Scribd
Upload
334 views6 pages

Exponential Smoothing Excel Template

This document provides an Excel template for using exponential smoothing to forecast time series data. It includes a sample dataset showing revenue over time for several years, with the exponential smoothing model applied to forecast future revenue values. The template demonstrates how adjusting the "dumping factor" between 0.1 and 0.9 impacts the smoothing of the forecast.

Uploaded by

Sunil Sharma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
334 views6 pages

Exponential Smoothing Excel Template

This document provides an Excel template for using exponential smoothing to forecast time series data. It includes a sample dataset showing revenue over time for several years, with the exponential smoothing model applied to forecast future revenue values. The template demonstrates how adjusting the "dumping factor" between 0.1 and 0.9 impacts the smoothing of the forecast.

Uploaded by

Sunil Sharma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 6

Exponential Smoothing Excel Template

Prepared by Dheeraj Vaidya, CFA, FRM


[email protected]

visit - www.wallstreetmojo.com
Revenue
Year
(Millions)
2007 22 #N/A
2008 25 22 Exponential Smoothing
2009 25 24.1 40
2010 16 24.73 30
2011 21 18.619 20 Actual

Value
2012 35 20.2857 Forecast
10
2013 27 30.5857 0
2014 27 28.0757 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2015 25 27.3227 Data Point
2016 28 25.6968
Actual
Forecast
Dumping Factor Dumping Dumping
Month Revenue
@ 0.1 Factor @ 0.5 Factor @ 0.9 Cha
Jan 130 #N/A #N/A #N/A 350
Feb 112 130 130 130
Mar 286 300
114 121 128
Apr 220 269 204 144 250
May 118 225 212 152 200
Jun 141 129 165 148
Jul 126 150
140 153 148
Aug 231 127 139 145 100
Sep 194 221 185 154 50
Oct 289 197 190 158
Nov 186 0
280 239 171 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Dec 174 195 213 173
Revenue Dumping Factor @ 0.1

Exponential Smoothing
400
300
200 Actual
Value

Forecast
100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Data Point
Chart Title

b Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

ue Dumping Factor @ 0.1 Dumping Factor @ 0.5 Dumping Factor @ 0.9

Actual
Forecast
Exponential Smoothing Example 1

You might also like