Statistics Probability Q4 Mod4 Test Concerning Proportions
Statistics Probability Q4 Mod4 Test Concerning Proportions
Probability
Quarter 4 – Module 4:
Test Concerning Proportions
(Central Limit Theorem)
Statistics and Probability- Grade 11
Alternative Delivery Mode
Quarter 4 – Module 4: Test Concerning Proportions
(Central Limit Theorem)
First Edition, 2020
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TEAM LEADERS
School Head : Reycor E. Sacdalan, PhD
LRMDS Coordinator : Pearly V. Villagracia
Each SLM is composed of different parts. Each part shall guide you step-by-
step as you discover and understand the lesson prepared for you.
In addition to the material in the main text, Notes to the Teacher are also
provided to our facilitators and parents for strategies and reminders on how they
can best help you on your home-based learning.
Please use this module with care. Do not put unnecessary marks on any
part of this SLM. Use a separate sheet of paper in answering the exercises and
tests. And read the instructions carefully before performing each task.
If you have any questions in using this SLM or any difficulty in answering
the tasks in this module, do not hesitate to consult your teacher or facilitator.
Thank you.
What I Need to Know
This module was designed to help you master test concerning proportions.
The scope of this module permits it to be used in many different learning
situations. The language used recognizes the diverse vocabulary level of students.
The lessons are arranged to follow the standard sequence of the course. But the
order in which you read them can be changed to correspond with the textbook you
are now using.
1
What I Know
Directions: Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the letter that corresponds
to your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
a. n ≥ 10 b. n ≤ 10 c. n ≥ 30 d. n ≤ 30
𝑥̄− µ𝑦 𝑥̄− µ
a. 𝑧= 𝜎 c. 𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛 √𝑛
𝑥̄− µ 𝑥̄− µ
b. 𝑧= 𝜎 d. 𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑚𝑛 √𝑛
For numbers 6-10. Given 𝛼 and the z-values. Identify whether the decision is to
REJECT or DO NOT REJECT the null hypothesis for each of the following.
2
Lesson
What’s In
ACCEPT ME OR REJECT ME
Check the box “accept” if the statement is true and check the box “reject” if the
statement is false.
Statement Accept Reject
1. If n = 65, the Central Limit Theorem applies.
𝜎
2. When 𝜎 = 8.5 and n = 110, then = 0.81.
√𝑛
3. If the computed test statistic falls in the rejection region, reject
the null hypothesis.
4. If the alternative hypothesis is directional, then the two-tailed
test shall be used.
5. If the alternative hypothesis is non-directional, then the one-
tailed test shall be used.
Take note that Null Hypothesis (H0) is rejected if the computed test statistic
≤ negative critical value or if the computed test statistic ≥ positive critical value.
3
What’s New
Consider the given situation below. Analyze the problem carefully and try to
identify the appropriate form of test statistic to be used in solving this.
In the previous election, 65% of the voters in the province of Bataan have
voted for the administration candidate for congressman. Suppose 775 out of the
1,260 randomly selected voters indicate that they had voted for the administration
candidate. At 0.10 level of significance, find out whether the percentage of voters
for the administration candidate for congressman is different from 65%.
Guide questions:
1. What is the appropriate form of test statistic to be used to answer the problem?
4
What is It
The problem above is an example of a real life situation that can be solved by
using appropriate test statistic formula to test the hypothesis about population
proportion p.
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) basically says that for non-normal data,
the distribution of the sample means has an approximate normal distribution, no
matter what the distribution of the original data looks like, if the sample size is
large enough (usually at least 30) and all samples have the same size. And it
doesn’t just apply to the sample mean; the CLT is also true for other sample
statistics, such as the sample proportion.
Moreover, the Central Limit Theorem states that the formula for the z-score
when working with the sample mean is given by:
𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
where:
𝑥̄ = sample mean
µ = population mean
𝑛 = sample size
5
This means that the sampling distribution of the sample mean 𝑥̄ is
approximately normally distributed with the mean µ from which the samples are
drawn. The variance of the sampling distribution of the mean is equal to the
variance divided by the sample n.
Example #1: Identify the value of z given the values of sample mean, population
mean, population standard deviation and sample size.
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Write the computing formula. 𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧=
𝜎x
that simplifies to
𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
2
𝑧 = 0.6
𝑧 = 3.33
Example #2: Identify the value of z given the values of sample mean, population
mean, population standard deviation and sample size.
Solution:
Steps Solution
1. Write the computing formula. 𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧=
𝜎x
that simplifies to
𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
6
2. Replace the terms in the formula by 90−92
𝑧= 6
the given values.
√65
−2
𝑧=
0.744
𝑧 = −2.69
The Central Limit theorem asserts that if the sample size is sufficiently large,
then the mean of the random sample form a population has a sampling distribution
that is approximately normal, even when the original population is not normally
distributed. This means that whatever the shape of the original distribution, the
sampling distribution of the mean approaches a normal distribution as long as the
sample size is large enough. The mean of the sampling distribution of means is
equal to the mean population (µx̅ = µ). The standard deviation of the sampling
distribution of the means is equal to the standard deviation population divided by
𝜎
the square root of the sample size (𝜎 = ).
√𝑛
𝑥̄ − µx
𝑧=
𝜎x
𝜎
But then, according to the Central Limit Theorem (µx = 𝜇 ) and (𝜎 = ) if
√𝑛
the sample size is sufficiently large. Hence,
𝑥̄ − µ
𝑧= 𝜎
√𝑛
𝑥̄− µ
𝑧= 𝑠 .
√𝑛
where:
𝑥̄ = sample mean
µ = population mean
𝑛 = sample size
7
The Central Limit Theorem is not limited to sample means. It can also be applied
to sample proportions. The sample size is considered differently large if np > 5 and
𝑝𝑞
nq > 5. The standard deviation of the sample proportion is √ . Substituting p̂ for 𝑥̄,
𝑛
𝑝𝑞
p for µx , and √𝑛 for the standard deviation 𝜎x in the formula
𝑥̄ − µx
𝑧=
𝜎x
will result to the following formula that can be used as an appropriate test statistic
to test the hypothesis about population proportion p.
𝑝−𝑝 𝑝−𝑝
𝑧= 𝑝𝑞
or 𝑧=
𝑝(1−𝑝)
√𝑛 √
𝑛
where:
p̂ = sample proportion
p = population proportion
n = sample size
q=1–p
The following are the steps when testing hypothesis concerning proportion:
8
Now, let us answer the problem in the previous part.
Example #1: In the previous election, 65% of the voters in the province of Bataan
have voted for the administration candidate for congressman. Suppose 775 out of
the 1,260 randomly selected voters indicate that they had voted for the
administration candidate. At 0.10 level of significance, find out whether the
percentage of voters for the administration candidate for congressman is different
from 65%.
Solution:
Ho : p = 0.65
Ha : p ≠ 0.65
𝑥̄
𝑝=
𝑛
775
𝑝= 1,260
𝑝 = 0.62
𝑝 − 𝑝
𝑧=
𝑝(1−𝑝)
√
𝑛
0.62 − 0.65
𝑧= 0.65(1 − 0.65)
√
1,260
𝑧 = −2.233
𝛼 0.10
= = 0.05
2 2
9
Using the Areas Under the Normal Curve table, z = 1.645. At 10% level of
significance the critical value is±1.645.
Since the computed test statistic z = -2.233 falls in the rejection region, reject the
null hypothesis. Conclude that at 0.10 level of significance, there is enough
evidence that the percentage of voters for the administration candidate is different
from 65%.
Ho : p = 0.25
Ha : p > 0.25
10
Step 3. Compute the test statistic.
𝑝̂ − 𝑝
𝑧=
𝑝(1−𝑝)
√
𝑛
0.28 − 0.25
𝑧=
0.25(1 − 0.25)
√
125
𝑧 = 0.775
The alternative hypothesis is directional. Hence, the one-tailed test shall be used.
𝛼 = 0.05
Using the Areas Under the Normal Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 5% level of
significance, the critical value is 1.645.
Since the computed test statistic z = 0.775 does not fall in the rejection region, do
not reject the null hypothesis. Conclude that at 0.05 level of significance, there is
no enough evidence to conclude that work from home scheme have increased since
the company has decided to give additional internet allowance.
11
What’s More
Directions: Read and analyse the given problems carefully and solve using
appropriate form of test statistic. Write your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
2. When the pandemic happened, 70% of the workers lost their jobs. Suppose 405
out of the 620 randomly selected workers that lost their jobs. At 0.10 level of
significance, find out whether the percentage of workers who lost their jobs is
different from 70%.
3. In the province of Bataan, a survey was conducted. 60% of the women became
plantita. Suppose 480 out of the 850 randomly selected women that they became
plantita. At 0.10 level of significance, find out whether the percentage of women
who became plantita is different from 60%.
12
What I Have Learned
Good job! You already know how to identify the appropriate form of test-
statistic and rejection region for a given level of significance when the Central Limit
Theorem is to be used. Write what you have learned by filling in the circles below,
you may add more circles if necessary.
I Learned…
What I Can Do
Try to answer this activity before you take the assessment test.
Directions: Read and analyse the given problems carefully and solve using
appropriate form of test statistic. Write your answer on a separate sheet of paper.
1. Education is greatly affected by the new normal situation, 75% of the students
chose to enrol in public over private. Before the class opening, out of 150 randomly
chosen for a survey (through online), 115 said they will enrol in public school. Does
this indicate that most of the students wants to enrol in public? Use 0.05 level of
significance.
13
Step 1.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 2.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 3.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 4.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 5.
_________________________________________________________________________________
2. 65% of the small time businesses were forced to close because of health crisis.
Suppose 560 out of the 900 randomly selected small time businesses were forced to
close. At 0.10 level of significance, find out whether the percentage of the small
time businesses that were forced to close is different from 65%.
Step 1.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 2.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 3.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 4.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Step 5.
_________________________________________________________________________________
14
Assessment
15
7. In the given 𝛼 = 0.10 and z = -1.796, in a two-tailed, the null hypothesis is
8. When the population standard deviation 𝜎 = 8.5 and the sample size n = 110,
𝜎
then is
√𝑛
a. Yes, because n ≤ 30
b. Yes, because n ≥ 30
c. No, because n ≤ 30
d. No, because n ≤ 30
10. A research, which was conducted in an establishment last year, showed that
25% of the workers would rather drink coffee than soft drinks. The owner has
decided to give free coffee. Recently, in a research conducted, out of the 125
randomly sampled worker, 28% said that they would rather drink coffee than
soft drinks. At 0.05 level of significance, is there sufficient evidence to suggest
that workers who drink coffee increased since the company has decided to give
free coffee?
16
Additional Activities
On your answer sheet, give one situation or example where Central Limit
Theorem is being applied. Don’t forget to include the level of significance, sample
proportion, population proportion, and sample size. Please be guided by the rubrics
while doing the activity.
______________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________.
17
18
What’s More: 2. 3.
1. Step 1. Ho : p = 0.70 Step 1. Ho : p = 0.60
Ha : p≠ 0.70 Ha : p≠ 0.60
Step 1. H o : p = 0.75
H a : p< 0.75 Step 2. 𝛼 = 0.10 Step 2. 𝛼 = 0.10
Step 3. Step 3.
Step 2. 𝛼 = 0.05 𝑝 = 0.57
𝑝 = 0.65
Step 3. 𝑧 = −2.717 𝑧 = −1.785
𝑝 = 0.70
𝑧 = −1.414 Step 4. The alternative hypothesis is Step 4. The alternative hypothesis is
non-directional. Hence, the two-tailed non-directional. Hence, the two-tailed
Step 4. The alternative hypothesis is
test shall be used. test shall be used.
directional. Hence, the one-tailed test
shall be used. 𝛼 = 0.10 𝛼 = 0.10
𝛼 0.10 𝛼 0.10
𝛼 = 0.05 = = 0.05 = = 0.05
2 2 2 2
0.5 – 0.05 = 0.45
Using the Areas Under the Normal 0.5 – 0.05 = 0.45 0.5 – 0.05 = 0.45
Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 5% Using the Areas Under the Normal
level of significance, the critical value Using the Areas Under the Normal
Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 10%
is – 1.645. level of significance, the critical value Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 10%
is±1.645. level of significance, the critical value
Step 5. Since the computed test statistic is ±1.645.
𝑧 = – 1.414 does not fall in the rejection Step 5. Since the computed test statistic
region, do not reject the null 𝑧 = – 2.717 falls in the rejection region, Step 5. Since the computed test statistic
hypothesis. Conclude that at 0.05 level reject the null hypothesis. Conclude 𝑧 = – 1.785 falls in the rejection region,
of significance, there is no enough that at 0.10 level of significance, there reject the null hypothesis. Conclude
evidence to conclude that some is enough evidence that the percentage that at 0.10 level of significance, there
millennials are losing interest in of workers who lost their jobs is is enough evidence that the percentage
watching Korean artist concert. different from 70%. of women who became plantita is
different from 60%.
What’S New: What’S In: What I know:
1. Z – test 1. Accept 1. C
2. Yes 2. Accept 2. C
3. Answers may vary 3. Accept 3. C
4. Reject 4. A
5. Reject 5. B
6. REJECT
7. DO NOT REJECT
8. REJECT
9. DO NOT REJECT
10. REJECT
Answer Key
19
Additional Activities: Assessment:
1. B
2. A
Students answer may vary 3. D
4. C
5. B
6. A
7. D
8. B
9. B
10. A
What I Have Learned: What I Can Do: 2.
1. Step 1. H o : p = 0.65
H a : p≠ 0.65
Step 1. H o : p = 0.75
H a : p< 0.75 Step 2. 𝛼 = 0.10
Students answer may vary Step 3.
Step 2. 𝛼 = 0.05 𝑝 = 0.62
Step 3. 𝑧 = −1.887
𝑝 = 0.77
𝑧 = 0.566 Step 4. The alternative hypothesis is
non-directional. Hence, the two-tailed
Step 4. The alternative hypothesis is
test shall be used.
directional. Hence, the one-tailed test
shall be used. 𝛼 = 0.10
𝛼 0.10
𝛼 = 0.05 = = 0.05
2 2
0.5 – 0.05 = 0.45
Using the Areas Under the Normal 0.5 – 0.05 = 0.45
Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 5% Using the Areas Under the Normal
level of significance, the critical value Curve Table, 𝑧 = 1.645. Hence, at 10%
is 1.645. level of significance, the critical value
is±1.645.
Step 5. Since the computed test statistic
𝑧 = 0.566 does not fall in the rejection Step 5. Since the computed test statistic
region, do not reject the null 𝑧 = – 1.887 falls in the rejection region,
hypothesis. Conclude that at 0.05 level reject the null hypothesis. Conclude
of significance, there is no enough that at 0.10 level of significance, there
evidence to conclude that some of the is enough evidence that the percentage
students wants to enrol in public is of the small time businesses that were
different from 75%. forced to close is different from 65%.
References
Book:
Mercado & Orines, (2016). Next Century Mathematics Statistics and Probability,
Phoenix Publishing House
Balecina, Baccay, & Mateo, (2016). Statistics and Probability, First Edition. REX
Book Store