Prediction of Water Flow Into Rock
Prediction of Water Flow Into Rock
convenient than numerical modelling because they allow tivity gradient, which is assumed to satisfy the exponen..
a rapid parametric study of design alternatives and rock tial form reported by Louis [6] and Thiel [7].
characteristics, which are often incompletely defined at
the feasibility and even at the design stage. The long-
term objective of the authors' research at the University HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY-DEPTH RELATION
of Waterloo is to develop an expert system for inflow The hydraulic conductivity of a rock mass (Fig. 1)
prediction that combines empirical predictions of hy- commonly decreases by several orders of magnitude in
draulic conductivity from rock mass quality, with con- the range of depths encountered in engineering and
ductivity test data where available, and feeds these mining projects [6-12]. This decrease is the result of
values into analytical solutions that have been tested and several factors; the joints become tighter because of an
extended by finite element modelling. increase in the ambient stress level, and also more widely
The available analytical solutions are few, and often spaced and less persistent beneath the zone of near-
restrictive in their assumptions. Polubarinova-Kochina surface weathering and stress relief [8, 11].
[1] obtained an infinite series solution to predict flow into These factors can be grouped into stress-dependent
a horizontal drift. Goodman et al. [2] derived a solution and stress-independent categories. The stress-dependent
for steady state inflow by assuming that water table factors, notably the effect of joint aperture closure, are
drawdown is negligible, as is the case for undersea particularly important because flow is proportional to
tunnels, and also a semi-empirical solution for unsteady the cube of the joint aperture [8, 13]. They can be
state flow beneath a water table. Bello-Maldonado [3, 4] dramatically altered by the drainage effects of the tunnel,
extended Goodman's unsteady state solution by as a result of effective stress variations. Some researchers
considering the inclined initial water table common in consider the decrease in aperture to be the only signifi-
mountainous areas. cant effect [7, 14]. However, the stress-independent
The assumption of a constant average hydraulic con- factors such as joint spacing variations can also be
ductivity independent of the depth below surface, in- important under some circumstances [8].
herent in each of the above solutions, is unrealistic and Several empirical and theoretical forms of hydraulic
can give misleading predictions [5]. In this paper the conductivity--stress~lepth relation are reported in the
authors extend Goodman's steady state model by taking literature [6, 10, 12, 15, t6]. One of the most important
into account the commonly observed hydraulic conduc- and simple relations was published by Louis in 1974
[6, 7, 14]. He obtained his formula from field measure-
ments which indicated the following exponential re-
K (m/s)
lation:
i0-Ii 10 -9 10 -7 j.O-5
0 K = Ks e x p ( - Ah), (1)
where
parts to account for the stress-dependent and stress-inde- then the governing equation and boundary conditions
pendent factors, i.e. the hydraulic conductivity-depth describing the problem of water inflow can be estab-
relation can be expressed as: lished as follows [2]:
y~T,~,w
(.J,.)
H
CONDITIONS
If we assume:
follows:
Q e x p ( ~L ) L)21
q,(x, y ) -
t- - -
8x ~ 8v 2 4 ~b +
~ exp 6(x - 0)6( v - L) = O,
(10)
• (x,y)l, =0 = 0, (1 la) -KoL~N/x'+(y + L)2 (13)
q'(x, y ) l , . ~ = 0 , (lib)
where Ko(x) is Bessers function of the second kind,
q~(x, y)l,~ +, = 0. (1 lc) order zero, which can be found from mathematical
handbooks [20].
To solve equation (10) with boundary conditions (1 la-c)
Applying the boundary condition that the hydraulic
we first apply the Fourier exponential transform for x to
head H is zero at the point x = d / 2 , y = L on the
the equation and boundary conditions giving:
opening periphery [2]:
82~ A2 +Qexp(~)6(y i L ~ ~ 0 ~ H(x = d/2, y = L) = 0
and and we have
~(~, y),. ~ = o
2Ki p• A2
4
2K~z exp[-(A + al)L][exp(aiHo) - 1]
solution (16) is simplified to Goodman's solution (see strates that for typical data, the difference between upper
Appendix B for details): and lower bound inflows is insignificant when the con-
ductivity gradient is small, less than 4% for A = 0.0001,
2K~xHo
but increases to 30% for A = 0.01. In practice, an inflow
estimate midway between upper and lower bound values
is likely to give predictions within + 15% which should
be adequate in most cases.
APPLICATION OF THE SOLUTION
INFLOW AS A FUNCTION OF DEPTH AND
Six parameters are needed when solution (16) is
TUNNEL DIAMETER
employed: H0, L, d, Ks, A and a~. The first three i.e. H 0,
L and d are known, K~ and A are measured, and a~ needs The upper bound (a 3 = 0) solution for inflow in terms
to be estimated. of Ks, (Q/Ks), and A is evaluated by equation (20) in
The constant K~ in the conductivity expression (1) is Figs 4-6 for various typical parameter values:
the surface intercept of the exponential conductivity
7w = 10 kN/m 3,
gradient, not the actual hydraulic conductivity at surface
which is a highly variable and unrepresentative quantity ~m = 26 kN/m 3,
that cannot be measured reliably. The way to obtain Ks
H o - L = 10m.
and A is by a visual or least-squares fit of a straight line
to a set of hydraulic conductivity measurements at Figure 4 gives the predicted inflows as a function of rock
different depths plotted on a log~0 conductivity vs depth depth L above tunnel centreline and conductivity
graph such as in Fig. 1. The negative slope of the line gradient A for tunnels of 4 and 16 m diameter. Each
divided by 0.4343 ( = log10 e) is the conductivity gradient of the curves except the one for A = 0 reaches a
A, and the intercept of the line on the log~0(K) axis maximum inflow at a certain depth (in some cases at a
(h =O) is Ks. greater depth than shown on the graph). The inflow
The parameter a~ can be written as follows according increases with increasing depth above this "peak point",
to the definition of the conductivity gradient: and then decreases as the depth of the tunnel becomes
even greater. Similar results are shown in Figs 6 and 7.
A = a2 + a 3 -- a I and therefore, a2 = A + aj - a 3.
The depth of maximum inflow is a function of the
Also from the definition of effective stress we have: hydraulic conductivity gradient. The peak becomes
deeper with decreasing A, until at A = 0 (Goodman's
al ~w
solution with a constant hydraulic conductivity), a
a2 ~/m monotonic increase of inflow with depth is obtained.
~w z/w( Previous parametric studies [21,22] show that Good-
al = - - a 2 = A -t-al-a3), man's solution can overestimate inflows by an order of
7m 7m
magnitude depending on the depth of hydraulic conduc-
~'w
al - - - (A - a3). (19) tivity measurements, and can underestimate them by
?m -- 7w about 30% when the calculations are based on measure-
Substituting a~ from (19) in (16) we obtain: ments at tunnel depth.
d = 16m 200.
200
Depth L
(m)
I f/,e/'\ \ Upper
400~; ~ Bbund
400
Upper II/ Lower
Bound
600I Bound
600
Lower
Bound
800 800
1000 - ~ 1ooo
A = 0.0001 A = 0.01
Fig. 3. Upper and lower bound inflows for a3= 0 and a3= A.
Q/Ks (m)
Q/Ks (m)
4OO 800 1200
I I
A = 0.01
200
20(
400
400
Depth L
(m)
600
600
800 800
1000
I000 (
d=4m
d=16m
Fig. 4. Effects of tunnel depth on predicted water inflow.
ZHANG and FRANKLIN: WATER FLOW INTO TUNNELS 43
Q/Ks (_m)
1 200
1 000 J
800"
L = lO00m
600"
400- k\
._~~~~~,
/ " = - "
L--6 0 m
200"
o
0.000 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.01 0
Hydraulic Conductivity Gradient A (m-l)
Fig. 5. Effects of hydraulic conductivitygradient A on predicted inflows.
The influence of hydraulic conductivity gradient A on influence coefficient matrix technique [23] was employed
water inflow can be seen from Fig. 5. Inflow decreases to obtain the hydraulic conductivity term:
with increasing A; the rate of decrease (6Q/t3A ) is greater
K = Ks exp( - A y ) = K1 exp( - a l H ) exp ( - Ay).
when A is less than 0.002, and becomes insignificant for
A greater than 0.005. Also, the deeper the tunnel, the For purposes of evaluation, typical parameters were
more rapidly the inflow decreases. This indicates that A assigned as follows:
only has a significant effect on inflow for tunnels deeper The results obtained are plotted in Fig. 6, where the
than about 60 m. solid lines are the analytical solutions and the symbols
are the numerical results. The analytical and the numeri-
VERIFICATION BY NUMERICAL MODELLING cal solutions generally agree closely. As expected, the
solutions diverge only for large tunnels close to the
To evaluate the reliability of the analytical solution surface, i.e. when the ratio of tunnel diameter to depth
and the effect of the sink term introduced in equation (4), becomes large. This error is believed to be produced by
a finite element model was applied to simulate the same the sink term in the analytical solution. For the typical
boundary value problem: range of data employed in the example, the difference
[(Qanat - Qnum)/Qanat] is less than 6% if the ratio of rock
a-~ L T~j ~ K =o, (21) cover to tunnel diameter L / d is greater than 7, and
exceeds 20% if L / d is less than 2. Depending on the
H (x, Y )ly =o = Ho, (22a)
required accuracy of prediction, a numerical solution
H(x, Y)ly~ o~= H0, (22b) may be preferred to equation (20) for shallow tunnels
H(x, Y)Lx~± ~ = H0, (22c) with rock cover less than about two to three tunnel
diameters.
H(x, y)l(: + y: = :/4) = 0 (22d)
where all conditions are identical with those for the
C O M P A R I S O N WITH REPORTED INFLOWS
analytical solution except that the sink term is replaced
by the real hydraulic head at the tunnel wall. A linear Figure 7 compares the values predicted by our sol-
triangle grid mesh was generated automatically. The ution with some records of tunnel water inflows
hydraulic conductivity gradient was assumed as [2, 21, 24-27] presented here in Table 1. The records in
A = a 2 - al (a3 = 0). Galerkin's method was applied to nearly every case are incomplete with respect to one or
equation (21) in the discretization process, and the more of the key controlling variables such as the length
of tunnel and the length unlined, extent of grouting,
44 ZHANGand FRANKLIN: WATER FLOW INTO TUNNELS
~Numerical
20O
~
20(
Analytica]
40( 400
Depth L
(m)
60C 600
-0 001 A=O.O00
800 800
1000 1ooo
hydraulic conductivity intercept Ks and gradient A (or unexpectedly in tunnel headings. To quote just one
the rock mass quality from which these can be esti- example, during a mucking cycle 3000 1/sec of water
mated). This points to a need for better records, but for "erupted" from the face of the Chivor II penstock tunnel
the present, the data available allow some tentative in Colombia. Sand from a very friable sandstone was
conclusions. carried to the portal some 1300 m away, and filled the
To prepare Fig. 7 some of the missing information tunnel [28].
has been estimated from general descriptions of
rock conditions. The predicted inflow curves have been Q (Lls.m)
superimposed for a conductivity gradient of A = 0.005 0 0.04 0.08 0.12
and for three values of Ks in the range 0.0004- 0 I I I I I I
0.015 m/sec. These values were selected to fit the appar- Depth L
ent trend of the data, and are for illustrative purposes (m)
only. However, they confirm that the trend of global
data with some exceptions as noted below is predicted 500
quite well by our solution with values of A and Ks similar
to those reported by Louis and others and reviewed
earlier in this paper. The comparison confirms the
\\ Ks=0015 m/s
general magnitude of A and K s values. Ks=O.O01 m/s
The data are consistent with an apparent peak inflow i000
in the depth range 200-500 m with reduced inflows at Ks=O.O004 m/s
greater depth. Notable exceptions to the general trend
include some unusually large inflows even at depths as
great as 1.5-2.5 km. These are likely to be caused by 1500
inflows from one or more major conductors such as
faults, karstic solution pipes in limestone or flow tops I'
in volcanic rocks, which remain open in spite of
high levels of ambient rock stress, and which conduct 2000
water under considerable pressure from shallower
depths. It is widely recognized that inflows originate I"
A=O.O05
from two geological sources: general seepages through
ubiquitous joints in the rock mass, and localized but
often highly conducting features that are responsible for 2500
the majority of serious incidents when encountered Fig. 7. Theoretical prediction and some are histories.
ZHANG and FRANKLIN: WATER FLOW INTO TUNNELS 45
Our solution attempts to predict ubiquitous seepages 30% for shallow tunnels in stress-relieved and weathered
only. Inflows from singular conductors are difficult if not rocks where .4 can approach 0.01. In practice, an
impossible to predict, and quantitative predictions are in estimate midway between upper and lower bound values
any case largely irrelevant because the aim is to intercept is likely to give predictions well within _+ 15% which is
and stop the flow. Thorough appreciation of tunnel adequate in most cases. Errors in measuring hydraulic
geology in relation to the probability of encountering conductivity are likely to exceed the errors of prediction.
singular conductors is thus absolutely necessary when The analytical model predicts that inflows are quite
tunnelling deep beneath the water table or under large insensitive to changes in the diameter of a tunnel (maxi-
bodies of water. Inflow is likely to be driven by a mum 2% increase of inflow per metre increase in
pressure close to the full hydrostatic head above the diameter). This agrees with the observation that inflows
tunnel, and to be transient during the period required to during the driving of a full-bore tunnel can be similar to
drain the conductor. Because pre-investigation costs are those from a pilot tunnel or exploratory drillhole ahead
so high, particularly for sub-sea tunnels, tunnelling of the face.
methods must often be adjusted to permit a pilot drift Inflow predictions can be improved with the help of
for exploration and grouting, or at least, to accommo- a more complete body of data on actual inflows during
date probing ahead of the face. tunnel driving as a function of rock conditions, and also
on the link between rock mass quality and hydraulic
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS conductivity. Reliable values for hydraulic conductivity
gradient and intercept are often unavailable when
Hydraulic conductivity under conditions of ubiqui- needed for design, particularly for undersea tunnels, but
tous seepage decreases with depth because of the com- can be estimated empirically from data on rock jointing.
bined effects of increasing stress and decreasing joint Inflow predictions and estimates of problems and costs
aperture and spacing. As a tunnel goes deeper the inflow for pumping, grouting and ground stabilization can best
at first increases and then decreases because the general be handled by an expert system approach with a
"tightening" of the rock mass overtakes the effect of the combination of empirical and analytical predictive tools.
increasing water head. This is contrary to the Goodman Separate consideration must be given to the ubiquitous
solution which predicts that inflows continue to increase inflows and to the possibility, consequences and
with the tunnel depth. treatment of singular conductors.
Some of the factors causing the decrease of hydraulic
conductivity with depth are stress-dependent and some
Accepted for publication 19 November 1992.
are not. Even though the stress-dependent factors are
usually dominant, the stress-independent factors can be
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46 Z H A N G and FRANKLIN: WATER FLOW INTO TUNNELS
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4Ksndp(x, y)
APPENDIX A Q= [x2+(y+L)2]"