W5 Wicked Problems
W5 Wicked Problems
research-article2013
AAS47610.1177/0095399713481601<italic>Administration & Society </italic>Head and Alford
Article
Administration & Society
2015, Vol. 47(6) 711–739
Wicked Problems: © The Author(s) 2013
DOI: 10.1177/0095399713481601
Implications for Public aas.sagepub.com
Abstract
The concept of “wicked problems” has attracted increasing focus in policy
research, but the implications for public organizations have received less
attention. This article examines the main organizational and cognitive
dimensions emerging from the research literature on wicked problems.
We identify several recent approaches to addressing problem complexity
and stakeholder divergence based on the literatures on systems thinking,
collaboration and coordination, and the adaptive leadership roles of public
leaders and managers. We raise some challenges for public management in
some key functional areas of government—strategy making, organizational
design, people management, and performance measurement. We argue that
provisional solutions can be developed, despite the difficulties of reforming
governance processes to address wicked problems more effectively.
Keywords
wicked problems, complex problems, new public management, problem
solving, collaboration, risk and uncertainty
Introduction
At their best, and contrary to negative stereotypes, government organizations
are good at implementing policies and delivering services that are relatively
Corresponding Author:
Brian W. Head, Institute for Social Science Research, University of Queensland, St Lucia,
Queensland 4072, Australia.
Email: [email protected]
712 Administration & Society 47(6)
standardized, routine, and high volume. As Kettl (2009) has shown, they per-
form tasks like delivering entitlements, treating patients, and administering
tests efficiently, and in most if not all cases, with empathy and responsiveness
to the citizens they serve. But they seem to be less well equipped to respond
effectively to nonroutine and nonstandard service challenges. Not unexpect-
edly, some public officials find it challenging to handle the more difficult prob-
lems facing them. This is especially true of what have been called “wicked
problems”—those that are complex, unpredictable, open ended, or intractable.
At first sight, grappling with wicked problems might seem like taking up
lost causes. As originally defined (Churchman, 1967; Rittel & Webber,
1973), wicked problems seem incomprehensible and resistant to solution. In
this context, a sensible public official or public policy scholar might look for
a more amenable object of work or analysis. But in this article, we adopt a
cautiously hopeful stance in respect of wicked problems based on decom-
posing their challenging features into more nuanced categories and seeking
to understand those governmental factors that make them especially difficult
for policy makers, public managers, and policy scholars to address.
We argue, first, that there are degrees of “wickedness,” which can be
understood by reference to multiple dimensions. We contend that while con-
clusive “solutions” are very rare, it is possible to frame partial, provisional
courses of action against wicked problems. We then consider how the struc-
tures and processes of public policy and management complicate the task of
understanding these problems and of designing responses to them. On the
basis of this critical analysis, we explain and assess some strategies for tack-
ling wicked problems, each encompassing a variety of alternative approaches.
In keeping with the recognition that all wicked problems are in some measure
unique, we call for judicious combinations of aspects of these approaches,
suited to the particular circumstances.
Every problem interacts with other problems and is therefore part of a system of
interrelated problems, a system of problems . . . I choose to call such a system a
mess . . . The solution to a mess can seldom be obtained by independently solving
each of the problems of which it is composed . . . Efforts to deal separately with
such aspects of urban life as transportation, health, crime, and education seem to
aggravate the total situation. (Ackoff, 1974, p. 21, italics in original)
verifiable. By contrast, they claim that modern social problems are generally
“ill defined,” and rely on political judgments rather than scientific certi-
tudes. In this sense, most major public policy problems are “wicked” (Rittel
& Webber, 1973, p. 160), that is, they are inherently resistant to a clear defi-
nition and an agreed solution.
Rittel and Webber identified 10 primary characteristics of wicked problems:
on imperfect knowledge, and even though the desired outcomes could take
many years to emerge. The methods available to understand and respond to
such problems are therefore of great significance.
Concerns about wicked problems have also arisen in relation to dealing
with disasters and crises of various kinds that throw into relief the (in-) capac-
ities of governmental systems to prepare, coordinate, and rapidly mobilize
resources. Donald Kettl (2009), in reflecting on the inadequacy of govern-
mental responses to disasters such as Hurricane Katrina, has argued for the
adoption of what he calls “nontraditional/adaptive/networked strategies” to
address nonroutine problems. The argument that exceptional events, such as
disasters, may require new types of policy response may be more plausible
than the claim by Rittel and Webber four decades ago that new approaches
would become necessary to deal with fundamental aspects of modern life that
tend to promote complexity, interconnectedness, pluralism, and uncertainty.
Roberts suggests that a heightened awareness of value differences has
emerged in parallel with the expansion of democracy, market economies,
international travel, and social exchanges (Roberts, 2000). In addition, the
literature suggests that many problems are marked by deep-rooted disagree-
ments about the nature and significance of particular problems and possible
solutions (e.g., policies concerning environmental protection, poverty, crime,
welfare services, immigration, and citizenship). The diverse sources of policy
divergence on complex value-laden issues underline the point that there is no
“root cause” of complexity, diversity, uncertainty, and ambiguity—hence,
there is no root cause of “wickedness” and no single best approach to tackling
such problems.
If, for example, it is claimed that the fundamental cause of wicked prob-
lems is stakeholder disagreement (i.e., conflicting values and perceptions),
this claim already implies a preferred “solution” pathway of reducing conflict
through dialogue. Thus, some analysts tend to favor participatory and dia-
logue-based approaches to goal setting, planning, and strategizing (e.g., the
urban planning work of Healey, 1997, and Innes & Booher, 1999). If, how-
ever, it is claimed that the fundamental problem is insufficient knowledge
about social processes, the implied pathway is further research and data col-
lection to fill knowledge gaps and improve the information base for decision
makers and stakeholders (e.g., Mosteller & Boruch, 2002; Petticrew &
Roberts, 2005). Thus, problem definition tends to imply a preferred solution.
Some caution is therefore required with any proposed methods or approaches
for addressing wicked problems, as they are likely to be provisional and
incomplete in various degrees.
“Wicked problems” have been considered in a variety of case studies,
since the 1970s, across several scholarly disciplines, including public
716 Administration & Society 47(6)
where both the definition of the problem and the likely solution are clear to
the decision maker (e.g., the manager or policy expert). These situations
require technical work on the part of decision makers and those subject to
their decisions. Type 2 situations are those where the definition of the prob-
lem is clear, but the solution is not—typically because the relevant cause-
and-effect relationships are hard to discern—and therefore learning and
discussion are required by both the governmental managers and the stake-
holders they lead. In Type 3 situations, both the problem definition and the
solution are unclear, and more extensive learning and discussion are required
for all concerned. We suggest that Type 1 situations constitute “tame” prob-
lems, whereas Type 3 situations, and perhaps many Type 2 ones, will contain
some features of “wicked” problems. Roberts (2001) suggested a similar tax-
onomy distinguishing between tame, complex, and wicked problems.
Thus, at one end of the spectrum, tame problems are those currently
regarded as capable of standard or routine solutions. They have low levels of
complexity and disputation and thus low perceived levels of uncertainty. Of
course, over a period of time, some of these problems may come to be seen
as more controversial or more complex and thus as requiring other approaches
and solutions. Tackling key challenges through nonstandard processes of
adaptive management and networked governance becomes more important
as problems exhibit higher levels of uncertainty and stakeholder contestation,
for example, where key actors take divergent approaches to problem defini-
tions and possible solutions.
The policy literature suggests that what counts as a problem and what
counts as a solution are heavily shaped by institutional history and stake-
holder perspectives (e.g., Kingdon, 1995; Sabatier, 2007). The ideas and
practices underpinning different views of policy problems and solutions are
only partially shaped by scientific knowledge. In a world of constrained or
“bounded” rationality (Jones, 1999), lack of consensus reflects differences in
values and experience; appeals to scientific expertise will seldom generate
acceptable solutions. Calls for more rigorous use of evidence in policy mak-
ing demonstrate the inherent difficulties of achieving consensus about the
knowledge bases required to address complex problems. These difficulties
may arise from intricate interdependencies of processes and structures, uncer-
tainties inherent in the dynamic nature of social issues and processes, the
incommensurability of potential risks, and the diversity of stakeholders
(Koppenjan & Klijn, 2004). The scientific research sector attempts to improve
the knowledge bases to better understand complex patterns of causality and
the interdependence of issues. However, the authority of “science” has itself
been deeply compromised in the modern context of social media and values-
based political debate (Pielke, 2007).
718 Administration & Society 47(6)
In short, the conventional structures and systems of the public sector are
not scoped to address the tasks of conceptualizing, mapping, and responding
to wicked problems. Project management for tackling wicked problems
through long-term targeted interventions would require a substantial and
unaccustomed degree of flexibility in the structures and systems of public
governance. More generally, addressing wicked problems calls for public
officials to forge new ways of thinking, leading, managing, and organizing
that recognize the complexity of the issues and processes, and that make new
demands not only on their own organizations but also on other relevant actors
and institutions in their environments. The remainder of this article addresses
these possibilities.
O’Flynn, 2012; Bingham, Nabatchi, & O’Leary, 2005; Lovan et al., 2004;
O’Leary & Bingham, 2009). In recent decades, more collaborative arrange-
ments have been emerging between many different types of partners (Kickert,
Klijn, & Koppenjan, 1997; Mandell, 2001; Wondolleck & Yaffee, 2000).
Collaboration and partnering can take many different shapes—for example,
between organizations within the same governmental jurisdiction or between
different levels of government, or alternatively the relationships might be
forged across sectors, that is, between government agencies, private firms,
and nonprofit/community organizations (Agranoff & McGuire, 2003;
Goldsmith & Eggers, 2004; Imperial, 2004). It can entail different mixes in
the roles played by partners, such as defining policy, implementation, or
resource provision (Agranoff, 2007; Savas, 1987).
The literature reflects this diversity with varying perspectives based on
(inter alia) policy network theory, resource dependency theory, exchange the-
ory, and collaboration as a management issue—which not only differ from
each other in defining respects, founded in their disciplinary origins, but also
converge in other respects (for a useful survey, see Sullivan & Skelcher, 2002).
There are also important conceptual distinctions between degrees of closeness
of relationships, for example, cooperative, coordinative, and collaborative
approaches (Keast, Mandell, Brown, & Woolcock, 2004). For our purpose,
collaborative working may include greater or lesser degrees of either volun-
tarism or formal contractual partnering. At its core, however, it entails at least
some degree of shared understanding, agreed purposes, mutual trust, and usu-
ally an element of interdependence (Huxham & Vangen, 2005), which usually
require time, effort, and skill to bring about. These processes are part of a
potentially virtuous circle: they enable more successful collaboration, but in
turn they are reinforced by the resultant cooperation (Ansell & Gash, 2008).
With that in mind, our focus here is not so much on what facilitates collabora-
tion as on the impact of collaboration on wicked problems. We find many
points of convergence between the different literatures on this critical aspect.
The presence of collaborative relationships is likely to enhance the under-
standing and addressing of those wicked problems where there are multiple
parties with differential knowledge, interests, or values. This is one form of
what Huxham and Vangen (2005) called “collaborative advantage,” a term
that includes, inter alia, a role for collaboration in tackling the kinds of prob-
lems we normally regard as “wicked” and for which there is no other way,
such as poverty, crime, or drug abuse. Where collaboration is operating effec-
tively (Ansell & Gash, 2008; Head, 2008a), it can help in addressing wicked
problems in three ways.
First, the presence of functioning cooperative networks increases the like-
lihood that the nature of the problem and its underlying causes can be better,
726 Administration & Society 47(6)
if not entirely understood (North, 2000; Padilla & Daigle, 1998). This mani-
fests itself as a shared understanding of the problems and overarching pur-
poses (Bentrup, 2001; Pahl-Wostl & Hare, 2004). This not only arises in part
from a shared ownership of the deliberative process (Gunton & Day, 2003;
Tett, Crowther, & O’Hara, 2003) but also arises from the involvement of a
wider array of actors, offering more diverse insights into why a situation has
arisen.
Second, collaboration increases the likelihood that provisional solutions
to the problem can be found and agreed upon, not only because a wider net-
work offers more insights but also because greater cooperation improves the
prospect that diverse parties (who may have differing interests concerning the
issue) may reach an understanding about what to do. This follows from hav-
ing pooled knowledge and openness to joint problem solving (Chrislip &
Larson, 1994), and is sustained by “small wins” as collaboration evolves
(Ansell & Gash, 2008; Levine & White, 1961).
These roles of problem and solution identification in collaborative gover-
nance are equally significant in the network literature (Rhodes, 2007). As
noted by Agranoff (2007),
model. What makes it especially difficult is that followers expect the leader
to provide them with a direction; they get anxious when challenged to do this
for themselves. The leader’s role, therefore, is not only to challenge people to
do this work but also to provide the right circumstances in which it might
thrive. Heifetz (1994) called these circumstances a “holding environment”—
a context (such as a deliberative forum or a set of agreed behavioral ground
rules) for containing the stresses of organizational members’ adaptive efforts
(p. 103). The leader needs to steer a delicate course between provoking peo-
ple to examine uncomfortable issues and having them cope with the stress
this engenders. Thus, the role is one of “identifying the adaptive challenge,
keeping distress within a productive range, directing attention to ripening
issues and not diversions, giving the work back to the people, and protecting
voices of leadership” (Heifetz, 1994, p. 207).
Mobilizing adaptive work is therefore relevant to our spectrum of prob-
lems. It offers a facilitative method for addressing complexity by bringing
forth knowledge that is beyond the compass of a leader acting alone. And it
deals with diversity by involving multiple parties in a manner that not only
brings out their differential knowledge but also enables the surfacing of con-
tending values and interests, and dialogue between those in whom they
reside. Depending on institutional context, there will be important and dis-
tinctive roles and responsibilities for political leaders and administrative offi-
cials in encouraging and guiding these processes.
Kindred approaches are visible in Feldman and Khademian’s (2007) work
on the practices of inclusive management, which can contribute to creating
holding environments (see also Conklin, 2006). Stoker (2006) suggested that
dialogue-based work across stakeholders, and networked arrangements to
tackle shared problems, can provide useful motivation in the creation of pub-
lic value. Bentley and Wilsdon (2003) argued that adaptability and agility are
increasingly necessary features of governmental leadership capable of work-
ing with stakeholders to seek new approaches. However, in the governmental
world of organizational power and political interests, the availability of such
facilitative methods may not suffice to break through the institutional inertia
and entrenched practices to produce new solutions.
The third approach is collaborative leadership, or what Crosby and Bryson
(2005) called “leading in a shared-power world,” which encompasses a range
of perspectives united in their recognition of the interaction between collabo-
ration and leadership. Indeed, many of them see collaboration as a significant
aspect of leadership, and leadership as a necessary impetus for collaboration
(e.g., Chrislip & Larson, 1994; Crosby & Bryson, 2005; Gray, 1989). Indeed,
some of the skills regularly cited as quintessentially those of leadership—such
as reading people, big-picture thinking, communication, influencing, trust
Head and Alford 731
Conclusion
Followed to its logical conclusion, the intractability of wicked problems, as
defined in Rittel and Webber’s (1973) generic terms, could be taken to mean
that grappling with them is a futile endeavor. After all, if they are virtually
impossible to comprehend and any solution throws up more problems, then
why bother?
Head and Alford 733
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publi-
cation of this article.
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Author Biographies
Brian W. Head is a professorial research fellow at the Institute for Social Science
Research, University of Queensland. His research interests include evidence-based
policy capacity, program evaluation, collaboration to address complex challenges,
early intervention approaches in social policy, and environment and sustainability
strategies. He is on the editorial board of several journals and an executive member of
two professional associations.
John Alford is professor of public sector management at the University of Melbourne
and the Australia and New Zealand School of Government. His most recent book
(with Janine O’Flynn) is Rethinking Public Service Delivery (2012). His previous
book, Engaging Public Sector Clients: From Service-Delivery to Co-production, won
the SPAR award from the American Society for Public Administration for the best
public administration book of 2011.