D8 1 Problem Tree Analysis
D8 1 Problem Tree Analysis
Problem tree analysis helps stakeholders to establish a realistic overview and awareness of the
problem by identifying the fundamental causes and their most important effects. The main
output of the exercise is a tree-shaped diagram in which the trunk represents the focal
problem, the roots represent its causes and the branches its effects. Such a problem tree
diagram creates a logical hierarchy of causes and effects and visualizes the links between
them. It creates a summary picture of the existing negative situation.
This document explains how to develop a problem tree in 6 steps and gives practical hints. An
example of a problem tree is provided for a hypothetical urban sanitation situation.
2. Define the core problem (focal problem or central point of the overall problem).
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6. Review the logic and verify the diagram as a whole with regard to validity and
completeness. If necessary, make adjustments.
o Question to ask for each problem: are these causes sufficient to explain why this
occurs?
Poverty
Poor Sanitary
Core Problem Conditions in the
Community
Use of Unsafe
Toilet (Dirty, Open Defecation & Poor Hygiene
Causes Collapsing, Flying Toilets Practices
Leaking, etc.)
Figure 1: Hypothetical problem tree for a typical urban community with poor sanitary conditions. For
the sake of clarity this representation has a limited level of detail. Not all potential causes and effects
are shown.
- Conducting a problem tree analysis calls for skilled facilitation as well as plenty of time.
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- It is important that everyone feels comfortable in putting their point of view forward.
In some cases it may be beneficial to break into smaller groups, each producing a separate
tree and then compare results. This could be advisable, for example, where
- Useful materials are flip chart paper, markers, post-it notes or cards, and scotch tape or
pins for displaying them. Writing each problem/cause/effect on a separate post-it note or
card during the brainstorming session allows for later (re-)arranging in a cause-effect logic.
- Where cards are very similar create a single new card to represent them all.
- There will probably be multiple causes for each effect, and multiple effects for each
cause. Some cards (such as poverty) may be both fundamental causes and principal effects
– in this case use two cards for the same issue.
- The importance of a problem is not determined by its position in the problem tree
- Allow for discussion, debate and dialogue. A separate flip chart paper might be useful
for solutions, concerns, decisions and other related ideas which result from the discussion.
Questions to guide the discussion might include:
o Does this represent the reality? Are the economic, political and socio-cultural
dimensions to the problem considered?
o Which causes and consequences are getting better, which are getting worse and
which are staying the same?
o What are the most serious consequences? Which are of most concern? What criteria are
important to us in thinking about a way forward?
o Which causes are easiest/most difficult to address? What possible solutions or options
might there be? Where could a policy change help address a cause or consequence, or
create a solution?
o What decisions have we made, and what actions have we agreed upon?
- Photograph the final problem tree or copy it carefully onto flip chart paper.
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