Lec 12

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Spot Rates

Assume time is measured in years to keep things simple (not half years) Face value of all bonds is 1000
Price
1 Year ZCb 972 2.8807%
2 Year ZCB 935 3.4175%
3 Year ZCB 885 4.1563%

Consider a plain vanilla bond with a face value of 1000 and 3 years to maturity
The coupon is 6% per annum paid annually
What is the YTM?
1 60 ₹ 58.32 This bond is callable after two years
4.10% 2 60 ₹ 56.10 and if called one year's coupon will be paid as premium
3 1060 ₹ 938.10 What will be the YTC?
₹ 1,052.52 ₹ 1,052.52 Price Coupon = 60 Terminal CF = 1060
6.0455%
4.1037% Suppose we have a 3 year Par Bond. What should be the coupon rate
given the above data?
Assume the unknown coupon is C andsolve for it

Price of a Par Bond 1000


What will be the cash flows C; C; C+1000 0.028807
0.034175
0.041563

1000 = C/(1+.02881) + C/(1+.03418)^2 + C/(1+.04156)^3 + 1000/(1+.04156)^3

115 2.792

C 41.18911
Coupon rate 0.041189
ill be paid as premium

60 Terminal CF = 1060
1 Year ZCB price 950 5.26316%

2 Year ZCB 825 10.09638%

Consider two two-year plain vanilla bonds


A: has a coupon of 5% per annum
B: has a coupon of 12% per annum
All bonds have a face value of 1000

Which of the two plain vanilla bonds will have a higher YTM and why?
%age
Price of Bond A ₹ 47.50 0.051984 ₹ 114.00 0.10982659
₹ 866.25 0.948016 ₹ 924.00 0.89017341
₹ 913.75 ₹ 1,038.00
9.9675% 9.8159%
Since the two period spot rate is higehr two period money is more expensive
So a bond which has a greater percentage of its price in two period money will have a higher YTM

YTM is a non-linear average of spot rates


You are trying to impose a single rate on a vector of cash flows, each of which has been discounted using the appropriate spot

Yield Curve and the Term Structure of Interest Rates


Yield Curve is a plot of YTMs against the time to mat urity
The term structure is a plot of Spot Rates versus time to maturity
Thus the term structure is also known as the Zero Coupon Yield Curve

There are various shapes of the curve


Upward sloping - most common
The longer the term to maturity the higher the rate
Downward sloping aka Inverted Yield Curves
The longer the term to maturity the lower the rate
Humped Yield Curve
Rates increase with time reach a peak and then decline
U-shaped Yield Curve
Rates decline with time, reach a bottom and then start increasing
unted using the appropriate spot rate
Forward Rates

Suppose I want to invest for two years I have two options


I can buy a two year zero coupon bond
Or I can buy a one year zero coupon bond and lock in a rate to rollover today itself using a forward contract

The one year spot rate is 6% per annum


and the two year spot rate is 7.6% per annum
what should bde the rollove rate for a such a contract if arbitrage is to be ruled out

(1.076)^2 = (1.06)*(1+f) One year spot rate is 6%


Two year spot rate is 7.2%
1.092242 Three year spot rate is 8.4%

I want the following forward rates


1) For a one year loan after a year
2) For a one year loan after two years
3) For a two year loan after one year

1.084136
1.108404
((1.084)^(3))/1.06 = (1+f)^(2)

1.201661
1.096203

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