MASON-DIXON® VIRGINIA POLL

JANUARY 2023
Polling in Virginia since 1984

EMBARGO: Newspaper Publication – Thursday, February 2, 2023

Broadcast & Internet Release – 6 am EST, Thursday, February 2, 2023

© Copyright 2023

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
VOTERS DISAPPROVE OF BIDEN PERFORMANCE, APPROVE YOUNGKIN’S
SAY COUNTRY IS ON WRONG TRACK, BUT VIRGINIA IS ON RIGHT ONE

A majority of Virginia voters disapprove of Joe Biden’s job performance as President.

Statewide 45% approve of Biden’s performance, while 52% disapprove and 3% are
unsure. At the same time, 56% indicate that they approve of the performance of
Governor Glenn Youngkin, while only 31% disapprove and 13% are not sure.

BIDEN JOB RATING YOUNGKIN JOB RATING

3% 13%
45% APPROVE APPROVE
52% 31% 56%
DISAPPROVE DISAPPROVE
NOT SURE NOT SURE

This dynamic plays out on how they perceive the state of affairs in the country, as
opposed to how they view them in the state. A strong majority (59%) feel things in
the country are on the “wrong track” and only 29% say they are in the “right track”.
However, a plurality (47%) believes Virginia is on the “right track” and only 40%
maintain they are on the “wrong track”.

THINGS IN THE COUNTRY THINGS IN VIRGIINIA

12% 13%
29% RIGHT TRACK 47% RIGHT TRACK
59% 40%
WRONG TRACK WRONG TRACK
NOT SURE NOT SURE

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Joe Biden’s job performance as president?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 45% 52% 3%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Virginia 58% 39% 3%

Central/Shenandoah 33% 66% 1%
Richmond Metro 46% 52% 2%
Hampton Roads 45% 50% 5%
Lynchburg/Southside 37% 57% 6%
Roanoke/Southwest 28% 66% 6%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Male 34% 63% 3%

Female 55% 41% 4%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 48% 48% 4%

50+ 41% 56% 3%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 35% 62% 3%

Black 75% 21% 4%

PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 88% 7% 5%
Republican 2% 98% -
Independent 39% 56% 5%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Glenn Youngkin’s job performance as governor?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 56% 31% 13%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Northern Virginia 49% 38% 13%

Central/Shenandoah 64% 27% 9%
Richmond Metro 58% 31% 11%
Hampton Roads 53% 34% 13%
Lynchburg/Southside 56% 29% 15%
Roanoke/Southwest 69% 17% 14%

GENDER ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Male 65% 25% 10%

Female 48% 37% 15%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 51% 34% 15%

50+ 62% 28% 10%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 63% 25% 12%

Black 37% 48% 15%

PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 27% 57% 16%

Republican 96% 3% 1%
Independent 51% 30% 19%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
QUESTION: Would you say that things in the country are on the right track or the wrong track?

RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

STATE 29% 59% 12%

REGION RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Northern Virginia 34% 52% 14%

Central/Shenandoah 27% 65% 8%
Richmond Metro 25% 57% 18%
Hampton Roads 34% 55% 11%
Lynchburg/Southside 23% 63% 14%
Roanoke/Southwest 23% 73% 4%

GENDER ID RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Male 22% 67% 11%

Female 36% 51% 13%

AGE RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

<50 34% 53% 13%

50+ 25% 64% 11%

RACE RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

White 22% 68% 10%

Black 53% 30% 17%

PARTY ID RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Democrat 58% 21% 21%

Republican 4% 92% 4%
Independent 23% 67% 10%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
QUESTION: Would you say that things in Virginia are on the right track or the wrong track?

RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

STATE 47% 40% 13%

REGION RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Northern Virginia 45% 40% 15%

Central/Shenandoah 52% 42% 6%
Richmond Metro 48% 42% 10%
Hampton Roads 46% 43% 11%
Lynchburg/Southside 53% 34% 13%
Roanoke/Southwest 53% 34% 13%

GENDER ID RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Male 52% 36% 12%

Female 43% 43% 14%

AGE RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

<50 49% 37% 14%

50+ 46% 42% 12%

RACE RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

White 50% 41% 9%

Black 36% 44% 20%

PARTY ID RIGHT TRACK WRONG TRACK NOT SURE

Democrat 44% 45% 11%

Republican 52% 36% 12%
Independent 45% 39% 16%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
 HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from January 18 through January 21, 2023. A total of 625 registered Virginia
voters statewide were interviewed live by telephone.

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Virginia voter

registration list that included both landline and cell phone numbers. Quotas were
assigned to reflect voter registration by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no

more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability
that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The
margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
 DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY REGISTRATION:

Democrat 212 (34%)

Republican 190 (30%)
Independent or Other 223 (36%)

AGE:
18-34 103 (17%)
35-49 190 (30%)
50-64 173 (28%)
65+ 156 (25%)
Refused 3

RACE/ETHNICITY:
White/Caucasian 443 (71%)
Black/African American 126 (20%)
Hispanic 27 (4%)
Other 20 (3%)
Refused 9 (2%)

GENDER ID:
Male 303 (48%)
Female 319 (51%)
Other 4 (1%)

REGION:
Northern Virginia 180 (29%)
Shenandoah/Piedmont 90 (14%)
Richmond Metro 90 (14%)
Hampton Roads 125 (20%)
Lynchburg/Southside 70 (11%)
Roanoke/Southwest 70 (11%)

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll
 VIRGINIA POLL REGIONS

NORTHERN VIRGINIA: Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun and Prince William counties and the
independent cities of Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, Manassas and Manassas Park.

SHENANDOAH/PIEDMONT: Stafford, Spotsylvania, King George, Caroline, Louisa, Fluvanna,

Albemarle, Nelson, Greene, Orange, Madison, Culpepper, Fauquier, Rappahannock, Clarke,
Frederick, Warren, Shenandoah, Page, Rockingham, Augusta and Rockbridge counties and the
independent cities of Charlottesville, Fredericksburg, Staunton, Harrisonburg, Winchester,
Waynesboro, Staunton, Buena Vista and Lexington.

RICHMOND METRO: Chesterfield, Henrico, Hanover, Powhatan, Goochland, New Kent and Charles
City counties and the independent cities of Richmond and Colonial Heights.

HAMPTON ROADS: Accomack, Northampton, Northumberland, Westmoreland, Lancaster,

Middlesex, Mathews, Richmond, Essex, King & Queen, King William, Gloucester, James City and
York counties and the independent cities of Williamsburg, Newport News, Hampton, Poquoson,
Norfolk, Portsmouth, Virginia Beach, Chesapeake and Suffolk.

LYNCHBURG/SOUTHSIDE: Isle of Wight, Sussex, Surry, Southampton, Greensville, Dinwiddie, Prince

George, Brunswick, Mecklenburg, Lunenburg, Nottoway, Amelia, Prince Edward, Cumberland,
Buckingham, Appomattox, Amherst, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania, Henry, Franklin and
Bedford counties and the independent cities of Petersburg, Hopewell, Franklin, Emporia, Danville,
Martinsville, Lynchburg and Bedford.

ROANOKE/SOUTHWEST: Highland, Bath, Alleghany, Botetourt, Roanoke, Craig, Montgomery,

Floyd, Patrick, Giles, Pulaski, Carroll, Grayson, Wythe, Bland, Tazewell, Smyth, Washington,
Buchanan, Dickenson, Russell, Wise, Scott and Lee counties and the independent cities of Roanoke,
Salem, Radford, Covington, Galax, Norton and Bristol.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2023 Virginia Poll