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SMK St. Joseph, Kuching - Marking Scheme - STPM Mathematcs Paper 3 - 2014: Section A

This document contains a marking scheme for a STPM Mathematics paper with 5 questions. Question 1 involves plotting a cumulative frequency graph, calculating the interquartile range and 10-90 percentile range from the graph. Question 2 calculates probabilities of coin toss outcomes and the probability of having exactly 2 consecutive successes. Question 3 involves finding the probability distribution function of a random variable from its properties and sketching the probability density function. Question 4 calculates the sample size needed to estimate a population proportion within a given level of confidence. It also finds the probability that a sample proportion is greater than a value. Question 5 defines a hypothesis test to compare a sample mean age to a population mean, specifying the test

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
65 views6 pages

SMK St. Joseph, Kuching - Marking Scheme - STPM Mathematcs Paper 3 - 2014: Section A

This document contains a marking scheme for a STPM Mathematics paper with 5 questions. Question 1 involves plotting a cumulative frequency graph, calculating the interquartile range and 10-90 percentile range from the graph. Question 2 calculates probabilities of coin toss outcomes and the probability of having exactly 2 consecutive successes. Question 3 involves finding the probability distribution function of a random variable from its properties and sketching the probability density function. Question 4 calculates the sample size needed to estimate a population proportion within a given level of confidence. It also finds the probability that a sample proportion is greater than a value. Question 5 defines a hypothesis test to compare a sample mean age to a population mean, specifying the test

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Peng Peng Kek
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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SMK ST.

JOSEPH, KUCHING -MARKING SCHEME – STPM MATHEMATCS PAPER 3 -2014 : SECTION A

1. (a)

D1 -shape
of curve

D1-both
axes
correctly
labelled

B1 – at
least 3
points
correctly
plotted

Upper boundary Cumulative frequency B1-


100 0 cumulative
110 27 frequency-
120 85 at least 3
130 215 correct
140 320 answers
150 370
160 395
170 400

(b) interquartile range = Q3  Q1  137.5  121.5 M1


= 16 cm A1
( c) from graph, P90  147, P10  113 M1
The 10 to 90 percentile range = P90  P10  147  113  34 cm A1 (8)
2  3  1 3  1 1 3   3  1 3 
(a) P(www)=        M1 for    
 4  2 4  2 2 4   4  2 4 
27 M1 for
= (shown)
512 1 1 3
for    
2 2 4
(b) P(does not have 2 consecutive successes)=P[1  P(WWW )  P(WWL)  P( LWW ) B1
27  3  1 3  1 1 3   1 3  1 3  M1
=1      1          
512  4  2 4  2 2 4   4 4  2 4 
485 117 9 83 A1
   
512 512 128 128
P(WWL)+P(LWW) B1
(c) P(2 consecutive successes/exactly 2 successes)=
P(WWL)+P(LWW)+P(WLW)
117 36
 M1
 512 512
117 36 180
 
512 512 512
17 A1 ( strict))
 (8)
37

3 (a) Since it is a cumulative distribution function d  1 A1 (strict)


F(0)=a(0)  b  0, b  0 A1 (strict)
1 7 A1 (strict)
6c   1, c  (014583333… not
8 48
accepted
1
ax  3c 
8
 7  1
3a  3   
 48  8
3
a or 0.1875 A1
16
0, x0
3
 x, 0 x3
16
F( x)  
 7 x 1, 3 x 6
 48 8
1, x6 (4)

d  3  3
(b)  x  M1
dx  16  16
d  7 1 7 M1
 x 
dx  48 8  48
3
16 , 0 x3

7
f ( x)   , 3 x 6
 48 A1 ( all correct)
0, otherwise
 (3)

(c) f ( x)
D1 - the two lines
correctly drawn with
the inequalities
symbols

D1- both axes


correctly labelled
0
3 6
(2)

4 pq
(a) Standard error of the estimate =  z = 0.02 B1
2
n

0.25  0.75 M1 for z  2.576


0.02  2.576 2
n
0.25  0.75
M1 for
n
n  3110.52
therefore ,in order to be 99% confident that the estimate is within 2 percentage of the true A1
proportion, the medical researcher needs a sample size of al least 3111 retirees (4)
 pq 
(b) from the central limit theorem , X N  p, 
 n 
 0.25  0.75 
X N  0.25, 
 300 
X N  0.25,0.000625 M1
0.3  0.25
P(X  0.3)  P(Z  ) 0.3  0.25
0.000625 M1 for
0.000625
P(Z  2)  0.02275/ 0.0288 A1 ( from table or
calculator)
(3)

5 Let X be the age , in years, of the worker and let the population mean age be  and   18
H 0 :   45
B1 (both)
H1 :   45
The sample size is large n = 100, by the central limit theorem, X is approximately normal,
B1 -formula
 2 
So X N   ,  with  =18 and n  100
 n 
 182  M1 –substitution of
X N  45,  values
 100 
Use two-tailed test at 5% level, critical z-values = 1.96 B1
x 48.4  45
z  B1 substitution of
 18
values
n 100
z  1.8889 A1 (accept 4 or 5
decimals places)
Since z  1.96, do not reject H 0
There is no sufficient evidence, at 5% level of significance, to reject the management’s claim
that the mean age is 45 years. A1 (7)

6 (a) Let X be the number of drawn matches in 90


X B(n, p) with n  90, p  0.2, q  0.8
np  90  0.2  18, nq  90  0.8  72
since np  5 and nq  5, use normal approximation B1 – normal app.
X N (np, npq)
X N (18,14.4) M1 for (18,14.4)
P(13  X  20)
 P(12.5  X  20.5) continuity correction M1

 12.5  18 20.5  18 
P Z   M1 (subt for mean
 14.4 14.4 
and std. deviation)
 P  1.449  Z  0.659 
 0.9264  0.7451  1
A1 (from table or
 0.6715 or 0.67138 calculator)
(4)

(b) D is the number of drawn matches


D B(20,0.2) np  20  0.2  4, so np  5
H is the number of homes wins B1
H B(20,0.5) np  20  0.5  10, so np  5
For H , np  5 and nq  5
A1
So H can be a better approximated by normal variable. (2)

SECTION B

7 (a) X N(50, 225)


M1 for formula
standardise each X value
M1 –at least 3 correct
x
z for standardise X
 values
Probability E= prob X 86
P( X  35)  P(Z  1)  1  0.8413 M1- at least 3 correct
0.1587 13.6482 z –values
P(35  X  45)  P(1  Z  0.333)  0.8413  0.6304 0.2109 18.1374 ( probability)
P(45  X  55)  P(0.333  Z  0.333)  2  0.6304 1 0.2608 22.4288
P(55  X  65)  ( by symmetry) 0.2109 18.1374 M1 – prob. X 86
P( X  65)  ( by symmetry) 0.1587 13.6482
M1- at least 3 correct
in Expected freq.

M1- all correctly


labelled
(b) H 0 : X is distributed in the modelled of X N (50, 225) B1
B1
H1 : X is not distributed in the modelled of X N (50, 225)
Degree of freedom v  5  1  4 B1
Perform 5% level ,  25% (4)  9.488 so reject H 0 if  2  9.488 B1
Observed frequency( o) Expected frequency ( E )
O  E 
2

M1 –at least 3 correct


E
O  E 
2
10 13.6482 0.97517 values
18 18.1374 0.00104 E
28 22.4288 1.38386 Accept 3 , 4 or 5
18 18.1374 0.00104 decimal places
12 13.6482 0.19904
 O  86  E  86 2.56015 B1 – all correctly
labelled in the table

A1-(total- 2.56015)
Since   9.488, do not reject H 0
2 B1
The normal model X N(50, 225) is a suitable model A1 (15)

8.
(a) Unbiased estimate of   x 
 x  358.2 M1
n 200
= 1.791 A1

n   x   x  
2 2
2
Unbiased estimate of  2      
n 1  n  n  
 
200  773.18 
=   (1.791)2  M1
199  200 
= 0.66153 A1 (4)
(b) P( z0.05  Z  z0.05 )
X 
 P ( z0.05   z0.05 )  0.90 B1 formula

n M1 for Z0.05  1.96
 
x  z0.05    x  z0.05
n n
0.06153
0.06153 0.06153 M1 for
1.791  1.96    1.791+1.96 200
200 200
1.6993    1.8827 A1 (4)
1
Let p be the proportion of cars parked for more than 2 hours
2
39
From sample of 200 cars , p 
200 39
M1 for p 
200
H 0 : p  0.15
B1 (both)
H1 : p  0.15
Critical region z0.10  1.282 B1

p p
Test statistics Z  N (0,1) B1 - formula
pq
n
39
 0.15
Z 200
M1- substitution of
(0.15)(0.75)
values
200
= 1.8974 A1
Since the value of the test statistics (1.8974 > 1.282) lies within the critical region, there is A1
sufficient evidence to conclude that the null hypothesis is false. (7)

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