Earth Hazards: Geography Case Studies
Earth Hazards: Geography Case Studies
Earth Hazards: Geography Case Studies
Earth hazards
Earthquakes
• The earthquake happened along the Longmen Shan fault under Sichuan province of
China. The Indian plate exerted a push to the north onto the Eurasian Plate.
(convergent margin)
• 7.9 on the Richter scale
• Although the focus point was deeper than 10 km below surface, the tremors were
felt in several other countries, including India and Russia
• Aftershocks were reported to be equal to or greater than a 6 on Richter scale
Immediate responses
· 20 helicopters were assigned to rescue and relief effects immediately after the disaster
· Troops parachuted in or hiked to reach survivors
· Rescuing survivors trapped in collapsed buildings was a priority
· Survivors needed food, water and tents to shelter people from the spring rains. 3.3 million
New tents were ordered.
Primary effects
• Further effects included a train carrying 13 petrol tanks derailing in the Gansu
province, which caught fire after the earthquake destroyed/distorted the rails. The
rescue troops, who were supposed to help the victims, were delayed because of
highway destruction. All highways into Wenchuan were completely destroyed.
• Since the highways broke down, the effective lines of communication were broken.
While they were quickly aided, it is believed that the construction was so poor
because of local corruption
• Much of the worst damage occurred in mountain towns that were subsequently cut
off from the rest of the country when roads were destroyed in landslides. This made
it extremely difficult to locate people in need and deliver food and medical
assistance
• The Sichuan earthquake caused huge landslides across the affected region. Some
of these landslides fell into riverbeds and dammed the water - forming what are
called "quake lakes." Quake lakes are extremely dangerous for two reasons: first,
because the lake they create behind the landslide will severely flood nearby cities
and farmland, and secondly because the landslide dam will usually fail after
damming up a large amount of water, sending a huge wave of water downstream
that will destroy anything in its path.
Management
• Cash grants were distributed to around 63,000 rural households who fulfilled the
selection criteria in Mianzhu County, Sichuan. Each household received the
equivalent of 450 USD or 1500 USD to help them to reconstruct earthquake
damaged homes and housing related needs. this is equivalent to about six years’
worth of pre-earthquake disposable income for the average farmer
• The government began an ambitious reconstruction project to build about 5 million
houses across the 3 provinces within 2 years
• The government offered building subsidies (equivalent to 1500 USD) for homes and
loans that were first interest-free and then low-interest. However these were
substantially less than the cost of a house.
• Aid donations specifically money – over £100 million were raised by the Red Cross
One million temporary small were built to house the homeless
The Chinese government pledged a $10 million rebuilding funds and banks wrote off
debts by survivors who did not
• The government did give mothers about $8,800 and a guarantee for a pension in
exchange for silence about the matter.
Haiti 2010
Facts
• On 12th January, an earthquake measuring 7.0 on the Richter scale struck close to
Haiti's capital Port-au-Prince
• The earthquake occurred at a destructive plate margin between the Caribbean and
North American Plates, along a major fault line. (convergent plate boundary)
• The earthquakes focus was 13km underground, and the epicentre was just 25km
from Port-au-Prince
• Haiti has suffered a large number of serious aftershocks after the main earthquake
• $7.8 billion
•
Primary effects
• Over 2 million Haitiabs were left without food and water. Looting became a serious
problem
• The destruction of many government buildings hindered the government's efforts to
control Haiti, and the police force collapsed
• The damage to the port and main roads meant that critical aid supplies for
immediate help and longer-term reconstruction were prevented from arriving or
being distributed effectively
• Displaced people moved into tents and temporary shelters, and there were concerns
about outbreaks of disease. By November 2010, there were outbreaks of Cholera
• There were frequent power cuts
• The many dead bodies in the streets, and under the rubble, created a health hazard
in the heat. So many had to be buried in mass graves
•
Short-term responses
• The main port and roads were badly damaged, crucial aid (such as medical supplies
and food) was slow to arrive and be distributed. The airport couldn't handle the
number of planes trying to fly in and unload aid
• American engineers and diving teams were used to clear the worst debris and get
the port working again, so that waiting ships could unload aid
• The USA sent ships, helicopters, 10,000 troops, search and rescue teams and $100
million in aid
• The UN sent troops and police and set up a Food Aid Cluster to feed 2 million people
• Bottled waste and water purification tablets were supplied to survivors
• Field hospitals were set up and helicopters flew wounded people to nearby countries
• The Haitian government moved 235,000 people from Port-au-Prince to less damaged
cities
•
Long-term responses
• Cause
o 7.6 on the Richter scale.
o Kashmir is on the border of India and Pakistan where the Indian Plate is crashing into
the Eurasian Plate, a collision zone.
o On 8th October stress got too much and a mass of rock slid upwards and set off an
earthquake.
• Effects
o 79 000 dead, 100 000 injured.
o 3.3 million Homes destroyed.
o Buildings weren’t built strongly so the effects were worsened.
o Disease (especially diarrhoea) spread from contaminated water.
o Respiratory infections like pneumonia affected many.
o In urban areas many people lost their jobs because of damage or destroyed
buildings.
o Overall cost of the damage is likely to be $5billion.
• Management
o Red Cross distributed blankets, kitchen sets and medical supplies.
o Helicopters flew injured or ill people out of the effected zone.
o Tents given out by charities
o Military hospitals opened for civilians.
o Red Cross re-established water supplies.
o Army built homes to help people survive the winter.
o Tighter building laws to try and avoid such devastating effects again.
Boxing Day Tsunami
On the 26th of December 2004 there was an earthquake with a magnitude of 9.1 which
triggered a Tsunami. The earthquake was caused when the Australian plate was subducted
under the Burma plate. The epicentre was approximately 160km offshore in the Indian
Ocean, and the focus was 30km below sea level. The sea floor overlying the thrust fault was
uplifted, displacing several billion tonnes of seawater which generated waves.
Impact of the Tsunami: A number of countries experienced damage, including Indonesia, Sri
Lanka, India, Thailand, Malaysia, Kenya and South Africa. 229,866 people were lost,
including 186,983 dead and 42,883 missing. Drinking and water supplies were
contaminated. Tourism was hit badly because people avoided the area. Ecosystems were
damaged such as mangroves, coral reefs, forests and coastal wetlands. In Sri Lanka more
than 60% of fishing fleet and industrial infrastructure were destroyed in its coastal regions,
this fishing industry was a major economic activity in Sri Lanka.
Management and responses: The Indian Ocean did not have any tsunami warning systems.
The main response was to deal with the aftermath. Humanitarian and government agencies
provided sanitation facilities and fresh drink water to contain the spread of diseases such as
cholera. The rapid burning and burial of bodies also helped to reduce the spread of diseases.
The World Food Programme provided food aid to more than 1.3 million people affected by
the tsunami. $7 billion was promised in aid for damaged regions and charities were given
considerable donations from the public, for example, the British public gave £330 million.
One outcome of the 2004 Tsunami was the beginning of greater international cooperation
to find a way to help predict similar events in the region - The Indian Ocean Tsunami
Warning System.
Management and responses: The Indian government sent 5,000 troops into the area along
with 40 military aircraft and 3 naval vessels. (Two of which acted as floating hospitals).
Military personnel transported medical aid, food, tents, and communication equipment by
air to the worst affected areas. Rescue teams were sent from all over the world in an
attempt to save people trapped beneath the falling buildings. Disinfectant was sprayed on
the collapsed buildings to prevent the spread of disease from rotting bodies.
Christchurch (2011)
Volcanos
Facts
• The Icelandic island of Heimaey erupted on its eastern side creating a fissure running
north east to the shore.
• The eruptions started without warning and produced a 200 meter high volcano from
the lava and tephra expulsion
• It had a population of around 5,300— the highest populated island outside of
Iceland. The islands main revenue comes from its fishing fleets
• The eruption began close to 1,100 yards from the center of the town of
Vestmannaeyjar
• The eruption lasted a period of 5 months
• The cost of damages totaled tens of millions of dollars
Primary effects
• A volcanic fissure opened along the east end of Heimaey. It spanned about 1.25
miles. During the first few hours of the eruption, lava fountained out of the fissure
up to 150 meters high along the 2 Kilometer vent
• After the first few days a 110 yard high cinder cone volcano had formed from lava
and tephra
• In a matter of minutes nearly a mile-long fissure opened . . . Lava immediately began
to well out of it, and glowing cinders squirted into the air. The Eruption Continues
Within the first few hours of the eruption,
• Ash and tephra during the first few days carried on strong winds resulted in nearly
400 homes being destroyed
• Additional submarine volcanic activity extended the north eastern coastline by 2
square Kilometers and damaged a power cable and water pipeline cutting off water
and power from the mainland
Secondary effects
• With lava still flowing toward the town of Vestmannaeyjar in early February, the
islands fishing port became threatened. Lava flow speed averaged 3 to 9 yards a day
• One man died from toxic fumes.
The population of Heaney was able to evacuate so quickly due to evacuation plans already
in place. Due to the quick evacuation of the island no one was killed in the eruption
• Efforts to Slow the Lava Efforts to cool the flowing lava to slow its journey to the
harbor began on February 6. When the successes of early efforts were apparent,
efforts increased. Pipes were laid over active lava flow toward the flow front
pumping sea water at a rate of 100 liters’ per second per pump with 32 pumps used.
In the end, the lava flow was stopped just 100 meters short of the harbor entrance
• The lava cooling effort cost a total of $1,447,742
Facts
• Mount St Helens erupted on the 18th May 1980 in Washington State USA. It
is part of the Cascade Range Mountains
• Mount St. Helens is a volcano which lies near to a destructive plate boundary
where the small Juan de Fuca Plate is being subducted underneath the North
American Plate (convergent margin)
• The trigger stimulus was a magnitude 5 earthquake underneath Mount St.
Helens on the 18th of May
•
Primary effects
• This caused a bulge on the North face of the volcano to become unstable and
collapse as an avalanche
• The volcano then went to erupt ash and produce pyroclastic flows – currents of hot
gas and ash
• 400 metres was blown off the top of the mountain and a one mile horse shoe-
shaped crater was left that was 500m deep.
• Every plant and animal within 25km north of the volcano was killed –
approximately 7000 animals died.
• Every tree within 30km of the volcano was flattened.
• The water produced from melting ice and snow on top of the volcano create
mudflows, which choked rivers and killed all fish and water life. Spirit Lake was filled
with mud. 12 million salmon died.
• The eruption also destroyed 250 homes, 47 bridges, and 15 miles of railways and
185 miles of highway.
•
Secondary effects
Short term aid involved rescuing stranded people, providing shelter for those who have lost
their homes, giving medical supplies to those who were injured. The authorities were able
to mobilise many people and much equipment quickly to help in these operations. The aid
operation rescued 198 people. Unfortunately, the landscape had changed so much that
maps were no longer accurate, this slowed down the rescue efforts.
Long term aid involved returning the area to what it was like before the eruption and it took
a very long time.
• A million tonnes of ash were removed from roads, buildings and airports. Removing
the ash cost over $1million in the town of Yakima and it took ten weeks.
• Millions of trees were replanted because there was a huge loss of timber which
would cost $300million.
• Compensation was given to farmers because what they produced on their farms was
destroyed by being covered by ash. This would cost about $70million.
• New tourist facilities were built because there were less tourists, meetings and
conferences in the area after the eruption. It was important to get these people back
as they input a lot of money into the economy.
• A channel was dredged to remove logs and levees were rebuilt to reduce floods
which could happen in the future. This is because the Columbia River shipping
channel was closed. This caused the port of Portland $3million per month in lost
trade.
• A new highway was built and major repairs were undertaken because 250km of
roads and 25km of railways were damaged, costing $7million.
• Money was given to rebuild houses after 200 homes were destroyed.
• Money was given to redevelop the salmon hatcheries after 12 million baby salmon
were killed.
Prediction
•
• There were warnings that a major eruption would eventually happen….
• From March onwards in 1980 there had been minor earthquakes which were
recorded and monitored using seismographs. The increased in size and
frequency, indicated that the volcano was preparing to erupt.
• Small ash and steam eruptions during the 2 months prior to the eruption
indicated increased volcanic activity too.
• A bulge on the north side of the volcano indicated that magma was moving up
into the magma chamber. Tilt meters were used to monitor the changing size
and shape of the mountain which would suggest volcanic activity is about to
happen.
• The authorities used past eruptions to identify danger zone and evacuated
residents from these areas, however some refused to leave and scientists stayed
to study the volcano.
• Emergency Helicopters and aeroplanes were on hand in case an eruption
occurred.
• The scientists were not able accurately when Mount St. Helens would erupt and
so people were reluctant to leave their homes for a long period of time.
• The experts did not predict that the eruption blast would occur on the north side
of the volcano. As a result the exclusion zones set up were in the wrong place
and so 90% of the people that died were outside the exclusion zone in what were
thought to be safe areas.
Mount Etna is located in Sicily, an M.E.D.C. Since 2001 it has erupted every year. Mount
Etna is a decade volcano; this means that it deserves particular study due to a history of
destructive eruptions nearby populated areas). As a result Mount Etna is a well monitored
and actively managed volcano.
Nature of the eruption: Mount Etna is a composite volcano that typically erupts basaltic
lava. Basaltic lava has low viscosity and consequently travels significant distances.
Impact of the eruption: During the 2002 eruptions the tourist station at Piano Provenzana
and part of the tourist station around Rifugio Sapienza were destroyed. The airport located
in Sicily's second city, Catania, was forced to close. The tourist industry was further
damaged because visitors decided to stay away due to safety concerns. There was an
estimated 77 deaths.
Chaiten, Chile.
On Friday the 2nd of May 2008 Chaiten volcano in the south east of Chile erupted. The
volcano is situated above a subduction zone where the Pacific Ocean plate is being
subducted under the South American continental plate. Chile is an L.E.D.C country.
Nature of the eruption: Lava was rhyolitic in nature. Ash fell and blocked the roads. The
ertriggered thunderstorms and a polar storm. The heavy eruption also
Management: The length of time it had lain dormant meant that it was not actively
monitored. The remote location of Chaiten and the relatively low population density meant
that management was not priority. The immediate response was to evacuate the more than
4,000 people from the town of Chaiten. Emergency measures were put in place, such as,
residents were told not to drink water as the reservoirs were covered in a layer of ash. The
Chilean government also ordered a 50 km exclusion zone around the town. Chilean officials
distributed fresh water and protective masks. The government issues a monthly disaster
stipend of the equivalent of between $1,200 to $2,200 per month per family. The key
development of this eruption was the involvement of the Volcano Disaster Assistance
Program (VDAP) to aid monitoring and prediction of subsequent eruptions
Mass movements
Impacts
Social
Environmental
Economic
Physical factors
• Prolonged rainfall – reduced cohesive forces – lubricates the surface (layer of clay
underneath) – reduced friction between layers.
• Stream flowed underneath layer
• Steep slope
Human factors
Management
Physical factors
Human factors
Impact
• 1,200 died
• Mercury waste disposed into river systems
• Inaccessible – difficult to get into the region/ survivors out
• Lack of rescue services
• Uneducated locals
• Regulations were not enforced
Ecosystems and environments are open systems
Stores Biomass, litter, humus, soil
Flows Leaf fall, death, decomposition
Inputs Water, sunlight, minerals (from weathering, littering, decomposition etc.)
Outputs Leeching, erosion, eutrophication, evapo-transpiration
Ecosystems
Ecosystems
• The problem
• The rainforest in Indonesia called the Virgin constitutes to 10% of the world’s
remaining tropical rainforest, but since 1990 25% of the countries rainforest has been
cleared and has the second highest annual rainforest lost with roughly 1.9 million
hectares lost each year. This has a very negative effect on the ecosystem affecting the
wildlife and the plant life, it also has a bad the local people who live within the
rainforest as they have to move and lose their tradition. It is also causing knock on
effects such as flooding and global warming.
• What is it?
• POTICO (Palm Oil. Timber, Carbon Offset) is a project setup in Indonesia with an aim: to
help the region which is known for its high deforestation rates become more
sustainable. This is a brand new approach for ecosystem management.
• How it hopes to achieve this?
• In this region palm trees are used for their oil, so the rainforest is cleared so that the
palm trees can plant. It hopes to achieve it by instead of planting the palm trees which
is necessary for income, in the rainforest so it has to be cleared but away from the
rainforest on land which has been already cleared and used. This would mean that this
was able to expand to keep up with demand so generating more income and jobs, so
would stop the need to clear the rainforest. So with this companies with help from the
World Resources Institute will allocate the same amount of degrade land for the
plantations as they would of used in the rainforest. The degraded land would be
converted into usable land by involving appropriate local agencies and companies so a
plantation can be located here. The initial funding for the project is from the New-Page
Corporation and will be lead by the World Resources Institute.
• What it hopes to achieve?
• It hopes to convert 250,000-1,250,000 acres of land into palm plantations and so
protecting the Virgin Forest from being cleared and be conserved according to the
Forest Stewardship Council guidelines. This would also hope reduce greenhouse gas
emission, prevent the loss of biodiversity due to forest clearing, improve opportunities
for the local communities, introduce sustainable logging into the area which follows
forest management guidelines and so increase viability of wood produce.
Population +
resources
Migration Case Study – Mexico-USA Migration
Introduction:
The United States–Mexico border is the international border between the United States and
Mexico. The border's total length is 3,169 miles, according to figures given by the
International Boundary and Water Commission. It is the most frequently crossed
international border in the world, with approximately 350,000,000 crossings per year.
Push Factors:
Pull Factors:
• Illegal migration costs the USA millions of dollars for border patrols and prisons.
• According to a study commissioned by the U.S./Mexico Border Counties Coalition,
costs of law enforcement and criminal prosecution relating to illegal immigration
increased 39% within the border counties of Arizona from 1999 to 2006.
• Mexicans are seen as a drain on the USA economy.
• Migrant workers keep wages low which affects Americans.
• They cause problems in cities due cultural and racial issues.
• Mexican migrants benefit the US economy by working for low wages.
• Mexican culture has enriched the US Border States with food, language and music.
• The incidents of TB have been increasing greatly due to the increased migration.
Impacts on Mexico:
Management Attempts:
• The U.S. government had plans in 2006, during the Bush administration, to erect a
border fence along the U.S.-Mexico border. The controversial proposal included
creating many individual fences. Almost 600 miles of fence was constructed, with
each of the individual fences composed of steel and concrete.
• In between these fences are infrared cameras and sensors, National Guard soldiers,
and SWAT teams on alert, giving the name a "virtual fence". Construction on the
fence began in 2006, with each mile costing the U.S. government about $2.8 million.
• In 2010, the initiative was terminated due to costs after having completed 640 miles
of either barrier fence or vehicle barriers that was either new or had been rebuilt
over older inferior fencing. The Boeing-built SBInet systems of using radar,
watchtowers and sensors (without a fence or physical barrier) was scrapped for
being over budget, full of glitches and far behind schedule.
India's population growth rate is slowing. This is particularly the case in the southern state
of Kerala. In Kerala there have been a number of initiatives to reduce population growth:
1) Women are being educated. Around half of all Indian women cannot read or write
(illiterate). However, in Kerala 85% of women are literate.
2) Better educated women are more likely to keep their children healthy. Therefore
infant mortality has dropped. This has led to a drop in birth rates.
3) If children are surviving families no longer have to have a couple of extra children to
replace those that die.
4) Contraception is more widely available
5) The status of women has improved significantly.
6) Women are no longer seen as a burden - they are regarded as an asset. Traditionally
in India when a woman gets married the family have to pay money to the
bridegroom's family. This is called a dowry. However, in Kerala it is the bridegroom's
family who pay a dowry to the bride’s family.
Family planning in India is based on efforts largely sponsored by the Indian government. In
the 1965-2009 period, contraceptive usage has more than tripled (from 13% of married
women in 1970 to 48% in 2009) and the fertility rate has more than halved (from 5.7 in 1966
to 2.6 in 2009), but the national fertility rate is still high enough to cause long-term
population growth.
Contraceptive Usage:
• Low female literacy levels and the lack of widespread availability of birth-control
methods are hampering the use of contraception in India.
• In 2009, 48.3% of married women were estimated to use a contraceptive method
• Condoms, at a mere 3% were the next most prevalent method.
• Comparative studies have indicated that increased female literacy is correlated
strongly with a decline in fertility
• Female literacy levels in India may be the primary factor that helps in population
stabilization, but they are improving relatively slowly
The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare is the government unit responsible for
formulating and executing family planning related government plans in India. An inverted
Red Triangle is the symbol for family planning health and contraception services in India.
Historical Background:
• India suffers from the problem of overpopulation. Although the fertility rate
(average number of children born per woman during her lifetime) in India has been
declining, it has not reached replacement rate yet.
• The replacement rate is defined as the total fertility rate at which new-born girls
would have an average of exactly one daughter over their lifetimes. In more familiar
terms, women have just enough babies to replace themselves.
• Factoring in infant mortality, the replacement rate is approximately 2.1 in most
industrialized nations and about 2.5 in developing nations (due to higher mortality).
• Discounting immigration and population momentum effects, a nation that crosses
below the replacement rate is on the path to population stabilization and,
eventually, population reduction.
• The fertility rate in India has been in long-term decline, and had more than halved in
the 1960-2009 period. From 5.7 in 1966, it declined to 3.3 by 1997 and 2.7 in 2009.
• Seven Indian states have dipped below the 2.1 replacement rate level - Andhra
Pradesh, Goa, Tamil Nadu, Himachal Pradesh, Kerala, Punjab and Sikkim.
• Four Indian states have fertility rates above 3.5 - Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Meghalaya
and Nagaland.
These include:
Analysis of its population pyramids would reveal bad male deficit after WW1 and WW2 each
followed by a period of baby boom. Whilst the population has grown significantly fertility
rates have recently dropped - although they are still above the European average.
Overview:
In order to address overpopulation, the one-child policy promotes one-child families and
forbids couples from having more than one child in urban areas. Parents with multiple
children are not given the same benefits as parents of one child. In most cases, wealthy
families pay a fee to the government in order to have a second child or more.
Below: Demographic Cycle of China, showing the increase in population since 1950:
Implementation:
• Before getting married a couple will be tutored and tested on family planning.
Before having a child they have to apply for a certificate from their factory.
• A couple signing a form promising to have just one child will be given bonuses at
work, receive priority for housing, a school and University place for the child and
higher pensions on retirement.
• If the family then have an additional child all benefits are removed.
Success of Policy:
• The benefits of this policy are that the growth rate of China's population has
declined. Without the policy it is estimated that there would be an extra 320 million
more people in a country whose population is estimated to be 1.3 billion.
• The individual savings rate has increased since the one-child policy was introduced.
• Fertility rates and Birth rates have fallen significantly. Life expectancy has doubled.
Literacy rates have increased.
The Colorado River is the principal river of the south-western United States and northwest
Mexico. The 1,450-mile river flows from the Rocky Mountains to the Gulf of California,
draining 246,000 square miles in parts of seven U.S. and two Mexican states. The Colorado
is a vital source of water for agricultural and urban areas as well as an important provider of
hydroelectric power in the south-western desert lands of North America. Overdraft of the
Colorado River could lead to severe shortages by the mid–21st century, greatly endangering
power generation and water supply.
With 36 to 40 million people dependent on its water for both agricultural and domestic
needs, the Colorado River is considered one of the "most controlled controversial and
litigated rivers in the world". Over 29 major dams and hundreds of miles of canals serve to
supply thirsty cities, provide irrigation water to some four million acres (16,000 km2, and
generate more than 12 billion KWh of hydroelectricity each year. Often called "America's
Nile", the Colorado is so carefully managed – with basin reservoirs capable of holding four
times the river's annual flow.
• The Colorado River flows across the arid Colorado Plateau and Great Basin. Their
water is scarce:
• In its lower course in Nevada, Arizona and California, the Colorado is little more than
a series of reservoir is created by the Hoover, Davis, Parker and Imperial Dams.
• The Colorado River is used between 8 states. It is all tied up in a legal agreement
(CRC- The 1992 Colorado River Compact) Ninety % of the water is used for irrigation
and agriculture.
• Since the states have all had surges in their population and economic growth, they
have all started to exceed their legal share. This is mainly in California.
• Four dams: Hoover, Davis, Parker, Imperial Dams control the water resources in the
lower basin.
• 50% of southern California's water comes from the Colorado River.
• Like Nevada's demand for more water, Arizonans need for water has increased
immensely over the last 30 years.
• There have been major issues concerning the quality of this water.
Environmental Impacts:
• Currently, the majority of sediments carried by the Colorado River are deposited at
the upper end of Lake Powell, and most of the remainder ends up in Lake Mead.
Dams trapping sediment pose not only damage to river habitat but also threaten
future operations of the Colorado River reservoir system.
• Reduction in flow caused by dams, diversions and evaporation losses from reservoirs
– the latter of which reduces the river's runoff by more than fifteen per cent – has
had severe ecological consequences
• Historically, the delta with its large freshwater outflow and extensive salt marshes
provided an important breeding ground for aquatic species in the Gulf.
• Salinity in the lower Colorado River has also increased as a result of reduced flows.
• Large dams such as Hoover and Glen Canyon typically release water from lower
levels of their reservoirs, resulting in stable and relatively cold year-round
temperatures in long reaches of the river.
• Changes in temperature regime have caused declines of native fish populations, and
stable flows enable increased vegetation growth, obstructing riverside habitat.
Uncertain Future:
• When the Colorado River Compact was first signed in 1922, it was based on barely
thirty years of stream flow records that suggested an average annual flow of 17.5
million acre-feet (21.6 km3) past Lee's Ferry.
• This has resulted in more water being allocated to river users than actually flows
through the Colorado. As Marc Reisner, author of Cadillac Desert puts it, "[the
Colorado is] a 'deficit' river, as if the river were somehow at fault for its overuse."
• During the 21st century, drought took hold and continues to prevail in the Colorado
River system.
• A 2004 study showed that a 1–6% decrease of precipitation would lead to runoff
declining by as much as eighteen percent by 2050. A study by the Scripps Research
Institute in 2008 predicted that both Lake Mead and Lake Powell stand a fifty-fifty
chance of dropping to useless levels or "dead pool" by 2021 if current drying trends
and water usage rates continue.
• Despite above-average runoff in 2011 that raised the immense reservoir more than
30 feet (9.1 m), officials estimate that the influx will only stave off rationing until
about 2016.
• Rapid development and economic growth further complicates the issue of a secure
water supply, particularly in the case of California and Nevada fighting over the yet
unused portion of Arizona's share of the Colorado.
In the late 18th century, Thomas Malthus predicted population growth could not continue
beyond the food supply able to sustain it, e.g. beyond carrying capacity, without the
influence of checks bringing the population back down to a sustainable number. He
predicted that positive checks (factors that increase death rate) such as famine, disease and
war, as well as preventative checks (factors that decrease birth rate) such as delayed
marriages and abstaining from sexual relationships, would reduce the size of the population.
As a population grew, quality of life would diminish until checks could reduce it below
carrying capacity. Today, Neo-Malthusians such as Paul Ehrlich have predicted resources
and the environment could also affect the carrying capacity of a country.
The Malthusian argument was originally opposed by Esta Boserup who predicted that a rise
in population would create a greater demand for food. She believed this would provide an
incentive for agrarian development and technology, thereby producing more food, which
would allow growth to continue. Julian Simon, a more recent optimist, saw population as a
resource rather than a drain. He predicted more people would mean more wealth and
technology, making resources more widely available.
Mauritius is located just east of Madagascar, covering a total area of 1860 sq. km. It has a
tropical climate with suitable land for agriculture and fishing. Mauritius’s economy,
particularly in the 1960s, and even today, relies heavily on sugarcane, which is grown on
90% of cultivated land and earns 25% of export earnings.
Past Problems:
Response:
Success of Measures:
• If the quality of life of Mauritians has improved it may be that Boserup and Simon
were correct, with people acting as a resource rather than a burden.
• Since 1960 the birth rate has fallen considerably to 25.8 in 2004 from 46.8 people
per 1000 in 1961. The lowering birth rates are in line with Malthus’s predictions that
preventative checks would occur when carrying capacity was exceeded.
• The fertility rate has fallen considerably between 1960 and 2004 in Mauritius. This
suggests Malthus was correct in saying that the use of contraception would act as a
preventative check.
• In 1980, 31% of males and 30% of females were employed in the primary sector,
mainly in the farming of sugarcane. This suggests the success of Mauritius as an
exporting processing zone, and encouragement of MNCs to alleviate
overdependence on sugarcane production.
• This has helped to increase the country’s economy by increasing exports. GDP per
capita has increased from $2190 in 1980 to $10810 in 2002. This suggests Boserup
and Simon were correct with their prediction that humans would always find
alternative ways to improve production to keep up with a growing population.
• Female employment has particularly increased to employment within tertiary
industry, with 31% employed in services in 1980 but 54% by 2003.
• The number of tourists visiting Mauritius per year has increased significantly from
48,797 in 1972 to 761,063 by 2005.
• Their focus of employment is no longer on agriculture and looking after children but
in services and manufacturing.
• Despite Malthus’s theory, as the population has grown life expectancy for both
males and females have increased in Mauritius, with a life expectancy of 62yrs in
1962 for women increasing to 75.4yrs in 2003. Perhaps Boserup was right in
suggesting a population could find ways of adapting to the conditions in the country.
• In 1980 10% of the population was undernourished. However by 2001 this had
lowered to 5.6%. This suggests that at no point was carrying capacity exceeded and
the food supply became short or inadequate, once again proving Malthus wrong.
• Since 1950, there has been a very clear increase in carbon emission in Mauritius,
perhaps linking to the industrialisation of the country. This could suggest Ehrlich was
correct that environmental damage will increase as the population grows. Tourism
may also have begun to damage the coral reefs in the area, and this may continue to
worsen as this industry is developed.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the rise of quality of life indicators, such as life expectancy and GDP per
capita, despite a growing population suggest Malthus was in fact wrong. The death rate has
not increased, so the positive checks that Malthus predicted have not acted to decrease
population, the number of undernourished people has in fact decreased. Improvements of
agriculture/technology as well as EPZ and tourism expansion have allowed population
growth to continue without rising above carrying capacity. This is in line with the predictions
of Boserup/Simon that the population would always be able to improve and adapt so
enough food and resources are available.
However, despite positive checks not coming into effect, there is some evidence to suggest
that preventative checks on population did occur. Both birth and fertility rates have
significantly fallen since 1960 due to the success of the family planning programme. Without
population growth being slowed quality of life indicators would almost certainly have fallen.
Neo-Malthusians may also have been correct about the impact of population growth on the
environment. Carbon dioxide emissions have notably risen since 1950 and with an increase
in tourism there may also have been coral reef damage. As the population grows this is only
liable to get worse, unless as Boserup suggested, advancements in technology provide
another answer.
It seems Mauritius has disproved some of Malthus’s pessimistic views on population, whilst
supporting others. Whether the example of Mauritius as a test for sustainable population
growth will hold true for the world as a whole remains to be seen. We may see that
increases in food and resources will be able to support population growth but perhaps the
environment will not unless population growth is checked
Climatic Hazards
Climatic Hazard in an LEDC – Ethiopian Drought 1984-85
• Cause
o With no rain in the rainy season people didn’t have enough water to survive.
• Effect
o 5.2m people normally need food aid, there was a high chance this could reach 15m
during the drought.
o Farmers planted many times but the crops always withered, people don’t have the
space needed to grow substantial amounts of food.
o Cholera was a huge problem because of all the dead animals in the Awash River, the
main water source for many. Many people were already weak due to the lack of
food and water, so they were extremely susceptible to disease.
o Fighting over grazing space as people travel hundreds of kilometres in search for
scarce grazing.
• Management
o Due to the lack of money in the area, people were extremely reliant on aid from
richer countries.
• Cause
o Started as a very-low pressure weather system but when it hit the cost it was a
category 4 hurricane.
• Effects
o Levees and flood walls breached in 53 different places allowing water to get 3m in
some places in the city, especially the French quarter.
o 80% of city underwater made worse by heavy rain.
o 1836 people died, took days for many bodies to be recovered.
o 10 000 people made homeless.
o 3m people without electricity
o Shortage of food.
• Management
o They set up camps and places for people to stay for the people who lost their
homes.
o The super dome was used for people to go to, but 30 000 people too many
came, and it ended up with shortages of food and unsanitary conditions.
Development and inequalities
Measuring Quality of life
Bangladesh (ledc)
Demographic Measures:
Economic Measures
GDP Growth: 6%
Social Measures
Political measures
Environmental measures
Composite measures
HDI: 0.53
QLI: 5.6
Measuring Quality of life
China (NIC)
Demographic Measures:
Economic Measures
Social Measures
% of population obese: 23
Political measures
Environmental measures
Composite measures
HDI: 0.77
QLI: 6.0
Measuring Quality of life
Japan (Medc)
Demographic Measures:
Economic Measures
GDP Growth: 3%
Social Measures
% of population obese: 25
Political measures
Environmental measures
Composite measures
HDI: 0.95
QLI: 7.4
Bangladesh (LEDC)
Slow to develop
Physical Factors
• Lacks minerals
• Monsoon climate
• Few energy resources
• Low lying
• Floods
• River Ganges frequently floods
• Coast flooded by storms
Economic Factors
Social Factors
• Limited education
• Rapid population growth
• Corruption
• Farming culture
• Slow to innovate
Political Factors
Historical Factors
Economic Miracle
Physical Factors
• Lacks minerals
• Temperate climate
• Few energy resources
• Limited flat land
• Tectonic hazards
• No large rivers
• Long coast
Economic Factors
Social Factors
Political Factors
Historical Factors
China (NIC)
Types of inequalities
Economic
• Poor interior versus wealthy coastal areas – coast has 50% higher per capita income
• Wealthy urban versus poor Rural, eg 5% of all Chinas GDP is generated in Shanghai
• Urban Chinese earn over 3 times as much as rural Chinese
• Wealthy males versus poor females
• Industrial workers earn more than agricultural workers
• Rich versus poor – 204 million live on less than $1.25 a day
• Ethnic groups – 91% are ethnic Han but there are 55 non-Han groups (100m
population)
• Poor old versus wealthy young
• Coastal growth poles as export-driven growth- FDI (85% in east) favours already
• Traditional subsidence farming in interior – lack of investment in agriculture
• Limited infrastructure in interior – poor roads
Social
Demographic
Cultural
Political
History
Physical
Demographic
Economic
Social
Political
Historical
Social issues
Environmental issues
• Pollution
• Loss of open space
• Congestion
Groups – Rich
Social issues
• Insecurity
• Maintaining exclusivity
• Access to private healthcare
Environmental issues
Social issues
Environmental issues
Groups – Poor
Social issues
• Insecurity
• Discrimination
• Access to healthcare
Environmental issues