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    ESS Availability OdeiReyOrozko

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    Ebrahim Abdelrahman
    The document describes an Excel-based model for reliability analysis at the European Spallation Source (ESS). The model differentiates between three cases and uses different input data and formulas to calculate reliability and availability numbers. It allows reliability analyses to be conducted preliminarily without specialized software. The macro in the Excel file reads input data, performs calculations according to the statistical model, and can optionally create a structure graph. The document provides examples of how redundancy and repair are handled and defines active and passive redundancy.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    ESS Availability OdeiReyOrozko

    Uploaded by

    Ebrahim Abdelrahman
    18 views16 pages
    The document describes an Excel-based model for reliability analysis at the European Spallation Source (ESS). The model differentiates between three cases and uses different input data and formulas to calculate reliability and availability numbers. It allows reliability analyses to be conducted preliminarily without specialized software. The macro in the Excel file reads input data, performs calculations according to the statistical model, and can optionally create a structure graph. The document provides examples of how redundancy and repair are handled and defines active and passive redundancy.

    Original Description:

    Reliability test and calculation using ESS Availability OdeiReyOrozko

    Original Title

    ESS-Availability-OdeiReyOrozko

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    The document describes an Excel-based model for reliability analysis at the European Spallation Source (ESS). The model differentiates between three cases and uses different input data and formulas to calculate reliability and availability numbers. It allows reliability analyses to be conducted preliminarily without specialized software. The macro in the Excel file reads input data, performs calculations according to the statistical model, and can optionally create a structure graph. The document provides examples of how redundancy and repair are handled and defines active and passive redundancy.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    18 views16 pages

    ESS Availability OdeiReyOrozko

    Uploaded by

    Ebrahim Abdelrahman
    The document describes an Excel-based model for reliability analysis at the European Spallation Source (ESS). The model differentiates between three cases and uses different input data and formulas to calculate reliability and availability numbers. It allows reliability analyses to be conducted preliminarily without specialized software. The macro in the Excel file reads input data, performs calculations according to the statistical model, and can optionally create a structure graph. The document provides examples of how redundancy and repair are handled and defines active and passive redundancy.

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    Download as pdf or txt
    of 16

    RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AT ESS:

    EXCEL-BASED MODEL

    Odei Rey Orozko


    CERN, 2014-04-29
    CONTENT

    • Overview on Reliability Analysis

    • Overall Reliability Goal for ESS

    • Overview on the Statistical model

    • How the Excel based model works

    • Example: Outcome and interpretation


    OVERVIEW ON RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

    Base
    • Reliability Analysis - November 2012 - Rebecca Seviour.
    • All systems were listed in one excel file - 600 lines.
    • Different types of redundancy and repair cases were assumed to fine-tune the
    overall LINAC reliability and availability numbers.
    • Mission time = 144 h = 6 days.

    Preliminary Reliability Analysis: Excel based model


    • Created one excel file per system.
    • Removed redundancy and repair assumptions.
    • Mission time = 1h according to input from XFWG on reliability (more later).
    • Identify failure rate/MTBF data source.
    • Identify and redefine structures and formulas behind.
    • Created statistical macro that calculates the overall reliability and availability
    numbers and creates a structure graph of the system.
    OVERVIEW ON RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

    Why Excel-Based Model as a Preliminary Analysis?

    • Excel is accessible to everyone

    • No need of previous knowledge in reliability analysis

    • Good starting point for design issues and data


    collection

    • This preliminary analysis can be used after in more


    sophisticated software by experts
    OVERALL RELIABILITY GOAL FOR ESS

    Preliminary Allocation:

    Accelerator Target Controls NSS


    1 hour 95.5% 99.9% 99.7% 99% (per
    Reliability instrument)
    Availability 95% (SNS 97% 99.7% 99%
    92%) (averaged
    over suite)

    • The ESS goal is to achieve an overall reliability of 95%.

    • Time interval was chosen to be 1 hour, due to length of user-


    experiments.

    • Accelerator numbers are already in AD requirements documents. Other


    allocations have to be confirmed.

    • The Accelerator is considered to be OFF (ie downtime) if beam power is


    less than 50% of currently scheduled power for more than 1 minute.
    OVERVIEW ON THE STATISTICAL MODEL

    • The model differentiates three cases / designs /


    structures.

    • For each case, a different:

     Approach is used for the calculations.

     Input data-set is needed.


    OVERVIEW ON THE STATISTICAL MODEL

    INPUT:
    Mechanical
    CASE 1: SCRF Cavity Tuner Assembly Vacuum Valve

    - MTBF
    - Percent of Anticipated
    Failures
    - No. of Equip.
    - MTTR
    SCRF Cavity / Tuner Assembly / Vacuum Valve / Cryostat
    Module Module Module structure

    CASE 2:

    - No. of Equip.

    CASE 3: CRYOSTAT

    No input data needed!


    OVERVIEW ON THE STATISTICAL MODEL

    OUTPUT:
    • Failure rate • Mean Down Time (MDT)
    • Effective MTBF for Unanticipated • Steady State Availability
    Failure • Reliability for Mission Time
    • Effective Failure rate
    • Effective Total Failure Rate

    Which formulas are used on the statistical model?

     Depending on the case, redundancy and repair values


     For example, for Reliability and Availability…
    OVERVIEW ON THE STATISTICAL MODEL

    FORMULAS FOR AVAILABILITY AND REALIABILITY:


    C AS E 1 a n d n o u s e o f a d d i t i o n a l c o m p o n e n t s !
    EXAMPLES: MAGNETS

    Magnets – DUMP LINES


    THANK YOU!

    Odei Rey Orozko


    [email protected]
    HOW THE MACRO WORKS

    When clicking the ANALYSIS button:

     Read input data.


    • From the user: the corresponding cell in the file.
    • From another system’s calculations: file name in column “H”.

     Fills cells in grey where the user must enter the input data.

     Checks if input data is missing.


    • If input is missing, error message!
    • If not, continue to analysis?

     Analysis: Calculates all numbers according to the statistical model.

     Graph? If yes, creates a structure graph of the system in the second


    sheet of the same file.
    RELIABILITY / AVAILABILITY MACROS

    Case: No use of additional components.

    AVAILABILITY MACRO:

    RELIABILITY MACRO:
    BASIC CONCEPTS: REDUNDANCY

    Redundancy:
    The use of additional components or sub-systems beyond the
    number actually required for the system to operate reliably/available.

    For improving the


    Reliability/Availability C1 C2

    C1 C2

    C1 C2
    Consider a system with two
    elements C1 and C2.
    A similar system in parallel is added to
    the existing one.
    BASIC CONCEPTS: REDUNDANCY

    Redundancies can be categorized as ACTIVE or PASSIVE (STAND-BY).


    ACTIVE redundancy :
    • All redundant components are in operation and sharing the load with the main component.
    • Upon failure of one component, the surviving components carry the load.

    PASSIVE or STAND BY redundancy:


    • All redundant components remain dormant until needed.
    • The redundant components systems start operating only when one or more failures occur.

    Active Passive

    A A

    Switch
    B B

    Reliability/Availability (ACTIVE) << Reliability/Availability (PASSIVE)


    BASIC CONCEPTS: REDUNDANCY

    ACTIVE << PASSIVE


    • Assume Avail(A)=Avail(B)=Avail(C)=Avail(D).
    • Components A, B and C start operating at t=0.
    • Component D does not start operating until C fails.
    • Hence, system with Passive redundancy should have a higher availability.

    A
    Component A
    Active
    Component B
    B

    C
    Component C
    Passive Switch
    Component D
    D
    t=0 t=Failure of Component C and A

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