Startup-Lecture 1
Startup-Lecture 1
So the four areas are: You need a great idea, a great prod-
uct, a great team, and great execution. These overlap
somewhat, but I'm going to have to talk about them some-
what individually to make it make sense.
You may still fail. The outcome is something like idea x
product x execution x team x luck, where luck is a random
number between zero and ten thousand. Literally that much.
But if you do really well in the four areas you can control,
you have a good chance at at least some amount of suc-
cess.One of the exciting things about startups is that they
are a surprisingly even playing field. Young and inexperi-
enced, you can do this. Old and experienced, you can do
this, too. And one of the things that I particularly like about
startups is that some of the things that are bad in other work
situations, like being poor and unknown, are actually huge
assets when it comes to starting a startup.
The specific passion should come first, and the startup sec-
ond. In fact, all of the classes we have at YC follow this.
This also another reason why it's not really dangerous to tell
people your idea. The truly good ideas don't sound like
they're worth stealing. You want an idea where you can say,
"I know it sounds like a bad idea, but here's specifically why
it's actually a great one." You want to sound crazy, but you
want to actually be right. And you want an idea that not
many other people are working on. And it's okay if it doesn't
sound big at first
You also really want to take the time to think about how the
market is going to evolve. You need a market that's going to
be big in 10 years. Most investors are obsessed with the
market size today, and they don't think at all about how the
market is going to evolve. In fact, I think this is one of the
biggest systemic mistakes that investors make. They think
about the growth of the start-up itself, they don't think about
the growth of the market.
I care much more about the growth rate of the market than
its current size, and I also care if there's any reason it's go-
ing to top out. You should think about this. I prefer to invest
in a company that's going after a small, but rapidly growing
market, than a big, but slow-growing market.
There are a lot of different ways to talk about the right kind
of market. For example, surfing some one else's wave, step-
ping into an up elevator, or being part of a movement, but all
of this is just a way of saying that you want a market that's
going to grow really quickly. It may seem small today, it may
be small today, but you know - and other people don't - that
it's going to grow really fast.
So think about where this is happening in the world. You
need this sort of tailwind to make a startup successful.
One way that you know when this is working, is that you'll
get growth by word of mouth. If you get something people
love, people will tell their friends about it. This works for con-
sumer product and enterprise products as well. When peo-
ple really love something, they'll tell their friends about it,
and you'll see organic growth.
If you find yourself talking about how it's okay that you're not
growing—because there's a big partnership that's going to
come save you or something like that—its almost always a
sign of real trouble.
The word fanatical comes up again and again when you lis-
ten to successful founders talk about how they think about
their product. Founders talk about being fanatical in how
they care about the quality of the small details. Fanatical in
getting the copy that they use to explain the product just
right. and fanatical in the way that they think about customer
support. In fact, one thing that correlates with success
among the YC companies is the founders that hook
up Pagerduty to their ticketing system, so that even if the
user emails in the middle of the night when the founder's
asleep, they still get a response within an hour.
You need some users to help with the feedback cycle, but
the way you should get those users is manually—you
should go recruit them by hand. Don't do things like buy
Google ads in the early days, to get initial users. You don't
need very many, you just need ones that will give you feed-
back everyday, and eventually love your product. So instead
of trying to get them on Google Adwords, just the few peo-
ple, in the world, that would be good users. Recruit them by
hand.
The good news is that all this is doable. Its hard, it takes a
lot of effort, but there's no magic. The plan is at least is
straightforward, and you will eventually get to a great prod-
uct.
So I'm going to pause here, we'll pick back up with the rest
of this on Thursday, and now Dustin is going to talk
about why you should start a startup. Thank you for coming,
Dustin.
Why To Start A Startup
But yeah, Sam asked me to talk about why you should start
a startup. There's a bunch of common reasons that people
have, that I hear all the time for why you might start a
startup. Its important to know what reason is yours, because
some of them only make sense in certain contexts, some of
them will actually, like, lead you astray. You may have been
mislead by the way that Hollywood or the press likes to ro-
manticize entrepreneurship, so I want to try to illuminate
some of those potential fallacies, so you guys can make the
decision in a clear way. And then I'll talk about the reason I
like best for actually starting a startup, its very related to a
lot of what Sam just talked about. But surprisingly, I don't
think its the most common reason. Usually people have one
of these other reasons, or, you know, they just want to start
a company for the sake of starting a company.
, which a lot of you guys read a year ago, I felt like the story
in the press was a little more unbalanced, entrepreneurship
got romanticized quite a bit. The movie The Social Net-
work came out, it had a lot of like bad aspects of what it like
to be an entrepreneur, but mainly it painted this picture of
like, there's a lot of partying and you just kind of move from
like one brilliant insight to another brilliant insight, and really
made it seem like this really cool thing to do.
I should say, I've had a lot of this stress in my own life, es-
pecially in the early years of Facebook, I got really un-
healthy, I wasn't exercising, I had a lot of anxiety actually
threw out my back, like almost every six months, when I was
twenty-one or twenty-two, which is pretty crazy. So if you do
start a company, be aware that you're going to deal with
this. You're going to have to actually manage this, it's one of
your core responsibilities. Ben Horowitz likes to say the
number one role of a CEO is managing your own psychol-
ogy, it's absolutely true, make sure you do it.
What it’s really like: everyone else is your boss – all of your
employees, customers, partners, users, media are your
boss. I’ve never had more bosses and needed to account
for more people today.
The life of most CEOs is reporting to everyone else, at least
that’s what it feels like to me and most CEOs I know. If you
want to exercise power and authority over people, join the
military or go into politics. Don’t be an entrepreneur.
-Phil Libin, CEO Evernote
This really resonates with me. One thing to point out is that
the reality of these decision is nuanced. The people you
thought were idiots probably weren't idiots, they just had a
really difficult decision in front of them and people pulling
them in multiple directions. So the most common thing I
have to spend my time on and my energy on as a CEO is
dealing with the problems that other people are bringing to
me, the other priorities that people create, and it's usually in
the form of a conflict. People want to go in different direc-
tions or customers want different things. And I might have
my own opinions on that, but the game I'm playing is who do
I disappoint the least and just trying to navigate all these dif-
ficult situations.
Some companies like to tell the story about you can have
your cake and eat it too, you can have like 4 days work
weeks maybe, if you're Tim Ferris maybe you can have a 12
hours work week. It's a really attractive idea and it does
work in a particular instance which is if you wanna actually
have a small business to go after in each market then you
are a small business entrepreneur, that makes little sense
but as soon as you get past like 2 or 3 people you really
need to step it up and be full-time committed.
This is the big one, the one I hear the most especially like
candidates applying to Asana, they tell me "You know I'd re-
ally like to work for much smaller companies or start my own
because then I have a much bigger slice of the pie or have
much more impact on how that company does and I'll have
more equity so I'll make more money as well". So let's ex-
amine when this might be true.
I'll explain these tables. They're a little complex but let's fo-
cus on the left first. These are just explaining Dropbox and
Facebook, these are their current valuations and this is how
much money you might make as employee number 100
coming into these companies especially if you're like an ex-
perienced, relatively experienced engineer, you have like 5
years of industry experience, you're pretty likely to have an
offer that's around 10 base points. If you joined Dropbox
couple years ago the upside you've already locked in is
about $10M and there's plenty more growth from there. If
you joined Facebook a couple years into its existence
you've already made around $200M, this is a huge number
and even if you joined Facebook as employee number
1000, so you joined like 2009, you still make $20M, that's a
giant number and that's how you should be benchmarking
when you're thinking about what you might make as an en-
trepreneur.
Moving over to the table on the right, these are two theoreti-
cal companies you might start. "Uber for Pet Sitting", pretty
good idea if you're really well suited to this you might have a
really good shot at building a $100M company and your
share of that company is likely to be around 10%; that cer-
tainly fluctuates a lot, some founders have more than this,
some founders have a lot less, but after multiple rounds of
dilution, multiple rounds of option pool creation you're pretty
likely to end up about here. If you have more than this I'd
recommend Sam's post on equity split between founders
and employees, you should be probably giving out more.
So basically if you're extremely confident in building a
$100M, which is a big ask, it should go without saying that
you should have a lot more confidence on Facebook in 2009
or Dropbox in 2014 than you might for a startup that doesn't
even exist yet, then this is worth doing. If you have a $100M
idea and you're pretty confident you can execute it I'd con-
sider that.