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Unit 3 Study Guide Answers
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Unit 3 Study Guide: Topics 9 through 12 Answers Topic 9: @ Anairline knows from experience that 94% of people who buy a ticket for a flight will show up. Suppose the airline sells 85 tickets for a flight that has 82 seats. Find the following probabilities. For parts (b) through (f) you an use binompdf or binomedf on the calculator. (a) Exactly 82 people will show up. Show how to get the answer using the formula P(x) =, C, p*(I—p)"™ n= 85 P=-94 X282 9/82) = asCor (44) UI-.44)° {b) More than 82 people show up (i.e. the flight is overbooked) p(x? 82) = | - P(X $32) 2 [= binomeat (85,44, 82) = Lier) (c) Fewer than 82 people show up : Pike 82) e PUXEBI) = binimeat (85,.4, 81) + [7575] (4) No more than 80 people show up (5427) P( X82) = binemesl (35, -99) Be) = {e) 80 oF 81 people show up p(se) + PCB) binenpdé ( 85,,44, 84) 4 binenpat (85.9981) = (3584) (f) Atleast 75 people show up P(xz75) 2 [— PIXES7H) 1 ~ pinomedl (95 699,74) 7 (g) Find the mean and standard deviation of the number of people that show up. Ay 2 0P My 2 (85094) = 79.9 People % 2/0 Pl-P) Se = 35.9 )U-=94) * 2-2 reerle Qwhat are the four properties of a binomial probability experiment? ‘There are a fixed number of trials. Each trial has two outcomes, success and failure. The probability of success is the same for each trial. The trials are independent events. @ Suppose two dice are rolled 20 times. Which of the following are binomial variables? (a) The number of times the sum is 10 Binomial(b) The number of times the sum is less than 7. Binomial (c) The number of rolls before a sum of 9 occurs Not binomial (The number of trials is not fixed) (d) The sum of the dice Not binomial (The trials have more than two outcomes) @the reaction time ofa chemical process nas uniform dsibution with posible values between Sand 10 minutes. X= reaction te in minutes, fd the following yy a) P(X>8y YE (b) P(6
1533) vie ppormeicat (1833, 999, 190%, 15.)Topic 11: 1. Ata Cypress College student event 15 out of 24 students are female. If 57% of Cypress College students are \—_ female, find the following four quantities: x,n,,p A xels nz 6: 2,625 Pe 57% 2. In SO spins of a Roulette wheel it comes up on the number “25” three times. There are 38 equally likely ‘numbers possible. Find the following four quantities: x,n,p, X73, nzg0 pt? Hz 6 Pz 4 * 026 3. For parts (a) and (b) Describe the sampling distribution of p-hat. That is, find its mean, standard deviation, and say whether it is normal. Use correct symbols. (a) n=150 and p =0.02 (b) n=70 and p=0.6 Jol bie, 6) = 1682/0 a 5.0) 3 [outi-29 , . 5; pra -(-91) 7 OF [22 4 os : Z10 Feo 12984 [sol,o2) (1-02) 2 244 (c) For the one, either (a) or (b) above,that has an approximately normal distribution, find P(0.55< <0.7) and P(p<0.58) ror norrteicat (-55, 7 6,054) porneeet(-999, 58, 09) — ° (754) 4. Acoinis flipped 80 times. (a) Use a binomial distribution to find the probability that fewer than 36 heads come up. (b) Use a normal distribution to estimate the probability that less than 45% of the flips are heads. (c) Use a normal distribution to estimate the probability that between 40% and 56% of the flips are heads. - ac ne [65U9) 5 N= %o b) Agz9.s yf HS 2 .0S5? Pras (572) p(x 636) PCP <45)= normeleat 91,045, «5, 22854 P(x £39) er P46 Pe 56)= . nbtmaicdt (4, .56,,5 binomcat (84, 05:45) (ie) (5.5, aia) 5. Ina random sample of 678 males 20 to 34 years of age, it was determi lat 58 of them have hypertension (high blood pressure). @ (a) Obtain a point estimate for the population proportion of males 20 to 34 years of age who have hypertension. K298 7-678 6-2 FE Loge (Verify the requirement for using a normal distribution to construct a confidence interval for p (678)(. 086)(1-.286) 7 5332/0~ (c) Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population proportion of males aged 20 to 34 years of age who have hypertension. gy, > Bx,2 2576 5086 (1.086) 7 (258, Ay) ca 673 086 t 2.576 / .0B64 .028 —— ‘We are 99% confident that the proportion of males aged 20 to 34 who have hypertension is between 0.058 and 0.113 (d) Using your point estimate from part (a), how large a sample would be needed to reduce the margin of error to 1% with 99% confidence. é . 2,576 . 6201 8 036 ( 1.086 )( “EF * (6216 6. A researcher wants to estimate the percentage of elementary school students in California where a language other than English is the primary language in their home. What size sample is needed to have a margin of error within 3% with 90% confidence? E =.03 n= .15( SE) = (2) Gon 0 BR 2S Topic 42: 1. What are the requirements to construct a T-interval for a population mean? The sample is a random sample. ‘The population is normal or n> 30 . The sample size is no more than 5% of the population size. 2. What are the requirements to construct a 1,” interval for a population standard deviation? The sample is a random sample. The population is normal. There are no outliers if the sample size is less than 30. 3. To decrease the margin of error of a confidence interval for } or &, would the following have to increase or decrease: The sample size, the confidence level, the standard deviation. The following changes would decrease the margin of error: Increase the sample size, decrease the confidence level, and decrease the standard deviation.4. na random sample of 100 estate tax returns that was audited by the Internal Revenue Service, it was determined that the mean amount of additional tax owed was $3421 with a standard deviation of $2583. (a) Construct and interpret 95% confidence interval for the population mean. (b) Suppose the distribution of taxes ‘= owed is skewed right. Would the answer to part (a) be valid? (c) Would it be valid to find a confidence interval for the standard deviation in this case? @) = [00 £1964. 2583 gs wal 3421 t 1,964 ‘ae. $ = 2583 344 t so7 a= 44 , 21464 ane TH Poany © 3428 We are 95% confident that the mean additional amount of tax owed is between $2908:50 and $3988:50 (2914 , 3923) (b) The answer in part (a) would still be valid because n > 30 , so X has a normal distribution. {c) It would not be valid to find a confidence interval for the standard deviation because that requires that the population be normal. 5. A baseball pitcher has a random sample of four-seam fastballs clocked at the following speeds, where the distribution of speeds of his four-seam fastballs are normal. 93.63 93.83 94.18 94.71 95.52 95.07 95.12 95.35 94.15 94.62 96.98 93.86 (2) Construct and interpret 90% confidence interval for the population mean. [ar stats Ly (ae! fnvT(95 1) 71-796 Se 44.75 92 (94,06, 95.24) 3: 442 94,75 t (796 ae / ) 4754 244 One ie 4 ‘We are 90% confident that the mean speed of this pitcher's four-seam fastball is between 94.26 and 95.24 miles per hour. (b) Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the population standard deviation of the speed. af ell ae KEE(K/ AG I-25 2, = 19.675 aye () (9,675 Ras 7 4.575 [vo Fe 21M) ~ Weare 90% confident that the standard deviation of the speed of this pitcher's four-seam fastball is between 270 and 146 miles per hour, <6 < [447
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