What Ails Indian Economy Some Random Thought
What Ails Indian Economy Some Random Thought
What Ails Indian Economy Some Random Thought
Commerce
Research Paper Economics
What Ails Indian Economy? Some Random Thoughts
about Rs.75 (if $ 1 = Rs. 60). This is the defined used by the UN as well. poorly on most parameters of development. For example, the prev-
According to World Bank also predicts that, by 2015, 40.0 per cent of alence of under nutrition of children was highest in south Asia, with
the estimated 970 million people living on less than $ 1.25 a day will 30.0 per cent of under-five children being underweight. World Wide
be from southern Asia. Poverty reduction: china leads the way in 780 million people still don’t have access to safe and clean water for
global poverty reduction, with extreme poverty line (living under $ drinking, cooking or washing and 1.5 million people 90.0 per cent of
1.25 a day) dropping from 60.0 per cent in 1990 to 16.0 per cent in them children die every year from consuming untreated or contami-
2005 and 12.0 per cent in 2010 (MDG Report). 1 billion children live nated water (Times of India, 2014).
in poverty (1 in 2 children in the world). 640 million live without ad-
equate shelter, 400 million have no access to safe water, 270 million Human Development Index (HDI): The HDR 2014 entitled sus-
have no access to health services. 10.6 million Died in 2003 before taining human progress: Reducing Vulnerabilities and Building Resil-
they reached the age of 5 (or roughly 29,000 children per day). ience, was released by the United Nations Development Programme
(UNDP-2014). According to this report ranks India 135 in a list of
Poor Sanitation: Sanitation is another area which brings woe for 187 countries. At 135, india’s position too is the same as it was in
India. It retains its infamous status as having the biggest popula- 2012. However, it improved from 136 in 2013. HDI takes into account
tion without access to proper toilets. Close to 60.0 per cent of the long-term progress in three a along and healthy life, as measured by
one billion people practicing open defecation live in India (UN Re- expectancy of life at birth access to knowledge as measured by mean
port-2012). Though the UN’s and MDG report is more regions specif- year of schooling and expected years of schooling and decent stand-
ic, these references have been made specifically to India, which is the ard of livings, as measured by GNI per capita.
largest country of the south Asia region. This region itself has fared
According to the report, 1.2 billion people live on $ 1.25 or less a The above table provides data both for HDI and GII for selected coun-
day. It also says that going by the latest estimates of the UNDP mul- tries. It may be noted that near gender equality exists in Norway,
tidimensional poverty index, almost 1.5 billion people in 91 develop- United States, United Kingdom, Japan, Sri Lanka and China. Countries,
ing countries are living in poverty with “overlapping deprivations in which indicate gender inequality, are Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Iran, India,
health, education and living standards”. The position of the top and Egypt and Nigeria. However there is a greater awareness in the world
bottom five countries in the report has not changed from the past about gender inequality and efforts are being made to reduce gender
year. Norway (1), Australia (2), Switzerland (3), Netherlands (4) and the inequality the education of females and giving them a better status in
United States (5) are the top five ranked countries in 2013, while Sier- the family. Some countries have lagged behind due to cultural biases
ra Leone (1), Chad (2), Central African Republic (3), Democratic Repub- against the females. However, in them also, women movements are
lic of the Congo (4) and Niger (5) continue at the bottom of the list. promoting the cause of bringing about gender equality.
Gender Inequality Index (GII): Gender Inequality Index (GII) In- Poor Health economy:
dia ranked 127 out of 152 countries and Gender Development Index Poor show by India on child well being with 1.25 million deaths annual-
(GDI); it ranked 132 of 148 countries. ly and 42.0 per cent of the kids being underweight, India has slipped in
the area of child well-being in the last 15 years. Child Development
Gender Development Index (GDI): HDR 2014 introduces a GDI for Index (CDI) the report noted that while many countries in the world
the first time, which is a measures gender development gap among made remarkable progress in child health, education and nutrition the
148 countries. While the overall gender gap is an 8.0 per cent deficit three premises that from the basis of this report India slipped by 12
for women, the income gap is shockingly high per capita income for a ranks between 1995 and 2010. India’s performance comes in the con-
man is more than double that for women. text of as many as 127 countries improving their scores between 1995
and 2010. According to CDI “our global child development report shows
Table-2 Comparison of Human development Indices (2012) some se- that out of the 141 countries that have been ranked, India with its CDI
lected countries rank at 112 (out of 141 countries) in 2005-10 is among the only 14
whose rank has dropped World. Recently India 393 influenza a H1N1
Human Gender Population below Cases and 35 deaths have been confirmed till 17, 2015 (The Hindu,
Rank Countries Development Inequality income poverty
line PPP US$ 1.25 2015) and different states H1N1 cases and deaths are:
Index (HDI) Index (GII) per day
1 Norway 0.955 0.065 0.0 Table-3 The States H1N1 level India
3 United States 0.937 0.256 0.0 Sl.No States Cases Deaths
10 Japan 0.912 0.131 0.0 1 Delhi 108 3
26 United 0.875 0.205 0.0 2 Gujarat 31 2
Kingdom 3 Haryana 14 5
76 Iran 0.742 0.496 1.5 4 Maharashtra 12 4
92 Sri Lanka 0.715 0.402 7.0 5 Rajasthan 39 11
101 China 0.699 0.213 13.1 6 Tamil Nadu 28 3
112 Egypt 0.622 0.590 1.7 7 Telangana 130 3
136 India 0.544 0.610 32.7
146 Bangladesh 0.515 0.518 43.3 Source: The Hindu, January-2015
146 Pakistan 0.515 0.567 21.0
Seven persons have died due to H1N1virus in Telangana this year and
186 Niger 0.304 0.707 43.6
as many patients are currently undergoing treatment for the virus at
Source: Compiled from UNDP, HDR 2013 various hospitals, from January 1, we have 169 confirmed cases of
H1N1. There have been seven deaths due to the disease this month.
GJRA - GLOBAL JOURNAL FOR RESEARCH ANALYSIS X 213
Volume-4, Issue-10, Oct-2015 • ISSN No 2277 - 8160
Last year, there were 11 deaths in Telangana and 5 deaths in Andhra Energy Deficit Economy: Globally over 1200 million people lack
Pradesh (Times of India, January 21, 2015). access to affordable basic energy services, such as effective lighting
and clean cooking. India alone is home to over 300 million people de-
Mortality: In another depression statistic, India had the highest prived of electricity and more than 800 million people depend on sol-
number of under-five deaths in the world in 2012, with 1.4 million id biomass as fuel for cooking. In rural India, 86.5 per cent of house-
children dying before reaching their fifth birthday. This is despite holds depend on solid biomass including firewood, crop residue,
the fact that globally the mortality rate for children under five has cowdung, coal, lignite, and charcoal as primary fuel for cooking. 12.1
dropped by almost 50 per cent in 2012. The South Asia region also per cent of the rural households depend on modern fuels including
accounted for 24 per cent of all maternal deaths worldwide in 2013. kerosene and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)/Petroleum and Natural
Tobacco use accounts for 40.0 per cent of all cancers in India. It is also Gas (PNG) as primary fuel for cooking and the rest depend on other
associated with higher morbidity and mortality caused due to respira- fuel sources including biogas for the purpose of cooking.
tory problems, heart diseases and TB. About 275 millions Indians (35.0
per cent of adult population and 14.0 per cent children aged 13-15 Table-5 Population without access to electricity and
years) are tobacco users, mainly smokeless tobacco. Total econom- population dependent on biomass for cooking for 2011
ic costs attributable to tobacco use from all diseases in India in 2011 Without access to Traditional use of
amounted to rs.1.04 lakh crore 12.0 per cent more than the combined electricity biomass for cooking
state and central government expenditure on health care the sane
Country
Population Share of Population Share
year (Times of India, 2014). of
population population
(in millions) (%) (in million) (in %)
Inequality economy: A World Bank report has found that between
2004-05 and 2009-10, 15 per cent of India’s population, or 40 per India 306 25 818 66
cent of the poor, moved above the poverty line. In the same period, a
sizeable portion of the poor and the vulnerable — over 9 per cent of World 1258 18 2642 38
the total population or about 11 per cent of the poor and vulnerable
— moved into the middle class. However, over 9 per cent of the total Source: compiled from IEA and TERI, 2013
population, or about 14 per cent of the non-poor group, slipped back
into poverty, revealing the greater risks faced by the vulnerable and Disparities Economy: There are some countries where income in-
even the middle class than in other countries (The Hindu, 2015). equality is high, which means there is a big difference between the
top and bottom earners, while there are nations that have low in-
Powerless economy: As of 2009, India is the fourth largest pro- come inequality. Economic inequality (also described as the gap be-
ducer of electricity and oil products and the fourth largest importer tween rich and poor, income inequality, wealth disparity, wealth and
of coal and crude-oil in the world. Coal and oil together account for income differences or wealth gap) is the state of affairs in which as-
66 per cent of the energy consumption of India. Powerless rural In- sets, wealth, or income are distributed unequally among individuals
dia more than 25,000 villages still lives in dark. Grid power connec- in a group, among groups in a population, or among countries. The
tivity remains a distant dream for more than 25, 600 villages (4.3 per issue of economic inequality can implicate notions of equity, equality
cent) and close to 33 per cent of the rural households in the country of outcome, and equality of opportunity. Whenever social institutions
(Times of India, 2014), No access to electricity of the 50.0 per cent malfunction, the incidence of damage will usually be distributed un-
of the villages Odisha and Rajasthan and UP had more than 10,800 evenly over the society’s members. Some are simply not exposed to
unelectrified villages as on December 31, 2012, but the states has the problem and some have the skill and the wherewithal to escape
provide grid connectivity to 9500 villages in the post 18 months now it. More significantly, the rules that govern the society’s operation
only 1,298 villages out grid power. But national average now only may determine the extent to which members are affected by the in-
55.0 per cent of them have electricity connection. Seven States: stitutional failure. The incidence of poverty was disproportionately
Bihar -10 per cent, Uttar Pradesh-24 per cent, Assam-28 per cent, high among the old, the uneducated, among female-headed families,
Jharkhand-32 per cent, Odisha-36 per cent, West Bengal-40 per cent among rural people, among those employed in low-paying occupa-
and Meghalaya-52 per cent are below national averages (Times of tions and industries, and those with weak attachment of any kind to
India, 2014). Planning commission report, 2014 Himachal Pradesh 3 the labor market. World Bank 2013, income classifications by
per cent, and some developed states about 9 per cent in Tamil Nadu, GNI per capita are as follows: Low income: $1,035 or less; Lower
15 per cent in Gujarat and 26 per cent in Maharashtra do not have middle income: $1,036 to $4,085; Upper middle income: $4,086
electricity. Number of household without any source of lighting to $12,615; and High income: $12,616 or more. The Low- and mid-
dle-income economies are sometimes referred to as developing econ-
Table-4 Number of household without any sources of omies. The term is used for convenience; it is not intended to imply
lighting in India that all economies in the group are experiencing similar development
Sl.no States Number of Households or that other economies have reached a preferred or final stage of
development. Poverty rates in India’s poorest states are three to four
1 Maharashtra 215111
times higher than those in the more advanced states. While India’s
2 Gujarat 116903 average annual per capita income was $1,410 in 2011 – placing it
3 Rajasthan 105385 among the poorest of the world’s middle-income countries – it was
4 Odisha 104654 just $436 in Uttar Pradesh (which has more people than Brazil) and
5 West Bengal 97561 only $294 in Bihar, one of India’s poorest states (World Bank, 2013)
6 Tamil Nadu 81962
7 Andhra Pradesh 79908 Poorest Countries in the World: The top ten poorest countries
map has been prepared on the basis of the GDP of a country. A coun-
Source: Times of India, 2014 try with a GDP per capita of $765 dollars or less is defined as a low-in-
come or poor country. India per capita income of $1499 (2013)
GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced within a Table-9 Fiscal Deficit in India
country in a given year. A country with a GDP per capita of $765
Sl.no Years Percentage of the GDP (Fiscal deficit)
dollars or less is defined as a low-income or poor country. And it
is on the basis of this GDP, that the top ten poorest countries map 1 2005-06 -3.29
has been prepared. Industrialization, overpopulation, investment, 2 2006-07 -3.27
infrastructure, geography, resources, colonialism, education, gov-
ernment and debt are few of the most critical aspects that make 3 2007-08 -3.5
poor countries remain poor. India per capita income of $1499 4 2008-09 -3.1
(2013)
5 2009-10 -7.8
India GDP growth: In 2014-15, the Indian economy is poised to 6 2010-11 -6.9
overcome the sub-5 per cent growth of gross domestic product (GDP) 7 2011-12 -5.1
witnessed over the last two years. The growth slowdown in the last
two years was broad based, affecting in particular the industry sector. 8 2012-13 -5.8
Economic growth has slowed due to domestic structural and external 9 2013-14 -4.9
factors. Two successive years of sub-5 per cent growth is witnessed for
the first time in 25 years. 10 2014-15 -4.5
Source: Ministry of Finance, GoI, 2015
Tale-7 The GDP growth rate in India
External Debt Economy: India’s external debt consists predomi-
Sl.no Years GDP (in per cent)
nantly of long-term borrowings and has remained within manageable
1 2010-11 8.9 limits owing to prudential restrictions on debt varieties of capital in-
flows given large interest differentials.
2 2011-12 6.7
3 2012-13 4.5 Table-10 External Debt in India
4 2013-14 4.7 Sl.no Years US$ billion
5 2014-15 5.4* 1 2010-11 260.9
Note: * denote forecast, Source: Economic Survey, 2014 2 2011-12 317.9
Money Value Depression: Great Depression, economic failure in 3 2012-13 360.8
most countries of the world that from 1929 until world war-II reason 4 2013-14 404.9
for, New York stock exchange fell on 29 October 1929 USA. Black Tues-
day: many business and banks failed and millions of people lost their 5 2014-15 -
jobs and new deal programme and policy introduced by US president Source: Ministry of Finance, GoI, 2015
(1933-45-Franklin D Roosevelt)
India’s external debt stock at end March 2013 stood at US$ 404.9
Table-8 Money Value Depression in India billion as against US$ 360.8 billion at end March 2012. This in-
creased further to US$ 426.0 billion at end December 2013. India’s
Sl.no Years Indian Rs equal per US$ (average annual)
external debt consists predominantly of long-term borrowings
1 1980-81 7.88 and has remained within manageable limits owing to prudential
restrictions on debt varieties of capital inflows given large interest
2 1990-91 17.49
differentials.
3 2000-01 44.94
Global Trade: Until the liberalization of 1991, India was largely and
4 2010-11 47.44
intentionally isolated from the world markets, to protect its econo-
5 2011-12 45.56 my and to achieve self-reliance. Foreign trade was subject to import
tariffs, export taxes and quantitative restrictions, while foreign direct
6 2012-13 47.92
investment (FDI) was restricted by upper-limit equity participation, re-
7 2013-14 60.5 strictions on technology transfer, export obligations and government
approvals; these approvals were needed for nearly 60 per cent of new
8 2014-15 61.5
FDI in the industrial sector. Since liberalization, the value of India’s
Source: Compiled from RBI Report and Economic Survey 2014-15 international trade has increased sharply, with the contribution of to-
tal trade in goods and services to the GDP rising from 16 per cent in
After the sharp devaluation in 1991 and transition to current account 1990–91 to 47 per cent in 2008–10. India accounts for 1.44 per cent of
convertibility in 1994, the value of the rupee is largely determined by exports and 2.12 per cent of imports for merchandise trade and 3.34
the market forces. The rupee has been fairly stable during the decade per cent of exports and 3.31 per cent of imports for commercial ser-
2000 to 2010. In September 2013, the rupee touched an all time low vices trade worldwide. But now India’s share of global trade fell from
68.27 to the US dollar. 1.3 per cent in 1953 to 0.5 per cent in 1983 onwards. This model con-
tributed to widespread inefficiencies and corruption and it was poorly
Fiscal Deficit economy: India recorded a Government Budget defi- implemented.
cit equal to 4.50 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product in
the fiscal year 2013/2014. Government Budget in India averaged -3.87 Poor Adoption Technology Economy: Innovation there is a big
Percent of GDP from 1991 until 2014, reaching an all time high of divide in the World of innovation and India is on the wrong side of
-2.04 Percent of GDP in 1997 and a record low of -7.80 Percent of GDP it. The annual Global Innovation Index (G II) released 2014, has India
in 2009. A budget deficit occurs when a government spends more slide 10 places to 76 with only Singapore, Hong Kong and South Ko-
money than it takes in. The opposite of a budget deficit is a budget rea representing Asia in the top 20 of the list (WIPO-World Intellec-
surplus. tual property organization).
Table-11 Innovation Bouquets: Top ranking G II 2014 come and empowerment for the poor, especially women and younger
and 2013 people. The country had just two per cent skilled workforce compared
Rank Rank Rank to 70 per cent in the U.K., 74 per cent in Germany, 80 per cent in Ja-
Rank 2014 Top Ranking GII 2013 2014 Brickbats 2013 pan, and 96 per cent in South Korea. According to All India Council
1 Switzerland 1 29 China 35 for Technical Education (AICTE), 3,54,421 students enrolled for MBA
South in 3,364 institutions across the country last year. J Philip (2015) “To-
2 UK 3 53 Africa 58 day, the requirement of managerial candidates in the Indian market is
3 Sweden 2 59 Russia 72 between 35,000 and 40,000 every year. There are two reasons for un-
4 Finland 6 61 Brazil 64 employment: Lack of global skills and excess supply”. According some
experts, around year 2000, there were about 10 world class business
5 Netherlands 4 76 India 66
schools in India. Now we have 25, but we have a long way to go. We
6 USA 5 need an industry-oriented syllabus and interaction with industry to
7 Singapore 8 improve employability. AICTE, said the number of management insti-
8 Denmark 9 tutions have risen from 2,614 in 2006-07 to 3,364 in 2013-14. While
9 Luxembourg 12 the numbers continuously rose till 2011-12, at least 71 institutes shut
10 Hong Kong 7 shop in 2012-13 and 107 in 2013-14. Kalkar (2015) “While quantity
Source: Pratiyagita Darpan, 2014 has improved, the government and AICTE have been compromising
on quality. Institutes have been given approval without examining or
According to World Intellectual Property Organization, India inspecting documents, infrastructure, faculty and other basic require-
slipped by 10 places from 66th position in 2013 to 76th in the annual ments”. Lack of industrial exposure of faculty and students is another
global Innovation Index (GII) survey for 2014. India is the worst per- issue. “Many institutes do not have faculty with industrial experience.
former among BRICS nations, with all the other improving their posi- Some wish to join a management institute immediately after com-
tions from that of the last year. china was the best among BRICS na- pleting their postgraduate study,”
tions at 29th position, an improvement of six places, Russia went up 13
places at 49th rank, South Africa ranked 53rd, went up five places, while Agriculture Economy: Agriculture is an important part of Indian
Brazil at 61st position, moved up three places. India continued its dis- economy. Even after six decades of independence 58.0 per cent of
mal performance on GII for the fourth consecutive year from 62nd rank the work force of India is still agriculture and its contribution to GNP
in 2011, 64th in 2012, and 66th in 2013, even though the India chapter is 17.5 in 2011 and now 13.7 per cent 2014. As of 2011, India had a
notes that the country scores with quality of its universities, IT servic- large and diverse agricultural sector, accounting, on average, for
es exports, and export of creative goods, but these are outweighed by about 16 per cent of GDP and 10.0 per cent of export earnings. In-
weaknesses in its institutional pillars such as political stability, ease of dia’s arable land area of 159.7 million hectares (394.6 million acres) is
starting a business as well as human capital and research. In fact earli- the second largest in the world, after the United States. Its gross ir-
er this year in World Banks doing Business Report for 2014, India rigated crop area of 82.6 million hectares (215.6 million acres) is the
slipped three notched to 134th spot in a survey among countries. largest in the world. India is among the top three global producers
of many crops, including wheat, rice, pulses, cotton, peanuts, fruits
Migration and vegetables. Worldwide, as of 2011, India had the largest herds of
Table-12 Migrant remittance inflow and outflow some buffalo and cattle, is the largest producer of milk and has one of the
selected countries 2013 (In US$ Million) largest and fastest growing poultry industries. Agricultural and allied
sectors accounted for about 52.1 per cent of the total workforce in
Major inflows Major Outflows 2009–10. While agriculture employment has fallen over time in per-
Sl.No
Countries Inflows Outflows Countries Inflows Outflows centage of labor employed, services which include construction and
infrastructure have seen a steady growth accounting for 20.3 per
1 India 69970 6413 United States 6623 52043 cent of employment in 2012-13. Of the total workforce, 7.0 per cent
Russian is in the organized sector, two-thirds of which are in the government
2 China 59491 4443 Federation 6751 37217 controlled public sector. About 51.2 per cent of the labor in India is
self-employed. According to 2005-06 survey, there is a gender gap
3 Philippines 26700 206 Saudi Arabia 269 34984
in employment and salaries. In rural areas, both men and women are
4 France 23336 13418 Switzerland 3149 30109 primarily self-employed, mostly in agriculture. The low productivi-
ty in India is a result of several factors. According to the World Bank,
5 Germany 15204 16701 Germany 15204 16701 India’s large agricultural subsidies are distorting what farmers grow
and they are hampering productivity-enhancing investment. While
6 Pakistan 14626 18 France 23336 13418
overregulation of agriculture has increased costs, price risks and un-
Source: Times of India, 2015 certainty, governmental intervention in labour, land, and credit mar-
kets are hurting the market. Infrastructure such as rural roads, elec-
The World Bank estimates that more than 215 million people live out- tricity, ports, food storage, retail markets and services are inadequate.
side their country of birth. Many of them send back money. The net Further, the average size of land holdings is very small, with 70% of
flow such remittances are from the advanced economies to the devel- holdings being less than one hectare in size. Irrigation facilities are
oping world. India gets the largest inflows. In 2013, it received about inadequate, as revealed by the fact that only 39.0 per cent of the to-
$70 billion, roughly $10 billion more than china. Four of the 10 top re- tal cultivable land was irrigated as of 2010, resulting in farmers still
cipients of officially recorded remittances in 2013 were in this neigh- being dependent on rainfall, specifically the monsoon season, which
bourhood- India, China, Pakistan and Bangladesh. France and Germa- is often inconsistent and unevenly distributed across the country.
ny are the only countries that figure in the top 10 in both inflows and Farmer incomes are low also in part because of lack of food storage
outflows of remittances indicating that they have both a substantial and distribution infrastructure. A third of India’s agriculture produce is
foreign population working within their economy and a considerable lost from spoilage. In 2012, the National Crime Records Bureau of In-
number of their citizens working abroad. dia reported 13,754 farmer suicides. Farmer suicides account for 11.2
percent of all suicides in India. Activists and scholars have offered a
Poor employment skill economy: Employment and lack of skilled number of conflicting reasons for farmer suicides, such as monsoon
workforce are the biggest challenges faced by the country. India pro- failure, high debt burdens, genetically modified crops, government
duces about three lakh management graduates every year, but hardly policies, public mental health, personal issues and family problems.
35,000 of them are employable, said experts who gathered here for
a conference of B-school heads (Adarsh, 2015). Unemployment and Forest Deficit Economy: India’s forest cover in 2007 was 69.09 mil-
underemployment lies at the core of poverty. For the poor, labour is lion hectare which is 21.02 per cent of the geographical area. Of this,
often the only asset they can use to improve their well-being. Hence 8.35 million hectare is very dense forest, 31.90 million hectare is mod-
the creation of productive employment opportunities is essential for erately dense forest and the rest 28.84 million hectare is open forest.
achieving poverty reduction and sustainable economic and social The per capita forest in India (0.5 hectare) is much less than that in
development. It is crucial to provide decent jobs that both secure in- the world (1.9 hectares). According to the National Policy on Forests
GJRA - GLOBAL JOURNAL FOR RESEARCH ANALYSIS X 216
Volume-4, Issue-10, Oct-2015 • ISSN No 2277 - 8160
(1988), one-third (33 per cent) of the country’s area should be cov- 2011 and a record low of 117.40 USD Million in August of 1958. In-
ered by forests in order to maintain ecological balance. Restoring 12.0 dia is heavily dependent on crude oil imports, with petroleum crude
per cent of degraded lands can feed another 200 million people, raise accounting for about 34 percent of the total inward shipments. The
farmers income by $40 billion annually and cut emissions from de- country also imports: gold and silver (12 percent of the total imports),
forestation. Over the last ten years India’s trade deficit in forest prod- machinery (10 percent), electronic goods (7 percent) and pearls,
ucts has soared from US$1.0 billion in 2001 to more than $5 billion precious and semi-precious stones (5 percent). India’s main import
in 2011. Due to the scarcity of domestic timber resources and rap- partners are China (10.7 percent of the total shipments), United Arab
idly growing demand, log imports in India have doubled since 2006 Emirates (8 percent), Saudi Arabia (7 percent), Switzerland (7 percent)
in order to meet the country’s growing appetite for wood products. and the United States (5 percent).
Deforestation is one of the major causes to the environmental deg-
radation which is affected by the agents like small farmers, ranches, Emission economy: Climate change has emerged as an issue of
loggers and plantation companies. There is a broad consensus that global importance. Global CO2 per capita emissions, having fluctuat-
expansion of cropped areas and pastures are a major source of de- ed within a range of 4.28–4.16 tonnes CO2 per capita from the early
forestation. During 2009 and 2011, India lost around 5,339 sq kms of 1990s to the early 2000s, increased continuously from 4.53 tonnes
forestland owing to the diversion of forestland for economic activities CO2 per capita in 2005 to 4.79 tonnes CO2 per capita in 2010, 4.87
even though 4,972 sq km of green cover was added as compensation tonnes CO2 per capita in 2011, and 4.88 tonnes CO2 per capita in 2012
(Hindustan times, 2013). European Commission. Between 1990 and 2012, while China’s per
capita emissions tripled, rapidly converging with the level in Europe
Food shortage economy: There is a mounting world food short- and crossing the global average, India’s emissions more than doubled,
age problem in many areas around the globe. The world economy is although remaining well below the global average. Over the same
in such turmoil that this could easily cause a situation where world period, per capita emissions decreased significantly in Russia and the
food shortages become a widespread global issue. There has been USA yet remained at relatively high levels. In India, CO2 emissions
a dramatic increase in food prices around the globe for stable foods continued to increase by 6.8 per cent reaching about 1970 million
such as maize, lentils, flour, and oil. These basic foods are the sub- tonnes (MT) in 2012, up from 1838 MT in 2011 and 1776 MT in 2010,
stance that many families around the world live on from day to day. making it the fourth largest CO2 emitting country in the world Euro-
When the costs of these essential foods rise, it dramatically affects pean Commission (2012). Despite the increase in CO2 emissions in
those relying on them. For example, what used to take a days wage to India, its per capita emissions still lie below the global average of 4.8
buy may now take three weeks wages to purchase. That places many tonnes of CO2 per capita. The per capita CO2 emissions in India have
families in dire circumstances. India already provides subsidized food increased to around 1.6 tonnes in 2012 from 1.51 tonnes in 2011, 1.0
to a certain section of its population. The new bill will expands that tonnes in 2000, and 0.76 tonnes in 1990. The aggregate increase in
coverage at a cost of about 1.35 per cent of the GDP (you can see the per capita emissions in India since 1990 has been 0.80 tonnes of CO2
math behind that number here). It starts next year in April and that per person. Concurrent to the above trend, energy-related emissions
means it will not impact the fiscal deficit target for this year. The in India have also increased from 1745.04 MT in 2011 to 1889 MT in
country will have to buy 62 million tons of this food every year. But as 2012, making it the third largest energy-related emitter in the world
rightly pointed out, India already buys that much food. It bought 72 (IEA 2013a); (World Energy Statistical Yearbook 2013). BP Statistical
million tons of food grain in 2012-13 and 63.38 million tons the year Review estimates this value at 1823.2 MT in 2012.
before.
Conclusion: Economy has brought countries together and provid-
Oil and gold Import economy: The country’s authorities caught ed new opportunities. But it has also increased the risk that adverse
the gold market by surprise on November 28 by scrapping the so- events will be transmitted more rapidly. Recent events have exposed
called 80-20 rule, under which 20 per cent of all imported gold had to huge gaps in how world is managed on issues ranging from food se-
be re-exported in the form of jewellers. curity to energy access, from financial regulation to climate change.
These cross-border challenges are likely to continue in coming dec-
Crude is country’s largest import item by value, followed by gold. ades, with global governance architectures short on capacity to pre-
Together they accounted for 42 per cent of all imports in October. vent or minimize shocks. Policymakers and leaders may find them-
However, oil imports by value are falling sharply, with October’s selves unprepared for the sheer speed and scale of these changes.
$12.36 billion being 19.2 per cent below the same month last year. However today, only 20 percent of people worldwide have adequate
The gold import curbs ensured that CAD dropped to manageable lev- social security coverage, and over 50 percent lack any type of social
els. The deficit touched a record high of 4.7 per cent of gross domes- security. The sustainable development goals present an opportuni-
tic product (GDP) at $87.8 billion in 2012-13. Helped by the curbs on ty for the international community and individual states to advance
gold imports, CAD dropped to 1.7 per cent of GDP, or $32.4 billion, in a positive view of the public domain and push forward the principle
the fiscal year ended March. Gold imports fell to $33.4 billion in 2013- of universalism—in public provision of social services, including at a
14 from $55.8 billion in the previous financial year. minimum universal access to health care and education, and for full
employment and social protections. These are all essential elements
Imported economy: Imports in India decreased to 34830 USD Mil- of more-sustainable and -resilient human development.
lion in December of 2014 from 42821.60 USD Million in November of
2014. Imports in India averaged 6114.08 USD Million from 1957 un-
til 2014, reaching an all time high of 45281.90 USD Million in May of