Astronacci Notes - 1 Anomalies
Astronacci Notes - 1 Anomalies
How To Manage Ourself To Handle Market Anomaly
33% market gak enak in a year. Usually 2‐3 weeks long.
Di saham matahari masuk ke leo, virgo, scorpio mulai gak enak (trend susah karena di saham one way)
Mental harus bersih untuk menghadapai anomalies
Setiap kali MR dan Capricorn harus ada di A‐Club
Selalu ada 5 bulan make sure kalian ada di dalam. Sun & Capricorn.
FEAR ‐‐> Becomes Skeptical
Trauma becomes Mental Block ‐ Limiting Believes
*saham setelah dividen di pukul lagi ke bawah
Di trading kita bermain dengan probabilitas
Pada saat anomali, pilihan ada 2. Spekulasi atau Jangan Trade.
Pada saat USD Jelek, biasa saham bagus. Dan Vice Versa.
Calibrasi diri dengan market pakai small live account
The Truth about Market Anomalies
● It's part of your success (Accept that anomalies will happen)
● A Journey that can be avoided
● In forex and gold, it happens 4 of 12 months
● Normally it is a specula on trading. (Trading ke ka anomalies = spekulasi 50:50)
● If you experience anomaly for more than 3 weeks, the next 2 months will be a good market
Why Market Anomaly Happens?
Indecision and doubtful market participant due to very big macro economic news, presidential election
(big players biasanya Cuma in and out of market for volume, the candle will broaden)
Characteristics
● No clear chart pa ern
● False movement ‐ always back to sideways a er trend
● The Wyckoff or Dow Theory phase would not work in order
● Sudden big movement up/down and reset the trend into a big sideways
● Price moves in long tail upper/under with huge range
● 80% of the me, the price makes a horizontal range (Wide range sideways)
● Market invalidates all theories (Macro, Micro, TA). It works based on irra onal and inconsistent cycle
● Time cycle for turning point does not work and shows inversion (Switch peak and bo om date)
Example
Market Lagi naik, tiba2 muncul bar Merah, besoknya naik lagi.
Kalo GOLD brengsek, Index ikutan brengsek.
Problemnya dari US Dollar lg kurang ajar.
JANGAN analisa candle by candle. FOLLOW the Trend.
ANOMALI di GOLD. Ekor atas bawah, Range Lebar.
BIG Player spekulasi pas election
USD Melemah biasanya GOLD menguat.
ANOMALI itu 50:50
Trading Strategy
FOREX: 40 Pips TPM, 65 Pips TP Ideal (1:1 R/R)
GOLD: 50 Pips TPM, 80 Pips TP Ideal (1:1 R/R)
STOCK: 5‐7% TAKE PROFITS
In Stock, hold for long run, buy on red. (Jangan banyak gerak, beli blue chips dan diem)
Winning Probability will only 55‐60%
Avoid Break Out Trading; Focus on false break trading
Avoid Stop and Reverse; Focus CUT and find another pair (S&R bisa sampai 3x)
Money Management
Anomaly market: 0.1 lot per USD 3,000 | 1 Lot per USD 30,000
Anomaly market Stock: 1 Slot divided into 5 times entry
5% Capital Draw down maximum per trade (Forex & Gold)
2% Capital Draw down in stocks
If the trend is strong, enter 0.2 in the next trade
Partial enter is recommended for 5 times
If your capital drop, the next goal will be a break even regardless the trend power
Prepare Test Account (REAL)
● Do a quick trade in your test account
● Test account could be USD 100 or any number
● Use M30 and trade with the trend with fresh trend from Money Magnet
● Enter with min lot that make you comfortable
● Trade at least 6 pairs (Gold, Major Currency, Cross Rate)
● Once you start making money in a row, mungkin the market is back to normal. Boleh pake main acc.
What Make It Worse
● Emo on and Anger, Self Destruc ve, Skep cal, Blaming Others, Lost of Confidence, Slippage Broker
INGAT, ini bukan normal market. Small % of ppl make money
SEMUA OPPORTUNITY / PROFIT, ITU HANYA BISA DICAPAI APABILA ADA ACTION.
SETIAP KEPUTUSAN , ACCURATE ATAU TIDAK, ITU YG MEMBUAT ADA BISA SUKSES.
BERANI MENGAMBIL LANGKAH. HARUS IKLAS APAPUN YANG TERJADI.
FEAR & GREED ADA DI REAL ACCOUNT. KUNCINYA ADALAH IKHLAS.