TOPIC 4 - Time Value of Money Concept
TOPIC 4 - Time Value of Money Concept
TOPIC 4 - Time Value of Money Concept
4-3
TVM Rule
It is only possible to compare or combine values at the same
point in time
q Money has time value, as such values at different
point in time cannot be compared and aggregated.
q Implication: in order to compare or aggregate values
happening at different point in time, we first convert
cash flows to the same point in time.
q How: to do discounting and/ or compounding. The
point in time can be either today (present value) or in
the future (future value)
4-4
4.2 Timeline
0 1 2 3
i%
q Time line is the best way to present and visualize cash flows. In that
timeline, you list out how much you get, (CFs), when you get each
(period 1, 2, 3, etc.), and discount rate (i%)
q Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so “Time 0” is today; Time 1 is
the end of the first period (year, month, etc.) or the beginning of the
second period.
4-5
Drawing timeline
$100 lump sum due in 2 years
0 1 2
i%
100
3 year $100 ordinary annuity (same amount of
money pay at the end of each period)
0 1 2 3
i%
-50 100 75 50
4-7
4.3 Future value: Compounding
0 10%
1
100 ?
4-8
Example
¨ The interest you will earn (interest is always earned on the principal)
= 100m x 10% = 10m
¨ Adding the interest to the principal gives you the future value of:
= 100m + 10m = 110m
= 100m + 100m x 0.1
= 100m (1+0.1)
= 110m
¤ Generalize:
Future value = Principal + Interest
= Principal + Principal x Interest Rate
= Principal x (1+i)
PV: Present cash flow.
Or
I: Interest rate per period
FV: future value
FV = PV x (1+i) (1)
4-9
Simple Interest vs. Compounding Interest
100 ?
q Generalize:
q Compound interest: interest earned on previous interest
q The process of finding future value is compounding the cash flow.
q Future value using compound interest (used this interest rate from now on
unless specified)
PV: Present cash flow.
I: Interest rate per period
FV = PV (1+i)n (2) FV: future value
n: number of periods 4-11
Lecture Questions & Exercises
4-12
Answer
0 1 2 3
7%
100 ?
FV = PV x (1+i)3
FV = 100m x (1+7%)3
= 122.05m
4-13
Frequency of Compounding
q Example: If you deposits VND 100million in the bank at a rate
of 10% interest rate p.a, what will be the value of your deposit
at the end of the year, assuming that interest is compounded
every 6 months?
q What is the interest you will receive in the first 6 months?
q Obviously, you will receive only half of the annual interest rate.
q i = 10% / 2 = 5% per period (of 6 months)
q How many periods in which your money will be compounded.
q n = 1 x 2 = 2 periods (two 6 months)
q What is the value at the end of the year?
q FV = PV x (1+i) = 100m x (1+5%)2 = 110.25m
q Compare this answer to the answer in previous example:
obviously, you will receive higher value at the end of the year
if the interest is compounded twice a year than if it is
compounded once a year.
4-14
Frequency of Compounding
For example, interest could compound:
To calculate r in the FV
formulas:
Semi-annually Twice a year
Divide the annual interest
Quarterly 4 times a year rate by number of periods
per year
Monthly 12 times a year
To calculate n in the PV
Fortnightly 26 times a year and FV formulas:
? $1,000
4-20
Present Value
q This question can be solved through a discounting
process.
q How much would you have in your account at the end
of year 1 in order to have a balance of $1,000 at the
end of year 2?
q Given that amount of money in the account at the end
of year 1, how much would you deposit into the bank
today? 0 5% 1 2
$1,000
Step 1
P1
Step 2
P0 4-21
Discounting
q Step 1: At the end of year 1, we need P1 dollar in the
bank at the interest rate of 5% to have $1,000 at the
end of the year 2.
1,000 = P1 x (1+ 5%)
P1 = 1,000/(1+5%) = $952.38
q Step 2: do similar task to find the P0
952.38 = P0 x (1+5%)
P0 = 952.38/(1+5%) =$907.03
Solution: You need to put away $907.03 into a bank pay 5% per
year for two years in order to have $1,000.
4-22
Present Value & Discounting
q The $952.38 is PRESENT VALUE of $1,000 (future
value) in year 1 based on the 5% interest rate per
annum.
q The $907.03 is PRESENT VALUE of
q $1,000 at current time (t=0) or now ($1,000 is FV in year 2)
q $952.38 at current time (t=0) or now ($952.38 is FV in year
1)
q The two steps (or two processes) we applied above are
both named DISCOUNTING. That 5% is DISCOUNT
RATE
q Finding present value of cash flow is the reverse of
finding a future value. From equation (2), we find PV:
PV: Present value of cash flow.
PV = FV/(1+i)n (5) I: Interest rate per period
FV: future value of cash flow
n: number of periods 4-23
Exercise
What is the present value (PV) of $100 due in 3
years, if interest is 10%, compounded annually?
0 1 2 3
10%
PV = ? 100
4-24
Solving for Present Value
q Solve the general FV equation for PV:
PV = FVn / ( 1 + i )n = $100 / ( 1.10 )3 = $75.13
0 10% 1 2 3
PV = ? 100
PV2
PV1
PV0
q Step by step:
¤ Solving for PV2 – value of $100 in year 2: PV2 = 100/(1+10%) = $90.91
¤ Solving for PV1 – value of $90.91 in year 1: PV1 = 90.91/(1+10%) = $82.64
¤ Solving for PV0 – value of $82.64 now: PV0 = 82.64/1.1 = $75.13
4-25
Solving for Discount Rate
q An investment will cost you $1,000 and will return $3,000
in three years. What is the annual rate of return?
0 10% 1 2 3
-$1,000 $3,000
4-26
Solving for number of periods
q You deposit $1,000 into a bank which pays you an
annual interest rate of 10%, compounded semi-
annually. How many years for your deposit to
double?
0 5% 1 ?
-$1,000 $2,000
q Since annual rate is 10%, the money is compounded twice
a year, so for each period (i.e. 6 month) the interest rate
is halved, or 10%/2 = 5%
q In other word, you receive 5% interest every 6 month and
have chance to compound it for the remaining periods.
4-27
Solving for number of periods
q Form an equation, using formula FV = PV (1+i)n
q Rearrange the formula and derive n
FV/PV = (1+i)n
n = ln(FV/PV)/ln(1+i)
q Plug the numbers and report answer:
n = ln(2,000/1,00)/ln(1+5%)
n = 14.21 periods
Solution: It takes approximately 7.11 years (14.21/2)
for the money to double.
4-28