Types of Random Variables
Types of Random Variables
Valentino Risali
February 2023
3.
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Definition 2. A binomial experiment is one that has the following properties:
2. Each trial results in one of 2 outcomes, called a "Success" (S) and "Fail-
ure" (F): because we need to determine probability of getting exactly
2 heads, we set head as success.
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Note that the sample space is
P (X ≤ 2) = P (X = 0) + P (X = 1) + P (X = 2).
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1.3 Poisson probability distribution
Definition 4. A discrete random variable X is said to follow the Poisson
probability distribution with parameter λ > 0, denoted by P oi(λ), if
e−λ .λx
P (X = x) = f (x, λ) = ,
x!
for x = 0, 1, 2, ....
Check:
Example 4. Let X be a Poisson random variable with λ = 0.5. Find
• P (X = 1),
• P (X ≤ 2),
• P (X ≤ 3).
Properties 1. For Poisson random variable X with parameter λ, then E[X] =
λ and variance of a Poisson Random Variable is V ar[X] = λ.
1.4 Hypergeometric
Hypergeometric Probability Experiment:
1. An outcome on each trial of an experiment is classified into one of two
mutually exclusive categories—a success or a failure.
2. The random variable is the number of successes in a fixed number of
trials.
3. The trials are not independent.
4. Assume we sample from a finite population without replacement (prob-
ability of a success changes for each trial) and size of the sample n is
more than 5% of the size of the population N. So, the .
Definition 5. The probability distribution of Hypergeometric is
S Cx .N −S Cn−x
P (x) = .
N Cn
where
N is the size of the population.
S is the number of successes in the population.
x is the number of successes in the sample.
n is the size of the sample or the number of trials.
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Example 5. PlayTime Toys Inc. employs 50 people in the Assembly De-
partment. Forty of the employees belong to a union and 10 do not. Five
employees are selected at random to form a committee to meet with manage-
ment regarding shift starting times. What is the probability that four of the
five selected for the committee belong to a union?
Solution
• The population: the 50 Assembly Department employees.
40 C4 .10 C1
P (X = 4) = .
50 C5
Example 6. Horwege Discount Brokers plans to hire five new financial an-
alysts this year. There is a pool of 12 approved applicants, and George Hor-
wege, the owner, decides to randomly select those who will be hired. There
are eight men and four women among the approved applicants. What is the
probability that three of the five hired are men?
1.5 Geometric
Suppose that there n independent trials with two possible outcomes "success"
and "failed". The probability of success is p and probability of failure is
q = 1 − p. Let X be the number of trials required until the first success
happened. In other word, there are n − 1 failures. Since the trials are
independent, P (F F...F S) = P (F ).P (F )....P (F ).P (S) = (1 − p)n−1 p.
Definition 6. This random variable is said to have Geometric probability
distribution and its PMF is f (n) = P (X = n) = (1 − p)n−1 p, n = 1, 2, 3, ...
Check:
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Example 7. Consider the experiment tossing a coin repeatedly until a head
comes up with sample space S = {H, T H, T T H, ...}. Let X denotes the
random variable that is defined as the sum of toss(es) until a head comes up.
PMF: f (x) = (1 − p)x−1 p, x = 1, 2, 3, ... where p is the probability of Head.
Suppose that p = 0.5. Then f (x) = P (X = x) = (0.5)x−1 .(0.5) = (0.5)x .
4. EXACTLY 15 minutes
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Check:
Z ∞ Z t
−λx
λe dx = λ lim e−λx dx
0 t→∞ 0
1
= λ lim [− e−λx ]t0
t→∞ λ
= − lim e−λt − 1
t→∞
= 1.
3 Discussion
1. A consulting group believes that 70 percent of the people in a certain
county are satisfied with their health coverage. Assuming that this is
true, find the probability that in a random sample of 15 people from
the county:
(a) Exactly 10 are satisfied with their health coverage, and interpret.
(b) Not more than 10 are satisfied with their health coverage, and
interpret.
(c) What is the expected number of people out of 15 that are satisfied
with their health coverage?
2. Find the CDF, expectation and variance of uniform continuous random
variable X.
3. The time, in hours, during which a bulb is operational is a random
variable that follows the distribution
( 1
e−x/160 , 0 ≤ x
f (x) = 160
0 , otherwise
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(a) Less than 40 hours?
(b) Between 60 and 160 hours?
(c) More than 200 hours?
(d) Find the CDF.
4. A professor in a large statistics class has a grading policy such that only
the 15 percent of the students with the highest scores will receive the
grade A. The mean score for this class is 72 with a standard deviation of
6. Assuming that all the grades for this class follow a normal probability
distribution, what is the minimum score that a student in this class has
to get to receive an A grade?