←

Poissiintist
 BINOMIAL
-
NoRmAL_
✗ ~ Bcn , p ) ✗ -
N ( µ , 04

µ → mean

n
→
# of trials
r → sd

p → # of success

g- → vav

50 elec comp Z
I-II
-
-
=

Peob → fail → 10%

✗ → 2 → peob
ncrqn rpr
-

P(X=r ) =

7 Rules

F- (X )
=np
✗
prob → z →

Vary =
npq 2 rules

Normal
approx to Bin .
 Poisson Dist .

Time

✓ A Tel
operator revs
⑥ calls uioneh0u↳

✓ sweet buns with approx ☒ raisins

A
bakery produces
uieachb④
Length
has ③
g- left long
✓ A piece flaws
Length

✓ A ☒ stretch
of road has ☒ potholes
volume
✓ A [email protected] as ⑤ bacteria init
Area

✓ A land has ⑤ coconut trees

SPACE
TIME + Mean #
of occurrences

✗ Tinie
→ mean F-
of occurrences in a
specified
or
Space interval

✗ ~ Po (d)
 → one hour → ✗ ~ Po (6)

SINGLY

RANO

INO F- P

CONST RATE
 ✗ ~ Po (d)

P( ✗ = x ) =

É?y where ✗ =
0,1 , 2,3 - - i

✗ - Po (6)

°
•
P( ✗ =o
) = e- (6) = a

¥ , one

P( ✗ =L ) =

é⇐one= b

P( ✗ =D
=é÷65 = c

e-Y.ly#=dPCx--
P( ✗ =3) =

• 4
4) = e- (6) = e
 e-%f5-i-e-Y.co#+e-Ib-.-oao
Pisa ) =

[ IT -1¥ -1¥ ]
•
i : : ; I
,
I = e-
✓ ✓ ✓

P( ✗ 73 ) = I -
P( ✗ £2)

P( ✗ < 4) = PCX =3
)
#•

: : : : :
✓ - r ✓

P( ✗ > 5) =
P(×
= I -

P( ✗ £5)

•→

: : : : : : :
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
 SINGLE RANGE
LESS THAN

PCx=× )
--é?.
OR
EQUAL To

whee ✗ =
0,1 , 2,3 . . . so P( ✗ I ☐ )

=é^[¥+¥+¥+¥+ :]
 ✓ ✓
-

5min → ④ → A

People Trine ( min )

i,
4 5 4 (1) = 5 ✗

I
✗ =
415 OR 0-8
✗

✗ - Po ( 0.8 )

( o 85
- o -
8

P( )
-

e→
✗ =2 = =

cii , Tinie 1m¥) people

300 - 4 4 ( 15 ) =
3004
15
y =60_ OR 0.2
-

y
300

Y ~ Polo 2)
-

P(Y=o)
=é
×
P(Y=o ) = e-
Pcatleastone ) = I -
P( zero )

✗ ~ Po (d) Time ( Mii ) # of people

^
e- 5 4
P( ✗ =o ) =
→

2-30
PC ✗ 31 ) = I -

p(✗ =o ) t →

^
= 1 -
e- 4T = b- (2-30)

✗
1 - e- = 0.9 t = 2.875min .

✗
+ e- =
✗ 0.1

×
line In
-

= 0.1

-
A line = -
2.30

✗ = 2 '
30

t
people
Time (
mins # of particles

}
150 → 0.7
✗ = 2- 8

600 → ✗

✗ ~ Po (2-8)

P( ✗ £2 )

£8
[
+2¥
e- 2.8° '

-12¥ ]
=

F.

=
 - -

Time ( mins
) # of particles ✗ ~Po( d)

✗
150 → 0.7 P( ✗ =o
) = e-

✗
t → 0.01005 e- 30.99

lne-dzluo.gg
t (0-7) =
0.01005 ( 150 )

t = 2.15 mins .
☒ life ⑤ 0-01005

①
✗ ⑤ 0.01005
 Ledo - Poisson Dist

a
Normal approx to Binomial
I .
) ( 0¥ ) .

and > 5
nq

F- (x ) Varix )=npq
=
np

✗ ~ B (100,0-2)
u
←
✓
n = 100
hp =2

10=0.2 nq = go
✓ ✓ oh
0.8 = 100 Co -
2) (0.8 )=☒
q =
npq

✗ ~
N ( 20,16 )
 Poisson Approx . to BINOMIAL
( Disc )
( Disc )
.

~ B ( nip ) ✗ ~ Po ( X )
✗

ECX) =
np EH )=④
~
✓
If
and
np

✗ ~ Po(n#)

B ( 100 0.01 ) n 100 ✓ n > 50

✗ ~
,
=

0.01 100 (0-01)

p =
np
=

= ① ✓

t
np< 5

i. ✗ - Po (1)
 ( Defective ) 45000
P
¥0 n =
=

✗ ~ B ( 450001
¥)
n = 45000 ( n 350 ✓ )

np = 45000
( ¥) =
4^-5 ( np < 5)

i. ✗ ~ Po ( 4. 5)

""
P( ✗ = 2) =
e- [4^5-2]
2
!
""
P( ✗ =3 ) = e- [
4j5÷ ]
44.5¥
" is
P( ✗ =
4) = e- [ ]

sum → = e-
45
[ I +
" +
I;? ]
=
 P =

¥ ( Laser Treatment )

n = 2700 ✓

np = 2700
( ¥0 ) ✗ ~ B( 2700
,
¥)
and
=
95 OR I -8
if since n > 50 np < 5

i. ✗ ~ Po (1-8)

8-

Pcx > 2)
;
1
; L L,
- - - i

,
✓ ✓ ✓

P( ✗ 33 )

I -

P(×<
"•

, -
e- [ 1
?÷ +1¥ +
÷? ]
'

=
 ✗
BINOMIAL DIST

, , ,, ,
, POISSON APPROX To Bin

y , , , ,
,
¥g ,
.

P( ✗ =r ) ncrqn rpr
-

=
np =
¥-00
^
P( ✗ =o
) _-
nco (149-9)^1 ,¥°
1500
P( ✗ =o
) =
e-

71500
e-
=(¥÷5
=

"
71500
e-
1T¥ ) < o.o , < 0.01

(¥
"'" °
en < be co -
01 ) lu e- < In o.o ,

nln(t¥ ) < - 4- 605

-

ry, soo line < In 0.01

~
-
(-00-0006668) < 0-(4-605)
① (1) ⑥ 0-4.605
¥0
n ⑦ + 6906 . . . .
n > 6907 -5
↳ c #←
i. n = 6907 ✓ n = 6908 .
Led 03 Poisson Dist [ NORMAL APPROX To Poisson ]

(cont) .
sc )

cc ✓

✗ ~ Po (d) F- (X
) = A = Vary )

If X > 15 : . ✗ ~ N ( X ,
X )
 NORMAL DIST .
7 Rules → peobo

✗ ~ N( µ F) ,

Z
The first 4 Rules → single value fz
X
=

<

(I ) PCZ ☒ a) = 0 (a) → value read directly

fear the table

P ( Z E 1.645 ) = 95% OR 0 -9500

(E) PCZ > a) = I -

PCZ _< a)
= I -

0 (a)

PCZ 3 1.96 ) = I -

¢ (1-96)
= 1 - O -

975

= 0.025 OR 2- 5%

( at ) PCZ > D- a) (E) Plz f -☐a )

flip ineq + Remove -

resign

P ( Zz a)
P ( z s a)

Rule I Rule I
 The Next 3 Rules -
Range of rakes of 2

(E) P ( as 2 < b) =
0 (b) -
0 (a)

PC I < Z <
2) =
(2) -

04)

=
0.9772 - o -
8413

Rule

/
=

pfq < z < -

e) = P ( r < z < q )

PC -2 - 5 < z < -
I -

2) = P ( I -2 < z < 2-
5)

=
0/(2-5) -
0/(1-2)

#-) PC - s < Z < t ) = (5) + 0€ ) - l

PC -
l < 2 <
2) =
(1) + 04 ) -
I

= 0.8413 to -9772 -
I

=
 I, ✗ ~Po( 6) His Time limit →
20min

P(x=5)=é;¥5 (2)
Y - Po

PCYZI ) = I -
PC -1=0 )
2
= I - e-
=

ciii ) 4 hrs → d = 4×6=24 F- (X ) =

24 -- Vary )

W ~ Po( 24 ) : since X > 15

i. W ~ N( 24,24 )

P ( ✗ < 20 ) ←> PC ✗ < 19-5 )

pcz
l9d4÷)
<

i210^5
19.5
Pf z < -
0.919 )
PC Z > + 0.919 )
8186
Le_c#°3
÷ , of co 919 )
-
-

,
-
[ -3 =