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A systematic review and meta-analysis on the effectiveness of CBT informed
anger management

Kevin sammut henwood, shihning Chou, Kevin D. Browne

PII: S1359-1789(15)00126-3
DOI: doi: 10.1016/j.avb.2015.09.011
Reference: AVB 960

To appear in: Aggression and Violent Behavior

Received date: 20 April 2015


Revised date: 10 August 2015
Accepted date: 23 September 2015

Please cite this article as: henwood, K., Chou & Browne, K.D., A systematic review and
meta-analysis on the effectiveness of CBT informed anger management, Aggression and
Violent Behavior (2015), doi: 10.1016/j.avb.2015.09.011

This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication.
As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript.
The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof
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apply to the journal pertain.
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Running head: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CBT

INFORMED ANGER MANAGEMENT

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A systematic review and meta-analysis on the effectiveness of CBT informed anger

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management

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Authors:
Kevin Sammut Henwood, MSc, Trainee Forensic Psychologist
Shihning Chou, PhD, Assistant Professor of Forensic Psychology

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Kevin D. Browne, Professor of Forensic Psychology & Child Health

Affiliation:
Centre for Forensic and Family Psychology, Division of Psychiatry and Applied Psychology,
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School of Medicine, University of Nottingham

Address:
Floor B, Yang Fujia Building, University of Nottingham, Wollaton Road, Nottingham, NG8
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1BB
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Corresponding author:

Shihning Chou
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Centre for Forensic and Family Psychology, Division of Psychiatry and Applied Psychology,
School of Medicine, University of Nottingham
Floor B, Yang Fujia Building, Wollaton Road, Nottingham, NG8 1BB
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Tel: +44 115 8466623; Email: [email protected]

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

We thank Kathleen Green, Assistant Professor of Forensic Psychology, for her advice on the
meta-analysis.
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A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CBT INFORMED ANGER

MANAGEMENT

Highlights

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CBT based anger management achieved a risk reduction of 23% for general recidivism.

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CBT based anger management achieved a risk reduction of 28% for violent recidivism.

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Treatment completion may result in a 42% risk reduction in general recidivism.

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Treatment completion may result in a 56% risk reduction in violent recidivism.
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Anger management may be effective in reducing risk, especially violent recidivism.
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A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CBT INFORMED ANGER

MANAGEMENT

Abstract

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This meta-analysis sought to investigate the effectiveness of CBT based anger management

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interventions on reducing recidivism among adult male offenders. Studies were selected after

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a bibliographic database search, a hand-search of references from similar studies and an

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electronic search on apposite Correctional websites. The outcome measures of interest were

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general and violent recidivism rates. These were considered to be evidence of long term

behavioral change. Studies that included appropriate data were analysed using risk ratio
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analysis. The analysis of the effect of exposure to CBT based treatment on general recidivism

showed an overall effect of 0.77, indicating a risk reduction of 23%, whereas the overall
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effect on violent recidivism was 0.72, indicating a risk reduction of 28%. The meta-analysis
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also explored the effects of treatment completion in comparison to attrition groups. The

effects of treatment completion on general recidivism through risk ratios was 0.58, indicating
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a 42% risk reduction. For violent recidivism, the risk ratio was 0.44, indicating a 56% risk

reduction. Subgroup analysis based on the treatment modality and the analysis of the risk of
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bias carried out on the selected studies was conducted to explore the significant heterogeniety

noted in the results. Overall, anger management appeared to be effective in reducing the risk

of recidivism, especially violent recidivism. Moderate-intensity anger management were

associated with larger effect than the high-intensity correctional programmes for violence

reduction.

Keywords: Anger management, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, systematic review, meta-

analysis, violence, violent recidivism


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A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CBT INFORMED ANGER

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Background

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The aim of this study was to explore whether CBT based anger management reduces

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recidivism amongst offender populations. The link between anger and offending behavior is

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not clearly understood. Anger does not always manifest itself in aggression, as it could help

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invigorate the person to take action against the object, person, or event causing the

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frustration. Also, not all aggressive acts necessitate anger. This instrumental form of

aggression might be present in a number of violent offenders, explaining why some violent
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offenders were found to have no pathological or problematic levels of anger when assessed

(Howells, 2004). Dysfunctional anger typically is more frequent, more intense, of longer
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duration and comprised of more adverse action schemas (Novaco, 2011). A recent study in a
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forensic setting (Gilbert, Daffern, Talevski, & Ogloff, 2013) noted that individuals with high

trait anger were prone to activate aggressive behavioral scripts. Furthermore, they suggest
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that intensity, frequency and the duration of the anger problem were more salient than

normative beliefs about violence and aggressive script rehearsal in determining future
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violence. Thus, anger and associated feelings like rage can be considered as precipitators to

violent offending (Novaco, 2011) activating aggression related knowledge structures which

justify aggression, reduce inhibitions to violence, and disabling cognitive reappraisal while

also activating aggressive scripts. This might imply that anger dysfunction can be involved

in recidivism.

Group-based cognitive behavioral programs seem to be the most widely used intervention for

dysfunctional anger. Typically, such programs are brief and aim to increase the client’s

ability to control anger and limit arousal (Gilbert & Daffern, 2010). This is achieved by

replacing the dysfunctional cognitions, inferences, and evaluations with anger inhibiting ones
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A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CBT INFORMED ANGER

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such as seeking alternative reality-based explanations for the antecedent events (Howells,

1998; Trower, Casey, & Dryden, 2008); addressing aggression related knowledge structures

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such as schemas and behavioral scripts (Gilbert & Daffern, 2010); imparting arousal

reduction techniques are aimed at reducing the client’s physiological state of readiness such

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as breathing and visualization (Novaco, 2011); and teaching behaviors that are functionally

equivalent to their dysfunctional behavior (Deffenbacher, 2011).

Previous systematic reviews NU


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A scoping search was carried out on five databases (CENTRAL, Campbell, Medline,
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PsychInfo and SCOPUS) and the Ministry of Justice website in February 2014. Six
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systematic reviews were published between 1995 and 2009, seeking to determine the

effectiveness of psychological therapies and cognitive behavioral interventions specifically


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on problematic anger; Tafrate (1995); Edmonson and Conger (1996); Beck and Fernandez,
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(1998); Di Guiseppe and Tafrate (2003); Del Vecchio and O’Leary (2004) and Saini (2009).
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They all reported mean treatment effects of between .70 and .76 on measures of anger.

However, most of these reviews did not include offender populations, as some focused

exclusively on college students or clinical samples.

A further four systematic reviews focused specifically on offenders. Dowden and Andrews

(2000) explored anger management and offending behavior and found significant positive

treatment effect for programs focusing on anger management and relapse prevention had

sizes in the offenders. Other programs such as those dealing only with antisocial attitudes

also showed positive effect but the results were not significant. This systematic review did

not examine risk of bias of the 35 included studies.


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Lipsey et al. (2007) systematic review analyzed the effects of CBT on offenders with anger

management being one type of the interventions explored and found positive treatment

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effects. Moderator variables were also explored. For example, higher risk offenders fared

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significantly better and good quality program implementation was associated with greater

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treatment effect. This study, however, provided little information on the risk of bias of the

included studies except to state that only 19 out of 58 studies included were randomized

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control trials (RCTs).
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A review from the UK Ministry of Justice Research Series focused on the effectiveness of

interventions in general for violent offenders and included studies that did not administer
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psychological interventions such as electronic monitoring. Jolliffe and Farrington (2007)


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concluded that despite violent offenders being more difficult to engage in therapy and having

extensive offending histories, the overall results showed an 8-11% post-treatment reduction
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of general re-offending and a 7-8% reduction of violent re-offending. Jolliffe and

Farrington’s (2007) review also found evidence that the length of treatment was negatively
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correlated with re-offending rates. It should be noted that the effects were significantly

smaller in good quality studies. This finding could not be explored further due to

heterogeneity of their included studies. In fact, only one out of the 11 included studies was a

random control trial.

Ross, Quayle, Newman, and Tansey’s (2013) narrative review aimed at determining the

effectiveness of psychological therapies on violent behavior. The participants included for

analysis consisted of offenders but also included offenders with mental health issues. This

narrative review included 10 studies, consisting of randomized controlled studies, controlled

before and after studies and case series studies. Ross et al. (2013) concluded that most of the
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studies showed a reduction of aggressive behavior amongst those who had received

psychological therapies. However, high levels of heterogeneity between their included studies

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may have confounded the overall conclusions of this narrative review. Jolliffe and Farrington

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(2007) and Ross et al. (2013) were the only 2 systematic reviews analyzed that used a quality

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analysis of the included studies but neither focused exclusively on anger.

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Objectives
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The aim of this systematic review was to assess the effectiveness of CBT informed

interventions or anger management interventions on adult offenders sentenced to probation


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orders or incarceration. Unlike previous reviews, it quantitatively explored the treatment


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effects on recidivism by conducting a meta-analysis based on a stringent review process,

including a systematic literature search and an assessment of risk of bias that explored the
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common methodological flaws to help explain the findings.


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Methods

Criteria for study inclusion

An Inclusion Criteria Checklist (available upon request) was used to assess the studies for

eligibility.

Type of Studies: RCT or NRCT with a matched control or a waitlist control, case control and

cohort studies. Single case studies and qualitative designs were excluded.
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Participants: At least 50% of sample had to be comprised of adult male offenders (>18 years)

with a history of violence or screened for dysfunctional anger. Studies that focused

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exclusively on domestic violence abusers or offenders with mental health diagnosis were

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excluded to limit heterogeneity.

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Interventions: All modalities of CBT based treatment for anger or violence receiving

treatment in prison or the community.

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Comparators: Randomized or non-randomized control group receiving alternate treatment to
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anger management, waitlist control, intent to treat, or comparison to attrition group.

Outcomes: Reconviction as a measure of general and/or violent re-offending.


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Search methods for identification of studies


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The following electronic databases were searched in June 2014; the Cochrane Library; the

Campbell Collaboration; Medline; PsychInfo; ASSIA; SCOPUS; and Web of Science. The
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same concatenation of key words was used in all searches, although minor modifications to

the search syntax were made for each particular database.

(anger OR aggression OR violen*) AND (offend* OR crimin* OR perpetrat*) AND (CBT

OR cognitive OR behavio* OR treatment OR “anger management”)

In addition, the reference lists of the previous 10 systematic reviews were hand searched.

Relevant Governmental portals were also searched, such as the Canadian Correctional

Service portal, the Australian Institute of Criminology portal, and the UK Ministry of Justice.
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Data collection and analysis

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The references yielded in the database search were exported onto Endnote Online (N=3362).

After excluding duplicates (n=273), the titles of the remaining references were scanned to

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remove book chapters, reviews or meta-analyses, opinion papers, and clearly irrelevant

papers (n=2985). The abstracts of the 104 remaining references were compared to the

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inclusion/exclusion criteria and 43 did not meet the inclusion criteria. The full-text of the

remaining 61 articles was assessed using the Inclusion Criteria Checklist, resulting in the
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exclusion of 47 references, with 13 matching all the inclusion criteria. One article by

Marquis, Bourgon, Armstrong, and Pfaff (1996) contained a report on two studies using
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different samples, baseline measures, and results. Thus, this report was considered to be two
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studies. The reasons for study exclusion can be made available from the authors. The sorting
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is in Figure 1.
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Figure 1. The Selection Process.

Data extraction

A pre-defined Data Extraction Sheet was used to extract the information relevant to the

review question (available upon request). This was adapted from Cochrane's EPOC as a

guideline (Cochrane Public Health Group, 2011).


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Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

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The included studies were either case control studies (n= 7) or controlled before and after

studies (n = 7).

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The checklist was adapted from the Risk of Bias Tool in the Cochrane Handbook for

Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins, Atman, & Sterne, 2011). The checklist

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covered selection bias, performance bias, attrition bias, detection bias, and reporting bias.
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Where possible, an appraisal of the overestimation or underestimation of the reported

treatment effects of the study was attempted. A number of criteria were identified in each
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category of bias whose presence would increase or decrease the risk of bias. The assessor
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could also rate an item unclear or inconclusive from the information provided in the article.

The included studies were also assessed using the Maryland Scientific Methods Scale
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(MSMS). This MSMS has been widely used in criminological studies to assess the
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methodological quality of studies (Sherman, Gottfredson, Mackenzie, Reuter, & Bushway,


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1997).

Statistical Analysis

A meta-analysis was carried out to explore the reduction of risk of reconviction after

treatment exposure or completion. Not all the included studies contained the data needed for

meta-analyses. Although these studies were not included in the meta-analyses, their findings

were used to compliment the meta-analytic synthesis. Subgroup analysis based on treatment

modality was used to assess the effects associated with anger management, correctional

programs for violent reduction, and other CBT-based treatments. This would compare the

effect of anger management to more intensive correctional programs. Subgroup allocation


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was based on the treatment components reported in the study and the intensity or dosage of

the respective programs.

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Risk Ratio Analysis (RR) was performed on the recidivism rates of treatment groups and

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their respective controls to estimate the overall risk of general or violent recidivism. This was

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calculated through Review Manager 5.3 (RevMan) computer software (Review Manager,

2014). Analyses were carried out to determine:

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1. The overall effect of treatment on general recidivism and violent recidivism. Subgroup
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analyses compared the magnitude of effect and treatment modalities.

2. The overall effect of treatment completion on recidivism and violent recidivism in


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comparison to attrition groups with the same subgroups of treatment modality.


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Any relative risk reductions of the analyses being conducted were calculated by computing
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100% x (1-RR).
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The above analyses were performed using the inverse variance random effects model
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(DerSimonian & Laird, 1986). This would take into account the amount of heterogeneity

across the studies. Such a method would generate more conservative estimations of statistical

significance producing an average treatment effect (Deeks et al., 2008). A random effects

model was used on the assumption that any treatment effects in the studies would take the

form of a distribution of effect sizes with the mean effect size being the center point of this

distribution. Heterogeneity would then be the spread of the distribution (Deeks et al., 2008).

The Q statistic and the I² estimates were used to estimate the probability of heterogeneity in

the included studies. The I² indicates the amount of variance in a pooled effect size that could
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be explained through heterogeneity (Higgins, Thompson, Deeks, & Altman, 2003). An I²

value between 0 and 40% indicates low variance, scores in the region of 30%-60% indicate

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moderate variance and those score from 50% to 90% indicate substantial variance (Deeks,

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Higgins, & Altman, 2008). The magnitude, direction, and possible reasons for heterogeneity

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were explored in the results section.

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Results MA
Characteristics of included studies

The characteristics and results of the 14 reviewed studies are in Table 1. Each study was
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assigned a study number and will be referred to by their study number in text or in superscript
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when mentioned in the results, discussion, and conclusion. An extended narrative synthesis
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exploring the settings, samples, and interventions used can be made available upon request.
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In brief, this narrative synthesis of the included studies confirmed the main findings of the

meta-analysis.
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Table1 Relevant characteristics and findings of included studies.

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Study No. Sample composition Intervention Type and brief Setting and Percentage of offenders involved in Percentage of offenders involved in Follow up
and Mean Ages (M) description duration of Recidivism Violent Recidivism period
Author, treatment

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Country of
Publication and

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Design

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1. Henning & Freuh N = 196 Cognitive Self Change Program – Prison Treatment – 50% Control – 70.8% Treatment – 17% Control – 24% 2 yrs
(1996) USA Adult male offenders components similar to anger
Before and After 60% violent offenders management – designed for Min. 6

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Study months –
M age treatment = 32 yrs offenders with history of
3/5 times

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M age control = 29.6 yrs interpersonal violence
weekly

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2. Hughes (1993) N= 79 Anger Management and Drama Prison Treatment – 56% Control – 68.8% Treatment – 40% Control – 65.8% 9mths – 4 yrs
Canada therapy – components of anger
Before and After
Study
Adult male offenders
screened for anger
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management combined with 24 hours
problems drama
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M age not reported

3. Motiuk, Smiley, & N = 120 Intensive program for violent Prison Treatment – 40% Control – 35% Treatment – 18% Control – 15% Average of 2
Blanchette (1996) Adult male violent offending – a cognitive yrs
Canada offenders – 95% of behavioral program with 8 months
Case Control Study 3 mths – 6
treatment group and 86% psychosocial components aimed
of control with violent to address criminogenic needs years
index offence
M age 35 yrs

4. Marquis, Bourgon, N1 = 216 Substance Abuse Treatment – Prison Relapse Matched control – N/A N/A Not Reported
Armstrong, & Pfaff Adult male offenders relapse prevention components Based prevention** - 59%
(1996) Violent and non-violent Treatment
Canada
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Case Control Study offenders included Anger Management Treatment – Facility at 51%

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M age not reported programs containing anger least 20days
Matched control –

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management components but not 4/5 times Relapse prevention
enough details are provided. weekly anger management 59%

CR
– 34%

5. Marquis, Bourgon, N = 190 Substance Abuse Treatment – Prison Relapse Prevention Untreated Control N/A N/A Not reported

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Armstrong, & Pfaff Adult male offenders relapse prevention components Based – 48% – 60%
(1996) screened for anger Treatment
Canada Anger Management Treatment – Anger
problems Facility

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Before and After programs contained anger Management –
Study M age not reported min. of
management components but not 33%

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20days 4/5
enough details are provided. times
weekly Combined – 36%

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6. Boe, Belcourt, N = 74 Violent Unit Program - intensive Community Treatment – 0%* Control – 15% N/A N/A 6 months – 2
Ishak, & Bsilis Adult male offenders – community supervision –

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Min. 6 years
(1997) Canada 96% had violent index components of the program could months with
Before and After
offence – high risk not be ascertained 2 sessions

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Study
offenders (SIR-R1) weekly
M age not reported CE
7. Dowden, N = 220 Anger and Other Emotions Prison Treatment – 10% Control – 30% Treatment – 5% Control – 17% 3 years
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Blanchette, &Serin Adult male violent Management Program – anger 50 hours
(1999) Canada Case offenders management focused treatment
Control Study
M age 35.6 yrs.

8. Dowden & Serin N = 220 Anger and Other Emotions Prison Treatment -1 10% Attrition Group – Treatment – 5% Control – 17% 3 years
(2001) Canada Adult male violent Management Program – anger 50 hours 52%
Case Control Study offenders – management focused treatment Attrition Group –
M age 35.6 yrs. Control – 30% 40%

9. Cortoni, Nunes, & N = 966 Violence Prevention Program – Prison Treatment – 24.6% Attrition Group – Treatment – 8.5% Attrition Group – 5 years
Latendresse (2006) Adult male violent program contains components of 188 hours 37.7% 24.5% Average 1
Canada offenders anger management but also year
M age 30.3 yrs.
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Case Control Study All had min. of 2 violent focused on criminogenic needs. Control -41% Control – 21.8%

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offences

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High Risk Offenders
(SIR-R1)

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10. Serin, Gobeil, & N = 256 Persistently Violent Offender Prison PVO Group -17% AEMP Group – PVO Group -8% AEMP Group – 5 yearsrs
Preston (2009) Adult male violent Program – cognitive behavioral 144 hours 21% 7%

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Canada offenders program based on social AEMP PV Group AEMP PV Group Average of
Before and After M Age 31.75 yrs. information processing. – 11% Drop-out Group – – 8% Drop-out Group – 3.29 years
Study 38% 21%

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Anger and Other Emotions

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Management Program - anger
management focused treatment

11.Hatcher,Palmer,M N = 197 Aggression Replacement Therapy Community Treatment – 39.2% Control – 50.9% N/A N/A 10 mths

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acGuire, Hounsome, Adult male violent – program contained components Min. 10

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Belby, & Hollin offenders with established of anger management, behavioral week
(2008) UK pattern of aggression and and affective components and an
Before and After anger problems additional component on values.

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Study M Age 27.42 yrs.
Medium – Medium/High
risk on OGRS-2
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12. Berry (2003) N = 164 Montgomery House Violence Community Treatment – 40% Control – 62% Treatment – 26% Control – 44% 17 mths
New Zealand Adult violent offenders Prevention Program – cognitive Rehab
Case Control Study M Age 28yrs. behavioral program with violence 10 weeks
prevention components,
addictions and communication.

13. Polaschek, N = 104 Violence Prevention Unit Prison VPUP – 73% Control – 85% VPUP – 32% Control – 63% 3 years
Wilson, Townsend & Adults male violent Program– program contains 330 hours
Daly (2005) offenders components of anger management 28 weeks
New Zealand High risk offenders but also focused on criminogenic
Before and After Mean age treatment 23..5 needs e.g. victim empathy and
Study yrs offence supporting thinking.
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Mean age control 24.4 yrs

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High risk control –

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14. Polaschek (2010) N = 224 Violence Prevention Unit Prison High Risk Treatment High High Risk Control 3.5 years
New Zealand Adult male violent Program– program contains 330 hours 95% Risk 62% - 72% Drop out
Treatment – 83%

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Case Control Study offenders components of anger management 28 weeks Control 75%
M age 28 yrs. but also focused on criminogenic Medium risk Drop-out 71%
Medium and High risk needs e.g. victim empathy and control – 67% Medium Risk

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offenders offence supporting thinking. Treatment Control 48%
Medium Risk Drop-out control – Medium Risk –
Treatment - 76% 89% 33%

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Drop-out 93%

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* Study examined failure rates with 10 out of 11 returns to custody were due to technical breaches of licence.

**Results presented for violent offenders only

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General characteristics

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6, 11 1, 4, 5, 12
Two studies focused on offenders in the community while four studies were

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conducted in secure rehabilitative centers. The remaining studies were carried out in prison

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settings 2, 7-10, 13, 14. The number of participants varied from 74 to 892.

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The mean ages of all participants across studies ranged from 23.5 years to 35.6 years. There

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was considerable variation in participants’ offence history and other demographic variables.

Only three of the 14 studies 2, 4, 5 screened offenders for dysfunctional anger before treatment.
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Thirteen studies focused on violent offenders with the exception of Study 1 which included

40% of the participants with no violent history. In terms of risk, some diversity was noted.
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Studies 9, 10, 12, 13 included high-risk offenders with limited capacity of making or
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maintaining progress. For example, offenders in Study 6 were responsible for over 1300
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offences, with 222 being violent offences, 33 homicides, 103 robberies, and 81 assaults. This
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indicated that the seriousness of offending history amongst some offenders included in this

meta-analysis. Other studies 7, 8, 14 explored how risk levels might affect treatment outcomes,
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thus included offenders with different levels of risk.

The mean maximum follow-up period reported in the study was 3.21 years (SD 1.55).

However, the period of follow up for some offenders ended once they were returned to

custody or reconvicted and this varied considerably across studies.

Intervention types

The included studies adopted a mixture of intervention modalities that might be broadly

CBT-based. All the interventions in the studies were manualized and had provided training

for the program facilitators. However, the level of reported integrity and fidelity varied across
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the studies. Study 14 distinguished between low intensity treatment, typically of a shorter

duration and frequency, such as traditional anger management and more intensive

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correctional programs such as the violence reduction programs typically run in correctional

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institutions. Although the level of intensity varied in these violence reduction programs, the

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mean length of the program was of 190 hours.

Five studies had specifically focused on anger management. Studies 7, 8, 10 used the Anger

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and Other Emotions Program (AEMP). This program comprised of typical anger
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management components such as developing self-management, increasing problem solving,

improving communication, challenging dysfunctional thinking, and relapse prevention. It


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consisted of approximately 50 hours of therapeutic engagement. Study 2 also explored anger


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management but was supplemented with psychodrama. This intervention was shorter, with 24

hours of therapy delivered to participants. Studies 4 and 5 were described in the same report.
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Both studies compared recidivism rates of offenders who received a combined intervention of
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relapse prevention and anger management to those offenders receiving relapse prevention
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only or anger management only. Participants in Study 4 comprised of violent and non-violent

offenders, whereas Study 5 included exclusively offenders screened for anger dysregulation.

Study 11 focused on Aggression Replacement Therapy (ART). This program typically

imparts new skills to address the behavioral, affective, and moral components. It aims to

deliver arousal and anger control training and moral reasoning modules. Study 1 examined

the effects of a Cognitive Self Change Program which attempted to address interpersonal

aggression through challenging cognitive distortions and offending thought patterns.

Five studies 9-10, 12-14 explored the effectiveness of intensive violence reduction programs such

as the Violence Prevention Program 9; Persistently Violent Offender program 10, Montgomery
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House Violence Prevention Program 12; and the Violence Prevention Unit Program 13-14
. The

content of the programs were typical of anger management interventions such as arousal

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reduction, communication skills, relationships, addressing cognitive distortions, and problem

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solving. They would also include other elements such as victim empathy and risk

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management deemed essential in correctional programs. The length of treatment ranged from

144 hours to 330 hours, indicating high intensity.

Outcome Measures
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The outcome measure of interest was general and violent recidivism. The percentage rates of

the reported outcomes in the individual studies are summarized in Table 1.


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Excluded studies
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When full text studies were examined, 22 out of 61 studies were excluded as they focused on
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psychometric or observational measures only. Although these might yield valuable

information on the efficacy of treatment, the focus of the review was to explore the long-term
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effectiveness in terms of recidivism of anger management treatment. Another 15 studies were

excluded for not meeting the population criteria due to sampling offenders with no anger

problems or history of violence or offenders with acute personality disorders or adolescents.

Ten studies were excluded as they were multiple case studies, narrative reviews, or opinion

papers.
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Risk of bias in included studies

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Previous research on offender populations highlight that it is inherently difficult to conduct

RCTs with offender populations and in settings such as prisons (Jollifee & Farrington, 2009;

R
SC
Ross et al., 2013). This limits the potential number of RCTs included in the review. Focusing

on recidivism analysis also makes random allocation of participants difficult, reducing the

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probability of finding RCTs that answered the review question. Table 2 summarizes the

levels of risk of bias.


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Table 2. Risk of Bias in Included Studies

T
Authors; Publication Maryland Selection Performance Attrition Detection Reporting

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Date and Study No Scientific Bias Bias Bias Bias Bias
Methods

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Scale level

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Henning & Frueh Level 3 High Low High High Low
(1996)
Study 1

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Hughes (1993) Level 3 High High High Low High
Study 2
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Motiuk, et al. (1996) Level 4 High Unclear High Unclear High
Study 3

Marquis et al. (1996) Level 3 Unclear Unclear High Unclear High


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Study 4 and 5
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Boe et al. (1997) Level 3 High Unclear Unclear Low High


Study 6

Dowden et al. (1999) Level 4 High Low High Low Low


P

Study 7
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Dowden & Serin Level 4 High Low Low Low Low


(2001) Study 8
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Cortoni et al. (2006) Level 4 Low Unclear Low Low Low


Study 9

Serin et al. (2009) Level 3 High Low Low Low Low


Study 10

Hatcher et al. (2008) Level 4 Low Unclear Low Low Low


Study 11

Berry (2003) Level 4 Low Low Low Low Low


Study 12

Polaschek et al. (2005) Level 3 High Low Low Low Low


Study 13

Polaschek (2010) Level 4 Low Unclear Low Low Low


Study 14
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Selection bias

The analysis of selection bias focused on whether the study adequately controlled for baseline

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differences between the control and treatment groups. NRCTs are particularly prone to this

R
bias potentially introducing substantial amount of error in the review (Reeves et al., 2008).

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Eight (57.1%) of the included studies were deemed to be high risk, with a further study being

classed as unclear or undetermined. All the studies classed as Level 3 of the Maryland

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Scientific Methods Scale (MSMS) were deemed to have a high risk of selection bias. This

judgment was based mainly on the basis that the studies used an unmatched control group
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and in most instances did not control for known variables associated with recidivism. Two

studies 6, 13 in particular used comparison groups that were used as a matched control group in
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another study. Although some of these reported that analysis revealed no pre-treatment
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significant differences on some important confounding variables, the analysis was not
P

exhaustive, and other differences between the treatment and control groups could have
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introduced bias, for example, differences in offence histories 1,10 or ethnic composition 13.
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3, 7, 8
Level 4 studies also displayed high risks of selection bias . This was primarily because

the matching process resulted in the exclusion of a large number of participants that had

received treatment. This could have potentially affected the treatment outcomes.

Furthermore, significant differences were observed between groups even after the matching

process in terms of offence type (e.g. Study 3) and ethnic composition (e.g. Studies 7, 8).

The studies deemed as low risk for selection bias were those that conducted case-by-case

matching on confounding variables such as risk of reconviction, previous offence history, and

salient demographic variables. Also, they reported no significant differences before


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treatment. These studies included almost all of the participants that had received the treatment

intervention and had no candidates excluded due to the matching process 9, 11, 12, 14.

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Through matching participants on common confounding variables such as age, variables

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associated with recidivism and level of risk or analyzing pre-treatment differences meant that

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some extraneous variables were controlled for. However, even when no significant

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differences exist at baseline, there is still a substantial amount of residual confounders such as

misclassification of offenders, which could have affected the matching process and
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consequently, the results (Reeves et al., 2008).

The lack of information in the report of Studies 4 and 5 rendered the assessment of these
D

4
studies difficult. One report contained two studies; a case control study and a before-and-
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after study 5. Selection bias could not be determined as detailed descriptions of participants
P

were omitted, resulting in a rating of unclear despite reporting that analysis revealed no
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significant pre-intervention differences on salient confounding variables.


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Direction of bias was difficult to ascertain adequately. For example, Study 2 used non-

completers as a control group and conducted no analysis before or after interventions to

assess possible differences that could have affected the outcome. In this case, the results

could have favored the treatment group since treatment non-completers could have failed to

complete treatment due to more complex needs and entrenched psychosocial difficulties.

However, in Studies 1 and 3, the potential bias might have favored the control group, as more

high risk and violent offenders were included in the treatment group than in the respective

controls.
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Performance bias

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Performance bias tends to occur due to inconsistency in treatment delivery. Elements

assessed included whether interventions were delivered in different locations, times or by

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SC
different facilitators. It also explored the reported integrity and fidelity of the program
2
through the use of supervision and training of facilitators. Only one study was deemed to

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have a high risk of performance bias. Although the study reported that the treatment was

delivered by professional and experienced staff, the treatment group was deemed to have
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completed treatment after 6 of the planned 12 sessions. This could have undermined the
3-6, 9, 11, 14
integrity of the treatment. Seven studies were rated as unclear, as they did not
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provide enough information on the integrity and fidelity of the program.


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Those studies that were classed as low risk of performance bias had reported adequate
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measures of controlling for potential biases. For example, Studies 1, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13 reported
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that the treatment was administered under supervision, by trained personnel and using a
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manual. Only one study8, however, claimed to have controlled for the effect of parallel

interventions on the subjects included in the study.

Measurement Bias

Since the focus was on failure or recidivism rates, it can be argued that the evaluators (the

criminal justice system) act blind to whether the offender received treatment or not. However,

other sources of bias could have affected the measurement of outcomes such as different

follow-up periods or different legal jurisdictions. The latter could have introduced bias due to

potentially different rates of prosecution and conviction.


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Most of the studies (n= 10) included were rated as being of low risk for measurement bias.

These studies were rated as low risk as they used multiple information sources to arrive at the

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recidivism rate of participants in the study by exploring national correctional and police data.

One study 1 was rated as high risk of measurement bias. This study was reported to have used

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only one state database, which would not reveal re-offending in different states. The
3, 4, 5
remaining studies were rated as unclear, as they did not provide enough information

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pertaining to the length of follow-up period or the provenance of the information concerning

conviction rates.
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Attrition bias
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Considering that recidivism rates can only be observed after a period of time, attrition bias

could have also significantly affected the studies. The principle method by which attrition
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bias was considered was assessing the type of analysis the researchers conducted on the non-
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11 12
completer group. Attrition levels in the selected studies varied from 22% to 71.7% .
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Interestingly, the study that reported the most attrition was the only study conducted on
13
probationers. One study reported no attrition as the participants were selected after the

completion of the program but this procedure could also have introduced selection bias.

High risk of attrition bias was noted in six included studies1-5, 7. In Studies 3, 4, 5 and 7, non-

completer groups were removed from the analysis and subjected to no further analysis. Study

2 reported that as much as 50% of the treatment group did not complete the program. The

attrition group in this study was then compared to the treatment completers. No analysis of

group differences was conducted before comparing their outcomes. Furthermore, setting
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program completion at half of the planned interventions could have been indicative of greater

attrition figures which were not reported in the study.

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8-14
The other seven studies were deemed to be of low risk of attrition bias, as these studies

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reported the figure of attrition and analyzed the reasons for non-completion. Studies 8-10, 12

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and 14 explored characteristics of the attrition groups and in some cases compared them to

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the treatment completer groups. High attrition rates are a common problem with community-

based studies (McMurran & Theodosi, 2007). Study 11 was in fact conducted in the
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community and sustained serious attrition rates of over 70%. Nevertheless, this study was

able to compare the attrition group to the treatment group on the outcome measures and other
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salient confounding variables associated with recidivism. Study 6 could not be rated due to
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insufficient information in the study report.


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Reporting bias
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The quality of reporting in NRCTs is often very poor and difficult to assess (Reeves et al.,
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2008). Poor quality of reporting could hinder the effective analysis of quality and inhibit the

accurate determination of biases.

Considering that NRCTs would in most instances not have an a priori protocol to analyze the

risk of reporting bias, the assessment focused on the overall quality and depth of reporting in
2-6
the study. Five studies were deemed to be of high risk. This bias affected the rating of

other quality criteria, as not enough information could be extracted to effectively assess the

risk of bias. The other studies, however, were all classed as having satisfactory levels of

reporting where methodological and other limitations of the studies were also reported. These
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studies explored clinically relevant features of their study even when the results were not

significant.

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However, it must be noted that although Study 7 was deemed satisfactory, there was not

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enough information reported on the attrition or non-completer group in the study. Also, Study

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14 contained what could be interpreted as contradictory information between the fidelity and

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integrity of the program reported in the method section compared to analysis provided in the

discussion.
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Overall, only one study12 was rated as low risk in all five areas of bias and was also classed as

level 4 on the MSMS. Six studies8-11, 13-14 had only one area rated as high risk or unclear risk
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of bias. Only two of these studies10, 13 were classed as level 3 on the MSMS. Study 7 was
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classed as level 4 but had been rated as high risk for selection and attrition bias. Study 4
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another level 4 study had three areas rated as high risk for selection, attrition and reporting
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bias. Other areas of bias in Study 4 were rated unclear. Most of the studies1, 2, 4, 5 classed as

level 3 on the MSMS had been rated as having 3 or more areas which were considered as
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high risk of bias.

Effects of interventions

Exposure to Treatment

The first set of RRs was aimed to analyze the effect of treatment on general (Fig. 1) and

violent recidivism (Fig. 2). Studies that included appropriate data, a treatment and a matched
2, 4-6, 10
or intent-to-treat control were used to run the RR. Some studies did not report

appropriate data for a meta-analysis. Studies 2 and 10 used attritions as controls. Studies 4
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and 5 did not report the number of participants in the experimental and treatment groups.

Study 6 reported failure rates or returns to custody such as withdrawal of licenses which

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might not indicate actual re-offending. Thus, these studies were not entered into this analysis.

R
Experimental Control Risk Ratio Risk Ratio
Study or Subgroup Events Total Events Total Weight IV, Random, 95% CI IV, Random, 95% CI

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1.1.1 Anger Management
Dowden et al (1999) 11 110 33 110 7.9% 0.33 [0.18, 0.63]
Subtotal (95% CI) 110 110 7.9% 0.33 [0.18, 0.63]
Total events 11 33
Heterogeneity: Not applicable
Test for overall effect: Z = 3.42 (P = 0.0006)

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1.1.2 Correctional Programmes
Cortoni et al (2006) 89 446 109 446 17.7% 0.82 [0.64, 1.05]
Motiuk et al (1995) 24 60 21 60 11.3% 1.14 [0.72, 1.82]
Polaschek (2010) 92 110 94 110 21.5% 0.98 [0.87, 1.10]
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Polaschek et al (2005) 16 22 51 60 16.7% 0.86 [0.65, 1.13]
Subtotal (95% CI) 638 676 67.1% 0.94 [0.86, 1.04]
Total events 221 275
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 2.85, df = 3 (P = 0.42); I² = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 1.18 (P = 0.24)

1.1.3 Other CBT based


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Hatcher et al (2008) 20 53 27 53 12.0% 0.74 [0.48, 1.14]


Henning & Freuh (1996) 18 55 89 141 13.0% 0.52 [0.35, 0.77]
Subtotal (95% CI) 108 194 25.0% 0.61 [0.43, 0.87]
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Total events 38 116


Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.02; Chi² = 1.40, df = 1 (P = 0.24); I² = 29%
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.75 (P = 0.006)

Total (95% CI) 856 980 100.0% 0.77 [0.62, 0.96]


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Total events 270 424


Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.05; Chi² = 21.45, df = 6 (P = 0.002); I² = 72%
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.32 (P = 0.02) Favours [experimental] Favours [control]
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Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 15.23, df = 2 (P = 0.0005), I² = 86.9%

Fig. 2 Exposure to treatment and general recidivism


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Figure 1 presents the results using random effect of exposure to treatment on general

recidivism. The treatment groups consisted of all cases exposed to treatment and thus

included the attrition groups. The overall risk ratio for general reconviction of offenders

exposed to treatment against their respective control groups was 0.77 (p= .02), indicating a

significant risk reduction of 23% for general recidivism among offenders after treatment.

However, significant heterogeneity was observed through the Q statistic (p= .002). The I²

value was 72%, also indicating significant heterogeneity across the study results.

Interestingly, significant differences were noted between the different subgroups included in

the RR. This may indicate significant cumulative differences in the results calculated with the
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three subgroups. Although this could indicate a real difference between the levels of

treatment efficacy across studies, it could also be a result of the clinical and methodological

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diversity of the included studies.

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Experimental Control Risk Ratio Risk Ratio
Study or Subgroup Events Total Events Total Weight IV, Random, 95% CI IV, Random, 95% CI

SC
1.2.1 Anger Management
Dowden et al (1999) 6 110 19 110 7.1% 0.32 [0.13, 0.76]
Subtotal (95% CI) 110 110 7.1% 0.32 [0.13, 0.76]
Total events 6 19

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Heterogeneity: Not applicable
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.57 (P = 0.01)

1.2.2 Correctional Programmes


Berry (2003) 24 79 33 79 18.5% 0.73 [0.48, 1.11]
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Cortoni et al (2006) 43 446 58 446 20.8% 0.74 [0.51, 1.08]
Motiuk et al (1995) 11 60 9 60 8.2% 1.22 [0.55, 2.73]
Polaschek (2010) 66 110 72 110 29.5% 0.92 [0.75, 1.12]
Polaschek et al (2005) 7 22 38 60 11.4% 0.50 [0.26, 0.95]
Subtotal (95% CI) 717 755 88.5% 0.81 [0.67, 0.99]
Total events 151 210
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Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.01; Chi² = 4.88, df = 4 (P = 0.30); I² = 18%


Test for overall effect: Z = 2.10 (P = 0.04)
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1.2.3 Other CBT based


Henning & Freuh (1996) 3 55 21 141 4.4% 0.37 [0.11, 1.18]
Subtotal (95% CI) 55 141 4.4% 0.37 [0.11, 1.18]
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Total events 3 21
Heterogeneity: Not applicable
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Test for overall effect: Z = 1.68 (P = 0.09)

Total (95% CI) 882 1006 100.0% 0.72 [0.55, 0.93]


Total events 160 250
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.05; Chi² = 11.16, df = 6 (P = 0.08); I² = 46%
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
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Test for overall effect: Z = 2.51 (P = 0.01) Favours [experimental] Favours [control]
Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 5.81, df = 2 (P = 0.05), I² = 65.6%

Fig. 3 Exposure to treatment and violent recidivism

Figure 2 presents the RR exploring the effects of exposure to treatment and the risk for

violent recidivism only. Six studies divided into subgroups based on the treatment modality

contain the appropriate data for this analysis. The results indicate a 28% significant risk

reduction of reconviction for violence (p=.01) if the offender receives treatment of any

modality. The Q statistic was not significant (p = .08). The I² value of 46% on the other hand

indicated moderate variance amongst the study results. Due to the limited number of studies

included in the meta-analysis, the Q statistic could be deemed to be have low power in
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detecting heterogeneity. However, since the I² value was not 0%, heterogeneity was assumed

to be present (Heudo-Medina, Sanchez-Meca, Marin, & Botella, 2006).

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Results in Figures 1 and 2 may give the impression of a qualitative interaction, with Study 3

R
seemingly showing results in the opposite direction of the other included studies. However,

SC
this difference in recidivism between treated and untreated offenders was not statistically

significant. Nevertheless, the treatment group in Study 3 included offenders considered of

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higher risk than their controls, which might skew the results. Furthermore, the high attrition
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rates in this study could have also affected the result. A quantitative interaction was also

found with the anger management subgroups seemingly associated with larger effect sizes.
D

This shall be explored in the subgroup analysis.


TE

In these RR analyses, only Study 7 focused on the effects of traditional anger management,
P

with the other studies focusing on other treatment programs which included only some
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components of anger management. The largest effect of risk reduction of treatment on

recidivism and violent offending amongst the subgroups was found in Study 7. Results from
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2, 4, 5, 10
other studies on traditional anger management in this systematic review but not

suitable to be entered into the RR analysis support the result of this analysis, with anger

management being associated with a significantly lower rate of re-offending. For example,

Studies 4 and 5 showed that anger management seemed a key element for the treatment of

violent offenders and those with anger dysregulation. Study 4 reported that violent offenders

receiving combined relapse prevention and anger management fared better than their waitlist

control and those receiving only relapse prevention. Study 5 concentrated on offenders with

anger difficulties only. It also found significantly lower rates of re-offending among

offenders receiving the anger management interventions when compared to their controls.
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The subgroup analysis for general and violent reconviction also explored the reduction of risk
3, 9, 13, 14
associated with exposure to correctional violence reduction programs. Four studies

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were deemed to contain appropriate data for the analysis of general reconviction and five
3, 9, 12-14

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studies for violent reconviction. The Correctional Program subgroup showed the

SC
smallest effect.

Both tests for heterogeneity between the studies in the Correctional Program subgroups of the

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two RR analyses were not significant for general reconviction (p=.42) and violent
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reconviction (p=.30). The I² values of 0% and 18% respectively. This may indicate the

studies in these subgroups were not as diverse in clinical terms.


D

The subgroups exploring other CBT-based treatments on reduction of general recidivism


TE

included two studies 1, 11 and one study 1 for violent recidivism. This subgroup also seemed to
P

produce larger effects than the correctional programs.


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The Q statistic was not significant for the general reconviction analysis. The I² value was

29%, indicating a moderate level of heterogeneity. This might be explained by the differences
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1, 11
inherent in the samples of the two studies . Study 1 only included approximately 60%

incarcerated violent offenders in the sample, whereas study 11 consisted of medium risk

offenders in the community who were court mandated to attend treatment. A salient
1
difference between the studies was the treatment modality, with one study using the

Cognitive Self Change program and the other 11 using Aggression Replacement Therapy.
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Treatment completion

Experimental Control Risk Ratio

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Risk Ratio
Study or Subgroup Events Total Events Total Weight IV, Random, 95% CI IV, Random, 95% CI
2.1.1 Anger Management

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Dowden & Serin (2001) 11 110 41 78 15.4% 0.19 [0.10, 0.35]
Hughes (1993) 24 42 13 19 18.9% 0.84 [0.56, 1.25]
Serin et al (2009) 23 112 10 33 14.8% 0.68 [0.36, 1.28]

R
Subtotal (95% CI) 264 130 49.2% 0.48 [0.20, 1.18]
Total events 58 64

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Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.55; Chi² = 16.62, df = 2 (P = 0.0002); I² = 88%
Test for overall effect: Z = 1.59 (P = 0.11)

2.1.2 Correctional Programmes


Cortoni et al (2006) 49 300 40 146 19.5% 0.60 [0.41, 0.86]

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Polaschek (2010) 62 77 30 33 22.5% 0.89 [0.76, 1.03]
Subtotal (95% CI) 377 179 42.0% 0.75 [0.51, 1.10]
Total events 111 70
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.06; Chi² = 3.79, df = 1 (P = 0.05); I² = 74%
Test for overall effect: Z = 1.45 (P = 0.15)
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2.1.3 Other CBT based
Hatcher et al (2008) 3 15 17 38 8.9% 0.45 [0.15, 1.31]
Subtotal (95% CI) 15 38 8.9% 0.45 [0.15, 1.31]
Total events 3 17
Heterogeneity: Not applicable
Test for overall effect: Z = 1.47 (P = 0.14)
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Total (95% CI) 656 347 100.0% 0.58 [0.39, 0.87]


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Total events 172 151


Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.18; Chi² = 27.26, df = 5 (P < 0.0001); I² = 82%
0.01 0.1 1 10 100
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.64 (P = 0.008) Favours [experimental] Favours [control]
Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.43, df = 2 (P = 0.49), I² = 0%
P

Fig. 4 Treatment Completion and Recidivism


CE

Figure 3 presents an RR analysis using random effects on the risk reduction of recidivism of
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treatment completers and non-completers. Subgroup analysis was also calculated based on

treatment modalities, with the studies divided into three subgroups; three studies2, 8, 10 in the

anger management subgroup, two studies9, 14


in the correctional programs for violence

reduction and one11 in the other CBT programs subgroup.

The RR analysis on recidivism revealed a significant overall effect of 0.58 (p = .008). This

represents a 42% reduced risk of reconviction if treatment is completed. The results also

indicate a significant Q statistic (p=.001) and an I² value of 82%, showing considerable

variance in the study results.


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Similarly, Figure 4 shows the RR analysis on violent reconviction for completers and non-

completers. However, only three studies2, 8, 10


in the anger management group and three

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studies9, 12, 14 in the correctional programs group were deemed to have the appropriate data for

R
this subgroup analysis.

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Experimental Control Risk Ratio Risk Ratio
Study or Subgroup Events Total Events Total Weight IV, Random, 95% CI IV, Random, 95% CI
2.2.1 Anger Management
Dowden & Serin (2001) 6 110 31 78 13.9% 0.14 [0.06, 0.31]

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Hughes (1993) 17 42 13 19 18.7% 0.59 [0.37, 0.95]
Serin et al (2009) 9 112 7 33 12.8% 0.38 [0.15, 0.94]
Subtotal (95% CI) 264 130 45.4% 0.33 [0.13, 0.80]
Total events 32 51
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.48; Chi² = 9.06, df = 2 (P = 0.01); I² = 78%
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Test for overall effect: Z = 2.46 (P = 0.01)

2.2.2 Correctional Programmes


Berry (2003) 16 62 8 17 16.2% 0.55 [0.28, 1.06]
Cortoni et al (2006) 17 300 26 146 17.3% 0.32 [0.18, 0.57]
Polaschek (2010) 47 77 24 33 21.2% 0.84 [0.64, 1.10]
Subtotal (95% CI) 439 196 54.6% 0.55 [0.30, 1.01]
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Total events 80 58
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.23; Chi² = 9.29, df = 2 (P = 0.010); I² = 78%
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Test for overall effect: Z = 1.92 (P = 0.06)

Total (95% CI) 703 326 100.0% 0.44 [0.27, 0.71]


Total events 112 109
Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.28; Chi² = 23.67, df = 5 (P = 0.0003); I² = 79%
P

0.01 0.1 1 10 100


Test for overall effect: Z = 3.29 (P = 0.0010) Favours [experimental] Favours [control]
Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.88, df = 1 (P = 0.35), I² = 0%
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Fig. 5 Treatment Completion and Violent Recidivism


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The RR analysis showed a significant overall effect of 0.44 (p=.001). This indicates a 56%

reduction in risk of reconviction for violence if offenders had completed treatment. This set

of analysis had a significant Q statistic (p = .0003). The I² value (78%) was also highly

indicative of substantial heterogeneity amongst the study results.

The largest effect was noted in the ART study, closely followed by the Anger Management

subgroup. The smallest treatment effect was found in the Correctional Program subgroup. For

violent reconviction, the intensive correctional programs show the smallest effect. Again, the

anger management subgroup shows the greatest effect. Thus, this subgroup analysis found a
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similar quantitative interaction as reported in the analysis for exposure to treatment with

anger management subgroups having the largest effect.

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Discussion

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The RR analysis found an overall risk reduction in recidivism of 23% for general recidivism

and 28% for violent recidivism after treatment. The overall risk reduction for treatment

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completion as opposed to non-completion was of a 42% reduction in general recidivism and

56% in violent recidivism. Quantitative interactions were noted in all the subgroup analyses,
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with anger management subgroups showing the largest effect. This quantitative interaction

between subgroups appears to be clinically plausible.


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Difference between anger management and violence reduction program

Most studies exploring the effects of traditional anger management on offenders found that
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treatment had significant effects on reconviction (e.g. Studies 4, 5, 7 and 8). The subgroup

analysis found greater effects for the Anger Management subgroups, compared to the
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Correctional Programs subgroup. These results may be due to the differences in severity of

risk of offenders included in the studies 9, 12-14, as violence reduction programs typically target

offenders with an extensive history of violence and criminal convictions. Studies on anger

management groups either did not report the risk level of the offenders (e.g. Studies 4 and 5)

or a mix low risk or high risk offenders (e.g. Studies 7 and 8). Study 10 controlled for the

difference in risk level when comparing violence reduction programs and anger management.

This study concluded that the PVO program was not superior in reducing re-offending to

anger management. However, it must be noted that most of the anger management studies

included were related to the AEMP which at 50 hours of treatment might be considered to be
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more intense than traditional anger management and of moderate intensity in comparison to

violence reduction programs.

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Effect of treatment completion

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All the studies that included the non-completer groups found that reconviction was higher for

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these groups than for the control groups. This applied for all types of programs reviewed,

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indicating that overall treatment completion plays a significant role in changing the

problematic behavior. It might be useful to explore in further research variables that increase
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the likelihood of treatment completion. Some notable differences at baseline were identified

from the studies that explored the differences between completer and non-completer groups.
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Study 9 found that non-completers were significantly younger and had shorter sentences than
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the completer group. Marital status also approached significance with more single men in the

attrition group. This difference in marital status was statistically significant in Study 12.
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Study 8 found that ethnic minorities and offenders classed as medium risk were over-

represented in the attrition group, with these differences also being statistically significant.
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Study 11 had controlled for significant differences on salient criminogenic variables between

the completers and non-completers to ensure that any treatment effect can be attributed to

treatment completion. They found that completing treatment decreases odds for reconviction

by 42%. The RR analysis exploring the effects of treatment completion supports these

findings.

Clinical heterogeneity
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MANAGEMENT

The marked heterogeneity of the data indicated a need to explore clinical and methodological

variables that could moderate the overall results in the meta-analyses. Clinical heterogeneity

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was observed in the offenders included and the intervention modalities.

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Studies that included offenders of different risk levels and criminal histories could have

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affected the outcome measure of recidivism. This could have introduced an artificial effect in

the meta-analysis and increased the amount of error in the overall results. This systematic

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review excluded those studies focusing only on domestic violent abusers or those with a
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mental health diagnosis, in order to limit the potential confounding effects of extraneous

variables other than anger. However, this could affect the generalizability of the findings, as
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problematic anger may be comorbid with other mental health diagnoses. Another source of
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error could stem from the lack of pre-treatment screening and assessment for anger

dysfunction to ensure the allocated treatment actually meets this need. Indeed, Watt and
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Howells (1999) and Howells (2004) recommend that offenders be assessed at intake and
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screened for anger problems prior to assigning them to a correctional program. Unfortunately,
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most studies included offenders on the basis of offending history and may have diluted the

treatment effect as a result.

Another considerable source of error that could have affected the results is the lack of

standardization of follow-up periods between the included studies. Periods of follow-up

varied considerably with a range between 6 months to 5 years.

Methodological differences

Various types of bias were present in the included studies. All the studies included were

NRCTs which are considered to be more prone to bias than RCTs. Selection bias was
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MANAGEMENT

particularly prominent. The direction of bias could not be ascertained, as some of the studies

might be deemed to underestimate or over-inflate the treatment effects at the same time.

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Therefore, the results must be interpreted with caution.

R
Some studies did not report the appropriate data for meta-analysis. Attempts at contacting

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authors also bore little results since some of the studies were at least 20 years old and most of

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the data had since been discarded.

Another potential moderating factor was the lack of integrity and treatment fidelity reported
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in some studies. This could have potentially moderated the overall effect. Such bias could

have been introduced through different staff competencies and different sites in which
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interventions where delivered. For instance, Study 14 stated that psychologists were
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frequently replaced by students and rehabilitation staff who often had extensive experience in
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social work but little experience in working with offenders. However, treatment integrity is in
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fact considered essential for an effective correctional system (Howells, Watt, Hall, &

Baldwin, 1997; Howells et al., 2002). These issues might have introduced considerable
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methodological diversity which could have affected the accuracy of the reported results.

A small sample size in some of the included studies may have introduced a within-study bias,

since the random effects model might give them more weight (Deeks et al., 2008; Kjaergaard,

Villumson, & Gluud, 2001). Furthermore, the lack of appropriate data in some included

studies limited the number of studies included in the meta-analysis and consequently the

possibility of further analysis such as meta-regression. This may have also introduced

artificial bias due to the exclusion of studies.

Conclusions
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Most of the included studies indicate a decrease in re-offending especially when the focus is

on violent reconviction, albeit not always statistically significant (e.g. Study 2). This supports

T
IP
the results of the RR analyses carried out. In fact, Studies 1, 4, 5, 7, 8, 14 reported significant

R
differences in general re-offending for high-risk groups. Studies 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 12 and 13 all

SC
reported significant differences on violent re-offending between treatment and control
9, 11
groups. Other studies reported that these differences became significant only when the

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attrition or non-completers were removed from the analysis.
MA
The analyses also indicate that the less intensive anger management seemed to be the most

effective treatment modality in reducing offending behavior especially violent offending.


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This seems to contradict Joliffe and Farrington (2007) who had found that greater dosage of
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interventions was related with a greater response. Their review had a wider scope than our

study, as they included different types of interventions such as electronic tagging and
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comparatively brief interventions (e.g. approximately 15-20 minutes) when compared to the

studies included in our review. It is worth noting that our finding is based almost exclusively
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on one particular anger management program, the AEMP. The length and intensity (50 hours)

of this program may be classed as moderate in our study but considered more intense in the

Joliffe and Farrington (2007) review. It is possible that this program struck an optimum dose-

response relationship, as intensity beyond a certain threshold would no longer be beneficial.

Therefore, this finding may have significant funding implications for correctional programs,

as less intensive might be more cost-effective than the intensive violence reduction programs.

Further empirical research in this area could explore other moderators, for example, readiness

to change and pre-intervention screening for anger dysfunction. This would aid the
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development of more consistent treatment protocols. This is especially important, considering

the amount of heterogeneity in the included studies in this systematic review.

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Anger control dysregulation often plays a significant role in violent offending. The findings

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from this review seem to support this claim that when anger control is addressed, violent

SC
recidivism in particular would be reduced. This may apply for both intensive violence

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reduction programs whose program components place heavy emphasis on anger management

modules and the less intensive anger management.


MA
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Highlights

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CBT based anger management achieved a risk reduction of 23% for general recidivism.

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CBT based anger management achieved a risk reduction of 28% for violent recidivism.

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Treatment completion may result in a 42% risk reduction in general recidivism.

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Treatment completion may result in a 56% risk reduction in violent recidivism.
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Anger management may be effective in reducing risk, especially violent recidivism.
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