. All the three types of participation are different from one
another. One has to take a stance on the type of market participant he would like to
be. Having clarity on this can have a huge impact on his Profit & Loss account.
To help you get this clarity, let us consider a market scenario and identify how each
one of the market participants (speculator, trader, and investor) would react to it.
SCENARIO
RBI in the next two days is expected to convene to announce their latest stance on
the monetary policy. Owing to the high and sticky inflation, RBI has hiked the
interest rates during the previous 4 monetary policy reviews. Increase in interest
rates, as we know means tougher growth prospects for Corporate India – hence
corporate earnings would take a hit.
Assume there are three market participants – Sunil, Tarun, and Girish. Each of them
view the above scenario differently, and hence would take different actions in the
market. Let us go through their thought process.
(Please note: I will briefly speak about option contracts here, this is only for
illustration purpose. We will understand more about derivatives in the subsequent
modules)
7
Sunil: He thinks through the situation and his thought process is as follows:
o He feels the interest rate are at an unsustainably high level

o High interest rates hampers the growth of corporate India
o He also believes that RBI has hiked the interest rates to a record high level and it
would be really tough for RBI to hike the rate again
o He looks at what the popular analysts on TV are opinionating about the situation,
and he is happy to note that his thoughts and the analyst thoughts are similar
o He concludes that RBI is likely to cut the rates if not for keeping the interest rates
flat
o As an outcome, he expects the market to go up
To put his thoughts into action, he buys call options of State Bank of India.
Tarun: He has a slightly different opinion about the situation. His thought process is
as below:
o He feels expecting RBI to cut the rates is wishful thinking. In fact he is of the opinion
that nobody can clearly predict what RBI is likely to do
o He also identifies that the volatility in the markets is high, hence he believes that
option contracts are trading at very high premiums
o He knows from his previous experience (via back testing) that the volatility is likely
to drop drastically just after RBI makes its announcement
To put his thoughts into action, he sells 5 lots of Nifty Call options and expects
to square off the position just around the announcement time.
Girish: He has a portfolio of 12 stocks which he has been holding for over 2 years.
Though he is a keen observer of the economy, he has no view on what RBI is likely
to do. He is also not worried about the outcome of the policy as he anyway plans to
hold on to his shares for a long period of time. Hence with this perspective he feels
the monetary policy is yet another short term passing tide in the market and will not
have a major impact on his portfolio. Even if it does, he has both the time and
patience to hold on to his shares.
However, Girish plans to buy more of his portfolio shares if the market overreacts to
the RBI news and his portfolio stocks falls steeply after the announcement is made.
8
Now, what RBI will eventually decide and who makes money is not our concern. The
point is to identify who is a speculator, a trader, and an investor based on their
thought process. All the three men seem to have logic based on which they have
taken a market action. Please note, Girish’s decision to do nothing itself is a market
action.
Sunil seems to be highly certain on what RBI is likely to do and therefore his market
actions are oriented towards a rate cut. In reality it is quite impossible to call a shot
on what RBI (or for that matter any regulator) will do. These are complex matters
and not straightforward to analyze. Betting on blind faith, without a rational
reasoning backing ones decision is speculation. Sunil seems to have done just that.
Tarun has arrived at what needs to be done based on a plan. If you are familiar with
options, he is simply setting up a trade to take advantage of the high options
premium. He is clearly not speculating on what RBI is likely to do as it does not
matter to him. His view is simple – volatility is high; hence the premiums are
attractive for an options seller. He is expecting the volatility to drop just prior to RBI
decision.
Is he speculating on the fact that the volatility will drop? Not really, because he
seems to have back tested his strategy for similar scenarios in the past. A trader
designs all his trades and not just speculates on an outcome.
Girish, the investor on the other hand seems to be least bit worked up on what RBI
is expected to do. He sees this as a short term market noise which may not have
any major impact on his portfolio. Even if it did have an impact, he is of the opinion
that his portfolio will eventually recover from it. Time is the only luxury markets
offer, and Girish is keen on leveraging this luxury to the maximum. In fact he is even
prepared to buy more of his portfolio stocks in case the market overreacts. His idea
is to hold on to his positions for a long period of time and not get swayed by short
term market movements.
All the three of them have different mindsets which leads them to react differently
to the same situation. The focus of this chapter is to understand why Girish, the
investor has a long term perspective and not really bothered about short term
movements in the market.
2.2 – The compounding effect

To appreciate why Girish decided to stay invested and not really react to short term
market movement, one has to understand how money compounds. Compounding
in simple terms is the ability of money to grow when the gains of year 1 is
reinvested for year 2.
9
For example consider you invest Rs.100 which is expected to grow at 20% year on
year (recall this is also called the CAGR). At the end of the first year the money is
expected to grow to Rs.120. At the end of year 1 you have two options:
1. Let Rs.20 in profits remain invested along with the original principal of Rs.100 or
2. Withdraw the profits of Rs.20.
You decide not withdraw Rs.20 profit; instead you decide to reinvest the money for
the 2nd year. At the end of 2nd year, Rs.120 grows to Rs.144. At the end of 3rd year
Rs.144 grows to Rs.173. So on and so forth.
Compare this with withdrawing Rs.20 profits every year. Had you opted to withdraw
Rs.20 every year then at the end of 3rd year the profits would have been just Rs. 60.
However since you decided to stay invested, the profits at the end of 3 years is
Rs.173. A good Rs.13 or 21.7% over Rs.60 is generated just because you opted to do
nothing and decided to stay invested. This is called the compounding effect. Let us
take this analysis a little further, have a look at the chart below:
The chart above shows how Rs.100 invested at 20% grows over a 10 year period. If
you notice, it took almost 6 years for the money to grow from Rs.100 to Rs.300.
However the next Rs.300 was generated in only 4 years i.e from the 6th to 10th
year.
This is in fact the most interesting property of the compounding effect. The longer
you stay invested, the harder (and faster) the money works for you. This is exactly
why Girish decided to stay invested – to exploit the luxury of time that the market
offers.
All investments made based on fundamental analysis require the investors to stay
committed for the long term. The investor has to develop this mindset while he
chooses to invest.
10
2.3 – Does investing work?
Think about a sapling – if you give it the right amount of water, manure, and care
would it not grow? Of course it will. Likewise, think about a good business with
healthy sales, great margins, innovative products, and an ethical management. Is it
not obvious that the share price of such companies would appreciate? In some
situations the price appreciation may delay (recall the Eicher Motors chart from
previous chapter), but it certainly will always appreciate. This has happened over
and over again across markets in the world, including India.
An investment in a good company defined by investable grade attributes will

always yield results. However, one has to develop the appetite to digest short term
market volatility.
2.4 – Investible grade attributes? What does that mean?

Like we discussed briefly in the previous chapter, an investible grade company has a
few distinguishable characteristics. These characteristics can be classified under two
heads namely the ‘Qualitative aspect’ and the ‘Quantitative aspects’. The process of
evaluating a fundamentally strong company includes a study of both these aspects.
In fact in my personal investment practice, I give the qualitative aspects a little more
importance over the quantitative aspects.
The Qualitative aspect mainly involves understanding the non numeric aspects of
the business. This includes many factors such as:
1. Management’s background – Who are they, their background, experience,

education, do they have the merit to run the business, any criminal cases against
the promoters etc
2. Business ethics – is the management involved in scams, bribery, unfair business
practices
3. Corporate governance – Appointment of directors, organization structure,
transparency etc
4. Minority shareholders – How does the management treat minority shareholders,
do they consider their interest while taking corporate actions
5. Share transactions – Is the management buying/selling shares of the company
through clandestine promoter groups
6. Related party transactions – Is the company tendering financial favors to known
entities such as promoter’s relatives, friends, vendors etc at the cost of the
shareholders funds?
7. Salaries paid to promoters – Is the management paying themselves a hefty salary,
usually a percentage of profits
8. Operator activity in stocks – Does the stock price display unusual price behavior
especially at a time when the promoter is transacting in the shares
11
9. Shareholders – Who are the significant shareholders in the firm, who are the
people with above 1% of the outstanding shares of the company
10. Political affiliation – Is the company or its promoters too close to a political party?
Does the business require constant political support?
11. Promoter lifestyle – Are the promoters too flamboyant and loud about their
lifestyle? Do they like to display their wealth?
A red flag is raised when any of the factors mentioned above do not fall in the right
place. For example, if a company undertakes too many related party transactions
then it would send a signal of favoritism and malpractice by the company. This is
not good in the long run. So even if the company has great profit margins,
malpractice is not acceptable. It would only be a matter of time before the market
discovers matters pertaining to ‘related party transactions’ and punishes the
company by bringing the stock price lower. Hence an investor would be better off
not investing in companies with great margins if such a company scores low on
corporate governance.
Qualitative aspects are not easy to uncover because these are very subtle matters.
However a diligent investor can easily figure this out by paying attention to annual
report, management interviews, news reports etc. As we proceed through this
module we will highlight various qualitative aspects.
The quantitative aspects are matters related to financial numbers. Some of the
quantitative aspects are straightforward while some of them are not. For example
cash held in inventory is straight forward however ‘inventory number of days’ is not.
This is a metric that needs to be calculated. The stock markets pay a lot of attention
to quantitative aspects. Quantitative aspects include many things, to name few:
1. Profitability and its growth

2. Margins and its growth
3. Earnings and its growth
4. Matters related to expenses
5. Operating efficiency
6. Pricing power
7. Matters related to taxes
8. Dividends payout
9. Cash flow from various activities
10. Debt – both short term and long term
11. Working capital management
12. Asset growth
13. Investments
14. Financial Ratios
12
The list is virtually endless. In fact, each sector has different metrics. For example:
For a retail Industry: For an Oil and Gas Industry:
Total number of stores Oil to Natural Gas revenue ratio

Average sales per store Exploration costs
Total sales per square foot Opening oil balance (inventory)
Merchandise margins Developed reserves
Owned store to franchisee ratio Total production growth
Over the next few chapters we will understand how to read the basic financial
statements, as published in the annual report. As you may know, the financial
statement is the source for all the number crunching as required in the analysis of
quantitative aspects.
Key takeaways from this chapter:
1. The mindset of a trader and an investor is different

2. The investor has to develop an investment mindset if he is serious about investing
3. The investor should stay invested for a long period of time for the returns to
compound
4. The speed at which the money doubles increases drastically the more time you stay
invested. This is one of the properties of compounding
5. Every investment has to be evaluated on two aspects – qualitative & quantitative
6. Qualitative aspects revolve around the non numeric information related to the
company
7. The quantitative aspects involve analyzing numeric data. The financial statements
are the important source of finding the quantitative data.
13
Chapter 3
How to Read the Annual Report of a

Company
3.1 – What is an Annual Report?

The annual report (AR) is a yearly publication by the company and is sent to the
shareholders and other interested parties. The annual report is published by the
end of the Financial Year, and all the data made available in the annual report is
dated to 31st March. The AR is usually available on the company’s website (in the
investors section) as a PDF document or one can contact the company to get a hard
copy of the same.
Since the annual report is published by the company, whatever is mentioned in the
AR is assumed to be official. Hence, any misrepresentation of facts in the annual
report can be held against the company. To give you a perspective, AR contains the
auditor’s certificates (signed, dated, and sealed) certifying the sanctity of the
financial data included in the annual report.
Potential investors and the present shareholders are the primary audience for the
annual report. Annual reports should provide the most pertinent information to an
investor and should also communicate the company’s primary message. For an
investor, the annual report must be the default option to seek information about a
company. Of course there are many media websites claiming to give the financial
14
information about the company; however the investors should avoid seeking
information from such sources. Remember the information is more reliable if we
get it get it directly from the annual report.
Why would the media website misrepresent the company information you may ask?
Well, they may not do it deliberately but they may be forced to do it due to other
factors. For example the company may like to include ‘depreciation’ in the expense
side of P&L, but the media website may like to include it under a separate header.
While this would not impact the overall numbers, it does interrupt the overall
sequencing of data.
3.2 – What to look for in an Annual Report?

Let us briefly go through the various sections of an annual report and understand
what the company is trying to communicate in the AR. For the sake of illustration, I
have taken the Annual Report of Amara Raja Batteries Limited, belonging to
Financial Year 2013-2014. As you may know Amara Raja Batteries Limited
manufactures automobile and industrial batteries. You can download ARBL’s FY2014
AR from here (http://www.amararaja.co.in/annual_reports.asp)
For a better understanding, I would urge you to download the Annual Report of
ARBL and go through it simultaneously as we progress through this chapter.
ARBL’s annual report contains the following 9 sections:
o Financial Highlights
o The Management Statement
o Management Discussion & Analysis
o 10 year Financial highlights
o Corporate Information
o Director’s Report
o Report on Corporate governance
o Financial Section, and
15
o Notice
Note, no two annual reports are the same; they are all made to suite the company’s
requirement keeping in perspective the industry they operate in. However, some of
the sections in the annual report are common across annual reports.
The first section in ARBL’s AR is the Financial Highlights. Financial Highlights

contains the bird’s eye view on how the financials of the company looks for the year
gone by. . The information in this section can be in the form of a table or a graphical
display of data. This section of the annual report generally does a multi-year
comparison of the operating and business metrics.
Here is the snapshot of the same:
The details that you see in the Financial Highlights section are basically an extract
from the company’s financial statement. Along with the extracts, the company can
also include a few financial ratios, which are calculated by the company itself. I
briefly look through this section to get an overall idea, but I do not like to spend too
much time on it. The reason for looking at this section briefly is that, I would anyway
calculate these and many other ratios myself and while I do so, I would gain greater
clarity on the company and its numbers. Needless to say, over the next few chapters
we will understand how to read and understand the financial statements of the
company and also how to calculate the financial ratios.
The next two sections i.e the ‘Management Statement’ and ‘Management
Discussion & Analysis’ are quite important. I spend time going through these
sections. Both these sections gives you a sense on what the management of the
company has to say about their business and the industry in general. As an investor
or as a potential investor in the company, every word mentioned in these sections is
16
important. In fact some of the details related to the ‘Qualitative aspects’ (as
discussed in chapter 2), can be found in these two sections of the AR.
In the ‘Management Statement’ (sometimes called the Chairman’s Message), the

investor gets a perspective of how the man sitting right on top is thinking about his
business. The content here is usually broad based and gives a sense on how the
business is positioned. When I read through this section, I look at how realistic the
management is. I am very keen to see if the company’s management has its feet on
the ground. I also observe if they are transparent on discussing details on what
went right and what went wrong for the business.
One example that I explicitly remember was reading through the chairman’s
message of a well established tea manufacturing company. In his message, the
chairman was talking about a revenue growth of nearly 10%, however the historical
revenue numbers suggested that the company’s revenue was growing at a rate of 4-
5%. Clearly in this context, the growth rate of 10% seemed like a celestial move. This
also indicated to me that the man on top may not really be in sync with ground
reality and hence I decided not to invest in the company. Retrospectively when I
look back at my decision not to invest, it was probably the right decision.
Here is the snapshot of Amara Raja Batteries Limited; I have highlighted a small part
that I think is interesting. I would encourage you to read through the entire message
in the Annual Report.
17
Moving ahead, the next section is the ‘Management Discussion & Analysis’ or
‘MD&A’. This according to me is perhaps one of the most important sections in the
whole of AR. The most standard way for any company to start this section is by
talking about the macro trends in the economy. They discuss the overall economic
activity of the country and the business sentiment across the corporate world. If the
company has high exposure to exports, they even talk about global economic and
business sentiment.
ARBL has both exports and domestic business interest; hence they discuss both
these angles in their AR. See the snapshot below:
18
ARBL’s view on the Indian economy:
19
Following this the companies usually talk about the trends in the industry and what
they expect for the year ahead. This is an important section as we can understand
what the company perceives as threats and opportunities in the industry. Most
importantly I read through this, and also compare it with its peers to understand if
the company has any advantage over its peers.
For example, if Amara Raja Batteries limited is a company of interest to me, I would
read through this part of the AR and also would read through what Exide Batteries
Limited has to say in their AR.
Remember until this point the discussion in the Management Discussion & Analysis
is broad based and generic (global economy, domestic economy, and industry
trends). However going forward, the company would discuss various aspects related
to its business. It talks about how the business had performed across various
divisions, how did it fare in comparison to the previous year etc. The company in
fact gives out specific numbers in this section.
Here is a snapshot of the same:
20
Some companies even discuss their guidelines and strategies for the year ahead
across the various verticals they operate in. Do have a look at the snapshot below:
After discussing these in ‘Management Discussion & Analysis’ the annual report
includes a series of other reports such as – Human Resources report, R&D report,
Technology report etc. Each of these reports are important in the context of the
21
industry the company operates in. For example, if I am reading through a
manufacturing company annual report, I would be particularly interested in the
human resources report to understand if the company has any labor issues. If there
are serious signs of labor issues then it could potentially lead to the factory being
shut down, which is not good for the company’s shareholders.
3.3 – The Financial Statements

Finally, the last section of the AR contains the financial statements of the company.
As you would agree, the financial statements are perhaps one of the most
important aspects of an Annual Report. There are three financial statements that
the company will present namely:
1. The Profit and Loss statement

2. The Balance Sheet and
3. The Cash flow statement
We will understand each of these statements in detail over the next few chapters.
However at this stage it is important to understand that the financial statements
come in two forms.
1. Standalone financial statement or simply standalone numbers and

2. Consolidated financial statement or simply consolidated numbers
To understand the difference between standalone and consolidated numbers, we
need to understand the structure of a company.
Typically, a well established company has many subsidiaries. These companies also
act as a holding company for several other well established companies. To help you
understand this better, I have taken the example of CRISIL Limited’s shareholding
structure. You can find the same in CRISIL’s annual report. As you may know, CRISIL
is an Indian company with a major focus on corporate credit rating services.
22
As you can see in the above share holding structure:
1. Standard & Poor’s (S&P), a US based rating agency holds a 51% stake in CRISIL.
Hence S&P is the ‘Holding company’ or the ‘Promoter’ of CRISIL
2. The balance 49% of shares of CRISIL is held by Public and other Financial institutions
3. However, S&P itself is 100% subsidiary of another company called ‘The McGraw-Hill
Companies’
1. This means McGraw Hill fully owns S&P, and S&P owns 51% of CRISIL
4. Further, CRISIL itself fully owns (100% shareholding) another company called
‘Irevna’.
Keeping the above in perspective, think about this hypothetical situation. Assume,
for the financial year 2014, CRISIL makes a loss of Rs.1000 Crs and Irevna, its 100%
subsidiary makes a profit of Rs.700 Crs. What do you would be the overall
profitability of CRISIL?
Well, this is quite simple – CRISIL on its own made a loss of Rs.1000 Crs, but its
subsidiary Irevna made a profit of Rs.700 Crs, hence the overall P&L of CRISIL is
(Rs.1000 Crs) + Rs.700 Crs = (Rs.300 Crs).
Thanks to its subsidiary, CRISIL’s loss is reduced to Rs.300 Crs as opposed to a

massive loss of Rs.1000 Crs. Another way to look at it is, CRISIL on
a standalone basis made a loss of Rs.1000 Crs, but on a consolidated basis made a
loss of Rs.300 Crs.
23
Hence, Standalone Financial statements represent the standalone numbers/
financials of the company itself and do not include the financials of its subsidiaries.
However the consolidated numbers includes the companies (i.e.standalone
financials) and its subsidiaries financial statements.
I personally prefer to look through the consolidated financial statements as it gives

a better representation of the company’s financial position.
3.4 – Schedules of Financial Statements

When the company reports its financial statements, they usually report the full
statement in the beginning and then follow it up with a detailed explanation.
Have a look at the snapshot of one of ARBL’s financial statement (balance sheet):
Each particular in the financial statement is referred to as the line item. For example
the first line item in the Balance Sheet (under Equity and Liability) is the share
capital (as pointed out by the green arrow). If you notice, there is a note number
associated with share capital. These are called the ‘Schedules’ related to the
financial statement. Looking into the above statement, ARBL states that the share
capital stands at Rs.17.081 Crs (or Rs.170.81 Million). As an investor I obviously
would be interested to know how ARBL arrived at Rs.17.081 Crs as their share
capital. To figure this out, one needs to look into the associated schedule (note
number 2). Please look at the snapshot below:
24
Of course, considering you may be new to financial statements, jargon’s like share
capital make not make much sense. However the financial statements are extremely
simple to understand, and over the next few chapters you will understand how to
read the financial statements and make sense of it. But for now do remember that
the main financial statement gives you the summary and the associated schedules
give the details pertaining to each line item.
1. The Annual Report (AR) of a company is an official communication from the

company to its investors and other stakeholders
2. The AR is the best source to get information about the company; hence AR should
be the default choice for the investor to source company related information
3. The AR contains many sections, with each section highlighting certain aspect of the
business
4. The AR is also the best source to get information related to the qualitative aspects of
the company
5. The management discussion and analysis is one of the most important sections in
the AR. It has the management’s perspective on the overall economy of the country,
their outlook on the industry they operate in for the year gone by (what went right
and what went wrong), and what they foresee for the year ahead
6. The AR contains three financial statements – Profit & Loss statement, Balance Sheet,
and Cash Flow statement
7. The standalone statement contains the financial numbers of only the company in
consideration. However the consolidated numbers contains the company and its
subsidiaries financial numbers.
25
26
Chapter 9
The Financial Ratio Analysis (Part 1)
1.1 – A note on Financial Ratios

Over the last few chapters we have understood how to read the financial
statements. We will now focus our attention on analyzing these financial
statements. The best way to analyze the financial statements is by studying the
‘Financial Ratios’. The theory of financial ratios was made popular by Benjamin
Graham, who is popularly known as the father of fundamental analysis. Financial
ratios help in interpreting the results, and allows comparison with previous years
and other companies in the same industry.
A typical financial ratio utilizes data from the financial statement to compute its
value. Before we start understanding the financial ratios, we need to be aware of
certain attributes of the financial ratios.
On its own merit, the financial ratio of a company conveys very little information.
For instance, assume Ultratech Cements Limited has a profit margin of 15%, how
useful do you think this information is? Well, not much really. 15% profit margin is
good, but how would I know if it is the best?
However, assume you figure out ACC Cement’s profit margin is 12%. Now, as we
comparing two similar companies, comparing the profitability makes sense. Clearly,
Ultratech Cements Limited seems to be a more profitable company between the
two. The point that I am trying to drive across is that more often than not, Financial
Ratios on its own is quite mute. The ratio makes sense only when you compare the
ratio with another company of a similar size or when you look into the trend of the
financial ratio. This means that once the ratio is computed the ratio has to be
analyzed (either by comparison or tracking the ratio’s historical trend) to get the
best possible inference.
Also, here is something that you need to be aware off while computing ratios.
Accounting policies may vary across companies and across different financial years.
A fundamental analyst should be cognizant of this fact and should adjust the data
accordingly, before computing the financial ratio.
27
1.2 – The Financial Ratios
Financial ratios can be ‘somewhat loosely’ classified into different categories, namely
–
1. Profitability Ratios
2. Leverage Ratios
3. Valuation Ratios
4. Operating Ratios
The Profitability ratios help the analyst measure the profitability of the company.
The ratios convey how well the company is able to perform in terms of generating
profits. Profitability of a company also signals the competitiveness of the
management. As the profits are needed for business expansion and to pay
dividends to its shareholders a company’s profitability is an important consideration
for the shareholders.
The Leverage ratios also referred to as solvency ratios/ gearing ratios measures
the company’s ability (in the long term) to sustain its day to day operations.
Leverage ratios measure the extent to which the company uses the debt to finance
growth. Remember for the company to sustain its operations, it has to pay its bills
and obligations. Solvency ratios help us understand the company’s long term
sustainability, keeping its obligation in perspective.
28
The Valuation ratios compare the stock price of the company with either the
profitability of the company or the overall value of company to get a sense of how
cheap or expensive the stock is trading. Thus this ratio helps us in analysing
whether the current share price of the company is perceived as high or low. In
simpler words, the valuation ratio compares the cost of a security with the perks of
owning the stock.
The Operating Ratios, also called the ‘Activity Ratios’ measures the efficiency at
which a business can convert its assets (both current and noncurrent) into
revenues. This ratio helps us understand how efficient the management of the
company is. For this reason, Operating Ratios are sometimes called the
‘Management Ratios’.
Strictly speaking, ratios (irrespective of the category it belongs to) convey a certain
message, usually related to the financial position of the company. For example,
‘Profitability Ratio’ can convey the efficiency of the company, which is usually
measured by computing the ‘Operating Ratio’. Because of such overlaps, it is difficult
to classify these ratios. Hence the ratios are ‘somewhat loosely’ classified.
1.3 – The Profitability Ratios

We will look into the following ratios under ‘The Profitability Ratio’:
1. EBITDA Margin (Operating Profit Margin)

o EBITDA Growth (CAGR)
2. PAT Margin
o PAT Growth (CAGR)
29
3. Return on Equity (ROE)
4. Return on Asset (ROA)
5. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
EBITDA Margin:
The Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation & Amortization (EBITDA)

Margin indicates the efficiency of the management. It tells us how efficient the
company’s operating model is. EBITDA Margin tells us how profitable (in percentage
terms) the company is at an operating level. It always makes sense to compare the
EBITDA margin of the company versus its competitor to get a sense of the
management’s efficiency in terms of managing their expense.
In order to calculate the EBITDA Margin, we first need to calculate the EBITDA itself.
EBITDA = [Operating Revenues – Operating Expense]
Operating Revenues = [Total Revenue – Other Income]
Operating Expense = [Total Expense – Finance Cost – Depreciation & Amortization]
EBIDTA Margin = EBITDA / [Total Revenue – Other Income]
Continuing the example of Amara Raja Batteries Limited, the EBITDA Margin
calculation for the FY14 is as follows:
We first calculate EBITDA , which is computed as follows:
[Total Revenue – Other Income] – [Total Expense – Finance Cost – Depreciation &
Amortization]
Note: Other income is income by virtue of investments and other non operational
activity. Including other income in EBITDA calculation would clearly skew the data.
For this reason, we have to exclude Other Income from Total Revenues.
[3482 – 46] – [2942 – 0.7 – 65]
= [3436] – [2876]
= 560 Crores
Hence the EBITDA Margin is:
560 / 3436
= 16.3%
I have two questions for you at this stage:
30
1. What does an EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs and an EBITDA margin of 16.3% indicate?
2. How good or bad an EBITDA margin of 16.3% is?
The first question is a fairly simple. An EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs means that the
company has retained Rs.560 Crs from its operating revenue of Rs.3436 Crs. This
also means out of Rs.3436 Crs the company spent Rs.2876 Crs towards its expenses.
In percentage terms, the company spent 83.7% of its revenue towards its expenses
and retained 16.3% of the revenue at the operating level, for its operations.
Now for the 2nd question, hopefully you should not have an answer.
Remember we did discuss this point earlier in this chapter. A financial ratio on its
own conveys very little information. To make sense of it, we should either see the
trend or compare it with its peers. Going with this, a 16.3% EBITDA margin conveys
very little information.
To makes some sense of the EBITDA margin, let us look at Amara Raja’s EBITDA
margin trend for the last 4 years, (all numbers in Rs Crs, except EBITDA margin):
Year Operating Revenues Operating Expense EBITDA EBITDA Margin
2011 1761 1504 257 14.6%
2012 2364 2025 340 14.4%
2013 2959 2508 451 15.2%
2014 3437 2876 560 16.3%
It appears that ARBL has maintained its EBITDA at an average of 15%, and in fact on
a closer look it is clear the EBITDA margin is increasing. This is a good sign as it
shows consistency and efficiency in the management’s operational capabilities.
In 2011 the EBITDA was Rs.257 Crs and in 2014 the EBITDA is Rs.560Crs. This
translates to a 4 year EBITDA CAGR growth of 21%.
Please note, we have discussed the formula for CAGR in module 1.
Clearly, it appears that both EBITDA margin and EBITDA growth are quite
impressive. However we still do not know if it is the best. In order to find out if it is
the best one needs to compare these numbers with its competitors. In case of ARBL
31
it would be Exide batteries Limited. I would encourage you to do the same for Exide
and compare the results.
PAT Margin:
While the EBITDA margin is calculated at the operating level, the Profit After Tax
(PAT) margin is calculated at the final profitability level. At the operating level we
consider only the operating expenses however there are other expenses such as
depreciation and finance costs which are not considered. Along with these expenses
there are tax expenses as well. When we calculate the PAT margin, all expenses are
deducted from the Total Revenues of the company to identify the overall
profitability of the company.
PAT Margin = [PAT/Total Revenues]
PAT is explicitly stated in the Annual Report. ARBL’s PAT for the FY14 is Rs.367 Crs on
the overall revenue of Rs.3482 Crs (including other income). This translates to a PAT
margin of:
= 367 / 3482
=10.5 %
Here is the PAT and PAT margin trend for ARBL:
Year PAT (in INR Crs) PAT Margin
2011 148 8.4%
2012 215 8.9%
2013 287 9.6%
2014 367 10.5%
The PAT and PAT margin trend seems impressive as we can clearly see a margin
expansion. The 4 year CAGR growth stands at 25.48%, which is again good. Needless
to say, it always makes sense to compare ratios with its competitors.
Return on Equity (RoE):
32
The Return on Equity (RoE) is a very important ratio, as it helps the investor assess
the return the shareholder earns for every unit of capital invested. RoE measures
the entity’s ability to generate profits from the shareholders investments. In other
words, RoE shows the efficiency of the company in terms of generating profits to its
shareholders. Obviously, higher the RoE, the better it is for the shareholders. In fact
this is one of the key ratios that helps the investor identify investable attributes of
the company. To give you a perspective, the average RoE of top Indian companies
vary between 14 – 16%. I personally prefer to invest in companies that have a RoE of
18% upwards.
This ratio is compared with the other companies in the same industry and is also
observed over time.
Also note, if the RoE is high, it means a good amount of cash is being generated by
the company, hence the need for external funds is less. Thus a higher ROE indicates
a higher level of management performance.
RoE can be calculated as: [Net Profit / Shareholders Equity* 100]
There is no doubt that RoE is an important ratio to calculate, but like any other
financial ratios it also has a few drawbacks. To help you understand its drawbacks,
consider this hypothetical example.
Assume Vishal runs a Pizza store. To bake pizza’s Vishal needs an oven which costs
him Rs.10,000/-. Oven is an asset to Vishal’s business. He procures the oven from his
own funds and seeks no external debt. At this stage you would agree on his balance
sheet he has a shareholder equity of Rs.10,000 and an asset equivalent to Rs.10,000.
Now, assume in his first year of operation, Vishal generates a profit of Rs.2500/-.
What is his RoE? This is quite simple to compute:
RoE = 2500/10000*100
=25.0%.
Now let us twist the story a bit. Vishal has only Rs.8000/- he borrows Rs.2000 from
his father to purchase an oven worth Rs.10000/-. How do you think his balance
sheet would look?
On the liability side he would have:
Shareholder Equity = Rs.8000
Debt = Rs.2000
This makes Vishal’s total liability Rs. 10,000. Balancing this on the asset side, he has
an asset worth Rs.10,000. Let us see how his RoE looks now:
33
RoE = 2500 / 8000*100
= 31.25%
With an additional debt, the RoE shot up quite significantly. Now, what if Vishal had
only Rs.5000 and borrowed the additional Rs.5000 from his father to buy the oven.
His balance sheet would look like this:
Debt = Rs.5000
Vishal’s total liability is Rs. 10,000. Balancing this on the asset side, he has an asset
worth Rs.10,000. Let us see how his RoE looks now:
RoE = 2500 / 5000 *100
=50.0%
Clearly, higher the debt Vishal seeks to finance his asset, (which in turn is required
to generate profits) higher is the RoE. A high RoE is great, but certainly not at the
cost of high debt. The problem is with a high amount of debt, running the business
gets very risky as the finance cost increases drastically. For this reason inspecting
the RoE closely becomes extremely important. One way to do this is by
implementing a technique called the ‘DuPont Model’ also called DuPont Identity.
This model was developed in 1920’s by the DuPont Corporation. DuPont Model
breaks up the RoE formula into three components with each part representing a
certain aspect of business. The DuPont analysis uses both the P&L statement and
the Balance sheet for the computation.
The RoE as per DuPont model can be calculated as:
If you notice the above formula, the denominator and the numerator cancels out
with one another eventually leaving us with the original RoE formula which is:
RoE = Net Profit / Shareholder Equity *100
However in the process of decomposing the RoE formula, we gained insights into
three distinct aspects of the business. Let us look into the three components of the
DuPont model that makes up the RoE formula :
34
o Net Profit Margin = Net Profits/ Net Sales*100
This is the first part of the DuPont Model and it expresses the company’s ability to
generate profits. This is nothing but the PAT margin we looked at earlier in this
chapter. A low Net profit margin would indicate higher costs and increased
competition.
o Asset Turnover = Net Sales / Average Total asset
Asset turnover ratio is an efficiency ratio that indicates how efficiently the company
is using its assets to generate revenue. Higher the ratio, it means the company is
using its assets more efficiently. Lower the ratio, it could indicate management or
production problems. The resulting figure is expressed as number of times per year.
o Financial Leverage = Average Total Assets / Shareholders Equity
Financial leverage helps us answer this question – ‘For every unit of shareholders
equity, how many units of assets does the company have’. For example if the
financial leverage is 4, this means for every Rs.1 of equity, the company supports
Rs.4 worth of assets. Higher the financial leverage along with increased amounts of
debt, will indicate the company is highly leveraged and hence the investor should
exercise caution. The resulting figure is expressed as number of times per year.
As you can see, the DuPont model breaks up the RoE formula into three distinct
components, with each component giving an insight into the company’s operating
and financial capabilities.
Let us now proceed to implement the DuPont Model to calculate Amara Raja’s RoE
for the FY 14. For this we need to calculate the values of the individual components.
Net Profit Margin: As I mentioned earlier, this is same as the PAT margin. From our
calculation earlier, we know the Net Profit Margin for ARBL is 9.2%
Asset Turnover = Net Sales / Average Total assets
We know from the FY14 Annual Report, Net sales of ARBL stands at Rs.3437 Crs.
The denominator has Average Total Assets which we know can be sourced from the
Balance Sheet. But what does the word ‘Average’ indicate?
From ARBL’s balance sheet, the total asset for FY14 is Rs.2139Crs. But think about
this, the reported number is for the Financial Year 2014, which starts from 1st of
April 2013 and close on 31st March 2014. This implies that at the start of the financial
year 2014 (1st April 2013), the company must have commenced its operation with
assets that it carried forward from the previous financial year (FY 2013). During the
financial year (FY 2014) the company has acquired some more assets which when
added to the previous year’s (FY2013) assets totaled to Rs.2139 Crs. Clearly the
company started the financial year with a certain rupee value of assets but closed
the year with a totally different rupee value of assets.
35
Keeping this in perspective, if I were to calculate the asset turnover ratio, which
asset value should I consider for the denominator? Should I consider the asset value
at the beginning of the year or at the asset value at the end of the year? To avoid
confusion, the practice is to take average of the asset values for the two financial
years.
Do remember this technique of averaging line items, as we will be using this across
other ratios as well.
From ARBL’s annual report we know:
Net Sales in FY14 is Rs.3437Crs
Total Assets in FY13 is Rs.1770 Crs
Average Assets = (1770 + 2139) / 2
= 1955
Asset Turnover = 3437 / 1955
= 1.75 times
This means for every Rs.1 of asset deployed, the company is generating Rs.1.75 in
revenues.
We will now calculate the last component that is the Financial Leverage.
Financial Leverage = Average Total Assets / Average Shareholders Equity
We know the average total assets is Rs.1955. We just need to look into the
shareholders equity. For reasons similar to taking the “Average Assets” as opposed
to just the current year assets, we will consider “Average Shareholder equity” as
opposed to just the current year’s shareholder equity.
Shareholders Equity for FY13 = Rs.1059 Crs
Average shareholder equity = Rs.1211 Crs
Financial Leverage = 1955 / 1211
= 1.61 times
36
Considering ARBL has little debt, Financial Leverage of 1.61 is indeed an
encouraging number. The number above indicates that for every Rs.1 of Equity,
ARBL supports Rs.1.61 of assets.
We now have all the inputs to calculate RoE for ARBL, we will now proceed to do the
same:
RoE = Net Profit Margin X Asset Turnover X Financial Leverage
= 9.2% * 1.75 * 1.61
~ 25.9%. Quite impressive I must say!
I understand this is a lengthy way to calculate RoE, but this is perhaps the best way
as in the process of calculating RoE, we can develop valuable insights into the
business. DuPont model not only answers what the return is but also the quality of
the return.
However if you wish do a quick RoE calculation you can do so the following way:
RoE = Net Profits / Avg shareholders Equity
From the annual report we know for the FY14 the PAT is Rs.367 Crs
RoE = 367 / 1211
= 30.31%
Return on Asset (RoA):
Having understood the DuPont Model, understanding the next two ratios should be
simple. Return on Assets (RoA) evaluates the effectiveness of the entity’s ability to
use the assets to create profits. A well managed entity limits investments in non
productive assets. Hence RoA indicates the management’s efficiency at deploying its
assets. Needless to say, higher the RoA, the better it is.
RoA = [Net income + interest*(1-tax rate)] / Total Average Assets
From the Annual Report, we know:
Net income for FY 14 = Rs.367.4 Crs
And we know from the Dupont Model the Total average assets (for FY13 and FY14) =
Rs.1955 Crs
So what does interest *(1- tax rate) mean? Well, think about it, the loan taken by
the company is also used to finance the assets which in turn is used to
generate profits. So in a sense, the debtholders (entities who have given loan to the
company) are also a part of the company. From this perspective the interest paid
37
out also belongs to a stakeholder of the company. Also, the company benefits in
terms of paying lesser taxes when interest is paid out, this is called a ‘tax shield’. For
these reasons, we need to add interest (by accounting for the tax shield) while
calculating the ROA.
The Interest amount (finance cost) is Rs.7 Crs, accounting for the tax shield it would
be
= 7* (1 – 32%)
= 4.76 Crs . Please note, 32% is the average tax rate.
Hence ROA would be –
RoA = [367.4 + 4.76] / 1955
~ 372.16 / 1955
~19.03%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE):
The Return on Capital employed indicates the profitability of the company taking
into consideration the overall capital it employs.
Overall capital includes both equity and debt (both long term and short term).
ROCE = [Profit before Interest & Taxes / Overall Capital Employed]
Overall Capital Employed = Short term Debt + Long term Debt + Equity
From ARBL’s Annual Report we know:
Profit before Interest & Taxes = Rs.537.7 Crs
Overall Capital Employed:
Short term debt: Rs.8.3 Crs
Long term borrowing: Rs.75.9 Crs
Shareholders equity = Rs.1362 Crs
Overall capital employed: 8.3 + 75.9 + 1362 = 1446.2 Crs
ROCE = 537.7 / 1446.2
= 37.18%
38
1. A Financial ratio is a useful financial metric of a company. On its own merit the ratio
conveys very little information
2. It is best to study the ratio’s recent trend or compare it with the company’s peers to
develop an opinion
3. Financial ratios can be categorized into ‘Profitability’, ‘Leverage’, ‘Valuation’, and
‘Operating’ ratios. Each of these categories give the analyst a certain view on the
company’s business
4. EBITDA is the amount of money the company makes after subtracting the
operational expenses of the company from its operating revenue
5. EBITDA margin indicates the percentage profitability of the company at the
operating level
6. PAT margin gives the overall profitability of the firm
7. Return on Equity (ROE) is a very valuable ratio. It indicates how much return the
shareholders are making over their initial investment in the company
8. A high ROE and a high debt is not a great sign
9. DuPont Model helps in decomposing the ROE into different parts, with each part
throwing light on different aspects of the business
10. DuPont method is probably the best way to calculate the ROE of a firm
11. Return on Assets in an indicator of how efficiently the company is utilizing its assets
12. Return on Capital employed indicates the overall return the company generates
considering both the equity and debt.
13. For the ratios to be useful, it should be analyzed in comparison with other
companies in the same industry.
14. Also, ratios should be analyzed both at a single point in time and as an indicator of
broader trends over time
39
Chapter 9
9.1 – A note on Financial Ratios

Over the last few chapters we have understood how to read the financial
statements. We will now focus our attention on analyzing these financial
statements. The best way to analyze the financial statements is by studying the
‘Financial Ratios’. The theory of financial ratios was made popular by Benjamin
Graham, who is popularly known as the father of fundamental analysis. Financial
ratios help in interpreting the results, and allows comparison with previous years
and other companies in the same industry.
A typical financial ratio utilizes data from the financial statement to compute its
value. Before we start understanding the financial ratios, we need to be aware of
certain attributes of the financial ratios.
On its own merit, the financial ratio of a company conveys very little information.
For instance, assume Ultratech Cements Limited has a profit margin of 15%, how
useful do you think this information is? Well, not much really. 15% profit margin is
good, but how would I know if it is the best?
However, assume you figure out ACC Cement’s profit margin is 12%. Now, as we
comparing two similar companies, comparing the profitability makes sense. Clearly,
Ultratech Cements Limited seems to be a more profitable company between the
two. The point that I am trying to drive across is that more often than not, Financial
Ratios on its own is quite mute. The ratio makes sense only when you compare the
ratio with another company of a similar size or when you look into the trend of the
financial ratio. This means that once the ratio is computed the ratio has to be
40
analyzed (either by comparison or tracking the ratio’s historical trend) to get the
best possible inference.
Also, here is something that you need to be aware off while computing ratios.
Accounting policies may vary across companies and across different financial years.
A fundamental analyst should be cognizant of this fact and should adjust the data
accordingly, before computing the financial ratio.
9.2 – The Financial Ratios

Financial ratios can be ‘somewhat loosely’ classified into different categories, namely
–
1. Profitability Ratios
2. Leverage Ratios
3. Valuation Ratios
4. Operating Ratios
The Profitability ratios help the analyst measure the profitability of the company.
The ratios convey how well the company is able to perform in terms of generating
profits. Profitability of a company also signals the competitiveness of the
management. As the profits are needed for business expansion and to pay
dividends to its shareholders a company’s profitability is an important consideration
for the shareholders.
The Leverage ratios also referred to as solvency ratios/ gearing ratios measures
the company’s ability (in the long term) to sustain its day to day operations.
41
Leverage ratios measure the extent to which the company uses the debt to finance
growth. Remember for the company to sustain its operations, it has to pay its bills
and obligations. Solvency ratios help us understand the company’s long term
sustainability, keeping its obligation in perspective.
The Valuation ratios compare the stock price of the company with either the
profitability of the company or the overall value of company to get a sense of how
cheap or expensive the stock is trading. Thus this ratio helps us in analysing
whether the current share price of the company is perceived as high or low. In
simpler words, the valuation ratio compares the cost of a security with the perks of
owning the stock.
The Operating Ratios, also called the ‘Activity Ratios’ measures the efficiency at
which a business can convert its assets (both current and noncurrent) into
revenues. This ratio helps us understand how efficient the management of the
company is. For this reason, Operating Ratios are sometimes called the
‘Management Ratios’.
Strictly speaking, ratios (irrespective of the category it belongs to) convey a certain
message, usually related to the financial position of the company. For example,
‘Profitability Ratio’ can convey the efficiency of the company, which is usually
measured by computing the ‘Operating Ratio’. Because of such overlaps, it is difficult
to classify these ratios. Hence the ratios are ‘somewhat loosely’ classified.
9.3 – The Profitability Ratios

We will look into the following ratios under ‘The Profitability Ratio’:
42
1. EBITDA Margin (Operating Profit Margin)
o EBITDA Growth (CAGR)
2. PAT Margin
o PAT Growth (CAGR)
3. Return on Equity (ROE)
4. Return on Asset (ROA)
5. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
EBITDA Margin:
The Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation & Amortization (EBITDA)

Margin indicates the efficiency of the management. It tells us how efficient the
company’s operating model is. EBITDA Margin tells us how profitable (in percentage
terms) the company is at an operating level. It always makes sense to compare the
EBITDA margin of the company versus its competitor to get a sense of the
management’s efficiency in terms of managing their expense.
In order to calculate the EBITDA Margin, we first need to calculate the EBITDA itself.
EBITDA = [Operating Revenues – Operating Expense]
Operating Revenues = [Total Revenue – Other Income]
Operating Expense = [Total Expense – Finance Cost – Depreciation & Amortization]
EBIDTA Margin = EBITDA / [Total Revenue – Other Income]
Continuing the example of Amara Raja Batteries Limited, the EBITDA Margin
calculation for the FY14 is as follows:
We first calculate EBITDA , which is computed as follows:
[Total Revenue – Other Income] – [Total Expense – Finance Cost – Depreciation &
Amortization]
Note: Other income is income by virtue of investments and other non operational
activity. Including other income in EBITDA calculation would clearly skew the data.
For this reason, we have to exclude Other Income from Total Revenues.
[3482 – 46] – [2942 – 0.7 – 65]
= [3436] – [2876]
= 560 Crores
Hence the EBITDA Margin is:
560 / 3436
43
= 16.3%
I have two questions for you at this stage:
1. What does an EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs and an EBITDA margin of 16.3% indicate?
2. How good or bad an EBITDA margin of 16.3% is?
The first question is a fairly simple. An EBITDA of Rs.560 Crs means that the
company has retained Rs.560 Crs from its operating revenue of Rs.3436 Crs. This
also means out of Rs.3436 Crs the company spent Rs.2876 Crs towards its expenses.
In percentage terms, the company spent 83.7% of its revenue towards its expenses
and retained 16.3% of the revenue at the operating level, for its operations.
Now for the 2nd question, hopefully you should not have an answer.
Remember we did discuss this point earlier in this chapter. A financial ratio on its
own conveys very little information. To make sense of it, we should either see the
trend or compare it with its peers. Going with this, a 16.3% EBITDA margin conveys
very little information.
To makes some sense of the EBITDA margin, let us look at Amara Raja’s EBITDA
margin trend for the last 4 years, (all numbers in Rs Crs, except EBITDA margin):
Year Operating Revenues Operating Expense EBITDA EBITDA Margin
2011 1761 1504 257 14.6%
2012 2364 2025 340 14.4%
2013 2959 2508 451 15.2%
2014 3437 2876 560 16.3%
It appears that ARBL has maintained its EBITDA at an average of 15%, and in fact on
a closer look it is clear the EBITDA margin is increasing. This is a good sign as it
shows consistency and efficiency in the management’s operational capabilities.
In 2011 the EBITDA was Rs.257 Crs and in 2014 the EBITDA is Rs.560Crs. This
translates to a 4 year EBITDA CAGR growth of 21%.
Please note, we have discussed the formula for CAGR in module 1.
44
Clearly, it appears that both EBITDA margin and EBITDA growth are quite
impressive. However we still do not know if it is the best. In order to find out if it is
the best one needs to compare these numbers with its competitors. In case of ARBL
it would be Exide batteries Limited. I would encourage you to do the same for Exide
and compare the results.
PAT Margin:
While the EBITDA margin is calculated at the operating level, the Profit After Tax
(PAT) margin is calculated at the final profitability level. At the operating level we
consider only the operating expenses however there are other expenses such as
depreciation and finance costs which are not considered. Along with these expenses
there are tax expenses as well. When we calculate the PAT margin, all expenses are
deducted from the Total Revenues of the company to identify the overall
profitability of the company.
PAT Margin = [PAT/Total Revenues]
PAT is explicitly stated in the Annual Report. ARBL’s PAT for the FY14 is Rs.367 Crs on
the overall revenue of Rs.3482 Crs (including other income). This translates to a PAT
margin of:
= 367 / 3482
=10.5 %
Here is the PAT and PAT margin trend for ARBL:
Year PAT (in INR Crs) PAT Margin
2011 148 8.4%
2012 215 8.9%
2013 287 9.6%
2014 367 10.5%
The PAT and PAT margin trend seems impressive as we can clearly see a margin
expansion. The 4 year CAGR growth stands at 25.48%, which is again good. Needless
to say, it always makes sense to compare ratios with its competitors.
45
Return on Equity (RoE):
The Return on Equity (RoE) is a very important ratio, as it helps the investor assess
the return the shareholder earns for every unit of capital invested. RoE measures
the entity’s ability to generate profits from the shareholders investments. In other
words, RoE shows the efficiency of the company in terms of generating profits to its
shareholders. Obviously, higher the RoE, the better it is for the shareholders. In fact
this is one of the key ratios that helps the investor identify investable attributes of
the company. To give you a perspective, the average RoE of top Indian companies
vary between 14 – 16%. I personally prefer to invest in companies that have a RoE of
18% upwards.
This ratio is compared with the other companies in the same industry and is also
observed over time.
Also note, if the RoE is high, it means a good amount of cash is being generated by
the company, hence the need for external funds is less. Thus a higher ROE indicates
a higher level of management performance.
RoE can be calculated as: [Net Profit / Shareholders Equity* 100]
There is no doubt that RoE is an important ratio to calculate, but like any other
financial ratios it also has a few drawbacks. To help you understand its drawbacks,
consider this hypothetical example.
Assume Vishal runs a Pizza store. To bake pizza’s Vishal needs an oven which costs
him Rs.10,000/-. Oven is an asset to Vishal’s business. He procures the oven from his
own funds and seeks no external debt. At this stage you would agree on his balance
sheet he has a shareholder equity of Rs.10,000 and an asset equivalent to Rs.10,000.
Now, assume in his first year of operation, Vishal generates a profit of Rs.2500/-.
What is his RoE? This is quite simple to compute:
RoE = 2500/10000*100
=25.0%.
Now let us twist the story a bit. Vishal has only Rs.8000/- he borrows Rs.2000 from
his father to purchase an oven worth Rs.10000/-. How do you think his balance
sheet would look?
Debt = Rs.2000
46
This makes Vishal’s total liability Rs. 10,000. Balancing this on the asset side, he has
an asset worth Rs.10,000. Let us see how his RoE looks now:
RoE = 2500 / 8000*100
= 31.25%
With an additional debt, the RoE shot up quite significantly. Now, what if Vishal had
only Rs.5000 and borrowed the additional Rs.5000 from his father to buy the oven.
His balance sheet would look like this:
Debt = Rs.5000
Vishal’s total liability is Rs. 10,000. Balancing this on the asset side, he has an asset
worth Rs.10,000. Let us see how his RoE looks now:
RoE = 2500 / 5000 *100
=50.0%
Clearly, higher the debt Vishal seeks to finance his asset, (which in turn is required
to generate profits) higher is the RoE. A high RoE is great, but certainly not at the
cost of high debt. The problem is with a high amount of debt, running the business
gets very risky as the finance cost increases drastically. For this reason inspecting
the RoE closely becomes extremely important. One way to do this is by
implementing a technique called the ‘DuPont Model’ also called DuPont Identity.
This model was developed in 1920’s by the DuPont Corporation. DuPont Model
breaks up the RoE formula into three components with each part representing a
certain aspect of business. The DuPont analysis uses both the P&L statement and
the Balance sheet for the computation.
The RoE as per DuPont model can be calculated as:
If you notice the above formula, the denominator and the numerator cancels out
with one another eventually leaving us with the original RoE formula which is:
RoE = Net Profit / Shareholder Equity *100
However in the process of decomposing the RoE formula, we gained insights into
three distinct aspects of the business. Let us look into the three components of the
DuPont model that makes up the RoE formula :
47
o Net Profit Margin = Net Profits/ Net Sales*100
This is the first part of the DuPont Model and it expresses the company’s ability to
generate profits. This is nothing but the PAT margin we looked at earlier in this
chapter. A low Net profit margin would indicate higher costs and increased
competition.
o Asset Turnover = Net Sales / Average Total asset
Asset turnover ratio is an efficiency ratio that indicates how efficiently the company
is using its assets to generate revenue. Higher the ratio, it means the company is
using its assets more efficiently. Lower the ratio, it could indicate management or
production problems. The resulting figure is expressed as number of times per year.
o Financial Leverage = Average Total Assets / Shareholders Equity
Financial leverage helps us answer this question – ‘For every unit of shareholders
equity, how many units of assets does the company have’. For example if the
financial leverage is 4, this means for every Rs.1 of equity, the company supports
Rs.4 worth of assets. Higher the financial leverage along with increased amounts of
debt, will indicate the company is highly leveraged and hence the investor should
exercise caution. The resulting figure is expressed as number of times per year.
As you can see, the DuPont model breaks up the RoE formula into three distinct
components, with each component giving an insight into the company’s operating
and financial capabilities.
Let us now proceed to implement the DuPont Model to calculate Amara Raja’s RoE
for the FY 14. For this we need to calculate the values of the individual components.
Net Profit Margin: As I mentioned earlier, this is same as the PAT margin. From our
calculation earlier, we know the Net Profit Margin for ARBL is 9.2%
Asset Turnover = Net Sales / Average Total assets
We know from the FY14 Annual Report, Net sales of ARBL stands at Rs.3437 Crs.
The denominator has Average Total Assets which we know can be sourced from the
Balance Sheet. But what does the word ‘Average’ indicate?
From ARBL’s balance sheet, the total asset for FY14 is Rs.2139Crs. But think about
this, the reported number is for the Financial Year 2014, which starts from 1st of April
2013 and close on 31st March 2014. This implies that at the start of the financial year
2014 (1st April 2013), the company must have commenced its operation with assets
that it carried forward from the previous financial year (FY 2013). During the
financial year (FY 2014) the company has acquired some more assets which when
added to the previous year’s (FY2013) assets totaled to Rs.2139 Crs. Clearly the
company started the financial year with a certain rupee value of assets but closed
the year with a totally different rupee value of assets.
48
Keeping this in perspective, if I were to calculate the asset turnover ratio, which
asset value should I consider for the denominator? Should I consider the asset value
at the beginning of the year or at the asset value at the end of the year? To avoid
confusion, the practice is to take average of the asset values for the two financial
years.
Do remember this technique of averaging line items, as we will be using this across
other ratios as well.
From ARBL’s annual report we know:
Net Sales in FY14 is Rs.3437Crs
Average Assets = (1770 + 2139) / 2
= 1955
Asset Turnover = 3437 / 1955
= 1.75 times
This means for every Rs.1 of asset deployed, the company is generating Rs.1.75 in
revenues.
We will now calculate the last component that is the Financial Leverage.
Financial Leverage = Average Total Assets / Average Shareholders Equity
We know the average total assets is Rs.1955. We just need to look into the
shareholders equity. For reasons similar to taking the “Average Assets” as opposed
to just the current year assets, we will consider “Average Shareholder equity” as
opposed to just the current year’s shareholder equity.
Average shareholder equity = Rs.1211 Crs
Financial Leverage = 1955 / 1211
= 1.61 times
49
Considering ARBL has little debt, Financial Leverage of 1.61 is indeed an
encouraging number. The number above indicates that for every Rs.1 of Equity,
ARBL supports Rs.1.61 of assets.
We now have all the inputs to calculate RoE for ARBL, we will now proceed to do the
same:
RoE = Net Profit Margin X Asset Turnover X Financial Leverage
= 9.2% * 1.75 * 1.61
~ 25.9%. Quite impressive I must say!
I understand this is a lengthy way to calculate RoE, but this is perhaps the best way
as in the process of calculating RoE, we can develop valuable insights into the
business. DuPont model not only answers what the return is but also the quality of
the return.
However if you wish do a quick RoE calculation you can do so the following way:
RoE = Net Profits / Avg shareholders Equity
From the annual report we know for the FY14 the PAT is Rs.367 Crs
RoE = 367 / 1211
= 30.31%
Return on Asset (RoA):
Having understood the DuPont Model, understanding the next two ratios should be
simple. Return on Assets (RoA) evaluates the effectiveness of the entity’s ability to
use the assets to create profits. A well managed entity limits investments in non
productive assets. Hence RoA indicates the management’s efficiency at deploying its
assets. Needless to say, higher the RoA, the better it is.
RoA = [Net income + interest*(1-tax rate)] / Total Average Assets
From the Annual Report, we know:
Net income for FY 14 = Rs.367.4 Crs
And we know from the Dupont Model the Total average assets (for FY13 and FY14) =
Rs.1955 Crs
So what does interest *(1- tax rate) mean? Well, think about it, the loan taken by
the company is also used to finance the assets which in turn is used to
generate profits. So in a sense, the debtholders (entities who have given loan to the
company) are also a part of the company. From this perspective the interest paid
50
out also belongs to a stakeholder of the company. Also, the company benefits in
terms of paying lesser taxes when interest is paid out, this is called a ‘tax shield’. For
these reasons, we need to add interest (by accounting for the tax shield) while
calculating the ROA.
The Interest amount (finance cost) is Rs.7 Crs, accounting for the tax shield it would
be
= 7* (1 – 32%)
= 4.76 Crs . Please note, 32% is the average tax rate.
Hence ROA would be –
RoA = [367.4 + 4.76] / 1955
~ 372.16 / 1955
~19.03%
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE):
The Return on Capital employed indicates the profitability of the company taking
into consideration the overall capital it employs.
Overall capital includes both equity and debt (both long term and short term).
ROCE = [Profit before Interest & Taxes / Overall Capital Employed]
Overall Capital Employed = Short term Debt + Long term Debt + Equity
From ARBL’s Annual Report we know:
Profit before Interest & Taxes = Rs.537.7 Crs
Overall Capital Employed:
Short term debt: Rs.8.3 Crs
Long term borrowing: Rs.75.9 Crs
Shareholders equity = Rs.1362 Crs
Overall capital employed: 8.3 + 75.9 + 1362 = 1446.2 Crs
ROCE = 537.7 / 1446.2
= 37.18%
51
1. A Financial ratio is a useful financial metric of a company. On its own merit the ratio
conveys very little information
2. It is best to study the ratio’s recent trend or compare it with the company’s peers to
develop an opinion
3. Financial ratios can be categorized into ‘Profitability’, ‘Leverage’, ‘Valuation’, and
‘Operating’ ratios. Each of these categories give the analyst a certain view on the
company’s business
4. EBITDA is the amount of money the company makes after subtracting the
operational expenses of the company from its operating revenue
5. EBITDA margin indicates the percentage profitability of the company at the
operating level
6. PAT margin gives the overall profitability of the firm
7. Return on Equity (ROE) is a very valuable ratio. It indicates how much return the
shareholders are making over their initial investment in the company
8. A high ROE and a high debt is not a great sign
9. DuPont Model helps in decomposing the ROE into different parts, with each part
throwing light on different aspects of the business
10. DuPont method is probably the best way to calculate the ROE of a firm
11. Return on Assets in an indicator of how efficiently the company is utilizing its assets
12. Return on Capital employed indicates the overall return the company generates
considering both the equity and debt.
13. For the ratios to be useful, it should be analyzed in comparison with other
companies in the same industry.
14. Also, ratios should be analyzed both at a single point in time and as an indicator of
broader trends over time
52
Chapter 10
10.1 – The Leverage Ratios

We touched upon the topic of financial leverage while discussing Return on Equity
and the DuPont analysis. The use of leverage (debt) is like a double edged sword.
Well managed companies seek debt if they foresee a situation where, they can
deploy the debt funds in an environment which generates a higher return in
contrast to the interest payments the company has to makes to service its debt. Do
recollect a judicious use of debt to finance assets also increases the return on
equity.
However if a company takes on too much debt, then the interest paid to service the
debt eats into the profit share of the shareholders. Hence there is a very thin line
that separates the good and the bad debt. Leverage ratios mainly deal with the
overall extent of the company’s debt, and help us understand the company’s
financial leverage better.
We will be looking into the following leverage ratios:
1. Interest Coverage Ratio

2. Debt to Equity Ratio
53
3. Debt to Asset Ratio
4. Financial Leverage Ratio
So far we have been using Amara Raja Batteries Limited (ARBL) as an example,
however to understand leverage ratios, we will look into a company that has a
sizable debt on its balance sheet. I have chosen Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISL),
I would encourage you calculate the ratios for a company of your choice.
Interest Coverage Ratio:

The interest coverage ratio is also referred to as debt service ratio or the debt
service coverage ratio. The interest coverage ratio helps us understand how much
the company is earning relative to the interest burden of the company. This ratio
helps us interpret how easily a company can pay its interest payments. For example,
if the company has an interest burden of Rs.100 versus an income of Rs.400, then
we clearly know that the company has sufficient funds to service its debt. However a
low interest coverage ratio could mean a higher debt burden and a greater
possibility of bankruptcy or default.
The formula to calculate the interest coverage ratio:

[Earnings before Interest and Tax / Interest Payment]
The ‘Earnings before Interest and Tax’ (EBIT) is:

EBITDA – Depreciation & Amortization
Let us apply this ratio on Jain Irrigation Limited. Here is the snapshot of Jain
Irrigation’s P&L statement for the FY 14, I have highlighted the Finance costs in red:
54
We know EBITDA = [Revenue – Expenses]
To calculate the expenses, we exclude the Finance cost (Rs.467.64Crs) and

Depreciation & Amortization cost (Rs.204.54) from the total expenses of Rs.5730.34
Crs.
Therefore EBITDA = Rs.5828.13 – 5058.15 Crs

EBITDA = Rs. 769.98 Crs
We know EBIT = EBITDA – [Depreciation & Amortization]
= Rs.769.98 – 204.54
= Rs. 565.44
We know Finance Cost = Rs.467.64,
Hence Interest coverage is:
= 565.44/ 467.64
= 1.209x
The ‘x’ in the above number represents a multiple. Hence 1.209x should be read as
1.209 ‘times’.
55
Interest coverage ratio of 1.209x suggests that for every Rupee of interest payment
due, Jain Irrigation Limited is generating an EBIT of 1.209 times.
Debt to Equity Ratio:

This is a fairly straightforward ratio. Both the variables required for this
computation can be found in the Balance Sheet. It measures the amount of the total
debt capital with respect to the total equity capital. A value of 1 on this ratio
indicates an equal amount of debt and equity capital. Higher debt to equity (more
than 1) indicates higher leverage and hence one needs to be careful. Lower than 1
indicates a relatively bigger equity base with respect to the debt.
The formula to calculate Debt to Equity ratio is:

[Total Debt/Total Equity]
Please note, the total debt here includes both the short term debt and the long term
debt.
Here is JSIL’s Balance Sheet, I have highlighted total equity, long term, and short
term debt:
Total debt = Long term borrowings + Short term borrowings

= 1497.663 + 2188.915
= Rs.3686.578Crs
Total Equity is Rs.2175.549 Crs
Thus, Debt to Equity ratio will be computed as follows:

= 3686.578 / 2175.549
= 1.69
56
Debt to Asset Ratio:
This ratio helps us understand the asset financing pattern of the company. It
conveys to us how much of the total assets are financed through debt capital.
The formula to calculate the same is:

Total Debt / Total Assets
For JSIL, we know the total debt is Rs.3686.578Crs.

From the Balance Sheet, we know the total assets as Rs.8204.447 Crs:
Hence the Debt to Asset ratio is:

=3686.578 / 8204.44
= 0.449 or ~45%.
This means roughly about 45% of the assets held by JSIL is financed through debt
capital or creditors (and therefore 55% is financed by the owners). Needless to say,
higher the percentage the more concerned the investor would be as it indicates
higher leverage and risk.
Financial Leverage Ratio

We briefly looked at the financial leverage ratio in the previous chapter, when we
discussed about Return on Equity. The financial leverage ratio gives us an indication,
to what extent the assets are supported by equity.
The formula to calculate the Financial Leverage Ratio is:

Average Total Asset / Average Total Equity
From JSIL’s FY14 balance sheet, I know the average total assets is Rs.8012.615.The
average total equity is Rs.2171.755. Hence the financial leverage ratio or simply the
leverage ratio is:
8012.615 / 2171.755
= 3.68
57
This means JSIL supports Rs.3.68 units of assets for every unit of equity. Do
remember higher the number, higher is the company’s leverage and the more
careful the investor needs to be.
10.2 – Operating Ratios

Operating Ratios also called ‘Activity ratios’ or the ‘Management ratios’ indicate the
efficiency of the company’s operational activity. To some degree, the operating
ratios reveal the management’s efficiency as well. These ratios are called the Asset
Management Ratios, as these ratios indicate the efficiency with which the assets of
the company are utilized.
Some of the popular Operating Ratios are:
1. Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio

2. Working Capital Turnover Ratio
3. Total Assets Turnover Ratio
4. Inventory Turnover Ratio
5. Inventory Number of Days
6. Receivable Turnover Ratio
7. Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
The above ratios combine data from both the P&L statement and Balance sheet. We
will understand these ratios by calculating them for Amara Raja Batteries Limited.
To get a true sense of how good or bad the operating ratios of a company are, one
must compare the ratios with the company’s peers /competitors or these ratios
should be compared over the years for the same company.
58
Fixed Assets Turnover
The ratio measures the extent of the revenue generated in comparison to its
investment in fixed assets. It tells us how effectively the company uses its plant and
equipment. Fixed assets include the property, plant and equipment. Higher the
ratio, it means the company is effectively and efficiently managing its fixed assets.
Fixed Assets Turnover = Operating Revenues / Total Average Asset
The assets considered while calculating the fixed assets turnover should be net of
accumulated depreciation, which is nothing but the net block of the company. It
should also include the capital work in progress. Also, we take the average assets for
reasons discussed in the previous chapter.
From ARBL’s FY14 Balance Sheet:
= (767.864 + 461.847)/2
= Rs.614.855 Crs
We know the operating revenue for FY14 is Rs.3436.7 Crs, hence the Fixed Asset
Turnover ratio is:
= 3436.7 / 614.85
=5.59
While evaluating this ratio, do keep in mind the stage the company is in. For a very
well established company, the company may not be utilizing its cash to invest in
fixed assets. However for a growing company, the company may invest in fixed
assets and hence the fixed assets value may increase year on year. You can notice
this in case of ARBL as well, for the FY13 the Fixed assets value is at Rs.461.8 Crs and
for the FY14 the fixed asset value is at Rs.767.8 Crs.
This ratio is mostly used by capital intensive industries to analyze how effectively the
fixed assets of the company are used.
Working Capital Turnover

Working capital refers to the capital required by the firm to run its day to day
operations. To run the day to day operations, the company needs certain type of
assets. Typically such assets are – inventories, receivables, cash etc. If you realize
these are current assets. A well managed company finances the current assets by
current liabilities. The difference between the current assets and current liabilities
gives us the working capital of the company.
59
Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities
If the working capital is a positive number, it implies that the company has working
capital surplus and can easily manage its day to day operations. However if the
working capital is negative, it means the company has a working capital deficit.
Usually if the company has a working capital deficit, they seek a working capital loan
from their bankers.
The concept of ‘Working Capital Management’ in itself is a huge topic in Corporate

Finance. It includes inventory management, cash management, debtor’s
management etc. The company’s CFO (Chief Financial Officer) strives to manage the
company’s working capital efficiently. Of course, we will not get into this topic as we
will digress from our main topic.
The working capital turnover ratio is also referred to as Net sales to working capital.
The working capital turnover indicates how much revenue the company generates
for every unit of working capital. Suppose the ratio is 4, then it indicates that the
company generates Rs.4 in revenue for every Rs.1 of working capital. Needless to
say, higher the number, better it is. Also, do remember all ratios should be
compared with its peers/competitors in the same industry and with the company’s
past and planned ratio to get a deeper insight of its performance.
The formula to calculate the Working Capital Turnover:

Working Capital Turnover = [Revenue / Average Working Capital]
Let us implement the same for Amara Raja Batteries Limited. To begin with, we
need to calculate the working capital for the FY13 and the FY14 and then find out
the average. Here is the snapshot of ARBL’s Balance sheet, I have highlighted the
current assets (red) and current liabilities (green) for both the years:
60
The average working capital for the two financial years can be calculated as follows:
Current Assets for the FY13 Rs.1256.85
Current Liabilities for the FY13 Rs.576.19
Working Capital for the FY13 Rs.680.66
Current Asset for the FY14 Rs.1298.61
Current Liability for the FY14 Rs.633.70
Working Capital for the FY14 Rs.664.91
Average Working Capital Rs.672.78
We know the revenue from operations for ARBL is Rs.3437 Crs. Hence the working
capital turnover ratio is:
= 3437 / 672.78
= 5.11 times
The number indicates that for every Rs.1 of working capital, the company is
generating Rs.5.11 in terms of revenue. Higher the working capital turnover ratio
the better it is, as it indicates the company is generating better sales in comparison
with the money it uses to fund the sales.
Total Assets Turnover

This is a very straight forward ratio. It indicates the company’s capability to generate
revenues with the given amount of assets. Here the assets include both the fixed
assets as well as current assets. A higher total asset turnover ratio compared to its
historical data and competitor data means the company is using its assets well to
generate more sales.
Total Asset Turnover = Operating Revenue / Average Total Assets
The average total assets for ARBL is as follws –
61
Total Assets for FY 13 – Rs.1770.5 Crs and Total Assets for FY 14 – 2139.4 Crs. Hence
the average assets would be Rs. 1954.95 Crs.
Operating revenue (FY 14) is Rs. 3437 Crs. Hence Total Asset Turnover is:
= 3437 / 1954.95
= 1.75 times
Inventory Turnover Ratio

Inventory refers to the finished goods that a company maintains in its store or
showroom with an expectation of selling the finished goods to prospective clients.
Typically, the company besides keeping the goods in the store would also keep
some additional units of finished goods in its warehouse.
If a company is selling popular products, then the goods in the inventory gets
cleared rapidly, and the company has to replenish the inventory time and again.
This is called the ‘Inventory turnover’.
For example think about a bakery selling hot bread. If the bakery is popular, the
baker probably knows how many pounds of bread he is likely to sell on any given
day. For example, he could sell 200 pounds of bread daily. This means he has to
maintain an inventory of 200 pounds of bread every day. So, in this case the rate of
replenishing the inventory and the inventory turnover is quite high.
This may not be true for every business. For instance, think of a car manufacturer.
Obviously selling cars is not as easy as selling bread. If the manufacturer produces
50 cars, he may have to wait for sometime before he sells these cars. Assume, to
sell 50 cars (his inventory capacity) he will need 3 months. This means, every 3
months he turns over his inventory. Hence in a year he turns over his inventory 4
times.
Finally, if the product is really popular the inventory turnover would be high. This is
exactly what the ‘Inventory Turnover Ratio’ indicates.
The formula to calculate the ratio is:

Inventory Turnover = [Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory]
Cost of goods sold is the cost involved in making the finished good. We can find this
in the P&L Statement of the company. Let us implement this for ARBL.
To evaluate the cost of goods sold, I need to look into the expense of the company,
here is the extract of the same:
62
Cost of materials consumed is Rs.2101.19 Crs and purchases of stock-in-trade is
Rs.211.36 Crs. These line items are directly related to the cost of goods sold. Along
with this I would also like to inspect ‘Other Expenses’ to identify any costs that are
related to the cost of goods sold. Here is the extract of Note 24, which details ‘Other
Expenses’.
There are two expenses that are directly related to manufacturing i.e. Stores &
spares consumed which is at Rs.44.94 Crs and the Power & Fuel cost which is at
Rs.92.25Crs.
Hence the Cost of Goods Sold = Cost of materials consumed + Purchase of stock in
trade + Stores & spares consumed + Power & Fuel
= 2101.19 + 211.36 + 44.94 + 92.25
COGS= Rs.2449.74 Crs
This takes care of the numerator. For the denominator, we just take the average
inventory for the FY13 and FY14. From the balance sheet – Inventory for the FY13 is
Rs.292.85 Crs and for the FY14 is Rs.335.00 Crs. The average works out to Rs.313.92
Crs
The Inventory turnover ratio is:

= 2449.74 / 313.92
63
= 7.8 times
~ 8.0 times a year
This means Amara Raja Batteries Limited turns over its inventory 8 times in a year
or once in every 1.5 months. Needless to say, to get a true sense of how good or
bad this number is, one should compare it with its competitor’s numbers.
Inventory Number of days

While the Inventory turnover ratio gives a sense of how many times the
company ‘replenishes’ their inventory, the ‘Inventory number of Days’ gives a sense
of how much time the company takes to convert its inventory into cash. Lesser the
number of days, the better it is. A short inventory number of day’s number implies,
the company’s products are fast moving. The formula to calculate the inventory
number of days is:
Inventory Number of Days = 365 / Inventory Turnover
The inventory number of days is usually calculated on a yearly basis. Hence in the
formula above, 365 indicates the number of days in a year.
Calculating this for ARBL:

= 365 / 7.8
= 46.79 days
~ 47.0 days
This means ARBL roughly takes about 47 days to convert its inventory into cash.
Needless to say, the inventory number of days of a company should be compared
with its competitors, to get a sense of how the company’s products are moving.
Now here is something for you to think about – What would you think about the
following situation?
1. A certain company under consideration has a high inventory turnover ratio

2. Because of a high inventory turnover ratio, the inventory number of days is very low
On the face of it, the inventory management of this company looks good. A high
inventory turnover ratio signifies that the company is replenishing its inventory
quickly, which is excellent. Along with the high inventory turnover, a low inventory
number of days indicate that the company is quickly able to convert its goods into
cash. Again, this is a sign of great inventory management.
However, what if the company has a great product (hence they are able to sell
quickly) but a low production capacity? Even in this case the inventory turnover will
be high and inventory days will be low. But a low production capacity can be a bit
worrisome as it raises many questions about the company’s production:
1. Why is the company not able to increase their production?
64
2. Are they not able to increase production because they are short of funds?
3. If they are short of funds, why can’t they seek a bank loan?
4. Have they approached a bank and are not been able to raise a loan successfully?
5. If they are not able to raise a loan, why?
6. What if the management does not have a great track record, hence the banks
hesitation to give a loan?
7. If funds are not a problem, why can’t the company increase production?
8. Is sourcing raw materials difficult? Is the raw material required regulated by
government (like Coal, power, Oil etc).
9. Difficult access to raw material – does that mean the business is not scalable?
As you can see, if any of the points above is true, then a red flag is raised, hence
investing in the company may not be advisable. To fully understand the production
issues (if any), the fundamental analyst should read through the annual report
(especially the management discussion & analysis report) from the beginning to the
end.
This means whenever you see impressive inventory numbers, always ensure to
double check the production details as well.
Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio

Having understood the inventory turnover ratio, understanding the receivable
turnover ratio should be quite easy. The receivable turnover ratio indicates how
many times in a given period the company receives money/cash from its debtors
and customers. Naturally a high number indicates that the company collects cash
more frequently.
The formula to calculate the same is:

Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio = Revenue / Average Receivables
From the balance sheet we know,

Trade Receivable for the FY13 : Rs.380.67 Crs
Trade Receivable for the FY14 : Rs. 452.78 Crs
Average Receivable for the FY13 : Rs.416.72
Operating Revenue for the FY14 : Rs.3437 Crs
Hence the Receivable Turnover Ratio is:

= 3437 / 416.72
= 8.24 times a year
~ 8.0 times
This means ARBL receives cash from its customers roughly about 8.24 times a year
or once every month and a half.
65
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) )/ Average Collection Period/ Day Sales in
Receivables
The days sales outstanding ratio illustrates the average cash collection period i.e the
time lag between billing and collection. This calculation shows the efficiency of the
company’s collection department. Quicker/faster the cash is collected from the
creditors, faster the cash can be used for other activities. The formula to calculate
the same is:
Days Sales outstanding = 365 / Receivable Turnover Ratio
Solving this for ARBL,

= 365 / 8.24
= 44.29 days
This means ARBL takes about 45 days from the time it raises an invoice to the time it
can collect its money against the invoice.
Both Receivables Turnover and the DSO indicate the credit policy of the firm. A
efficiently run company, should strike the right balance between the credit policy
and the credit it extends to its customers.
1. Leverage ratios include Interest Coverage, Debt to Equity, Debt to Assets and the
Financial Leverage ratios
2. The Leverage ratios mainly study the company’s debt with respect to the company’s
ability to service the long term debt
3. Interest coverage ratio inspects the company’s earnings ability (at the EBIT level) as
a multiple of its finance costs
4. Debt to equity ratio measures the amount of equity capital with respect to the debt
capital. Debt to equity of 1 implies equal amount of debt and equity
5. Debt to Asset ratio helps us understand the asset financing structure of the
company (especially with respect to the debt)
6. The Financial Leverage ratio helps us understand the extent to which the assets are
financed by the owner’s equity
7. The Operating Ratios also referred to as the Activity ratios include – Fixed Assets
Turnover, Working Capital turnover, Total Assets turnover, Inventory turnover,
Inventory number of days, Receivable turnover and Day Sales Outstanding ratios
8. The Fixed asset turnover ratio measures the extent of the revenue generated in
comparison to its investment in fixed assets
66
9. Working capital turnover ratio indicates how much revenue the company generates
for every unit of working capital
10. Total assets turnover indicates the company’s ability to generate revenues with the
given amount of assets
11. Inventory turnover ratio indicates how many times the company replenishes its
inventory during the year
12. Inventory number of days represents the number of days the company takes to
convert its inventory to cash
1. A high inventory turnover and therefore a low inventory number of days is a great combination
2. However make sure this does not come at the cost of low production capacity
13. The Receivable turnover ratio indicates how many times in a given period the
company receives money from its debtors and customers
14. The Days sales outstanding (DSO) ratio indicates the Average cash collection period
i.e the time lag between the Billing and Collection
67
Chapter 11
11.1 – The Valuation Ratio

Valuation in general, is the estimate of the ‘worth’ of something. In the context of
investments, ‘something’ refers to the price of a stock. When making an investment
decision, irrespective of how attractive the business appears, what matters finally is
the valuation of the business. Valuations dictate the price you pay to acquire a
business. Sometimes, a mediocre business at a ridiculously cheap valuation may be
a great investment option as opposed to an exciting business with an extremely
high valuation.
The valuation ratios help us develop a sense on how the stock price is valued by the
market participants. These ratios help us understand the attractiveness of the stock
price from an investment perspective. The point of valuation ratios is to compare
the price of a stock viz a viz the benefits of owning it. Like all the other ratios we had
looked at, the valuation ratios of a company should be evaluated alongside the
company’s competitors.
Valuation ratios are usually computed as a ratio of the company’s share price to an
aspect of its financial performance. We will be looking at the following three
important valuation ratios:
1. Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio

2. Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio and
68
3. Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio
Continuing with the Amara Raja Batteries Limited (ARBL) example, let us implement
these ratios to see how ARBL fares. The stock price of ARBL is a vital input used to
calculate the valuation ratios. As I write this chapter on 28th of Oct 2014, ARBL is
trading at Rs.661 per share.
We also need the total number of shares outstanding in ARBL to calculate the above
ratios. If you recollect, we have calculated the same in chapter 6. The total number
of shares outstanding is 17,08,12,500 or 17.081Crs
Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio
In many cases, investors may use sales instead of earnings to value their
investments. The earnings figure may not be true as some companies might be
experiencing a cyclical low in their earning cycle. Additionally due to some
accounting rules, a profitable company may seem to have no earnings at all, due to
the huge write offs applicable to that industry. So, investors would prefer to use this
ratio. This ratio compares the stock price of the company with the company’s sales
per share. The formula to calculate the P/S ratio is:
Price to sales ratio = Current Share Price / Sales per Share
Let us calculate the same for ARBL. We will take up the denominator first:
Sales per share = Total Revenues / Total number of shares
We know from ARBL’s P&L statement the:
Total Revenue = Rs.3482 Crs
Number of Shares = 17.081 Crs
Sales per share = 3482 / 17.081
Therefore the Sales per share = Rs. 203.86
This means for every share outstanding, ARBL does Rs.203.86 worth of sales.
Price to Sales Ratio = 661 / 203.86
= 3.24x or 3.24 times
A P/S ratio of 3.24 times indicates that, for every Rs.1 of sales, the stock is valued
Rs.3.24 times higher. Obviously, higher the P/S ratio, higher is the valuation of the
firm. One has to compare the P/S ratio with its competitors in the industry to get a
fair sense of how expensive or cheap the stock is.
69
Here is something that you need to remember while calculating the P/S ratio.
Assume there are two companies (Company A and Company B) selling the same
product. Both the companies generate a revenue of Rs.1000/-each. However,
Company A retains Rs.250 as PAT and Company B retains Rs.150 as PAT. In this
case, Company A has a profit margin of 25% versus Company B’s which has a 15%
profit margin. Hence the sales of Company A is more valuable than the sales of
Company B. Hence if Company A is trading at a higher P/S, then the valuation
maybe justified, simply because every rupee of sales Company A generates, a higher
profit is retained.
Hence whenever you feel a particular company is trading at a higher valuation from
the P/S ratio perspective, do remember to check the profit margin for cues.
Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio
Before we understand the Price to Book Value ratio, we need to understand what
the term ‘Book Value’ means.
Consider a situation where the company has to close down its business and
liquidate all its assets. What is the minimum value the company receives upon
liquidation? The answer to this lies in the “Book Value” of the firm.
The “Book Value” of a firm is simply the amount of money left on table after the
company pays off its obligations. Consider the book value as the salvage value of
the company. Suppose the book value of a company is Rs.200Crs, then this is the
amount of money the company can expect to receive after it sells everything and
settles its debts. Usually the book value is expressed on a per share basis. For
example, if the book value per share is Rs.60, then Rs.60 per share is what the
shareholder can expect in case the company decides to liquidate. The ‘Book Value’
(BV) can be calculated as follows:
BV = [Share Capital + Reserves (excluding revaluation reserves) / Total Number

of shares]
Let us calculate the same for ARBL:
From ARBL’s balance sheet we know:
Share Capital = Rs.17.1 Crs
Reserves = Rs.1345.6 Crs
Revaluation Reserves = 0
Number of shares: 17.081
Hence the Book Value per share = [17.1+1345.6 – 0] / 17.081
70
= Rs.79.8 per share
This means if ARBL were to liquidate all its assets and pay off its debt, Rs.79.8 per
shares is what the shareholders can expect.
Moving ahead, if we divide the current market price of the stock by the book value
per share, we will get the price to the book value of the firm. The P/BV indicates how
many times the stock is trading over and above the book value of the firm. Clearly
the higher the ratio, the more expensive the stock is.
Let us calculate this for ARBL. We know:
Stock price of ARBL = Rs.661 per share
BV of ARBL = 79.8 per share
P/BV = 661/79.8
= 8.3x or 8.3 times
This means ARBL is trading over 8.3 times its book value.
A high ratio could indicate the firm is overvalued relative to the equity/ book value
of the company. A low ratio could indicate the company is undervalued relative to
the equity/ book value of the company.
Price to Earning (P/E) Ratio
The Price to Earnings ratio is perhaps the most popular financial ratio. Everybody
likes to check the P/E of a stock. Because of the popularity the P/E ratio enjoys, it is
often considered the ‘financial ratio superstar’.
The P/E of a stock is calculated by dividing the current stock price by the Earning
Per share (EPS). Before we proceed further to understand the PE ratio, let us
understand what “Earnings per Share” (EPS) stands for.
EPS measures the profitability of a company on a per share basis. For example
assume a certain company with 1000 shares outstanding generates a profit of
Rs.200000/-. Then the earnings on a per share basis would be:
=200000 / 1000
= Rs.200 per share.
Hence the EPS gives us a sense of the profits generated on a per share basis.
Clearly, higher the EPS, better it is for its shareholders.
If you divide the current market price with EPS we get the Price to Earnings ratio of a
firm. The P/E ratio measures the willingness of the market participants to pay for
71
the stock, for every rupee of profit that the company generates. For example if the
P/E of a certain firm is 15, then it simply means that for every unit of profit the
company earns, the market participants are willing to pay 15 times. Higher the P/E,
more expensive is the stock.
Let us calculate the P/E for ARBL. We know from its annual report –
PAT = Rs.367Crs
Total Number of Shares = 17.081 Crs
EPS = PAT / Total Number of shares
= 367 / 17.081
= Rs.21.49
Current Market Price of ARBL = 661
Hence P/E = 661 / 21.49
= 30.76 times
This means for every unit of profit generated by ARBL, the market participants are
willing to pay Rs.30.76 to acquire the share.
Now assume, ARBL’s price jumps to Rs.750 while the EPS remains at Rs.21.49, the
new P/E would be:
= 750/21.49
= 34.9 times
While the EPS stayed flat at Rs.21.49 per share, the stock’s P/E jumped. Why do you
think this happened?
Clearly, the P/E Ratio jumped because of the increase in the stock price. As we know
the stock price of a company increases when the expectations from the company
increases.
Remember, P/E Ratio is calculated with ‘earnings’ in its denominator. While looking
at the P/E ratio, do remember the following key points:
1. P/E indicates how expensive or cheap the stock is trading at. Never buy stocks that
are trading at high valuations. I personally do not like to buy stocks that are trading
beyond 25 or at the most 30 times its earnings, irrespective of the company and the
sector it belongs to
2. The denominator in P/E ratio is the ‘Earnings’, and the earnings can be manipulated
72
3. Make sure the company is not changing its accounting policy too often – this is one
of the ways the company tries to manipulate its earnings.
4. Pay attention to the way depreciation is treated. Provision for lesser depreciation
can boost earnings
5. If the company’s earnings are increasing but not its cash flows and sales, then
clearly something is not right
11.2 – The Index Valuation

Just like a stock, the stock market indices such as the BSE Sensex and the CNX Nifty
50 have their valuations which can be measured by the P/E ,P/B and Dividend Yield
ratios. The Index valuation is usually published by the stock exchanges on a daily
basis. The index valuations give us a sense of how cheap or expensive the market is
trading at. To calculate the CNX Nifty 50 P/E ratio, the National Stock Exchange
combines the market capitalization for all the 50 stocks and divides that amount by
the combined earnings for all the 50 stocks. Tracking the Index P/E ratio, gives a
sense of the current state of market as perceived by the market participants. Here is
the historical chart of Nifty 50 P/E ratio* –
* Source – Creytheon
From the P/E chart above, we can make a few important observations –
1. The peak Index valuation was 28x (early 2008), what followed this was a major crash
in the Indian markets
2. The corrections drove the valuation down to almost 11x (late 2008, early 2009). This
was the lowest valuation the Indian market had witnessed in the recent past
3. Usually the Indian Indices P/E ratio ranges between 16x to 20x, with an average of
18x
4. As of today (2014) we are trading around 22x, which is above the average P/E ratio
Based on these observations, the following conclusions can be made –
73
1. One has to be cautious while investing in stocks when the market’s P/E valuations is
above 22x
2. Historically the best time to invest in the markets is when the valuations are around
16x or below.
One can easily find out Index P/E valuation on a daily basis by visiting the National
Stock Exchange (NSE) website.
On NSE’s home page click on Products > Indices > Historical Data > P/E, P/B & Div
> Search
In the search field enter today’s date and you will get the latest P/E valuation of the
market. Do note, the NSE updates this information around 6:00 PM every day.
Here is a snapshot of the search result –
Clearly as of today (13th Nov 2014) the Indian market is trading close to the higher
end of the P/E range; history suggests that we need to be cautious while taking
investment decisions at this level.
1. Valuation in general, is the estimate of the ‘worth’ of something

2. Valuation ratios involves inputs from both the P&L statement and the Balance Sheet
3. The Price to Sales ratio compares the stock price of the company with the
company’s sales per share
o Sales per share is simply the Sales divided by the Number of shares
74
4. Sales of a company with a higher profit margin is more valuable in comparison to
the sales of a company with lower profit margins
5. If a company is going bankrupt, the ‘Book Value’ of a firm is simply the amount of
money left on table after the company pays off its obligations
6. Book value is usually expressed on a per share basis
7. The Price/BV indicates how many times the stock price is trading over and above the
book value of the firm
8. EPS measures the profitability of a company on a per share basis
9. The P/E ratio indicates the willingness of market participants to pay for a stock,
keeping the company’s earnings in perspective
10. One has to be cautious about the earning manipulation while evaluating the P/E
ratio
11. The Indices have a valuation which can be measured by the P/E, P/B or Dividend
Yield ratio
12. It is advisable to exercise caution when the Index is trading at a valuation of 22x or
above
13. A valuation gets attractive when the index is trading at 16x or below
14. The index valuations are published by NSE on their website on a daily basis
75
76

FinSoc Zerodha 3 - Fundamental Analysis

Uploaded by

Document Informationclick to expand document information

Copyright:

Available Formats

FinSoc Zerodha 3 - Fundamental Analysis

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

FinSoc Zerodha 3 - Fundamental Analysis

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Module 3

Introduction to Fundamental Analysis

1.2 – Can I be a fundamental analyst?

1. Understanding the basic financial statements

Key takeaways from this chapter

1. Fundamental Analysis is used to make long term investments

2.1 – Speculator Vs Trader Vs Investor

o He feels the interest rate are at an unsustainably high level

2.2 – The compounding effect

An investment in a good company defined by investable grade attributes will

2.4 – Investible grade attributes? What does that mean?

1. Management’s background – Who are they, their background, experience,

1. Profitability and its growth

For a retail Industry: For an Oil and Gas Industry:

Total number of stores Oil to Natural Gas revenue ratio

Key takeaways from this chapter:

1. The mindset of a trader and an investor is different

How to Read the Annual Report of a

3.1 – What is an Annual Report?

3.2 – What to look for in an Annual Report?

ARBL’s annual report contains the following 9 sections:

The first section in ARBL’s AR is the Financial Highlights. Financial Highlights

Here is the snapshot of the same:

In the ‘Management Statement’ (sometimes called the Chairman’s Message), the

Here is a snapshot of the same:

3.3 – The Financial Statements

1. The Profit and Loss statement

1. Standalone financial statement or simply standalone numbers and

Thanks to its subsidiary, CRISIL’s loss is reduced to Rs.300 Crs as opposed to a

I personally prefer to look through the consolidated financial statements as it gives

3.4 – Schedules of Financial Statements

Key takeaways from this chapter

1. The Annual Report (AR) of a company is an official communication from the

The Financial Ratio Analysis (Part 1)

1.1 – A note on Financial Ratios

1.3 – The Profitability Ratios

1. EBITDA Margin (Operating Profit Margin)

The Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation & Amortization (EBITDA)

EBITDA = [Operating Revenues – Operating Expense]

Operating Revenues = [Total Revenue – Other Income]

Operating Expense = [Total Expense – Finance Cost – Depreciation & Amortization]

EBIDTA Margin = EBITDA / [Total Revenue – Other Income]

We first calculate EBITDA , which is computed as follows:

[3482 – 46] – [2942 – 0.7 – 65]

Hence the EBITDA Margin is:

I have two questions for you at this stage:

Year Operating Revenues Operating Expense EBITDA EBITDA Margin

2011 1761 1504 257 14.6%

2012 2364 2025 340 14.4%

2013 2959 2508 451 15.2%

2014 3437 2876 560 16.3%

Please note, we have discussed the formula for CAGR in module 1.

PAT Margin = [PAT/Total Revenues]

Here is the PAT and PAT margin trend for ARBL:

Year PAT (in INR Crs) PAT Margin

2011 148 8.4%

2012 215 8.9%

2013 287 9.6%