Interactions Between Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Markets
Interactions Between Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Markets
Interactions Between Macroeconomic Policy and Financial Markets
Abstract: Numerous organizations, corporations, and governments exist, each with unique ambitions and
missions. However, nearly every single one desires two seemingly contrasting goals: growth and stability.
Regarding financial health, macroeconomic policy is the lever by which governments can drive future growth
and maintain present stability. Policy changes, both big and small, can dramatically affect a nation's
development in the short and long term. Governmental policymakers can direct economic progress by carefully
balancing monetary, fiscal, and developmental policies. This paper explores how these policies can be
leveraged by governmental organizations (e.g., The Federal Reserve) to stabilize and encourage short-term and
long-term economic health.
Keywords: Economic Health, Fiscal Policy, Financial Markets, Monetary Policy, The Federal Reserve.
I. INTRODUCTION
Before diving into the specific means by which a government can drive economic growth, it is helpful
to clarify the actual role a government must take. Governments are charged with managing many
responsibilities. These include financial concerns, national security, law, social responsibility, etc. Even within
the narrower realm of economic development, there are still many connected but discreet duties, such as
supporting future growth, keeping unemployment low, balancing income inequality, and others. Different
policies and circumstances can have varying effects on these outcomes, both negative and positive.
A good example of conflicting forces and outcomes lies in inflation, which is generally driven by a
supply and demand mismatch for goods or money (Frick, 2022). Despite its often negative depiction in the
media, inflation can be beneficial. To a degree, it can encourage economic activity and growth. Under
predictable inflationary conditions, consumers are more likely to buy goods today under the belief that they will
need to pay more for them in the future. In addition, money that is borrowed today to make investments in
growth (such as for new equipment or higher education) can be more easily paid in the future since the relative
value of the amount borrowed will decrease (Oner 2010). However, this is only true of disposable income. For
families that spend most of their income on necessities or receive a fixed income, inflation can be devastating
since income increases will sometimes lag behind increases in the price of goods (Oner, 2010). While this
summary is heavily simplified, it does demonstrate some of the opposing effects inflation can have. In this case,
a government might aim to allow for some degree of inflation while ensuring it does not spiral out of control. In
the real world, the US government and many other developed countries maintain goal inflation rates of about
2% (Garriga and Werner, 2022). Carefully balancing the numerous economic pressures that a country will
experience, of which inflation is just one of many, is the fundamental charge of governmental policymakers.
The first means by which a government can influence economic change is through monetary policy, or
in other words, policies set by a country’s central bank. In the United States, this would be the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve has several tools to influence the economy, but they generally lead to only one of two
outcomes: jumpstarting economic downturns by making it more attractive to take loans and invest (termed
expansionary policies) or braking economic overactivity by making it more appealing to save money (termed
contractionary policies) (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2012).
The federal funds rate is a critical metric that the Federal Reserve uses to determine its policies. This is
essentially the interest rate banks charge each other to make short-term loans, and it directly relates to the
attractiveness of borrowing by consumers and corporations. In essence, a lower federal funds rate encourages
spending and vice versa. The current federal funds rate is 4.25% to 4.50%, though in the past 50 years, it has
been as low as 0% during the Great Recession of 2008 and as high as 20% during a period of excess inflation in
1980 (O’Connell, 2022). The Federal Reserve will generally set a target federal funds rate and then attempt to
steer the economy toward that rate. Some of the traditional ways a central bank can accomplish its goals are by
changing the reserve requirement, conducting open market operations, and adjusting the discount rate (Federal
Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2012).
Conducting open market operations is another tool the Federal Reserve uses often. Here, the central
bank would buy or sell bonds to other banks, which generally own some governmental bonds. When the
Federal Reserve sells a bond to a private bank, the bank now has less money to loan out. This is akin to
increasing the reserve requirement and will also lead to contraction. If the Federal Reserve instead buys back a
bond a private bank previously owned, the opposite will occur.
Finally, the Federal Reserve can affect the market interest rate for loans by adjusting the discount rate,
which is the interest rate for loans taken by private banks themselves from the Federal Reserve. An increase or
decrease in the discount rate will be mirrored in the federal funds rate and the market interest rate, which
subsequently impacts the attractiveness of loans (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2012). Overall, these
policies can be extremely useful in maintaining stable growth. However, as previously mentioned, monetary
policy can only affect the economy along one axis and can only be broadly applied. It is most useful when
coordinated with other forms of macroeconomic policies.
Fiscal policies such as these have advantages and disadvantages. On the one hand, they allow the
government to support industries with positive externalities (effects outside of economics) or have inherent risk
worth mitigating. Subsidizing farming allows self-sufficiency in the case of nationwide or worldwide
emergencies and counteracts the risk of natural fluxes in environmental conditions (Amadeo, 2022). On the other
hand, fiscal policy is heavily political and can suffer from unequal application. Farming subsidies primarily
benefit larger farms, with the top 10% of subsidy recipients receiving 78% of the aid given out in the past 20
years (Amadeo, 2022). In general, politicians and political parties can have very different thoughts on an ideal
fiscal policy. Topics such as budget balancing, tax brackets, and industry subsidies are all prevalent and
contentious subjects of debate. Industries themselves, of course, also have a heavy stake in the outcome of these
debates and go through great efforts to influence the results. In 2022 alone, interest groups spent over 3 billion
dollars on lobbying the federal government (OpenSecrets, 2022). This amount, while already substantial, does
not account for lobbying at state or local levels. Finally, public perception influences also fiscal policy; certain
actions, such as raising taxes, can lead to strong public pushback and political backlash, even when
economically indicated.
V. CONCLUSION
A nation's economic health and direction are complicated problems to approach, with numerous
invested parties and external influences. Policymakers charged with the herculean task of keeping the economy
in a progressive equilibrium are handed only imperfect tools that they must apply to the best of their ability.
Despite these odds, there has been a longstanding trend of growth and progress. The economic machine may
not be a perfect one, but it is undeniably an impressive one. Other areas of exploration can examine how can
monetary and fiscal policy be leveraged to ameliorate the current recession as well as industry-specific
downturns (e.g., the technology sector).
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