QT Unit1 PDF
QT Unit1 PDF
Module I: Statistics
Statistics as a non-experimental science can be used to study and analyse various problems of social
sciences. It may, however, be pointed out that there may be situations even in natural sciences, where
conducting of an experiment under hundred per cent-controlled conditions is rather impossible.
Statistics, under such conditions, finds its use in natural sciences, like physics, chemistry, etc.
Statistics as a scientific method can be divided into the following two categories
Theoretical Statistics:
This section of statistics can be further divided into three categories:
a. Descriptive Statistics: All those methods which are used for the collection, classification,
tabulation, diagrammatic presentation of data and the methods of calculating average,
dispersion, correlation and regression, index numbers, etc., are included in descriptive
statistics.
b. Inductive Statistics: It includes all those methods which are used to make generalizations
about a population on the basis of a sample. The techniques of forecasting are also included in
inductive statistics.
c. Inferential Statistics: It includes all those methods which are used to test certain hypothesis
regarding characteristics of a population.
Applied Statistics:
It consists of the application of statistical methods to practical problems. Design of sample surveys,
techniques of quality control, decision-making in business, etc., are included in applied statistics.
We have seen above that statistics is a science. Now we shall examine whether it is an art or not. We
know that science is a body of systematized knowledge. How this knowledge is to be used for solving a
problem is work of an art. In addition to this, art also helps in achieving certain objectives and to identify
merits and demerits of methods that could be used. Since statistics possesses all these characteristics, it
may be reasonable to say that it is also an art.
Thus, we conclude that since statistical methods are systematic and have general applications.
Therefore, statistics is a science. Further since the successful application of these methods depends, to a
considerable degree, on the skill and experience of a statistician, therefore, statistics is an art also.
Personally, I would say that statistics fits best as a science, as it is a systematic process that follows a set
of established procedures and protocols and it uses scientific methods and techniques to collect,
analyze, and interpret data. However, it's also an art as it requires a certain level of creativity and
intuition to know how to collect, organize, and analyze data in a way that is meaningful and useful.
Therefore, it has elements of both science and art.
2. Discuss the scope and significance of Statistics?
Scope of Statistics:
Statistics is used to present the numerical facts in a form that is easily understandable by human mind
and to make comparisons, derive valid conclusions, etc., from these facts.
The following can be described as the main functions of statistics.
7. Helps in Forecasting
The success of planning by the Government or of a business depends to a large extent upon the
accuracy of their forecasts. Statistics provides a scientific basis for making such forecasts. Various
techniques used for forecasting are time series analysis,regression analysis, etc.
Importance/Significance of Statistics:
It is perhaps difficult to imagine a field of knowledge which can do without statistics. To begin with, the
State started the use of statistics and now it is being used by almost every branch of knowledge such as
physics, chemistry, biology, sociology, geography, economics, business, etc.
1. Importance to the State: We know that the subject of statistics originated for helping the ancient
rulers in the assessment of their military and economic strength. Gradually its scope was enlarged
to tackle other problems relating to political activities of the State. In modern era, the role of State
has increased, and various governments of the world also take care of the welfare of its people.
Therefore, these governments require much greater information in the form of numerical figures
for the fulfillment of welfare objectives in addition to the efficient running of their administration.
3. Importance in national income accounting: The system of keeping the accounts of income and
expenditure of a country is known as national income accounting. These accounts contain
information on various macro-economic variables like national income, expenditure, production,
savings, investments, volume of exports and imports, etc. The national income accounts of a
country are very useful in having an idea about the broad features of its economy or of a particular
region. The preparation of these accounts require data, regarding various variables, at the macro-
level. Since such information is very difficult if not impossible, to obtain, is often estimated by using
techniques and principles of statistics.
4. Importance in Planning: Planning is indispensable for achieving faster rate of growth through the
best use of a nation’s resources. It also requires a good deal of statistical data on various aspects of
the economy. One of the aims of planning could be to achieve a specified rate of growth of the
economy. Using statistical techniques, it is possible to assess the amounts of various resources
available in the economy and accordingly determine whether the specified rate of growth is
sustainable or not. E.g., a situation of growing unemployment or a situation of rising prices during
past few years. Statistical techniques and principles can also guide the Government in adopting
suitable policy measures to rectify such situations. In addition to this, these techniques can be used
to assess various policies of the Government in the past. Thus, it is rather impossible to think of a
situation where planning and evaluation of various policies can be done without the use of
statistical techniques. In view of this it is sometimes said that “Planning without statistics is a ship
without rudder and compass”. Hence statistics is an important tool for the quantification of various
planning policies.
5. Importance in Business: With the increase in size of business of a firm and with the uncertainties of
business because of cutthroat competition, the need for statistical information and statistical
analysis of various business situations has increased tremendously. Prior to this, when the size of
business used to be smaller without much complexities, a single person, usually owner or manager
of the firm, used to take all decisions regarding its business. For example, he used to decide, from
where the necessary raw materials and other factors of production were to be obtained, how much
of output will be produced, where it will be sold, etc. This type of decision-making was usually
based on experience and expectations of this single man and as such had no scientific basis.
With the current globalization and increasing size of business competition has increased and
uncertainties have increased. Under these circumstances its impossible for a single person to take
decisions. It is precisely this point from where the role of statistics started in business. Now a days no
business, large or small, public, or private, can prosper without the help of statistics. Statistics provides
necessary techniques to a businessman for the formulation of various policies with regard to his
business.
Some of the stages of business where statistical analysis has become necessary are briefly discussed
below:
Discussions regarding its location and size: Before starting a business, it is necessary to know
whether it will be worthwhile to undertake this. This involves a detailed analysis of its costs and
benefits which can be done by using techniques and principles of statistics. Furthermore, statistics
can also provide certain guidelines which may prove to be helpful in deciding the possible location
and size of the proposed business.
Production Planning: After a business is launched, the businessman has to plan its Notes
production so that he is able to meet the demand of its product and incurs minimum losses on
account of over or under production. For this he has to estimate the pattern of demand of the
product by conducting various market surveys. Based upon these surveys, he might also forecast
the demand of the product at various points of time in future.
Inventory Control: Sometimes, depending upon the fluctuations in demand and supply conditions,
it may not be possible to keep production in pace with demand of the product.There may be a
situation of no demand resulting in over production and consequently the firm might have to
discontinue production for some time. On the other hand, there maybe a sudden rise in the
demand of the product so that the firm is able to meet only a part of the total demand. Under such
situations the firm may decide to have an inventory of the product for the smooth running of its
business. The optimum limits of inventory, i.e., the minimum and maximum amount of stock to be
kept, can be decided by the statistics analysis of the fluctuations in demand and supply of the
product.
Quality Control: Statistical techniques can also be used to control the quality of the product
manufactured by a firm. This consists of the preparation of control charts by means of the
specification of an average quality. A control chart shows two limits, the lower control limit, and
the upper control limit for variation in the quality of the product. The samples of output, being
produced, are taken at regular intervals and their quality is measured. If the quality falls outside the
control limits, steps are taken to rectify the manufacturing process.
Accounts writing and auditing: Every business firm keeps accounts of its revenue and expenditure.
All activities of a firm, whether big or small, are reflected by these accounts.Whenever certain
decisions are to be taken or it is desired to assess the performance of the firm or of its particular
section or sections, these accounts are required to be summarized in a statistical way. This may
consist of the calculation of typical measures like average production per unit of labour, average
production per hour, average rate of return on investment, etc. Statistical methods may also be
helpful in generalizing relationships between two or more of such variables Further, while auditing
the accounts of a big business, it may not be possible to examine each and every transaction.
Statistics provides sampling techniques to audit the accounts of a business firm. This can save a lot
of time and money.
Banks and Insurance Companies: Banks use statistical techniques to take decisions regarding the
average amount of cash needed each day to meet the requirements of day to day transactions.
Furthermore, various policies of investment and sanction of loans are also based on the analysis
provided by statistics.
The business of insurance is based on the studies of life expectancy in various age groups.Depending
upon these studies, mortality tables are constructed and accordingly the rates of premium to be
charged by an insurance company are decided. All this involves the use of statistical principles and
methods.
3. Discuss the various areas Business use Statistics in. Which according to you
is the most important areas, which potentially has the highest use of
statistical data?
Importance/Significance of Statistics:
It is perhaps difficult to imagine a field of knowledge which can do without statistics. To begin with, the
State started the use of statistics and now it is being used by almost every branch of knowledge such as
physics, chemistry, biology, sociology, geography, economics, business, etc.
Importance to the State: We know that the subject of statistics originated for helping the ancient
rulers in the assessment of their military and economic strength. Gradually its scope was enlarged
to tackle other problems relating to political activities of the State. In modern era, the role of State
has increased, and various governments of the world also take care of the welfare of its people.
Therefore, these governments require much greater information in the form of numerical figures
for the fulfillment of welfare objectives in addition to the efficient running of their administration.
Importance in national income accounting: The system of keeping the accounts of income and
expenditure of a country is known as national income accounting. These accounts contain
information on various macro-economic variables like national income, expenditure, production,
savings, investments, volume of exports and imports, etc. The national income accounts of a
country are very useful in having an idea about the broad features of its economy or of a particular
region. The preparation of these accounts require data, regarding various variables, at the macro-
level. Since such information is very difficult if not impossible, to obtain, is often estimated by using
techniques and principles of statistics.
Importance in Planning: Planning is indispensable for achieving faster rate of growth through the
best use of a nation’s resources. It also requires a good deal of statistical data on various aspects of
the economy. One of the aims of planning could be to achieve a specified rate of growth of the
economy. Using statistical techniques, it is possible to assess the amounts of various resources
available in the economy and accordingly determine whether the specified rate of growth is
sustainable or not. E.g., a situation of growing unemployment or a situation of rising prices during
past few years. Statistical techniques and principles can also guide the Government in adopting
suitable policy measures to rectify such situations. In addition to this, these techniques can be used
to assess various policies of the Government in the past. Thus, it is rather impossible to think of a
situation where planning and evaluation of various policies can be done without the use of
statistical techniques. In view of this it is sometimes said that “Planning without statistics is a ship
without rudder and compass”. Hence statistics is an important tool for the quantification of various
planning policies.
Importance in Business: With the increase in size of business of a firm and with the uncertainties of
business because of cutthroat competition, the need for statistical information and statistical
analysis of various business situations has increased tremendously. Prior to this, when the size of
business used to be smaller without much complexities, a single person, usually owner or manager
of the firm, used to take all decisions regarding its business. For example, he used to decide, from
where the necessary raw materials and other factors of production were to be obtained, how much
of output will be produced, where it will be sold, etc. This type of decision-making was usually
based on experience and expectations of this single man and as such had no scientific basis.
With the current globalization and increasing size of business competition has increased and
uncertainties have increased. Under these circumstances its impossible for a single person to take
decisions. It is precisely this point from where the role of statistics started in business. Now a days no
business, large or small, public, or private, can prosper without the help of statistics. Statistics provides
necessary techniques to a businessman for the formulation of various policies with regard to his
business.
Some of the stages of business where statistical analysis has become necessary are briefly discussed
below:
Discussions regarding its location and size: Before starting a business, it is necessary to know
whether it will be worthwhile to undertake this. This involves a detailed analysis of its costs and
benefits which can be done by using techniques and principles of statistics. Furthermore, statistics
can also provide certain guidelines which may prove to be helpful in deciding the possible location
and size of the proposed business.
Production Planning: After a business is launched, the businessman has to plan its Notes
production so that he is able to meet the demand of its product and incurs minimum losses on
account of over or under production. For this he has to estimate the pattern of demand of the
product by conducting various market surveys. Based upon these surveys, he might also forecast
the demand of the product at various points of time in future.
Inventory Control: Sometimes, depending upon the fluctuations in demand and supply conditions,
it may not be possible to keep production in pace with demand of the product.There may be a
situation of no demand resulting in over production and consequently the firm might have to
discontinue production for some time. On the other hand, there maybe a sudden rise in the
demand of the product so that the firm is able to meet only a part of the total demand. Under such
situations the firm may decide to have an inventory of the product for the smooth running of its
business. The optimum limits of inventory, i.e., the minimum and maximum amount of stock to be
kept, can be decided by the statistics analysis of the fluctuations in demand and supply of the
product.
Quality Control: Statistical techniques can also be used to control the quality of the product
manufactured by a firm. This consists of the preparation of control charts by means of the
specification of an average quality. A control chart shows two limits, the lower control limit, and
the upper control limit for variation in the quality of the product. The samples of output, being
produced, are taken at regular intervals and their quality is measured. If the quality falls outside the
control limits, steps are taken to rectify the manufacturing process.
Accounts writing and auditing: Every business firm keeps accounts of its revenue and expenditure.
All activities of a firm, whether big or small, are reflected by these accounts.Whenever certain
decisions are to be taken or it is desired to assess the performance of the firm or of its particular
section or sections, these accounts are required to be summarized in a statistical way. This may
consist of the calculation of typical measures like average production per unit of labour, average
production per hour, average rate of return on investment, etc. Statistical methods may also be
helpful in generalizing relationships between two or more of such variables Further, while auditing
the accounts of a big business, it may not be possible to examine each and every transaction.
Statistics provides sampling techniques to audit the accounts of a business firm. This can save a lot
of time and money.
Banks and Insurance Companies: Banks use statistical techniques to take decisions regarding the
average amount of cash needed each day to meet the requirements of day to day transactions.
Furthermore, various policies of investment and sanction of loans are also based on the analysis
provided by statistics.
The business of insurance is based on the studies of life expectancy in various age groups.Depending
upon these studies, mortality tables are constructed and accordingly the rates of premium to be
charged by an insurance company are decided. All this involves the use of statistical principles and
methods.
According to my personal opinion, a state has a potential to highest use of statistical data:
Importance to the State: We know that the subject of statistics originated for helping the ancient rulers
in the assessment of their military and economic strength. Gradually its scope was enlarged to tackle
other problems relating to political activities of the State. In modern era, the role of State has increased,
and various governments of the world also take care of the welfare of its people. Therefore, these
governments require much greater information in the form of numerical figures for the fulfillment of
welfare objectives in addition to the efficient running of their administration.
4. It is states that ‘Planning without statistics is a ship without rudder and
compass’. Explain this statement stating the main areas of statistics?
It is perhaps difficult to imagine a field of knowledge which can do without statistics. To begin with, the
State started the use of statistics and now it is being used by almost every branch of knowledge such as
physics, chemistry, biology, sociology, geography, economics, business, etc.
a. Importance to the State: We know that the subject of statistics originated for helping the ancient
rulers in the assessment of their military and economic strength. Gradually its scope was enlarged to
tackle other problems relating to political activities of the State. In modern era, the role of State has
increased, and various governments of the world also take care of the welfare of its people. Therefore,
these governments require much greater information in the form of numerical figures for the fulfillment
of welfare objectives in addition to the efficient running of their administration.
c. Importance in national income accounting: The system of keeping the accounts of income and
expenditure of a country is known as national income accounting. These accounts contain information
on various macro-economic variables like national income, expenditure, production, savings,
investments, volume of exports and imports, etc. The national income accounts of a country are very
useful in having an idea about the broad features of its economy or of a particular region. The
preparation of these accounts require data, regarding various variables, at the macro-level. Since such
information is very difficult if not impossible, to obtain, is often estimated by using techniques and
principles of statistics.
d. Importance in Planning: Planning is indispensable for achieving faster rate of growth through the
best use of a nation’s resources. It also requires a good deal of statistical data on various aspects of the
economy. One of the aims of planning could be to achieve a specified rate of growth of the economy.
Using statistical techniques, it is possible to assess the amounts of various resources available in the
economy and accordingly determine whether the specified rate of growth is sustainable or not. E.g., a
situation of growing unemployment or a situation of rising prices during past few years. Statistical
techniques and principles can also guide the Government in adopting suitable policy measures to rectify
such situations. In addition to this, these techniques can be used to assess various policies of the
Government in the past. Thus, it is rather impossible to think of a situation where planning and
evaluation of various policies can be done without the use of statistical techniques. In view of this it is
sometimes said that “Planning without statistics is a ship without rudder and compass”. Hence
statistics is an important tool for the quantification of various planning policies.
e. Importance in Business: With the increase in size of business of a firm and with the uncertainties of
business because of cutthroat competition, the need for statistical information and statistical analysis of
various business situations has increased tremendously. Prior to this, when the size of business used to
be smaller without much complexities, a single person, usually owner or manager of the firm, used to
take all decisions regarding its business. For example, he used to decide, from where the necessary raw
materials and other factors of production were to be obtained, how much of output will be produced,
where it will be sold, etc. This type of decision-making was usually based on experience and
expectations of this single man and as such had no scientific basis.
With the current globalization and increasing size of business competition has increased and
uncertainties have increased. Under these circumstances its impossible for a single person to take
decisions. It is precisely this point from where the role of statistics started in business. Now a days no
business, large or small, public, or private, can prosper without the help of statistics. Statistics provides
necessary techniques to a businessman for the formulation of various policies with regard to his
business.
5. Discuss the limitations of Statistics?
Like every other science, statistics also has its limitations. In order to have maximum advantage from the use
of statistical methods, it is necessary to know their limitations. According to Newshome, “It (statistics) must
be regarded as an instrument of research of great value, but having severe limitations, which are not possible
to overcome and as such they need our careful attention.”
6. Liable to be misused
Statistical data are likely to be misused to draw any type of conclusion. If the attitude of the investigator is
biased towards a particular aspect of the problem, he is likely to collect only such data which give more
importance to that aspect. The conclusions drawn on the basis of such information are bound to be
misleading. Suppose, for example, the attitude of the Government is biased, and it wants to compute a price
index which should show a smaller rise of prices than the actual one. In such a situation, the Government
might use only those price quotations that are obtained from markets having lower prices.