RP 1051. Trial Application For Calibration Method For Building Energy Simulation
RP 1051. Trial Application For Calibration Method For Building Energy Simulation
To cite this article: Michael J. Gestwick & James A. Love (2014) Trial application of ASHRAE 1051-RP: calibration method for
building energy simulation, Journal of Building Performance Simulation, 7:5, 346-359, DOI: 10.1080/19401493.2013.838698
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Journal of Building Performance Simulation, 2014
Vol. 7, No. 5, 346–359, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19401493.2013.838698
Trial application of ASHRAE 1051-RP: calibration method for building energy simulation
Michael J. Gestwick and James A. Love∗
Faculty of Environmental Design, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive N.W., Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2N1N4
(Received 19 June 2013; accepted 24 August 2013 )
ASHRAE research project 1051-RP generated a method to improve the process of calibrating whole building energy sim-
ulation models based on monthly utility data. The approach, using manual generation of simulation model variations, was
applied to a 12,000 m2 high-performance, dual energy, cold climate building. This led to 27 models that met the ASHRAE
Guideline 14 monthly goodness-of-fit criteria for electricity, but had fit values for gas that were about 5–7 times the normalized
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mean bias error (NMBE) acceptance threshold. Five models met the criteria for natural gas and had acceptable coefficient of
variation of the root-mean-square error for electricity, but NMBE was about 100% too high. Use of finer interval monitored
data yielded a model with electrical NMBE about 60% above the acceptance threshold, and gas use about 200% above.
Hourly analysis of the thermal energy demand on the plant showed wide discrepancies with the estimates on an hourly and
half daily basis.
Keywords: calibrated simulation; measurement and verification; energy; monitoring
single “calibrated” model on the basis that exploring a range (5) use a set of the most plausible input vector solutions
of solutions would provide a more robust understanding of for the final calibration, Reddy and Maor arbitrarily
building performance: suggested using the top 20 (2006).
The conventional wisdom is that once a simulation model
is calibrated with actual utility bills, the effect of differ- Reddy, Maor, and Panjapornpon (2007a) wrote that while
ent intended ECMs can be predicted with some degree “the methodology is applicable to any building simula-
of confidence by making changes to one or more of the tion program, the scope [of their application examples]
model input parameters that characterize the ECM. Such . . . was restricted to the DOE-2 program”. They noted
thinking is clearly erroneous . . . While performing cali- that
bration, the many degrees of freedom may produce good
calibration overall even though the individual parameters it is necessary to be able to perform automated batch runs of
may be incorrectly identified. Subsequently, altering one or the [simulation] program. Several existing interfaces have
more of these incorrectly identified parameters to mimic been reviewed . . . but they all require the use of a text edi-
the intended ECM is very likely to yield biased predictions. tor to program the required input changes, and one cannot
(Reddy, Maor, and Panjapornpon 2007a, 230) import or export from external programs . . . [therefore] we
have decided to develop our own interface because of the
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Loads – schedules 7 Lighting, equipment, fans, space heating/cooling temperature, ventilation, auxiliary
electrical loads
Loads – envelope 3 Window shading coefficient, window and wall thermal transmittances
Loads – internal 2 Lighting and equipment power densities
Systems 7 Supply fan power, minimum outdoor air, minimum supply air, economizer, off/on
hours control, energy efficiency ratio
Plant 4 Cooling tower (fan power and control), cooling pumps and boiler efficiency
Auxiliary electric loads 1 Auxiliary electrical loads, no HVAC effect
the reasons for designating parameters as primary. Because 2.1. Case study building
sensitivity analyses were limited to the primary parameters,
The CDC is a 12,000 m2 four-storey building that con-
it is uncertain whether alternative parameters, such as
tains office and educational spaces (e.g. a children’s day
infiltration, might have offered better results than, for exam-
care on level 1), as well as additional space for an
ple, wall thermal transmittance. Reddy and Maor (2006)
enclosed one storey below grade parkade Calgary. Cal-
provided an extensive literature review that covered sen-
gary is at 51◦ north latitude and “very cold” (ASHRAE
sitivity analysis, and this was used as basis for selecting
2010) with mean annual temperature around 4◦ C.
influential parameters.
The CDC opened in October 2007, although the pho-
Schedules, which prescribe the variation of parame-
tovoltaic (PV) system only began operation in May 2008.
ters over time, are highly influential. Seven schedules were
A consultant was retained to commission the building sys-
included among 1051-RP influential parameters (Table 2).
tems to meet the Leadership in Energy and Environmental
Reddy and Maor (2006) noted that schedules have three
Design (LEED) best practice commissioning requirements.
diurnal degrees of freedom (DOF), which may be described
Extensive efforts were made to achieve lower than typ-
as intensity, duration, and occurrence (affected intervals).
ical heating and cooling loads and to meet the remaining
Seasonal changes introduce an additional DOF. The 1051-
loads in an energy-effective manner. The typical effective
RP case study sensitivity work used maxima and minima
wall and roof thermal transmittances were about 0.43 and
schedules that were large deviations from the starting point
0.17 W/m2 K, respectively. The fixed and operable window
and differed from the refinement process that might be
transmittances were about 1.9 and 2.3 W/m2 K, respec-
preferred if the starting point had been known with a
tively. The solar heat gain coefficient was 0.32. The building
fair degree of certainty, such as schedules developed from
has a low overall window-to-wall ratio of 0.21, intended
empirical data (Abushakra et al. 2001). 1051-RP minimum
to reduce thermal exchanges; the south-facing windows
value schedules for lighting, equipment, and fans matched
are shaded by a 43 kWp PV array, with the shading effect
schedules in ASHRAE 90.1-1989 (ASHRAE 1989).
included in the model. The south perimeter areas have over-
As Lam and Hui (1996) found for a subtropical cli-
head radiant cooling panels. Perimeter heating was provided
mate, “sensitivity tends to follow the end-use components
via below window fin tube radiation, selected to allow low
that consume the most energy” and “input design variables
return water temperatures to enhance the operating effi-
affecting these components will have significant influence
ciency of the two 360 kW condensing boilers. The main
on the annual building energy consumption”. The influence
level of the building houses educational spaces that are
of boiler efficiency in Mottillo (2001) reflected the cold
served by a displacement ventilation system (AHU-1) with
climate.
enthalpy wheel ventilation heat recovery, due to the rela-
It is to be expected that a review of sensitivity analyses
tively high fraction of outdoor air. Levels 2 to 4, which
yields no universal set of influential parameters. General
mainly house offices and related spaces, have a ducted
trends emerged, such as the strong influence of parame-
underfloor air distribution system (AHU-2). Both systems
ters directly affecting the large end uses, as well as regional
were recirculating, with air- and water-side economizers
trends, such as the high impact of internal loads and cool-
and variable speed drives to support variable flow. The
ing parameters in subtropical regions. The importance of
chiller capacity was near 400 kW, about one-third of that
experience and judgement in the selection of parameters
found in typical contemporary buildings. The average con-
was evident in the literature; given limited resources, one
nected lighting power density in the areas fitted out at the
cannot test all parameters and must identify those likely to
time of the calibration study was about 7.5 W/m2 , with
be the most influential.
occupancy sensors in many spaces.
Journal of Building Performance Simulation 349
Building utility meters Total natural gas, total electricity use (monthly) Elec: December 2007; gas: October 2007
Energy management meter Total electric power at 15 min intervals 15 January 2008
PV transducer logger PV power (hourly) June 2008
Elec. Monitoring Plug, lighting by floor; panels about 90–100% 5 January 2008
“pure”; the large 3000 m2 floor plates made
perfect separation of loads prohibitively expensive;
elevators, 15 min intervals
Building management system Electricity (fan, pump, chiller), gas submeters (each Varied
boiler, service water heater, parkade make-up air
unit), flow meter for hydronic heating loop, node
temperature, flow rate, etc.
Microloggers On–off for lighting Varied
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The CDC has unusually extensive built-in monitoring Inspection of the wall assembly information suggested
systems (Table 3), selected to meet the then existing LEED that a framing percentage of 0.08% for the Z-bar wall sys-
measurement and verification credit requirements. tems was more realistic than the nominal 0.37% (NRCan
2007); the wall parameters were adjusted accordingly.
Chiller power, pump efficiencies, tankless service water heater efficiency U Continuous
Section 1.1.1), with a larger range for the “complex” net. EE4 lacks an input mechanism for exterior lighting.
building than the “simple” one for the “synthetic” case stud- Estimates projected that PV would produce about 10% of
ies. For the actual building, the ranges tested were highly annual electricity use (excluding process and plug loads).
variable and at times an order of magnitude different from Exterior lighting cannot be modelled in EE4.
the base value. Based on this, ±30% was used because (a)
the CDC is a complex building and (b) it was believed that
the inputs were known within an order of magnitude due to a 2.4.2.1. Calibration with monthly energy-use data. The
high degree of familiarity with the project. Exceptions were top five SIPs were identified by the sensitivity analysis.
infiltration and outdoor air flow rate. The former is fixed in The lead author of Reddy and Maor (2006) recommended
EE4, while adjustment of the latter is time-consuming for that “less than ten” be used. The number of parameter
a large building (see the first paragraph of Section 2.4.2.1). vectors (M ) for (N ) USIPs is given by M = 3N , result-
Schedule perturbations were the same as in Reddy and ing in 243 and 720 unique parameter vectors with 5 and
Maor (2006). They omitted occupancy and SHW from the 6 USIPs, respectively. Assuming 0.5 h to set up, simulate,
influential parameters, so no alternative schedules were and process the data from each vector, moving from 5 to 6
available for these; default schedules were perturbed ±10% USIPs would have increased the processing time from about
in terms of intensity. The EE4 built-in options were used for 120 to 360 person-hours, or from about 1 person-month to
other discrete parameters (e.g. floor weight). The sensitiv- about 3 person-months. Given the resources available for
ity of these parameters was evaluated to identify those most the project, five USIPs were considered the feasible limit.
influential. The monthly calibration used the base model and the top
five influential input parameters (SIPs) determined from the
sensitivity analysis: boiler efficiency, infiltration, lighting
2.4.2. Calibration approach and equipment schedules, and fixed window U -value. Fan
As noted in Section 1, the batch program used to run the schedules, while identified as highly sensitive, were omitted
sensitivity simulations in Reddy and Maor (2006) would because their operational hours were known with a high
have been difficult to apply. Development of the full SIP degree of certainty, a result of the initial walk-through audit.
selection method defined in 1051-RP was beyond the time Outdoor air fraction was considered in lieu of fixed
and resources available for this study, so an approach was window U -value, because their sensitivities were nearly
developed for this study incorporating some of the pro- identical, but was omitted since the parameter would have
cedures used in 1051-RP. The most influential SIPs were had to be changed zone by zone in the 40 zone EE4 model.
defined heuristically using the findings of past studies and The heat recovery system effectiveness was omitted from
the author’s judgement. the parameters deemed “influential” that were tested in
For research purposes, two stages of model calibrations the sensitivity analysis. Sensitivity to this parameter could
were conducted: (1) one using monthly data and (2) one be assessed to some extent from the sensitivity to out-
using shorter interval subsystem data. The monthly cali- door air rates (see discussion in the second paragraph of
bration was conducted prior to the detailed calibration to Section 2.4.2.1) (comparable to sensitivity to window trans-
avoid modeller bias from analysing the end uses. It was lim- mittance). One of the limitations of the DOE2 variable
ited to monthly data, except for (1) PV production and (2) air volume module is that the preheat coil is hard-coded
exterior lighting. An exception was made for PV end-use as positioned behind (downstream of) the energy recovery
data, because the monthly building energy-use data were system, which is the opposite configuration typical in cold
Journal of Building Performance Simulation 351
climates, due to the need to raise the temperature of outdoor less than that of the measurements, because, as the
air to control frosting in heat recovery systems when out- number of measurements increases, the CV(RMSE)
door air temperatures are below 0◦ C. Another limitation is decreases. Reddy and Maor (2006) suggested using
that while it has been known since the early 1980s (Besant the Akaike information criterion (1985).
and Bugg, 1983) that heat recovery performance degrades in (3) Direct comparison of CV(RMSE) values based on
cold weather, DOE2 represents heat recovery effectiveness different time scales (i.e. different values for n)
as a single fixed number. These problems impede sensitivity is statistically incorrect. A proper statistical solu-
analysis for ventilation heat recovery. tion to deal with this specific case remains to be
The five SIPs were discretized using the methods identified.
described below. Unique vector parameters and correspond- (4) Uncertainty in measured data is not addressed.
ing versions of the simulation were developed, each with a ASHRAE Guideline 14 (ASHRAE 2002) assigns
unique identifying code. The GOF was determined using (1) zero error to utility data. Reddy and Maor (2006)
normalized mean bias error (NMBE) and (2) the coefficient suggested this is never really the case and that
of variation of the root-mean-square error (CV(RMSE)) the combination of reading the meter at different
(ASHRAE 2002): times on different days of the month (when using
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results in 27 schedule variations. This is beyond a reason- ASHRAE recommends a “proper uncertainty analysis
able manual input effort, so an alternative approach was evaluating the instrumentation under consideration and data
adopted. Specifically, for lighting and equipment, schedules expected to be gathered should be performed prior to testing
for medium and large buildings were taken from 1093-RP, to refine the measurement system to the level of uncertainty
a research project that used empirical data to develop load desired” (2002). Most of the instrumentation used in this
profiles for office buildings (Abushakra et al. 2001). These study was “built in” as part of construction; an uncertainty
schedules provided adequate variability from the base case analysis was not provided. Therefore, the initial calibration
and, when compared with those used in IPMVP (2006), they and maintenance of the instrumentation had to be taken
provided profiles closer to those of the study building. For in good faith, a practice with precedent in dealing with
all other schedules, this study used those provided in Reddy monitored data from buildings (Abushakra et al. 2001).
and Maor (2006). Nevertheless, this practice introduces undesirable uncer-
tainty in the results. Additionally, the precision of some
instruments installed in the field was unknown and poor
2.4.2.2. Detailed calibration. The goal of the detailed installation (e.g. airflow sensor installed near pipe elbow)
calibration was to use field data to reduce the number of further degraded information quality and there was “no way
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unknown inputs in the simulation and thus alleviate the to quantify these other effects” (IPMVP 2006). For these
“curse of dimensionality” (Reddy and Maor 2006). Data reasons, quantitative uncertainty analysis was omitted.
relating to parameters with “D” or “I” classifications in The data for individual parameters were reviewed for
Table 4 were analysed. Time constraints precluded con- points that were missing or faulty (e.g. efficiencies greater
sideration of all available data; parameters determined to than 100%). Missing data points were dealt with in one
be most influential were the focus. of two ways. If a large gap existed the data points were
The IPMVP (2006) notes that errors occur in three areas: removed from the sample. If only a few data points were
modelling, sampling, and measurement. All three were rel- missing amid other data showing steady-state behaviour,
evant to varying degrees. Modelling error is a function of the average of the neighbouring data was used as an accept-
the simulation program’s numerical methods and capacity. able replacement (ASHRAE 2002). Faulty data points were
For the initial analysis, based on monthly data, envisioned removed from the sample.
as the most common application case by Reddy, Maor, and
Panjapornpon (2007a, 2007b), the building gas and electric-
ity use was measured with utility grade meters, for which
the error is about 0.5%. The PV logging system had similar 3. Results
accuracy. The exterior lighting electricity use was calcu- 3.1. Calibration with monthly energy-use data
lated based on monthly dusk to dawn hours and installed The initial simulation energy end-use estimates are shown in
exterior lighting power. Since exterior lighting electricity Figure 1. The monthly model was calibrated using monthly
use was only about 1.3% of total annual electricity use, even utility data for gas and electrical energy use; utility demand
a 10% error would amount to only 0.1% of total electricity data were not used, because the PV logging system reported
use. only hourly kWh use. The utility, PV, and estimated exte-
Sampling and measurement errors resulted from the rior illumination energy data are provided in Table 5. Two
CDC monitoring systems (Table 3). For example, the BMS adjustments were made to the utility data so it would more
logged 15 min “point-in-time” values rather than the aver- realistically match the model output: (1) electricity supplied
age value over the interval. Further, some logs (i.e. power by the PV array was added to the utility meter values and (2)
demand with the electrical systems logger) combined end the simulation excluded exterior illumination; the monthly
uses. These records were predominantly used to develop electricity demand for exterior illumination was calculated
custom lighting and equipment schedules for various areas
of the building. A lack of supplemental data precluded sep-
arating the loads. In cases where the additional load was
relatively small (e.g. an exhaust fan included in an entire
floor’s installed lighting capacity), the effects of the addi-
tional load was assumed negligible. In cases where loads of
comparable size were mixed, or where an additional load
was thought to have a large influence on the demand profile,
the parameter being evaluated was reclassified “U” and con-
sidered for inclusion in the input vector component of the
calibration. If selected, the median, 25th percentile, and 75th
percentile defined the base, minimum, and maximum dis-
cretized inputs, respectively. These were evaluated relative
to the installed capacity of the parameter under review. Figure 1. CDC base model annual energy end-use estimate.
Journal of Building Performance Simulation 353
Table 5. CDC 2008 adjusted monthly utility data (PV production included, exterior lighting excluded).
NMBE CV(RMSE)
CDC base ASHRAE CDC base ASHRAE
model criterion model criterion
change in average SC for gas was 3% and negligible for buildings as a basis for annual energy calculations of build-
electricity, confirming the appropriateness of the range ings (Abushakra et al. 2001). These offered a more realistic
and exhibiting the diminishing returns from increasing the load profile without dramatically changing the overall load
thermal performance of this envelope component for this relative to the 1051-RP schedules (Reddy and Maor 2006).
design. The range for infiltration was reasonable given the They are identified in Table 7 by the prefix “RP1093”.
results of past research on infiltration in Canadian office The GOF indices were calculated based on monthly
buildings (Shaw, Reardon, and Cheung 1993). electricity and gas use for each unique input parameter vec-
tor. Of all 243 variations (each assigned a distinct code in
3.1.1.3. System parameters. Make-up air unit (parking the file name), none simultaneously met ASHRAE calibra-
garage) efficiency was highly influential for gas. Other influ- tion criteria for electricity and gas. Certain combinations
ential system parameters included the outdoor air rate (for did result in either gas or electricity meeting GOF criteria.
gas use), and lighting and equipment power densities, for Some of those that most closely met the GOF criteria for
electrical use. gas were outside the NMBE range for electricity by only
about 10% (i.e. 16% versus 15%).
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Parameter ID Base Max. Min. D− low (1) D− mid (2) D− high (3)
Note: The “D” values are the discretized inputs used in the calibration process.
Journal of Building Performance Simulation 355
3.2.1. Detailed calibration – stage 1: energy end-use against which Raftery, Keane, and O’Donnell (2011) cau-
analysis tioned. It is also exemplifies the modelling uncertainty that
For the detailed calibration, the base-case model was Reddy, Maor, and Panjapornpon (2007a) sought to address.
updated based on measured energy end-use data. The boiler efficiency increases with cold weather (the DOE2
default condensing boiler part load curves model efficiency
3.2.1.1. Boiler efficiency. Figure 1 illustrates the influ- as declining with increasing load), while the heat recovery
ence of heating (and, hence, heating plant efficiency) on effectiveness (a fixed number in DOE2) actually decreases,
overall energy use. The CDC has two high-efficiency con- and vice versa. If one thought the boiler model were correct,
densing boilers. The overall heat production efficiency one might further derate the heat recovery effectiveness to
(thermal energy supplied versus fuel value of the natural achieve satisfactory GOF, but this would be wrong in terms
gas burned) was much less than the rated efficiency used of equipment performance.
in the base simulation model. Further, the efficiency was
found to be proportional to load, contrary to manufacturer’s 3.2.1.4. Lighting power. Analysis of power panel data
curves based on steady-state lab measurements, which are revealed a 1 h time shift in the first quarter of 2008. While
data before and after the spring daylight savings time (DST)
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Table 8. Monthly GOF indices for electricity, updated base the non-ventilation (mainly envelope and internal) gains
model. were plotted. These are closer to expectation, with the load
low near midday due to internal gains and higher at night,
NMBE CV(RMSE)
although it is difficult to understand the total load being
CDC updated ASHRAE CDC updated ASHRAE lower than this during the latter part of the day. The mea-
base model criterion base model criterion sured heating energy use was higher midday, as would be
8.4% 5% 11.5% 15% expected due to ventilation heating.
4. Conclusions
measured values in June, the same month when measured
gas use began to exceed simulated gas use. A likely expla- Reddy, Maor, and Panjapornpon (2007a) wrote that, while
nation was increased occupant numbers (with associated their “analytical optimization” method was “applicable to
lighting equipment heat gains) as the building population any building energy simulation program, the scope [of
increased after the October 2007 official opening. In the very their application examples] . . . was restricted to the DOE-2
cold regional climate (while rare, snowfall can be experi- program”. They created a customized batch processing pro-
enced in July and August), heating requirements are reduced gram to run the many simulation model variations required
by increased internal gains. It was beyond the resources by their method. In this study, the more common case of a
available to the researchers to track occupant numbers on simulation program with a GUI was considered. Outside a
an ongoing basis. research environment with resources to create a batch sys-
Many data from the electrical logging system were not tem for a given GUI, it is unlikely that modellers would have
used in adjusting the model due to uncertainty regarding the time and resources to create a batch system to run sim-
some logged circuits. Despite this, the GOF was about 60% ulations. The work involved in sensitivity analysis could
above the acceptance threshold. There were no relevant be offset to some extent, by the development of libraries
parameters in the model that could be used as a proxy for of “heuristic templates” akin to the building-specific ones
uncertain electrical data, nor was it appropriate to input advocated by Reddy, Maor, and Panjapornpon (2007a) that
the data as a sensible process load, because of uncertainty would provide characterization of parameters by climate
regarding spatial allocation of this load. region and building type. An alternative would be to use a
different calibration approach, such as the signature anal-
ysis approach (Liu et al. 2005). As Raftery, Keane, and
3.3. Evaluation of hourly heating plant load O’Donnell (2011) have argued, the confidence in calibration
The heating plant thermal output metering allowed com- is much higher when hourly data are considered.
parison of simulated and measured hourly values on an The test building was a 12,000 m2 high-performance
hourly basis. This was carried out from 16 January 2009 to “complex” (dual energy) cold climate building. More than
June 2009, after replacement of a return water temperature 200 model variations were created manually to test model
sensor found to be faulty in 2008. The 16 January results variations. This generated 27 models that met the monthly
(Figure 5) were similar to those for other winter days. The GOF criteria for electricity, but had fit values for gas that
simulated total heating load shows a surprising pattern – were about 5–7 times the NMBE acceptance threshold. Five
very high at night and near 0 in the latter half of the day. models met the criteria for natural gas and had acceptable
Fan and outdoor schedules were checked to ensure they CV(RMSE) for electricity, but NMBE was about 100% too
were zeroed overnight. To better understand the estimate, high. Use of finer interval (hourly) monitored data yielded
Journal of Building Performance Simulation 357
a model with electrical NMBE about 60% above the accep- commercial and institutional buildings. For example, Fisk
tance threshold, and gas use about 200% above. Modelling et al. (2012) conducted a major study of DCV in schools
of the boiler plant was a known and quantified primary with measurement of CO2 levels, but energy effects were
source of problems with GOF. studied by simulation. Even less was found on in situ per-
Standard boiler part load efficiency curves show higher formance of enthalpy recovery systems in commercial and
efficiency with lower load, which is the case in other major institutional buildings. While Shang and Besant (2008) pro-
simulation programs (e.g. in ESP-r as per Cockroft, Samuel, posed methods for assessing heat recovery effectiveness,
and Tuohy 2007). Contrary to this, input–output analysis none of the articles that cited this publication seem to have
that was undertaken for the case study building around the carried out field measurements. Current versions of major
same time as the calibration study (aaa 2013, personal com- simulation programs (e.g. DOE2) treat effectiveness as a
munication) found boiler plant efficiency declining with single value, while, for many systems, it declines at outdoor
load at two buildings. Relatively little has been published temperatures that cause frosting.
on in situ performance of heating plants, but Ratkovich Discrepancies between modelled and actual perfor-
et al. (2011) also found lower than expected efficiency. mance for boilers, ventilation heat recovery systems, and
Orr, Lelyveld, and Burton (2009) found that efficiency DCV systems will result in discrepancies between measured
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was relatively constant except at very low loads (below and simulated whole building energy use that will, gener-
about 10% of capacity) for about 60 condensing boilers ally, increase with climate severity. More field studies are
with return water temperature in the condensing range in needed to better characterize actual system performance.
single-family dwellings. Butcher’s (2007) lab study of a Methods that rely on monthly utility data (e.g. as opposed
condensing boiler of unstated capacity also found declining to short-term subsystem monitoring) will be particularly
efficiency with declining load, although no explanation was susceptible to errors in calibration. That is, models may be
offered. It would be difficult to accurately model and cali- calibrated but erroneous due to uncertainties in subsystem
brate a simulation model with any method if the algorithm performance, which could result in problems such as error in
representing a major energy using system has large discrep- evaluating the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency mea-
ancies with respect to measured performance. It was also sures in energy performance contracting. Raftery, Keane,
found that the pattern of whole building hourly heating load and O’Donnell (2011) developed and advocated a method
computed by DOE2 was quite different from that measured based on use of hourly measured subsystem energy-use val-
in the building, although the daily match was much better. ues, commenting that “monthly data analyses can easily
On an annual basis, the measured and simulated total miss significant errors at a daily or hourly resolution”. The
energy use were reasonably close, about 1320 GJ measured results provided in this paper show that higher resolution
electricity use versus 1050 GJ simulated and about 5040 GJ data can be crucial in forming a correct understanding of
measured natural gas use versus 5400 GK simulated for the performance of energy systems. It will likely be many
the simulation model pre-calibration, after adjustment for years before such high-resolution data are commonly avail-
observed operating conditions (e.g. as opposed to perfor- able for buildings, in which case approaches that allow for
mance rating values for lighting in areas yet to be fitted undetermined outcomes, such as Reddy, Maor, and Pan-
out). In term of performance rating, this is reasonably good. japornpon (2007a), could be useful. However, more detailed
However, in terms of systems analysis for purposes of eval- characterization of field performance and modelling of key
uating EEMs and ongoing commissioning, much better fits systems such as boiler plants, ventilation heat recovery, and
would be desirable. DCV will be required to use even such less precise methods
While the model fit was poor, the measured energy with confidence.
use was low, especially considering the climate – about It is recommended that major combustion devices in
500 MJ/m2 , which is around the median of the simula- commercial and institutional buildings over about 2000 m2
tion estimate for LEED platinum buildings (Frankel and floor area (e.g. boilers, parking garage make-up air units) be
Turner 2008). It may be that full occupancy of the build- equipped with instrumentation (e.g. gas meters, flow meters
ing will yield better model fit, since lighting and equipment on hot water loops) to allow assessment of input–output
energy use would increase, making distortions from other efficiency. This is relatively inexpensive if included in con-
systems less significant. It would be useful to redo the struction documents at the time of new construction. Gas
calibration under these conditions. It is expected that heat- meters should be as high in resolution as possible.
ing would decrease, due to these internal gains. It would Torcellini et al. (2006) recommended that “monitoring
also be useful to do the calibration with another simula- systems should be separate” from the BMS. The authors
tion engine, especially with respect to short-term (hourly) feel this has advantages and disadvantages. Installing a sys-
heating performance. tem that would parallel all of the data points covered by the
The CDC was also equipped with ventilation heat BMS would be very expensive, even if a dedicated monitor-
recovery (AHU-1 only) along with room and central CO2 ing system would likely have greater reliability in terms of
demand-controlled ventilation (DCV). Relatively little has data collection. A separate monitoring system also requires
been published on the field performance of these systems in knowledge of operation of an additional system, which may
358 M.J. Gestwick and J.A. Love
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