Emerging Capital Markets
Emerging Capital Markets
Emerging Capital Markets
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TABLE 1
MARKET CAPITALIZATION: EMERGINC MARKETS
(US$ Billions)
Total emerging
markets 91.7 79.2 70.5 80.5 101.5 118.2 136.7
SOURCES: Morgan Stanley Capital International Perspective, 1986; Federation Interna-
tionale des Bourses de Valuers, 1986 Report; International Finance Corporation, Emerg-
ing Stock Markets Factbook, 1986.
TABLE 2
NUMBER OF LISTINGS: EMERGING STOCK MARKETS
of which has since matured and been liquidated. These funds are widely
distributed throughout every part of the country by some 12,500 com-
missioned salesmen (in addition to UTI's 660 full-time employees), each
fund seeking to meet the specific needs of a particular group of savers.
TAB LE 3
FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION OF COMPANIES ACCORDINC TO ORDINARtY DIVIDENDS
AS A PERCENTAGE OF ORDINARY PAID-IN CAPrrAL
(1980-81 to 1984-85)
a small group of shares did phenomenally well. In the 1970s they com-
prised multinationals and companies belonging to the large industrial
houses (Tata, Birla); in the 1980s the best performing shares were the
specified shares or those where delivery could be carried forward to sub-
sequent settlement periods. It was this small group of shares that were
very heavily traded and were responsible for the stock market boom of
1980-81 and 1984-86. Apart from a short period of total stock market
euphoria in late 1985, when anything sold, investor interest concentrated
on only a very small number of shares, around 3 to 5 percent of the
market, and resulted in highly volatile stock market movements.
Supply of Securities
The supply of corporate securities comprises newly issued and existing
securities. The former results in additional resource mobilization through
the securities market,'5 while the latter represents a transfer of resources
among the shareholding public. In the Indian context, resource mobili-
zation takes place primarily through rights issues for existing companies
and new listings for companies entering the market for the first time.
Bonus shares, resulting from retained earnings or revaluation of fixed
assets, and secondary offerings of shares (for ownership restructuring or
other purposes) do not involve additional resource mobilization from a
strictly economic point of view but do affect the mobility of capital and
the supply of corporate securities.
As of December 1986, 5,460 companies were listed on the Indian stock
exchanges as against 1,203 companies in 1961."' This is a higher number
than in any other emerging market (Brazil is next with 608 companies)
and compares favorably with most mature markets.
Despite the limited availability of equity of established well-run com-
panies and the considerable demand for it, closely held companies have
been unwilling to go public for a variety of reasons. First, the effective
cost of equity is significantly higher than it is for debt, and dividends
are paid out of posttax profits while interest on loans is tax deductible.
In addition, loans by development finance institutions (DFIs) to priority
sectors have been at subsidized rates. Earlier, the DFIs required a 1:1
debt-equity ratio for industrial corporations, which was subsequently raised
to 2:1 for most companies. Most companies could meet their funding
requirements from long-term borrowing from DFIs. In addition, most
companies found corporate deposits from the public a more attractive
way of mobilizing funds since they carried no restrictive provisions. The
public found such deposits to be an attractive investment owing to the
high interest rate offered and the short-term maturity. The corporate
deposit market is estimated at RslO billion, with the typical interest rate
paid on a three-to-six month deposit being 16-17 percent per year.'7
Second, for family-controlled operations there has been an unwillingness
to enlarge the capital base by going public for fear that dilution of share-
holding would result in a loss of control and on account of tax implica-
tions. For a listed company the market valuation of equity is taken for
wealth tax and estate duty assessments, while for nonlisted companies a
break-up or net asset value is taken. For well-managed companies, the
net asset valuation is normally much lower than the market valuation.
Third, the terms and conditions set by the Controller of Capital Issues
(particularly regarding the pricing of issues) act as a damper on going
public. Fourth, in addition to pricing procedures other government pol-
icies have also been unintentionally responsible for the paucity of suit-
able stock. Since banking, insurance, utilities, and local authorities are
entirely in the public sector as is a large portion of industry, these stocks
are not quoted on the market. In addition, MRTP legislation has, until
recently, prevented existing well-established companies from expanding
or diversifying. Finally, the supply of corporate securities might be sub-
ject to a crowding-out effect resulting from the issue of public sector
debt securities with special features with which the private sector could
compete.
TABLE 4
OWNERSHIP PATTERN OF EQUITY IN COMPANIES
(In Percentages)
TABLE 5
CAPITAL RAISED THROUGH SECURITIES MARKET
(Rs Millions)
years from 1980 to 1985, increased 14-fold and more than doubled over
the 2-year period, 1983-85. While the volume of equity mobilized through
the market showed a steady increase over the period from 1980 to 1985,
there were two periods of particularly rapid growth: between 1980-81,
when the volume of equity mobilized increased by 242 percent; and
between 1984-85, when it rose by 83 percent. The debenture market
also underwent two periods of particularly rapid growth: between 1980-81,
when the debenture market grew by 200 percent; and between 1983-84,
when this market grew by 63 percent.
Characteristics of New and Existing Capital Issues. Table 6 shows the
allocation of equity between new and existing issues. While in 1979-80
over half the equity mobilized in the capital market use for existing firms,
by 1984-85 newly established firms (new issues) accounted for about 70
percent of the funds mobilized, a very high figure in comparison with
most industrialized and emerging markets. The increase in new issues
reflects the generally buoyant secondary markets during the period 1982-85.
Other factors encouraging firms to come to the market have been the
modification in both the listing requirements and the issue of bonus shares.
Pricing of Public Issues. The pricing of public issues is determined by
the COCI. It currently employs three formulas, as follows:20
1. All issues of new companies are priced at par;
2. Shares of widely held listed companies are priced by means of for-
mula which considers par value, net asset value, and market value;
and
3. Closely held companies going public for the first time are valued
by considering the book value net of revaluation of assets, and cap-
italizing the last three years' after-tax profit assuming an effective
tax rate of 50 percent irrespective of the actual rate paid.
TABLE 6
ALLOCATION OF EQUITY BETWEEN NEW AND EXISTING ISSUES
(In Percentages)
encourages speculation and prices vary from center to center. Not only
a centralized quotation service, but a credit rating agency is needed to
provide guidance to investors by differentiating between market
participants.
NOTES
'These figures have been computed on the basis of data provided by the Bombay Stock
Exchange.
2S. S. Mehta, and R. M. Honavar, "Some Aspects of the Indian Capital Market"
(Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India, 1985).
3U. K. Bhargava, and B. P. Bhargava, eds., The Companies Act, 1956 (Bombay, India:
Taxmann Publishing Co., 1982).
4Government of India, The Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 (Bombay, India:
The Stock Exchange, 1985).
5Roy, ed., Foreign Exchange Regulation Act of 1973 (Calcutta, India: Kamal Law House
Publishers).
6Government of India, The Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act, 1969 (Act
#54 of 1969).
7U. K. Bhargava, and B. P. Bhargava, eds., Income Tax Act (Bombay, India: Taxmann
Publishing Co., 1985).
8K. V. Shanbhogue, and K. Ganesan, Wade Guide to Capital Issues and Listings (Bombay,
India: Wadhwa and Co., 1986).
9D. R. Mehta, "Recent Capital Market Developments in India" (Paper delivered at the
Regional Symposium on Capital Market Developments in Asia Pacific Region, Asian
Development Bank, Manila, Philippines, 14-16 January 1986).
'?"The Money Merchants," Business India, 24 September-7 October 1984, pp. 83-88;
and A. Ganguli, "The Merchant Banker," Fortune India, February 1985, pp. 35-36.
"Government of India, Unit Trust of India Act, 1963, and the General Regulations,
1964.
"2International Finance Corporation (IFC), Energing Stock Markets Factbook, 1986; Unit
Trust of India, 21st Annual Report '84-'85 (Tata Press Limited).
"3D. C. Rao, "Structure of Corporate Finance and Some Related Issues," Reserve Bank
of India, Occasional Papers 1 (December 1980): 131.
'4R. Piperaiya, "Share Prices: A Five-Year Perspective," Fortune India, December 1984.
'5This increase in financial savings may not be the same as savings mobilization, since
a part may come from other forms of savings (e.g., branch deposits, investment in hous-
ing, real estate, etc.). However, a portion is likely to be a substitute for consumption,
capital export, and money floating in the "underground" economy.
'6Data provided by the Bombay Stock Exchange; IFC, Emerging Stock Markets Fact-
book, 1986.
'8The Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) undertook a survey of the security
holdings of companies it had assisted. Information was sought from 773 companies; 447
companies responded, forming the sample for the study.
2"Estimates based on discussions with and data provided by the Industrial Credit and
Investment Corporation of India and J. M. Financial and Investment Consultancy Services
Private Limited.
'The Stock Exchange, Bombay, The Stock Exchange Rules, Bye-Laws, and Regulations
(Bombay Stock Exchange, 1957).
'Final Report of the High Powered Committee on Stock Exchange Reforms, 1986. The
committee, which was appointed by the Government of India, was headed by Mr. G. S.
Patel.
2'Final Report of the High Powered Committee on Stock Exchange Reforms, 1986.