Distribution Management
Distribution Management
Distribution Management
1. Defining the business unit's mission. 1. Market demand — is the estimated total sales volume
in a market (or industry) for a specific time period in a
2. Scanning the external environment. defined marketing environment.
3. Analysis of the internal environment. 2. Market (or industry) forecast (or market size) — is the
expected market (or industry) demand at one level of
4. Developing long-term objectives and goals. industry marketing expenditure.
5. Formulating strategies for achieving the objectives and 3. Market potential — is the maximum market (or
goals. industry) demand, resulting from a very high level of
industry marketing expenditure.
6. Preparing programme or action-plans form the
strategies. 4. Company demand — is the company’s estimated share
of market demand for a product or service at alternative
7. Implementing the strategies and action-plans,
levels of the company marketing efforts (or expenditures)
8. Monitoring results and taking corrective actions. in a specific time period.
PRODUCT/OPERATIONAL PLANNING - It is done for each 5. Company sales potential — is the maximum estimated
product within a business unit. Operational managers company sales of a product or service, based on maximum
normally develop plans for short periods time (upto 1 share (or percentage) of market potential expected by the
year). The functional plans like marketing, production, company
human resource, and finance are developed by functional
6. Company sales forecast — is the estimated company
managers to carry out the routine tasked on day-to-day
sales of a product or service, based on a chosen (or
basis.
proposed) marketing expenditure plan, for a specific time
period, in a assumed marketing environment.
7. Sales budget — is the estimate of expected sales erratic events. These components are recombined to
volume in units or revenues from the company’s products produce sales forecast.
and services, and the selling expenses. 9. Naive / Ratio Method
- time series method of forecasting, which is based on the
FORECASTING APPROACHES assumption that what happened in the past will continue
to happen in the immediate future.
1. Bottom-up or build-up — a way of making corporate
10. Regression Analysis Method
decisions that starts from the bottom of the hierarchy,
- It is a statistical forecasting method
rather than at the top.
- Process consists of identifying causal relationship
2. Top-down or Break-down — means that you start with between company sales and independent variable, which
the final deliverable (project goal) and break it down into influences sales.
smaller, more manageable tasks.
11. Econometric Analysis Method
SALES FORECASTING METHODS - many regression equations are built to forecast industry
sales, general economic conditions, or future events.
1. Executive opinion method
- oldest, simplest and the most widely used method. WHAT IS A SALES BUDGET?
- this includes getting the views of top executives of the
- It includes estimates of sales volume and selling
company regarding future sales.
expenses.
2. Delphi method
Sales volume budget is derived from the company sales
- developed by Rand Corporation during late 1940's
forecast – generally slightly lower than the company sales
- similar to the executive opinion method, but the
forecast, to avoid excessive risks
difference is that the members of expert panel do not
meet or discuss in a committee. The procedure include Selling expenses budget consists of personal selling
selection of panel of experts from within and outside the expenses budget and sales administration expenses
organization. budget
3. Salesforce composite method Sales budget gives a detailed break-down of estimates of
- involves salespeople to estimate their future sales. sales revenue and selling expenditure.
- often used by industrial or business marketing
companies. PURPOSES OF THE SALES BUDGET
4. Survey of Buyers’ Intentions Method
- sometimes called as market research (or market survey). PLANNING - the budgeting process in a company consists
- includes asking existing and potential customers about of profit planning based on expected sales, minus the cost
their likely purchases of the company's product and of achieving the sales.
services for the forecast period. CO-ORDINATION - at the corporate level, the budget
process is used for co-ordinating the activities of various
5. Test Marketing Method areas.
- useful for forecasting sales for a new product, which has CONTROL - any budget, or goal, becomes a tool for
no historical (or previous) sales figures. evaluation of performance.
- used for estimating sales for an established product in
new territory. - the sales budge stated in terms of sales volume and
6. Moving Average Method selling expensed, become a standard of performance,
- relatively simple method that develops a company against which the actual performance is measured.
forecast by calculating the average company sales for
SALES BUDGET PROCES
previous years.
7. Exponential Smoothing Method Many firms follow a process for preparation of annual
- closely relatively to the moving averages method for sales and company budgets. It generally includes:
sales forecasting.
- by using this method, the forecaster can allow sales in • Review past, current, and future situations
certain periods to influence the sale forecast more than • Communicate information to all managers of budget
sales in other periods. preparation – guidelines, formats, timetable
• Use build-up approach, starting with first-line sales
8. Decomposition Method managers
- includes breaking down the company’s previous periods’ • Get approval of sales budget from top management
sales data into components like trend, cycle, seasonal, and
• Prepare budgets of other departments e. SELLING SKILLS - the characteristics and competencies
GROUP 4 sales representatives depend onto support customers.