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THE IFFY BIODEFENSE BOOM
VOLUME 266 #3
T
MARCH 2005 CONTENTS
As the beefy guards wearing desert fatigues and .45s check your ID,
maybe you’ll notice their black shoulder patches, which feature
FOUNDED IN 1872 a classically oval-eyed alien face outlined in silver and gold.
36 | Soapbox
PLUGGED IN When ISPs secretly sort your
e-mail, nobody wins. By Cory Doctorow
SCIENCE FRICTION Popular culture lauds the
wrong Einstein. By Gregory Mone
O N T H E C O V E R : K E N N B R O W N ; I N S E T: H O L LY L I N D E M ; T H I S PA G E , C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P : J O H N B . C A R N E T T ( 2 ) ;
stories 41
41 | Technopolis Found POPSCI identi-
fies the most high-tech U.S. cities. How
does yours rate? By Matthew Power
50 | The Five-Billion-Star Hotel
An exclusive first glimpse at Las Vegas
developer Robert Bigelow’s $500-million
inflatable orbital retreat. By Michael Belfiore 64 14
depts.
6 From the Editor 80 FYI
7 Contributors 104 Looking Back
27
10 Letters
Taxicab
Web Producer Peter Noah
Contributing Design Editor Chee Pearlman
Contributing Automotive Editor Stephan Wilkinson
Contributing Editors Cory Doctorow, Theodore Gray, Joseph
BEN BAKER/REDUX; GROOMING BY MICHELLE CEGLIA FOR iGROUP; STYLING BY NAILA RUECHEL FOR STOCKLAND MARTEL
Mike Schoenbrun (212) 779-5148, Missy Dye Radin
prizes to the richly deserving winners of our annual Best of What’s New (212) 779-5030
Ad Assistant Christopher Graves
awards. When making my rounds, I relish the chance to chat with the engineers Midwest Advertising Office: Manager John Marquardt
(312) 832-0626, Megan Williams (312) 832-0624
who created the technology, because they really get it—these innovators are con- Ad Assistant Sindy Sonshine
tinually telling their marketing people that this is the award that truly matters. Los Angeles Advertising Office: Manager Dana Hess
(310) 268-7484, Ad Assistant Mary Infantino
As you might expect, hearing that sort of thing a dozen times or more a Detroit Advertising Office: Manager Donna Christensen
day is a mighty fine way to spend a trade show. But my happy bubble was (248) 988-7723, Ad Assistant Diane Pahl
San Francisco Advertising Office: Manager Amy
burst one night when, riding in a taxi, I heard this bit of devil’s advocacy Cacciatore (415) 434-5276, Ad Assistant Carly Petrone
from one of my cabmates: “Has anyone here seen a single thing at this Southern Regional Advertising Office: Manager Dave
Hady (404) 364-4090, Ad Assistant Christy Chapman
show that is really going to change the world for the better?” Classified Advertising Sales Joan Orth (212) 779-5555
Direct Response Sales Marie Isabelle (800) 280-2069
This was just after the Indian Ocean tsunami took well over 150,000 lives, Business Manager Jacqueline L. Pappas
a great many of whom might have been saved if early-warning technology were Director of Brand & Business Development L. Dennett
Robertson
better distributed. In the context of the moment, my companion’s remark Sales Development Managers Mike Saperstein,
seems a reasonable provocation. My retort was something to the effect that he Daniel Vaughan
Senior Manager, Events and Promotions Christy Chapin
was at the wrong trade show. No one, after all, is making grand claims of social Ellinger
relevance for remote-access TiVo or the latest flat-panel television. However eye- Creative Services Designer Mary McGann
Marketing Coordinator Eshonda Caraway
popping and awe-inspiring, this stuff represents just a slice of the spectrum of Advertising Coordinator Evelyn Negron
Consumer Marketing Director Barbara Venturelli
what technology can and should do, and it ought to be judged accordingly. Senior Planning Manager Margerita Catwell
In this issue, we attempt to illuminate that area of the social/tech spectrum Consumer Marketing Managers Adam Feifer, Kristen Shue
Senior Production Director Laurel Kurnides
that falls somewhere between the lifesaving innovations and the tech candy— Production Assistant Shawn Glenn
specifically, that territory defined by the question, “What does it mean for a city Prepress Director Robyn Koeppel
Prepress Manager José Medina
to be high-tech?” Our tech-city rankings do take into account the extent to Publicity Manager Hallie Deaktor
which a population embraces technology. But we’ve gone much further by
quantifying the extent to which a city’s policymakers and private sector use tech-
nology to improve quality of life—from innovative traffic systems to pioneer-
ing medical care to energy-efficient building codes. When we crunched all the President Mark P. Ford
Senior Vice Presidents James F. Else,
data, our top technopolis turned out to be . . . well, turn to page 41 to find out. Victor M. Sauerhoff, Steven Shure
As for me, I’m just happy that I get to deliver another award. Editorial Director Scott Mowbray
Director, Corporate Communications Samara Farber Mormar
CUSTOMER SERVICE AND SUBSCRIPTIONS
MARK JANNOT For 24/7 service, please use our Web site: popsci.com/
[email protected] customerservice
You can also call: 800-289-9399 or write to:
Popular Science P.O. Box 62456 Tampa, FL 33662-4568
If hotelier Robert Bigelow has his way, well-heeled adventurers will be able to see the world
in comfort—and from a distance. He wants to rocket them up to a $1-million-a-night, Earth-
orbiting space hotel. Writer MICHAEL BELFIORE [left] was one of the first journalists to visit
the top-secret Bigelow Aerospace hangar in Las Vegas, which houses the inflatable space
modules that are to become Bigelow’s otherworldly resort. A space junkie, Belfiore has
written a children’s book about life on the International Space Station, wire stories for
Reuters about last fall’s Ansari X Prize flights, and a one-man play about alien abductions.
Whereas Belfiore traces his extraterrestrial enthusiasms to the science fiction he read as
a kid, artist KRIS HOLLAND [right] got his start in science-related illustration when, as a
university student majoring in physics and geology, he entered a computer-modeling contest
and won third place. Holland’s science background helps him create realistic images like
the one on page 55 that shows how a rocket will get tourists to habitations situated in low-
Earth orbit. “I know what a launch profile is supposed to look like,” he explains.
M I C H A E L B E L F I O R E P H O T O G R A P H E D B Y J O H N B . C A R N E T T; S T E P H E N R O U N T R E E P H O T O G R A P H E D B Y D O U G S T E R N
Editor’s Note:
When we titled our January cover story “The Daring
Visionaries of Crackpot Aviation,” we in no way meant
to suggest that any of the five innovators we profiled
are crackpots themselves. By calling them daring
visionaries in the headline and “audacious” on the
cover, we intended to convey the spirit of invention that
has characterized aviation pioneers since before the
Wright brothers. Ever since, much scorn has been
heaped upon aviation visionaries, and we didn’t intend
to pile on—just the opposite. In keeping with the long
tradition of this magazine, we were singling out and
celebrating those envelope-pushing folks on the fringe
who, fueled by personal passion and engineering
expertise, are doing the most interesting work today
on the personal aircraft of tomorrow. The word choice
generated some negative impressions, though, so
we’d like to set the record straight.—Mark Jannot
A Revolution on the Runway things are essential, but they will not Inventors like those profiled in your
With the exception of a most unfortu- crystallize into something truly revolu- article follow personal visions that
nate choice of title, Jeff Wise’s aviation tionary without an injection of uncon- drive them to persist where large
piece does a reasonable job of present- ventional thinking about the aircraft organizations give up. It takes a deep,
ing some interesting projects, including themselves. Individual innovators pro- almost illogical level of optimism to
my own Facetmobile. There is, how- vide what large corporations and gov- keep pushing forward in the face of
ever, a deeper significance to the story. ernment entities, who must answer to skepticism and the technical and
We are on the verge of a historic oppor- shareholders and the public, likely will financial obstacles inherent in advanc-
tunity to revolutionize personal flight. not: revolutionary concepts that are at ing the state of the art. Many fail,
Advances in avionics and navigation odds with conventional thinking. but those who succeed enrich us all.
technology will soon afford individual My own work has demonstrated an Barnaby Wainfan
pilots a level of safety comparable to airframe configuration that is simpler Long Beach, Calif.
that of major airlines. Advances in and safer than the conventional wing-
materials, computer-aided design and body-tail. The Facetmobile flew 130 POPULAR SCIENCE ONLINE
Visit our Web site at
computer-controlled manufacturing hours of testing, demonstrating per- popsci.com, or check us out
on AOL at keyword: popsci
can dramatically reduce aircraft cost. formance equal to or better than con-
HOW TO CONTACT US NEW SUBSCRIPTIONS
The Federal Aviation Administration’s ventional airplanes. It combines stall Address: 2 Park Ave., To subscribe to POPULAR
new “Light-Sport” and spin resistance and safe, docile 9th Floor SCIENCE, please contact
New York, NY 10016 Phone: 800-289-9399
regulations allow flying qualities with a structural config- Fax: 212-779-5103 Web: popsci.com/
new aircraft uration well-suited to low-cost, highly LETTERS
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INSIDE INTERNET PHONES GET REAL 14 • SOUPED-UP CARS STRAIGHT FROM THE SHOWROOM 16 • REINVENTING AIR HOCKEY 25
Reverse
Engineering
A radical new propeller
pulls rather than pushes
boats through the water
C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P : J O H N L AW T O N ( 3 ) ; C O U RT E S Y J A S C O P R O D U C T S ;
Love your traditional phone? Pair it with this VoIP
adapter, and you can keep using it. The device plugs
into your broadband router or modem and has two
UTSTARCOM F-1000 standard telephone jacks for connecting a phone or
WI-FI PHONE fax machine. Requires a separate service plan.
Whether you’re at home $60 » linksys.com
or a Starbucks in Tokyo,
UTStarcom’s F-1000
uses any Wi-Fi network
to place your VoIP call.
On the road, input new
J O H N B . C A R N E T T; J O H N L AW T O N
2
Drop the wrench and back away from the vehicle. Driving a
highway hotdog is as easy as stepping onto the showroom floor
» DRIVERS LOOKING TO DISTINGUISH THEMSELVES on the road cough up $30 billion a year for
superchargers, spoilers, chrome tailpipes and other aftermarket goodies. Recognizing this trend,
automakers are building seriously souped-up editions of base-model vehicles across a spectrum broader
than we’ve ever seen. These so-called factory tuners feature macho permutations of powertrain, chassis
and looks seamlessly executed on the assembly line; they’re sold and serviced by dealers; and they’re
covered under warranty. Rolling out this year, these three steroidal iterations of subtler siblings represent
the range of prices and options. Turns out you don’t need MTV to pimp your ride.—MATTHEW PHENIX
1
C O U RT E S Y B M W; FA C I N G PA G E , C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P : C O U RT E S Y M A Z D A ; C O U RT E S Y M I C H E L I N ; C O U RT E S Y C H E V R O L E T
POWER SURGE
BMW M5 How factory tuners stack up against their base models
Yes, the M-series has been around for 20-odd years, but the 2005
M5’s F1-inspired engine—25 percent more powerful than its predeces-
sor—makes it BMW’s most outrageous factory tuner yet. It has a 5.0- SPECS BMW 525i BMW M5
liter V10 with a heady 8,250-rpm redline, a trait it owes to its short-
stroke engine (the cylinders have little distance to travel, allowing rpm to BASE PRICE $42,000 $85,000 (EST.)
climb quickly). Turn the key and the big 10 blasts to life with 400 horse-
power and 384 pound-feet of torque. Hit the “M” on the steering POWER 184 HP 500 HP
wheel, and the computer jacks up horsepower to 500. The engine is TORQUE 175 LB.-FT. 384 LB.-FT.
matched to BMW’s paddle-operated Sequential Manual Gearbox with
seven—yes, seven—forward gears and six shift speeds. It’ll be easy to 0 – 60 MPH 7.8 SEC. 4.5 SEC.
spot this fall with its 19-inch alloy wheels, quad exhaust and low-slung TOP SPEED 146 MPH* 155 MPH*
stance. $85,000 (estimated) » bmwusa.com
* Electronically limited
3
Benzes at the Detroit Auto Show
was not wet. Called Alu-Beam,
its pigments are between 100
and 300 nanometers in diame-
ter and so tightly packed that
the paint looks like molten metal
even when dry. It’s about two
years away from your driveway.
Flight of Fancy
It looks more arts-and-crafts than aircraft,
but could it be the future of commuting?
HOW IT WORKS
C L O C K W I S E F R O M T O P : C O U RT E S Y D A N I E L P E E B L E S ; C O U RT E S Y J O N L I N N E Y, O P E N U N I V E R S I T Y, K M I U K ; J A S O N L E E
The fan pulls air in at the front, compresses it, and accel-
erates it over the trailing edge of the wing to produce
both lift and thrust. The key is the large volume of air the
fan can move because the blades are exposed.
T O P : J O H N L AW T O N ; B O T T O M , F R O M L E F T: C O U RT E S Y S H A R P S Y S T E M S O F A M E R I C A ; C O U RT E S Y A P P L E ; C O U RT E S Y I N C L O S I A ; C O U RT E S Y PA N A S O N I C ; C O U RT E S Y I B M ; C O U RT E S Y A L I E N WA R E
Voodoo (voodoopc.com) chose pricey car-
bon fiber—typically restricted to aero-
space, automotive and recreational appli-
cations—for its unique strength-to-weight
ratio. Were the m:50 made of plastic, it
would weigh nearly a pound and a half
more, and it wouldn’t be as sturdy.
But benefits go beyond athleticism. Less
material between the wireless antenna
and Wi-Fi source speeds downloads by up
to 20 percent, and because carbon fiber
isn’t as conductive as plastic or metal, this
laptop’s fan is small and quiet. Although
it’s rumored that Apple might release a
carbon-fiber Powerbook, manufacturing
the material is still too expensive for it to
become ubiquitous. The 40GB Voodoo
base model, with 256 megabytes of
memory and a Pentium M 1.6-gigahertz
processor, costs $1,865.—JOHN BIGGS
Al Mg $1,500
Ti
17 in.|6.9 lbs. 12.1 in.|2.8 lbs.
Wo*
12.1 in.|3.2 lbs.
THE GOODS [
20 SERIOUSLY HOT
PRODUCTS THAT (ALMOST)
SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES
Impressive
Display
Ovideon
AVIAh
» Watch digital
videos on the16- Split-Second
million-color OLED Decision Cardio Caddy
(organic LED) dis- Power Blocker 2 Mio Elite Golf
play—a first for portable » Surge protectors » Why make a golf-
players—or, thanks to its convert excess elec- score-keeping watch
built-in TV and cable tuners, tricity into heat— with integrated heart-
rip a show directly to its five- great for spikes, but rate monitor? Because
gig hard drive. Plays MP3 and they wear out with the pros keep tabs on
WMA audio. $600 » aviah.com sustained overages. their ticker during play
This one also has a to distinguish between
circuit breaker that feeling calm and
Freeze Frame turns it off before being calm, to regu-
Eastman Outfitters it fries. $130 late consistency.
Tundra Tuff » newpoint.com $200 » miowatch.com
» At 18 pounds, it’s
the lightest two-man
ice-fishing shanty. It
folds up into a back-
pack, sheds wind Juice Concentrate
and water, and Sakar
absorbs sunlight to Supersonic Charger
increase the inside » By chemically altering
temperature. $150 » the nickel-metal hydride
eastmanoutdoors.com inside its rechargeable
AA cells, Sakar made
Straight from the Silicon Boot batteries that can with-
Oncinema Teatro D1 » A media-center PC free from the monitor’s stand 8.5 amps of cur-
Long-Distance tether, this Italian job lets you control movies, music and pictures rent, so they charge in
Relationship from its 1,280x620-pixel touchscreen. 3.2 gigahertz. 8.5 minutes.
Cobra PR 4700
$6,540 » oncinema.it $60 » sakar.com
» To give this GMRS
radio its 12-mile
range, Cobra spent
six months refining The Disc Drives
the electrical path Estone Ripper 510 » Put a CD into this
between the antenna in-dash car stereo, and rip it to the 20-gig
and transceiver. $80 hard drive at 8x, or pop the drive out and copy your MP3s from
a pair » cobra.com your PC via USB 2.0. $650 » estone-tech.com
Sound Swapper
Tivoli Music System
» By taking information
from one audio channel
and moving it to the other,
Tivoli simulates true stereo
sound (physically impossi-
ble from speakers less than
six feet apart) in a 14-inch-
wide system. Operates on
12 or 120 volts.
$500 » tivoliaudio.com
Pucker Up
DMI Sports
Chemistry- GoalFlex Hockey
Class Coffee » Air hockey with no slots. Rows
Desktop Photo Shop
OnTech Self-Heating Can » A com- Epson Stylus Photo RX620
of light sensors at the ends of the
partment in the bottom segregates » Scans photos in 2,400 x
eight-foot table detect when the
calcium oxide and water. Break the 4,800 dpi—the highest reso-
puck scores. Adjust the width and
seal, and the reaction heats Wolf- lution available on a combi-
location of the goals to up the
gang Puck’s coffee to 145°F in six nation printer/scanner—and
challenge, or make them moving
minutes flat. $2.25 » ontech.com prints pics up to 8 x10 inches.
targets. $1,000 » dmisports.com
Mac- and PC-compatible,
although the seven-in-one card
Straight reader makes a computer
to Video unnecessary. $300 »
Sony DCR-DVD7 epson.com
» Slightly bigger than
a portable CD player,
this camcorder writes Soft White Handy Upgrade
directly to a blank Fox Fury Signature Pro Rotozip Jigsaw Handle
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format, MPEG-2.10x mizes eyestrain by emitting Rotozip into a new kind of
optical zoom. Takes photo-optic light, which jigsaw. Except, unlike its flat-
VGA stills. Works with matches the spectrum the bladed cousin, a Rotozip’s
DVD-R, DVD-RW and human eye can detect. cylindrical blade lets you
DVD+RW discs. Water resistant. $120 turn as sharply as you want.
$700 » sonystyle.com » foxfury.com $40 » rotozip.com
HEADLINES scıence
T
MARCH 2005
DISCOVERIES, ADVANCES & DEBATES IN SCIENCE AND THE WORLD
INSIDE THE GREENEST SKYSCRAPER 28 • WILL BROADBAND AIRSHIPS FLY? 30 • NEVER-WASH CLOTHES! 32 • THE 3-D FAX MACHINE 34
[SPACE POLICY]
Game On
Upstaged by private inventors such as Burt Rutan,
NASA hopes its cash-award contests will spur innovation not proposals, the Centennial Challenges sig-
nal a paradigm shift in NASA’s approach to
I
N 1999, THE 12-PERSON HOLLYWOOD FIRM GLOBAL EFFECTS, WHICH CRAFTS commercial contracting, which could slash
replica space suits for movies and plans to make a real one for the private aero- costs while letting upstart tech firms find
space industry this year, sent a replica of NASA’s Advanced Crew Escape Suit hel- their niche alongside aerospace behemoths
met to the agency. Its perfect likeness fooled many of the technicians who saw it. like Boeing and Lockheed Martin.
Even the reflective tape on the back was arranged perfectly—a feat the space agency The timing of the program—announced
had never achieved, a NASA manager told Global Effects president Chris Gilman. last year as Burt Rutan’s SpaceShipOne, the
“NASA can out-organize me to the nth degree,” Gilman says, “but when it came to X Prize winner, was preparing to endear the
something simple like coming up with a pattern to lay tape out on the back of a hel- world to low-cost private spaceflight—seems
met, it just never occurred to them.” less like a coincidence and more like a mea
This is a perfect example of the practical ingenuity NASA is hoping to tap with culpa. NASA, after all, spent $23.4 million on
its new Centennial Challenges program, which will hand out Ansari X Prize–style a single space-shuttle toilet. (SpaceShipOne
jackpots for achievements in a range of yet-to-be-defined categories. A new lunar cost an estimated $20 million.)
C O U RT E S Y N A S A
rover might fetch $5 million. A reentry vehicle for bringing back small payloads Aside from some brainstorming sessions,
from the International Space Station could earn $50 million. By rewarding results, not much has happened, in large part because
TICKER /// 12.15.04 BOTCHED DEFENSE AN INTERCEPTOR MISSILE FAILS TO LAUNCH FROM THE RONALD REAGAN TEST SITE AT KWAJALEIN ATOLL IN THE WEST CENTRAL PACIFIC
The Challenges als as possible. Some 45 percent of its concrete, for instance, will
consist of blast-furnace slag—leftover waste generated from iron
could slash costs processing—which means cement manufacturers won’t have to
while letting upstart make new aggregate, avoiding the release of more than 50,000
tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. And an estimated 75
firms find their niche percent of the tower’s construction debris will be recycled.
alongside aero- Although the eco-features will boost construction costs by about
6.5 percent, the building will save its occupants about $3 million a year in energy
space behemoths. costs, and increase productivity by $7 million annually, according to Cook+Fox, the
architectural firm designing the skyscraper. If that’s the case, the green features will
a commercial market there,” says Louis have paid for themselves just seven years after the building opens.—PATRICK DI JUSTO
Friedman, executive director of the Plane-
tary Society, a leading nonprofit space
J O H N M A C N E I L L ; P H O T O G R A P H : C O U RT E S Y D B O X S T U D I O F O R C O O K + F O X A R C H I T E C T S
advocacy group. “The government is going
1 2
LET IT RAIN New York City receives HOME-GROWN JUICE An on-site
to be the biggest customer for a long time.” an average of 49 inches of rain a 5.1-megawatt electrical generator—
Not necessarily, as long as contests are year. Over the building’s two-acre the largest ever installed in a New
limited to practical technologies that the footprint, that adds up to 2.6 mil- York City office building—will pro-
private sector might pay to own, contends lion gallons of free water. Collec- vide for all of the building’s base
Edward Wright, president of X-Rocket, a tors on the building’s rooftops will electrical needs (lights, elevators,
Bothell, Washington, company that plans pipe rainwater into four storage pumps). Only office equipment will
tanks, where it will be treated and be powered by the city’s electrical
to conduct suborbital flights for tourists
used to flush toilets, irrigate green grid. The generator can also output
and might compete in the Challenges space, and cool the air. power to the city’s grid if needed.
should an applicable category arise. If the
technology is useful only to NASA, then the
HOW GROUNDWATER WILL
3
prize has to be big enough to pay for R&D GROUNDWATER The city’s ground-
COOL THE BUILDING IN SUMMER
costs but not so big that deep-pocket con- water, buried in bedrock, maintains a
Warming fluid
Cooling fluid
Rainwater
For a new low-cost space suit like the one A heat exchanger in the basement pulls
Global Effects is planning, $500,000 would this residual heat out of the ground in
motivate the right entrepreneurs, Wright winter and uses it to warm the building.
says. Half a million surely will inspire In summer, it pumps excess building
Graywater heat into the bedrock.
Gilman, whose suits will sell for less than tank
$100,000. “I’ve been described as the Burt Groundwater
Rutan of space suits,” he says. Just the type
Geothermal heat pump Bedrock
NASA is banking on.—JOSHUA TOMPKINS
OCEAN DURING THE FIRST FULL TEST OF THE U.S. BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEM /// 12.26.04 THE UNFATHOMABLE A 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN THE INDIAN OCEAN KICKS UP ONE OF
4 SKY-HIGH TURBINE
An estimated 50 percent
of the building’s electrical
One Bryant Park
ventilation system
Conventional
ventilation system
6
power may be purchased DREAM CUBICLES Unlike many office towers, which
from green sources, such recirculate air so that one person’s exhale is another’s
as wind farms in upstate inhale (giving rise to so-called sick-building syn-
New York. In addition, drome), One Bryant Park’s ventilation system sucks in
the building’s smaller outside air through vents at the eighth floor. This air is
spire may house a filtered to remove particulates, circulated throughout
vertical-axis wind turbine the building, refiltered, and then released outside
(VAWT) to generate auxil- cleaner than when it came in.
iary power. (The Freedom
Tower, to be built on the
site of the World Trade
Center, is also expected to
make use of a VAWT.) Reflected
Visible UV light
light only
5 A BETTER JOHN
Each of the building’s
200 waterless urinals
Water tank
Rainwater
collector 8 TRASH DIGESTION Every day, two tons of waste,
including shredded paper and food scraps from the
building’s cafeteria, will be dumped into a 1,000-
gallon vat of organic waste seeded with bacteria.
One-acre green roof
The bacteria will digest the slurry and turn it into
methane or biodiesel fuel. This is then fed to a turbine,
which produces an additional 75 kilowatts—enough
Electrical to power the on-site Bank of America branch.
generator
Composting vat
TICKER ///MOST
HISTORY’S 1.10.03 VIRAL ANNIVERSARY
DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMIS,THE COMPUTER VIRUS
DEVASTATING CELEBRATES
COASTLINES AND ITS 20-YEAR
KILLING ANNIVERSARY;
MORE FORMER
THAN 150,000 UNIVERSITY
PEOPLE OF SOUTHERN
IN 13 COUNTRIES CALIFORNIA
/// 01.03.05 GRAD
STILL STUDENTTHE
TRUCKING FRED
MARS
[COMMUNICATIONS]
245 FEET
87 FEET
THE SANSWIRE
STRATELLITE
[ FOUR RUDDERS ] [ 54,000 SQUARE FEET
OF SOLAR PANELS ]
C O U RT E S Y S A N S W I R E N E T W O R K S
ROVER SPIRIT CELEBRATES ITS ONE-YEAR ANNIVERSARY ON THE RED PLANET /// 02.16.05 POLLUTION POLICE
Years’ worth of tectonic-plate shifting that occurred during the 100 YEARS
300 four-minute quake
3
SOURCES: Steven N. Ward, Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California at Santa Cruz; U.S. Geological Survey
Earthquake Hazards Program; U.S. Department of Energy; European Commission Joint Research Center
2
[THE EQUATION] %
[ ][ ][ ]
NEVER
2
+ = 8
%
[ LOTUS FLOWER ] [ DIRT, GUNK, GRIME ] [ CLEAN CLOTHES ]
THIS MONTH’S
A BACHELOR’S DREAM COME TRUE QUESTION:
Bedeviled by laundry? Chemists have a solution: self-cleaning duds
WOULD YOU
» THE WHITE LOTUS grows in muddy swamps
across Asia, yet its leaves stay squeaky
mixture bonded to the test fabric, forming an invis-
ible coating with lotus-like repellant properties. FAVOR EFFORTS
clean. Now a Clemson University research team is Best of all, your clothes will still feel like clothes, TO REDUCE
attempting to mimic the plant’s dirt-resistant powers not like a vinyl-covered sofa, notes Brown. GREENHOUSE-
to keep your clothes spot-free. North Carolina-based Nano-Tex already sells a GAS EMISSIONS
The secret to the lotus plant’s superior hygiene is slob-proof treatment that’s showing up on brand-
the billions of microscopic moguls dotting its waxy name labels, such as Dockers, L.L.Bean, Gap and
EVEN IF THEY
surface, says Clemson textile chemist Phil Brown. Old Navy. But Clemson’s coating could do more
COULD HURT THE
F R O M L E F T: C O R B I S ; G E T T Y I M A G E S ( 3 )
These bumps reduce the contact area on the leaf than just repel dirt. Silver, notes Brown, has anti- ECONOMY?
and thus prevent anything from clinging to its bacterial properties, so their treatment could also
surface. “Water and dirt just fly off,” Brown says. ward off body odor. “Wouldn’t it be great to just
To mimic this effect in the lab, Brown and his shower your jacket with a little water and know it’s • YES NO
team mixed a liquid polymer with silver particles clean?” he muses. But don’t toss the detergent just
100 nanometers in diameter—about the size of a yet. Brown says the invention won’t go commercial
VOTE AT POPSCI.COM
small virus. When applied to a cotton swatch, the for another four years.—MICHAEL STROH
SEVEN YEARS AFTER ITS INITIAL NEGOTIATION, THE KYOTO PROTOCOL BECOMES A LEGALLY BINDING TREATY, COMMITTING 55 INDUSTRIALIZED NATIONS TO CUTTING
[DIY ASTRONOMY]
How to
Photoshop
the Universe
New software gives
amateur stargazers a
chance to shine
P H O T O G R A P H : E S A / N A S A , E S O A N D D A N N Y L A C R U E ; I L L U S T R AT I O N : R O B K E L LY
spacetelescope.org/projects/fits_liberator.
—ANDREW FAZEKAS
2029 THE 3-D FAX MACHINE BRINGS BACK THE HOUSE CALL
A new communication medium known as programmable matter or “claytronics” is enabling doctors
to visit patients without ever having to leave their offices. An assembly of millions of catoms—
micron-size mobile computers—form a 3-D facsimile of a doctor in a patient’s home and a
patient in the exam room. As the doctor interacts with the claytronic patient in his office, the
claytronic doctor mimics the real doctor’s movements, performing a checkup on the real patient.
Each catom is loaded with sensors that relay information on the patient’s pulse, temperature,
reflexes and other vital signs. It’s small-town medicine with a high-tech twist.
Associate professor of computer science Seth Copen Goldstein heads claytronics research with Todd Mowry at Carnegie Mellon University.
They’re now experimenting with 2-D prototypes.
GREENHOUSE EMISSIONS BY 2012 /// 03.01.05 SPACE SAILING COSMOS 1, THE FIRST SOLAR-SAIL SPACECRAFT, IS SLATED TO LAUNCH FROM A SUBMARINE IN THE ARCTIC OCEAN ■
C O L U M N I S T I L L U S T R AT I O N : R O B K E L LY; C O L U M N I S T P H O T O G R A P H : J O N AT H A N W O RT H ; P H O T O I L L U S T R AT I O N : D AV I D P L U N K E RT
Sending discard, or “bounce” notices
back to the spammers sounds like a good
idea, but it opens the door to a dirty trick
known as a “joe job”: A spammer hijacks
your e-mail address and uses it as the
return address on a few million spams,
then sits back and laughs while your
mail server, instead of his, drowns under
bounce notices. (The name comes from
the first victim, Joe Doll. In 1996 he
ran a Web-hosting service and deleted
the page of a known spammer, who retal-
iated by inventing this attack. I still get
joe-jobbed a couple times a month, and
the subsequent flood is truly terrifying.)
On these grounds, secret spam filter-
ing seems defensible. But although it
does stop much spam and many viruses,
the Orwellian consequence is that e-mail
Kill Spam Locally is divided into the deliverable and the
nondeliverable, and not always correctly.
When Internet service providers secretly sort your e-mail Individuals and organizations frequently
behind the scenes, you’ll never know what you’re missing find themselves on the wrong side of
the spam-filter black hole, with no help
I
T’S NOT OFTEN THAT I TAKE A HOLIDAY FROM E-MAIL. AN OVERNIGHT FLIGHT OR A DAY in sight. If the rules for filtering spam
in a connectivity-free hotel is about the extent of my fasts. Good thing, too: I get are kept secret, how does a political
around 20,000 messages every day—about 19,500 of them spam—and if I don’t organization know if its urgent cam-
download and delete all that junk regularly, it can take days to sort it out. paign e-mail is bouncing because of a
But I just got back from two and a half weeks with only three e-mail stops, and the hyperactive spam filter, or because
deluge was insane. Part of the reason is that I refuse to have my mail filtered upstream, someone at the ISP disagrees with the
at the server level. This “feature” is offered by many Internet service providers, some- group and has intentionally flagged it, or
FA C I N G PA G E , C L O C K W I S E F R O M L E F T: B E T T M A N / C O R B I S ; C A S E Y H A L L / e M A R K E T G R O U P ; A R C H I E M c P H E E / A C C O U T R E M E N T S ; T H E B A B Y E I N S T E I N C O M PA N Y
e-mail lists, including the Electronic
Frontier Foundation’s weekly EFFector.
Misclassification is getting so rampant
C O L U M N I S T I L L U S T R AT I O N : R O B K E L LY; C O L U M N I S T P H O T O G R A P H : H E N RY P E R E Z ; P H O T O G R A P H : I M A G E A R C H I V E E T H - B I B L I O T H E K , Z U R I C H ;
that several ISPs are realizing that this
isn’t a sustainable way to fight spam.
“It’s more expensive for them to handle a
customer-support call from someone
whose mail isn’t getting through than
to pay the bandwidth and storage to
deliver it all,” says Vipul Ved Prakash,
founder of Cloudmark, which provides
anti-spam software to thousands of net-
work operators, including PayPal.
Is there a better way? I think so. First,
all filtering has to take place on your
desktop or in your Web mail account so
that you see everything. Second, we need
filters that learn, and apply what they
learn to the mail they’ve already classi-
fied. When you reply to an e-mail from
me, it should realize that I’m not a spam-
mer and then dig through your junk box
for all my previously discarded messages.
This is going to take a lot of storage, but
storage is cheap. And without this learn-
ing, we’ll just keep putting ever smaller
needles of misclassified e-mail into ever-
growing haystacks of auto-filtered spam.
I don’t want to come home to a couple
The Two Faces of Einstein
hundred thousand e-mails again. But I’m In the centennial year of his breakthrough work, amid all
still not willing to turn my mail sorting the kitschy paraphernalia, which Albert do we celebrate?
over to some opaque process, and neither
I
should you. If your ISP filters upstream, WISH I HAD BEEN THERE ON THAT DAY IN 1951 SO THAT I COULD HAVE GRABBED
ask it to stop and instead use a desktop- the camera, ripped out the film, and kept that silly picture of the 20th centu-
level tool, such as SafetyBar ($40 a year; ry’s greatest scientist, tongue out, from ornamenting so many posters, T-shirts
cloudmark.com). Next month we’ll look and coffee mugs. Then again, it probably wouldn’t have done much good. That,
at ways to shut down spammers for good after all, is only the most famous of the oft-marketed photographs of the elderly,
and to guard your inbox from viruses. ■ white-haired Albert Einstein. The inescapable fact is that since his death in 1955,
9
4
6 7
3
2
5
10
MINNEAPOLIS, MN 1 What makes a place high-tech? When POPULAR SCIENCE set out to determine
ATLANTA, GA 2 America’s top cities for technology, that was naturally the first question we had
to answer. We surveyed experts—academics, scientists, government officials,
WASHINGTON, DC 3 think-tank intelligentsia, market researchers—to determine the key indicators of
BOSTON , MA 4 a tech-embracing metropolis. We polled our own staff, pondering what we
SAN DIEGO, CA 5 value most about the ways in which technology and innovation affect our daily
lives. Then we gathered information from such sources as the Census Bureau,
➤
CHICAGO, IL 6 the National Science Foundation, the Department of Transportation, private
COLUMBUS, OH 7 foundations and medical institutes, collecting thousands of
8 data points in six broad categories.
RALEIGH, NC
In our first category, we looked at the way city residents
SEATTLE, WA 9 experience technology, considering such markers as use of
HOUSTON, TX 10 cellphones, HDTVs, computers and satellite cable. We called
MINNEAPOLIS, MN
1 BY MATTHEW POWER
We restarted the computer,
and it still said Minneapolis. And
so it was that I was told to pack my
bags for a mission: I was to “test
drive” the city, to immerse myself
in this technopolis, to divine
➤
firsthand the ways in which
our winner expresses its technological
AS A KID GROWING UP SEVERAL preeminence. Now, obviously there is
hundred miles from the something rather artificial about such an
nearest metropolis, I used to draw assignment. The technological accom-
fantastical visions of the great cities of plishments that define Minneapolis pro-
the future. There would be moving side- vide benefits designed primarily for the
walks on every surface. (“Walking” was city’s residents, not tourists. I’d be in
over.) Hover-taxis, hover-skateboards, the city for less than a week. But such
hover-buses. (Hovering was a central ele- limitations only made my quest to under-
ment of my urban planning.) Also, sleek stand this place that much more delec-
monorails conducted by robots, zipping table: I would visit its most visionary
noiselessly between glittering towers that structures, meet its most plugged-in
vanished into cloudbanks and reap- citizens, experience the very cream of its
peared above them, miles in the sky. Peo- technological offerings.
ple would dress in jumpsuits like Mork, Living in New York, my associa-
and there would be a vast dome over the tions with Minneapolis quite frankly
city, which would have its own computer- amounted to an ignorant pop-cultural
controlled weather. (Domes were easy to stew of Coen brothers movies, pro-
draw.) The Jetsonian future was clear. wrestler politicians, Wobegon lakes, and
In the real world, of course, where artists now and again known as Prince. America where a culture of high technol-
urban centers are composed of layers of This, my editors assured me, provided ogy has a more pervasive presence.
development and decay, constructing me with the advantage of an unpreju- I knew I should keep my hopes in
the city of the future is not so simple. diced mind. Still, I needed to ground check, but as I set off for the airport, I
What makes a city cutting-edge? And myself in the city’s bona fides. couldn’t help wondering: Would Min-
which American metropolis can rightly What made Minneapolis our high- neapolis be the city of the future I’d
claim the title of top tech city? More tech champ? It ranked first among U.S. fantasized about since childhood?
than a year ago, a crack team of editors cities in innovative transportation solu-
and researchers here at POPULAR SCIENCE tions, fourth in energy technology. The THE FIRST VOICE I HEAR UPON ARRIVING IS
launched an exhaustive effort to find city fell above the 50th percentile in computerized. The stop announcements
out. We input reams of data from every category measured, a broad-based on the airport monorail have a British
dozens of private and government showing of tech savvy that set it apart accent, as though the pilotless shuttle has
sources, tabulated our results, and came from the competition. With everything been commandeered by a Bond girl.
up with . . . Minneapolis. averaged together, there is no city in (They’re big on computerized voices in
➤off aIFremote
YOU’RE GOING TO HAVE A HEART ATTACK, you don’t want to do it while surfing
beach with no road access. “My chances of survival were 1,000 to 1,” says
SAN DIEGO Steven Ludwig. So how was it that by dinnertime that day last August, Ludwig, 53, was
watching an account of his own rescue on the six o’clock news? The answer: Ludwig
was in San Diego, whose medical-tech innovations include making defibrillators as
1 MEDICAL & EMERGENCY TECH
common as fire extinguishers; a nearby rescue boat had just been equipped with one.
In San Diego, 911 calls enter a GPS-
equipped system that can immediately
2. SPOKANE, WA
mobilize any of the city’s 125 fire engines,
3. OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
ambulances, rescue boats and helicopters.
4. KANSAS CITY, MO
And because rescue vehicles carry Wi-Fi-
5. CHICAGO, IL
enabled laptops and PDAs, medics docu-
6. BURLINGTON, VT
menting patient vitals and any procedures administered beam the data
7. DES MOINES, IA
straight to the hospital, where doctors seamlessly pick up the case. At many local hospitals, patient charts, includ-
8. SEATTLE, WA
ing data from heart-rate and oxygen monitors, are also electronic. The newscast of Ludwig’s rescue showed a
9. LANSING, MI
brave paramedic lowered from a helicopter to whisk him away. But behind the scenes, a carefully orchestrated
10. INDIANAPOLIS, IN
system of protocols and technologies—and people aided by them—were the unseen heroes.—RENA MARIE PACELLA
THE NUMBERS ➤ OVERALL RANK: 5 [NUMBER OF HOSPITALS AND HEALTH CARE PROVIDERS WITH ADVANCED INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY:
14] [PERCENT OF EMERGENCY VEHICLES UNDER COMPUTER-AIDED DISPATCH:100] [PERCENT OF EMERGENCY VEHICLES THAT ARE GPS-EQUIPPED: 46]
C O U R T E S Y A M E R I C A N M U S E U M O F N AT U R A L H I S T O R Y; FA C I N G PA G E : I L L U S T R AT I O N B Y
develops and tests environmental tech-
dubbed “Murderapolis” during the nologies that can be used in homes.
crack epidemic of the 1990s, is being
clear night. A shield with 9,100 tiny holes is medical facilities. “The paradigm in the
located between the light source and the 1980s and ’90s was the Edge City,”
lens of the Zeiss Mark IX projector. Rather Rybak says—“the faceless office parks
than beaming light to the entire inner sur- built far out in the suburbs. That was
face of the projector, glass fibers conduct a overbuilt and unsustainable. We’re try-
concentrated beam to each perforation. The
result is a white light with 10 times the inten-
ing to pull it back, recognize the value
sity of the conventional 4,000-watt projec- in density, in a dynamic urban setting.
tors used in most planetariums—and Everything we need is right here.” As he
sharper, more realistic stars.—R.M.P. sees it, returning to a compact core,
with research labs, hospitals and uni-
40° F
HOT HOUSE
The Eco-Center doesn’t have a furnace. Instead, a closed loop
SUN SEEKER of water and antifreeze cycles from the building through the
Solar-tracking panels deflect ground, extracting heat from the soil. The fluid returns to the
extra light through skylights. building and transfers the energy to heat pumps.
versities in close proximity, provides vide R&D. Minnesota has more than 500 into a computer. This allows the patient
fertile ground for high-tech innovation. med-tech companies, many of which are to use biofeedback, in which, say, a
In a 1.5-mile corridor stretching from small and prize independent thinking. stroke victim improves strength and
downtown, there are 19 medical institu- I later visit a group of physical thera- coordination by using muscle move-
tions, 61 research and clinical labs, and pists at Abbott Northwestern Hospital ment to play a game on a video monitor.
2,300 physicians. A government-funded who since 1995 have run a program I play computer pinball with sensors
small-business “incubator” promotes called Advanced Rehabilitative Techno- attached to my forearms: When I flex,
medical technology start-ups, uniting logies (ART) that makes use of virtual the paddles bat the ball around on the
inventors and venture capital, while hos- reality in patient rehabilitation. Sensors screen. In another exercise, I stand in
pitals provide patients for clinical trials, attached to patients’ muscles detect the front of a blue screen trying to manipu-
and huge companies like Medtronic pro- tiniest movements and feed the data late myself as a little soccer goalie on a
HIGH-TECH
HOTSPOT 3
THE LIBRARY SEATTLE, WA
The catalog in Seattle’s Central Library is more Mapquest than Dewey Decimal. Plug in the name
of a book, and you get a diagram of its exact location. Returned books travel by conveyor belt to
a machine that scans their RFID tags and groups them. A vacuum-powered rotator faces the books
in a single direction, and another machine puts them on carts for manual stacking. Librarians
wear wireless transmitters so that they can communicate from anywhere in the building, which is
made of a material never before used in the U.S.: aluminum mesh sandwiched between layers of
coated glass, which lets light through but minimizes heat and glare. And while visitors are re-
charging their mental batteries, their electric cars can do the same in the library’s garage.—R.M.P.
THE FIVE-BILLION-STAR
★★★★★
HOTEL
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
BY MICHAEL BELFIORE
PHOTOGRAPHS
BY JOHN B. CARNETT
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★
50 ★★★★★
POPULAR SCIENCE MARCH 2002
★★★★★
★★★★★
STARLIGHT INN Former NASA
engineer William Schneider
[left] designed the modules that
Las Vegas mogul Robert Bigelow
hopes will constitute the
world’s first orbital hotel.
O
★★★★★
52 ★★★★★
POPULAR SCIENCE MARCH 2005
★★★★★
SPACE LOBBY Fiber-
glass panels will cover
the fabric webbing,
visually dividing the
module’s living areas.
Open passages will
connect the levels.
the city’s kitschy, instant-gratification, money-fixated culture. grandparents even had a UFO experience. He couldn’t guess
Yet he’s also insatiably curious about spirituality and the what it all meant, but he developed a burning desire to find out.
nature of the universe, and he possesses an unearthly patience. What was our place in the universe? Were we alone in it?
Las Vegas may be an unlikely incubator for these qualities, but Bigelow was just 15 years old when he vowed to devote his
that’s exactly what it was for Bigelow as he grew up. In the life to helping establish a permanent human presence in space.
1950s, nuclear explosions at the nearby Nevada Test Site lit his It would take money, he knew—lots of it. And so he began to
street at night with artificial daylight—casting light on his mor- build a very practical foundation for his fantastic idea: He fol-
tality, as well. In later years, rumors circulated of a secret gov- lowed his father into real estate, studying that and banking at
ernment program to study a crashed extraterrestrial spaceship Arizona State University. After graduating in 1967, he launched
and its occupants. And although he never saw anything him- his career first as a broker, and soon began buying small rental
self, Bigelow knew people who swore that they had had unex- properties. His first construction project, in 1970, was a 40-unit
plainable encounters with possible extraterrestrials; his own apartment house. Throughout the 1970s and ’80s he built
HIGH-WIRE ACT
Above the glow of Las
Vegas, Robert Bigelow
shrouds his work in
secrecy and security.
dozens of apartment buildings and motels in and around Las looking the Strip 10 miles away, the small parking lot is
Vegas, and in 1988 he founded Budget Suites of America. bounded by chain-link fencing wrapped with razor wire. As the
At about the same time, he began pouring millions of dol- beefy guards wearing desert fatigues and .45s check your ID,
lars into UFO and paranormal research, eventually creating maybe you’ll notice their black shoulder patches, which feature
his National Institute for Discovery Science (NIDS) in 1995. a classically oval-eyed alien face outlined in silver and gold.
None of this activity was a secret, but he did keep mum about Bigelow—who generally shuns media attention and rarely
his ultimate goal, the driving motivation behind his expand- grants interviews—kept his spacefaring efforts largely under
ing empire—telling no one until the time came to set the plan wraps for five years after founding Bigelow Aerospace. But he
in motion. “I didn’t even tell my wife,” he says. “She never began showing his work last fall, after announcing his
knew. Because it’s possible that that kind of dream would $50-million orbital-vehicle prize amid the positive press sur-
never happen.” The ideal moment arrived in 1999 when rounding Rutan’s SpaceShipOne. The top-secret, Skunk
Bigelow, now sitting on a fortune, got wind of a NASA pro- Works–style aura persists, and visitors are only slowly being
gram for a radical new space station. admitted to Building B, the semipublic face of Bigelow Aero-
space. Built last year, the windowless, 80,000-square-foot
LIKE THE HOTELS ON THE STRIP, BIGELOW AEROSPACE IS WRAPPED facility houses full-scale mock-ups of Bigelow’s baby: the Nau-
in layers of illusion. Viewed from West Brooks Avenue in North tilus space-station module. Two 45-foot-long, 22-foot-diameter
Las Vegas, it resembles most other industrial complexes in the modules, brilliant white and draped with the American flag,
neighborhood, down to the beer distributor right across the loom out of the darkness at the back of the building. A stair-
street. Such similarity ends, however, as you drive past a reas- way invites visitors to climb on board to see for themselves
suringly corporate Bigelow logo and through the gate. Over- what it might be like to live in the biggest space-station mod-
ules ever built. Their large volume is the result of an unusual
design feature—they are inflatable.
THE MODULES’ LARGE Developed at NASA as part of a project called TransHab,
VOLUME IS THE RESULT inflatable space-station modules have some important advan-
tages over their tin-can counterparts. They weigh significantly
OF AN UNUSUAL less, and they launch in a compressed state, with their fabric
hulls wrapped tightly around their rigid cores like a roll of
DESIGN FEATURE: THEY paper towels. This allows them to use less-powerful launch vehi-
ARE INFLATABLE. cles and makes for roomier space stations. After a rocket fires a
Nautilus into space, explosive bolts will release the girdle secur-
ing the compressed hull, and then the station’s life support
54 ★★★★★
P O P U L A R S C I E N C E M AY 2 0 0 2
★★★★★
IT’S GOING TO TAKE A LOT MORE THAN Rutan is typically cagey about his work on an
A Ford Econoline to deliver guests to the door of orbital craft, beyond saying that it might be a
a space hotel. That’s why Robert Bigelow has “small, cheap and cramped transfer van.” He
ORBITAL established America’s Space Prize. Like the
Ansari X Prize that Burt Rutan’s suborbital Space-
has suggested that his White Knight carrier air-
plane could be scaled up to bigger-than-747 size
HOLIDAYS ShipOne claimed last October, the Space Prize to launch future rockets and that SpaceShipOne’s
THAT
has simple rules. The craft must reach a 250-mile unique “feather” design might play a role.
orbit twice in 60 days and demonstrate its ability The most detailed plan comes from Space-
START
to dock with a Bigelow module, and the second Dev, which built SpaceShipOne’s rocket engine.
flight must carry five crew and passengers. No The design for SpaceDev’s Dream Chaser com-
HOTEL SHUTTLE SpaceDev’s orbital vehicle will be a scaled-up version of NASA’s X-34. It will take off LIFTOFF Inexpensive hybrid
vertically, reaching 17,500 mph on its way to orbit, and then land on a runway. boosters will be expendable.
BIG PLANS
Bigelow
Aerospace’s
unprepossess-
ingly corporate
identity camou-
flages the bold
undertakings
within [far left].
The elusive
Robert Bigelow
pursues his
childhood vision
with unmistak-
ably grown-up
determination
[left].
administrator Daniel Goldin calling it a major breakthrough. modules Bigelow has on display, though empty except for floors
For a while, it was seriously considered as an alternative to the and structural elements, had their intended effect on Schneider.
International Space Station (ISS) Habitation Module under “And god,” he recalls now, “when I walked in here, boom! It was
development at the time by Boeing. But TransHab was can- mind-boggling, because this is the vision that I really wanted.
celled without explanation in 2000, before it could produce Here’s these things, all sitting there, and of course some of them
flight-ready hardware. Its demise is an example of what are mock-ups, but the rest were inflatable, and I said, ‘Man, he’s
Bigelow sees as NASA’s monumental inefficiency. Here was a serious. He’s not playing around.’ ”These days Schneider and his
perfectly good program to develop a technology that was less former TransHab colleagues visit the plant every few weeks to
expensive and tougher than conventional designs, but, as far provide guidance to Bigelow’s engineers. For Schneider, it’s a
56 ★★★★★
POPULAR SCIENCE MARCH 2005
★★★★★
Bigelow patrols the shop floor, wearing his customary color- awaited evaluation. The verdict? Go with the safer 3/16-inchers.
ful shirt and spotless white sneakers. Even to many of his long- On this day, Bigelow checks up on Lardizabal and two of his
time employees he is known as Mr. Bigelow, yet he’s often assistants working in the assembly area of the shop floor,
greeted with smiles and good-natured ribbing. He’s involved in installing the straps in question. Lardizabal, a talkative Filipino
every aspect of the operation, keeping a close eye on the work who was laid off from Boeing after 9/11, grins at Bigelow’s
of the machinists and signing off on all of his engineers’ approach: “It’s the boss!” Bigelow joins him beside an inflated
designs. He has to feel with his own hands the heft of each pre- quarter-scale module whose crisscrossing restraint-layer straps
cision part, to hear the satisfying click of them fitting together. lie exposed like the musculature of a flayed horse. He watches
His reluctance to deal in intangibles extends to other areas as intently as Lardizabal picks up a pair of loose straps dangling
well. He has never sent an e-mail. “E-mail,” he says, “is a very from their clevis fittings at one end of the module and lays
sloppy medium. It’s not pristine at all.” Instead he prefers phone them across the module’s side. This is how the outer layer of
calls or the physical contact of faxes and letters. Last summer, straps will go on now, he explains to Bigelow. A couple inches
rather than endure abstract discussion in a meeting on whether apart, instead of the previous, wider configuration.
to use the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, for It seems like a small detail, but the minutiae of how the straps
vibration tests, he abruptly took the entire meeting to the air- of the restraint layer will fit together is critical. Especially since
FREE-FALL AMENITIES
When launched and inflated, the IMPACT SHIELD
22-by-45-foot hotel module [left]
RESTRAINT
YOUR GUIDE TO ROBERT BIGELOW’S can be easily arranged in many LAYER
INFLATABLE SPACE HOTEL configurations. Here, the top level
(1) is reserved for lounging. The
middle level (2) will hold sleeping
1 areas and perhaps a work space.
The bottom level (3) holds bath-
rooms and water recycling equip-
ment. Airlocks (4) permit vehicle
2 docking or access to other mod-
ules. The hull has three key layers
4 [right]: a membrane to keep air in,
3 a woven restraint layer to protect
the membrane, and an 18-inch-
thick shield of alternating woven
graphite composite and foam to
AIR
protect against orbital debris. BLADDER
port and put the flabbergasted team on his private jet. They flew the straps must be woven through and around the aluminum
to Pasadena to evaluate the facility firsthand, had lunch, and frames of the windows. This presents a particular challenge on
flew back to North Las Vegas to continue the meeting. the third-scale test module that will be launched on a SpaceX
And then there was the case of the clevis fittings. During one rocket this November. On the third-scale module, there will be
design meeting, engineers Edwin Lardizabal and Jay Ingham no room for the window, so the window installation procedure
and project manager Brian Aiken found themselves arguing is one of the areas on which Lardizabal and his colleagues seek
with Schneider and a visiting NASA engineer about the size of the advice of the former TransHab engineers.
the fittings holding the restraint-layer straps. The restraint layer The matter of how the MicroMeteoroid and Orbital Debris
is perhaps the most crucial part of the three layers of fabric that (MMOD) shield will fold for launch and then deploy in space is
make up the Nautilus’s hull. The hull’s innermost layer, a plastic another. Composed of five layers of graphite-fiber composites
film called the air bladder, keeps the internal atmosphere from separated by foam spacers, the MMOD is the outermost section
escaping into space, but it’s up to the restraint layer to ensure of Nautilus’s hull. Schneider’s crew’s original TransHab design
that the air bladder keeps its shape and doesn’t burst. It consists had more stopping power than did aluminum three inches
I L L U S T R AT I O N S : K R I S H O L L A N D / M A F I C S T U D I O S , I N C .
of a web of interwoven straps made of high-strength fiber. The thick. Ground-testing of Bigelow’s MMOD has shown that it can
straps attach to the bulkheads at either end of the module by stop impacts by 5/8-inch-diameter aluminum pellets fired at it at
means of clevis fittings and rollers. 6.4 kilometers a second, several times as fast as a rifle bullet. No
Lardizabal, Schneider and the others couldn’t agree on rigid spacecraft design can match this performance, and it’s one
whether to keep the 1/8-inch diameter rollers they had already of the reasons Nautilus has an expected life span of at least 15
decided on, or up the size to 3/16 for added safety. Finally years. But getting the MMOD to fold properly for launch is a
Bigelow had had enough. As Franklin E. Gibbs, Bigelow’s major engineering headache. “It’s challenging because it is such
patent attorney, recalled later: “We’ve got a room full of engi- a robust and thick material,” Lardizabal says.
neers, and everybody is worried about figuring it to the nth Lardizabal admits that he and his colleagues may not be able
degree, and Robert just says, ‘Wait. Build it. Let’s see what it to overcome these and other formidable obstacles that will arise
does.’ ” Bigelow called the manufacturing manager up from before Bigelow’s $500-million commitment runs out in 2015.
the shop floor and told him to get to work: “Build both of He puts the project’s chances for success at 60 percent. “This
them. I want a dozen of these ready after lunch.” By the time will be the first time,” he explains. “That’s the problem. You can’t
the meeting reconvened, a dozen shiny rollers of each type foresee everything. Just like when we (CONTINUED ON PAGE 87)
y
E
CONTROL!
TECHNOLOGY: Volumetric Effects
NOMINEE: Alan Kapler |
Digital Domain Storm
CREDITS: The Day after Tomorrow,
Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship
of the Ring, XXX
I
revolution in filmmaking? Call it Revenge of the N 2004’S THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW, THE SCIENCE IS SILLY—AN ICE AGE
Nerds V: Brainiacs Take Hollywood. descending in days?—but the climatic havoc is sublime. Grapefruits
In the past decade, the effects budget for of hail bombard Tokyo. Floods ravage New York. Out-twistering
a typical blockbuster has ballooned from Twister and out-storming The Perfect Storm, the movie wowed audi-
$5 million to $50 million. As digital effects (DFX) ences as it established a new benchmark for disaster on film.
have become more complex and accessible, the The Zeus behind much of the mayhem was Sci-Tech Award winner
barriers between fanciful computer-animated Alan Kapler. As a technical director at Venice, California–based
films and ostensibly realistic ones have crumbled. special-effects house Digital Domain, he invented Storm, software that
DFX now allow filmmakers to not only manipu- aids designers in generating some of the trickiest visual effects in the
late reality, but to build it from scratch. business: volumetrics. “Things with hard and defined surfaces, like
“If film directors are painters, the awards are monsters, are fairly easy to represent in a computer using geometry,”
for the people who supply the brushes,” says Kapler says. “But wispier things like clouds, mist and water are
Richard Edlund, chair of the Sci-Tech committee. incredibly difficult.” Storm excels at rendering these ethereal forms
An invention must be novel to win. Depending with high-resolution depth, shadowing and lighting. The program
on how substantial its influence, it can be also helps to simulate natural events such as avalanches—like the
F R O M T O P : C O U RT E S Y A L A N K A P L E R ; C O U RT E S Y T W E N T I E T H C E N T U RY F O X
awarded a certificate, a plaque or, most glori- one in the 2002 Vin Diesel action fest XXX—with a real-world mix
ous of all, an Oscar statuette. The Academy of control and chaos. The result is bigger thrills for moviegoers, and
honors technologies rather than specific films fewer ulcers for effects gurus.
and doesn’t favor the latest innovations but “Everything I do in computer graphics tends to be nature-based,”
instead the ones that have proved themselves in Kapler says. For fun, he creates programs to generate seashells,
the industry. Historically, the awards have gone snowflakes and leaves; between movies, he sets off in his van for
to mechanical breakthroughs (lenses, films, set northwestern Canada or Alaska to hike and fish. In The Day after
lights), but since 2002, digital technology has Tomorrow, his passion for natural phenomena paid off.
held the edge. The Academy has no fixed num- To produce the flood sequences, the Digital Domain crew shot
ber of honors to allot, no specific categories like 40,000 photographs of Manhattan streets and buildings, assembled
Costume Design or Best Picture. They may pass them digitally, and then used the company’s hydrodynamic simulation
out one Sci-Tech Oscar or five, laud three com- program to bombard the city with the electronic equivalent of Noah’s
puter-animation programs or none. flood. And that, in some ways, was the easy part.
Here, we focus on five key technologies from The key to making the big flow believable, Kapler says, was the
the 2004 contestants. A couple won awards, the little details—whitewater surging forward, tendrils of liquid explod-
others didn’t [see page 62], but together they tell ing skyward, thousands of droplets of spray and mist. To sketch out
the story of filmmaking’s latest evolution. So join this aquatic action, the effects team ran “particle” simulations,
the Academy in a Sally Field–style salute: We generating flows of dots that moved semi-randomly, with parameters
like you, Sci-Tech stars. We really like you. to govern water current and velocity and to mimic the effects of wind
and gravity. The results were then plugged into Storm, which
ˇ
cluster of larger 3-D pixels called
voxels. This alchemy is the soft- SOME ASSEMBLY
ware’s essential breakthrough.
Computers can handle only a few REQUIRED
hundred thousand particles TECHNOLOGY: Compositing Software
before overloading; Storm’s NOMINEE: David Simons| Adobe After Effects
voxels conjure an image with CREDITS: The Aviator, The Incredibles,
billions of apparent particles. Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow
Kapler didn’t invent voxels,
but he devised the memory- Photoshop, but for moving
saving compression routines that imagery. Before After Effects, the
first allowed them to be used on compositing process was
the scale necessary for big-screen handled on supercomputers that
effects. He also made Storm user- cost $200,000-plus. Priced at
friendly. After the artist feeds a around $1,000, After Effects
few rough instructions into the democratized the business. Soon
computer, it uses Kapler’s algo- after the program’s release,
rithms to create a seeming infin- CoSA was snapped up by Aldus,
ity of interconnected droplets, which then merged with Adobe
each with its own color, shape Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow Systems. Over the next decade,
and internal movement. And he the power of desktop machines
A
made Storm intelligent, capable NNALS OF LIVING-ROOM INGENUITY, PART ONE— exploded, and today supercom-
of determining where each voxel 1990: Providence, Rhode Island. Four recent Brown puter compositors are in decline.
of water stands in relation to the University graduates establish CoSA, a multimedia For Sky Captain, After Effects
light source and which other vox- company, in their apartment. Subsisting largely on doughnuts helped Conran pull off cinematic
els stand in the way. In The Day and Vietnamese takeout, they work around the clock and, in thrift-store chic: a pieced-together
after Tomorrow floods, water in 1993, release After Effects. The revolutionary software helps look inspired by Technicolor seri-
the main channel appears dark, to bring “compositing”—the ability to marry separately als of the 1930s and ’40s, film
churning whitewater semi- created live-action and computer-generated visual elements— noir, comic books and vintage
opaque, and airborne mist virtu- within the grasp of desktop-computer users. sci-fi. Early on, Sky Captain (Jude
ally transparent. Manually mak- Annals of Living-Room Ingenuity, Part Two—1995: Sher- Law) flies down a Manhattan
ing such lighting and shadowing man Oaks, California. Fledgling filmmaker Kerry Conran, skyscraper canyon dodging ’bots
determinations for each water inspired by After Effects, blacks out his windows with alu- gone bad. The close-ups were
speck would be like relocating minum foil, jury-rigs a bluescreen studio, and films a short shot on a giant bluescreen-
the Sahara with tweezers. about New York under serious robot attack. Eight scripts and backed soundstage, with Law in
F R O M T O P : C O U R T E S Y R E B E C C A S I M O N S ; C O U R T E S Y PA R A M O U N T ( 5 ) ; C O U R T E S Y D I G I TA L D O M A I N
All of this illustrates the irony nine years later, Paramount Pictures releases Conran’s Sky a model of a P-40 fighter. The
of visual effects—that some of Captain and the World of Tomorrow, produced with the help robots were computer-animated,
the simplest things in nature are of the Sci-Tech Award–nominated program. the street-level details 3-D digital
some of the most complex to When you’re watching an effects-intensive movie, what models, and the background a
synthesize. “We’ve spent our you’re seeing at any given moment is a patchwork quilt of 2-D collage of modern and archi-
whole lives exposed to water, individually produced visuals. A single frame may have been val photography. The entire movie
snow, smoke and dust,” Kapler built from up to 500 distinct components, from filmed sets and was produced this way—no
says. “If they aren’t shaped right, performances to CG characters and landscapes. Compositing locations, no sets, minimal props.
don’t move right, or the shadows software is the tool for assembling all the pieces; it’s like After Effects assembles and
aren’t correct, your brain sends also manipulates:
you a subconscious message: stretching, shrinking,
bad special effect.” and cloning elements;
causing objects to
glow, disappear, or
morph; and simulat-
1 2 ing explosions and
lightning. It is an
artistic tool as much
as it is a mechanical
one. Using the pro-
gram, says Sky Cap-
tain compositing
3 4
supervisor Stephen
Storm software uses 3-D pixels called A CG streetscape (1), photographic 2-D background (2) and bluescreened Lawes, “was akin to
voxels to create the billowing, edgeless actor (3) are combined to create a final scene (4). oil painting.”
forms found in nature.
P
FROM TOP: COURTESY NEW LINE PRODUCTIONS; COURTESY MM STUDIOS (2); COURTESY NEW LINE PRODUCTIONS (3)
ITY THE EVIL VAMPIRES OF saved the team thousands of digital camera—a 6.4-mega-
the horror flick Blade: hours of design work. pixel Canon EOS 10D—
Trinity. In the film, Scanning allows you to mounted to one end of a
released late last year and quickly transport something metal frame. On the other
starring Wesley Snipes, their from the real world to the dig- end is a flash, which projects
skin boils, they are shot and ital one; the process is similar a fine grid of light. Holding
stabbed, they turn into skele- to using a flatbed scanner to the frame, the operator
tons and explode into ashes. make digital dupes of photo- directs the lens and the flash
Blade’s vampires were graphs or slides, but it works toward the scanning subject.
living actors, with computer- for 3-D objects. Ubiquitous in Beamed onto a wall, the grid
animated clones substituted modern film production, the would be flat, but around a
in for the many gory death technique is used to decorate face or object, the lines
sequences. For the movie’s digital sets with realistic- contour. You take a picture,
computer artists to design the looking art and furniture, to recording the warped mesh,
film’s 50-odd vampires from create CG characters based on which the Eyetronics soft-
scratch, and to make each of handcrafted models, and ware translates into a set of x,
them match an individual even to construct virtual y and z coordinates. (Rigged
actor precisely, would have terrain derived from real- with a video camera instead
been practically impossible. world landscapes. of a still one, the system can
Instead, Joe Conmy, Blade: First-generation 3-D scan- also be used for facial-
Trinity’s visual-effects pro- ners are large and cumber- performance capture.) After
ducer, made 3-D scans of all some. Actors have to be a dozen shots have been
the actors using technology brought into a scanning taken from multiple angles,
from Sci-Tech Award nomi- facility (not easy to coordi- Eyetronics assembles the
nee Eyetronics. The resulting nate when working with A- data to create a single 3-D
“digital doubles” still needed list stars), or the equipment model or, in the case of
to be computer-animated has to be built onto a semi Blade: Trinity, 55 3-D models
before they were able to and transported to the set. that could be dressed, manip-
Computerized stunt doubles created
move onscreen, but Conmy The Eyetronics system is ulated, made to perform with 3-D scanning technology
estimates that the head start handheld and portable. It fantastical feats—and to die allowed Blade: Trinity’s vampires to
provided by the 3-D scans consists of an off-the-shelf horrible deaths—at will. burn and disintegrate seamlessly.
ˇ
THE ENVELOPE THE DOT MATRIX markers; an additional 152
markers were glued to their
PLEASE... faces. Performances for the
entire film were captured on
ON FEBRUARY 12, THE
ACADEMY HONORED TECHNOLOGY: a 10-foot-by-10-foot stage
A DOZEN SCI-TECH Motion Capture flanked by 72 Vicon cameras,
BREAKTHROUGHS more than twice as many as in
NOMINEE: Julian Morris |
Vicon Motion Systems any previous system. Rings
CREDITS: The Polar Express, around each of the lenses
ˇ
OSCARS
Spider-Man 2, Titanic beamed infrared light, and as
Horst Burbella, inventor of
the actors performed, the
the Technocrane telescoping
camera crane reflections from their markers
were recorded at 120 frames
Jean-Marie Lavalou, David
per second and fed into a
Samuelson and Alain Mass-
computer network. Vicon
eron for the remotely oper-
ated Louma Camera Crane then assembled 3-D data sets
of moving points, providing a
ˇ
T
O MAKE THE MOVIE VERSION OF CHRIS VAN ALLSBURG’S would have to be captured,
tributions to the Technocrane
best-selling book The Polar Express, director Robert each with an accuracy of
ˇ
CERTIFICATES Zemeckis knew that standard computer animation about one millimeter. Vicon’s
Greg Cannom and Wesley wouldn’t cut it. Too cartoonish. Neither would live-action film- iQ software was trained to dis-
Wofford for a silicone mate- ing. Too restricted by reality. To tell the story of a boy’s Christ- cern discrete bodies from an
rial used to create fake flesh mas Eve train ride to the North Pole, Zemeckis envisioned wild overlapping flood of points,
Jerry Cotts and Anthony Sea- action set against a backdrop of “moving paintings”—the like spotting constellations in
man for the ultra-compact book’s lush illustrations brought to life. And so he decided to a sky full of stars.
Satellight-X HMI Softlight make a CG film based entirely on the performances of human The finished motion-
Steven E. Boze for the DNF actors, a movie starring realistic humans who were CG from capture data sets were then
001 multi-band digital head to toe. He wanted digital flesh and blood. handed off to artists, who ran
audio noise suppressor Zemeckis and digital-effects supervisor Alberto Menache the information through a
turned to Vicon Motion Systems, whose pioneering series of simulators and
Christopher Hicks and Dave
Betts for the Cedar DNS achievements with “motion capture” have won a Sci-Tech animated it to create muscle
1000 multi-band digital- Award. Zemeckis wanted a setup with the unprecedented movements, skin, clothing
noise suppressor ability to capture entire actors (faces and bodies simultane- and hair until, voilà, they had
ously) as they moved around a stage. The technology wouldn’t computer-generated Hanks
Nelson Tyler for the
Gyroplatform stabilizing be used just as a special-effects enhancement in a particular as, among other characters, a
F R O M T O P : C O U R T E S Y W I L L W E N Z E L ; C O U R T E S Y WA R N E R B R O S . E N T. ( 3 )
camera mount for boats scene but as the basis for an entire movie. “We were risking little boy, a train conductor
a lot on this idea, and we weren’t sure if it was going to and Santa Claus. The finished
Julian Morris, Michael Birch,
work,” Menache says. “Vicon said, ‘Let’s give it a shot.’ ” movie had the storybook look
Paul Smyth and Paul Tate for
Vicon motion capture The company’s technology, which dates back to the early and breathtaking action that
1980s, was initially used to analyze the gait of cerebral palsy Zemeckis had sought, and at
John Greaves, Ned Phipps,
patients. Vicon released the film industry’s first motion- times, the characters were
Antonie van den Bogert and
capture system in the mid-1990s, and since then it has been unnervingly real. At other
William Hayes for motion-
capture cameras used to help generate CG-human stunt shots in many movies, moments, though, their faces
including Titanic and Spider-Man 2, and to generate monsters looked gray and lifeless. “The
Nels Madsen, Vaughn Cato,
like those in the recent films The Hulk and The Mummy. For results were very good, but we
Matthew Madden and Bill
The Polar Express, Tom Hanks and other actors donned uni- had a lot of volume,” Menache
Lorton for biometric motion-
capture software explains. “If we had one char-
acter to work on, it would be
Alan Kapler for Storm
absolutely perfect, but we had
volumetrics software
28. We will definitely be
trying this again.”
A hall of fame of past
Sci-Tech Oscar winners More than 200 reflective markers
is at popsci.com/oscars04. were used to record Hanks’s
movements for later animation.
F
OR THE 2003 SURF DOCUMENTARY STEP INTO LIQUID, below it, the camera platform Perfect Horizon lets filmmakers get
Director Dana Brown set out to record the best footage ever remains level with the horizon. smooth footage, even when shoot-
of big-wave surfing at Cortez Bank, 100 miles off the shore Finessing the twin electric motors ing the world’s biggest waves.
of California. The results were arresting: Witness the likes of Ken that power the mount’s correc-
“Skindog” Collins ripping down the faces of 65-foot giants. Action- tional movements was Grober’s
sports eye candy? Sure. But it was filmed with an elegance biggest challenge. “If you have
approaching that of poetry—no mean feat, considering that the any sort of backlash, you’ll see
camera boat was riding the same swells. Capturing steady shots it onscreen,” he says. Perfect
required fistfuls of Dramamine and an innovative, Sci-Tech Horizon has evolved substan-
Award–nominated camera mount known as Perfect Horizon. tially since its debut. The latest
F R O M T O P : C O U R T E S Y A . FA R B E R ; R O B E R T B R O W N ; C O U R T E S Y S T E V E WAT E R F O R D
Even in filmmaking’s digital age, many problems must still be version is waterproof, housed in
solved mechanically, with gears, grease, bolts, cables, and years of carbon fiber and aluminum, and
an obscure inventor’s passion. Need to show racehorses charging lightweight (30 pounds, versus
into the camera? Use the Sci-Tech Oscar-winning Technocrane, the 130 of the original). It can be
which swivels, swoops, and extends 50 feet. Need a shot from a perched atop a tripod with the
motorcycle at 150 mph? Try nominee Doggicam System’s Sparrow camera mounted directly above, which Harry takes a manic
Head, an ultra-steady, wirelessly operated remote camera head. or be suspended beneath a journey on board a triple-decker
Perfect Horizon is the brainchild of David Grober, a veteran crane; the camera is controlled bus. For shots of the interior
marine-production coordinator for films and the founder of a as it would normally be, with full havoc—sliding beds, a swinging
company called Motion Picture Marine. “Throughout the years, I pan and tilt abilities. chandelier—filmmakers built a
saw that it would have been really helpful to have a small, easily Perfect Horizon’s sea legs full-scale model of the bus and
transportable camera-stabilization system,” he says. Some earlier have also proved effective on positioned it on top of a swaying
devices employed gyros to counteract aquatic motion but also tend- land. It has been deployed on platform. Inside, the camera was
ed to fight intentional movements by the camera operator, and sys- cars (Seabiscuit) and golf carts placed on a Perfect Horizon
tems powered by hydraulics were heavy and messy. In 1999, after (Spanglish)—as well as on boats mount. With the visual perspec-
years of tinkering, Grober released his own invention. (Die Another Day) and jet skis tive level, audiences were able
His key breakthroughs: electronic sensors to detect motion and (the upcoming Hitch). Perhaps to grasp that the bus was
a computer to calculate the appropriate stabilizing reactions. The the most imaginative use was tipping back and forth. “That
core of the unit is a gimbal that swivels nimbly from side to side for a scene in Harry Potter and was the only way they could do
and forward and backward so that no matter what happens the Prisoner of Azkaban in that shot,” Grober says.
o o
l o
o
l o o
l
o
A post-9/11, post-anthrax
funding boom has made
the nation’s “hot zones” a
the hottest research
i
i g
oo g c a a a
g
areas around. Is this
a
a good thing? a a
i
g
By Jeffrey Rothfeder
Photographs by
Brent Humphreys c
i c l
l a a
c
g g
c
ii i
g
g l
g i
i
c
ll
WARFARE
USUAL SUSPECTS
THESE SEVEN BACTERIAL AND VIRAL AGENTS
pledge to make bioterror a priority, the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention held a two-day meeting at which sci-
entists from academia as well as the public and private sectors
FORM A DEADLY BIOTERROR LINEUP were asked to identify the most important research initiatives
for NIAID’s new biodefense agenda. By the end of the meet-
CRIMEAN-CONGO HEMORRHAGIC
➤ ing, the scientists had created three categories of potential
FEVER | Nairovirus Crimean-Congo hemor- bioterrorism agents—A, B and C—and had sorted microbes
rhagic fever most often infects goats and sheep,
into the categories based on the level of bioterror threat they
but people can contract the virus from ticks or the
bodily fluids of infected animals. The fever is marked by the
posed. The “A” list of germs was deemed to deserve the most
quick onset of gruesome symptoms, beginning with nausea and attention as potential bioweapons and, in turn, would receive
headache, and followed by bleeding within internal organs and the lion’s share of research funding.
underneath the skin as the virus attacks the body’s tissues. In this “smoke-filled room,” as C.J. Peters jokingly calls it, six
microbes made the cut: anthrax, smallpox, plague, botulism,
➤ ANTHRAX | Bacillus anthracis tularemia and viral hemorrhagic fevers, including Ebola and
The anthrax bacterium has had a long and rela- Marburg virus. “We came up with a list that we thought was
tively successful history as a tool of bioterrorism. In
absolutely rock-solid,” Peters says. “Every one of these agents
World War I, German agents in the U.S. report-
has been weaponized by the U.S. or the Soviets or both. Each
edly infected American battleground-bound horses with it. In
2001, a series of contaminated letters killed five people in the
one of them is known to have been aerosolized, and each has a
U.S. and paralyzed the postal service. Anthrax spores are high morbidity rate and mortality rate.”
hardy, surviving for long periods in almost any environment. But some researchers are surprised by the speed with
P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S ; D E N N I S K U N K E L M I C R O S C O P Y; B S I P / P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S ; E Y E O F S C I E N C E / P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S ; P R . C O U RT I E U / P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S
which the CDC essentially set its docket for the next decade—
➤ BOTULISM | Clostridium botulinum especially since some of the bugs don’t seem to deserve the
F R O M T O P : L O N D O N S C H O O L O F H Y G I E N E & T R O P I C A L M E D I C I N E / P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S ; A L F R E D PA S I E K A / P H O T O R E S E A R C H E R S ; D R . G A RY G A U G L E R /
Botulinum toxin, produced by common soil- urgency given to them. For example, tularemia is indeed
dwelling bacteria, is one of the most poisonous lethal, but the bacterium has infected few humans and
known substances—as little as 100 nanograms
responds well to antibiotics. “A two-day meeting two years
can kill an adult by disrupting nerve impulses. The U.S. sees
sporadic outbreaks of foodborne botulism, usually caused
ago has refocused the entire research community,” says a
by eating improperly canned foods, but terrorists could leading physician in infectious-disease research (who asked
intentionally contaminate the food supply with the toxin. not to be identified). “Ninety percent of the projects we pro-
posed got eliminated in that session.”
➤ GLANDERS | Burkholderia mallei That sentiment raises the question of whether the diseases
In a single year in the 1980s, the Soviet Union’s on the CDC’s list should automatically be first in line for
bioweapons program reportedly produced more
federal research funding. The flu, for instance, would make a
than 2,000 tons of the bacteria. Ordinarily, glan-
poor bioweapon and thus is not a priority. Yet it kills 36,000
ders resides in horses and rarely infects people. But if dispersed
as an aerosol, it is a dangerous weapon. Even with antibiotic
people a year in the U.S. and hospitalizes more than 200,000
treatment, glanders has a 50 percent mortality rate; only a few others. More distressing, a particularly deadly strain of avian
bacteria are needed to trigger a deadly respiratory infection. influenza is currently running unfettered through poultry
farms in southeast Asia. It occasionally jumps to humans—
➤ EBOLA | Filoviridae ebolavirus last year it infected 45 people, killing 32 of them. In Novem-
Thanks in part to sensationalist Hollywood fare ber, Shigeru Omi, the World Health Organization’s director
such as Outbreak, but no doubt also because of
of the Western Pacific region, warned that a human pan-
the disease’s incredible near-80 percent mortality
demic based on the avian flu was “highly likely, unless inten-
rate, Ebola is one of the best known and most feared bioterror-
ism threats. Since it first appeared in 1976, it has caused epi-
sified international efforts are made to take control of the sit-
demics across Africa. Ebola effects a total meltdown of the uation.” Estimates for the death toll from such a pandemic
victim’s internal organs. There is no vaccine. begin at two million and reach, in the most extreme scenar-
ios, well over 50 million.
➤ SMALLPOX | Variola major “We have no answer for the avian flu, and not enough
One of the deadliest infectious diseases, smallpox money to find the answer,” says Robert Lamb, a professor of
killed some 500 million people in the 20th century molecular biology at Northwestern University. “If it spreads to
alone before it was eradicated by a worldwide
humans and kills people at the rate at which it is killing
vaccination campaign. Today only frozen samples of the virus
exist. If smallpox were ever to get out into the human population
birds—80 percent—that, indeed, will be true bioterror.”
again, victims would experience a suffocating rash of pus-filled
lesions, and as many as half of them would die. MOST RESEARCHERS AGREE THAT THE U.S. HAS SUFFERED THROUGH
a shortage of Biosafety Level 4 laboratories, the highest-security
➤ TYPHOID FEVER | Salmonella typhi research sites where scientists study the most lethal bugs—
In the early 1900s, New York cook Typhoid Mary those that are contagious, fatal and untreatable. Only five such
sickened at least 51 people by refusing to wash labs exist in the U.S. today, employing around 100 researchers
her hands before handling food. Since then, anti-
(the precise number is classified). Yet the combination of the
biotics and hygiene have largely eradicated the disease in the
U.S. But typhoid fever remains common in the developing world,
300,000 additional square feet of BSL-4 facilities and the antici-
causing 16 million illnesses and 600,000 deaths every year. pated 20-fold increase in employees working there will offer
The bacterium is now resistant to most drugs.—SARAH GOFORTH access to germ warfare knowledge, recipes and agents to a haz-
ardously large group of individuals. Although the FBI requires
AT THE HEIGHT OF WORLD WAR I, NATURE Level 4 lab, Yoshihiro Kawaoka and his team hailed the discovery, which they said will make
unleashed the most effective bioweapon ever isolated two of the genes that they thought might it easier to identify early signs of an emerging
known. The 1918 influenza pandemic killed be responsible for the 1918 flu’s deadliness. superbug and prevent its return. Other, less san-
more than 20 million people. Then it disap- They inserted each gene into a relatively benign guine scientists point out that the 1918 strain
peared, leaving behind corpses and lingering strain of flu, then exposed mice to these new might never reappear and that re-creating it has
anxieties. Why was this particular flu so severe? viruses. The two genes they chose each code for put humanity at risk. Although most influenza
Would it recur? Could we stop it if it did? a different protein on the surface of the flu virus. strains are unlikely bioweapons, this extra-lethal
Last year, virologists from the University of When mice were exposed to one of these one might be turned to that purpose. It now
Wisconsin investigated some of those questions. lab-created überbugs, they contracted the mas- resides in a high-security lab in Madison, Wis-
The 1918 strain’s genetic blueprint had been sive lung infections and hemorrhages typical of consin. One accident, or one lab worker bent on
gleaned from RNA in the preserved lung tissues the 1918 flu. The lethal ingredient turned out to sabotage, and we could have another epidemic
of American soldiers who had died of the dis- be hemagglutinin, a protein that helps the virus —sparked this time not by nature but by our
ease. In the confines of a Canadian Biosafety attach to cells during infection. Some scientists desire to outsmart it.—GRETCHEN REYNOLDS
HOW 2.0
HACKS, UPGRADES, PROJECTS, GRIPES, TIPS & TRICKS
T scıence
INSIDE PERMANENT CONTACTS 73 • HOMEMADE PORTABLE GAMES 76 • CLOUD CHAMBERS 77 • TIVO FOR RADIO 78 • ENGINE SECRETS 78
5 THINGS...
TO KNOW BEFORE YOU GET
IMPLANTABLE CONTACT LENSES
1 YOU NEVER HAVE
TO TAKE THEM OUT
This new alternative to laser sur-
gery (LASIK) uses tiny incisions
on the eye to implant a plastic
lens about a third the size of a
normal contact lens between the
cornea and the iris, giving most
patients 20/40 or better vision.
The lenses are designed to stay
in forever but can be surgically
removed with no damage done.
PCs crash and viruses happen. But such data-destroying 4 YOU HAVE TO BE PATIENT
Surgeons generally do one eye
events needn’t be a nightmare if you saved a spare copy BETA FINAL at a time, with about a month
between eyes, because it takes
a bit longer than with laser
Come on, own up. When was the last time you backed up the files on your PC? If it’s within the past 24
surgery for your vision to clear
hours, give yourself a gold star. The rest of you should hang your heads and consider that, according to up—a few days to a few
a Pepperdine University study, every year computer users experience around five million incidents of weeks. But the healing process
significant data loss through equipment breakdown, viruses, and random acts of God and nature. In isn’t uncomfortable, so you can
other words, someday your files are going to go bye-bye. Yet even with the plummeting price of stor- be back at work the next day.
age, most of us back up like we visit the dentist—infrequently and reluctantly.
But protecting your digital life against permanent erasure doesn’t have to feel like a root canal if you 5 IT’S NOT A MAGIC BULLET
Although you can achieve
follow some simple tips. First, decide whether you want to back up your whole drive (often called imaging 20/20 vision or better with
or mirroring) or just a few personal files. The former saves you the trouble of reinstalling your operating the implant, you may still need
system and all your applications but requires more space. Second, archive your most vital documents to bifocals later on. (Your eyes’
more than one type of media, and keep them in multiple locations—say, an online storage site and a CD lenses harden as you age,
stashed at work. (And since many programs compress data into a proprietary format, make a second weakening your reading
HARRY CAMPBELL
vision.) In development: an
copy of oft-used files manually so you can recover them quickly without the backup software.) Finally,
implantable contact lens that
automate as much as you can. Most software offers set-and-forget routines as well as incremental archiv- can be adjusted by shining an
ing, which saves only those files that have changed since last backup. Turn the page to find the tools that ultraviolet light on it while it’s
best fit your needs, and rest easy knowing that even if your hard drive dies, your data will live on. >> still in your eye.—KATE ASHFORD
I L L U S T R AT I O N S : H A R R Y C A M P B E L L ; P H O T O G R A P H : C O U R T E S Y H E W L E T T- PA C K A R D
Bonzai drives (simpletech.com; books and a host of other per- better than mine, and great
ARCHIVING A FEW around $22 for 128 megabytes) sonal settings at scheduled for showing off to friends:
2 VITAL FILES include backup software. times. You can even recover “Ah, yes, that’s the time I
ran with the lions in Africa.”
If you’ve only got a handful of As an added safeguard individual e-mails without doing
FRIDAY 8 AM Still amused
files you’d hate to lose, such as against lost or broken hard- a full restore. If you use a client by the fact that there’s a
a novel-in-progress or a list of ware, check out the online other than Outlook, try the real PC in there, though I
contacts, a large hard drive backup service CapSure.com, equally capable Backup E-mail rarely use regular Windows
and complex software may be which offers excellent compres- (backup-email.com; $25). programs. My couch is too
far from the TV to read
Web pages or Word docs.
SATURDAY 9 AM Antenna
Keep it in the background. A common
[ Backup Tips ] mistake: scheduling automatic backups for [ Archival Life ] for FM seems superfluous
with Internet radio. One
the middle of the night and then forgetting to leave the PC turned These are estimated life spans problem: The music stops
on. Instead look for software that runs in the background with min- of standard storage media. To when I switch programs.
imal CPU usage, and set it to archive when you know the machine be safe, transfer your data to SUNDAY 9 PM The TV feed
will be on and the necessary drives will be connected. new media every few years. freezes, again. This happens
often when I pause a pro-
Check yourself. There’s nothing more sickening than a system CD/DVD+/-R: 2–15 years gram, and it’s really, really
crash, followed by the realization that your backup software hasn’t CD/DVD+/-RW: 25–30 years frustrating. Now I have to
been working for the past two months. Open your archives every HARD DRIVES: 3–6 years figure out how to disconnect
few weeks to make sure everything you expect to be there is there. FLASH DRIVES: 10 years this beast.—GREGORY MONE
DEPT: DIY INVESTIGATOR: MIKE HANEY TECH: Hand-built PEERING INTO THE
portable games SNES PORTABLE
Handcrafted Handhelds COST: $150–$400
TIME: 18 hours
A. Power on/off slide switch
B. Directional pad and buttons,
Benjamin Heckendorn turns old-school game consoles from original NES controller
into custom-designed portable units. Now you can too PRACTICAL POPCORN C. Front plate of unit, cut from
1
/16-inch textured gray engraving
plastic and hand-painted
D. Stereo speakers taken from a
PlayStation One console
E. Custom-built circuit boards with
A
push-button tact switches under
the controls
B FRONT F. Five-inch screen from the PS
One console modified to be
C illuminated with three white LEDs
G. Motherboard from the small-
style Super Nintendo (circa 1997)
H. Rear plate of unit, also cut from
engraving plastic
I. Game cartridge slot
J. Battery compartment cut from
block of balsa wood
D BACK
K. Six AA nickel-metal hydride
Dimensions: 8.25" x 5.6" x 1.25" rechargeable batteries, good for
E Weight: 14 ounces about three hours of playing time
Like any good hacker, Benjamin Heckendorn knows that the best
way to pay homage to a beloved piece of gear—say, a classic
Atari 2600—is to rip it apart and transform it into something
else, preferably something portable, with wood grain. So when
the sign shop he was working at got a Computer Numerical
Control (CNC) milling machine—an industrial device that cuts
I L L U S T R AT I O N : M C K I B I L L O ; P H O T O G R A P H , FA C I N G PA G E : C O U R T E S Y B E N J A M I N H E C K E N D O R N ;
F
three-dimensional parts from solid blocks of metal or plastic—he
used it to craft a custom-designed handheld case from two one-
inch-thick slabs of acrylic. Then he stuffed in a 2.5-inch screen
T H I S PA G E , F R O M T O P : C H A R L E S S H O T W E L L ; T H E O D O R E G R AY; C H A R L E S S H O T W E L L
G
from a portable TV and the guts of an Atari 2600, which he’d
chopped up and resoldered to make more compact. Powered
H
by three AAs and a nine-volt, that first portable system came
complete with a brightness switch, speakers, buttons from an
old Nintendo controller, and the signature faux-wood-grain trim.
Heckendorn, a part-time filmmaker and graphic artist, has
since created several more portable Ataris, including one with a
solid oak case, as well as portable PlayStations and Nintendos.
Most of the newer systems run on rechargeable batteries and
are more energy-efficient, thanks to active-matrix screens modi-
I fied to be lit by white LEDs. As soon as Heckendorn finishes a
system, he puts it up for sale on his site, benheck.com, to pay
J
rent and fund his films.
But why buy when you can build? Heckendorn has just
written a how-to book, Hacking Video Game Consoles (Wiley,
$30), with detailed instructions for eight different portables.
K And because few people have milling machines in their base-
ments, half of the projects use hand-cut engraving plastic for the
body, including the SNES system illustrated at left. Find the com-
plete chapter on creating this portable at popsci.com/h20, and
preview all the systems in the book at Heckendorn’s site.
TECH SUPPORT
ATTENTION H2.0 READERS: This is your page, full of the feedback we get from you
at [email protected] and through the forums at popsci.com/h20. ASK A GEEK is your chance to
pick the brains of the Geek Chorus, H2.0’s panel of advisers and tech wizards. THE TIP SHEET is a
sampling of your best tips, tricks and hacks. YOUR GEAR features the gadgets you can’t live
without. And THIS IS BROKEN gives you a preview of one of our favorite sites, thisisbroken.com.
A: You bet. Your new car is constantly talking to itself. And with the
right tools, you can listen in just like the guys at the shop do.
A modern car contains dozens of sensors, measuring everything from
IrfanView (irfanview.com),
which offers batch process-
donations. It saves mes-
sages as .wav files and lists
ing and a dozen filter who called and when, and
engine temperature to the chemical composition of your exhaust. These effects.—Sree Sreenivasan, how long the message is.
continuously report back to the engine control unit (ECU), which uses the
I L L U S T R AT I O N : H A D L E Y H O O P E R ; P H O T O G R A P H : J O H N B . C A R N E T T
whose new blog is You can even record your
information to adjust system settings—air/fuel ratio, engine timing, and sreetips.com/new own greeting.—H2.0 Staff
so on—or to warn you if something is wrong. Unfortunately, the warning
is far less sophisticated than the data. Although some higher-end cars
indicate specific problems, most just flash the “check engine” light, which
could mean that you need an oil change or that your engine temperature
is way too high and total failure is imminent.
T THIS IS BROKEN
THE LATEST IRRESISTIBLE RENEWAL OFFER FROM POPSCI
Your mechanic deciphers this data by plugging a handheld computer
into the OBDII port (standard on all post-1995 cars). But you can also
access your car’s hidden info using a device called a code puller. If your
car won’t start, plug the PocketScan Code Reader (actron.com; $70) into
your OBDII port, and look up the displayed code in the accompanying
book to find out if it’s an ignition problem or a fuel injection issue. The
Pocket OBD Professional (autologicco.com; $295) works with your
Pocket PC and interprets the code onscreen and provides suggested fixes.
JOE BROWN, a certified auto mechanic and self-confessed car geek,
is POPSCI’s Best of What’s New assistant editor. See more examples of things broken at thisisbroken.com.
LOOKINGBACK
scıence T
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