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OR - Monte Carlo Simulation - Group 2

This document summarizes a simulation of a queuing problem. It shows the daily probability distribution of barge arrivals and unloading rates. It then lists the results of a 15-day simulation, tracking the number delayed from the previous day, nightly arrivals, and number unloaded each day. The averages show an average of 4.4 barges were delayed to the next day, 3 barges arrived nightly, and 3.2 barges were unloaded on average each day.

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Carl Harold Aranaydo
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27 views3 pages

OR - Monte Carlo Simulation - Group 2

This document summarizes a simulation of a queuing problem. It shows the daily probability distribution of barge arrivals and unloading rates. It then lists the results of a 15-day simulation, tracking the number delayed from the previous day, nightly arrivals, and number unloaded each day. The averages show an average of 4.4 barges were delayed to the next day, 3 barges arrived nightly, and 3.2 barges were unloaded on average each day.

Uploaded by

Carl Harold Aranaydo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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SIMULATION OF A

Cumulative Random-Number
Number of Arrivals Probability
Probability Interval
0 0.13 0.13 1 - 13
1 0.17 0.30 14 - 30
2 0.15 0.45 31 - 45
3 0.25 0.70 46 - 70
4 0.2 0.90 71 - 90
5 0.1 1.00 91 - 0

Number Delayed Number of Nightly


Day Random Number
from Previous Day Arrivals
1 0 18 1
2 0 28 1
3 0 30 1
4 0 31 2
5 0 19 1
6 0 92 5
7 2 48 3
8 2 92 5
9 5 84 4
10 7 98 5
11 9 57 3
12 9 86 4
13 10 79 4
14 11 76 4
15 11 43 2
AVERAGE 4.4 3

(a) Average number of barges delayed to the next day


4.4 barges
(b) average number of nightly arrivals
3 barges
(c) average number of barges unloaded each day.
3.2 barges
IMULATION OF A QUEUING PROBLEM

Cumulative
Daily Unloading Rate Probability
Probability
1 0.05 0.05
2 0.15 0.20
3 0.5 0.70
4 0.2 0.90
5 0.1 1.00

Total to be Unloaded Random Number Number Unloaded


1 0 5
1 17 2
1 91 5
2 88 4
1 23 3
5 21 3
5 52 3
7 11 2
9 11 2
12 52 3
12 70 3
13 57 3
14 48 3
15 73 4
13 54 3
7.4 3.2
Random-Number
Interval
1-5
6-20
21-70
71-90
91-0

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