Impact of Asset Structure On Financial Performance of PCB in Ethiopia
Impact of Asset Structure On Financial Performance of PCB in Ethiopia
Impact of Asset Structure On Financial Performance of PCB in Ethiopia
MARY’S UNIVERSITY
SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES
BY:
EYERUSALEM TEREFE HAILU
JUNE 2019
ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA
THE IMPACT OF ASSET STRUCTURE ON FINANCIAL
PERFORMANCE OF PRIVATE COMMERCIAL BANKS IN ETHIOPIA
BY:
EYERUSALEM TEREFE HAILU
JUNE 2019
ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA
ST. MARY’S UNIVERSITY
SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES
FACULTY OF BUSINESS
BY:
EYERUSALEM TEREFE HAILU
______________________ _______________________
Dean, Graduate Studies Signature
______________________ _______________________
Advisor Signature
______________________ _______________________
External Examiner Signature
______________________ _______________________
Internal Examiner Signature
DECLARATION
I, the undersigned, declare that this thesis is my original work, prepared under the guidance of
Zenegnaw Abiy (PhD). All sources of materials used for the thesis have been duly
acknowledged. I further confirm that the thesis has not been submitted either in part or in full to
any other higher learning institution for the purpose of earning any degree.
Eyerusalem Terefe
Name Signature
i
ENDORSEMENT
This thesis has been submitted to St. Mary’s University, School of Graduate Studies for
examination with my approval as a university advisor.
ii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Thank you dear God, without your blessing, this achievement would not have been possible.
I thank you, Zenegnaw Abiy (PhD) for all the support and motivation! You are so helpful, kind
and generous with your time and energy. Thank you so much for your immense contribution for
the success of this work. I just want to let you know how much I appreciate you as my advisor
and friend.
I would particularly like to thank my husband Edom Bruck, for your unreserved support and
good wish throughout my study. I also extend my gratitude to my family and friends for your
support, prayers and good wishes that gave me strength to complete my thesis.
iii
List of Abbreviations and Acronyms
iv
List of Tables
Table 3.1: List of private commercial banks in Ethiopia with their opening years ...................... 29
Table 4.1: Descriptive statistics .................................................................................................... 33
Table 4.2: Heteroscedasticity ....................................................................................................... 37
Table 4.3: Correlations Matrix ..................................................................................................... 37
Table 4.4: Autocorrelation Test: .................................................................................................. 38
Table 4.5: Regression Result ....................................................................................................... 39
List of Figures
v
Abstract
The main goal of every banking institution is to be profitable in order to maintain stability and
sustainable growth. Asset structure is viewed as the relative proportion of vital economic
resources owned by the company which is expected to provide benefits. The main purpose of this
study was to examine the impact of asset structure on the financial performance of selected
private commercial banks in Ethiopia. This study adopted explanatory research design to
understand cause and effect relation between components of asset and its financial performance.
In the mean time, quantitative approach was used to construct empirical model. Secondary data
was collected from thirteen private commercial banks for the period of 2011-2017. Out of
sixteen, thirteen private commercial banks and seven years period were purposely selected in
order to create constant panel and the availability of complete data for those banks with specific
period. Return on asset was used as a measure of banks’ financial performance which was
dependent variable and four components of asset including cash holding, fixed asset, foreign
bank deposit and NBE Bills were used as independent variables. Size of the bank was used as
control variable. Pooled panel regression model was applied to analyze the data. The result
indicated that cash holding has a positive but marginally insignificant effect on financial
performance, fixed asset and foreign banks deposit have positive and significant effect on
financial performance and NBE Bills has negative and significant effect on banks financial
performance. Asset structure has a significant effect on the financial performance in the banking
sector. Therefore, the banks need to optimize their asset structure so as to realize maximum
profit and minimize cost of fund based on the result of the study.
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Table of Contents
Declaration ....................................................................................................................................... i
Endorsment ..................................................................................................................................... ii
Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................................ iii
List of abrevations and acronyms .................................................................................................. iv
List of tables .................................................................................................................................... v
List of figurs .................................................................................................................................... v
Abstract .......................................................................................................................................... vi
Chapter One .................................................................................................................................. 1
1.Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 1
1.1 Bankgound of the Study............................................................................................................ 1
1.2. Background of the Banking in Ethiopia................................................................................... 2
1.3 Statement of the Problem .......................................................................................................... 4
1.4 Research Questions ................................................................................................................... 6
1.5 Objective of the study .............................................................................................................. 6
1.5.1. General Objective ................................................................................................................. 6
1.5.2. Specific Objective ................................................................................................................. 6
1.6 Hypotheses of the study ............................................................................................................ 7
1.7 Significance of the study........................................................................................................... 9
1.8 Scope of the study ..................................................................................................................... 9
1.9 Limitation of the study ............................................................................................................ 10
1.10 Organization of the study ...................................................................................................... 11
Chapter Two ................................................................................................................................ 12
2. Literature Review...................................................................................................................... 12
2.1Theoretical Literature............................................................................................................... 12
2.1.1 Asset structure ...................................................................................................................... 12
2.1.2 Components of Asset Structure .......................................................................................... 15
2.1.3 Financial Performance ......................................................................................................... 19
2.2 Empirical Review.................................................................................................................... 20
2.2.1Cross Country Studies........................................................................................................... 21
2.2.2 Review of Previous Studies in Ethiopia............................................................................... 22
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2.3 Control Varialbes .................................................................................................................... 23
2.3.1Bank Size .............................................................................................................................. 23
2.4 Summary and Kowledge Gap ................................................................................................. 24
2.5 Conceptual Framework ........................................................................................................... 25
Chapter Three ............................................................................................................................. 27
3. Research Methodology ........................................................................................................... 27
3.1 Research Design...................................................................................................................... 27
3.2 Research Approach ................................................................................................................. 27
3.3 Data Collection ....................................................................................................................... 27
3.4 Population and Sample of the Study ....................................................................................... 28
3.5 Model Specification and Varable Description ....................................................................... 29
3.6 Measurements ........................................................................................................................ 30
3.7 Data Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 30
3.8 Operational Definition ............................................................................................................ 31
3.8.1 Dependent Variable ............................................................................................................. 31
3.8.2 Independent Varialbes ......................................................................................................... 32
3.8.3 Control Variable................................................................................................................... 32
Chapter Four .............................................................................................................................. 33
4. Results and Discussions ........................................................................................................... 33
4.1 Descriptive Statistics ............................................................................................................... 33
4.2 Tests on Assumption of Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM) .................................. 36
4.2.1 Test for Normality................................................................................................................ 36
4.2.2 Test for Heteroscedasticity .................................................................................................. 37
4.2.3 Test for Multicollinearity ..................................................................................................... 37
4.2.4 Test for Autocorrelation ....................................................................................................... 38
4.3 Results of the Regression Analysis ........................................................................................ 38
4.3.1 Model Summary................................................................................................................... 39
4.3.2 Cash Holding ...................................................................................................................... 40
4.3.3 Fixed Asset........................................................................................................................... 41
4.3.4 Foreign Banks Deposit......................................................................................................... 42
4.3.5 NBE Bills ............................................................................................................................. 43
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4.3.6 Size....................................................................................................................................... 44
Chapter Five ............................................................................................................................... 45
5. Conclusion and Recommendation ........................................................................................... 45
5.1 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 45
5.2 Recommendation .................................................................................................................... 48
5.3 Areas for Further Sturdies ....................................................................................................... 50
References ..................................................................................................................................... 51
Annexes......................................................................................................................................... 55
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Chapter One
1. Introduction
Banks have three financial structures in their financial statement: asset, liability and capital. An
asset structure shows the composition of the bank’s asset categories which are critical to its
operation and profit making. Schmidt (2014) stated that asset structure is a collection of current
assets; long term investments and funds; property, plant and equipment; intangible assets; and
other assets. Likewise, Koralun-Bereznicka (2013) described asset structure as a combination of
various asset components such as fixed assets, tangible assets, current assets and cash in hand
and at bank. Maintaining optimum asset components lead the banks to become profitable.
The profit of a bank is primarily obtained in the form of interest on its income-earning assets
(loans and investments). Hence, it is logical to expect banks to have a significant proportion of
loans and investments in their portfolio since they carry the highest rate of return in the banking
business. (Uremade, 2002)
Different researchers such as Gladys and Job (2017) from Kenya, Hanran and Wenshou, (2014)
from Hong Kong, Olatunji and Adegbite (2014) and Yahaya et al, (2015) from Nigeria and other
researchers have conducted studies to determine the impact of asset structure on the banks’
financial performance. Based on their studies, there are various components of asset that affect
banks’ performance. As the result, some variables have significant while others have
insignificant effect on banks’ financial performance in the sector. The findings of empirical
studies confirm that the asset structure determines the banks’ value to a high extent.
1
In Ethiopian context: asset structure of commercial banks in Ethiopia constitutes of cash on hand
and at bank, reserve account with NBE/ reserve requirement, deposit with foreign banks, other
investment, other debit balance, net loans and advances and fixed assets (NBE, 2018).
There are some studies that have been conducted to examine effect of part of components of
asset on banks financial performance in Ethiopia. Yodit (2012); Shibiru (2014); Eden (2014);
Mintesnot and Semeneh, (2018) conducted studies on effect of NBE bills purchase on the banks
profitability. Eskedar (2016) conducted a study on effect of investment (fixed asset, foreign
banks deposit and NBE bills) on bank’s financial performance measured by return on equity.
Besides, Tewodros (2017) studied the effect of reserve requirement on Ethiopian commercial
banks’ performance; profitability and lending capacity. These studies are conducted based on
components of asset such as reserve requirement, fixed asset, foreign bank deposit and NBE
Bills, but do not incorporate cash holding that has impact on financial performance of
commercial banks in Ethiopia. Moreover, the study of Eskdar do not measure the financial
performance based on return on asset (ROA).
Previous studies are not considered all components of assets. Accordingly, it is very essential to
study the impact of asset structure on the financial performance of private commercial banks in
Ethiopia by considering cash holding, NBE Bills, fixed asset and foreign banks deposit as
components of asset that effect on the bank’s financial performance which is measured by return
of asset (ROA). Hence, this research seeks to determine and evaluate the extent of which
components of asset has an impact on the financial performance of selected private commercial
banks in Ethiopia.
As per the annual report of NBE (2018), Banks, insurance companies and microfinance
institutions are major financial firms operating in Ethiopia. They are contributing significantly to
micro and macro economic growth of the country. The number of banks operating in the country
is 18, of which 16 are private and 2 are state-owned.
2
During the fiscal year 2017/18, total capital of the banking industry increased by 10% and
reached Birr 85.8 billion. Moreover, total resources mobilized in a form of deposit, borrowing
and loan collection reached Birr 298.2 billion in the same fiscal year and private banks constitute
35.5%.The banks’ loan collection only reached Birr 111.6 billion, of which 58% was collected
by private banks while disbursed Birr 115.4 billion in fresh loans about 58.2% was provided by
private banks and 41.8% by the two public banks. Total outstanding credit of the banking
industry including to the central government reached Birr 449 billion, the share of private sector
in outstanding credit was Birr 284.5 billion. Thus, banking sector has played a valuable role in
sustaining growth in the economy. (NBE, 2018)
The National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) is the only regulatory government body that has a mandate
to provide a direction to all financial institutions in Ethiopia. The NBE has issued different
directives to financial institutions as risk management system and controlling modalities.
Regarding the NBE directive on limitation on loans and advances that stated aggregate sum of
loans and advances extended to any one person who is not related to commercial bank shall not
exceed 25% of total capital of the bank. On the contrary, aggregate sum of loan and advances
extended to anyone who is related party (shareholders of the commercial bank with holdings of
2% or more of bank’s subscribed capital shall treated as related party) at one time shall not
exceed 15% of the total capital of the bank. Moreover, the aggregate sum of loan and advances
extended to all related parties at any one time shall not exceed 35% of the total capital of the
commercial banks (NBE, 2012).
Any bank operating in Ethiopia shall at all times maintain in its reserve account shall exclusively
be used to maintain the reserve balance of 5% of all Birr and foreign currency deposit liabilities
held in the form of demand/current deposits, saving deposits and time deposits. No bank shall
withdraw any money from its reserve account without prior approval of the bank Supervision
Directorate of NBE (NBE, 2013).
Moreover, liquid assets include cash in foreign and local currency, deposit with NBE/reserves,
deposit with other local and foreign banks and treasury bills. Total liquid assets should be 15%
or more of net current liabilities (NBE, 2014).
3
The amended directive to set out a limitation on fixed asset investment on the banks asset shall
not invest more than 10% of its net worth or total paid up capital in real estate acquisition and
development. Likewise, banks are permitted to invest in other business (non-banking) 10% of the
banks’ capital. Besides, on investment on other firms and limit the scope of allowable economic
activities to be carried out by the banks are investment limitations (NBE, 2015). In addition,
since 2011, the NBE has enforced banks to purchase of bills 27% of every loan they disburse
with 3% interest rate and later amended to 5%, shall have a maturity period of five years (NBE,
2018).
The most important rationale for regulation in banking industry is to address concern over the
safety and stability of financial institutions and the financial sector as a whole. (Bonn 2005)
Stable banking system benefits a nation, institution as well as to shareholders. The regulatory
agencies to maintain control over the standardized practices of government regulation and
supervision of banks promotes the safety and soundness in order to protect payment system on
deposit threatening, fear banks’ solvency and reduce liquidity risk. (Barth et. la, 2006)
This study focuses on the asset side of Banks’ balance sheet: specific variables such as cash
holding, fixed asset, foreign banks deposit and NBE bills that impact on the banks financial
performance of listed private commercial banks in Ethiopia. In line with these factors, there are
directives enforced to act accordingly and these are imperative tools for risk management.
Hence, the standardized practices of government regulation govern the banks to hold sufficient
and diversifies assets components so as to secure credit efficient, profitability, competitive
financial system, monitoring and financial stability.
4
interest of different stakeholders such as creditors, depositors, shareholders and regulatory body
especially using capital and liquidity constraints on the banking industry.
According to Gladys and Job (2017), and Hanran and Wenzhou (2014) in commercial banking
industry; property, plant and equipment, long term investments, current assets and intangible
funds are considered as independent variables while financial performance is dependent variable.
Result of their studies concluded that property, plant and equipment, and long term investments
have positive and significant effect on financial performance while current assets and intangible
assets do not have significant effect on financial performance. Another study conducted by
Olatunji and Adegbite (2014) carried out the study on the effect of fixed asset investment on
banks’ performance and the result of the study verified that fixed asset has positive and
significant impact on the banks profitability.
In Ethiopia, there are some studies that have been conducted by different researchers to examine
effect of components of asset on banks financial performance in Ethiopia. Eskedar (2016)
studied on effect of investment on bank’s financial performance (based on return on equity).
Tewodros (2017) conducted on effect of reserve requirement on Ethiopian commercial banks’
performance, profitability and lending capacity. Mintesnot and Semeneh (2018) studied on
impact of NBE bills purchase on credit performance and profitability of private banks. Other
researchers Yodit (2012); Shibiru (2014); and Eden (2014) also conducted studies on impact of
NBE Bills on the private commercial banks’ financial performance. The result of these prior
studies indicated that fixed asset investment and foreign banks deposit have positive and
significant effect on financial performance of the banks. On the other hand, purchase of NBE
bills has negative and significant effect on the financial performance of commercial banks in
Ethiopia.
More often asset generates the major share of the banks income even if the quality of loan
portfolio determines the profitability of banks (Dang, 2011). To the best knowledge of the
researcher, these prior studies are not inclusive all components of assets. None of the studies
above considered cash holding as an asset component that effect on the financial performance of
private banks in Ethiopia. In addition, financial performance was not measured by return on
asset.
5
In view of the research gap identified above, the objective of this study is to determine the
components of asset that have impact on banks’ profitability and seek to evaluate the extent of
which components of asset have effect on the financial performance of private commercial banks
in Ethiopia. The researcher focuses on four components of asset such as cash holding, foreign
banks deposit, NBE bills, and fixed asset considered as independent variables that have impact
on the bank’s financial performance (return on asset) considered as dependent variable in line
with the restriction/limitation of the regulatory body. Hence, this study seeks to fill the gap by
addressing the impact of asset structure on the banks’ financial performance in Ethiopia.
6
1.6 Hypotheses of the Study
In order to achieve the objective of the study, a number of hypotheses are developed concerning
the impact of asset structure on financial performance of Ethiopian private commercial banks
based on different theoretical and empirical research review made.
Cash Holding
Cash and bank balances constitute the amount of cash available to the bank for daily operations.
Cash equivalents are short term liquid investments that are ready to convert into cash and subject
to an insignificant risk of changes in value.
The banks have to possess enough funds to meet its financial obligations and not profitable when
keeping excessive amount of cash for unexpected circumstances as this idle money could have
been invested elsewhere to generate returns. This reduces the growth of business and it has
impact on profitability. Even investing cash for a short period of time could add to the profits of
the business (Watson and Head, 2007).
The amount and quality of cash and bank balances could improve the income of a bank and
increase the bank’s financial performance. This cash and bank balances have a positive impact
on the financial performance of deposit money banks in Nigeria (Yahaya et la., 2015).
H1: cash holding has positive and significant effect on financial performance of private
commercial banks in Ethiopia.
Fixed Asset
According to Gladys and Job (2017), components of asset such as property, plants and
equipment, and long-term investments and funds have a statistically significant effect on bank’s
financial performance. Based on the study’s finding, they recommended that all financial and
services firms should increase their allocation of resources towards long term investments and
funds so as to improve their financial performance in Kenya. The regression result verified that
fixed asset investment has a positive and significant effect on performance of the banks.
A study by Olatunji and Adegbite (2014) examined the effect of investment in fixed assets on
profitability of selected banks in Nigeria. The relationship between this variables indicated that
7
there is a significant relationship between them. The study findings have indicated that
investment in fixed assets have positive and significant effect to the performance of the selected
banks: the higher the level of investment in fixed assets, the higher the profit of banks.
NBE has allowed banks with limited percentage of amount to invest on fixed assets up to 10% of
bank’s paid up capital, this refers to the business of buying and developing properties
consistence of building for facilitating their own operation or for resale. As per the study of
Eskedar (2016), the regression result verified that fixed asset investment has a positive and
significant effect on banks performance in Ethiopia.
H2: Investment in fixed asset has positive and significant effect on financial performance
of private commercial banks in Ethiopia.
H3: Foreign bank deposit has positive and significant effect on the financial performance
of private commercial banks in Ethiopia.
Eden (2014) studied on impact of NBE-Bills purchase on the banks performance. The study
indicated that NBE-Bills purchase has negative impact due to the lesser amount of interest rate
earn compared to operational cost spent.
Shibiru (2014) concluded in his study that implications of bills purchase directive of NBE is
negatively impacted on almost all private commercial banks’ performances. The study revealed
8
that the negative implication of bills purchase directive on the profitability, liquidity, capital and
reserve of private commercial banks.
Eskedar (2016) concluded that NBE Bills purchase has a negative and significant effect on the
performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia. Thus, these variables are interrelated and it has
negative and significant impact on banks’ performance in the banking industry.
According Mintesnot and Semeneh, (2018), the impact of NBE bills on profitability of private
banks in Ethiopia, found that strong and negative correlation is observed between NBE Bills and
profitability of private commercial banks in Ethiopia.
H4: NBE Bills has negative and significant effect on the financial performance of private
commercial banks in Ethiopia.
Therefore, this study is expected to provide empirical evidence on components of asset structure
that affect banks performance and contributes as an indicator to management of NBE who are
policy makers to pursue amending the directives and issue to the commercial banks for
implementing so as to improve banks’ operations. Moreover, it may also use the banks’
managements how to make a decision to optimize asset structure that improves the bank’s
profitability. Finally, lack of research on this topic in the country’s framework thus, this study is
enough to give academic insight to further studies in this area.
9
The study considered secondary data of all private banks’ audited financial statements and
related directive from National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE). The study used cross sectional data of
thirteen private commercial banks which are established before 2010 and also used time series
data that cover a period from year 2011 to 2017 due to the availability of complete audited
financial statements.
Moreover, all of the audited financial statements used for the study are collected from NBE and
the statements are consolidated by the NBE itself by their own template. Recent financial
statements of the selected banks at the end of June 2018 are not included in the study because
NBE does not consolidated until the study of the data analyzed. Thus, the study was not included
financial statements as of June 2018.
The researcher conducted this study including all components of asset such as cash holding
(CA), reserve account with NBE/ reserve requirement (RR), foreign banks deposit (FD), other
investment (OINV), other debit balance (ODB), net loans and advances (LA) and fixed assets
(FA); however, during multiple regression analysis was developed to identify the joint effect of
independents variables on dependent variable, expect cash holding, NBE bills, fixed asset and
foreign bank deposit, other components like reserve requirement, loans and advances, other
investment and other debit balance were insignificant effect on banks’ financial performance in
Ethiopia. In addition, limited number of observation also reduced the degree of freedom for
10
hypothesis testing. Thus, this study is concluded the result of four asset components that have
impact on banks’ financial performance in Ethiopia.
11
Chapter Two
2. Literature Review
This chapter explores the theoretical foundation of the impact of asset structure on the financial
performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia. The review has theoretical aspects related to
assets components and its financial performance, an examination of previous research studies on
the subject matter in empirical review, a conclusion from the literature review indicates the gaps
the research is addressing. Finally, it shows the conceptual framework of the study.
Portfolios are constructed from a basis of selected assets that maximize for investors wealth and
minimizes their risks. Determining the universe of stocks that seems interesting to get in a
portfolio is done by financial analyst. That is what is about portfolio theory that a good theory
should produce well diversified portfolio, to decrease risks and volatility of the portfolio. (Simon
2010).
Management of investment portfolio is what an investment portfolio is and what the different
financial factors that affects it. In order to succeed in managing the portfolio in a wise manner,
shouldn’t invest the entire amount in one course. It is recommended to scatter the investment in a
number of different courses to decreases the risks while increase return. Traditional portfolio
planning emphasizes on the character and the risk bearing capacity of the investor. To
investment decision first investors are willing to make a foundation of tradeoff between expected
return and risk. Asset allocation methods that extend the traditional approach are good references
of Scherer (2004) and Brandt (2004) in the study of Peñaranda, (2007).
Markwitz Theory
Modern portfolio theory is based on several key concepts, some of which have been recognized
with the Noble prize in economics. According to Darko, (2012) Markowitz’s breaking research
on portfolio optimization in March 1952 in an article titled, “portfolio selection” in the journal of
finance afforded him to be called the father of modern portfolio theory.
As per Girishina, (2012) Harry M. Markowitz has introduced a modern portfolio theory on risk
averse investors can construct portfolios to optimize expected return based on a given level of
market risk. Markowitz model is a theoretical framework for analysis of risk and return and their
relationships by selection the proportions of various assets in the portfolio so as to maximize an
expected return with the least risk. It indicates that an investor will take more risk only if he or
she is expecting more reward. He came up with on his model two types of assets: risky asset and
risk free assets.
Darok, (2012) determined that one of the principal objectives of investors is to diversify their
portfolio based on risk diversification in addition to maximize their returns. The investors select
assets in such a way that the risk of their portfolio matches with their risk preferences. An
investor then chooses how much risk to take on by investing less in risky assets in order to
maximize its profit. In order to select combination of asset with maximize expected earnings,
initially, standard deviation measures and it computes with expected return on portfolio of assets.
In theory, the higher the risk take, the higher the return would be earn; thus, investors are
13
compensated for bearing risk. It shows that an investor can construct multiple assets portfolio
that will maximize returns for given level of risk.
One of the Markowitz biggest contributions to the financial theory is the concept of
diversification as a way to reduce risk. The optimal portfolio can be chosen in accordance with
the investors’ preferences and their attitude towards risk and return. Both scientific thoughts
from previous years and his followers have encouraged Markowitz to conceptualize the
framework of portfolio selection and led to the solution of the portfolio optimization problem
(Girishina, 2012).
The main contribution of portfolio theory to bank management of asset structure is maintaining
optimal asset structure of the bank depends on the profitability of assets adjusted by the levels of
risk. The banks managements make a decision on portfolio diversification and the desired
portfolio composition of commercial banks. Besides, obtaining maximum profits is determined
by the bank’s management to set assets and liabilities structure; and incurred the unit costs to
produce each component of assets (Nzongang and Atemnkeng, 2006).
According to Weston and Brigham within Husnan (2005) assets structure is balance between
fixed assets and total assets. Meanwhile, Syamsudin (2007) stated that the structure of assets is
determination of how much the allocation of funds for each component of assets, both in current
assets and in fixed assets. Titman and Wessels (1988) in Kesuma (2009) defined as assets
structure is economic resources that consist of fixed assets, intangible assets and current assets
owned by the company which is expected to provide benefits in the future.
14
To concluded, the Markowitz’s idea of minimizing risks for a given level of return is still widely
accepted. Asset allocation is today a topic of real significance and all investors want to invest in
the winning combination of assets. This combination should give them the maximum level of
return for the level of risk they are able to take.
In Ethiopian context, asset structure is components of cash on hand and at bank, reserve account
with NBE, deposit with foreign banks, NBE bills, other investment, other debit balance, net
loans and advances and fixed assets, NBE (2018). Bank’s asset attracted both theoretical and
empirical interest and several studies attempt to examine how the asset structure framework
influences the financial performance of commercial banks. From the definitions given by
previous researchers, asset structure of firms describes in which a mixture of various types of
components of asset that increase profit in different level. Hence, proportionate relation among
components of assets and its impact of banks’ financial performance have been examined.
Cash Holding
Cash and bank balances constitute the amount of cash available to the bank for daily operations.
It is generally accepted as cash on hand and cash equivalent such as bank drafts, demand
deposits, cheques, treasury bill, bond and cash balances including cash and restricted and non
restricted deposits with the central bank. Cash equivalents are short term liquid investments that
are readily convertible to cash with original maturity of three months or less (Yahaya et la.,
2015).
The banks have to possess enough funds to meet its financial obligations. When keeping
excessive amount of cash for unexpected circumstances as this idle money could leads to incur
15
loss because of cost of fund while keeping lower amount of cash face a shortage of operating
cash. These excess amounts of cash have to invest elsewhere to generate returns. Management of
cash is important to optimize the amount of cash available, obtain maximum benefit from return
on idle funds and minimizing losses caused by delays in the transmission of funds. This reduces
the growth of the business and it has impact on profitability. Even investing cash for a short
period of time can add to the profits of the business (Watson and Head, 2007).
Pandey, (1999) used fixed asset turnover ratio to evaluate utilization of fixed assets investment
and he also identified which firm is utilizing its investment in fixed assets efficiently or not. High
fixed assets turnover ratio indicates efficient utilization of fixed assets in generating sales, while
a low ratio indicates inefficient management on utilization of fixed assets. Likewise, Ibam (2007)
also stated that fixed asset turnover ratio show asset turnover trend of the firm and used as
comparison of the competitors in the industry. This gives the investor an idea of how effectively
a company’s management is using fixed asset. It is a rough measure of the productivity of a
company’s fixed assets with respect to generating sales.
National Bank of Ethiopia has allowed banks with limited percentage to invest on fixed assets
(10% of the total paid up capital), this included buying and developing properties to facilitate
their own operation or for reseal. It is measured by the total amount of investment on fixed asset.
Banks have the opportunity to invest in fixed asset that relate to their objective to generate profit.
Banks can invest on fixed asset such as building to expand its business, information
communication technology in order to facilitate their service in advanced and reliable way, and
invest on machines like automated teller machine (ATM) is electronic telecommunications
16
device that enables customers to perform financial transaction at any time and increase market
share which contribute to increase the banks’ profitability ( Eskedar, 2016).
NBE-Bills/Investment
National Bank of Ethiopia has introduced NBE bills in April 2011.The bills require private
commercial banks to purchase 27% of their total disbursement for priority sector financing. The
banks are forced to redirect their disbursement to the purchase of NBE bills which earns 5%
interest (Yodit, 2012). This represents amount of forced bills purchase by a bank is measured as
total amount of investment in NBE-bills. Eden (2014) studied on impact of NBE regulation on
the banks performance; one of her objective was to determine the impact of NBE bills on banks
performance as measured through both return on asset and net interest margin.
Yodit (2012), studied on the implication of NBE directive of bills purchase on performance of
private commercial banks in Ethiopia. Based on her study, the government intervened in the
financial sector in which directive affects the performance of the banks. The government issued
the directive to increase the private banks participate in priority sector financing and also to
control the inflation challenge.
Another study was conducted by Shibiru, (2014), the objective of his study was to examine the
implications of NBE bills purchase directive on the development of private commercial banks in
Ethiopia. The study revealed that negative implication of bills purchase directive on the
profitability, liquidity, capital and reserve of private commercial banks.
17
Loans and Advances
It means any financial assets of a bank arising from a direct or indirect advance or commitment
to advance funds by a bank to a person that are conditioned on the obligation of the person to
repay the funds, either on a specified date or dates on demand with the interest (NBE, 2018).
Loans and advances to customers consist of overdraft, term loans, advances and commercial
papers. The general creditworthiness of a corporate customer tends to be the most relevant
indicator of credit quality of a loan extended to it. However, collateral provides as a security and
banks generally request to the borrowers provide it. The bank may take collateral in the form of a
first charge over real estate and other form of guarantees. Loans and advances to customers are
net of charges for impairment. The amount and quality of loans and advances to customers can
improve the interest income of a bank and thus increase the bank’s financial performance
(Yahaya et la., 2015)
Reserve Requirement
Any bank operating in Ethiopia shall at all times maintain in its reserve account shall exclusively
be used to maintain the reserve balance of 5% of all Birr and foreign currency deposit liabilities
held in the form of demand/current deposits, saving deposits and time deposits (NBE directive
No.SBB/55/2013). The main purpose of the reserve requirement is to control growth in the
money supply.
Reserve requirement is regulatory tool that control liquidity position of banking institutions. It is
normally held at the central bank in the form of cash or highly liquid document. When there is a
deposit, the regulation usually specifies the size of the requirement determined by the type of
deposit (current, saving or time deposit) and its currency denomination (domestic or foreign
currency) (Jembere, 2014).
Commercial banks have to open a reserve account in NBE and shall deposit money as per the
regulation. The reserve account does not have interest income and the NBE also penalize the
banks if the reserve account is in deficit (Eskedar, 2016).
18
2.1.3 Financial Performance
The Efficiency Theory
The efficiency hypothesis, considers that banks earn high profits because they are more efficient
than others. There are also two distinct approaches within this theory; the X-efficiency and
Scale–efficiency hypothesis. According to the X-efficiency approach, more efficient firms are
more profitable because of their lower costs. Such firms tend to gain larger market shares, which
may manifest in higher levels on market concentration, but without any causal relationship from
concentration to profitability. The scale efficiency approach emphasizes economies of scale
rather than differences in management or production technology. Larger firms can obtain lower
unit cost and higher profits through economies of scale. This enables large firms to acquire
market shares, which may manifest in higher concentration and then profitability (Athanasoglou
et al., 2006).
Most literature on bank’s profitability agrees that profitability is expected to increase as its
portfolio of loans grows in relation to other more secure assets increase by considering
relationship between risk and return (García-Herrero et al., 2009).
Profits are a necessity and a goal for many firms. Finance managers mostly direct their efforts
towards this goal in order to grow and fulfill shareholders’ expectations. The role of commercial
banks has remained mediator in financing economic activities in various segments of the markets
(Munyambonera, 2010). To do so, the banks must be profitable (Ongore and Kusa, 2013).
Hence, profits are not only a result but also necessity for successful banking in any financial
markets.
19
generating returns for its shareholders (Bessis, 2005). The most popular profitability
measurements are: profit margin on sale, return on asset and return on equity.
Financial performance refers to the act of performing financial activity. The financial
performance measures in this study uses return on assets (ROA) (Ganesan, 2007) and (Kavita,
2009). The profit of a bank is primarily obtaining in the form of interest on its income-earning
assets. Hence, it is logical to expect banks to have a significant proportion of loans and
investments in their portfolio since they carry the highest rate of return in the banking business
(Uremade, 2002).
The most popular profitability measurement formula is: Return on asset = (Net Income / Total
Assets) * 100
A profitable business has the ability to reward its owners with a large return on their investment.
Increasing profitability is one of the most important tasks of the business managers; these ones
look for the way to improve profitability (Yahaya et la., 2015).
Return on Assets (ROA) shows the percentage of profit that a company earns in relation to its
overall resources (total assets). The ROA reflects the ability of banks’ management to generate
profits from the banks’ assets and is expressed in percent. The best formula to measure the bank
profitability is ROA, because it represents the ability of a firm to generate returns on its portfolio
assets (Kosmidou, Naceur and Goaied, 2008). ROA indicates the profit earned per unit asset and
which is most important, it shows the management’s ability to utilize the bank’s financial and
real investment resources to generate profits (Blerta, 2014).
Golin (2001) pointed out that the ROA has emerged as a key ratio for the evaluation of bank
profitability and has become the most common measure of bank profitability in the literature.
Therefore, ROA is considered as more significant and a better profitability measure (Blerta,
2014).
Titman and Wessels (1988) in Kesuma (2009) revealed that asset structure is the wealth or
economic resources owned by the company which is expected to provide benefits in the future
consisting of fixed assets, intangible assets, current assets and non-current assets. It had
concluded that asset structure influenced positive and significant impact on earnings in
Indonesia.
The amount and quality of cash and bank balances can improve the banks’ profitability and
increase the bank’s financial performance. Cash and bank balance, financial assets held for
trading, loans and advances to the customers, and derivate asset have positive impact on the
banks performance (ROA), (Yahaya et la., 2015).
A study by Olatunji and Adegbite (2014) examined the effect of investment in fixed assets on
profitability of selected banks in Nigeria, the relationship between this variables indicated that
there is a significant relationship between them. The findings of the study indicated that
investment in fixed assets has positive and significant impact on the performance of the selected
banks: the higher the level of investment in fixed assets lead the higher the profits of banks are.
Hence, in order to improve bank profitability there should be efficient management of fixed
assets. The study finally concluded that Nigerian banks should improve the level of fixed assets
investments in terms of building, ICT and machine in order to boost their profitability.
21
The components of asset such as property, plants and equipment, and long-term investments and
funds have a statistically significant and positive effect on financial performance, whereas
current assets and intangible assets do not have statistically significance effect on financial
performance. In light of the study findings, it recommended that all financial and services firms
should increase their allocation of resources towards long term investments and funds so as to
improve their financial performance in Kenya (Gladys and Job, 2017). The result of current asset
is consistence with the findings of Mawih (2014) that is current assets do not have statistically
significance effect on financial performance.
Yodit (2012) studied on the implication of NBE directive of bills purchase on performance of
private commercial banks in Ethiopian. The government has intervened in the financial sector in
which directive affects the performance of the banks. The result of her study indicated that
directive of NBE bills purchase has negative implication to the banking sector.
In line with Shibiru (2014), study on the implications of NBE bills purchase directive on the
development of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. He concluded that the implications of bills
purchase’s directive of NBE is negatively reflected on almost all private commercial banks’
performances. The directive of NBE bills purchase has negative effect on the potential growth of
rate of assets and asset portfolio of the banks.
Eden (2014) studied on the impact of NBE regulation of the bank performance: evidence from
the private banks of Ethiopia. Her study focused on impact of NBE-Bills purchase on the banks
performance and it indicated that NBE-Bills purchase has negative impact on private banks
performance due to the lesser amount of interest rate earned compared to operational cost spent.
22
Eskedar (2016) studied on the impact of investment on performance of commercial banks in
Ethiopia. Her study overall tried to cover different investment areas that Ethiopian banks are
allowed investing to generate income. The regression result verified that fixed asset investment
and foreign bank deposit has a positive and significant effect on performance of the banks. On
the other side, NBE Bill purchase has a negative and significant effect on the performance of
commercial banks in Ethiopia. Thus, these variables of asset are interrelated and have significant
impact on banks’ performance in the industry.
According to Mintesnot and Semeneh (2018), the impact of NBE bills on profitability of private
banks in Ethiopia, the study found that negative correlation was observed between NBE Bills
and profitability of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. This implied that the current
government bond purchase directive has negative effect on the credit performance and
profitability of private banks in Ethiopia.
In general, empirical review verified that the studies of the components of assets influencing the
banks financial performance are not inclusive all the components of asset structure. In addition,
financial performance is measured by return on equity when the study has conducted on the
impact of investment (fixed asset and foreign banks deposit) on financial performance of private
banks in Ethiopia. Therefore, based on these studies, the researcher included cash holding as
additional variable that affect the banks performance in Ethiopia. Moreover, in this study, the
financial performance is measured by return on asset.
Bank size is specific determinant of bank profitability and it is measured by the ‘logarithm of’
total assets. Bank size is generally found to relate positively to bank profitability (Kosmidou,
2008). Most of the previous studies have many evidences of which bank size is one of the main
determinants of bank profitability and has positive impact on the banks performance.
The Bank size is introduced to account for existing economies of scale in the banking industry.
The relationship between size and profitability is an important part of the firm’s theory. Since
larger banks are more capable to realize economies of scale and reduce the cost and processing
information (Dietrich and Wanzenried, 2011).
The studies of Pasiouras and Kosmidou (2007) indicated that positive and significant relationship
between size and bank profitability. Large banks might have a higher degree of production and
loans diversification than smaller ones. According to Khrawish et al., (2011), there is significant
and positive relationship between ROE and bank size.
Based on the result of the studies on relationship between the asset structure and financial
performance, the components such as current asset, derivative asset, loans and advances to the
customer, cash and cash equivalent, treasury bills and government bonds, intangible asset, fixed
asset and long term investments were considered in the studies of the researchers from different
countries outside Ethiopia such as in Kenya, Nigeria, China, Jordan, etc.
24
The result revealed that: current asset (cash and bank balance) do not have significant effect on
financial performance (Gladys and Job, 2017). This result is consistence with the findings of
Mawih (2014). On the other hand, Yahaya et al. (2015) recommended that some current assets
such as cash and bank balance, financial assets held for trading, loans and advances to the
customers and derivate assets have positive impact on the banks performance (ROA). Moreover,
financial assets held such as treasury bills and bonds have positive impact; and fixed assets and
long term investment have positive and significant effect on banks financial performance.
In the case of Ethiopia, the literature review also revealed that the researchers conducted on
limited studies on NBE bills purchase, reserve requirement and investment. The research
conducted by Yodit (2012); Eden (2014); Shibiru (2014); and Mintesnot and Semeneh. (2018)
were focused on NBE bills whereas Eskedar (2016) studied on foreign bank deposit and fixed
asset investment in addition to NBE-Bills. Tewodros (2017) studied on reserve requirement.
The results of the studies have concluded that the effect of NBE bills has negative and significant
effect on financial performance of banks in Ethiopia Yodit (2012); Eden (2014); Shibiru (2014);
Eskedar (2016); Mintesnot and Semeneh (2018).
Foreign bank deposit and fixed asset investment have positive and significant effect on the banks
performance (ROE) (Eskedar, 2016). In addition, reserve requirement has negative effect on the
banks performance.
So far as the review of the literature disclosed prior studies are not inclusive all asset
components. Hence, to fill the knowledge gap this study has included cash holding as one of the
components of asset that affect financial performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia.
Cash Holding
Fixed asset
Foreign Banks Deposit Return on Asset
NBE Bills
26
Chapter Three
3. Research Methodology
This chapter clarifies how the study is carried out, designed and implemented in order to achieve
the research objective. The specific purpose of this chapter explained how to empirically
examine the quantitative effect of asset structure on the banks performance, to present essential
research methodology, choose appropriate research method and develop research hypothesis
with its objectives. The methodology was conducted based on general and specific objective of
the study.
27
3.4 Population and Sample of the study
For the study, the population was the entire private commercial banks in Ethiopia, which is
sixteen and for the sample size thirteen private commercial banks which have been operational
since and before 2010 were purposely selected. The sample with a purpose in mind predefined
banks that have data which is completed data available owing to the years. The study covered the
period from 2011 to 2017, which means seven years of data was used with the sample size of
thirteen banks; and the total number of observation would be 91.
Selected private commercial banks were Awash Bank (AB), Dashen Bank (DB), Bank of
Abyssinia (BoA), Wegagen Bank (WB), United Bank (UB), Lion International Bank (LIB),
Cooperative Bank of Oromia (CBO), Nib International Bank (NIB), Zemen Bank (ZB), Oromia
International Bank (OIB), Bunna International Bank (BIB), Birhan International Bank (BrIB)
and Abay Bank (AbB). However, the remaining three private banks are Addis International Bank
(AIB), Debub Global Bank (DGB) and Enat Bank (EB) which are not included in the study
because there total asset, profit margin and amount of each component are far beyond the
selected private banks in Ethiopia and it is not comparable with them.
28
Table 3.1 List of private commercial banks with their opening years before 2010
29
3.6 Measurements
Return on Asset = (Net Income / Total Assets) * 100
CHA = Cash holding / total asset * 100
FAA = fixed asset/total asset * 100
FDA = Foreign deposit/total asset * 100
NBEBA = NBE-bills/total asset * 100
This study has employed correlation analysis of data, based on the time series and has converted
the raw data into a more meaningful information. In addition, multiple regression analysis is used
to determine the impact of independent variables on dependent variables.
To conduct the analysis, the researcher used E-views econometric software version 8 to test the
casual relationship between the independent and dependent variables. Before running a
regression analysis, diagnostic tests (Normality, Homoscedasticity, Multicollinearity,
autocorrelation) were carried out to ensure the assumptions of the Classical Linear Model
(CLRM) were not violated.
Normality
The graph of normality test indicated that normal distribution as each data was fairly distributed
around the mean. One of the most commonly applied tests for normality is the Bera-Jarque
formalizing tests that examining if the coefficient of skewness greater than 5% and the
coefficient of excess kurtosis is 3. Based on Brooks (2008), normal distribution is not skewed
30
and has a coefficient of kurtosis of 3. He also stated that, if the residuals are normally distributed,
the histogram should be bell-shaped and the Bera Jarque statistic would not be significant at 5%.
Heteroscedasticity
This study employed white test in order to investigate whether the variance of the errors is
constant or equal. Guajarati, (2004) noted that if the variance of the errors is not constant, this
would be known as heteroscedasticity.
Multicollinearity
The study used correlation matrix of independent variables to detect any multicollinearity
problem or to test independent variables in regression model. Hair et al. (2006) indicated
correlation coefficient below 0.9 may not cause serious multicollinearity problem. On the other
hand, Kennedy (2008) stated that multicollinearity problem exists when the correlation
coefficient among the variables is greater than 0.70. The problem of multicollinearity arises
when certain independent variables are highly correlated.
Autocorrelation
There is an assumption that the errors are linearly independent on one another (uncorrelated with
one another). If the errors are correlated with one another, it would be stated that they are auto
correlated. Breusch-Godfrey test also applied to test for the existence of autocorrelation or not,
the popular DurbinWatson test was employed.
31
ROA = Net profit after tax
Total Asset
Cash holding is measured by comparing cash and cash equivalents /most liquid assets with
current liabilities.
Cash ratio = cash and cash equivalents
Current liabilities
Fixed Asset is measured by fixed asset turnover ratio which is an efficient ratio that measures a
banks return on their investment in fixed asset by comparing net sales with fixed assets. It
calculates how efficiently the banks are producing sales with its fixed assets. It is also measured
by the total amount of investment on fixed asset.
FA ratio= Net sale
Total fixed asset
Foreign Banks Deposit is measured as total deposits of the system as the percentage of the
volume of foreign currency deposits in a banking system.
NBE Bills is measured by the total amount of NBE Bills purchased by banks divided by total
loans and advances.
32
Chapter Four
4. Results and Discussions
The main objective of the study was to determine the relationship between the asset structure and
financial performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. To reach the possible outcome
descriptive statistics, correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis models were
developed to create a relationship between independent variables and dependent variable. The
study has cross section segment which considered thirteen banks (AB, AIB, BoA, BrIB, BIB,
CBO, DB, LIB, NIB, OIB, WB, ZB) with time series segment (seven years) a period from 2011
to 2017.Regression analysis on the effect of all independent variables; CH, RR, FD, NBEB,
ODB, OINV, LA and FA on the financial performance was conducted. However, regression
result was only developed the variables (CH, FD, NBEB and FA) that have relationship found to
be significant.
The average value of cash holding (CH) was 11% of the total asset of the commercial banks with
standard deviation of 5%. This implies for the selected Ethiopian private commercial banks hold
11% from the total asset. The standard deviation shows there is variation of cash holding among
the banks. It has a range statistic value of 27.5% with minimum statistic value of 2.5%. For non-
financial institutions 11% of total asset being held as cash may seem excess. Commercial banks
are supposed to maintain enough liquidity so as they do not face bank run. So the amount held is
33
high enough when the reserve requirement at the NBE and other short term assets are considered.
The banks’ cash holding ratio verified that the existence high level of variation in among the
selected commercial banks. The high variability in cash holding may imply information
asymmetry on the borrower’s side.
Fixed asset (FAA) has the mean value of 2.26 with the standard deviation of 1.25, the total fixed
asset holdings of the commercial banks, as expected is only 2.26% of their total asset. Banks, by
the mere nature of their operation, maintain much of their asset in the form of liquid assets. The
central banks puts a limit on how much fixed asset commercial banks should hold that is about
10% their paid up capital. Since there is excess demand for loan, commercial banks tend to lend
out their asset instead of investing in fixed asset. For a mean of 2.26%, standard deviation of
1.25% is high. This implies that there is a big variation of about half among commercial banks in
fixed asset investment. Most commercial banks are turning their face to fixed asset investment
recently. Some, like Awash Bank, has been investing in building for quite a time.
The mean value of foreign account deposit (FDA) was 7.22% of total asset with the standard
deviation of 4.62%. The mean value implied that banks have big deposit in foreign banks. Since
there is huge unmet demand for foreign currency in Ethiopia, commercial banks maintain deposit
in order to honor Letter of Credit (L/C) opened in the name of their clients. The amount they
keep is constrained by the regulation that requires commercial banks to keep foreign asset no
more than 15% of their open position. The comparison between minimum 0.61% and maximum
19.77%, there was high level of variation among the banks deposit at foreign bank account. The
foreign currency holding of banks vary hugely. Cooperative bank of Oromia, for instance, tends
to have high deposit in foreign currency by working with coffee exporters. Dashen Bank too has
high deposit of foreign currency by working with Midrco Corporation, which has companies that
involve in export of gold.
The average value of NBE Bills (NBEBA) was 7.37% of total assets of commercial banks with
the standard deviation of 0.85%. The mean value implied that banks have purchased NBE Bills
7.37% from total asset. The minimum 1.45% and maximum 15.7%, there was high level of
variation among the banks to purchase NBE Bills. Relatively new banks may not have invested
much in the earlier period of the study. This compulsory purchase of a 5-years maturity bond
34
pays less than the saving deposit rate. The NBE collects the fund and transfers it to Development
Bank of Ethiopia so as it can lend it out to big private projects. Committing 7.37% of their total
asset in a long term bond is supposed to affect the profitability and maturity mismatch of
commercial banks.
Size (SIZE) of the commercial banks, as measured in logarithm of the total asset is 8.89 (taking
the exponent it is equivalent to Br. 7.26 billion) on average. The size of commercial banks, in
terms of total asset, is very small in Ethiopia. This is confirmed by a study on Sub Saharan
Africa (European Investment Bank, 2016). The variation among the commercial banks’ total
asset is not that significant, Br. 2.54. Awash bank is the biggest bank in the country with total
asset of Br. 41.97 billion and the smallest bank has a total asset of Br. 454 million. The relatively
newer banks have small size compared to the relatively old banks.
In general, the total observation from variables of asset side, CHA, FDA, NBEBA high level of
mean they have with high proportion of variations between maximum and minimum levels. It
indicated the banks mean of CHA, FDA and NBEBA were 11%, 7.22% and 7.37%, respectively.
On the other hand, FAA has lower level of mean 2.26%, which implied lower level of share from
total asset with high level variation.
The mean value of ROA is 2.66% with standard deviation of 0.86%. This verified for the
selected Ethiopian private commercial banks have earned 2.66 % profit from total asset. The
standard deviation shows there is variation of profitability of the selected banks. It has maximum
statistic value of 5.27% with minimum statistic value of -0.85%. Even though standard deviation
shows that there is lower level of variation in banks profitability, maximum and minimum values
verified the existence of variation in profit among the selected commercial banks. The proportion
of variation indicated that some of the banks earned profit with the maximum level of 5.27%
profit margin and others incurred loss up to -0.85%. Thus, the banks need to optimize their asset
structure so as to increase their return on asset. On the other hand, the mean value of the control
variable of size was 8.89% with the standard deviation of 0.93%. The minimum 6.12% and
maximum 10.64%, there was lower level of variation among in the banks size. Overall,
commercial banks in Ethiopia are very profitable due to the oligopoly nature of the industry.
35
4.2 Tests on Assumption of Classical Linear Regression Model (CLRM)
In this study as mentioned in chapter three diagnostic tests is carried out to ensure that the data
fits with the basic assumptions of classical linear regression model. Accordingly, the results for
the model tests are presented below.
Mean 5.84e-16
6 Median -4.44e-16
Maximum 1.307437
Minimum -1.052498
4
Std. Dev. 0.480157
Skewness 0.504281
2 Kurtosis 3.216915
Jarque-Bera 4.035280
0 Probability 0.132969
-1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0
Source: E-Views v.8 output
Based on the result obtained (Figure 4.1), normality test is conducted to examine the coefficient
of kurtosis is 3.2 which not far beyond 3. The skewness of the error too is 0.5, which is not far
from the zero value for a perfectly normally distributed error. Thus, the graph of normality test
indicated that normal distribution of the residual of the regression is fairly distributed around the
mean. Since the histogram is bell shaped, the normality assumption is not violated. A more
objective test for normality is the Bera Jarque statistic. The result indicates that even at 4%
significance level, normality is not violated.
36
4.2.2 Test for Heteroscedasticity
The other assumption of classical regression models is homoscedasticity. This assumption states
that the errors have constant variance for all values of the independent variables. In this study as
shown in table 4.2; since the p-values is in excess of 5%, both the F-statistic and Chi-Square
versions of the test statistic indicate that the null hypothesis of homoscedasticity is not rejected.
This leads to the conclusion that there is no evidence for the presence of heteroscedasticity. The
scaled explains SS which is based on a normalized version of the explained sum of squares from
the auxiliary regression and it gives the same conclusion that there is no evidence for the
presence of heteroscedasticity problem, since the p-value is considerably in excess of 5%.
The Durbin – Watson statistics of the final regression output (Table 4.5) is 1.91. This value is
very close to the two values which imply that there is no autocorrelation. The absence of
autocorrelation is confirmed using two tests.
The objective of the study is to examine the relationship between the asset structure and financial
performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia and present the empirical findings from the
econometric results. Multiple regression analysis was developed to identify the joint effect of
38
independent variables (CH, FA, FDA and NBEB) on dependent variable (the financial
performance/ROA). Regression models were only developed in the areas where the relationship
was found to be significant.
39
4.3.2 Cash Holding (CHA)
Cash holding is the first independent variable that establishes the effects of cash holding on
financial performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. The result of regression analysis
indicated that cash holding has a positive but marginally insignificant effect on financial
performance at 5% significance level but significant at 10% significance level. The result
indicated that when the cash holding increase, financial performance of the banks may increase
or decrease that is determined by the level of liquidity position of the banks. Accordingly, when
cash holding increase leads to increase of liquid asset, assume other variables affecting liquidity
position remain constant. If the volume of liquidity increases, the banks capacity to lend the
money to the customers also increase and get high amount of interest leads to earn high profit. In
contrary, if cash holding extremely increase, the banks have excess liquid asset which leads the
banks have idle money which have excess cost of fund, as the result performance of the bank
decrease. The cash holding of the banks has improve the income of a bank and thus increase the
banks’ financial performance. This leads to reject the hypothesis which stated that cash holding
has a positive and significant effect on the financial performance of commercial banks in
Ethiopia.
Cash holding is important for liquidity position that the NBE set; the banks extend any loan if the
liquidity position is greater than 15% of its net current liability. As per the NBE directives any
licensed commercial bank shall maintain liquid assets not less than fifteen percent (15%) of its
net current liabilities. Cash holding determined the banks’ capacity to lend money and help to
take investment opportunity available. Currently, the banks are facing the problem to find
deposit to meet their liquidity position and to lend money in order to get income through interest.
Thus, cash holding is vital for banking business and it has positive but marginally insignificant
effect to the banks’ profitability.
The study result is partially differ with the result of the study done by Yahaya et al., (2015)
stated that relationship between cash and bank balances has positive and significant effect on
return on total assets. It is expected that the cash and bank balances are available to the bank to
take on investment opportunities on hand.
40
4.3.3 Fixed Asset (FAA)
Fixed asset, second independent variable which is established the effects of fixed asset on
financial performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. From the regression result, fixed
asset has a positive and significant effect on financial performance at 1% significance level.
When the ratio of fixed asset to total asset increases by 1% holding the other factors constant,
ROA on average will increase by 0.5%. The result indicates that increase the value of fixed asset
would start to increase the banks financial performance. This directs fail to reject the hypothesis
which stated that fixed assets have a positive and significant impact on the financial performance
of commercial banks in Ethiopia.
In Ethiopia, profitability increases when investment in fixed asset increases. However, there is
restriction on fixed asset investment on financial institutions. National Bank of Ethiopia has a
directive on investment on fixed asset, no bank shall invest more than 10% of paid up capital in
real estate acquisition and development other than own premises without approval of NBE.
Fixed asset is not an earning asset, but it minimizes the administration expense. During branch
expansion, there is high expense for renting buildings to open branches. If the banks have their
own properties/fixed asset, they can minimize their expenses. In one way or another, the banks
minimize its operation expense which leads to increase the banks profit. In addition, fixed assets
can be used to pledge as collateral to reduce the potential of distress costs. In a highly
inflationary economy like Ethiopia, investment in fixed asset is profitable. That can also explain
the significant relationship between investment in fixed asset and profitability.
The result of this study is consistent with the study by Gladys and Job (2017), the regression
analysis result indicated that the property, plants and equipment and long term investments and
funds have significant effect on financial performance of commercial and service sector in
Kenya. According to Olatunji and Adegbite (2014), investments in fixed assets have strong and
statistically positive impact on the profitability of banking sector in Nigeria. In order to improve
banks’ profitability, there should be efficient management of fixed assets. Nigerian banks should
improve the level of fixed assets investments in terms of building, ICT and machine. In order to
improve bank profitability, there should be efficient management of fixed assets. Nigerian banks
should improve the level of fixed assets investments in terms of building, ICT and machine.
41
Fixed assets should be utilized effectively and productively in order to boost their profitability.
Another study also identified that fixed asset has a positive relationship with profitability of
commercial banks in Ethiopia; it revealed that it has positive and statistically significant effect on
the banks profitability at 5% significance level (Eskedar, 2016).
In Ethiopia, foreign currency is very scarce. Commercial banks strive to increase their foreign
currency holding even much more than to increase their deposit. Ethiopia is a net importer of
goods and services. Importers would like to work more with banks that can provide them with
foreign currency. Hence, increasing foreign deposit affects commercial banks profitability in two
ways. On the one hand, businesses are dealing in local currency would like to do business with
banks that can avail forex. That actually supports of the profit of commercial banks through the
domestic banking channel by helping them to mobilize more deposit. The other mechanism
against which foreign currency can affect profitability of commercial banks is through the
exchange rate. The local currency has been depreciating over last many years. If a commercial
bank maintains deposit in foreign currency, the value appreciates in local currency as birr
depreciates.
The result of the study is consistent with the study by Ghassan, (2015), the result of the
regression implied that foreign deposit has a significant effect on banks profitability in Jordan. In
addition, based on the study of Eskedar, (2016) regression analysis of foreign deposit has a
significant effect on commercial banks profitability in Ethiopia.
42
4.3.5 NBE Bills (NBEBA)
NBE bills are the fourth independent variable which is established the effects of NBE Bills on
financial performance of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. Based on the findings of the
regression analysis; NBE bills have negative and significant effect at 5% significant level on
banks performance. As the NBE bills holding of commercial banks increase by 1%, their
profitability decreases by 0.075%. This implies that the purchase of NBE bills increase while the
banks performance decreases. Fail to reject the hypothesis which stated that NBE bills have a
negative and significant effect on the financial performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia.
Even if, the main goal of every banking institution is to generate income and to earn profit, there
is restriction by government regulation. NBE bills directive which forced all banks to purchase a
5 years bond from NBE equivalent to 27% of each loan the banks disburse. The banks have to
lend money in order to make profit from accrued interest but the income is limited due to
purchasing of bond. Though the government implements this regulation to support other prior
sector, it limits the banks capacity to lend a loan and earn profit. Moreover, to make an operation
income from NBE bills’ interest 5% is much lesser than cost of fund 7% the banks spend.
Hence, NBE bills have negative and significant effect on the banks profitability in Ethiopia.
The result is consistent with the result of previous studies in Ethiopia: the impact of NBE-bills
purchase on the banks performance indicated that NBE bills purchase has negative impact due to
the lesser amount of interest rate earned than the operational cost spent (Eden, 2014). The result
of the study by Shibiru, (2014) indicated that NBE bills purchase directive on the development of
private commercial banks in Ethiopia has negatively implication on almost all private
commercial banks’ performances. The study verified that negative implication of bills purchase
directive on the profitability, liquidity, capital and reserve of private commercial banks. In
addition, the regression result verified that NBE bills purchase has negative and significant effect
on the performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia (Eskedar, 2016).
In general, the result of the regression analysis indicated that those four independent variables
(CHA, FAA, FDA and NBEBA) and the control variable size have positive or negative impact
on financial performance of private commercial bank in Ethiopia. Cash holding has a positive
but marginally insignificant effect on financial performance at 5% significance level. Fixed asset
43
has a positive and significant effect on financial performance at 1% significance level, foreign
deposit has positive and significant effect on banks financial performance at 1% significance
level and NBE Bills has negative and significant effect at 5% on commercial banks performance
in Ethiopia.
The control variable, size as measured by the logarithm of total assets of commercial banks is
found to have positive and significant effect on profitability of commercial banks in Ethiopia
95% confidence level. Bigger banks enjoy economies of scale hence their profit is expected to be
higher. Again, bigger banks in terms of total asset can possibly imply more loans and advances
since the main asset of commercial banks is loans and advances. That would positively
contribute their profitability.
44
Chapter Five
5. Conclusion and Recommendation
The study intended to analyze the main factors affecting on financial performance of commercial
bank in Ethiopia through adopting multiple regression analysis. In this section conclusion and
recommendations of the study is presented.
5.1 Conclusion
The aim of the study is to identify the main components of asset that impact on private banks
financial performance in Ethiopia and find out to what extent these determinants affect the
banks’ profitability. Four variables including cash holding, fixed asset, foreign bank deposit and
NBE Bills were used as independent variables and return on asset was used as dependent
variable which was a measurement of banks financial performance. Size is considered as control
variable. Multiple correlation and regression model were applied seven years (2011 to 2017) of
data collected from thirteen private commercial banks in Ethiopia. The choice of this seven
years period and thirteen private banks were based the availability of complete data for those
banks with specific period.
Based on previous studies conducted outside the country, the studies have been employed most
of asset components that affect banks financial performance. However, in Ethiopia, few
researchers have conducted base on some components of asset that impact on banks financial
performance and those studies are not inclusive all factors of asset structure in the banking
industry. Even though, the researcher conduct this study based on the whole components of asset
that have impact on the banks financial performance in Ethiopia, the result of regression analysis
indicated that only four components such as CH, FA, FD and NBEB have positive or negative
impact on banks financial performance in Ethiopia.
As per the result of descriptive statistics; the total observation from variables of asset side, the
banks mean of CHA, FDA and NBEBA were 11%, 7.22% and 7.37%, respectively. It implies
that the mean value of CHA, FDA, NBEBA have high level share from total asset with high
proportion of variations between maximum and minimum levels. On the other hand, FAA has
mean value of 2.26%, which implies lower level share with high level variation.
45
The result of the study based on the assumption carried out to ensure the data fit with the basic
assumptions of CLRM.
The graph of normality test indicated that normal distribution of the residual of the
regression is fairly distributed around the mean. Since the histogram is bell shaped, the
normality assumption is not violated.
Homoscedasticity is used white test to find that the errors have constant variance for all
values of the independent variables, since the p-values is in excess of 0.05, both the F-
statistic and Chi-Square versions of the test statistic indicate no evidence for the presence
of heteroscedasticity.
Multicollinearity is used to test independent variables are highly correlated with each
other or not. There are low correlation coefficients find in the study indicate that no
problem of multicollinearity.
Autocorrelation is used Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation to test the errors are linearly
independent of one another. However, the result verified that there is no variable
correlate each other which indicate that no problem of autocorrelation.
The result of the regression analysis is examined based on pooled panel regression analysis that
gives reliable estimation to this study due to few numbers of observations the study has. It
determines the relationship between the asset structure and financial performance of private
commercial banks in Ethiopia and presents empirical findings from the econometric results.
Multiple regression analysis is used to identify the joint effect of independent variables (CH, FA,
FDA and NBE Bill) on dependent variable (the financial performance/ROA). Regression models
were developed in the areas where the relationship is found to be significant.
The goodness-of-fit of the model (Adjusted R2) is 0.316 or 32% of the variability on profitability
among commercial banks in Ethiopia is explained by the four independent variables and the
control variable (size). Profitability of commercial banks is a complex matter that can be
explained by many bank-specific, industry-wide and macroeconomic factors that explaining 32%
of the variability in profitability can be considered as a good fit model. Hence, all independent
variables consider in the model are jointly significant at 1% significance level. Overall, the
model is statistically adequate.
46
Cash holding (CHA)
Based on the regression analysis cash holding has a positive but marginally insignificant effect
on financial performance at 5% significance level but significant at 10% significance level. It
implies that when the cash holding increase, financial performance of the banks may increase or
decrease that is determined by the level of liquidity position of the banks have. Accordingly,
increase of cash holding leads increase liquidity position. If the volume of liquidity increase, the
banks capacity to lend the money to the customers also increase and get high amount of interest
lead to earn high profit. In contrary, if cash holding extremely increase, the banks have excess
liquid asset which leads the banks have excess cost of fund, as the result performance of the bank
decrease. Hence, the cash holding of the banks has an impact on performance of the banks in
Ethiopia.
47
Size (SIZE)
The banks size has a positive impact on ROA with significant coefficient. This indicated that
increase the size leads to increase banks financial performance. The large banks of the country
have experience more significantly increases in profitability through economies of scale.
Generally, the results provide some important new insights adds value to the knowledge for a
better understanding of the components of asset that affect the financial performance of
commercial banks in Ethiopia.
5.2 Recommendation
48
enable them minimize rent expenses. Besides, banks have to also invest on the art of
modern technology/Information Communication Technology (ICT) in order to facilities
their jobs with the help of technology which helps them increase operational efficiency.
The higher the level of investment on fixed assets leads the banks having higher profit. In
order to improve the bank profitability, there should be investment and efficient
management of fixed assets. Therefore, NBE has to increase 10% regulatory limit on
fixed asset investment from the paid up capital that will enable the banks to derive better
profit and reinvest in other ends which will help them compete globally. But, NBE shall
increase the limitation of 10% with due attention. Because most of the banks held the
buildings as collateral when the banks extend the loan; and if the banks will be highly
invest on fixed asset may lead the liquidity problem. In the bank side, in order to improve
banks’ profitability, there should be able to manage fixed assets efficiently.
Foreign currency deposit has positive and significant effect on the banks financial
performance. Growth in currency deposit helps to boost banking profitability derived
from the income through interest from export and commission on import letter of credit
and sales of foreign currency. The banks should set strategy to encourage exporter by
reducing lending interest rate. Moreover, to encourage exporters, more banks have to also
provide additional comparable privilege facilitate them to involve in import business. In
addition, to keep encouraging diaspora community to open foreign currency accounts by
providing different benefit packages such as lending personal loan or housing loan with
lower lending interest rate or increasing interest rate of foreign currency deposit. In recent
years, income from remittance exceeds an income derived from export business. In light
of this, banks should maintain encourage the diaspora community by providing different
privileges in order to attract them to transfer their fund through banking system which
will enable banks increase the level of their foreign currency deposit.
NBE bills have negative and significant effect on the banks financial performance. When
the NBE bills increase, financial performance of the bank decrease. Since April 2011,
NBE issued NBE-bills directive to private commercial banks to purchase NBE-bills with
5% interest rate equal to 27% of their total disbursement to use financing on priority
49
sector. Even though, the banks have to participate in the financing of priority sector
project to bring sustainable economic development, the NBE has to;
o Increase the bill interest rate from 5% to the minimum deposit rate and/or
o Reduce the 27% of the new loan disbursement and/or
o Devise mechanisms to capacitate commercial banks to involve in projects
financing through strict project analysis and appraisal or
o Arrange co-financing of project loans together with state owned banks and
minimize the bill rate.
On top of that, the researcher recommends further studies on asset structure by increasing a
period of review to raise the number of observation that maximize the degree of freedom for
hypothesis testing.
In addition, the researcher also recommends that further studies require for components of asset
such as loan and advance, and reserve requirement. Because there are inconsistent with the
findings of this study with the prior studies result. The result of this research indicated that loan
and advance to the customer do not have significant effect on financial performance of private
commercial banks in Ethiopia. This result is not consistent with the finding of Yahaya et al.,
(2015) concluded that loan and advance to the customer has positive impact on the banks
financial performance. Moreover, the researcher concluded that reserve requirement also does
not have significant effect on the financial performance on the banks in Ethiopia. However, the
result of Tewodros (2017) concluded that reserve requirement has negative and significant effect
on banks profitability. Hence, it needs further studies to be done.
50
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APPENDXES
55
Appendix 1- List of Private Commercial Bank in Ethiopia
56
Appendix 2- Descriptive Statistics
Observations 91 91 91 91 91 91
57
Appendix 3- Heteroskedasticity Test
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/16/19 Time: 11:14
Sample: 2 91
Included observations: 90
58
Appendix 4 - Autocorrelation Test
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/16/19 Time: 11:16
Sample: 2 91
Included observations: 90
Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero.
59
Appendix 5 - Multicollinearity Test
CHA 1.0000
60
Appendix 6 - Regression Result
61