Using Pivot Points For Predictions
Using Pivot Points For Predictions
We often hear market analysts or experienced traders talking about an equity price nearing a
certain support or resistance level, each of which is important because it represents a point at
which a major price movement is expected to occur. But how do these analysts and
professional traders come up with these so-called levels? One of the most common methods is
using pivot points, and here we take a look at how to calculate and interpret these technical
tools.
R2 = P + (H - L) = P + (R1 - S1)
R1 = (P x 2) - L
P = (H + L + C) / 3
S1 = (P x 2) - H
S2 = P - (H - L) = P - (R1 - S1)
Here, "S" represents the support levels, "R" the resistance levels and "P" the pivot point. High,
low and close are represented by the "H", "L" and "C" respectively. (Note that the high, low
and close in 24-hour markets [such as forex] are often calculated using New York closing time
[4:00 p.m. EST] on a 24-hour cycle. Limited markets [such as the NYSE] simply use the high,
low and close from the day's standard trading hours.)
Take a look at the following example of the five-point system, which illustrates a projection of
Microsoft's stock movement. Note the pivot point and the support and resistance levels.
Another common variation of the five-point system is the inclusion of the opening price in the
formula:
Here, the opening price, "O", is added to the equation. Note that the opening price for foreign
exchange markets is simply the last period's closing price. The supports and resistances can
then be calculated in the same manner as the five-point system, except with the use of the
modified pivot point.
Yet another pivot point system was developed by Tom DeMark, a famous technical analyst and
president of Market Studies, Inc. This system uses the following rules:
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