Supply Chain Models For Pandemic Scenario
Supply Chain Models For Pandemic Scenario
Supply Chain Models For Pandemic Scenario
Abstract
Supply Chain Management is a pivotal gimmick for the active streamlining, evaluation and also
selection process of any modern industry. The Supply Chain of the world’s top manufacturing
companies is mostly dependent on China. Presupposing that Bangladesh can be one of the
resilient competitors of China by ensuring ample Supply Chain Capabilities provided by the
Government of Bangladesh (GOB) on some discrete sectors for instance Apparel and Automobile
Industry. Herewith the proposed framework for alluring the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
opportunities will shift out these manufacturing companies to Bangladesh in the post-COVID-19
season.
Keywords: Supply Chain Capabilities, Foreign Direct Investment, Apparel Industry, Automobile
Industry, Supply Chain Strategy.
So, the major challenge for Bangladesh is to attract foreign manufacturing companies looking to
shift out of China and use this as a viable opportunity for future growth.
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Objectives
Concept of SCM
3|Page
Concept of SCC
A country’s Supply Chain Capability (SCC) can be defined as the ability of the country to meet the
supply chain needs of organizations operating in the country. SCC is a diametrical factor that
enables a broken and disrupted supply chain to reconstruct itself and be stronger than before.
SCC encounters the needs of the organizations operating in the country such as to ensure the
distribution of its product promptly and attain the requirements of intermediates and other
inputs both tangible and intangible, for the organizations and their network partners and to
ensure the distribution of its products in a timely and efficient manner.
Supply Environment
Infrastructure Absorptive
Capacity
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FDI Opportunities in Bangladesh
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is the key to the future growth of Bangladesh as a developing
country. So, the industries that possess the highest FDI opportunities are focused by using a
cause-effect diagram:
Since it is not feasible for the GOB to focus on all the sectors stated above at the same time.
Therefore, according to this report, GOB should focus to build further capability in the Apparel
and Automobile industry that will make Bangladesh an attractive country for investment and
may result shift out of some manufacturing companies planning to leave China at the post-COVID
season.
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Apparel
Industry
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Apparel Industry
The apparel industry has become the second largest RMG exporting nation after China. But in
the Covid-19 crisis, this sector faced a massive challenge in China. So, this can be an opportunity
to surpass China in the post-COVID season. Therefore, it is a must to analyze the current situation
before making any development plan.
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SCC Buildup Model
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Proposed Improvement Plan:
1. Digital and strict traffic laws to ensure a faster Road Transportation system.
2. Quickly complete the ongoing Power-Plant projects to ensure uninterrupted availability
of powers.
3. Design Virtual Supply Chain.
Recycling of plastic waste with an appropriate procedure, it is possible to manufacture PET yarn
and flakes from plastic which will be very useful for local Hi-Tech garments and wearable product
producers. Since PET yarn is best suited for sportswear, there will be an opportunity to attract
foreign companies like Adidas, Nike etc. in the future. Deshbandhu Group is currently the only
PET yarn manufacturer in Bangladesh which alone is failing to meet the demand and optimizing
the huge abundance of PET bottles. Sufficient PET yarn manufacturing can make Bangladesh act
as a local supplier in RMG.
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Plan 2: Keep Optimized & Multiple Suppliers
Bangladesh import most of the raw material for RMG products from China. This takes at least
one month to order and receive the materials. But India is Bangladesh’s neighbor country which
is the highest cotton producing country in the world and has 23 land Customs stations between
these two countries.
Figure: SC Logistics
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Plan 3: Separate Production Line for Personal Protective Equipment (PPE)
A recent forecast report shows that the PPE market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.8% over
2020-2025.
According to experts, the demand for fashionable clothing will fall drastically in the post-COVID
season. So, to ensure survival, the RMG industry should be focused by the GOB with appropriate
incentives to produce sufficient PPE so that it becomes affordable to all classes of people.
Proposed Action:
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Phase 3: Improve Absorptive Capacity
Full supply chain network connectivity should be done via internet-based portals, workflow and
integration technology. It will ensure the natural development of collaboration depth to capture
intrinsic supply chain value. Central R&D will ensure quick adaptation of new innovative trends.
In this model Agile Supply Chain Strategy and Lean Supply Chain Strategy is merged for
increasing responsiveness by postponement with incorporating industry 4.0 in Bangladesh’s
apparel sector. Together these two are called Leagile Supply Chain Strategy. Here a Customer
Order Decoupling Point (CODP) was found in between agile and lean supply chain strategy.
Where the lean supply chain strategy will be used before CODP and agile supply chain will be
used after CODP.
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Cost Analysis
Budget Plans
The proposed plan with divided phases is expected to cost around BDT 900 crores approximately
to be implemented within the year 2025.
18%
36%
46%
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Feasibility of Proposed Model
Feasibility Analysis
100
Percentage %
80
60
40
20
0
Market Feasibility Operation Feasibility Technical Feasibility Financial Feasibility
Feasibility Factors
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Automobile
Industry
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Automobile Industry
The demand for the automobile industry in Bangladesh is flourishing as a whole. It is high time
the automobile industry should step into the era of progressive manufacturing. Before doing
that, the situation of the current automobile industry is analyzed to develop forward and
backward linkages. The forecast says because of this crucial situation China’s light-vehicle
demand to fall for the third year in 2020.
In this scenario, it is discernible that the demand has fallen. This is the perfect scope to boast
“Made in Bangladesh” tag and offer mobility solutions. According to market researcher, “For
2020, we are forecasting 5% growth in automobile sales, with commercial vehicle sales (6.3%)
to outperform passenger vehicle sales (3%)”. Apparently, the predicted sales for 2020 are
extremely significant.
6000
5000
Sales Amounts
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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Situation Analysis
The scope of local production is emphasized as the GOB is developing various automobile
policies. These policies will hopefully overcome the hurdles of the automobile industry and also
help to understand the forces that shape the competition within an industry.
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Infrastructure Plan
Proposed Location:
Location Chittagong
EZ Name Mirsarai Economic Zone (Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib
Industrial City)
Authority Government
Area 30000 acre
7 • Clean environment
8 • Power supply
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Supply Environment
Local Supplier:
Supply material Local Availability Supply material Local Availability
Leather √ Battery √
Organic parts √ Air conditioning √
system
Engine materials × Glass √
Electrical √ Fuel Tank equipment ×
components
Tires √ Carpet √
Local Buyer:
Lower Price
As the product is Increased
manufactured locally Production Unit
the extra amount of The higher selling and
tax due to import customer unit will lead
won’t have to be paid. the production rate to
That will make the
go higher.
product affordable.
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Business Process
Strategy:
For the automobile industry in Bangladesh, the proposed model will be a combination of
agile and lean supply chain models. In this case:
Manufacture √
Transportation √
Distribution √
Maintenance √
Supplier Category:
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Absorptive Capacity Buildup Model
Open innovation improves the innovation performance of any industry so far. But not every firm
equally benefits from tapping into external knowledge. As it contributes to competitive
advantage and product innovation, an open-source of knowledge, R&D handled by the
government will affect the contingent on the firm’s multiple components of absorptive capacity.
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Cost Analysis
3%
Raw materials and the prices of auto
24% parts
Research, development, engineering,
and running the facilities
Variable Cost
57%
16% Profit
So it is clear that the variable cost which also includes labor cost can easily be decreased as well
as running facility cost can also be optimized as Government has offered a different scheme to
establish an economical condition. Moreover GOB has exempted VAT and supplementary
imported raw materials. As per calculation, the predicted profit is increased from 3% to 7%.
50%
40%
30%
20% Existing
10% Proposed
0%
Raw materials and Research, Variable Cost Profit
the prices of auto development,
parts engineering, and
running the facilities
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Model Implementation Timeframe
Gantt chart:
Supply of Utility
days to complete
Bond Facilities
Transportation Development
days to complete
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11/22/2023 6/9/2024 12/26/2024 7/14/2025
Development of EZ
Supply Chain
5
4
3
2
Responsiveness Customer Satisfaction
1
0
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Investment Attractiveness of Bangladesh
China $351.0
Bangladesh $94.14
Other factors that make Bangladesh an attractive country to the foreign investors are shown
below by the Kano model:
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Conclusion
Coronavirus is changing the dynamics of foreign investment around the globe. Priorities are
shifting among investors and investees, traditional investors are retreating and new ones
emerging, and sectors for investments are getting reshuffled. Companies relying on China,
completely or partially, seeking to expand out of or replacement of China. In this consequence,
Europe, Japan, and the US have declared that they will shift their factories from China in this
crucial situation and will reduce their dependence on one country. Bangladesh has a huge
possibility as the population is about 16 million and has many potential skill resources. This area
and market are untouched for many industries. But the GDP growth has made people look for
better products. Bangladesh can make itself an attractive place for its expansion. Therefore, we
need to conclude that Bangladesh can seize the opportunity by providing them sufficient facilities
and also ensuring flexible supply chain capability.
References
1. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/world-personal-protective-equipment-
ppe-market-growth-trends-and-forecasts----market-forecast-to-grow-at-a-cagr-of-7-8-
during-2020-2025--301072706.html
2. https://www.beza.gov.bd/economic-zones-site/government-owned-sites/mirsorai-
chittagong/
3. https://www.dhakatribune.com/opinion/op-ed/2020/05/28/a-realignment-of-priorities-
in-light-of-covid-19
4. https://www.thedailystar.net/shift/automobile-industry-in-bangladesh-the-future-of-it-
1805257
5. https://carfromjapan.com/article/industry-knowledge/how-much-does-it-cost-to-make-
a-car/
6. https://home.kpmg/xx/en/blogs/home/posts/2020/03/covid-19-impact-on-the-
automotive-sector.html
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