The document analyzes data on cases handled by judges across three courts - Common, Domestic, and Muni - in Hamilton County. It calculates probabilities of cases being appealed and reversed for each court and judge. The judges in each court are then ranked based on the probability of a case being reversed, with the lowest probability ranked first. In the Common Court, Ralph Winkler and Thomas Nurre ranked first and second with probabilities of cases being reversed of 0.0019 and 0.0020, respectively. In the Domestic Court, Ronald Panioto ranked first with a probability of 0.0002. In the Muni Court, Karla Grady and Deidra Hair ranked first and second with probabilities of 0, while
The document analyzes data on cases handled by judges across three courts - Common, Domestic, and Muni - in Hamilton County. It calculates probabilities of cases being appealed and reversed for each court and judge. The judges in each court are then ranked based on the probability of a case being reversed, with the lowest probability ranked first. In the Common Court, Ralph Winkler and Thomas Nurre ranked first and second with probabilities of cases being reversed of 0.0019 and 0.0020, respectively. In the Domestic Court, Ronald Panioto ranked first with a probability of 0.0002. In the Muni Court, Karla Grady and Deidra Hair ranked first and second with probabilities of 0, while
The document analyzes data on cases handled by judges across three courts - Common, Domestic, and Muni - in Hamilton County. It calculates probabilities of cases being appealed and reversed for each court and judge. The judges in each court are then ranked based on the probability of a case being reversed, with the lowest probability ranked first. In the Common Court, Ralph Winkler and Thomas Nurre ranked first and second with probabilities of cases being reversed of 0.0019 and 0.0020, respectively. In the Domestic Court, Ronald Panioto ranked first with a probability of 0.0002. In the Muni Court, Karla Grady and Deidra Hair ranked first and second with probabilities of 0, while
The document analyzes data on cases handled by judges across three courts - Common, Domestic, and Muni - in Hamilton County. It calculates probabilities of cases being appealed and reversed for each court and judge. The judges in each court are then ranked based on the probability of a case being reversed, with the lowest probability ranked first. In the Common Court, Ralph Winkler and Thomas Nurre ranked first and second with probabilities of cases being reversed of 0.0019 and 0.0020, respectively. In the Domestic Court, Ronald Panioto ranked first with a probability of 0.0002. In the Muni Court, Karla Grady and Deidra Hair ranked first and second with probabilities of 0, while
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Unit 3 AS1: Case Problem: Hamilton County Judges
1. Open the Data file: The Excel file for all the working is attached.
2. Calculate the probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three different courts.
The formula for the probability for appealed is:
Number of Cases being Appealed P ( Appealed ) = Number of Cases being Disposed The formula for the probability for reversed is: Number of Cases being Reversed P ( Reversed )= Number of Cases being Disposed
Based on the formula above the results for each court are shared below:
Common Court P(Appealed) 0.0400956 P(Reversed) 0.0045284
Muni Court P(Appealed) 0.0046098 P(Reversed) 0.0009588 3. Calculate the probability of a case being appealed for each judge.
The formula for the probability of cased being appealed per judge is: Number of Cases being Appealed for the judge P ( Appealed ) = Number of Cases being Disposed for the judge The results are shared in table 1.
4. Calculate the probability of a case being reversed for each judge.
The formula for the probability of cased being reversed per judge is: Number of Cases being Reversed for the judge P ( Reversed )= Number of Cases being Disposed for the judge The results are shared in table 1.
5. Calculate the probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge.
The formula for the probability of cased being reversed given an appeal per judge is: Prob . of case beingreversed P ( Reversed∨ Appealed )= Prob . of case beingappealed The results are shared in table 1.
Table 1 P(Reverse d/ Judge Disposed Appealed Reversed Court P(Appealed) P(Reversed) Appealed) Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common 0.0451 0.0040 0.0876 Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common 0.0353 0.0030 0.0840 Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common 0.0350 0.0064 0.1818 Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common 0.0307 0.0036 0.1167 Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common 0.0405 0.0022 0.0551 William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common 0.0402 0.0080 0.1978 William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common 0.0399 0.0073 0.1818 Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common 0.0443 0.0068 0.1527 Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 14 Common 0.0388 0.0043 0.1120 Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common 0.0409 0.0048 0.1168 Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common 0.0403 0.0020 0.0496 John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common 0.0434 0.0040 0.0930 Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common 0.0452 0.0056 0.1241 J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 10 Common 0.0628 0.0105 0.1667 Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common 0.0404 0.0041 0.1024 Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common 0.0285 0.0019 0.0682 Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 1 Domestic 0.0026 0.0004 0.1429 Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 4 Domestic 0.0032 0.0007 0.2105 Deborah Gaines 8799 48 9 Domestic 0.0055 0.0010 0.1875 Ronald Panioto 12970 32 3 Domestic 0.0025 0.0002 0.0938 Mike Allen 6149 43 4 Muni 0.0070 0.0007 0.0930 Nadine Allen 7812 34 6 Muni 0.0044 0.0008 0.1765 Timothy Black 7954 41 6 Muni 0.0052 0.0008 0.1463 David Davis 7736 43 5 Muni 0.0056 0.0006 0.1163 Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 13 Muni 0.0066 0.0025 0.3714 Karla Grady 5253 6 0 Muni 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 Deidra Hair 2532 5 0 Muni 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 Dennis Helmick 7900 29 5 Muni 0.0037 0.0006 0.1724 Timothy Hogan 2308 13 2 Muni 0.0056 0.0009 0.1538 James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 1 Muni 0.0021 0.0004 0.1667 Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 8 Muni 0.0053 0.0017 0.3200 William Mallory 8277 38 9 Muni 0.0046 0.0011 0.2368 Melba Marsh 8219 34 7 Muni 0.0041 0.0009 0.2059 Beth Mattingly 2971 13 1 Muni 0.0044 0.0003 0.0769 Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 9 Muni 0.0056 0.0018 0.3214 Mark Painter 2239 7 3 Muni 0.0031 0.0013 0.4286 Jack Rosen 7790 41 13 Muni 0.0053 0.0017 0.3171 Mark Schweikert 5403 33 6 Muni 0.0061 0.0011 0.1818 David Stockdale 5371 22 4 Muni 0.0041 0.0007 0.1818 John A. West 2797 4 2 Muni 0.0014 0.0007 0.5000 6. Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a rationale for your choice.
The judges have been ranked in each court based on minimum probability of cases being reversed.
a. Common Court
Dispos Appea Reve P(Revrsed/
Judge ed led rsed Court P(Appealed) P(Reversed) Appealed) Rank Ralph Winkler 3089 88 6 Common 0.0285 0.0019 0.0682 1 Thomas Nurre 3000 121 6 Common 0.0403 0.0020 0.0496 2 Robert Kraft 3138 127 7 Common 0.0405 0.0022 0.0551 3 Thomas Crush 3372 119 10 Common 0.0353 0.0030 0.0840 4 Timothy Hogan 1954 60 7 Common 0.0307 0.0036 0.1167 5 Fred Cartolano 3037 137 12 Common 0.0451 0.0040 0.0876 6 John O'Connor 2969 129 12 Common 0.0434 0.0040 0.0930 7 Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 13 Common 0.0404 0.0041 0.1024 8 Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 14 Common 0.0388 0.0043 0.1120 9 Richard Niehaus 3353 137 16 Common 0.0409 0.0048 0.1168 10 Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 18 Common 0.0452 0.0056 0.1241 11 Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 8 Common 0.0350 0.0064 0.1818 12 Norbert Nadel 2959 131 20 Common 0.0443 0.0068 0.1527 13 William Morrissey 3032 121 22 Common 0.0399 0.0073 0.1818 14 William Mathews 2264 91 18 Common 0.0402 0.0080 0.1978 15 J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 10 Common 0.0628 0.0105 0.1667 16
