Im Unit - I PDF
Im Unit - I PDF
Im Unit - I PDF
P.Hemalatha,
Teaching Assistant,
Department of commerce.
UNIT-I
Investment – Features of Investment – Principles of Investment – Kinds of Investment –
Stages in Investment – Investment Vs Speculation – Sources of Investment information.
Introduction
The term ‘investing’ could be associated with different activities, but the common target in these
activities is to ‘employ’ the money (funds) during the time period seeking to enhance the
investor’s wealth. Funds to be invested come from assets already owned, borrowed money and
savings. By foregoing consumption today and investing their savings, investors expect to
enhance their future consumption possibilities by increasing their wealth. However, it is always
useful to make a distinction between real and financial investments. Real investments usually
involve some kind of tangible assets, such as land, machinery, factories, etc. Financial
investments involve contracts in paper or electronic form, such as stocks, bonds, etc.
Investment activity involves the use of funds or savings for acquisition of assets & further
creation of assets.
Investment is an employment of funds on assets in the aim of earning income or capital
appreciation.
Definition of Investment
“Investment analysis is the study of financial securities for the purpose of successful investing.
“An investment is the purchase of goods that are not consumed today but are used in the future to
create wealth”.
“An investment is a commitment of funds make in the expectation of some positive rate of
return”. Example – equity shares, preference share and debentures etc.
According to oxford dictionary “investment is defined as the action or process of investment
money for profit”.
According to keyness “investment is define as the addition of the value of the capital equipment
which has resulted from the productive activity of the period”.
Types of Investment
Real Investment – Purchase of fixed assets
Financial Investment – Purchase of securities
Definition-Economic sense
“Investment means the net additions to the economy’s capital stock which consists of goods and
services that are used in the production of other goods and services” (Capital formation)
Investment is the net addition made to the nation’s capital stock that consists of goods and
services that are used in the production process. A net addition to the capital stock means an
increase in the buildings, equipments or inventories. These capital stocks are used to produce
other goods & services
Definition–Financial sense
“Investment is a commitment / employment of funds made in the expectation of some positive
rate of return. If the investment is properly undertaken, the return will commensurate with the
risk that the investor assumes”.
- Donald E. Fischer and Ronald J. Jordan
Financial investment is the allocation of money to assets that are expected to yield some gain
over a period of time.
Characteristics of Investment
Safety of principal (e.g. gilt edged securities)
Liquidity (e.g. CPs and CDs)
Income stability (e.g. Debentures)
Capital appreciation (e.g. equity)
Tangibility (e.g. land and buildings)
Investment refers to investing money in financial physical assets and marketing assets. Major
investment features are risk, return, safety, liquidity, marketability, concealability, capital
growth, purchasing power, stability and the benefits.
Risk
Risk refers to the loss of principal amount of an investment. It is one of the major characteristics
of an investment. The risk depends on the following factors:
When investment maturity period is longer; investor will take larger risks.•
Government or Semi-Government bodies issue securities, which have lesser risks.•
In the case of the debt instrument or fixed deposit, the risk of above investment is less due to
their secured and • fixed interest payable. For instance, debentures.
In the case of ownership instrument like equity or preference shares, the risk is more due to their
unsecured • nature and variability of their return and ownership character.
The risk of degree of variability of returns is more in the case of ownership capital as compared
to debt capital. • The tax provisions would influence the return of risk.
Return
Return refers to expected rate of return from an investment. Return is an important characteristic
of investment. Return is the major factor which influences the pattern of investment that is made
by the investor. Investor always prefers high rate of return for his investment.
Safety
Safety refers to the protection of investor principal amount and expected rate of return. Safety is
also one of the essential and crucial elements of investment. Investor prefers his capital’s safety.
Capital is the certainty of return without loss of money or it will take time to retain it. If investor
prefers less-risk securities, he chooses Government bonds. In cases, where investor prefers high
rate of returns, investor will choose private securities, whose safety is low.
Liquidity
Liquidity refers to investments ready to be converted into cash. In other words, it is available
immediately in the cash form. Liquidity means that investment is easily realisable, saleable or
marketable. When the liquidity is high, then the return may be low. For example, UTI units. An
investor generally prefers liquidity for his investments and safety of funds through a minimum-
risk and maximum-return investment.
Marketability
Marketability refers to buying and selling of securities in market. Marketability means
transferability or saleability of an asset. Securities listed in a stock market are more easily
marketable than which are not listed. Public Limited Companies’ shares are more easily
transferable than those of private limited companies.
Concealability
Concealability is another essential characteristic of the investment. Concealability means
investment to be safe from social disorders, government confiscations or unacceptable levels of
taxation. Property must be concealable and should leave no record of income received from its
use or sale. Gold and precious stones have long been esteemed for these purposes, because they
combine high-value with small bulk and are readily transferable.
Capital growth
Capital growth refers to appreciation of investment. Capital growth has today become an
important character of investment. Capital appreciation, also known as capital growth, refers to
the increase in the value of an investment over time. It tells you how much profit you would pay
taxes on, if you sold the investment that day. Investors and their advisers are constantly seeking
‘growth stock’ in the right industry; bought at the right time.
Purchasing power stability
It refers to the buying capacity of investment in market. Purchasing power stability has become
one of the import traits of investment. Investment always involves the commitment of current
funds with the objective of receiving greater amounts of future funds.Investment Analysis and
Portfolio Management 4/JNU OLE
Stability of income
It refers to constant return from an investment. Another major characteristic feature of the
investment is the stability of income. Stability of income must look for different paths just as the
security of the principal. Every investor must always consider stability of monetary income and
stability of the purchasing power of income.
Tax benefits
Tax benefit is the last characteristic feature of the investment. Planning an investment
programme without considering the tax burden may be costly to the investor. There are actually
two problems:
One concerned with the amount of income paid by the investment.•
Another is the burden of income tax upon that income.•
Need and Importance of Investments
An investment is an important and useful factor in the context of present day conditions. Some
factors are very important, while considering these investments. They are outlined below:
Longer life expectancy or planning for retirement•
Increasing rates of taxation•
High interest rates•
High rates of inflation•
Larger incomes•
Availability of a complex number of investment outlets•
Longer life expectancy
Investment decisions have become more significant as most people in India retire between the
ages of 56 to 60. Investment decisions have to be planned to make wise saving decisions. Saving
on their own does not increase wealth; the saving must be invested in such a way that the
principal and income will be adequate for a greater number of retirement years. Longer life
expectancy is one reason for effective savings and further investment activities that help the
investment decisions.
Increasing rates of taxation
When tax rate is increased, it will focus on generating savings by the tax payer. When the tax
payer invests their income in provident fund, pension fund, Unit Trust of India, Life Insurance,
Unit Linked Insurance Plan, National Saving Certificates, Development Bonds, Post Office
Cumulative Deposit Schemes, etc., it affects their taxable income.
Interest rates
Interest rate is one of the most important aspects of a sound investment plan. The interest rate
differs from one investment to another. There may be changes between degree of risk and safe
investments. They may also differ due to different benefit schemes offered by the institutions. A
high rate of interest may not be the only factor favouring the outlet for investment. Stability of
interest is an important aspect of receiving a high rate of interest.
Inflation
Inflation has become a continuous problem. It affects in terms of rising prices. Several problems
are associated and coupled with falling standards of living. Therefore, investor’s careful scrutiny
of the inflation will make further investment process delayed. Investor ensures to check the
safety of the principal amount and security of the investment. Both are crucial from the point of
view of the interest gained from the investments.
Income
Income is another important element of the investment. When government provides jobs to the
unemployed persons in the country, the ultimate result is ensuring income than saving the extra
income. More incomes and more avenues of investment have led to the ability and willingness of
working people to save and invest their funds.
Investment channels
The growth and development of the country leading to greater economic prosperity has led to the
introduction of a vast area of investment outlets. Investment channels mean an investor is willing
to invest in several instruments like corporate stock, provident fund, and life insurance, fixed
deposits in the corporate sector and unit trust schemes.
Objectives of Investment
Maximization of return
Minimization of risk
Hedge against inflation (if the investment cannot earn as much as the rise in price level, the
‘real’ rate of return will be negative)
Safety
Liquidity
Tax Benefit
Return
Rate of return could be defined as the total income the investor receives during the holding
period expressed as a percentage of the purchasing price at the beginning of the holding period.
Return = End period value - Beginning period value + Dividend
--------------------------------- ----------------------------------- x 100
Beginning period value
Risk
• Risk of holding securities is related with the probability of actual return becoming less than the
expected return
• The word “risk” is synonymous with the phrase “variability of return”.
• Investment risk is just as important as measuring its expected rate of return…… because
minimizing risk and maximizing the rate of return are interrelated objectives in the investment
management.
Hedge against Inflation
• The rate of return should ensure a cover against the inflation.
• The return thus earned should assure the safety of the principal amount, regular flow of income
and be a hedge against inflation
Safety
Investment done with Government assure more safety than with the private party
Tax Benefit
Investment may be undertaken to reduce the income tax burden. E.g. Savings bond, Provident
Fund, Insurance etc.
Liquidity
• Marketability of the investment provides liquidity to the investment. The liquidity depends
upon the marketing and trading facility.
• Stocks are liquid only if they command good market by providing adequate return through
dividends and capital appreciation.
Classification of Investment
The classification of investments into various groups is explained in the paragraphs given below:
On the basis of physical investments
Physical investments are as follows:
House•
Land•
Building•
Gold and silver•
Precious stones•
On the basis of financial investment
Financial investments are further classified on the basis of:
Marketable and transferable investments•
Non-marketable investments•
Security forms of investment / Marketable investments are as follows:
1.Corporate Bonds /Debentures
(a) Convertible
(b) Non-convertible.
2. Public Sector Bonds
(a) Taxable
(b) Tax Free.
3. Preference Shares
4. Equity Shares - New issue, Rights Issue, Bonus Issue
Non-Security Forms of Investment (non-marketable) /Non-marketable investments are as
follows:
o Bank deposits•
o Provident and pension funds•
o Insurance certificates•
o Post office deposits•
o National saving certificates•
o Company deposits•
o Private company shares, etc.
Classes of Instruments
Instruments traded can be classified on the following:
1. By ownership or debt nature of instruments.
2. By term period to maturity – Short term, Medium-term and long-term.
3. By the issuer’s creditworthiness, government securities or private securities or Post Office
certificate etc.
INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES
1. Direct Investment Alternatives
Fixed principal investments (e.g. Savings a/c, government bonds)
Variable principal investments (e.g. Preference shares, equity shares)
Non-security investments (e.g. business ventures)
2. Indirect investment alternatives (e.g. PF, Insurance)
INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES
The investment alternatives range from financial securities to non-security investments.
The financial securities may be negotiable or non-negotiable.
The negotiable securities are transferable. Non-negotiable is not transferable also called as
non-securitized financial investment.
Deposit schemes offered by post office, banks, public provident fund, national savings
scheme are non-securitized financial investments.
NEGOTIABLE SECURITIES
1. Variable income securities
Equity shares, growth shares, income shares, defensive shares, cyclical shares, speculative
shares.
2. Fixed income securities
Preference shares, debentures, bonds, government, money market, treasury bills, commercial
papers, certificate of deposit.
NON-NEGOTIABLE SECURITIES
Deposits: it can earn rate of return
Bank deposits, post office deposits,etc.
Schemes of LIC.
Tax benefits from life insurance.
Mutual funds.
Real assets.
Real estate.
Arts and antiques.
FINANCIAL ASSETS
Equity shares
Bonds
Preference shares
Non- marketable financial assets
Money market instruments
Mutual funds
Life insurance
Financial derivatives
EQUITY SHARES
• Represents ownership capital
– They elect the board of directors and have a right to vote on every resolution placed before the
company
– They enjoy the preemptive right which enables them to maintain their proportional ownership
• Risk: residual claim over income
• Reward: partners in progress
• The amount of capital that a company can issue as per its memorandum represents authorized
capital
• The amount offered by the company to the investors is called issued capital
• The part of issued capital that is subscribed to by the investors is called subscribed capital /
paid up capital
• Par / Face / Nominal value of a share is stated in the memorandum and written on the share
script
• Issue of shares at a value above its par value is called issue at a premium
• Issue of shares at a value below its par value is called issue at a discount
• The price at which the share currently trades in the market is called the market value
• Blue chip shares: Shares of large, well established and financially strong companies with
impressive record of earnings and dividend
• Growth shares: Shares of companies having fairly strong position in the growing market and
having an above average rate of growth and profitability
• Income shares: Shares of companies having fairly stable operations, limited growth
opportunities and high dividend payouts
• Cyclical shares: Shares of companies performing as per the business cycles
• Defensive shares: Shares of companies relatively unaffected by the ups and downs in the
general economic conditions
• Speculative shares: shares of companies whose prices fluctuate widely because of a lot of
speculative trading being done on them
• Equity shares are commonly referred to as common stock or ordinary shares
• Share capital of a company is divided into a number of small units of equal value called shares.
• The “stock” is the aggregate of a member’s fully paid up shares of equal value merged into one
fund.
• The ‘stock’ is expressed in terms of money and not “as many” shares.
Sweat Equity: The Sweat Equity has two dimensions:
Shares issued at a discount to employees and directors.
Shares issued for consideration other than cash for providing know-how or making available
rights or value additions.
Non-Voting Shares
Non-voting shares carry no voting rights.
The non-voting shares also can be listed and traded in the stock exchanges.
The dividend on non-voting shares would have to be 20% higher than the dividend on the
voting shares.
Right Shares
Shares offered to the existing shareholders at a price by the company are called “right shares”.
If a public company wants to increase its subscribed capital by way of issuing shares after 2
years from its formation date or 1 year from the date of first allotment……the shares should be
offered first to the existing shareholders in proportion to the capital paid up on the shares held by
them at the date of such offer. This is called pre-emptive right.
DEBENTURES
According to Companies Act 1956, “Debenture includes debenture stock, bonds and any other
securities of company, whether constituting a charge on the assets of the company or not”
Debentures are generally issued by the private sector companies as a long-term promissory
note for raising loan capital
BONDS
• They are long term debt instruments issued for a fixed time period
• Bonds are debt securities issued by the government or PSUs
• Debentures are debt securities issued by private sector companies
• They comprise of periodic interest payments over the life of the instrument and the principal
repayment at the time of redemption
• Debt securities issued by the central government, state government and quasi government
agencies are referred to as gilt-edged securities
• Callable bonds are the ones that can be called for redemption earlier than their date of maturity.
This right to call is available with the company
• Convertible bonds are the ones that can be converted into equity shares at a later date either
fully or partly. This option is available with the bond holder
• Coupon rate is the nominal rate of interest fixed and printed on the bond certificate. It is
calculated on the face value and is payable by the company till maturity
PREFERENCE SHARES
• Represents a hybrid security that has attributes of both equity shares and debentures.
• They carry a fixed rate of dividend. However it is payable only out of distributable profits
• Dividend on preference shares is generally cumulative. Dividend skipped in one year has to be
paid subsequently before equity dividend can be paid
• Only redeemable preference shares can be issued
NON-MARKETABLE SECURITIES
These represent personal transactions between the investor and the issuer.
Bank deposits
– There are various kinds of bank accounts – current, savings and fixed deposit
– While a deposit in a current account does not earn any interest, deposit made in others earn an
interest
– Liquidity, convenience and low investment risks are the common features of the bank deposits
– Deposits in scheduled banks are safe because of the regulations of RBI and the guarantee
provided by the Deposit Insurance Corporation on deposits up to Rs 1,00,000 per depositor of
the bank
Company deposits
– Deposits mobilized by companies are governed by the provisions of section 58A of Companies
Act, 1956
– The interest offered on this fixed income deposits is higher than what investors would normally
get from the banks
– Manufacturing and trading companies are allowed to pay a maximum interest of 12.5%.
– The rates vary depending on the credit rating of the company offering the deposit
Post Office Monthly Income Scheme
– Meant for investors who want to invest a lump sum amount initially and earn interest on a
monthly basis.
– Minimum investment is Rs.1000 in multiples of Rs 1,000
– The maximum deposits in all the accounts taken together should not exceed Rs.4 lakhs in a
single account and Rs.8 lakhs in a joint account
– The tenure of the MIS scheme is six years.
MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
• Debt instruments which have a maturity of less than a year at the time of issue are called money
market instruments
• These are highly liquid instruments
Treasury bills
– Issued by GOI
– They are of two durations – 91 days and 364 days
– Are negotiable instruments and can be rediscounted with GOI
– They are sold on an auction basis every week in certain minimum denominations by the RBI
– They do not carry an explicit interest rate. Instead they are issued at a discount to be redeemed
at par. The implicit return is a function of the size of discount and the period of maturity
– They have zero default risk, assured return, are easily available
Certificate of deposits
– Negotiable instruments issued by banks / financial institutions with a maturity ranging from 3
months to 1 year
– These are bank deposits transferable from one party to another
– The principal investors are banks, financial institutions, corporates and mutual funds
– These carry an explicit rate of interest
– Banks normally tailor make their denominations and maturities to suit the needs of the
investors
Commercial papers
– Issued in form of promissory notes redeemable at par by the holder on maturity
– Usually has a maturity period of 90 to 180 days
– They are sold at a discount to be redeemed at par
– CPs can be issued by corporates having a minimum net worth of Rs 5 crores and an investment
grade from credit rating agencies
– Minimum issue size is Rs 25 lacs
MUTUAL FUNDS
• Also known as an instrument for collective investment
• Investment is done in three broad categories of financial assets i.e. stocks, bonds and cash
• Depending on the asset mix, mutual fund schemes are classified as: Equity schemes, hybrid
schemes and debt schemes
• On the basis of flexibility, Mutual fund schemes may be: Open ended or Close ended
– Open ended schemes are open for subscription & redemption throughout the year
– Close ended schemes are open for subscription only for a specified period and can be redeemed
only on a fixed date of redemption
• On the basis of objective, mutual funds may be growth funds, income funds, or balanced funds
• NAV of a fund is the cumulative market value of the assets of the fund net of its liabilities
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
• Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of the one or more underlying
assets. These underlying assets may be equity, bonds, foreign exchange, commodity or any other
asset
• Derivative does not have a value of its own. Rather its value depends on the value of the
underlying asset.
• Derivatives initially emerged as hedging devices against fluctuations in commodity prices and
commodity linked derivatives remained the sole form of such products. Financial derivatives
emerged post 1970 period.
• Financial derivatives have various financial instruments as the underlying variables
• Futures and Options are two basic types of derivatives
Futures is a transferable contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a certain date in
the future at a specified price
– It is a standardized contract with a standard underlying asset, a standard quantity and quality of
underlying instrument and a standard timing of settlement
– It may be offset prior to its maturity by entering into an equal and opposite transaction
– It requires margin payments and follow daily movements
Options are of two types:
– Call option gives the buyer of the option a right but not an obligation to buy a given quantity of
the underlying asset, at a given price, on or before a given future date
– Put option gives the buyer of the option a right but not an obligation to sell a given quantity of
the underlying asset, at a given price, on or before a given future date
REAL ASSETS
Real estate
Precious objects
PROCESS OF INVESTMENT
1. INVESTMENT POLICY
The Government or the investor before proceeding into investment formulates the policy for
systematic functioning
• Determination of Investible wealth (parting)
• Determination of portfolio objectives (returns/appreciation)
• Identification of potential investment assets (market analysis)
• Consideration of attributes of investment assets (risk, return)
• Allocation of wealth to asset categories (tentative)
i. Investible fund: The entire investment procedure revolves around the availability of investible
funds. The fund may be generated thru savings or borrowings. If the funds are borrowed, the
investor has to be extra careful in the selection of investment alternatives. The return should be
higher than the interest he pays.
ii. The objectives are framed on the premises of the required rate of return, need for regularity of
income, risk perception and the need for liquidity. The risk taker objective is to earn high rate of
return in the form of capital appreciation.
iii. Knowledge: The knowledge about the investment alternatives and markets plays a key role in
the policy formulation. The investment alternatives range from Security to Real Estate. The risk
and return associated with the investment alternatives differ from each other. The investor should
be aware of the stock market structure and functions of the brokers
2. INVESTMENT VALUATION:
The valuation helps the investor to determine the return and risk expected from an investment in
the common stock, the intrinsic value of the share and price earning ratio.
Future Value: Future value of the securities could be estimated by using a simple statistical
technique like trend analysis.
• Valuation of stocks
• Valuation of debentures and bonds
• Valuation of other assets
3. INVESTMENT / SECURITY ANALYSIS
• Economic analysis
• Technical analysis
• Efficient Market Approach
After formulating the investment policy, the securities to be bought have to be scrutinized
through the market, industry & company analysis.
Market analysis: The stock market shows the general economic scenario.the growth in gross
domestic product and inflation are reflected in the stock prices. The stock prices may be
fluctuating in the short run but in the long run they move in trends.
Industry analysis: The industries that contribute to the output of the major segments of the
economy vary in their growth rates and their overall contribution to economic activity. Some
industries grow faster than the GDP and are expected to continue in their growth.
Company Analysis: The purpose of company analysis is to help the investors to make better
decisions. The company’s earnings, profitability, operating efficiency, capital structure and
management have to be screened. These factors have a direct bearing on the stock prices and the
return of the investors. Appreciation of the stock value is a function of the performance of the
company.
4. PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
• Determination of diversification level
• Consideration of investment timing (boom/depression)
• Selection of investment assets
• Allocation of investible wealth
• Evaluation of portfolio for feedback
A Portfolio is a combination of securities. The portfolio is constructed in such a manner to meet
the investor’s goals and objectives. The investor should decide how best to reach the goals with
the securities available. Towards this end he diversifies his portfolio and allocates funds among
the securities.
Diversification - The main objective of diversification is the reduction of risk in the loss of
capital and income. There are several ways to diversify the portfolio.
Debt and equity diversification - Both debt instruments and equity are combined to
complement each other
Industry diversification – Industries growth and their reaction to government policies differ
from each other. Hence industry diversification is needed and it reduces risk.
Company diversification – Securities from different companies are purchased to reduce risk.
Selection: Based on diversification level, industry and company analyses, the securities have
to be selected.
5. PORTFOLIO EVALUATION
The efficient management of portfolio consists of portfolio appraisal and revision
Appraisal: The return and risk performance of the security vary from time and time. The
developments in the economy, industry and relevant companies from which the stocks 14
are bought have to be appraised. The appraisal warns the loss and steps can be taken to avoid
such losses.
Revision: Revision depends on the results of the appraisal. The low yielding securities with high
risk are replaced with high yielding securities with low risk factor. To keep the return at a
particular level necessitates the investor to revise the components of the portfolio periodically.
Securities
Security means “a document which represents the investments made by an investor”.
There are two types:
Creditorship Securities (e.g. Preference, bonds & debentures)
Ownership Securities (e.g. Equity Shares)
INVESTMENT AND SPECULATION
“Speculation, is an activity, quite contrary to its literal meaning, in which a person assumes high
risks, often without regard for the safety of his invested principal, to achieve large capital gains.”
The
time span in which the gain is sought to be made is usually very short.
Investment involves putting money into an assets which is not necessarily in order to enjoy a
series
of returns. The investor sacrifice some money today in anticipation of a financial return in future.
He
indulges in a bit of speculation. There is an element of speculation involved in all investment
decisions.
However, it does not mean that all investment are speculative by nature. Genuine investments are
carefully thought out decisions. On the other hand, speculative investments are not carefully
thought-out decisions.
They are based on tips and rumours.
An investment can be distinguished from speculation in three ways–risk, capital gain and time
period. Risk has definite financial meaning it is a possibility of incurring a loss in a financial
transaction.
Investment involves limited risk while speculation is considered as an investment of funds with
high
risk. Speculation involves buying a security at a low price and selling at a high price to make a
capital
gain. Investment involves longer-term allocation of funds, whereas speculation involves holding
a security for a short-term and trading quickly for earning higher gain. Speculation involves a
higher level of risk and a more uncertain expectation of return. Investments are not risk-free but
the risk can be calculated. The expected return is consistent with the risk of investment.
Introduction
The dictionary meaning of risk is the possibility of loss or injury; risk is the possibility of not
getting the expected return. The difference between expected return and actual return is called
the risk in investment. Investment situation may be high-risk, medium and low-risk investment.
2.1.1 Elements of Risk
The components of risk are broadly two groups:
Systematic risks •
Unsystematic risks •
Systematic risks
The systematic risks is caused by factors external to the particular company and uncontrollable
by the company. The systematic risk affects the market as a whole. It refers to that portion of the
total variability of the return caused by common factors affecting the prices of all securities alike
through economic, political and social factors.
Unsystematic risks
In case of unsystematic risks, the factors are specific, unique and related to the particular
industry or company. It refers to that portion of the total variability of the return caused due to
unique factors, relating to that firm or industry, through such factors as management failure,
labour strikes, raw material scarcity, etc.
2.1.2 Sources of Risk
Sources of risk are discussed in the paragraphs given below:
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk is the variation in the single period rates of return caused by the fluctuations in
the market interest rate. Most commonly, the interest rate risk affects the debt securities like
bonds and debentures.
Market risk
Jack Clark Francis has defined market risk as that portion of total variability of return caused by
the alternating forces of bull and bear market. This is a type of systematic risk that affects share
market price. Shares move up and down consistently for some period of time.
Purchasing power risk
Another type of systematic risk is the purchasing power risk. It refers to the variation in investor
return caused by inflation.
Business risk
Every company operates within a particular operating environment; operating environment
comprises both internal environment within the firm and external environment outside the firm.
Business risk is thus a function of the operating conditions faced by a company and is the
variability in operating income caused by the operating conditions of the company.
Financial risk
It refers to the variability of the income to the equity capital due to the debt capital. Financial risk
in a company is associated with the capital structure of the company. The debt in the capital
structure creates fixed payments in the form of interest. This creates more variability in the
earning per share available to equity share holders. This variability of return is called financial
risk and it is a type of unsystematic risk.
Liquidity risk
While there is almost always a ready market for government bonds, corporate bonds are
sometimes entirely different animals. There is a risk that an investor might not be able to sell his
or her corporate bonds quickly due to a thin market with few buyers and sellers for the bond.
Low interest in a particular bond issue can lead to substantial price volatility and possibly have
an adverse impact on a bondholder’s total return (upon sale). Much like stocks that trade in a thin
market, you may be forced to take a much lower price than expected to sell your position in the
bond.
Exchange rate risk
It is the uncertainty of returns to an investor who acquires securities denominated in a currency
different from his or her own. The likelihood of incurring this risk is becoming greater as
investors buy and sell assets around the world, as opposed to only assets within their own
countries. A U.S. investor who buys Japanese stock denominated in yen must consider not only
the uncertainty of the return in yen, but also any change in the exchange value of the yen relative
to the U.S. dollar. That is, in addition to the foreign firm’s business and financial risk and the
security’s liquidity risk, the investor must consider the additional uncertainty of the return on this
Japanese stock, when it is converted from yen to U.S. dollars.
Country risk
It is also called political risk. It is the uncertainty of returns caused by the possibility of a major
change in the political or economic environment of a country. The United States is
acknowledged to have the smallest country risk in the world, because its political and economic
systems are the most stable. During the spring of 2011, prevailing examples include the deadly
rebellion in Libya against Muammar Gadhafi; a major uprising in Syria against President Bashar
al-Assad; and significant protests in Yemen against President Ali Abdullah Saleh. In addition,
there has been a recent deadly earthquake and tsunami in Japan that is disturbing numerous
global corporations and the currency markets. Individuals who invest in countries that have
unstable political or economic systems must add a country risk premium when determining their
required rates of return.
Now, the main function of the New Issue Market, i.e. channeling of investible funds, can be
divided, from the operational stand-point, into a triple-service function:
(a) Origination
(b) Underwriting
(c) Distribution
(a) Origination:
Origination refers to the work of investigation and analysis and processing of new proposals.
This in turn may be:
(i) A preliminary investigation undertaken by the sponsors (specialized agencies) of the issue.
This involves a/careful study of the technical, economic, financial and/legal aspects of the
issuing companies to ensure that/it warrants the backing of the issue house.
(ii) Services of an advisory nature which go to improve the quality of capital issues. These
services include/advice on such aspects of capital issues as: determination of the class of security
to be/issued and price of the issue in terms of market conditions; the timing and magnitude of
issues; method of flotation; and technique of selling and so on.
(b) Underwriting:
Underwriting entails an agreement whereby a person/organization agrees to take a specified
number of shares or debentures or a specified amount of stock offered to the public in the event
of the public not subscribing to it, in consideration of a commission the underwriting
commission.
(c) Distribution:
The sale of securities to the ultimate investors is referred to as distribution; it is another
specialized job, which can be performed by brokers and dealers in securities who maintain
regular and direct contact with the ultimate investors. The ability of the New Issue Market to
cope with the growing requirements of the expanding corporate sector would depend on this
triple-service function.
FINANCIAL MARKET
Mechanism that allows people to buy and sell financial securities (such as shares & bonds)
and items of value at low transaction cost
Markets work by placing many interested buyers and sellers at one place, thus making it easier
for them to find each other
PARTICIPANTS IN FINANCIAL MARKET
Borrower : Issues a receipt to lender promising to pay back capital
Individuals – e.g. Bank loans, mortgages
Companies - for short term or long term cash flows or future business expansion
Government - for public expenditure, or on behalf of nationalized industries, municipalities or
other public sector bodies
Public corporations- e.g. postal services, railways and utility companies
Lender: Will expect some compensation in form of interest or dividend, in return. Lender
could be
- Individuals
- Companies
- Government
Segments of Financial Market
The eight major market segments listed below can help fund-raisers differentiate financial
behavior patterns of investors at various socio-economic levels:
Wealth Market
Upscale Retired
Upper Affluent
Lower Affluent
Mass Market
Mid scale Retired
Lower Market
Downscale Retired
Types of Financial Market
1. CAPITAL MARKET
Stock Markets - which provide financing through issue of shares or common stock and enable
subsequent trading
Bond Markets - which provide financing through the issuance of bonds, enable subsequent
trading
Commodity Markets - which facilitate trading of commodities
Money Markets - which provide short term debt financing and investment
Derivative Markets – which provide instruments for the management of financial risk
Insurance Markets - which facilitate redistribution of various risk
Foreign Exchange Markets - which facilitate trading of foreign exchange
2. PRIMARY MARKET
NEW ISSUE MARKET
Stocks available for the first time are offered through new issue market. The issuer may be a
new company or an existing company.
The objectives of a capital issue are given below:
To start a new company.
To expand an existing company.
To diversify the production.
To meet the regular working capital requirements.
To capitalize the reserves.
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE PRIMARY & SECONDARY MARKET
The new issue market cannot function without the secondary market. The secondary market or
the stock market provides liquidity for the issued securities.
The stock exchanges through their listing requirements, exercise control over the primary
market.
The primary market provides a direct link between the prospective investors and the company.
The health of a primary market depends on the secondary market and vice versa.
PARTIES INVOLVED IN NEW ISSUE
1. Managers to the issue: Lead Managers are appointed by the company to manage the public
issue programs. Their main duties are
a. drafting of prospectus
b. preparing the budget of expenses related to the issue
c. suggesting the appropriate timings of the public issue
d. assisting in marketing the public issue successfully
e. advising the company in the appointment of registrars to the issue, underwriters, brokers,
bankers to the issue, advertising agency etc.
f. directing the various agencies in the issue.
2. Registrar to the issue:
After the appointment of the lead managers of the issue, in consultation with them, the
registrar to the issue is appointed.
The Registrar normally receives the share application from various collection centers
3. Underwriters:
Underwriting is a contract by means of which a person gives an assurance to the issuer to the
effect that the former would subscribe to the securities offered in the event of non-subscription
by the person to whom they were offered. The person who assures is called an underwriter. The
underwriters do not buy and sell securities. They stand as back-up supporters and underwriting is
done for a commission.
Underwriters are divided into 2 categories :
- Financial institutions and banks, &
- Brokers & approved investment companies
Some of the underwriters are financial institutions, commercial banks, merchant bankers,
members of the stock exchange, export & import bank of India, State Bank of India etc.
4. Bankers to the issue:
They have the responsibility of collecting the application money along with the application
form. The bankers to the issue generally charge a commission besides the brokerage of the issue.
Depending on the size of the issue, more than one banker to the issue is appointed. When the
size of the issue is large three or four bankers are appointed as bankers to the issue. The number
of collection centers is specified by the central government.
5. Advertising agencies:
Advertising plays a key role in promoting the public issue. The advertising agencies take the
responsibility of giving publicity to the issue on the suitable media. The media may be news
papers/ magazines/ hoardings/press release or a combination of all
6. Financial Institutions:
Financial institutions generally underwrite the issue and lend term loans to the companies.
Hence, normally they go through the draft of prospectus, study the proposed programs for the
public issue and approve them.
IDBI, IFCI and ICICI, LIC, GIC and UTI are some of the institutions that underwrite and give
financial assistance
METHODS OF FLOATING NEW ISSUES :-
The various methods which are used in the floating of securities in the new issue market are:
Public issues Offer for sale Placement Right issues
i. Public issues or Initial public offering (IPO) The issuing company directly offers to the
general public/institutions a fixed number of securities at a stated price or price band
through a document called prospectus. This is the most common method followed by
companies to raise capital through issue of the securities.
ii. Offer of sale It consists in outright sale of securities through the intermediary of issue
houses or share brokers. It consists of two stages: the first stage is a direct sale by the
issuing company to the issue house and brokers at an agreed price. In the second stage,
the intermediaries resell the above securities to the ultimate investors. The issue houses
purchase the securities at a negotiated price and resell at a higher price. The difference in
the purchase and sale price is called turn or spread.
iii. Right Issue When a listed company proposes to issue securities to its existing
shareholders, whose names appear in the register of members on record date, in the
proportion to their existing holding, through an offer document, such issues are called
‘Right Issue’. This mode of raising capital is the best suited when the dilution of
controlling interest is not intended.
iv. Private placement It involves sale of securities to a limited number of sophisticated
investors such as financial institutions, mutual funds, venture capital funds, banks, and so
on. It refers to sale of equity or equity related instruments of an unlisted company or sale
of debentures of a listed or unlisted company.
v. Preferential Issue An issue of equity by a listed company to selected investors at a price
which may or may not be related to the prevailing market price is referred to as
preferential allotment in the Indian capital market. In India preferential allotment is given
mainly to promoters or friendly investors to ward off the threat of takeover.
vi. Fixed Price Process The price which has been fixed by the company for its securities
before issue is brought to the market. The price at which the securities are offered/allotted
is known in advance to the investor. Demand for the securities offered is known only
after the closure of the issue. Payment is made at the time of subscription whereas refund
is given after allotment.
vii. Book-Building/Price Band It is a process used for marketing a public offer of equity
shares of a company. Book building is a process wherein the issue price of a security is
determined by the demand and supply forces in the capital market The Price at which
securities will be allotted is not known in advance to the investor. Only an indicative
price range is known. (Also called price band and it should not be more than 20% of the
floor price).
viii. Listing of Securities Listing means admission of the securities to dealings on a
recognized stock exchange. The securities may be of any public limited company, central
or state government, quasi-governmental and other financial institutions/corporations,
municipalities etc.
Raising Capital Through the first time from public Through a subsequent public
BASIS FOR COMPARISON IPO FPO
contribution
Types Equity shares and Preferred shares Dilutive offering and Non-Dilutive
offering
1. Equity Shares.
2. Preference Shares.
3. Debentures.
1. Equity shares: These are shares issued by companies for raising capital. The owners of these
shares are shareholders. Normally, the face value of the shares may be Rs.10 or Rs.100. A group
of fully paid shares are called stock and these can be transferred. The shareholders are entitled
for profit, which are distributed to them in the form of dividend. The share capital will be
refunded to them only during the winding up of the company, provided the company has
sufficient assets.
2. Preference shares: Preference shares are similar to equity shares but are given on a
preference basis to certain shareholders like promoters, auditors, etc. There are cumulative, non-
cumulative, participating, redeemable, irredeemable, convertible and non-convertible preference
shares. Preference shareholders will get the first preference in the distribution of dividend over
equity shareholders. The same condition applies in the repayment of capital at the time of
winding up.
3. Debentures: It is a loan obtained by the company from the public for a fixed interest rate for a
fixed period. Those investors who do not want to take any risks will prefer debentures as they
have less risk on the repayment compared to shares. There are debentures which have mortgage
charge on the assets of the company and these debenture holders are assured of the repayment.
Listing of Securities
Listing means the admission of securities of a company to trading on a stock exchange. Listing is
not compulsory under the Companies Act. It becomes necessary when a public limited company
desires to issue shares or debentures to the public. When securities are listed in a stock exchange,
the company has to comply with the requirements of the exchange.
Objectives of Listing
In the case of Initial Public offer, it is required for the issuer to make an application for Shares
Listing in at least one recognized stock exchange having nationwide trading terminals.
Conditions
The company has to follow specified conditions before Shares listing in stock exchange:
Shares of a company shall be offered to the public through the prospectus, and 25% of
securities must be offered.
Date of opening of subscription, receipt of the application and other details should be
mentioned in the prospectus.
The capital structure of the company should be wide and the securities of the company
should be in public interest.
The requirement for the Minimum issued is Rs. 3 Crores out of which 1.8 Crore must be
offered to the public.
There is a requirement of at least 5 public shareholders in respect of every Rs. 1 Lakh of
fresh issue of capital and 10 shareholders for every Rs.1 lakh of the offer of existing
capital.
In the case of excess application money, the company has to pay interest within the range
of 4% to 15% in case there is a delay in the refund and delay should not be more than 10
weeks from the date of closure of subscription list.
The company has paid-up share capital of more than Rs. 5 crores should get itself
registered in the recognized stock exchange and compulsorily on the regional stock
exchange.
The auditor or secretary of the company has to declare that share certificate has been
stamped for listing so that shares belonging to promoter’s quota cannot be sold or
transferred for 5 years.
Letter of allotment, Letter of regret and letter of a right shall be issued.
Receipts for all securities deposited either by way of registration or split.
Consolidation and renewal certificates will be issued for a certificate of the division,
letter of allotment, transfer, and letter of rights, etc.
The company has to notify stock exchange regarding the board meeting, change in the
composition of a board of directors and the case of the new issue of securities in place of
a reissue of forfeited shares.
Due notice should be given to stock exchange, for closing transfer books for a declaration
of dividend, rights issue or bonus issue.
After the annual general meeting, the annual return is required to be filed.
The company is required to comply with the conditions imposed by the stock exchange
for the listing of security.
Initial Listing
In case shares of the company are listed for the first time in the stock exchange.
Public issue
The company who has listed its shares on a stock market comes out with a public issue.
Right Issue
The company who has listed its shares in a stock exchange issues shares to its existing
shareholders.
Bonus Shares
When a listed company issue bonus shares to its existing shareholders for capitalizing its profits.
Public Company has to submit the following documents to Shares Listing in stock exchange:
1. It gives the management and the company a higher status and facilitates expansion
programmes.
3. Listed companies are eligible for certain fiscal advantages such as concessional rate of income
tax, benefits of carry forward and set off of losses of the earlier years etc.
4. Such companies are better placed while approaching the SEBI for its consent under any of the
provisions of the SEBI Act.
5. Listed companies are treated favorably by the financial institutions and commercial banks
when they approach them for short-term and long-term accommodations.
1. Listing makes the securities more prestigious and enhances their marketability. Hence, the
holders of such securities can convert their holdings without any difficulty in times of need.
2. The security prices are regularly published in the financial newspapers and periodicals. Hence,
the investors can sell their holdings at the current market price.
4. Holders of listed securities are eligible for certain concessions in matters relating to Income
Tax, Wealth Tax etc. in their capacity as assessees.
5. Listed securities enjoy more public confidence. Hence, they have high collateral value. The
bankers will readily accept such securities for providing loans and other accommodations.
6. Listed companies should make a fair disclosure of certain information and so the investors are
given a reasonable opportunity of judging the merits of the concern.
DISADVANTAGES OF LISTING
Listing, however, is not free from defects. The procedure of listing has certain definite
limitations and disadvantages. Some of the inherent limitations of listing are given below:
1. Listing makes people depend upon share brokers, jobbers etc. Many of them are weak
speculators and frequently put their clients into difficulties. They create violent price
fluctuations.
2. Securities, which are unable to have a stable value, shall loose their prestige and fell down in
the esteem of the investors and bankers.
3. The management is also induced to show keen interest in the price movements for personal
gains. They may take advantage of their inside knowledge and indulge in speculation.
4. The free negotiability of securities enables a few interested persons to buy a substantial
portion of the securities and thereby capture the management of the company.
5. The company should furnish certain information in detail. Such a detailed disclosure may even
injure the prospects of the company.
Unit- III (12 Periods)
Security market indicators – Securities and Exchange Board of India – Objectives – Functions –
SEBI Guidelines
SECONDARY MARKET
The market for long-term securities like Bonds, Equities, Stocks and Preferred stocks is
divided into Primary and Secondary markets.
The primary market deals with the new issue securities.
Outstanding securities are traded in the secondary markets, which is commonly known as
stock market or stock exchange market.
In the secondary market, investors can sell and buy securities.
Stock markets predominantly deal in the equity shares.
Debt instruments like bonds debentures are also traded in the stock market.
Growth of the primary market depends on the secondary market.
History of Stock Exchanges in India
The origin of stock exchange in India can be traced back to the 19th century.
After American civil war between1860-61, the number of brokers dealing in shares increased.
The brokers organized an informal association in Mumbai named “The Native Stock and
Share Brokers Association” in 1875. 21
Securities and Contract Regulation Act 1956, (SCR) gave powers to the Central Govt. to
regulate the stock exchanges.
The stock exchanges in Mumbai, Kolkatta, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Delhi, Hyderabad and
Indore were recognized by SCR Act.
At present, we have 23 stock exchanges in India.
Transaction Cycle
Trading & Settlement Process
Market Participants
Exchange – NSE/BSE
Depository – National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL)
Custodian
Depository Participants
Clearing Corporation – National Securities Clearing Corporation Ltd (NSCCL)
Stock Broker: A broker is an intermediary who arranges to buy and sell securities on behalf of
clients (the buyer and the seller) also known as CM – Clearing Member
Sub – Broker
Investors
Trading at NSE
The trading on stock exchanges in India used to take place through open outcry
NSE introduced a nation-wide on-line fully-automated screen based trading system – National
Exchange for Automated trading (NEAT)
Screen Based Trading System (SBTS) electronically matches orders on a strict price/time
priority
Order Placement
NSE has main computer which is connected through Very Small Aperture Terminal (VSAT)
installed at its office.
Brokers have terminals installed at their premises which are connected through VSATs /
leased lines / modems.
An investor informs a broker to place an order on his behalf. The broker enters the order
through his PC, which runs under Windows NT and sends signal to the Satellite via VSAT /
leased line / modem. The signal is directed to mainframe
The order confirmation message is immediately displayed on the PC of the broker.
This order matches with the existing passive order (s); otherwise it waits for the active orders
to enter the system.
On order matching, a message is broadcast to the respective member.
All orders received on the system are sorted with the best priced order getting the first priority
for matching i.e. the best buy orders match with the best sell order.
Similar priced orders are sorted on time priority basis, i.e. the one that came in early gets
priority over the later one.
Orders are matched automatically by the computer keeping the system transparent, objective
and fair.
Where an order does not find a match, it remains in the system and is displayed to the whole
market, till a fresh order comes in or the earlier order is cancelled or modified.
Clearing & Settlement
The clearing and settlement mechanism in Indian securities market has witnessed significant
changes and several innovations during the last decade.
T+2 rolling settlement has now been introduced for all securities. The members receive the
funds/securities in accordance with the pay-in/pay-out schedules notified by the respective
exchanges.
The obligations of members are downloaded to members/custodians by the clearing agency
The members/custodians make available the required securities in their pool accounts with
depository participants (DPs) by the prescribed pay-in time for securities.
The depository transfers the securities from the pool accounts of members/custodians to the
settlement account of the clearing agency.
The securities are transferred on the pay-out day by the depository from the settlement account
of the clearing agency to the pool accounts of members/custodians
Process
(1)Trade details from Exchange to NSCCL (real-time and end of day trade file).
(2)NSCCL notifies the consummated trade details to CMs/custodians who affirm back. Based on
the affirmation, NSCCL applies multilateral netting and determines obligations.
(3) Download of obligation and pay-in advice of funds/securities.
(4) Instructions to clearing banks to make funds available by pay-in time.
(5) Instructions to depositories to make securities available by pay-in-time.
(6) Pay-in of securities (NSCCL advises depository to debit pool account of custodians/CMs and
credit its account and depository does it).
(7) Pay-in of funds (NSCCL advises Clearing Banks to debit account of custodians/CMs and
credit its account and clearing bank does it).
(8) Pay-out of securities (NSCCL advises depository to credit pool account of custodians/CMs
and debit its account and depository does it).
(9) Pay-out of funds (NSCCL advises Clearing Banks to credit account of custodians/CMs and
debit its account and clearing bank does it).
(10) Depository informs custodians/CMs through DPs.
(11) Clearing Banks inform custodians/CMs.
In 1988, SEBI was established by the government of India through an executive resolution. In
May 1992, SEBI was granted legal status. SEBI is a body corporate having a separate legal
existence and perpetual succession.
SEBI is a statutory regulatory body established on the 12th of April, 1992. It monitors and
regulates the Indian capital and securities market while ensuring to protect the interests of the
investors formulating regulations and guidelines to be adhered to.
Objectives
1. To regulate the activities of stock exchange.
2. To protect the rights of investors and ensuring safety to their investment.
3. To prevent fraudulent and malpractices by having balance between self regulation of business
and its statutory regulations.
4. To regulate and develop a code of conduct for intermediaries such as brokers, underwriters,
etc.
Management of the Board
¸ Chairman
¸ Two members from central government dealing with finance and Law
¸ One member from Reserve bank of India
¸ Two other members from central government
Functions of SEBI:
a. Protective functions
(i) It Checks Price Rigging
(ii) It Prohibits Insider trading
(iii) SEBI prohibits fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices
(iv) SEBI undertakes steps to educate investors
(v) SEBI promotes fair practices and code of conduct
b. Developmental functions
(i) SEBI promotes training of intermediaries of the securities market.
(ii) SEBI has permitted internet trading through registered stock brokers.
(iii) SEBI has made underwriting optional to reduce the cost of issue.
(iv) Even initial public offer of primary market is permitted through stock exchange
c. Regulatory functions
i) SEBI has framed rules and regulations and a code of conduct to regulate the intermediaries
such as merchant bankers, brokers, underwriters, etc.
(ii) SEBI registers and regulates the working of stock brokers, sub-brokers, share transfer agents,
trustees, merchant bankers and all those who are associated with stock exchange in any manner.
(iii) SEBI registers and regulates the working of mutual funds etc.
(iv) SEBI regulates takeover of the companies.
(v) SEBI conducts inquiries and audit of stock exchanges.
Powers of SEBI
Reasons
Structure of SEBI
SEBI has a corporate framework comprising various departments each managed by a department
head. There are about 20+ departments under SEBI. Some of these departments are corporation
finance, economic and policy analysis, debt and hybrid securities, enforcement, human
resources, investment management, commodity derivatives market regulation, legal affairs, and
more.
SEBI is primarily set up to protect the interests of investors in the securities market.
It promotes the development of the securities market and regulates the business.
SEBI provides a platform for stockbrokers, sub-brokers, portfolio managers, investment
advisers, share transfer agents, bankers, merchant bankers, trustees of trust deeds,
registrars, underwriters, and other associated people to register and regulate work.
It regulates the operations of depositories, participants, custodians of securities, foreign
portfolio investors, and credit rating agencies.
It prohibits inner trades in securities, i.e. fraudulent and unfair trade practices related to
the securities market.
It ensures that investors are educated on the intermediaries of securities markets.
It monitors substantial acquisitions of shares and take-over of companies.
SEBI takes care of research and development to ensure the securities market is efficient
at all times.
Authority and Power of SEBI
i. Quasi-Judicial: SEBI has the authority to deliver judgements related to fraud and other
unethical practices in terms of the securities market. This helps to ensure fairness, transparency,
and accountability in the securities market.
ii. Quasi-Executive: SEBI is empowered to implement the regulations and judgements made and
to take legal action against the violators. It is also authorised to inspect Books of accounts and
other documents if it comes across any violation of the regulations.
iii. Quasi-Legislative: SEBI reserves the right to frame rules and regulations to protect the
interests of the investors. Some of its regulations consist of insider trading regulations, listing
obligation, and disclosure requirements. These have been formulated to keep malpractices at bay.
Fundamental analysis is used to determine the intrinsic value of the share by examining
the underlying forces that affect the well being of the economy, Industry groups and
companies.
Fundamental analysis is to first analyze the economy, then the Industry and finally
individual companies. This is called as top down approach.
The actual value of a security, as opposed to its market price or book value is called
intrinsic value. The intrinsic value includes other variables such as brandname,
trademarks, and copyrights that are often difficult to calculate and sometimes not
accurately reflected in the market price. One way to look at it is that the market
capitalization is the price (i.e. what investors are willing to pay for the company and
intrinsic value is the value (i.e. what the company is really worth).
Fundamental analysis is really a logical and systematic approach to estimating the future
dividends and share price. It is based on the basic premise that share price is determined
by a number of fundamental factors relating to the economy, industry and company. In
other words, fundamental analysis means a detailed analysis of the fundamental factors
affecting the performance of companies.
Fundamental
analysis
Decay Expansion
stage stage
Stagnation
stage
Pioneering stage
This is the first stage in the industrial life cycle of a new industry, where the technology as well
as the products are relatively new and have not reached a state of perfection. Pioneering stage is
characterised by rapid growth in demand for the output of industry. As a result, there is a greater
opportunity for profit. Many firms compete with each other vigorously. Weak firms are
eliminated and a lesser number of firms survive the pioneering stage. Example: Leasing industry.
Expansion stage
Once an industry has established itself, it enters the second stage of expansion or growth. These
companies continue to become stronger. Each company finds a market for itself and develops its
own strategies to sell and maintain its position in the market. The competition among the
surviving companies brings about improved products at lower prices. Companies in the
expansion stage of an industry are quite attractive for investment purposes.
Stagnation stage
In this stage, the growth of the industry stabilises. The ability of the industry to grow appears to
have been lost. Sales may be increasing, but at a slower rate than that experienced by competitive
industries or by the overall economy. The transition of an industry from the expansion stages to
stagnation stages is very slow. Important reason for this transition is change in social habits and
development of improved technology. Example: The black and white television industry in India
provides s a good example of an industry which passed from the expansion stages to stagnation
stage.
Decay stage
Decay stage occurs when the products of the industry are no longer in demand. New products
and new technologies have come to the market. Customers have changed their habits, style and
liking. As a result, the industry become obsolete and gradually ceases to decay of an industry
3.3.2 Industry Characteristics
In an industry analysis, there are a number of key characteristics that should be considered by the
analyst.
Demand supply gap
The demand for the product usually tends to change at a steady rate, where as the capacity to
produce the product tends to change at irregular intervals, depending upon the installation of
additional production capacity. As a result, an industry is likely to experience under-supply and
over-supply of capacity at different times. Excess supply reduces the profitability of the industry
through a decline in the unit price realisation. On the contrary, insufficient supply tends to
improve the profitability through higher unit price realisation.
Competitive conditions in the industry
The level of competition among various companies in an industry is determined by certain
competitive forces. These competitive forces are:
Barriers to entry
The threat of substitution
Bargaining power of the suppliers
The rivalry among competitors
Permanence
Permanence is the phenomenon related to the products and the technology used by the industry.
If an analyst feels that the need for a particular industry will vanish in a short period, or that the
rapid technological changes would render the products obsolete within short period of time, it
would be foolish to invest in such industry.
Labour conditions
In our country, the labour unions are very powerful. If the labour in a particular industry is
rebellious and is inclined to resort to strikes frequently, the prospects of that industry cannot
become bright.
Attitude of government
The government may encourage certain industries and can assist such industries through
favourable legislation. On the contrary, the government may look with disfavour on certain other
industries. In India this has been the experience of alcoholic drinks and cigarette industries. A
prospective investor should consider the role that the government is likely to play in the industry.
Supply of raw materials
This is also one of the important factors that determines the profitability of an industry. Some
industry may have no difficulty in obtaining the major raw materials as they may be
indigenously available in plenty. Other industries may have to depend on a few manufactures
within the country or on imports from outside the country for their raw material supply.
Cost structure
The cost structure, that is the fixed and variable cost, affect the cost of production and
profitability of the firm. The higher the fixed cost component, higher is the sales volume
necessary to achieve breakeven point. Conversely, the lower the proportion of fixed cost relative
to variable cost, lower would be the breakeven point. It provides higher margin of safety. So, an
analyst would consider favourably an industry that has a lower breakeven point.
3.4 Company Analysis
Company analysis is the final stage of fundamental analysis. The economy analysis provides the
investor a broad outline of the prospects of growth in the economy, the industry analysis helps
the investor to select the industry in which investment would be rewarding. Now, he has to
decide the company in which he should invest his money. Company analysis provides answer to
this question. In company analysis, the analyst tries to forecast the future earnings of the
company, because there is a strong evidence that the earnings have a direct and powerful effect
upon share prices. The level, trend and stability of earnings of a company, however depend upon
a number of factors concerning the operations of the company.
Financial statements
The financial statements of a company help to assess the profitability and financial health of the
company. The two basic financial statements provided by a company are the balance sheet and
the profit and loss account. The balance sheet indicates the financial position of the company on
a particular date, namely the last day of the accounting year. The profit and loss account, also
called income statement, reveals the revenue earned, the cost incurred and the resulting profit
and loss of the company for one accounting year.
Analysis of financial statements
Financial ratios are most extensively used to evaluate the financial performance of the company,
it also help to assess the whether the financial performance and financial strengths are improving
or deteriorating, ratios can be used for comparative analysis either with other firms in the
industry through a cross sectional analysis or a time series analysis.
3.5 Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is explained in the paragraphs given below.
Importance of timing in investment
While fundamental analysis and security evaluation explain why share prices fluctuate, how they
are determined and what to buy or sell, the technical analysis will help the decision, when to buy
and traditional theory of capital market efficiency postulates, that entry into the market at any
time leads to the same average return as that of the market. However, in the real world of
imperfections, are investors who have burnt their fingers by entering the market at the wrong
time. Investment timing is, therefore, crucial as the market is continuously jolted by waves of
buying and selling and prices are moving in trends and cycles and are never stable. The stock
market is different from other markets, as there is a continuous buying and selling and bid and
offer rates as under a system of auctions. The resultant prices, led by the sheer force of the
market, may fluctuate either way and may exhibit waves or trends. Entry and exit in the market
will, therefore, make all the difference to the spread between buying and selling prices and the
profits or losses. Timing of investment is, therefore, of vital importance for trading in the stock
market.
Basic tenets of technical analysis
Technical analysis of the market is based on some basic tenets, namely, that all fundamental
factors are discounted by the market and are reflected in prices. Secondly, these prices move in
trends or waves which can be both, upward or downward depending on the sentiment,
psychology and emotions of operators or traders. Thirdly, the present trends are influenced by
the past trends, and the projection of future trends is possible by an analysis of past price trends.
Analysis of historical trends confirmed the above principles and the Random Walk Theory
explaining the randomness of price changes have been found to be not applicable by the
technical analysts in practice.
3.5.1 Basics of Technical Analysis
A technical analysis believes that the share price is determined by the demand and supply forces
operating in the market. A technical analysis concentrates on the movement of share prices. By
examining past share price movements, future share price can be accurately predicted. The basic
premise of technical analysis is that prices move in trends or waves which may be upward or
downward. A rational behind the technical analysis is that share price behaviour repeats itself
over time and analysts attempt to drive methods to predict this repetition.
3.5.2 Basic Principles of Technical Analysis
The market value of a security is related to the demand and supply factors operating in the
market. There are both rational and irrational factors which surround the supply and demand
factors of a security. Security prices behave in a manner that their movement is continuous in a
particular direction for some length of time. Trends in stock prices have been seen to change,
when there is a shift in the demand and supply factors. The shift in demand and supply can be
detected through charts prepared specially to show the market action. Patterns which are
projected by charts record price movements and these recorded patterns are used price
movements and these recorded patterns are used by analysts to make forecasts about the
movement of prices in future.
3.6 Tools of Technical Analysis
Tools of technical analysis are discussed in the paragraphs given below.
3.6.1 Dow Theory
This theory is formulated by Charles H. Dow. Dow who is the editor of the Wall Street Journal
in the U.S.A formulated a hypothesis that the stock market does not move on random basis, but
is influenced by three distinct cyclical trends that guide its direction. According to Dow Theory,
the market has three movements and these movements are simultaneous in nature. These
movements are the primary movements, secondary reactions and minor movements.
The primary movement is the long-range cycle that carries the entire market up or down. This is
the long-term trend in the market. The secondary reactions act as a restraining force on the
primary movement. These are in the opposite direction to the primary movement and last only
for a short while and are known as corrections. These are secondary reactions. The third
movement in the market is the minor movements which are the day-to-day fluctuations in the
market. The minor movements are not significant and have no analytical value as they are of
very short duration. The three movements of the market have been compared to the tides, the
waves and the ripples in the ocean.
3.6.2 Bullish Trend
During the bull market (upward moving market), in the first phase, the price would advance with
the revival of confidence in the future of business. During the second phase, price would advance
due to improvements in corporate earnings, in the third phase, prices advance due to inflation
and speculation. According to Dow Theory, the formulation of higher bottoms and higher tops
indicates a bullish trend.
3.6.3 Bearish Trend
The bear market is also characterised by three phases, in the first phase, price begin to fall due to
abandonment of hopes. In the second phase, companies start to reporting lower profits and lower
dividends, in the final phase, price falls still further due to distress selling. A bearish market
would be indicated by the formulation of lower tops and lower bottoms. The theory also makes
certain assumptions, which have been referred to as the hypothesis of the theory.
The first hypothesis states that the primary trend cannot be manipulated. It means that no
single individual or • institution or group of individuals and institutions or group of
individuals and institutions can exert influence on the major trends of the market.
The second hypothesis states that the averages discount everything. Which means is that the
daily prices reflect • the aggregate judgement and emotions of all stock market participants.
In arriving at the price of a stock, the market discounts everything known and predictable
about the stock that is likely to affect the demand and supply position of the stock.
The third hypothesis states that the theory is not infallible. The theory is concerned with the
trend of the market • and has no forecasting value as regards the duration.
3.6.4 Chartist Method
As referred to earlier, technical analysis is a study of the market data in terms of factors affecting
supply and demand schedules, namely, prices, volume of trading, etc. A study of the historical
trends of market behaviour shows the cycles and trends in prices, which may repeat as the
present is a reflection of the past and the future of the present. This is the basis for forecasting the
future trends, which are used for deciding on the basis of the buy or sell signals. For forecasting,
analysts use charts and diagrams to depict the past trends and project the future. However, these
methods are rough and ready methods and there are no foolproof methods of forecasting the
stock prices. The technical analysis only helps to improve the knowledge of the probabilities of
price behaviour (upswing or downswing) and help the investment process.
The technical analysis does not claim 100% chance of success in predictions that are made for
investment. In view of the limitations inherent in the technical analysis, this analysis is generally
juxtaposed with fundamental analysis of the market and the scripts. It was the past experience
that the receipt of information and the actual price absorption of the information would not
coincide and there is a time lag between them. As a result, the current price changes would give a
clue to the subsequent price changes, if properly analysed and interpreted. In the market analysis,
the variables to be taken into account are the breadth of the market, volume of trading, etc.
Market breadth is the dispersion of the general price rise or decline, which means daily
cumulation of a net number of advancing or declining issues. Breadth analysis focuses on
change, rather than level in prices. Breadth of price changes in terms of the number of gainers or
losers among the scripts is analysed to know the width of rise or fall in prices.
3.6.5 Charts and Trade Lines
The technical analysis uses charts for analysis of prices. Fitting a trend line for price changes on
a daily-basis is the first step in the analysis of charts. These changes may be pointing upwards or
downwards or stable over a horizontal one. The movements are such that there are both peaks
and troughs in these price changes, peaks showing an upward trend troughs or reactions to the
uptrend, viz., line joining the lowest points or troughs pointing up. If this line is pointing
downwards, then it is a bearish phase. If the movements are downwards generally, then there will
be rallies moving up the prices. These upper peaks, if they are joined, give the trend line as much
as the lowest troughs.
The bull phase depicts the rising peaks successively, while the bear phase shows the falling
peaks successively. When the share prices are rising or falling, there will be a resistance level
above which the prices may not pierce in the upward direction or a support level, below which
the price may not fall. These support lines and resistance lines are clearly noticed, when the
prices are moving in a narrow band for some time. When the price pierces the resistance line,
this is the first indication of the reversal of the trend in the upward direction. So, also in a bull
phase when the price line falls below the support line, a reversal of the trend is indicated.
Various configurations of price movements like stable pattern, M and W patterns, head and
shoulders, etc., are formed. It is possible that various triangles, flags, pendants, etc., can be
described by the price trends. The basic analysis involves the deciphering of the trend,
identifying the reversal and fixing up of buy and sell signals in these price movements. The
stable price pattern is ideal for genuine investors to enter the market
3.6.6 Criticism of Dow
The Dow Theory is subject to various limitations in actual practice. Dow has developed this
theory to depict the general trend of the market, but not with the intention of projecting the future
trends or to diagnose the buy and sell signals in the market. These applications of the Dow
Theory have come in the light of analytical studies of financial analysts. This theory is criticised
on the ground that it is too subjective and based on historical interpretation; it is not infallible as
it depends on the interpretative ability of the analyst. The results of this theory do not also give
meaningful and conclusive evidence of any action to be taken in terms of buy and sell
operations.
APPLIED VALUATION TECHNIQUES:
Although the raw data of the Financial Statement has some useful information, much more can
be understood about the value of a stock by applying a variety of tools to the financial data.
1. Earnings per Share EPS
2. Price to Earnings Ratio P/E
3. Projected Earnings Growth PEG
4. Price to Sales P/S
5. Price to Book P/B
6. Dividend Payout Ratio
7. Dividend Yield
8. Book Value per share
9. Return on Equity
Eg.,
Earnings per share=
Earnings available for the common shares
_______________________________________
Weighted average common shares outstanding
4.1 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Technical analysis involves a study of market generated data like prices and volumes to
determine the future direction of price movement. Martin J.Pring explains as The technical
approach to investing is essentially a reflection of the idea that prices move in trends which are
determined by the changing attitudes of investors toward a variety of economic, monetary,
political and psychological forces. The art of technical analysis-for it is an art-is to identify trend
changes at an early stage and to maintain an investment posture until the weight of the evidence
indicates that the trend has been reversed.
Basic assumption
The basic premises underlying technical analysis are as follows.
1. The market and / or an individual stock act like a barometer rather than a thermometer. Events
are usually discounted in advance with movements as the likely result of informed buyers and
sellers at work.
2. Before a stock experiences a mark-up phase, whether it is minor or major, a period of
accumulation usually will take place. Accumulation or distribution activity can occur within
natural trading trends. The ability to analyse accumulation or distribution within net natural
price patterns will be, therefore, a most essential pre-requisite.
3. The third assumption is an observation that deals with the scope and extends of market
movements in relation to each other.
4.2 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND FUNDAMENTAL
ANALYSIS
The key differences between technical analysis and fundamental analysis are as follows:
1. Technical analysis mainly seeks to predict short term price movements, whereas fundamental
analysis tries to establish long term values.
2. The focus of technical analysis is mainly on internal market data, particularly price and
volume data. The focus of fundamental analysis is on fundamental factors relating to the
economy, the industry, and the firm.
3. Technical analysis appeals mostly to short-term traders, whereas fundamental analysis appeals
primarily to long-term investors.
A mutual fund is a fund exchanged between the public and the capital market Through a
corporate body.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India Regulations, 1993 defines a mutual fund as ‘a
fund established in the form of a trust by a sponsor, to raise monies by the trustees through the
sale of units to the public, under one or more schemes, for investing in securities in accordance
with these regulations’.
Thus mutual fund is nothing but a form of collective investment. It is formed by the coming
together of a number of investors who transfer their surplus funds to a professionally qualified
organization to manage it.
To get the surplus funds from investors, the fund adopts a simple technique. Each fund is divided
in to a small fraction called “units’ of equal value. Each investor is allocated units in proportion
to the size of his investment.
Objectives
Mutual funds came into existence in order to attract the savings of lower and middle income
group people and give them the benefit of corporate profits by distributing attractive dividends at
the end of the year. Mutual funds cater the different types of customers who are interested in
(a) fixed income or
(b) a higher return for investment or
(c) who is growth oriented.
Mutual Funds Set Up In India
The structure of mutual fund operations in India envisages a three tier establishment namely:
(II) A Sponsor institution to promote the fund
(III)A team of Trustees to oversee the operations and to provide checks for the efficient,
profitable and transparent operations of the fund and
(IV)An Asset Management Company to actually deal with the funds.
Sponsoring Institution
The Company which sets up the Mutual Fund is called the ‘sponsor’. The SEBI has laid down
certain criteria to be met by the sponsor. These criteria mainly deal with adequate experience,
good past tract record, net worth etc.
Trustees
Trustees are people with long experience and good integrity in their respective fields. They carry
the crucial responsibility of safeguarding the interest of investors. For this purpose, they monitor
the operations of the different schemes. They have wide ranging powers and they can even
dismiss Asset Management Companies with the approval of the SEBI.
Asset Management Company (AMC)
The AMC actually manages the funds of the various schemes. The AMC employs a large
number of professionals to make investments, carry out research and to do agent and investor
servicing. Infact, the success of any Mutual Fund depends upon the efficiency ofthis AMC. The
AMC submits a quarterly report on the functioning of the mutual fund to the trustees who will
guide and control the AMC.
Types of Mutual Funds
MUTUAL FUND
On the basis of execution and operation
o Close ended Open ended
On the basis of yield and investment
o Income fund
o Growth fund
o Balance specialized
o Money Taxation
o Fund Fund
o Market Fund Fund
CLOSE ENDED FUNDS
Close ended funds are funds which have definite period or target amount . Once the period is
over and or the target is reached, the door is closed for the investors. They cannot purchase any
more units. These units are publicly traded through stock exchange and generally, there is no
repurchase facility by the fund. The main objective of this fund is capital appreciation. Thus after
the expiry of the fixed period, the entire corpus is disinvested and the proceeds are distributed to
the various unit holders in proportion to their holding. Thus the fund ceases to be a fund, after the
final distribution. E.g. UTI Master Share, 1986.
The mutual fund continuously offers new units or This type of mutual fund offers new units or
shares for sale. shares to investors only for a limited period.
Liquidity provider is the fund itself. The liquidity provider is the stock market.
They are not listed on stock exchange. They are listed on the recognized stock exchange
for trading.
Transactions are executed at the end of the day. Transactions are executed in real time.
Shares are bought and sold at the net-asset value Price of shares is determined by demand and
(NAV). supply.
The investors can sell their shares back to the The fund is not bound to buy its shares back from
fund. investors.