Analysis of Wind Speed Data and Wind Energy in KSA
Analysis of Wind Speed Data and Wind Energy in KSA
Analysis of Wind Speed Data and Wind Energy in KSA
https://www.scirp.org/journal/jpee
ISSN Online: 2327-5901
ISSN Print: 2327-588X
Keywords
Wind Speed, Wind Energy, Wind Power, Power Factor
DOI: 10.4236/jpee.2022.104001 Apr. 14, 2022 1 Journal of Power and Energy Engineering
S. A. AlGhamdi et al.
1. Introduction
Renewable energy consumption and the use of renewable technologies are
emerging as the most economical options for generating electricity. The King-
dom of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 aims to increase renewable energy produc-
tion by at least 9.5 GW over the same period (by 2030) to reduce CO2 emissions
and minimize the cost of electricity generation [1] [2]. Goal 7 of Saudi Arabia’s
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) ensures access to sustainable modern
energy for all and significantly increases the global share of renewable energy by
2030 (https://sdgs.un.org/goals). Saudi Arabia’s Sustainable Development Goals
aim to ensure universal access to green energy suppliers.
The main energy source used by KSA to generate electricity is petroleum
(Electricity and Cogeneration Regulatory Authority, https://www.ecra.gov.sa/),
which is less common and noisy in other parts of the world [3]. The oil used in
the power sector is heavily subsidized. KSA is intended to export oil at interna-
tional prices rather than subsidized oil for domestic use [4]. KSA sees rapid
growth in manufacturing to meet energy demand that is growing at an annual
rate of 5% [5], Figure 1. Compared to other countries, KSA’s national electricity
and oil consumption is growing at an alarming rate worldwide [6]. At the same
time, it is estimated that a 1% reduction in electricity consumption per year
could reduce energy bills by $35 billion [7]. The prevailing grid system powers
nearly 80% of the population living in the kingdom’s reserves and production
centers. It is estimated that the state’s energy sector will invest about $117 under
the 25-year Tactical Energy Plan [8].
On the other hand, wind power is used to generate electricity, but requires
extensive regional networks to provide large amounts of electricity [9] [10]. Fig-
ure 2 shows the average wind speed of some selected locations at an altitude of
100 m in one year covering different regions of Saudi Arabia. Haql has the high-
est average wind speeds, followed by Dhulom. Al-Baha is a rural area with high
average wind speeds [11]. Nejran and Gassim have the lowest average wind
speeds [12] [13]. Notably, most of these locations have average wind speeds in
excess of 3.5 m/s.
The Kingdom plans to adopt a policy of energy efficiency measures and has
established several initiatives to develop renewable energy projects, allocating
$109 billion to the renewable energy sector in 2012, which will meet 30% of the
Kingdom’s electricity needs by 2032 [14]. The government also announced a
roadmap to achieve this goal by installing about 60 GW of renewable energy,
comprising 66% solar, 22% wind, and 4.5% concentrated solar.
The wind map of Saudi Arabia shows that the country is characterized by the
presence of two main regions, the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea coastal areas.
KSA has sufficient wind energy potential with an average wind speed of 7.5 - 8
m/s on the east coast and 7 - 7.5 m/s on the west coast. The average wind speed
in the central region is 5 - 6.5 m/s (King Abdullah City for Atomic and Renewa-
ble Energy (KACARE), https://www.kacare.gov.sa/). Wind speeds are higher in
areas near the northeastern, central, and western mountains. KACARE has set
up 10 monitoring stations: in Hafar Al-Batin, Sharurah, two in Yanbu, two in
Riyadh, Aljof, Traif, Jeddah and Madina [1] [15] [16].
Figure 1. Saudi power transmission network. Source: Saudi Electricity Company, Annual
Report 2007 https://www.se.com.sa/.
8.0
7.0
6.0
Wind speed (m/s)
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
City
Figure 2. Average wind speed in different locations of Saudi Arabia (Source KACARE.
Renewable Energy Sources Atlas, https://www.kacare.gov.sa/), and Al-Baha region.
On the other hand, in a similar area, the characteristics of wind speed data
were analyzed using the Weibull distribution at the Al-Salman station in Iraq
[17]. The site has wind power potential as it is able to install small wind turbines
to generate electricity. The wind energy potential of nine wind farms in Jordan
was investigated using three statistical distribution models (Weibull, Rayleigh,
and Gamma distributions) and the maximum likelihood method [18]. Else-
where, energy distribution in terms of wind energy potential characterizes the
main wind belt in southern Pakistan [19] [20]. In France, Tazi and Bouzidi [21]
describe the current state of pricing policy and the role of the latest market in the
industry. Subsequently, various decision-making methods such as TOPSIS,
VIKOR, and fuzzy analysis were applied to rank Indian states according to their
wind energy potential [22]. A long-term analysis of the availability of wind
energy has been carried out in the Republic of Moldova [23]. Algieri et al. [24]
evaluated the energy efficiency of multi-source power systems for small residen-
tial cogeneration applications.
The availability of wind energy resources in the Arabian Gulf was investigated
covering 2300 grid points. The summer wind energy density in the central re-
gion is particularly promising [24]. Data related to U.S. wind energy progress
was analyzed using descriptive statistics to show turbine development and
growth patterns from 1981 to 2019 [25]. Power generation projects were studied
and analyzed using wind turbines in Malaysia [26]. A new adaptive Darrieus
wind turbine design is proposed to enable and extend the operation of weak
wind currents, aiming to develop an analytical model to predict the power factor
[27]. A new method, called maximum power point tracking, has been proposed
to improve and optimize the performance of wind energy conversion systems
with small changes in wind speed by combining sliding mode control and fuzzy
logic control [28]. The wind energy potential map was created in villages near
the Pigguru Reserve in an electronic version using the arc view program [29].
The wind speed characteristics are analyzed using the well-known Weibull dis-
tribution function and used to evaluate the wind performance of some selected
sites [30].
Smart city building topology is studied to understand the wind speed distribu-
tion and power output of wind turbines in the built environment [31] [32]. A re-
view of economic growth in Europe, China, and the United States as a whole,
shows that this industry supported by manufacturers and workers is a viable and
profitable form of clean energy [33]. The price-based demand response, as active
grid management promising tool, is used to optimize distribution grids with
substantial wind penetration has become commonplace [34]. Wind speed cha-
racteristics and the energy potential in southwestern Nigeria are examined using
51 years of monthly mean wind speed data subjected to 2-parameter Weibull
and other statistical analyses [35]. Potential estimates based on fixed wind tur-
bine capacity have been proposed for simulating wind power generation maps in
30 Indian states [36].
To date, there are only a few articles in the literature that describe the wind
power potential in the Al-Baha region of Saudi Arabia. Therefore, studying the
wind distribution, power density, and capacity factors in different regions is of
great significance for evaluating the wind resources and suitability of installing
wind turbines in the region. This paper evaluates the wind energy potential of
various sites in Al-Baha region of Saudi Arabia to determine the potential of
these sites to meet the requirements of the KSA 2030 wind energy plan.
160.0 0.20
Total electricity generation (TWh)
0.12
80.0
0.08
40.0
0.04
0.0 0.00
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Year
Figure 4. Electricity production and change of unit price of power in Saudi Arabia.
Adopted from Electricity and Cogeneration Regulatory Authority,
https://www.ecra.gov.sa/.
Figure 5. Geographical locations of the collected meteorological data for the seven
groups.
Table 1. The latitude, longitude, and altitude of the selected locations in Al-Baha region.
3.0
2.0
SouthWest Air X
Power (kW)
0.0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0
Wind speed (m/s)
300
Power (kW)
Soyut Wind 100
0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0
Wind speed (m/s)
400
1000
Enercon E40/500
Enercon E40/600
Power (kW)
0
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0
Wind speed (m/s)
(2018-2020), the average wind speed has increased to around 5.9 m/s. In general,
the average wind speed for the Group III 40-year period (1981-2020) ranged
from 5.4 m/s to 5.9 m/s. As can be seen from the figure, the second-highest av-
erage wind speed is group VI (5.1 - 5.6 m/s), while the lower value is group V
(3.4 - 4.0 m/s).
The monthly variation in average wind speeds provides insight into whether
there are suitable wind speeds throughout the year. The monthly average wind
speed at 50 m above the ground is shown in Figure 8. The graph shows that the
third group has higher average wind speeds than the other groups. The graph
also shows that higher wind speeds of 6 m/s or higher were observed from Janu-
ary to March and July. The average wind speed value of groups III and VI in July
exceeded 6.4 m/s, and the wind speed values for the remaining months were re-
duced to 6 m/s. As can be seen from the graph, the lower wind speed values for
all groups were in May. Due to the seasonal trend in wind speed corresponding
to the Saudi Arabia Kingdom’s electricity load trend in winter and summer,
more electricity is required to increase heating and cooling loads [1]. The wind
speed value of group V is lower than the other groups.
7.0
6.5
6.0 Group (I)
Wind Speed [m/s]
Group (II)
5.5
Group (III)
5.0 Group (IV)
4.5 Group (V)
4.0 Group (VI)
Group (VII)
3.5
3.0
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
Year
Figure 7. Annual variation of the mean wind speed for the seven groups (from
1981-2020).
7.0
6.0
Group (I)
5.0
Wind Speed [m/s]
Group (II)
Group (III)
4.0
Group (IV)
3.0 Group (V)
Group (VI)
2.0 Group (VII)
1.0
0.0
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Oct Nov Dec
Month
Figure 8. Monthly variation of the mean wind speed for the seven groups (1981-2020).
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
10 < N < 11
11 < N < 12
12 < N < 13
13 < N < 14
14 < N < 15
15 < N < 16
16 < N < 17
9 < N < 10
0 ≤N<1
1 <N<2
2 <N<3
3 <N<4
4 <N<5
5 <N<6
6 <N<7
7 <N<8
8 <N<9
10 < N < 11
11 < N < 12
12 < N < 13
13 < N < 14
14 < N < 15
15 < N < 16
16 < N < 17
9 < N < 10
0 ≤N<1
1 <N<2
2 <N<3
3 <N<4
4 <N<5
5 <N<6
6 <N<7
7 <N<8
8 <N<9
50 50
Frequency (%)
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
10 < N < 11
11 < N < 12
12 < N < 13
13 < N < 14
14 < N < 15
15 < N < 16
16 < N < 17
9 < N < 10
0 ≤N<1
1 <N<2
2 <N<3
3 <N<4
4 <N<5
5 <N<6
6 <N<7
7 <N<8
8 <N<9
0 ≤N<1
1 <N<2
2 <N<3
3 <N<4
4 <N<5
5 <N<6
6 <N<7
7 <N<8
8 <N<9
10 < N < 11
11 < N < 12
12 < N < 13
13 < N < 14
14 < N < 15
15 < N < 16
16 < N < 17
9 < N < 10
DOI: 10.4236/jpee.2022.104001
Frequency (%) Frequency (%)
10
20
30
40
0
10
20
30
40
0
Frequency (%)
0 ≤N<1 0 ≤N<1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 <N<2 1 <N<2
2 <N<3 2 <N<3
3 <N<4 3 <N<4 0 ≤N<1
4 <N<5 4 <N<5 1 <N<2
5 <N<6 5 <N<6 2 <N<3
6 <N<7 6 <N<7 3 <N<4
7 <N<8 4 <N<5
7 <N<8
5 <N<6
(a) Winter.
8 <N<9 8 <N<9
(c) Summer.
Wind Speed Bins
6 <N<7
9 < N < 10 9 < N < 10 Frequency (%)
12
10 < N < 11 10 < N < 11
(e) Group V
8 <N<9
Wind Speed Bins
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
10
20
30
40
10
20
30
40
0
7 <N<8
8 <N<9
ground level for the seven groups at different bins.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
(b) Spring.
8 <N<9
(d) Autumn.
8 <N<9
(f) Group VI
Figure 10. Seasonal percent frequency distribution of mean wind speed at 50 m above the ground
S. A. AlGhamdi et al.
The energy output (MWh) and a capacity factor of all wind turbines at each site
are shown in Figure 11. From this graph, it is clear that the Soyut Wind 500 ma-
chine has the highest power output in Group III (14,200 MWh/yr), while the
second highest in the same machine in Group VI (1350 MWh/yr). In the third
group, the Soyut Wind 500 machine had a capacity factor of 34%, while in the sixth
group it was 28%. The second maximum power output of the Dewind D4-600 ma-
chine in Group III (970 MWh/year) and Group VI (830 MWh/year). The capacity
factor of this machine is 17% in Group III and 15% in Group VI. In the third group,
the graph also shows that all machines outperformed the other groups.
As shown in Figure 12, the Aeronautica 33 - 225 wind turbine has the highest
capacity factor at 41% in Group III, from machine used. For the same machine
in Group VI, the second-highest capacity factor of 37% was obtained. It also has
the highest capacity factor of all groups except the V group. Nordex N27/250
machines have the lowest capacity factor values in Groups I, IV, and V, while
Southwest X machines have the lowest capacity factor values in Groups II, III,
VI, and VII.
1600 50
Power, MWh/Year
Wind turbine
(a) Group I
1600 50
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45
Power (MWh/Year) 40
1200
Capacity Factor (%) 35
30
800 25
20
15
400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
(b) Group II
1600 50
Wind turbine
1600 50
Power, MWh/Year
Wind turbine
(d) Group IV
1600 50
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45
Power (MWh/Year) 40
1200
35
Capacity Factor (%) 30
800 25
20
15
400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
(e) Group V
1600 50
Wind turbine
(f) Group VI
1600 50
Power, MWh/Year
Wind turbine
Figure 11. Power output for wind machines at 50 m above the ground level at 7 groups.
50 1600
Power, MWh/Year
Capacity Factor (%)
45
40 Capacity Factor (%)
35 1200
30 Power (MWh/Year)
25 800
20
15 400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
(a) Group I
50 1600
Power, MWh/Year
Capacity Factor (%)
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40 1200
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 800
20
15 400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
(b) Group II
50 1600
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40 1200
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 800
20
15 400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
Wind turbine
(d) Group IV
50 1600
Power, MWh/Year
Capacity Factor (%)
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40
1200
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 800
20
15
400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
(e) Group V
50 1600
Power, MWh/Year
Capacity Factor (%)
Wind turbine
(f) Group VI
50 1600
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40 1200
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 800
20
15 400
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
Figure 12. The capacity factor for wind machines at 50 m above the ground level.
Figure 13 shows a comparison between the two machines with the highest
power output and capacity factor (Aeronautica Wind Power 33 - 225 and Soyut
Wind 500), in the third group. Figure 13(a) shows that the Aeronautica Wind
33 - 225 machine has the highest load factor at 41%, which was also the highest
value among all groups. Overall, the highest capacity factor for this machine was
found in Group III, while the next highest value was found in Group VI. Figure
13(b) shows the power output of the different groups of Soyut Wind 500 ma-
chines at 50 m above the ground. It can be seen that Group III has the highest
power output (1420 MWh/year), which is also the highest power value com-
pared to all groups obtaining Soyut Wind 500 machines. Overall, this machine
achieved the highest performance in Group III, followed by the value in Group
VI (1380 MWh/year). It should also be clarified that the choice of wind turbines
depends on the nature of the area, as well as the appropriate wind speeds, and its
basic cost and operating cost. It also means that some turbines may work well in
some regions but not in another.
Seasonal power output and capacity factors for each machine in the third
group are shown in Figure 14. The graph shows the change in power output and
1600 50
Power (MWh/Year) 45
1400
Capacity Factor (%) 40
Power, MWh/Year
Location
1600 50
Power (MWh/Year) 45
1400
Capacity Factor (%) 40
Power, MWh/Year
1200
35
1000 30
800 25
600 20
15
400
10
200 5
0 0
Location
Figure 13. Comparison between Aeronautica wind power 33 - 225 and Soyut wind 500
machines for all groups.
400 50
Power, MWh/Year
Wind turbine
50 400
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40 300
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 200
20
15 100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
400 50
45
Power (MWh/Year)
40
300
35
Capacity Factor (%) 30
200 25
20
15
100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
50 400
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40
300
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 200
20
15
100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
50 400
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40
300
35
30 Power (MWh/Year)
25 200
20
15
100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
50 400
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40
300
35
30 Power (MWh/Year)
25 200
20
15
100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
400 50
Wind turbine
50 400
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
45 Capacity Factor (%)
40 300
35 Power (MWh/Year)
30
25 200
20
15 100
10
5
0 0
Wind turbine
Figure 14. Seasonal power output and capacity factor from different machines in group
III.
power factor in different seasons. The Soyut Wind 500 machine had the highest
power output values in winter and summer (375 MWh/year), while the capacity
factor values were 41% and 32%, respectively. The next highest value of electric-
ity output occurred in autumn (355 MWh/year), while the capacity factor value
was 32%. The capacity factor value for this machine (Soyut Wind 500) is 30% of
the spring minimum power output value (325 MWh/year).
Figure 15 shows the annual output and capacity factors for various machines
in Group III. It can be seen that there are differences in the performance and
capacity factors of the machines used. The Soyut Wind 500 machine (1420
MWh/yr) achieved the highest power output value with a capacity factor value of
41%.
1600 45
Power (MWh/Year) 40
1400
Power, MWh/Year
Capacity Factor (%)
Wind turbine
(a)
45 1600
40 Capacity Factor (%) 1400
Capacity Factor (%)
Power, MWh/Year
35 Power (MWh/Year) 1200
30 1000
25
800
20
15 600
10 400
5 200
0 0
Wind turbine
(b)
Figure 15. Annual power output and capacity factor from different machines at group III.
6. Conclusion
The wind data analysis presented in this paper in terms of annual, and seasonal
variations in Al-Baha region, which is located in the south of Saudi Arabia. It
can be concluded that in group III, the mean wind speed was ranged from 5.4
m/s to 5.9 m/s during 40 years (1981-2020) at 50 m above ground level. The
second highest mean wind speed for group VI (5.1 - 5.6 m/s), while the lower
values in group V. The highest wind speed 6 m/s or more is observed in group
III from January to March and also for July. The frequency analysis assures the
availability of wind above 4 m/s for 79% of the time during the entire year at 50
m above the ground surface at the site of group III. Wind energy generation was
considered for fifteen wind machines of different sizes. It was found that the
Soyut wind 500 machines with a rotor diameter of 39.2 m at 50 m hub height
and with a rated power of 500 kW produced maximum energy of 1420 MWh/Year.
The highest power output values occur in the winter and summer seasons (375
MWh/Year) from Soyut wind 500 machines, while the capacity factor values
were 41% and 32%, respectively. The highest capacity factor of 41% was ob-
tained at 50 m hub height for Soyut wind 500 machines. The main outcome of
this work is to help policymakers with long-term planning, wind energy devel-
opment, and attracting investment in the northeast area of Al-Baha region, KSA.
Acknowledgements
The author extends his appreciation to the Deputyship for Research & Innova-
tion, Ministry of Education in Saudi Arabia for funding this research work
through the project number: MOE-BU-8-2020.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this pa-
per.
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