Fatima Suleman Project
Fatima Suleman Project
1.0 INTRODUCTION
Flood is a major natural disaster that affect life’s and properties. Flood is defined as a large
amount of water covering an area that was usually dry (Emmanuel and Ojinnaka, 2015). Daniella
et al. (2018) stated that flood takes place when the river exceeds its storage capacity and fills the
adjacent low-lying lands. It is reported that flood disaster account for about a third of all natural
disasters (by number and economic losses). According to (Adetunji and Oyeleye, 2013) explain
that flood usually occur from extreme rainfall that causes excess runoff to exceed the drainage
system capacity.
The history of flooding is said to be as old as man as it is stated in the Holy Bible (Genesis
chapter 6,7 and 8). The disastrous event occurred as a result of Gods anger on man’s sinful ways.
It was stated that only Noah, his family and pairs of every animal species survived the flood as a
result of the ark Noah built which was an instruction from God.
Statistically, every year approximately 100 million people are affected by episodes of flooding
globally (Kundu and kundu, 2011; Rabalao, 2010). Floods that occurs in Nigeria are as a result
of extensive rainfall, drainage blockages and dam failures (Jeb and Aggarwal, 2008). Flooding
cannot be completely avoided, but damages from several flooding can be reduced if effective
management. According to (FGN,2013), Nigeria is one of the disaster prone countries in Africa,
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and flood are the most common and recurring natural disaster, with the frequency, severity and
spread of these flood increasing. Recent flood disasters in Nigeria has been of major concern to
people, communities and institutions. Flash floods are the most common in Nigeria during the
In flood prone areas, Government Officer are saddled with the responsibility of managing flood
to ensure safety and wellbeing of citizens and the environment. urban flood vulnerability can
range from time to time and can be determined in one of a kind location due to environmental
conditions, human and way of life in response (Ahmad and simonovic, 2013).
Therefore, it is necessary to use modern day techniques in developing measures that will help the
government and relief agencies in identifying flood prone areas and in planning against flooding
events in the future. Geographical information system (GIS) is a tool which can be used to map
and investigate areas that are less or more vulnerable flood in conjunction with weather
forecasting techniques to predict the precipitation intensity and duration in the nearest future.
In kogi state, citizens settle mostly in relatively low lying areas and river flood plains due to
great number of natural resources and agricultural potential present which has increase human
settlement and other activities in the area. Flooding has been a major disaster in kogi state which
has resulted in loss of lives and properties, destruction of roads, bridges especially the major
roads that links the state with other states, and farmlands.
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The Nigeria Emergency Management Agency (NEMA, 2012) has identified five districts
namely; Ganaja, Adankolo/Kabawa, Phase 1-Old Poly quarters, Sarkin Noma/Galilee, and
The following research questions will guide and help me in achieving the aim of this
research.
What are the factors that makes the study area vulnerable to flooding?
What are the mitigation and adaptation strategies to flood events in the study area?
The aim of the study is to access flood risk in Lokoja metropolis and its environment, Kogi
State, Nigeria.
Objectives
3. Identify mitigation and adaptation strategies to flood event in the study area
Flooding in Lokoja, Kogi State is a frequent disaster occurrence which has caused severe
damaged to both lives and properties cutting across many local government areas. The
flooding result from climate change and inadequate preparation and planning before it
occurred. Lack of good drainage system, absent of dams, lack of awareness program to
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warn the general public on flood vulnerability and how effect of climate change can affect
human activities, blockage of drainage systems, all result from inadequate preparation and
planning.
In the past, many work have been done on assessment of flood risk vulnerability but majority of
those work done do not provide a reasonable solution to the flood disaster and also lack of proper
techniques used to analyze on a large space distribution. The adoption of different techniques
with disaster management cycle will give better information about where the flood risk exists,
how to implement actions to manage flood risk, co-ordinate activities to manage flood risk,
which will be beneficial to Lokoja and its environs, the economy, the cultural heritage and the
environ
This study is on Lokoja metropolis, Kogi State, Nigeria and the study is concerned with
accessing effect of coastal flooding in the study area. The study about the effect of flood in
Lokoja will be carried out within the duration of year 2012 and 2022. In the evaluation of
vulnerable areas, the major analysis considered included, Aspect, Terrain, vulnerable area
using DEM will be taken into account. Information will be obtain through questionnaire
distribution. Ganaja village, Kabawa, Felele, Gadumu and Adankolo area of Lokoja will be
focused on.
Lokoja the capital of Kogi State is located in the middle belt of Nigeria and lies within
latitude 6˚41ˈN and longitude 7˚30ˈE and it lies at an altitude of 45 -125 meters above sea level.
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Lokoja is the administrative head of Kogi State. It is well connected and accessible through State
and Federal Highways. It has an area of 63.82km² (Adeoye, 2012). Lokoja has a population of
195,261 at the 2006 census and shares common boundaries with Kogi local government areas in
the south Bassa local government area, Kaba/Bunu local government area in the west, Lokoja
local government area in the north and Ajaokuta/Adavi local government area in the east. Lokoja
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Figure 1.0: The Courage of the Study Area (Lokoja) Kogi State, Nigeria
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The climate of Lokoja is described as tropical wet and dry climate of the Koppen’s
classification which is characterized by wet and dry season (Ifatimehin, 2007). The dry
season is from November to February while the wet season is from March to October. The
annual rainfall is between 1016 mm and 1524 mm; Lokoja is generally hot throughout the
The vegetation of Lokoja is categorized to be within the guinea savannah belt, even though what
we have now is the derived savannah, only resistant vegetation still remains dominant due to
anthropogenic activities of bush clearing and burning, lumbering, most of the areas consist of
secondary regrowth. Short grasses like Andropogon tectorum, Bambusa vulgarise, panicum
laxum, cynodon dactylon (Alabi, 2012). The tall trees found in the area include, Carapa procera,
Elaeis guineensis, Enanma chloranta, while the shrub species are the Sida acuta, Chromolaena
The main type of soil found in Lokoja are clay, sandy, and silt in a varying proportion. Places
around Felele, Kabba road and Lokoja central respectively were found to be areas of loamy soil,
this is as a result of high precipitation and high temperature which encourages rapid break down
1.7.2.3 Relief
Lokoja is a city that rises from about 300 meters along the Niger-Benue, to a height of between
300 and 600 meters above sea level in the uplands (M. Aderoju Olaide, et. al 2014). The
confluence city is notable because of the presences of river Niger and river Benue, the Agbaja
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1.7.2.4 Population distribution
The population of Lokoja has grown rapidly and expended over the years, it has experience a
large flux of population from it surrounding regions and has led to great changes to the
landscape. Lokoja’s 2021 population is now estimated at 741,482. In 1950, the population of
Lokoja was 12,065. Lokoja has grown by 49,432 since 2015. This subsequently has resulted to
clearance of the natural landscape and the destruction of the legacy of ornamental plants and
trees. All these, have inevitably resulted in bare surfaces, increase in erosion and flooding and
the development of urban heat island (Alabi and Ufuah, 2007; Scalengh and Marsan, 2019).
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CHAPTER TWO
Flooding is an historical problem. Flooding refers to a sudden upward jab in the water diploma in
a motion or lake, or any coastal device that overflows its banks. Flooding is described by means
of huge erosion or river discharge which accumulate in the drainage channels, this causes water
Flooding is a most vital environmental hazard in Nigeria (Etuonovbe 2011). Flooding and
extraordinary flood-related dangers are turning into more normal in Nigeria. Flooding is
certainly one of the many risks that can occur in our environment. Flooding can reason large
discomfort, property damage, pollution, and even destruction of lives. By the extent of harm
Ologunorisa (2010) identifies three sorts of flooding in his studies: river flooding, coastal
flooding, and town flooding. River flooding is when a river bursts or overtops its banks, and
floods the surrounding areas. It is greater generic that coastal flooding. Coastal flooding takes
vicinity when sea ranges upward jostle above every day due to heavy storms, excessive local
weather stipulations and immoderate tides. This motives seawater to flood the land and can lead
to coastal flooding. Urban flooding can exhibit up in a quick time span and can flood a
neighborhood with quite a few meters of water. Flood danger will amplify as a region turns into
more urbanized. This is due to human matters to do like deforestation and setting up barring
plans. Urban flooding can be a bother due to the truth they often take region in densely populated
areas.
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According to Geoscience Australia 2013, flooding can be genuinely described as "water the
issue of the earth's flooring is covered by water from rainfall or overflowing water bodies.
Pagasa (2013) described flooding as "a natural hydrological phenomenon and its incidence can
quick dams as well as failure of hydraulic and exclusive manipulate mechanisms." Although
floods are commonly devastating, their severity and extent count number on the terrain, depth of
human activity, water quantity, and preparedness of the stakeholders. Flooding, specifically
River flooding, is one of the most detrimental natural screw ups in the globe. Although it is now
not the most universal purpose of demise in Nigeria (Usman 2012), it then again influences and
displaces larger people that any special herbal disaster. Authorities in developing international
locations prefer to be successful to prevent, prepare, and mitigate the outcomes of natural
disasters, especially in Nigeria. This is especially genuine in the context of quickly urbanization
and immoderate tiers of populace make bigger in developing countries. These factors often lead
According to Wouter JW Botzen et. al (2009), the best way to reduce flood risk and prepare for it
is to identify areas at high risk. This is why maps of flood-prone areas are required with many
features that can manipulate each spatial and attribute data. (Abah, 2013). Daffi et al. (2014)
referred to that "conventional, normal methods" can nevertheless be used. For flood hazard
assessment, far flung sensing and geographical facts machine strategies have been advised as
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2.1 Conceptual framework
2.1.1 Definition of flooding
Flooding is the temporary inundation of all or part of the floodplain or temporary localized
inundation occurring when surface water runoff moves through surface flow, gutters and sewers.
Flooding can also be regarded as the overflow that comes from a river or other bodies of water
and causes or threatens or damage lives and properties. Its occurrence is usually due duo to the
increase in volume within a water body which causes it to exceed drainage channel capacity and
over flow its bounds. Due to the nature of flood occurrence, full analysis of the effect of a flood
requires correlative research linking physical hazard and socioeconomic impact. The most
effective form of evaluating effect of any flood event including most environmental disasters
involves the assessment of such impacts within the past, present and future context.
activities). There are many different causes/conditions leading to flooding. Nature causes of
flood are generally as a result of heavy rainfall. While the anthropogenic causes are as a result of
man’s activities, that is in terms of environmental hazards. Flood only become a hazard when
coastlines. Major causes of flooding have been linked to human interaction with the environment
surfaces are replaced by buildings, paved roads and concrete surfaces which don’t allow water to
percolate into the ground. The effect is, therefore a large proportion of rainfall which normally
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should infiltrate into the soil or to be intercepted by vegetation, this immediately convert into
surface runoff. Attempt to harness available water resources have resulted in the construction of
dams and other water control structures, infrequent as they may be, as also resulted in flooding
(e.g. the collapse of the Gussau Dam in the capital of Zamfara on September 30,2006).
The encroachment of buildings on floodplains through towns and cities and the disposing
of waste materials creating blockage can facilitate flooding. Six general causes of flooding in
Nigeria include (1) heavy rainfall (i.e. a tropical climate combined with a relating wet season);
(2) poor waste disposal (i.e. blockage of drainage channels, especially in urban centers); (3) poor
land use policy planning and management (i.e. improper sitting of buildings, structures, drainage
construction, and roads ); (4) soil nature (i.e. poor infiltration of rain water flow and soil
percolation); (5) deforestation(i.e. increase in forest and vegetation removal, especially within
lowlands and valley beds); (6) climate change (i.e. NEMA attributing it to the 2012 flood
disaster and indirect aggravation of flood patterns in flood prone areas). It is unfortunate Nigeria
authorities lack proper planning and orderly conduct when it comes to sound promotion of flood
prevention
The most common approach to define flood risk is that it is the product of hazard, i.e. the
statistical aspects of the flooding of the actual flooding. Flood risk can also be defined as the
probability of the specific annual maximum discharge in any year is the core of hydrological
research into flood risk. Flood risk research concern multiple disciplines; hydrology, economic,
sociology, geography and environmental science. Each of them approaches flood risk analysis
from different viewpoint and the result is variability of the expressed objective matter in
technology and methods of analysis and management. In this context flood risk can be
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considered as the actual threat, in other words the real source of flood hazard to the affected
areas. The quantification of flood risk results either in monetary units or in loss of life units. If
the losses are measurable, or in qualitative terms (e.g. allocation in classes) in the case of
geographical contexts in which people live (McEntire, 2001; Wisner et al., 2004) affect their
exposure to flood risk. In the field of flood risk management, the impact of flood hazards is
measured in terms of the direct and indirect losses sustained by the affected people (Jha et al.,
2012). Direct effects of flood hazard on people may include but are not limited to loss of lives,
personal injuries, damage to buildings, displacement of people from their homes, loss of valuable
properties, and disruption of socio-economic life of individuals and groups (Adelekan, 2010; Jha
et al., 2012; IFRCS, 2012; Bello and Ogedegbe, 2015). In 2010 alone, over 8,000 deaths were
directly attributed to flooding worldwide (Jha et al., 2012), with children and the elderly being at
higher risk of getting drowned than younger adults (Bartlett, 2008). Jonkman and Kelman (2005)
have observed that two-thirds of deaths recorded during flooding were the result of drowning
while other causes such as electrocution, health related problems and injuries suffered while
struggling to escape account for the rest. Other direct impacts such as loss of farmland, farm
produce, income, structural and household properties, and the outbreak of epidemics that
threaten the health of survivors have also been reported (Bello and Ogedegbe, 2015). In the study
of the causes and effects of flood in parts of Ibadan, Nigeria, Adetunji and Oyeleye (2013) found
that 25.6% of the respondents reported the loss of lives as a major impact while another 27.6
reported injuries to household member(s). The authors also noted property loss, economic losses
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2.1.3 Flood hazard
Hazard can be defined as a condition or threat that may cause loss of lives and properties or
initiate any failure to the natural, modified or humans. It is also known as a source of potential
harm. The initiating causes of hazard may be either internal (defective element of the system e.g.
an embankment breach) or external (e.g. earthquake, flood or human agency) with the potential
to initiate a failure mode. Hazard can also be classified as either of natural origin (e.g. excessive
rainfall, floods) or of man-made and technological nature (e.g. sabotage, deforestation, industrial
site of chemical waste). Regarding hazard identification and estimation, two approaches can be
identified based on the ANCOLD Guidelines (2003) and the ISDR principles (2004):
consequences, if the hazard occurs, in order to classify the system under threat, identify
the necessity or not of further investigation. This approach is also the most
frequency within a given period of time. It can be applied on hazard of natural origin and
it represents a very common method used in most flood plain delineation studies when
the potential for loss of life is considered negligible in terms of historical floods.
Existing studies on flood hazard revealed that people living close to a hazard source such as a
river, dam, and on flood plain have higher exposure, while those who live in poorly built
homesteads sustain greater losses in the event of a flooding than their counterparts located away
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from the hazard source and whose homes are built with durable materials (Pelling, 2007; Kellens
et al., 2011; Jha et al., 2012).Various reasons have been adduced for the reluctance of people
living close to hazard sources to relocate to safer locations. These reasons include maintaining
family ties, livelihood opportunities, proximity to work or business location, being native to the
community, low cost of land and housing, and accessible social amenities (Adelekan, 2010;
Mmom and Aifesehi, 2013; Ologunorisa and Adeyemo, 2005).
Olorunfemi (2010), assessed managing flood disaster under a changed climate. The research
focused on the impacts and responses to flood risk associated with slum settlement in Nigeria
and South Africa. The work utilized primary and secondary data in the process of establishing
the concept of the study. Comparing South Africa to South Africa focused on the vulnerable
informal settlements in Cape Town and the Asa river channel at Ilorin (Nigeria). As disaster
shocks become more common, the study found that the existing coping strategies of slum
dwellers may be less effective. The study suggests strategies that reduce vulnerability to people.
macro- and household-level responses that can be used to reduce the vulnerability of the poor to
climate risks. The study could not measure the relationship between climate change and flood
magnitudes. Action Aid (2006) stated that climate change is the result of long-lasting heavy rains
across the globe, which often leads to flooding. Climate used to be mentioned as a reason of
flooding due to the fact of local weather exchange results such as heavy rains and relative sea
stage upward push close to most shorelines. Extreme sea ranges upward shove is extra frequent.
Douglas (2014) also examined Climate Change and Flooding Intensity. The study focused on the
urban poor of Africa. Research has shown that flooding is one of the most dangerous climate
hazards. It poses multiple dangers to human health, livelihoods and socio-economic activities.
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The evaluation of floods and their effects has not been done well enough to allow for sustainable
management of this environmental threat. The study could not apply a quantitative approach to
determine the relationship between climate change and flooding in the area. Patrick (2008)
assessed the livelihoods of rural communities and built resilience to flood risk reduction. Climate
change is linked to the vulnerability of rural communities to flooding risk due to increasingly
severe and frequent events. The study did not address flood management strategies in rural
communities. Dare (2004) examined flood frequency estimates and forecasting climate change
impacts. Flood is one of the most hazardous local weather hazards, posing a couple of fitness
risks. The current learn about will consider feasible flood administration techniques for the area.
Aderogba (2012) assessed the world warming and flood challenges in Lagos Metropolis
(Nigeria). The find out about examined local weather trade and the results it had on flooding,
which is frequently brought on by way of extended heavy rainfall throughout the globe. Climate
alternate was once recognized as a purpose of flooding. Kolawole (2008) examined the outcomes
of local weather change. This learn about discovered that the worst outcomes of climate
exchange are already being felt in growing countries, and that they are most inclined to future
changes. Flooding is one of the most risky and expensive herbal hazards, however its outcomes
can additionally be exacerbated with the aid of human-caused causes. Atedhor et al (2011), In
Benin City, Nigeria, researchers observed shifting rainfall and anthropogenic-induced flooding,
as well as their effects and adaptive measures. The study reveals that flooding is caused by
activities, loss or inaccessibility of property, and a reduction in the beauty of the surrounding
environment.
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Ghose (2003), examined the reasons of flooding. The end result of the study indicates that
notwithstanding the universality of rainfall as a most important motive of flooding, there are
different joint causative elements categorized as human interference. Aladelokun (2011), in his
find out about of floods and Man refers to them as man's interplay with his surroundings in the
Another study, Aderogba (2012), examined the motives and penalties of floods in South West
Nigeria as properly because the sustainable improvement conceivable of cities and towns. This
study examined floods within the place and their consequences on fundamental cities and towns.
The socio-economic have an impression on of those occasions has been growing over time. Evan
(2011) analyzed the socio-economic penalties and influences of intense floods. This study
examines the concept that floods are a sociological phenomenon and go past hydrological
prerequisites to contains penalties for the well-being human communities. However, 81% of
respondents claimed that floods have affected their socioeconomic activities. 19% claimed that
flooding has an impression on their bodily surroundings and not simply their socioeconomic
activities. However, the research was unable to use superior statistical methods to see the socio-
economic effects of flooding within the area. The existing learn about will consequently center
Helen (2009) found the influence of flooding on the socio-economic and environmental things to
do of the human beings in Ozoro kingdom. Personal commentary and assessment, as properly as
statistics from secondary sources, had been used to gather the data. All information had been
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analyzed the usage of easy percentages. The study determined that 13.3% of respondents
believed that flooding had affected their communities' transportation systems, housing, and
crops. This has regularly led to excessive residing charges at some point of dry seasons. Ocheri
(2012) assessed the social effect of flooding in Makurdi, Nigeria. The records have been
gathered from interviews, questionnaires, non-public observation, and archive data from the
Ministry of Environment. Analyzing the records the use of descriptive statistics, it was once
determined that floods in Makurdi are most frequent throughout heavy rainfall and that the
quantity is greater all through the height wet season. Lack of drainage networks and dumping of
refuses in the drainage and water canals, topographical characteristics, flooding from river banks,
immoderate water tables, and low infiltration functionality have been all factors that substantially
influenced flooding in this area. Climate alternate phenomena and improved runoffs are
moreover possible. The locate out about might also favor to now not use regression analyses to
determine the electrical energy of the relationship between socio have an impact on and people's
perceptions of flooding. This used to be one of the factors for the present study. Angela (2010)
flooding in Nigeria and introduced recommendations for techniques to mitigate and stop future
floods. Oyewale (2013) analyzed the motives and penalties of flooding in Apete, Ido Local
Government Area, Oyo State. Research printed that 92.9% believed that flooding in the
systems. However, all respondents agree with that horrible waste administration is responsible.
Flood is added on thru flooding in areas the location 89.7% have faith that developing alongside
water channels can purpose flood. Other factors consist of collapsed bridges 84.6%. 38.4%
blamed neighborhood climate change, while 96.1% blamed inadequate drainage channels. It used
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to be precipitated with the aid of terrible planning, 92.3% claimed, at the same time as 57.7%
attributed exclusive causes, such as ignorance, inadequate trees, terrible authorities’ intervention,
or bad bodily planning. Yande (2009) moreover examined the consequences of Floods have
Kazungula District. The data used consist of questionnaires, personal observation, assessment
and information from secondary sources. This research about decided that flooding had a
elements like agriculture, health and education, housing, water and sanitation, property, and
assets. Although flooding can purpose problems and make human beings unhappy, it does no
longer have the awful results that many researchers believe. Abowei, (2005) examined flood
direction, in this case, floods are considered a disaster when flood waters affects areas populated
with human beings or areas that have gorgeous human development. Floods can be encouraged if
they are left in their natural state. Bariweni (2012) analyzed the environmental penalties of
flooding in Nigeria's Niger Delta Region. According to the study, most contemporary floods that
resulted in demise had been added about through rising population. These effects have adversely
affected the free go with the float water in drainage channels, rivers, and streams due to human
matters to do like dam constructions, irrigation, roads constructions and constructions that block
the natural go with the go with the flow of water. The 2012 Nigerian flooding used to be
assessed through the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA). This find out about
published that flooding had precipitated extra than 1 million Nigerians to be displaced. This used
to be published by using Alhaji Sani SIidi, Director General NEMA at some point of an
evaluation of flood-prone communities in Anambra State. This learn about ought to no longer set
up the sturdy relationship between flooding motives and the outcomes on susceptible
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communities. This is what gave upward shove to the modern study. Awosika (2011) evaluated
the flood results at Ibadan. It was once located that floods can disrupt verbal exchange and
traffic, as properly as land areas. Additionally, industrial enterprises and industrial flowers are
affected through flooding. Floods can reason untold hardship, mainly for the most susceptible
Stephen (2011) additionally examined the motives and river structures of flooding in Nigeria.
Inadequate drainage is one of the reasons of flooding, in accordance to the study. The find out
about similarly printed that flooding happens when the movement channel is too busy, inflicting
water to overflow onto the land adjoining to the channel boundaries. These are the 5 kinds of
Nigeria, some predominant tangible penalties of flooding have been recorded via Johnson (2002)
for the global committee of the fourth worldwide (ICFI0. He referred to that over 5 hundred
residences and one hundred motors have been damaged. In North West Nigerian, up to 13
villages have been destroyed in Sokoto state. More than one hundred residences had been
destroyed by using the use of way of flooding from an opened barrage in neighboring Zamfara
state. Around 114 households have been reportedly affected by way of the usage of attainable of
flooding in Yobe state. In Lagos, the state of affairs used to be tricky via the truth that
intelligence sea tiers had been expanded all by using the months of September and October
(based on historic evaluation of tides 1992 – 1996). Furthermore, storm surge peaks are seen
between the months of April to May and August to September, when the top of the surge
surpasses four meters above low water levels, resulting in floods that damaged homes well worth
billions of naira.
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Between 1994 and 1998, the catastrophic floods in Mokwa, Rabba, and its environs wrecked
properties worth over 500 million naira, drowned many residences, and affected social services,
according to Lawal and Nagya. In addition, askew (2000) stated that floods caused one-third of
all deaths, one-third of all accidents, and one-third of all damages caused by natural disasters
In a study conducted by Efe (2007), he stated that the amount of rain water has often flooded
major cities and rural areas in Delta South and Central Senatorial District following each and
every rain event. Whenever this happens, social-economic activities are almost always supplied
to a high level in the region. He further stated that severe rains that occurred between July and
September 2000 and 2002 made many people homeless and damaged homes worth billions of
naira.
Etuonovbe (2011) posted that flooding affected 4000 human beings in Awka-Ibom. The identical
catastrophe affected Edo state, 560 houses had been destroyed and 820 human beings affected.
While in Bayesla state, houses, faculties and farmlands have been submerged all by means of
1999 and 2001 flooding. Also two 1/3 of the populace have been affected with the resource of
flooding. Similarly, flooding displaced 200,000 humans in the years 1999 and 2000, in the Niger
Flooding also in other words affected buildings and farmlands in Taraba, Zamfara, and Kogi
states. In Zamfara state, 12,398 human beings had been affected, at the same time as in Taraba
state, 50,000 human beings have been displaced and eighty residences had been swept off.
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(Garg, 2010) examined the losses in respect to the most important and cannot be measured in
monetary terms, and include: human life losses, anxiety and ordinary social anguish, snake bites
2.1.7.2 Casualties
Flooding is the major intent of herbal catastrophe deaths worldwide and have been in cost for the
twentieth century, 6.8 million people died (Docy et al, 2013). Across 2012, three million people
were affected by spectacular and deadly examples of massive flooding in west and central
Africa, mostly in Nigeria, Chad, and Senegal (UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian
Affairs, 2012). According to Ujah (2007), around 5,650 people in Nigeria have died and
displaced via flooding, with 34 deaths reported. Also, in Ibadan (1995, 1987 and 1990), Oshogbo
(1992, 1996 and 2003), Yobe (2000), Akure (2002, 2004 and 2006) and the coastal cities of
Lagos, Port Hacourt, Calabar, Oyo and Warri, flooding claimed many lives (Eludoyin, Akinbode
and Okuko, 2007). Flooding in addition claimed 14 lives between 1999 and 2010 in Benin City
(odjugo, 2012). Moreso, in Nigeria, flooding affected 7.7 million people, broken 600,000 homes
and claimed 363 lives in 2012 (UN for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 2012).
Similarly, in the route of flooding water are contaminated and common drinking water will
become scarce, unhygienic stipulations and unfold of water-borne diseases (Adeloye and
Rustum, 2011). Olajuyigbe, et al (2012) discovered that flooding activities are many instances
now not restrained to destruction of bodily structure however are in addition accompanied with
incidence of diarrhea and particular water-borne ailments as most furnish of water are polluted.
More so, Eli (2008) posted that flooding has a negative impact on health, resulting in an
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He also bemoaned the fact that when flood victims drink water from a dirty river, they develop
fever, malaria, pneumonia, and stress. Flooding also polluted unprotected water sources,
Economic problem brought about via brief decline in tourism, meals shortage main to charge
rise ,rebuilding costs, and so on. Even more, rehabilitation expenses for Bacita sugar fields,
which are downstream of the jebba dam, Yenagoa residents in Nigeria's Bayelsa state have been
reduce off from all land routes via flooding in 2012. This precipitated a meals crisis, and the rate
of indispensable meals gadgats soared (Pere, 2013, 2013). According to his study, a hundred and
seventy millions of these expenses have been incurred by way of flood victims who relocated
from bayelsa into different cities. These charges may want to be attributed to excessive transport
expenses and packing. In Yenagoa 2012 flooding precipitated roads to be flooded, which led to
Nadia Hamdani et al 2019 used the top above the nearest drainage (HAND) to model the
lineament mapping of groundwater potentials areas. It grew to flip out to be crucial to use new
geospatial utilized sciences for mapping and monitoring of groundwater resources. Spatial
contrast of hydro-geological lineament local and hydrological modeling can moreover enable
proper identification of areas that favor infiltration and recharge of overexploited groundwater.
This search for ambitions to determine the relative contribution of the topo-hydrological factor,
viewed as Height above Nearest Drainage (HAND) for environment quality exploration and
quickly as particularly primarily based on the Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data for
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retrieving the lineaments and the elevation records from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission
(SRTM) for the calculation of the HAND model. Four panorama schooling namely, waterlogged
land, wetlands sloped, hill slope and plateaus, corresponding to the most quintessential
hydrological systems, have been delineated the utilization of the HAND model. The software
groundwater manageable areas (GPAs) is examined to be beneficial for enhancing the accuracy
of the today's multi-criteria GIS models. David G Tarboton et 2017, carried out a seem up to
illustrate the use of TauDEM for calculation of the pinnacle above the nearest drainage (HAND)
from a digital elevation model, to use this HAND raster to derive circulation collect hydraulic
Srinivasa et al, 2018 administered a lookup on (HAND) on equipment and satellite-based spatial
evaluation Hyderabad (India) urban flood. an strive is formed to acknowledge the difficulty of
city flooding in phase of Hyderabad metropolis (Zone-12) geospatially brooding about the
satellite-based modifications in land use/land cowl between 1989 and 2018, deciding low-lying
areas vulnerable to flooding the usage of HAND (height above nearest drainage) mannequin in
conjunction with the evaluation of high-resolution satellite television for pc pics and floor based
totally validation of affected places during rains of September 2018. The study indicates that
Zone-12 has skilled giant enlarge in tightly closed cowl by using 42% between 1989 and 2018.
The have an impression on of urbanization has obliterated the footprints of circulation network,
notably altering the hydrological panorama thanks to burial of channels and concretization of
lake beds. The interconnected channel community and lake gadget appearing as sinks to require
in excessive runoff during monsoons are encroached upon anxious the town flooding problem.
The determine about suggests that HAND mannequin are often a wonderful device beneath
24
statistics scarce environments, constrained cloud-free high-resolution satellite television for pc
facts availability for the duration of floods to possess first reduce baseline records on flood
susceptible place.
According to (Douglas, 2014) assessed climate change and flood intensity, which the study was
focused on urban poor of Africa. The assessment of flood and it effect has not been done
properly to allow for sustainable management of this environmental threat. The study failed to
apply a quantitative approach to figure out the relationship between climate change and flooding.
Aderogbe (2012), examine global warming and flooding in Lagos metropolis, Nigeria. The
finding assesses local weather trade and its result on flooding, which is as a result of extended
heavy rainfall throughout the world.
Also according to Tabari, H (2020) examine that extreme precipitation is expected to intensify
with global warming over large parts of the globe as the concentration of atmospheric water
vapor which supplies the water of precipitation increases in proportion to the saturated
concentration at a rate of about 6-7% per degree rise in temperature according to the
thermodynamic Clausius Chaperon relationship. (Kundzewicz et al. 2012) examine a holistic
perspective on changing rainfall driven flood risk is provided for the late 20th and 21st centuries.
Economic losses from floods have greatly increased, principally driven by the expanding
exposure of assets at risk. Projected increase in the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall,
based on climate models, should contribute to increase in precipitation generated local flooding
(e.g. flash flooding and urban flooding).
According to (Aladelokun, 2011.) in his research about man and flooding describe flooding as
man’s interplay with his environment in the form of urbanization, agricultural as well as
deforestation. He stated that when urbanization intensifies the land surface is changed by paved
roads, buildings, concrete surfaces which don’t allow water to penetrate into the ground. He
25
stated that the resulting effect is that a great share of the rainfall which need to infiltrate into the
ground or be intercepted by vegetation and as a result runoff into rivers and streams thereby
increasing their volume making them flood.
Nigeria has the Africa’s largest economy and population of over 200 million people. Nigeria
faces numerous challenges as it struggles to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
with flooding being the most serious with wide- reaching impacts (Adaku Jane Echendu, 2020).
As most people are aware, the impacts of flooding include loss of lives, destruction to crops,
damage to properties, loss of livestock and deterioration of health conditions owing to water
borne diseases. As communication links and infrastructures such as power plants, bridges and
roads are destroyed, some economic activities may come to a standstill, people are forced to
leave their homes and normal life is disrupted (NEMA,2012).
Most urban areas are impervious (that is, water cannot penetrate into the ground) there are prone
to lower rate of infiltration and higher rate of runoff, causing pluvial or urban floods following
extreme rainfall events (Chen, Hill and Urbano, 2009). The societal and economic consequences
of this has turned out to be at a very critical level, for instance claiming of over 409 lives and a
financial loss of 50 billion Indian rupees in Mumbai, India after a flash flood at 26 th July 2005
(Kulkarni et el, 2014)
According to (Abede and Bulti, 2020) explain that the different methods of GIS-modelling urban
flood can be divided into the following groups; “rapid flood spreading (RFS), overland flow (1D
26
and 2D), and sewer-surface coupling approaches (1D-1D and 1D-2D),” - leaving out the
Flood inundation modeling (inundation refers to overflowed land) are well suited for establishing
the distribution and the range of the flood, as well as other characteristics such as e.g. how fast
the runoff-water are moving on the surface. The latter is synonymous with flow velocity and is
appropriate for risk assessing the potential damage to infrastructure. The former however,
representing the actual water depth and range of the inundation can be used for e.g. mapping
water resources or areas in need of better drainage capacity (Abede and Bulti, 2020).
runoff-water, some parts of the storm water enter the processes of initial and continuing losses.
Initial losses represent a smaller amount of the precipitation that is kept on rooftops, on
vegetation, and in puddles on the ground etc. Continuing losses on the other hand are the amount
of water that is being infiltrated through the ground or via evapotranspiration. This latter type of
losses can occur as long as there is water on the surface, although the type of catchment, the
rainfall-duration and the threshold-level of saturated soil will have an effect on the rate of loss,
which subsequently will increase the rate of runoff-water (Abede and Bulti, 2020). The two key
terms mentioned represent two different parts of the urban drainage system, where the first one,
minor drainage system consists of manholes, inlets, ditches next to the road etc. (i.e. constructed
drainage systems). This is where much of the runoff water would end up under normal
precipitation events. The 2nd type, the essential drainage system, is the pathways that the runoff-
water would take (on the surface) if and when the ability of the minor drainage device is
surpassed due to heavy precipitation (i.e. areas and channels that are not artificially made
constructs to guide the runoff water). These pathways can be e.g. streets, depressed channels or
27
depressed areas where the water is temporarily stored (Abede and Bulti, 2020). The method of
rapid flood spreading (RFS) is a more simplified method of modeling flood since it only acquires
terrain data (DTM) as spatial input, and the output only illustrate the final state of a flooded area.
It does not provide any flood velocity, nor does it take into account the pathway of the water and
it is modeled within a duration maximum 2 minutes – contrary to several hours. The method first
finds the impact zones (areas prone to accumulation of water) using the terrain data and
thereafter cells are established with the purpose to store the water. Secondly, the cells in each
impact zone with the lowest height are identified, indicating where the water should start
flooding. Finally, the flood can be computed, starting at the defined cells and moving on to the
neighboring cells when these are filled up. It is completed when there is no more water left
The one-dimensional (1D) overland flow modeling method attempts to simulate the runoff water
defined earlier as the major drainage system (i.e. only the water flowing on the surface,
excluding the minor drainage system). Since the surface flow will be modeled in 1D, the route of
the flow can only go in one direction, contrary to a 2D modeled overland flow where it is
Multi directional (X-Y-Z coordinates). This implies that when for an instance a depressed area
becomes over flooded and the water should be enabled to flow further, this method will not
model such a feature. The input-data requirements of the method are a DTM and a surface
network dataset, and the modeling-duration is very short, – similar to the RFS-method (Abede
and Bulti, 2020). The surface network can be created either manually or automatically by using
the DEM combined with other tools. This is however a very time-consuming process and the
water need to flow on the defined network in order to attain a viable result (Abede and Bulti,
2020). The 2D modeled overland flow method on the other hand does not need this type of data
because the floodwater can automatically navigate on the surface of the DTM throughout the
duration of the modeling (Djordjevic, 2010).
28
2.2.3 Characteristics of urban flood and the main methods of modelling
Flood can be categorized into the groups of; “rapid flood spreading (RFS), overland flow (1D
and 2D), and sewer-surface coupling approaches (1D-1D and 1D-2D),” - leaving out the
Flood inundation modeling (inundation referring to lands that are overflowed) are well suited for
establishing the distribution and the range of the flood, as well as other characteristics such as
e.g. how fast the runoff-water are moving on the surface. The latter is synonymous with flow
velocity and is appropriate for risk assessing the potential damage to infrastructure. The former
however, representing the actual water depth and range of the inundation can be used for e.g.
mapping water resources or areas in need of better drainage capacity (Abede and Bulti, 2020).
Further on, although much of the rainfall in catchment-areas surrounding urban setting turns into
runoff-water, some parts of the storm water enter the processes of initial and continuing losses.
Initial losses represent a smaller amount of the precipitation that is kept on rooftops, on
vegetation, and in puddles on the ground etc. Continuing losses on the other hand are the amount
of water that is being infiltrated through the ground or via evapotranspiration. This latter type of
losses can occur as long as there is water on the surface, although the type of catchment, the
rainfall-duration and the threshold-level of saturated soil will have an effect on the rate of loss,
which subsequently will increase the rate of runoff-water (Abede and Bulti, 2020). The two key
terms mentioned represent two different parts of the urban drainage system, where the first one,
minor drainage system consists of manholes, inlets, ditches next to the road etc. (i.e. constructed
drainage systems). This is where much of the runoff water would end up under normal
precipitation events. The 2nd type, the essential drainage system, is the pathways that the runoff-
29
water would take (on the surface) if and when the ability of the minor drainage device is
surpassed due to heavy precipitation (i.e. areas and channels that are not artificially made
constructs to guide the runoff water). These pathways can be e.g. streets, depressed channels or
depressed areas where the water is temporarily stored (Abede and Bulti, 2020). The method of
rapid flood spreading (RFS) is a more simplified method of modeling flood since it only acquires
terrain data (DTM) as spatial input, and the output only illustrate the final state of a flooded area.
It does not provide any flood velocity, nor does it take into account the pathway of the water and
it is modeled within a duration maximum 2 minutes – contrary to several hours. The method first
finds the impact zones (areas prone to accumulation of water) using the terrain data and
thereafter cells are established with the purpose to store the water. Secondly, the cells in each
impact zone with the lowest height are identified, indicating where the water should start
flooding. Finally, the flood can be computed, starting at the defined cells and moving on to the
neighboring cells when these are filled up. It is completed when there is no more water left
The one-dimensional (1D) overland flow modeling method attempts to simulate the runoff water
defined earlier as the major drainage system (i.e. only the water flowing on the surface,
excluding the minor drainage system). Since the surface flow will be modeled in 1D, the route of
the flow can only go in one direction, contrary to a 2D modeled overland flow where it is
Multi directional (X-Y-Z coordinates). This implies that when for an instance a depressed area
becomes over flooded and the water should be enabled to flow further, this method will not
model such a feature. The input-data requirements of the method are a DTM and a surface
network dataset, and the modeling-duration is very short, – similar to the RFS-method (Abede
and Bulti, 2020). The surface network can be created either manually or automatically by using
30
the DEM combined with other tools. This is however a very time-consuming process and the
water need to flow on the defined network in order to attain a viable result (Abede and Bulti,
2020). The 2D modeled overland flow method on the other hand does not need this type of data
because the floodwater can automatically navigate on the surface of the DTM throughout the
31
CHAPTER THREE
3.0 MATERIALS AND METHOD
3.1 Type of data
Primary and secondary data will be used throughout the study area. The primary data will be
generated directly from the field while the secondary data will be gotten from secondary sources.
Global Positioning System (GPS) receiver/handler will be used in the acquisition of coordinates
from the field, as well as other information that will be gotten during field assessment of the
environment which include questionnaire, interview and reconnaissance survey.
The following are the secondary data that will be used, the shuttle radar topographical mission
(SRTM) with a resolution of which will be used to generate contour lines, Land Sat images
with a resolution of will also be used, Land use and land cover (LULC) over kogi state will be
from the online. Articles and journals will be used.
3.2.1 Questionnaire: Questionnaire will be administered to people who reside in the community
for a long period of time between ten to fifteen years and have experienced flood event over such
period of time. I will administer questionnaires and the data to be collected include social
economic characteristic of people such as age, occupation, marital status, level of education,
major challenges, the effect of flood to them, adaptation to flooding event.
3.2.2 Interview: Interviews will be conducted in the field while administering questionnaire so
as to be able to gather more detailed information about flood in the sturdy areas.
3.2.3 Reconnaissance survey: reconnaissance survey will be carried out in the field to
determine some of the vulnerable practices, adaptation and mitigation measures.
32
A detailed survey will be conducted making use of a purposive sampling method for
questionnaire administration and personal interview. Information will be collected to know the
remote cause of flood in the study area either main made (anthropogenic activities) or natural
cause.
Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is a 3-dimentional illustration of the land surface generated from
elevation data. DEM is the simplest form of digital representation of topography. DEM will be
used to determine the elevation of the study area. Buffer analysis is used for identifying areas
surrounding geographic features. The Buffer analysis will be used to determine flood vulnerable
areas.
3.2.6 To Identify mitigation and adaptation strategies to flood event in the study are
To be able to understand the coping strategies to flood event in Lokoja, the use of questionnaire
and interview will also be used. Information will be gotten to understand how those in the study
area cope with the advert effect of the flood. The coping mechanism put in place to reduce flood
effect on the people.
Phone
Questionnaires
This technique was to identify appropriate household to be selected based on the residents of the
study area and also simple random sampling was used, that is, all the major areas in Lokoja
2
z ( p ) (1−p )
Adapting the formula n = ............................................................ (3.1)
E2
33
Z is the z score associated with the confidence level required,
p is the occurrence rate within the population from statistical and development team,
At a confidence level of 90 percent, and associated z score of 1.65, 0.5 occurrence rate and 0.05
precision,
As a result, about 352questionnaires was administered in the 5 major areas identified in the study
area, namely; Ganaja village, Kabawa, Felele, Gadumu and Adankolo area
352.25
Therefore, , this equals 70.45
5
For the purpose of this study ‘’percentage’’ was used to summarized the information collected.
‘’histogram’’, ‘’bar chart’’, linear regression and EXCEL are other statistical techniques were
34
‘’Pearson’s product moment correlation ‘’ was used to find out the relationship among the
variables under consideration in order to arrive at a good decision, it was useful to measure the
actual impact of each independent variable in predicting the outcome of the dependent variables.
n ∑ xy −∑ x ∑ y
b= ………………. (3.1)
√n ∑ x 2−¿ ¿ ¿
y = residents.
n = number of observations.
And ‘’spearman’s rank correlation coefficient’’ was also used to find out if there is a significant
relationship between the distance of the river and the residents. Using the formula below:
2
6 ∑d
r =1− 2 …………. (3.2)
n(n −1)
d = is the difference between the distance of the river and the residents.
‘’histogram’’ was used to show the information obtained on the river in the study are ‘’grouped
bar’’ was used to show the distance of the residents in study area.
35
analysis
To examine the remote
1. Questionnaire Primary and Descriptive
cause of flood in the study
, survey and secondary type statistical,
area
interview, of data Inferential
journals statistical
REFERENCES
36
Abah RC (2013). An application of Geographic Information System in mapping flood risk zones
in a north central city in Nigeria. Afr. J. Environ. Sci. Technol. 7(6)365-371.
Abede, B.G. and Bulti, D.T. (2020) A review of flood modeling methods for urban pluvial flood
application, Modelling Earth Systems and Environment. DOI:10.1007/s40808-020-00803-z
Alabi. M.O(2009). Urban Sprawl, Pattern, and Measurement in Lokoja, Nigeria. Theoretical and
Empirical Researches in Urban Management, 4, 158-164
Emmanuel UA, Ojinnaka OC (2015). Flood Hazard Analysis and Damage Assessment of
2012 Flood in Anambra State using GIS and Remote Sensing Approach. America Journal of
Geographic Information System 4(1): 38-
Etunovbe, A.K. (2011). The Devastating Effect of Flooding in Nigeria. Hydrography and the
Environment Innocent Chirisa, Zimbabwe Inclusive Cities and Housing: Bridging the Gap
between Cultures Marrakech, Morocco, 18-22 May 2011.
Garg RK, Saksena DN, Rao RJ (2010b). Assessment of physicochemical water quality of Harsi
Reservoir, District Gwalior, Madhya Pradesh. J. Ecophysiol. Occupat. Health 6: 33-40
IFRCS (2012a), “Emergency Appeal; Nigeria: Floods”. 29th September, 2012. Retrieved from
http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/MDRNG01401.pdfAccessed
January 10, 2021.
Ishaya S, Ifatimehin OO, Abaje IB (2009), Mapping Flood Vulnerable Area in a Developing
Urban Center of Nigeria. J. Sust. Dev. Afr (volume 11, NO.4, 2009). ISSN:1520-5509. Clarion
University of Pennsylvania, Clarion, Pennsylvania.
Munyai, R.B., Musyoki, A. and Nethengwe, N.S., 2019, “An assessment of flood vulnerability
and adaptation: A case study of Hamutsha-Muungamunwe-village, Makhado municipality”,
jamba: journal of disaster risk studies 11(2), a692. https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.vlli2.692
Obatola, G. A. (2005). “The Niger Delta and its Environmental Hazards”. Benin City; Ethiopia
Publishing House.
37
Pagasa.dost (2013). Causes and Types of Floods. Retrieved from:
http://kidlat.dost.gov.ph/genmet/floods/causes_types.html
Usman I (2012). A Survey of the Area Vulnerable to Flood and the Mitigation Strategies
Adopted by Akare Community, Niger State, Nigeria. A Master Degree Thesis submitted
to the Centre for Disaster Risk Management and Development Studies, Federal
University of Technology, Minna.
38
DEPARTMENT OF GEOGRAPHY, FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
MINNA, NIGER STATE
Could you please supply objective answers to the questions contained herein? All your answers
will be treated with confidentiality. Your answers will help the researcher in advising the
government concerning the problem of flood risk in Lokoja, Kogi state.
1. Sex of respondent?
(a) Male (b) Female
2. Occupation?
(a) Farmer (b) Trader (c) Artisan (d) Civil Servant
3. Education
(a) Primary (b) Secondary (c) Tertiary (e) None
4. Marital Status
(a) Single (b) Married (c) Widowed (d) Divorced
13. How does the government help those affected by flood events?
______________________________________________________________________________
14. In your own words, what can be done to reduce the effect of flood on people living in lokoja
and its environs?
______________________________________________________________________________
15. What are the major challenges you face during flood?
______________________________________________________________________________
40