Reading 6 Hypothesis Testing
Reading 6 Hypothesis Testing
An analyst is testing the hypothesis that the mean excess return from a trading strategy is
less than or equal to zero. The analyst reports that this hypothesis test produces a p-value of
0.034. This result most likely suggests that the:
A) best estimate of the mean excess return produced by the strategy is 3.4%.
B) null hypothesis can be rejected at the 5% significance level.
C) smallest significance level at which the null hypothesis can be rejected is 6.8%.
A Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true, and a Type II error is
A)
rejecting the alternative hypothesis when it is true.
A hypothesis that the population mean is less than or equal to 5 should be rejected
B)
when the critical Z-statistic is greater than the sample Z-statistic.
A hypothesized mean of 3, a sample mean of 6, and a standard error of the
C)
sampling means of 2 give a sample Z-statistic of 1.5.
A) Less than for the null and greater than for the alternative.
B) Equal to for the null and not equal to for the alternative.
C) Greater than for the null and less than or equal to for the alternative.
An analyst wants to determine whether the mean returns on two stocks over the last year
were the same or not. What test should she use, assuming returns are normally distributed?
A) Chi-square test.
B) Difference in means test.
C) Paired comparisons test.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is
equal to or greater than $57,000 per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test
statistic given a sample of 115 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting
salary of $65,000 and a standard deviation of $4,500?
A) 19.06.
B) 1.78.
C) -19.06.
Joe Sutton is evaluating the effects of the 1987 market decline on the volume of trading.
Specifically, he wants to test whether the decline affected trading volume. He selected a
sample of 500 companies and collected data on the total annual volume for one year prior
to the decline and for one year following the decline. What is the set of hypotheses that
Sutton is testing?
Kyra Mosby, M.D., has a patient who is complaining of severe abdominal pain. Based on an
examination and the results from laboratory tests, Mosby states the following diagnosis
hypothesis: Ho: Appendicitis, HA: Not Appendicitis. Dr. Mosby removes the patient's
appendix and the patient still complains of pain. Subsequent tests show that the gall bladder
was causing the problem. By taking out the patient's appendix, Dr. Mosby:
A) 1.63.
B) –1.63.
C) 21.62.
The use of the F-distributed test statistic, F = s12 / s22, to compare the variances of two
populations least likely requires which of the following?
Which one of the following best characterizes the alternative hypothesis? The alternative
hypothesis is usually the:
George Appleton believes that the average return on equity in the amusement industry, µ, is
greater than 10%. What is the null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
For a test of the equality of the means of two normally distributed independent populations,
the appropriate test statistic follows a:
A) chi-square distribution.
B) F-distribution.
C) t-distribution.
Which of the following statements about testing a hypothesis using a Z-test is least accurate?
The confidence interval for a two-tailed test of a population mean at the 5% level of
A) significance is that the sample mean falls between ±1.96 σ/√n of the null hypothesis
value.
If the calculated Z-statistic lies outside the critical Z-statistic range, the null
B)
hypothesis can be rejected.
C) The calculated Z-statistic determines the appropriate significance level to use.
For a test of the equality of the mean returns of two non-independent populations based on
a sample, the numerator of the appropriate test statistic is the:
Student's t-Distribution
In order to test whether the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a
sample of 30 employees is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 =
3.4. If you choose a 5% significance level you should:
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than
A)
100.
fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater
B)
than 100.
fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is less than
C)
or equal to 100.
Question #22 of 86 Question ID: 1456604
Which of the following statements least accurately describes the procedure for testing a
hypothesis?
Brandon Ratliff is investigating whether the mean of abnormal returns earned by portfolio
managers with an MBA degree significantly differs from mean abnormal returns earned by
managers without an MBA. Ratliff's null hypothesis is that the means are equal. If Ratliff's
critical t-value is 1.98 and his computed t-statistic is 2.05, he should:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are equal.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are not equal.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are equal.
Student's t-Distribution
Ken Wallace is interested in testing whether the average price to earnings (P/E) of firms in
the retail industry is 25. Using a t-distributed test statistic and a 5% level of significance, the
critical values for a sample of 41 firms is (are):
A) -1.685 and 1.685.
B) -1.96 and 1.96.
C) -2.021 and 2.021.
A Type II error:
df 0.050 0.025
df 0.10 0.05
18 1.734 2.101
19 1.729 2.093
Mak cannot charge a higher rate next season for advertising spots based on this
A)
sample.
The null hypothesis Mak needs to test is that the mean share of viewers is greater
B)
than 8.5%.
With an unknown population variance and a small sample size, Mak cannot test a
C)
hypothesis based on her sample data.
In order to test whether the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a
sample of 30 employees is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 =
3.4. The null and alternative hypotheses are:
Ron Jacobi, manager with the Toulee Department of Natural Resources, is responsible for
setting catch-and-release limits for Lake Norby, a large and popular fishing lake. He takes a
sample to determine whether the mean length of Northern Pike in the lake exceeds 18
inches. If the sample t-statistic indicates that the mean length of the fish is significantly
greater than 18 inches, when the population mean is actually 17.8 inches, the t-test resulted
in:
A) -10.56.
B) 0.91.
C) 10.56.
The variance of 100 daily stock returns for Stock A is 0.0078. The variance of 90 daily stock
returns for Stock B is 0.0083. Using a 5% level of significance, the critical value for this test is
1.61. The most appropriate conclusion regarding whether the variance of Stock A is different
from the variance of Stock B is that the:
A) 8.00.
B) 4.00.
C) 4.12.
Question #32 of 86 Question ID: 1456628
10 12 15 20 24 30
Abby Ness is an analyst for a firm that specializes in evaluating firms involved in mineral
extraction. Ness believes that the earnings of copper extracting firms are more volatile than
those of bauxite extraction firms. In order to test this, Ness examines the volatility of returns
for 31 copper firms and 25 bauxite firms. The standard deviation of earnings for copper
firms was $2.69, while the standard deviation of earnings for bauxite firms was $2.92. Ness's
Null Hypothesis is σ12 = σ22. Based on the samples, can we reject the null hypothesis at a
90% confidence level using an F-statistic? Null is:
greater than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a less than or
A)
equal to statement.
less than or equal to statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a
B)
greater than statement.
less than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a greater than or
C)
equal to statement.
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type I error
is the probability of:
If a two-tailed hypothesis test has a 5% probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the
null is true, it is most likely that the:
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type II error
is the probability of:
Brian Ci believes that the average return on equity in the airline industry, µ, is less than 5%.
What are the appropriate null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypotheses to test this belief?
Susan Bellows is comparing the return on equity for two industries. She is convinced that
the return on equity for the discount retail industry (DR) is greater than that of the luxury
retail (LR) industry. What are the hypotheses for a test of her comparison of return on
equity?
John Jenkins, CFA, is performing a study on the behavior of the mean P/E ratio for a sample
of small-cap companies. Which of the following statements is most accurate?
A Type I error represents the failure to reject the null hypothesis when it is, in fact,
A)
false.
One minus the confidence level of the test represents the probability of making a
B)
Type II error.
C) The significance level of the test represents the probability of making a Type I error.
A) fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is equal to zero.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not significantly
B)
different from zero.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is significantly
C)
different from zero.
In order to test if the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample
of 30 employees is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 = 1.2. If
you choose a 5% significance level you should:
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than
A)
100.
fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not
B)
greater than 100.
fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater
C)
than 100.
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than
15%. If Woodall wants to examine the data statistically, what are the appropriate null (H0)
and alternative (Ha) hypotheses for her study?
In order to test if Stock A is more volatile than Stock B, prices of both stocks are observed to
construct the sample variance of the two stocks. The appropriate test statistics to carry out
the test is the:
A) Chi-square test.
B) t test.
C) F test.
Maria Huffman is the Vice President of Human Resources for a large regional car rental
company. Last year, she hired Graham Brickley as Manager of Employee Retention. Part of
the compensation package was the chance to earn one of the following two bonuses: if
Brickley can reduce turnover to less than 30%, he will receive a 25% bonus. If he can reduce
turnover to less than 25%, he will receive a 50% bonus (using a significance level of 10%).
The population of turnover rates is normally distributed. The population standard deviation
of turnover rates is 1.5%. A recent sample of 100 branch offices resulted in an average
turnover rate of 24.2%. Which of the following statements is most accurate?
x̄−μ
0
tn−1 =
s/√n
Jo Su believes that there should be a negative relation between returns and systematic risk.
She intends to collect data on returns and systematic risk to test this theory. What is the
appropriate alternative hypothesis?
A) Ha: ρ < 0.
B) Ha: ρ > 0.
C) Ha: ρ ≠ 0.
A Type I error:
Of the following explanations, which is least likely to be a valid explanation for divergence
between statistical significance and economic significance?
James Ambercrombie believes that the average return on equity in the utility industry, µ, is
greater than 10%. What is null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
Robert Patterson, an options trader, believes that the return on options trading is higher on
Mondays than on other days. In order to test his theory, he formulates a null hypothesis.
Which of the following would be an appropriate null hypothesis? Returns on Mondays are:
To test a hypothesis that the population correlation coefficient of two variables is equal to
zero, an analyst collects a sample of 24 observations and calculates a sample correlation
coefficient of 0.37. Can the analyst test this hypothesis using only these two inputs?
A) Yes.
B) No, because the sample means of the two variables are also required.
C) No, because the sample standard deviations of the two variables are also required.
A researcher wants to test whether the weekly returns on two stocks are correlated. The test
statistic for the appropriate test follows a:
A) chi-square distribution.
B) t-distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom.
C) t-distribution with n − 2 degrees of freedom.
A) can reject the null hypothesis at both the 5% and 1% significance levels.
can reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level but cannot reject at the 1%
B)
significance level.
C) cannot reject the null hypothesis at either the 5% or 1% significance levels.
If the null hypothesis is innocence, then the statement "It is better that the guilty go free,
than the innocent are punished" is an example of preferring a:
A) 0.82.
B) 0.18.
C) 0.95.
In order to test if the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample
of 30 employees is taken. The sample value of the computed z-statistic = 3.4. The
appropriate decision at a 5% significance level is to:
reject the null hypotheses and conclude that the population mean is greater than
A)
100.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not equal to
B)
100.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is equal to 100.
A researcher has random samples from two populations that are approximately normally
distributed. He uses the ratio of the larger sample variance to the smaller sample variance to
test the hypothesis that the true variances of the two populations are equal. The test
statistic he has calculated will have what type of distribution?
A) The F-distribution.
B) The chi-squared distribution.
C) The t-distribution.
State the hypothesis, select the level of significance, formulate the decision rule,
A)
compute the test statistic, and make a decision.
State the hypothesis, formulate the decision rule, select the level of significance,
B)
compute the test statistic, and make a decision.
State the hypothesis, select the level of significance, compute the test statistic,
C)
formulate the decision rule, and make a decision.
An analyst decides to select 10 stocks for her portfolio by placing the ticker symbols for all
the stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange in a large bowl. She randomly selects 20
stocks and will put every other one chosen into her 10-stock portfolio. The analyst used:
A test of whether a mutual fund's performance rank in one period provides information
about the fund's performance rank in a subsequent period is best described as a:
A) mean-rank test.
B) nonparametric test.
C) parametric test.
fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is not significantly
A)
different from zero.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not significantly
B)
different from zero.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is significantly
C)
different from zero.
A) F-statistic.
B) chi-square statistic.
C) t-statistic.
A test of whether the population variance is equal to a hypothesized value requires the use
of a test statistic that is:
A) t-distributed.
B) chi-squared distributed.
C) F-distributed.
Brandee Shoffield is the public relations manager for Night Train Express, a local sports
team. Shoffield is trying to sell advertising spots and wants to know if she can say with 90%
confidence that average home game attendance is greater than 3,000. Attendance is
approximately normally distributed. A sample of the attendance at 15 home games results
in a mean of 3,150 and a standard deviation of 450. Which of the following statements is
most accurate?
A) F-statistic.
B) t-statistic.
C) chi-square statistic.
Student's t-Distribution
Roy Fisher, CFA, wants to determine whether there is a significant difference, at the 5%
significance level, between the mean monthly return on Stock GHI and the mean monthly
return on Stock JKL. Fisher assumes the variances of the two stocks' returns are equal. Using
the last 12 months of returns on each stock, Fisher calculates a t-statistic of 2.0 for a test of
equality of means. Based on this result, Fisher's test:
A) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are equal.
B) fails to reject the null hypothesis.
C) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are not equal.
Question #73 of 86 Question ID: 1456633
Which of the following statements about parametric and nonparametric tests is least
accurate?
The test of the mean of the differences is used when performing a paired
A)
comparison.
B) Nonparametric tests rely on population parameters.
The test of the difference in means is used when you are comparing means from
C)
two independent samples.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is
equal to or greater than $62,500 per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 125
newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of $65,000 and a standard
deviation of $2,600?
A) 0.96.
B) -10.75.
C) 10.75.
The analyst should reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings
A)
estimates are significantly different from reported earnings.
To test the null hypothesis, the analyst must determine the exact sample size and
B)
calculate the degrees of freedom for the test.
The analyst should fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings
C)
estimates are not significantly different from reported earnings.
A hypothesis test has a p-value of 1.96%. An analyst should reject the null hypothesis at a
significance level of:
In the process of hypothesis testing, what is the proper order for these steps?
Collect the sample and calculate the sample statistics. State the hypotheses. Specify
A)
the level of significance. Make a decision.
Specify the level of significance. State the hypotheses. Make a decision. Collect the
B)
sample and calculate the sample statistics.
State the hypotheses. Specify the level of significance. Collect the sample and
C)
calculate the test statistics. Make a decision.
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than
15%. What are the null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypotheses for her study?
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is
equal to or greater than $54,000 per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test
statistic given a sample of 75 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary
of $57,000 and a standard deviation of $1,300?
A) -19.99.
B) 2.31.
C) 19.99.
For a two-tailed test of hypothesis involving a z-distributed test statistic and a 5% level of
significance, a calculated z-statistic of 1.5 indicates that:
The test of the equality of the variances of two normally distributed populations requires the
use of a test statistic that is:
A) z-distributed.
B) Chi-squared distributed.
C) F-distributed.
Joe Bay, CFA, wants to test the hypothesis that the variance of returns on energy stocks is
equal to the variance of returns on transportation stocks. Bay assumes the samples are
independent and the returns are normally distributed. The appropriate test statistic for this
hypothesis is:
A) a t-statistic.
B) a Chi-square statistic.
C) an F-statistic.
A test of the hypothesis that two categorical variables are independent is most likely to
employ:
A) contingency tables.
B) population parameters.
C) t-statistics.
Based on a sample correlation coefficient of −0.525 from a sample size of 19, an analyst
−0.525√19−2
calculates a t-statistic of = −2.5433. The analyst can reject the
2
√1−(−0.525)
Critical values from Student's t-distribution for a two-tailed test at a 5% significance level:
df
28 2.048
29 2.045
30 2.042
A researcher wants to test a hypothesis that two variables have a population correlation
coefficient equal to zero. For a sample size of 30, the appropriate critical value for this test is
plus-or-minus:
A) 2.042.
B) 2.048.
C) 2.045.